Thank you for consulting the Welsh Government on the Vale of Glamorgan Council Replacement Local Development Plan (LDP) – Deposit Plan. It is essential the authority is covered by an up-to-date LDP to give certainty to local communities and businesses and provide a robust basis for decision making.
Without prejudice to the Minster’s powers, the Welsh Government is committed to assisting Local Planning Authorities (LPAs) minimise the risk of submitting unsound plans by making comments at the earliest stages of plan preparation. The Welsh Government looks for clear evidence that the plan is in general conformity with Future Wales: The National Development Framework, aligns with Planning Policy Wales (PPW) and the tests of soundness, as set out in the LDP Manual.
National planning policies are set out in Planning Policy Wales (PPW) Edition 12 and seek to deliver high quality, sustainable places through a place-making approach (the LDP should ensure it takes into account any further iterations of PPW prior to the examination). The implementation of the core policy areas in PPW, such as adopting a sustainable spatial strategy, appropriate housing and economic growth levels, infrastructure delivery and place-making, are articulated in more detail in the LDP Manual (Edition 3). We expect the core elements of the Manual, in particular Chapter 5 and the ‘De-risking Checklist(s)’ to be followed. Failure to comply with these key requirements may result in unnecessary delays later in the plan making process. The development planning system in Wales is evidence-led and demonstrating how a plan is shaped by the evidence is a key requirement of the LDP examination.
After considering the key issues and policies in Future Wales, the Welsh Government is of the opinion that the Replacement Deposit Plan is in general conformity with Future Wales: The National Development Framework. Specific comments are set out in the Statement of General Conformity (Annex 1 of this letter). Annex 2 highlights a range of issues that need to be addressed for the plan to align with PPW and the DPM. Collectively, our comments highlight a range of issues that need to be addressed for the plan to be considered ‘sound’ as follows:
Annex 1 – General Conformity with Future Wales
• No significant concerns
Annex 2 – Core matters that need to be/have been addressed (PPW and the DPM)
• Spatial Strategy and Primary Settlements
• Housing and Economic Growth Levels – Regional Collaboration
• Maximising Affordable Housing Provision
• Delivery & Implementation – General
• Gypsy and Travellers
• Renewable Energy
• Minerals
• Best and Most Versatile Agricultural Land (BMV)
• Welsh Language

I would urge you to seek your own legal advice to ensure you have met all the procedural requirements, including the Sustainability Appraisal (SA), Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) and Habitats Regulation Assessment (HRA), as responsibility for these matters’ rests with your authority. A requirement to undertake a Health Impact Assessment (HIA) arising from the Public Health (Wales) Act 2017, if appropriate, should be carried out to assess the likely effect of the proposed development plan on health, mental well-being and inequality.
My colleagues and I look forward to meeting you and the team to discuss matters arising from this response.
Yours sincerely,
Neil Hemington
Chief Planner Welsh Government

Annex 1 - Statement of General Conformity
The Welsh Government is of the opinion that the Vale of Glamorgan Council Replacement Local Development Plan (2021-2036) Deposit Plan is in general conformity with the National Development Framework: Future Wales, as set out in paragraphs 2.16 – 2.18 of the Development Plans Manual (Edition 3).
There is a joint position statement on the relationship between Bridgend, Cardiff and the Vale of Glamorgan (BP20A), which considers population growth, migration patterns, housing completions, employment characteristics, demographics, commuting and transport links between the three adjoining authorities. The Welsh Government supports the principle of this work which demonstrates how change in the Vale of Glamorgan relates and complements growth in adjoining local authorities. This approach illustrates a good mechanism for other local authorities to follow.
Reasons
Future Wales places emphasis on the development of National Growth Areas in a sustainable manner. Growth areas must be sustainably planned, reduce the need to travel by car, encourage walking and cycling (active travel), maximise public transport usage and incorporate green infrastructure. Growth areas must embed these principles within a wider regional consensus, focussing on the opportunities they bring to promote social and economic benefits across a broader geographical area. The Welsh Government supports sustainable growth in National Growth Areas to respond to the climate change and biodiversity emergencies, making the best use of resources.
Policy 1 and Policy 33 of Future Wales states that Cardiff, Newport, and the Valleys will be the main focus for growth and investment in the region. The strategic diagram (p163) also identifies the Vale of Glamorgan within the National Growth Area. The Vale of Glamorgan RLDP, specifically BP20A, provides robust evidence on the interrelationship and key issues with adjoining authorities, including their interaction and how they have shaped and influenced the scale/location of growth in the RLDP. This is set out in the three Joint Position Statements (JPSs).
BP45 ‘Regional Assessment of Future Growth and Migration for the Cardiff Capital Region (CCR), May 2024, provides further evidence on how the scale of growth indicated for the region has shaped the scale of future economic growth within the Vale of Glamorgan. This results in a higher level of employment growth in the Vale of Glamorgan primarily to increase self-containment and reduce out-flows to adjoining urban areas. Two key areas for future economic growth are identified at Cardiff Airport/Bro Tathan Enterprise Zone and Aberthaw Power Station.
The result is a Sustainable Transport Orientated Growth spatial strategy focusing on the Cardiff – Bridgend railway line and A48 corridor, with the key settlement for growth at Barry, followed by service centres on public transport corridors. On balance, the Welsh Government considers the Deposit Plan is in general conformity with key policies in Future Wales namely (not exhaustive):
Policy 1: Where will Wales grow
Policy 2: Shaping Urban Growth and Regeneration – Strategic Placemaking
Policy 6: Town Centre First
Policy 10: International Connectivity – Cardiff Airport
Policy 12 Regional Connectivity
Policy 33: National Growth Area – Cardiff, Newport and the Valleys
Policy 36: South-East Metro
Future Wales brings a new perspective that all LDPs have to embrace on how each LDP sits within the region as a whole and the relationship to other LDPs, in essence, a strategic approach to cross boundary relationships. There is evidence to support that approach in advance of an SDP. 4

Annex 2 – Core matters that need to be addressed (PPW and the DPM)
Spatial Strategy - Location of Growth
The Council tested 4 spatial options:
Option 1 – Continuation of the adopted LDP growth strategy
Option 2 – Dispersed Growth
Option 3 – Focused Growth
Option 4 – Sustainable Transport Orientated Growth
The Council has chosen Option 4: Sustainable Transport Orientated Growth for its Deposit Plan. The strategy seeks to locate most of the new growth in those settlements well served by existing/proposed rail infrastructure along the Vale of Glamorgan/Penarth branch lines. This will encourage and maximise the use of sustainable transport modes in the plans designated Strategic Growth Area (SGA). The SGA encompasses most of the Council’s largest and more sustainable settlements and the Council considers that focussing development here will reduce the need to travel and will co-locate housing with employment opportunities, services, and community facilities.
With a significant proportion of the Council’s brownfield land already developed/committed, there are limited opportunities for brownfield development moving forward. The existing land bank is stated as 5,140 dwellings (land supply 3,837 + windfall assumptions 1,303), to meet a proposed housing requirement 7,890 (provision 8,660). The authority has allocated 3,520 dwellings on new sites (Policy SP6, Table 2). As a result, the plan has adopted a predominantly greenfield strategy allocating the majority of new development on five key sites (Policy HG1, Sites KS1-5 totalling 2,278 dwellings) well-connected edge of settlement sites, close to existing or proposed rail stations. We note the Council has used TfW data in the site assessment process to assess sites and their proximity to transport nodes. The remaining sites are mainly ‘rolled’ forward from the adopted LDP. The Welsh Government supports the spatial strategy, which accords with Planning Policy Wales (PPW) and is in general conformity with Future Wales.
Spatial Strategy - Primary Settlements
The Council’s settlement hierarchy allocates circa 92% of all housing development (committed and proposed) to settlements in the top three tiers of the hierarchy. The Welsh Government does not object to this approach. The recognition that Culverhouse Cross with few facilities on site and the presence of BMV Land, the expectation for limited growth (paragraph 6.14 & 6.15) is welcomed. Similarly, it is noted that Wick benefits from a primary school and has some scope for future growth, albeit in keeping with the scale and accessibility of the settlement. The Welsh Government is content that the scale of growth reflected in these two locations will reflect the availability of local facilities and services.
The Level of Growth - Homes and Jobs
The Deposit Plan (Policy SP1 & SP6) makes provision for 8,660 homes to deliver a housing requirement of 7,890 new homes (526 p/a) over the plan period 2021-2036, of which a minimum of 3,070 homes will be affordable. The flexibility allowance proposed by the Council is 9.8%. The delivery of new jobs is for 5,388 over the plan period (Policy SP14).
Homes: The 2018 WG Principal Projection results in a requirement of 431 units p/a, or 6,465 units over the plan period. The housing growth proposed in the plan (requirement) is around +1,425 units (22%) above the WG 2018 principal projection, the provision being +2,195 (34%) above. The Council consider the 10 year average housing completions to represent a more realistic level of growth to deliver the key issues the plan is seeking to address. The Council considers that a lower level of growth (2018 projection) is not appropriate because the projections do not take account of 5

any policy decisions and were prepared in advance of the Covid-19 pandemic with implications for migration patterns and fewer jobs proposed.
BP8A (November 2025) considers the latest 2022 Welsh Government population and housing projections, noting they are higher than the 2018 based projections. The projections for the Vale of Glamorgan show significant variation in internal migration in particular which the Council considers should be treated with caution. The projections are trend based and are affected by specific factors that may have occurred within the previous 5 years. The 5 years in question included a period of high housebuilding associated with a newly adopted LDP, as well as the Covid 19 pandemic, where many students returned to home from term-time addresses and re-registered with GPs in the Vale.
Given the fluctuation in recent migration figures, the Council consider longer-term trends are more appropriate, and it is noted that the population change identified in the 10-year migration variant is of a similar level to that proposed under the RLDP projection. In conclusion, for the reasons identified above, despite the updated projections, the Council considers the RLDP housing requirement continues to represent a robust basis to deliver a sustainable and deliverable level of growth over the plan period. The Welsh Government does not object to the scale of housing contained within the plan.
The demographic evidence (February 2023, Edge Analytics) tested 12 growth scenarios comprising: demographic-led, dwelling-led, and employment-led scenarios. The preferred housing requirement is based on a 10-year dwelling-led scenario (526 dpa) that would result in a population growth of 9.7% over the plan period with an annual net in-migration of 1,009 persons. The Council considers this level of housing growth is deliverable with a large proportion met through existing commitments (51%) and a jobs total (4,875 jobs) that broadly aligns with the level of new jobs forecast in the Employment Land Study (5,338 jobs). Moreover, the scale of growth is considered by the Council to be compatible with Future Wales and the role the authority plays within the wider southeast region. With inward migration to the Vale of Glamorgan from Cardiff expected to slow as Cardiff’s strategic sites deliver higher levels of housing and with employment opportunities in the Vale co-located with housing sites, there are further opportunities to reduce the high levels of out-commuting into Cardiff. Overall, this approach is proposed by the Council to deliver a level of growth that is balanced with the emerging Cardiff LDP and wider southeast region. The Welsh Government does not object to the level of growth proposed in the plan.
We note that historic completion rates in the Vale of Glamorgan have fluctuated considerably over recent years. The past 10-year (2011-2021) average completion rate is 526 dwellings p/a. This has been exceeded over the last 5-years (2016-2021) with 698 dwellings constructed p/a. Build rates in recent years are in part attributed to the delivery of the current adopted LDP strategy that has more of a ‘rural settlement' focus, with multiple sites across many settlements being built out. Replicating this approach going forward (10,470 dwellings) would not comply with FW/PPW in terms of sustainable development and transport, potentially adversely impacting on Cardiff’s growth strategy. On this basis, the Council considers that achieving 526 dwellings p/a in the preferred 10-year dwelling-led scenario is sustainable and deliverable and would provide a level of job growth (5,338 jobs) that is balanced with the housing requirement. The Welsh Government does not object to the level of housing proposed in the plan but demonstrating delivery of the key housing sites will be essential.
The Welsh Government notes that BP0A identifies small and large windfalls, based on historic trends of 53/yr and 80/yr respectively. Also, the large windfalls are not included in the first two years of the trajectory, as per the DPM. A non-delivery allowance of 5% is identified, which reflects local characteristics in the Vale of Glamorgan. A flexibility allowance of 9.8% has been factored into the provision. The Welsh Government supports this approach, although whilst Appendix 1 contains a housing trajectory, there is no table to mirror that of Table 21, DPM. This should be included in Appendix 1. 6

Jobs: The Council’s 10-year dwelling-led growth option results in a requirement for 4,875 new jobs (325 p/a) over the plan period. This broadly aligns with the projected growth for 5,338 (355 p/a) new jobs in the Employment Land Review (BP12) and as set out in Policy SP14.
The level of employment growth proposed (5,338 jobs) over the plan period is below the target in the currently adopted plan (7,610-10,610 jobs). The lower target is considered by the Council to more accurately reflect the cohort of working aged people in the Vale of Glamorgan and would support a continuation of long-term housing delivery trends that takes into account lower housing growth post-recession and a shorter period of historically high dwelling completions (2016-2021). The Welsh Government does not object to the level of job growth proposed in the plan.
In summary, (and subject to the above clarification), the Welsh Government has no significant concerns with the level of homes and jobs proposed in the plan, which is in general conformity with Future Wales.
Affordable Housing Provision
The Local Housing Market Assessment 2023 (LHMA) (BP10B) calculates affordable housing need over the replacement plan period using the ‘policy neutral’ Welsh Government 2018 Principal Projection and the preferred growth option. The LHMA provides the latest evidence on affordable housing need, identifying a net annual need for 1,075 affordable units per annum for the next five-years and a further 154 units per annum over the following 10 years (BP10B, Executive Summary), resulting in a requirement for 6,915 affordable homes over the plan period (461 p/a) with a tenure split of 65% social rent and 35% intermediate. The Welsh Government note that the RLDP housing requirement is higher than the 2018 projections. Accordingly, to take this into account the affordable housing need for the RLDP is 502/yr which equates to a need of 7,530 over the plan period (RLDP, paragraph 6.116, Table 4).
Policy SP7 identifies a target of delivering a minimum of 3,070 affordable homes, the housing need being across all 13 Housing Market Areas, albeit it is more acute in Barry, Penarth, and Llantwit Major for 1-bed properties. The Welsh Government notes that most of the new housing development (51%) is proposed in the Key Settlement of Barry and Service Centre Settlements, which include Penarth and Llantwit Major.
The Welsh Government has no significant concerns regarding the relationship between the LHMA and the Deposit Plan.
Affordable Housing Led Sites
To deliver additional affordable housing above that which market led housing can provide, the authority proposes (Policy SP3 & HG4) to permit small scale affordable housing-led developments that provide a minimum of 50% affordable housing on sites up to 25 dwellings in minor rural settlements and 50 dwellings in primary settlements. The principle of this approach is supported.
Paragraph 6.137 of the plan states:
“Policy HG4 makes provision for affordable housing-led sites in locations outside the Strategic Growth Area. These sites, which are allocated for a minimum of 50% affordable housing, are included within the settlement boundary.”
The reference to being within the settlement boundary is not referenced in policy HG4. It would be beneficial to either include such a reference or demonstrate that settlement boundaries do include those sites listed in policy HG4 for clarity.
These sites must be in addition to the market housing led requirement and identified in the LDP. This policy approach is justified by the high level of affordable housing need evidence by the LHMA and must be accompanied by additional control over the land by the local planning authority to 7

ensure effective delivery. Evidence should include ownership of the land, a binding legal agreement where the land is in private ownership or a resolution of the council to use compulsory purchase powers. RLDP, paragraph 6.133 references to such controls, however, should such controls be contained within the policy?
Affordable Housing Exceptions Sites
Policy HG5, states 100% affordable housing exception sites can be located outside a settlement boundary where they comply with PPW/TAN2 and any threshold/policy requirements set in the Deposit Plan. The Welsh Government supports this approach.
Employment Land
The Council’s Employment Land Study (BP12, March 2023) identifies a requirement for 67.80ha of employment land, which includes a 5-year buffer. The requirement is based on rolling forward past trends (over 25 years) and is of a sufficient scale to meet the 5,338 jobs forecast. However, Policy SP14 identifies employment land allocations totalling 182ha, which is an increase of around 114ha above the employment land requirement. The sites that make-up this supply are largely major employment allocations that attract significant regional inward investment at Cardiff Airport and Bro Tathan Enterprise Zone totalling 127.85ha (70%) of the total provision. The Welsh Government does not object to the over-provision of employment land in the plan. The Enterprise Zone designation must be identified and the allocations within it (SP14: 1-3).
Delivery and Implementation
PPW and the DPM (Chapter 5) contain guidance on the requirements in respect of the delivery and implementation of plans. The Deposit Plan should set out site-specific details for Key Sites that includes general phasing timescales, key infrastructure requirements, placemaking principles (including concept / schematic masterplan frameworks), constraints, and developer requirements, where appropriate. We note the Deposit Plan has included emerging master planning/infrastructure work on key sites.
The phasing, timing, funding, and delivery of Key Sites will be critical to ensure the plan delivers the scale of growth required over the plan period. This includes the relationship between the two Key Sites in St Athan (KS4 and KS5) totalling up to 1,150 units and the delivery of a new rail station in St Athan to meet the objectives of the strategy and encourage a modal shift to more sustainable forms of public transport.
The development sites may also impact on the trunk road network, in particular the M4 J34 and there will need to be a suitable level and form of traffic assessment to accompany the plan. (The transport case may consider the South East Wales Traffic Model as part of any masterplan impacts on the Strategic Road Network (SRN) (Wales Regional Transport Models | TfW)). The Council will also need to demonstrate that all housing components are deliverable through a housing trajectory prepared by the Council and Housing Stakeholder Group. Statements of Common Ground for key allocations, especially those that have ‘rolled over’ from the adopted plan, would be advantageous to demonstrate the sites are deliverable in the timescales set out.
The Deposit plan is supported by a high-level affordable housing study and site-specific viability appraisals for Key Sites. All viability work and must be prepared in conjunction with the Viability Steering Group and site-specific promoters.
It will be for the Council to justify deliverability supported by robust financial viability.
Gypsy and Travellers
The Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment GTAA (June 2022, approved June 2024) identifies a total need for 11 pitches over the plan period up to 2036, of which 9 pitches are ‘immediate’ by 2026. WG note that 4 pitches have since gained planning permission, reducing the remaining need over the plan period being 7 pitches. 8

Policy SP9 identifies a site at Llangan (0.76Ha) to accommodate the 7 pitches needed. It will be for the Council to demonstrate the appropriate site selection assessment process has been followed and that the site complies with requirements in PPW (4.2.35), Circular 005/2018 (paragraph 35) any relevant guidance and the DPM (5.80-5.85) to allocate a deliverable site in the plan period. The views of the relevant statutory bodies must also be agreed with no outstanding objections to the delivery of the site. The Welsh Government has no objection in terms of meeting the numerical need for gypsy traveller accommodation.
Renewable Energy
Future Wales: The National Plan 2040 identifies Barry as a District Heat Network (DHN) Priority Area. The Renewable Energy Assessment (BP15) explores the opportunity for a DHN using waste heat from Barry Biomass, but as there is some uncertainty on the future of the plant, the study concludes there is considerable risk to using the plant as a source waste heat. Could the Council provide an update on alternative options for a DHN in Barry?
It is welcome that the Renewable Energy Assessment (REA) has considered BMV policy, specifically for solar PV, and use of the Predictive ALC Map. The assessment has only considered non-BMV land (Subgrade 3b, Grade 4 and 5). The assessment would benefit from referencing the clarification provided in the DCPO letter of 1st March 2022 in respect of solar PV and BMV agricultural land for completeness.
The study identifies that in the Vale of Glamorgan solar development is more suitable than wind energy because of the flight path of aircraft in the south of the County Borough. However, there are some opportunities for wind sites, but these are likely to be small (<10MW) where aviation risks are lower and there is some grid access. Conversely, there are large expanses of land suitable for solar areas (>10MW) to the West of the County Borough, where there is little existing development. The study identifies 20 large-scale solar areas but recognises that grid constraints may impact the ability of sites to come forward.
Solar and wind search areas (where appropriate) below the 10MW Developments of National Significance (DNS) have been identified (Policy CC3). The plan also includes a criteria-based policy for all renewable energy proposals, particularly wind development, under 10MW (Policy CC4). Policy CC3 makes reference to adhering to the criteria in Policy CC4. However, would it not be the case that if search areas have been identified in Policy CC3 have they not already met the criteria? If they would not, should they be identified in the first place? Clarity would be beneficial. The Welsh Government supports the approach but seeks clarity on the point raised.
The Welsh Government notes the proposed search areas for wind energy near Morfa Ystrad Owen/Nant Rhydhalog, according to the Peatlands of Wales Evidence Score Map, the search area includes areas of peatland (Evidence Score 4). The site is also a SINC. This raises concerns as to how the inclusion of this search areas meets the policy test in PPW 6.4.15, 1a and 1b (Stepwise) regarding avoidance of irreplaceable peatland habitats and PPW 6.4.34.
Policy CC4 refers to Developments of National Significance (DNS) in 6.344 and 6.346. This should now refer to Strategic Infrastructure Projects (SIP) which replaced DNS.
Minerals
The Regional Technical Statement (RTS 2nd Review) identifies a nil apportionment for land-won sand and gravel provision in the Vale of Glamorgan. The Welsh Government policy clarification letter (dated 11 November 2021) identifies a surplus of 1.68mt of crushed rock. As there is a surplus of crushed rock reserves and a lack of sand and gravel production in the Vale, no specific allocations are required in the replacement plan. It is unclear whether a Statement of Sub-Regional Collaboration with adjoining authorities in the Cardiff City sub-region been agreed, or does the latest Position Statement (July 2022) explain how any shortfall will be met across 9

the region, particularly for crushed rock, of which the Vale has a surplus? Clarification would be beneficial.
BMV Agricultural Land
The Welsh Government has engaged with the Council for land quality advice, survey advice and ALC survey validation for candidate sites. The LPA has produced a specific topic paper on BMV policy application. BP23A. The Deposit RLDP allocates 188 hectares of housing land, 5.62 ha is identified as BMV land (under 3% of total housing allocations). The RLDP:
• Has sought to avoid BMV land wherever possible;
• Uses the Predictive ALC Map as a core evidence layer to inform: The spatial strategy;
• Settlement hierarchy decisions; and
• Candidate site assessments.
•
• Directs strategic growth to areas with least BMV land
• Removes or avoids allocations where BMV impacts were significant or unjustified.
• Quantifies total BMV loss and demonstrates it is minimal (5.62ha) and proportionate at plan level.
• Applies a sequential approach through: Preference for brownfield and non-BMV sites;
• Replacement of higher-BMV sites with lower-grade alternatives where possible.
•
• Requires site-specific ALC surveys to verify actual land quality before allocation.
• Demonstrates that allocated BMV land is: Often small, fragmented, or constrained;
• Sometimes previously disturbed or incapable of being farmed differently from surrounding lower-grade land; and
• Necessary to deliver the Plan’s housing strategy where reasonable alternatives are unavailable.
•

In conclusion, the Welsh Government consider the Authority has demonstrated a sensible and pragmatic approach to considering BMV loss in the context of national planning policy, and on that basis no objection is offered.
Green Infrastructure
Policy SP19 should explicitly reference the need for development to be accompanied by a Green Infrastructure Statement.
PPW12 requires decision makers to apply the step wise approach to GI, with enhancement secured at every stage where possible, there is no distinction made between the quality of the GI assets – the qualification in the policy statement that states proposals will incorporate measures that protect and enhance high quality multi-functional green infrastructure should be redrafted to remove the quality reference. The need to avoid an impact in the first instance should also be explicitly incorporated into the policy.
Criterion 1 (Policy SP20) should be redrafted – the stepwise approach in PPW 12 6.4.15 1a - does not distinguish between relative ecological value – the avoidance step applies to biodiversity in its widest sense (i.e. the variety of species and habitats and their abundance) and ecosystem functioning.
Welsh Language
There is limited reference to the Welsh language in the plan, either potential adverse impacts arising through development, or mechanisms via a policy framework to support and grow the use of the language. There are references to a number of Welsh-medium schools (3.26) and the increase in the number of people able to speak Welsh according to the 2011 census (3.52) but there is no mention of the authority's Welsh Language Strategy or promoting or cross-referencing to the aims of 10

Cymraeg 2050: A million Welsh-speakers. Paragraph 6.81 of the plan refers to development north west of Barry:
“Land at North West Barry is allocated for a residential development of up to 376 dwellings and public open space. The site is in a sustainable location on the edge of the Barry, a key settlement, in a location that is well served by services and facilities, including a major supermarket, GP surgery, community centre, three primary schools (English Medium, Welsh Medium and Church in Wales) and two high schools (English and Welsh Medium) all located in reasonable walking distance. There is an active travel route along Port Road West, bus stops in close proximity providing buses to Llantwit Major, Cardiff and the centre of Barry. Barry station is 1.3 miles from the site entrance.”
There is no mention that the Council want to undertake a Welsh Language Impact Assessment (WLIA) so there appears no attempt to measure the impact on the Welsh schools resulting from housing development? Could the Council clarify if such implications have already been covered in the WLIA for the plan, ISA, or are any specific policies necessary?

“The following sites are allocated as affordable housing led sites where there will be a requirement for the provision of a minimum 50% affordable housing to meet the affordable housing needs of the local community."

The removal of the arbitrary upper limit on maximum dwelling numbers for allocations in Minor Rural Settlements and the removal of policy restrictions on open market tenure, type and size will ensure that Policy HG4 meets the third test of soundness (Will the Plan deliver?) and will assist in the delivery of the site.

The allocation of ‘Land to the East of Colwinston’ for residential development as a Rural Affordable Housing Led Site by Policy HG4(1) is supported by Barratt David Wilson Redrow (South Wales) Ltd. The site is free from any major constraints and is suitable for development, demonstrated by the successful Redrow development adjacent. The allocation assists in delivering the RLDP vision, in particular for the delivery of homes which caters for all, including affordable homes. As explained in our representations to Policy SP1 and SP2 above, the delivery of housing at the Primary and Minor Rural Settlements is essential to ensuring the housing needs of the individual HMAs (and also, the housing needs of VoG) are met during the RLDP period.

‘Land to the East of Colwinston’ has limited environmental constraints and as set out in our representations to Policy SP2 above, the site area is capable of being expanded to deliver greater dwelling numbers to support the delivery of the identified need for affordable housing in the Llandow HMA during the RLDP period.

The upper limit of 25 dwellings for Minor Rural Settlements allocations is unevidenced and does not align with the need identified in Colwinston. Given the identified need for housing and affordable housing as set out in our comments to Policy SP1, allocated Rural Affordable Housing-Led Sites that have limited constraints (e.g. Allocation HG4(1)) should be allowed to be expanded and accommodate further dwelling numbers should it be desirable and viable to do so.

Policy HG4 also states that “…In addition, the Council will require developers to provide a mix of market housing that will contribute to the specific housing market needs of the community. Applicants will need to demonstrate how both the market and affordable housing provides for the local housing needs of community in terms of tenure, type and size of dwellings so that a range of housing is delivered to meet the needs of different groups in the local community.”

The RLDP seeks a high proportion of affordable homes as well as ambitious policies for net zero carbon operational homes. If these policies are going to be met it is essential that the mix of dwellings on the open market element is of a sufficient value to make the Council’s policy aspirations deliverable.

The Spinney, St Nicholas (Site Ref: 460)
Boyer have prepared the following representation on behalf of Mr Fairweather in response to the current Vale of Glamorgan Replacement Local Development Plan (RLDP) 2021-2036 Deposit Plan Consultation.

A summary of our main representations is as follows:
• Significant concern is raised regarding the lack of residential allocations within the Minor Rural Settlements, in particular St Nicholas.
• Concern regarding the overall housing requirement and the need for an increased flexibility allowance.
• Questions asked regarding the spatial distribution and the lack of other allocations to provide a range and choice of housing.
• Confirmation of the limited constraints for The Spinney, St Nicholas (Site Ref: 460).
• Review of the Candidate Site Assessment; and
• Need to review the Settlement Boundary of St Nicholas.

SP1: Sustainable Growth Strategy
Whilst Policy SP1 outlines the housing delivery requirement (addressed under the response to SP6), the main concern for Mr Fairweather is the proposed primary focus of housing growth within the Vale being within the Strategic Growth Area. Whilst it is understood and supported by Mr Fairweather that new housing developments would be concentrated in locations which are served by existing public transport routes and provide the opportunity to enhance sustainable transport connectivity, it is shortsighted to concentrate this growth specifically along the railway line. The justification being that those settlements identified as being ‘Outside of the Strategic Growth Area’ – including St Nicholas, are equally as important as those within. St Nicholas is a sustainable location and located on an important public transport route (A48) and is well served by bus transport.

The principle of locating development at sustainable settlement is supported, however Mr Fairweather considered that limiting development at suitable settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area is not the correct approach and that greater flexibility is required to deliver the housing need. Currently under Policies HG1 and HG4, the only allocations in any Minor Rural Settlements amount to 122 dwellings in total (excluding any from St Nicholas). This also needs to be considered in the context of the 1,303 dwellings expected from large and small windfall developments. Clearly there is a requirement to provide further allocations in sustainable Minor Rural settlements identified as being ‘Outside of the Strategic Growth Area’ – namely St Nicholas.

In context of above, Mr Fairweather strongly recommends that appropriate consideration is given to the widening of the Strategic Growth Areas to include St Nicholas as a sustainable settlement which is capable of accommodating a new allocation at The Spinney (Site Ref: 460).

SP2: Settlement Hierarchy
Mr Fairweather previously supported the identification of St Nicholas as a Minor Rural Settlement and acknowledged its capacity to accommodate proportionate and sustainable growth, particularly given its accessibility and relationship with Cardiff to the east and access to Bridgend to the West. The Deposit Plan retains St Nicholas within the Minor Rural Settlement tier, however, does confirm that the settlement is outside the Strategic Growth Area.

Whilst the overarching principle of directing growth to the most sustainable settlements is supported, the Plan does not clearly demonstrate why settlements that are well connected and functionally related to larger centres, such as St Nicholas, should be subject to such constrained growth.

In this context, Mr Fairweather highlights Paragraph 3.10 which indicates that Minor Rural Settlements provide an ‘important range of services and facilities that play a functional role in meeting some of the basic needs of residents within rural areas, reducing the need to travel’.
Building upon this, Policy SP2 does highlight that ‘Minor Rural Settlements identified will be limited to the efficient and sustainable use of existing buildings, infill opportunities, small-scale affordable housing led schemes, and rural enterprise/ agricultural related developments’.

Furthermore, the supporting text to Policy SP2 (Paragraph 6.17) confirms that ‘those settlements that are considered to have sufficient population, services, and facilities to accommodate small scale growth without it having a detrimental impact on their existing character and local environment’.

This all buildings upon the identified importance of Minor Rural Settlements within the Preferred Strategy which outlined in Paragraph 6.50 that it is ‘essential for the LDP to balance the growth in a way that supports the need of rural communities’ and whilst it is evident that within these settlements ‘general market housing will be limited to opportunities including infill’ (Paragraph 6.51), the enabling of an element of ‘open market housing will provide opportunities for the delivery of affordable housing reflecting the aspirations of rural communities to sustain their housing needs’ (Paragraph 6.51). This importance of Minor Rural Settlements needs to be carried more strongly forward in the Deposit Plan.

Moreover, the evidence base does not sufficiently justify the degree of restriction now applied, nor does it explain why proportionate additional growth in appropriate Minor Rural Settlements would undermine the spatial strategy. As drafted, the policy risks limiting flexibility in the distribution of housing across the Vale. Accordingly, it is considered that the approach to St Nicholas under Policy SP2 is not justified.

Clearly there continues to be a disconnect between the identified role and function of St Nicholas, which is supported, and the actual ability to deliver the appropriate range and choice of dwellings in the rural settlements. For example, The Spinney, St Nicholas (Site Ref: 460) is considered to naturally round-off the existing boundary, enclosing the envelope of development, without encroaching or sprawling beyond the existing line of built form, in a sustainable location which can accommodate an appropriate allocation.

SP6: Housing Requirement
As per Mr Fairweather’s previous comments to the Preferred Strategy, the concerns regarding a need for a higher housing level and the need for development to be appropriate placed in sustainable allocations in a settlement in which people want to live is still relevant.

Currently Policy SP6 establishes the overall housing requirement and applies a 10% flexibility allowance. The Policy suggests that to meet the identified housing requirement of 7,890 dwellings, provision will be made for the delivery of 8,660 homes and this will be delivered by:
• 3,837 dwellings from the existing land supply
• 3,520 dwellings on allocated sites
• 1,303 dwellings from large and small windfall developments

As per previous representations, Mr Fairweather considers that it’s important to take account of recent guidance provided to other Local Planning Authorities in Wales which have either adopted or are in the latter stages of bringing forward a new Local Development Plan. For example, in Bridgend the Council recently adopted their new Local Development Plan (covering the period 2018 to 2033) which is underpinned by a flexibility allowance of 14% equating to an additional 1,053 dwellings. This level of provision was required in order to demonstrate the Anticipated Annual Build Rate (AABR) were deliverable and ensure that the Plan remains effective in the event of changing circumstances. During the examination process the Inspector explained that an increase beyond the standard 10% was fundamental to enable the plan and its housing trajectory to be resilient and sufficiently adaptable. The overarching purpose of which is to account for any unforeseen changes and potential shortfalls/ delays to the strategic site allocations whilst still enabling the overall housing requirement to be delivered.
More recently in Swansea, the Council published their LDP2 Pre-Deposit Plan (Preferred Strategy) for consultation. In terms of housing delivery this incorporates a 20% flexible allowance above the proposed housing requirement and is predicated on the basis of needing to account for certain sites not coming forward as anticipated and other unforeseen factors affecting delivery.
Applying the same approach to other current Local Development Plans, it is evident that a flexible housing allowance above the current 10% threshold will be required. Having reviewed the Council’s evidence base Mr Fairweather considered that a minimum allowance of 15% would be reflective of the County’s growth aspirations and would seek an additional circa 400 dwellings (equating to a housing requirement of 9,074 dwellings inclusive of the 15% flexibility).

To accommodate this increased in flexibility allowance and over all housing numbers, it should be outlined that smaller sites typically deliver more quickly, are less infrastructure-dependent, and increase build-out rates through diversification. The Spinney represents precisely the type of deliverable site that should form part of an enhanced flexibility allowance.

Policy SP6 should therefore be amended to increase the flexibility margin to up to 15%, with consequential allocation of additional small and medium-sized sites.
HG1: Housing Allocations Table 3 spatial distribution
Mr Fairweather does not comment on any of the proposed housing allocations, however, does highlight that the delivery in incumbent upon a number of larger strategic sites, and that to allow a greater range and choice then smaller allocations in the Minor Rural Settlements. Only 161 units are proposed on smaller allocated sites, equating to approximately 7% of newly allocated supply.
In the context of the above, there remains significant concern that the spatial strategy continues to exclude allocations within Minor Rural Settlements, including St Nicholas.

The Plan recognises that Minor Rural Settlements provide an important range of services and facilities and play a functional role in meeting the needs of residents within rural areas. It further acknowledges that it is essential for the LDP to balance growth in a way that supports rural communities. Whilst general market housing is described as being limited to infill opportunities, the Plan also recognises that enabling an element of open market housing provides opportunities for the delivery of affordable housing and helps sustain rural communities.

There is therefore a clear disconnect between the identified role and function of settlements such as St Nicholas and the absence of any allocated sites (excluding the affordable led schemes under Policy HG4) capable of delivering an appropriate range and choice of dwellings. The strategy effectively restricts development to windfall and infill, without positively identifying opportunities that would logically consolidate and strengthen the settlement.

This approach is inconsistent with the settlement’s accessibility and functional role. St Nicholas is:
• Well connected to the A48 strategic highway network.
• Served by bus routes within close proximity to the site.
• Within commuting distance of Cardiff and Cowbridge.
• A sustainable and established residential community.

Land adjoining The Spinney, St Nicholas (Site Ref: 460) represents a contained and sustainable opportunity that naturally rounds off the existing settlement boundary. The site encloses the envelope of development without encroaching into open countryside or extending beyond the established line of built form. It is well related to existing services and infrastructure and is capable of accommodating a modest allocation consistent with the scale and character of the village.

A proportionate allocation at this location would align with the stated objectives of supporting rural communities, enabling a mix of market and affordable housing, and providing genuine choice within Minor Rural Settlements. The continued absence of such allocations undermines the internal consistency of the spatial strategy.
Furthermore, the strategy places substantial emphasis on rail-based corridors. Whilst development near rail infrastructure is supported in principle, sustainable growth should not be exclusively rail-led. Strategic highway connectivity and bus accessibility also represent legitimate and sustainable locational advantages.

The complete absence of allocations in Minor Rural Settlements creates an imbalance in distribution and limits housing choice. A modest allocation at The Spinney would represent proportionate growth consistent with the scale and character of the settlement.
HG4 – Affordable Housing Allocations

It is recognised that Policy HG4 does allocate development within some Minor Rural Settlements, but in the context of them being affordable housing led sites where there will be a requirement for the provision of a minimum 50% affordable housing to meet the affordable housing needs of the local community. Mr Fairweather has no objection in principle to this but does object to the fact that there is no development in St Nicholas (despite it being sustainably located on the A48).

Furthermore, The Spinney, St Nicholas (Site Ref: 460) proposes a 40% affordable housing provision which accords with Policy SP8 of the Deposit Plan. Should the Authority consider that the site is suitable for allocation under Policy HG4 then the provision can be amended to 50% to accord with the policy.

Candidate Site Response: The Spinney, St Nicholas (Site Ref: 460)
From a review of the Background Paper (BP18 a) - Candidate Site Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage, we are aware that the candidate site The Spinney, St Nicholas (Site Ref: 460) has not progressed beyond Stage 2: Detailed Site Assessment: Site Characteristics and Physical Constraints.

The justification provided states that ‘The development would have an adverse impact on the character and setting of the St Nicholas Conservation Area’. Whilst this is disputed and it is considered that the site should have progressed, it is important to highlight that of all the Candidate Sites within St Nicholas, The Spinney has the least issues raised.

Other sites within the assessment raised concerns regarding Best and Most Versatile Land, intrusion into the open countryside and the loss of a sites identified as providing important views. Ultimately, Site Ref: 460, is clearly the most appropriate site for any development within St Nicholas and with limited constraints raised.
Turning to the reasons for not taking the site forward, the following is reiterated in the context of the impact on the character and setting of the Conservation Area.

Conservation Area Impact
St Nicholas is described in the Conservation Area Appraisal and Management Plan as ‘a low density, linear village located on the A48’ and the candidate site is located towards the west of the village and lies partially within the current Conservation Area boundary. The Authority will be aware that the Conservation Area has been amended over the years to its current illogical designation regarding the Paddock area, similar to that of the Settlement Boundary.

The development of the Candidate Site is a clearly a logical and sensible infill development, which would have limited impact upon the Conservation Area. The majority of the site is already hidden from the A48 via mature vegetation and existing boundary features, and any proposed development would maintain this approach and minimise the visual appearance on the Conservation Area.
Listed buildings and other historic buildings of special interest are identified in the Conservation Area Appraisal as ‘County Treasures’. These are situated at the heart of the Conservation Area. The buildings and their settings establish a scale and density for the historic area of the village to the south of St Nicholas’ Church.

More modern development, away from the centre of the village at Ger-y-Llan to the northeast, Dyffryn Close to the southeast and Old Rectory Drive to the west are suburban in character with larger houses and generous gardens. These are all excluded from the Conservation Area and represent development at a lower density than the historic core of the village.

Whilst only a part of the Candidate Site is located within the Conservation Area, it has to be seen in the context of an appropriate infill site that links the southern part of the village with the more modern suburban type of development at Old Rectory Drive to the west. More significantly, the site provides an opportunity for a development to make a positive contribution to the character and appearance of the Conservation Area as well as respect or enhance the special architectural or historic interest.

This can be achieved by providing a new front boundary to the site and houses with gardens, of the type identified in the Conservation Area Appraisal and Management Plan that help define the character of the village. Whilst the Candidate Site extends to the A48, this is to allow the appropriate minimal access junction, whilst the majority of the generous grass verge will be retained, meaning that development will be clearly set back a considerable distance from the road and the opposite pavement.

Thus, the development will be totally screened when travelling along the A48 and is therefore not considered to affect the views to the north of the site. The development will complement and enhance the character of the rural and built environment surrounding the site.
In line with the objectives of the St Nicholas Conservation Appraisal and Management Plan, the boundary treatments proposed will be sympathetic and in keeping with the surrounding area, such that they do not detract from the historic assets and desired lines of view. Again, whilst detailed design has not yet been progressed, any boundary treatments proposed will avoid the use of stained close boarded timber fencing, over-elaborate modern metal railings and gates. It is reiterated that the building line for the front of the development will not encroach any further forward that the existing boundary and will be designed to be innkeeping and not detract from the existing character of the Conservation Area. Moreover, the layout of the site has been designed in such a way that the spaciousness and green infrastructure is retained and enhanced from a redundant Paddock.

Furthermore, the characteristics that give the Conservation Area its special interest, as identified in the Conservation Area Appraisal and Management Plan have been used as references for the design of the illustrative site layout.

The proposal is to use local materials and design details designed to preserve or enhance the special interest of the Conservation Area. Limestone laid as rubble external walling, slate roofs and roadside walls of varying sizes predominate. More modern houses in the area are rendered and painted white. This, according to the Conservation Area Appraisal gives ‘some cohesiveness [to the area] despite their modern details’.

Elsewhere in the appraisal the village is described as having a ‘rural character’, a character that is reinforced by the existence of mature trees, singularly or in groups and simple pavements with narrow stone curves. The use of modern railings or timber fences are considered to be detrimental to the historic character of the conservation area.

Given the sites relationship with the Conservation Area, the proposal has been designed in to ensure that the development endeavours to protect, preserve and enhance the character of the area.

The site layout has been designed to avoid having the appearance of a suburban estate by providing a range of house types on plots that vary in size thereby maintaining the open structure of the conservation area as described. Furthermore, the existing boundaries to the east and west, which are subject to TPOs, will be retained and enhanced and not detract from the character of the Conservation Area.

The site marks a transition point between the western end of the linear historic core of the village and the lower density development at Old Rectory Drive.
The landscape proposals have been designed to include sustainable drainage, and the tree planting reflects the isolated trees or groups of trees referred to in the Conservation Area Appraisal as significant areas of character.

The illustrative site layout represents an appropriate scale of development and an efficient use of land and as such the proposed development will not have any detrimental impact upon the Conservation Area.
Deposit Plan Amendments
Settlement Boundary

Given the above and the further assessment below, the strong preference would be for the site to be allocated for residential development within St Nicholas. This would form a logical amendment to the Settlement Boundary to include the western parcel (former Paddock) of Candidate Site - The Spinney, St Nicholas (Site Ref: 460). The current Settlement Boundary is illogical as the site is surrounded by development on 3 boundaries and the simple rounding off along the southern boundary would allow for an appropriate windfall infill development.
Conservation Area

Given the above then it is considered that the Conservation Area boundary would need to be amended to reflect the allocation of the site.
These amendments would be required to the Deposit Proposals Map.

Site Assessment
The site was promoted through the Candidate Site process and assessed at Preferred Strategy stage. However, it is not allocated within the Deposit Plan and thus was not subject to updated reassessment as part of this stage of plan preparation.

For completeness, and in order to clearly demonstrate the limited and proportionate nature of the site’s constraints, the previous site assessment summary table is reproduced below. This is included to highlight that the site performs favourably in sustainability and deliverability terms, and that the matters previously cited as constraints are capable of mitigation through design.

A table comparing an updated site assessment prepared by Boyer against the Council’s assessment has been provided.

This representation, submitted on behalf of Mr Fairweather in response to the current Vale of Glamorgan Council Replacement Local Development Plan (RLDP) 2021–2036 Deposit Plan Consultation, maintains that Land adjoining The Spinney, St Nicholas (Site Ref: 460) represents a logical, sustainable and deliverable parcel that should be allocated as a suitable and viable residential site within the RLDP.

Significant concern remains regarding the absence of residential allocations within Minor Rural Settlements, particularly St Nicholas, and the continued reliance on a limited flexibility allowance under Policy HG1. An increased flexibility margin of up to 15% would necessitate the identification of additional sustainable and deliverable sites. Such growth should be directed, in part, toward appropriate locations within Minor Rural Settlements to ensure a genuine range and choice of housing and to support rural community sustainability.

It is further noted that the site performs favourably in the Council’s Candidate Site Assessment, with limited constraints identified. The matters previously raised, including Conservation Area considerations, are capable of sensitive mitigation through design and have been subject to detailed review. There is no substantive evidence demonstrating that the site is unsuitable for development.

Accordingly, the site is considered to represent a suitable, available and achievable allocation capable of contributing to the housing requirement, supporting affordable housing delivery, and reinforcing the spatial objectives of the Plan.
The Deposit Plan should therefore be amended to allocate Land adjoining The Spinney, St Nicholas (Site Ref: 460), or alternatively identify it as a reserve or flexibility site, in order to ensure the Plan is justified, effective and deliverable.

Land adjacent to Waterton Lodge, Colwinston (Site Ref: 409)
Boyer have prepared the following representation on behalf of Andrew Raymond regarding their land interests associated with Candidate Site 409 (Land adjacent to Waterton Lodge, Colwinston) in response to the current Vale of Glamorgan Replacement Local Development Plan (RLDP) 2021– 2036 consultation.

A summary of the main representations are as follows:
• Concern regarding the absence of proportionate residential growth opportunities within rural settlements such as Colwinston;
• Concern regarding the overall housing requirement and the need for an increased flexibility allowance within the housing trajectory;
• Questions regarding the spatial distribution of development and the limited range and choice of sites outside the Strategic Growth Area;
• Confirmation that Candidate Site 409 (Land adjacent to Waterton Lodge, Colwinston) represents a logical and sustainable opportunity for modest residential development;
• Review of the Candidate Site Assessment process and the current status of the site within the Candidate Site Register; and
• The need to consider appropriate settlement boundary adjustments to facilitate proportionate growth in sustainable rural settlements.

SP1: Sustainable Growth Strategy
Whilst Policy SP1 outlines the housing delivery requirement (addressed under the response to SP6), the principal concern in relation to the site promotion is the concentration of the majority of future housing growth within the defined Strategic Growth Area.
It is understood and supported that new housing development should be located in sustainable locations with access to public transport and services. However, the approach adopted within the RLDP places an overly narrow emphasis on growth within the Strategic Growth Area, primarily focused along rail corridors. This approach risks overlooking other sustainable rural settlements which also demonstrate appropriate connectivity and capacity to accommodate proportionate growth.

Settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area continue to perform an important role within the Vale’s settlement hierarchy and rural economy. Villages such as Colwinston provide an established residential community and contribute to the vitality and sustainability of rural areas. Restricting opportunities for modest growth within such settlements risks undermining the long-term sustainability of rural communities.

The principle of directing development to sustainable settlements is supported. However, limiting development opportunities exclusively within the Strategic Growth Area is not considered to represent the most balanced or flexible spatial strategy. Greater flexibility should be introduced to allow appropriate small-scale allocations within sustainable rural settlements.

In this context, Candidate Site 409 (Land adjacent to Waterton Lodge, Colwinston) represents a sustainable opportunity for a modest residential development that would align with the scale and character of the settlement. The site lies adjacent to existing built form and would represent a logical and contained extension to the village.
SP2: Settlement Hierarchy

Mr Raymond supports the identification of Colwinston as a Minor Rural Settlement and acknowledged its capacity to accommodate proportionate and sustainable growth, particularly given its accessibility and relationship with Bridgend to the west and Cowbridge, Barry and Cardiff to the east. The Deposit Plan retains Colwinston within the Minor Rural Settlement tier, however, does confirm that the settlement is outside the Strategic Growth Area.
Whilst the overarching principle of directing growth to the most sustainable settlements is supported, the Plan does not clearly demonstrate why settlements that are well connected and functionally related to larger centres, such as Colwinston, should be subject to such constrained growth.

In this context, Mr Raymond highlights Paragraph 3.10 which indicates that Minor Rural Settlements provide an ‘important range of services and facilities that play a functional role in meeting some of the basic needs of residents within rural areas, reducing the need to travel’.
Building upon this, Policy SP2 does highlight that ‘Minor Rural Settlements identified will be limited to the efficient and sustainable use of existing buildings, infill opportunities, small-scale affordable housing led schemes, and rural enterprise/ agricultural related developments’.

Furthermore, the supporting text to Policy SP2 (Paragraph 6.17) confirms that ‘those settlements that are considered to have sufficient population, services, and facilities to accommodate small scale growth without it having a detrimental impact on their existing character and local environment’.

This all building upon the identified importance of Minor Rual Settlements within the Preferred Strategy which outlined in Paragraph 6.50 that it is ‘essential for the LDP to balance the growth in a way that supports the need of rural communities’ and whilst it is evident that within these settlements ‘general market housing will be limited to opportunities including infill’ (Paragraph 6.51), the enabling of an element of ‘open market housing will provide opportunities for the delivery of affordable housing reflecting the aspirations of rural communities to sustain their housing needs’ (Paragraph 6.51). This importance of Minor Rural Settlements needs to be carried more strongly forward in the Deposit Plan.

Moreover, the evidence base does not sufficiently justify the degree of restriction now applied, nor does it explain why proportionate additional growth in appropriate Minor Rural Settlements would undermine the spatial strategy. As drafted, the policy risks limiting flexibility in the distribution of housing across the Vale. Accordingly, it is considered that the approach to Colwinston under Policy SP2 is not justified.

Clearly there continues to be a disconnect between the identified role and function of Colwinston, which is supported, and the actual ability to deliver the appropriate range and choice of dwellings in the rural settlements. For example, a modest allocation at Land adjacent to Waterton Lodge, Colwinston (Candidate Site 409) would represent proportionate growth that reflects the scale and character of the settlement. The site sits adjacent to existing development and would consolidate the existing settlement pattern without resulting in sprawl into the open countryside.

The current approach within Policy SP2 risks constraining flexibility within the spatial strategy and limiting opportunities to support sustainable rural communities.

SP6: Housing Requirement
Concerns are raised regarding the overall housing requirement and the level of flexibility incorporated within the Plan.

Policy SP6 currently establishes a housing requirement of 7,890 dwellings over the Plan period and includes a flexibility allowance of 10%, resulting in an overall provision of 8,660 dwellings.
The proposed supply is anticipated to be delivered through:
• 3,837 dwellings from the existing land supply
• 3,520 dwellings on allocated sites
• 1,303 dwellings from large and small windfall developments
Whilst the inclusion of a flexibility allowance is supported, it is considered that a 10% allowance may not be sufficient to ensure resilience within the housing trajectory.
Recent experience from other Local Development Plans across Wales has demonstrated the importance of incorporating higher flexibility allowances to account for delivery uncertainty, infrastructure constraints and potential delays to larger strategic sites.

For example, other authorities have incorporated flexibility allowances in excess of the standard 10% to ensure the robustness of their housing supply and to provide a greater degree of adaptability should circumstances change during the Plan period.

In this context, it is considered that the Vale of Glamorgan RLDP should incorporate a flexibility allowance of at least 15%. This would provide additional resilience within the housing trajectory and reduce reliance on a limited number of larger strategic allocations.
Smaller sites such as Candidate Site 409 at Waterton Lodge, Colwinston are particularly valuable in this context. Smaller sites are typically:
• More deliverable in the short term
• Less dependent on major infrastructure investment
• Capable of contributing to early housing delivery
• Able to increase overall build-out rates
Such sites can therefore play an important role in supporting the delivery of the Plan’s housing requirement and enhancing flexibility within the supply.

HG1: Housing Allocations
Mr Raymond does not comment on any of the proposed housing allocations, however, does highlight that the delivery is incumbent upon a number of larger strategic sites, and that to allow a greater range and choice then smaller allocations in the Minor Rural Settlements are required. Only 122 units are proposed on smaller allocated sites, equating to approximately 2.6% of newly allocated supply under (E) Rural Affordable Housing Led Sites – policy HG4.

In the context of the above, there remains significant concern that the spatial strategy continues to exclude the required number of allocations within Minor Rural Settlements, including Colwinston.

The Plan recognises that Minor Rural Settlements provide an important range of services and facilities and play a functional role in meeting the needs of residents within rural areas. It further acknowledges that it is essential for the LDP to balance growth in a way that supports rural communities. Whilst general market housing is described as being limited to infill opportunities, the Plan also recognises that enabling an element of open market housing provides opportunities for the delivery of affordable housing and helps sustain rural communities.
It is agreed that the inclusion of smaller allocations can:
• Improve overall housing delivery rates
• Provide greater choice within the housing market
• Reduce delivery risk by diversifying supply
• Support rural communities through proportionate growth

Whilst it is noted that there is a proposed allocation within Colwinston – HG4 (1) – Land to the East of Colwinston for 25 units, Mr Raymond maintains that there is still a clear disconnect between the identified role and function of settlements such as Colwinston and the absence of any further allocated sites capable of delivering an appropriate range and choice of dwellings.

The strategy effectively restricts development to windfall and infill, without positively identifying opportunities that would logically consolidate and strengthen the settlement.
This approach is inconsistent with the settlement’s accessibility and functional role. Colwinston is:
• Well connected to the A48 strategic highway network;
• Served by bus routes within close proximity to the site;
• Within commuting distance of Bridgend, Cowbridge, Barry and Cardiff;
• A sustainable and established residential community.
Land adjacent to Waterton Lodge, Colwinston (Site Ref: 409) represents a contained and sustainable opportunity that naturally rounds off the existing settlement boundary. The site encloses the envelope of development without encroaching into open countryside or extending beyond the established line of built form. It is well related to existing services and infrastructure and is capable of accommodating a modest allocation consistent with the scale and character of the village.

A proportionate allocation at this location would align with the stated objectives of supporting rural communities, enabling a mix of market and affordable housing, and providing genuine choice within Minor Rural Settlements. The continued absence of such allocations undermines the internal consistency of the spatial strategy.

Furthermore, the strategy places substantial emphasis on rail-based corridors. Whilst development near rail infrastructure is supported in principle, sustainable growth should not be exclusively rail-led. Strategic highway connectivity and bus accessibility also represent legitimate and sustainable locational advantages.

The complete absence of allocations in Minor Rural Settlements creates an imbalance in distribution and limits housing choice. A modest allocation at Waterton Lodge would represent proportionate growth consistent with the scale and character of the settlement.

HG4 – Affordable Housing Allocations
It is recognised that Policy HG4 does allocate development within some Minor Rural Settlements, and in particular within Colwinston HG4 (1) – Land to the East of Colwinston for 25 units. In the context of Policy HG4 they will be affordable housing led sites where there will be a requirement for the provision of a minimum 50% affordable housing. This is to meet the affordable housing needs of the local community. Mr Raymond has no objection in principle to this but does object to the fact that there is no other development opportunities recognised in Colwinston (despite it being sustainably located on the A48).

Furthermore, Land adjacent to Waterton Lodge, Colwinston (Site Ref: 409) could be reduced in size and could be amended to offer 50% affordable housing to accord with the policy (or even 100% affordable if the Authority sought this).

A balanced approach which allows both affordable housing led schemes and modest mixed-tenure developments would provide greater flexibility and assist in delivering a broader range of housing needs.

A modest development at Land adjacent to Waterton Lodge, Colwinston (Candidate Site 409) could provide an opportunity to deliver both market and affordable housing in accordance with Policy SP8. This would support local housing needs whilst maintaining the scale and character of the settlement.

Candidate Site Response: Land adjacent to Waterton Lodge, Colwinston (Candidate Site 409)
Candidate Site 409 (Land adjacent to Waterton Lodge, Colwinston) was submitted to the Vale of Glamorgan Council during the 2022 Call for Candidate Sites as part of the preparation of the Replacement Local Development Plan (RLDP) 2021–2036.

The site is currently included within the Candidate Site Register, which represents a list of sites submitted for consideration through the plan-making process. Inclusion within the register does not in itself indicate that a site will be allocated for development, as all sites are subject to a structured assessment process.

These stages consider a range of factors including sustainability, accessibility, environmental constraints and deliverability.

As part of the ongoing plan preparation process, the Council produced an updated Candidate Site Register following the initial submissions. Sites continue to be evaluated as part of the evidence base supporting the RLDP.

In this context, Land adjacent to Waterton Lodge, Colwinston represents a sustainable and deliverable opportunity for modest residential development which could contribute positively towards the Plan’s housing supply.

The site is located adjacent to the existing settlement and is well related to the current built form. Development in this location would represent a logical and contained extension to the village, rather than an isolated incursion into open countryside.

Furthermore, the site has been promoted through the formal candidate site process and should therefore be considered fully within the Council’s site assessment framework.

Deposit Plan Considerations
Settlement Boundary

Given the location of Candidate Site 409 adjacent to the existing settlement of Colwinston, consideration should be given to whether a modest adjustment to the settlement boundary would enable the site to be appropriately integrated within the settlement.

A logical rounding-off of the existing settlement edge would allow development to occur in a manner that respects the existing built form and maintains a clear and defensible settlement boundary.

Such an approach would represent a proportionate response to the need for modest housing growth within rural settlements.

Site Assessment
The site was formally submitted through the Candidate Site process and is currently listed within the Council’s Candidate Site Register.

Given the role that smaller deliverable sites can play in supporting housing delivery, it is important that sites such as Land adjacent to Waterton Lodge, Colwinston are fully considered as part of the ongoing assessment process.
Smaller sites can provide valuable flexibility within the housing trajectory and contribute to early housing delivery within the Plan period.

Turning to the main reasons the site was not taken forward Mr Raymond provides the following response:
(a) Alleged intrusion into the open countryside
The Stage 2 Register cites “unacceptable intrusion into the open countryside”. Mr Raymond submits that this conclusion fails to reflect the site’s physical containment and relationship to the built form.
• The site directly adjoins existing dwellings at Waterton Lodge and mature boundary hedgerows; development here would constitute rounding-off rather than isolated sprawl.
• A strong landscape framework already exists, and additional planting could reinforce defensible boundaries.
Accordingly, the site’s development would not materially extend the settlement into open countryside or harm landscape character, consistent with PPW paragraph 3.60.
(b) Highways and accessibility constraints
The Council refers to “major highways constraints” but no evidence highway assessment has been published by the Authority. Mr Raymond’s preliminary review confirms that safe vehicular access can be achieved from the adjoining local highway with modest engineering works and that the scale envisaged would generate limited traffic, well within local-road capacity.
Future submission of a Transport Statement can demonstrate compliance with PPW (Section 5: Active and Socially Just Places) and LDP Policy MD2 (criteria 6 and 8).
The site lies within walking distance of Colwinston’s core facilities (village hall, public house, bus stops), enabling sustainable travel choices for residents.
(c) Scale of development
Development at a scale that represents proportionate growth for Colwinston can be provided and would be entirely consistent with the “limited expansion” envisaged for minor rural settlements under PPW and the RLDP.
This level of growth would strengthen local demographics, support the rural housing supply and modestly contribute to the Vale’s overall housing requirement, without exceeding infrastructure capacity.
(d) Ecology, landscape and agricultural land classification
The land is semi-improved grassland with no statutory designations. Preliminary review indicates no SINC coverage or protected species constraints. Detailed ecological and agricultural-land surveys can be provided to confirm that any residual impacts are minor and capable of full mitigation.

Development can achieve net biodiversity gain through buffer planting, sustainable drainage and native-hedgerow reinforcement, fully consistent with PPW and RLDP environmental objectives.

5. Sustainability and deliverability
• Availability: Mr Raymond, as landowner/promoter, confirms the site is immediately available for development.
• Deliverability: The site is modest, unconstrained by flood risk or abnormal infrastructure requirements, and can deliver homes within the early part of the plan period.
The proposal supports rural-settlement vitality, contributes to local housing choice, and allows design to embody placemaking principles (PPW Ed. 12 Section 2).

Conclusion
This representation, submitted on behalf of Mr Raymond in response to the current Vale of Glamorgan Council Replacement Local Development Plan (RLDP) 2021–2036 Deposit Plan Consultation, maintains that Land adjacent to Waterton Lodge, Colwinston (Site Ref: 409) represents a logical, sustainable and deliverable parcel that should be allocated as a suitable and viable residential site within the RLDP.

Accordingly, the site is considered to represent a suitable, available and achievable allocation capable of contributing to the housing requirement, supporting affordable housing delivery, and reinforcing the spatial objectives of the Plan.

ANNEX 1
Preface

This Annex sets out the detailed case in support of these representations, and by association the case for allocation of the site.

The representations are structured into the following sections:

1. Response to the Deposit Plan;
2. Comments on specific policies; and
3. A summary of the suitability of the site for development.

SECTION 1. Response to the Deposit Plan

Distribution of Growth

We object to the distribution of growth within the Deposit Plan. Specifically, we object to the strategy that underpins the Deposit Plan, which seeks to introduce the proposed ‘Strategic Growth Area’ which is expected to contain the majority of housing growth in the Vale over the Plan period, or rather the over-reliance on this defined area, and the associated absence of growth in other parts of the Plan area.

As outlined in our previous representations, the allocation of housing and the location of strategic growth neglects the Rural Vale, and in our view, overprovides in the Strategic Growth Area. For example, with limited housing stock and average house sales at over £500,000 over the last 12 months, there is a clear and established need for new homes in the Ystradowen area, particularly at an affordable level. This is reinforced by the Local Housing Market Assessment that identified a need for over 1,114 new affordable homes per annum over the next five years throughout the county, and 196 units per annum thereafter (average of 502 units per annum over 15 years). Further to this, it is widely known that the rural Vale comprises the majority of the county’s ageing population, which, as a demographic, has and will continue to grow rapidly over the Plan period. This is evident in the ‘Population Change’ chart below – which is taken from the Deposit Plan:
VofG Deposit Plan: Figure 4 Population Change 2011 to 2021

It is clearly the case that younger populations are migrating to other Authorities, where access to housing is typically cheaper and more affordable, whilst more older populations are significantly migrating into the Authority. This trend will result in an extremely unbalanced demographic, given that the working-age population have sought housing elsewhere.

Without a suitable supply of affordable housing delivered over the Plan period, this trend will only worsen. Accordingly, it is not considered that the RLDP takes into account the lack of supply of affordable homes within the rural Vale, as well as increased housing to support the growing ageing population within these areas.

Para 3.19 of the Deposit Plan clearly outlines that affordable housing is required in the short term, in order to meet pressing needs. Specifically, it outlines the following: “There is significant pressure on temporary accommodation in the Vale, for a variety of reasons including increased homelessness presentations… The need for sufficient permanent affordable housing to assist in moving people out of temporary accommodation is critical and the planning system has a vital role in assisting in new affordable housing delivery.”
Accordingly, the distribution of growth within the Authority must be proportionate, to ensure that populations / areas are not left behind where they must seek access to housing elsewhere.

The RLDP Sustainable Growth Strategy sets out 6 objectives. Objective 4 states: “Allowing for small scale affordable housing led development in settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area at a scale proportionate to the size of settlement.” (Page 66)
Para 5.25 states “Therefore, a key part of the strategy is to allow for affordable housing led developments within sustainable primary and minor rural settlements outside of the Strategic Growth Area, at a scale that is appropriate to the size of the community it is serving. An ‘affordable housing led’ scheme is one where a minimum of 50% of the dwellings would need to be affordable, although this could increase to a maximum of 100% if the site is brought forward by a social landlord”.

In terms of the definition / explanation of what the affordable housing-led development sites are seeking to achieve, paragraph 6.132 of the Deposit Plan outlines the following:

“Accordingly, to ensure that new developments respond to the high demand for smaller properties, as identified in the LHMA, priority will be given to affordable homes that are small to medium-sized, typically comprising one to three bedrooms. Representations received from the local community through the RLDP process also highlighted a desire for new housing developments to offer opportunities for accessing smaller market homes. This is particularly relevant in the rural Vale, where housing choices are more limited. Providing smaller, more affordable market homes may assist first-time buyers and enable older residents to downsize to more manageable properties within their local area. Affordable housing-led sites will therefore need to demonstrate that an appropriate range of both affordable and market dwellings has been provided.”

Despite the acknowledgement within this strategic objective, we do not consider that the RLDP goes far enough to meet this objective, nor are its provisions and allocations adequate.

It is considered that this objective is undermined by the allocations set out by the RLDP (not least the absence of allocations in the rural Vale). Notwithstanding the Vision’s clear acknowledgement of the benefit of the growth of the rural Vale, these areas have not been supported through the plan due to the lack of growth which has been attributed to these areas in terms of further housing, employment and sustainable transport. All growth options have been selected on the basis of being in either a Key Settlement, Service Centre Settlement or Primary Settlement, all of which are already sustainable areas served by rail. As a result, it is not clear how this objective can be achieved, without the allocation of further sites within the Minor Rural Settlements, such as Ystradowen. The Vale is characteristically ‘rural’, and as such, there needs to be a stronger emphasis on supporting and delivering new development in order to bolster the rural economy. This includes enabling opportunities to provide employment and business premises within / near to rural settlements, as well as focusing housing growth in these areas to reduce travel time, and promote the use of sustainable transport.

It is considered that the current Strategy does not provide adequately for all residents across the Vale, only those within the Strategic Growth Area. The underlying Vision and Objectives set out in the emerging Plan are accordingly wholly un-provided for by the detail of the Plan. This brings into question the “soundness” of the Plan.

The Strategic Growth Area does not take into account the important role and proximity of Bridgend to the West and/or the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant to the north (as defined in the RCTCBC LDP). The Minor Rural Settlements to the west are more likely to be supported by job opportunities and employment in Bridgend than further east in Barry or Cardiff. Similarly, those in the north align with, and function in association with, the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant to the north. These settlements are served by existing bus services that provide sustainable modes of travel to key employment locations in and around Bridgend. This is acknowledged in Paragraph 3.3 of the Strategy which states “The greatest number of residents who travel outside of the Vale for work purposes travel to Cardiff followed by Bridgend and Rhondda Cynon Taf, whilst a smaller proportion commute into the Vale from these neighbouring authorities”. The Demographic Evidence (Feb 2023) estimates the Vale as being a net importer of workers from RCT and Caerphilly (Para 3.6) - as shown in Figure 10 in the Preferred Strategy.

The current Strategy does not support any improvement of sustainable travel or further investment in settlements linked more closely to these areas - given that Growth has been apportioned in only the Key Service Centre and Primary Settlements. It is considered that this will fail to support and facilitate the current (and any future) employment coming into the Vale, nor will it support any employment which is located outside of the Vale to the West and North. The Growth Option is too heavily reliant on access to railway stations as the key and sole sustainable transport method, whereas access to bus services should also be appropriately assessed and focused on in terms of promoting sustainable development. It is unreasonable to devise a strategy that hinges on directing growth to areas that are accessible to railway facilities, where it is recognised in the Plan that the Vale is inherently rural. The delivery and soundness of the Plan is therefore questioned and we continue to object to the spatial growth strategy as set out in the Deposit Plan.

Housing Supply

RLDP Allocations - Key Sites

As set out in representations made throughout the Plan preparation process, we consider that the Plan is too reliant on the delivery of ‘key sites’ to meet the housing need over the Plan period. Specifically, the Plan makes provision for 2,278 units in these Key Sites, which equates to circa 65% of RLDP allocations in the housing supply. The 5 key sites that are allocated in the Deposit Plan are as follows:

• Land at North West Barry – 376no. units;
• North of Dinas Powys – 250no. units;
• Land at Readers Way, Rhoose – 520no. units;
• Land at Church Farm, St Athan – 532no. units; and
• Land to the West of St Athan – 600no. units.

We object to the current housing supply to allocate 2,278no. (65%) of units across strategic sites, as this makes for a risky and unrobust strategy for delivering housing, and in turn, meeting the identified housing need over the Plan period.

As stated in previous representations, there is concern that the proposed timing and phasing of the proposed Key Sites is unrealistic and unrobust, and in turn, undermines the soundness of the Plan, given the heavy reliance on Key Sites delivering new homes across the Plan period. Whilst it is not disputed that the sites would have gone through rigorous assessment to inform their proposed allocation, the timescales for securing planning permission (with all associated conditions discharged) is considered to be unachievable. This is particularly the case for the following timescales that are set out in the Housing Trajectory that underpin the Plan:

• “Time period of pre-application discussions/PAC consultation” – 4 months
• “Time between submission of planning application and determination” – 6 months
• “Time taken from planning consent to the discharge of relevant conditions to enable site construction” – 4 months

It is considered that the above timescales are fundamentally unrobust, and result in a distorted position of housing sites over the RLDP Plan period. It is not considered that these reflect or are informed by the timescales that are currently being incurred for planning applications submitted for major housing sites across Wales. It is rather the case that such applications would typically be determined 1-2 years following submission, given that there are a wide range of stakeholders involved in the determination of major planning applications – which often adds to the delays associated with the determination of such applications.

It is equally the case that the assumptions in the trajectory are solely based on expected timescales for processing formal submissions made to the Council, and do not factor in the timescales associated with, and needed for, the preparation of the material for submission.

It is assumed that these timescales have not considered that such major developments can be subject to the need to undertaking and submitting an Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA), which adds another layer to the determination of any planning application – given the additional considerations that form part of this process. As such, any site subject to EIA would very likely result in further delays extending beyond the timescales set out in the trajectory. Equally, as set out above, the preparation of an application subject to an EIA requires even more detail and assessment, which only further adds to the preparation stage (which has not been factored into as part of the trajectory). Accordingly, it is not considered that the trajectory contains any contingency if any site is required to undertake EIA as part of their application.

For the reasons stated above, it is unlikely that the sites will yield in full, particularly those sites which are expected to deliver housing right up to the final year of the Plan period (‘Land at Readers Way’ and ‘Land to the West of St Athan’). These sites do not allow for any ‘slippage’ should any delays arise through the development management process (which for the reasons set out above, will very likely be the case), and as such, a gap in housing delivery will be brought about as a result of these sites not yielding in full.

Given the proposed ambitious timescales set out for the delivery of the Key Sites, it is considered the housing trajectory is unrobust, and in turn, undermines the soundness of the Plan as a result. A change in strategy should be pursued whereby a greater proportion of small to medium sites are allocated for housing in the Plan period, which are more likely to fully yield given that such sites are subject to less assessment and consideration compared to strategic sites. This would make for a more robust strategy, where a greater number of small to medium sites can deliver housing in the short and medium term of the Plan period, whereas the strategic sites represent a more longer-term strategy to deliver housing – which would then spill into the next Plan period.

Accordingly, we object to the Deposit Plan in its current form, where there is an overreliance on housing need to be met through the delivery of the Key Sites, which we consider to be unrobust, and undermine the integrity and soundness of the Plan. The current strategy of the Plan is at significant risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated, as least as swifty as identified in the housing trajectory. Should no change be made to the Plan to address the above issues, then it is extremely likely that the Plan would ‘fail’ in meeting the identified housing need.

Windfall Sites

It is noted that the RLDP is made up of the following:

• Existing land supply (3,838 units)
• Windfall sites (1,303 units)
• Allocated sites (3,521 units)

Para 6.69 states that “Analysis of historical delivery of housing indicates that on average small windfall sites (sites of less than 10 dwellings) have provided some 53 dwelling completions per year, and large windfall sites (10 dwellings or greater) contributed on average 80 dwellings per year. Overall, it is projected that windfall sites could contribute a further 1,303 dwellings over the remainder of the plan”.

As set out in our previous representations to the Housing Trajectory, we would object to the expected numbers of completions expected during the Plan period, given that there are a number of issues with delivering housing in Wales and given past completions rates for The Vale of Glamorgan – which is discussed in greater detail later in this submission. Again, this results in the Plan being at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated – including any windfall sites.

St Athan Train Station

The RLDP Sustainable Growth Strategy comprises six key elements, of which the following is set out in respect to the allocation of new housing growth in the Authority:

“3. Focusing development at locations that are well served by existing and proposed rail stations as part of the South Wales Metro and in areas with good bus links.”

The strategy outlines that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken in 2022, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. Accordingly, in line with the spatial strategy adopted for the RLDP (i.e. focus development around sustainable transport nodes), St Athan was identified as a ‘Strategic Opportunity Area’ to accommodate strategic growth – through the proposed allocation of two key sites : ‘Land at Church Farm’ and ‘Land West of St Athan’. These sites have been identified to deliver 532no. and 600no. units respectively in the Plan period. These are separate to, and are in addition to, the 51no. units that have now been attributed to the site ‘Land South of Clive Road’ and 80no. units attributed to ‘Former Stadium Site, adjacent to Burley Place’ in St Athan. Accordingly, in total, the Housing Trajectory makes a provision for a total of 1,263no. homes to be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period.

It is now the case, however, that the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales – as confirmed in the ‘Today, Tomorrow, Together: A vision for rail across Wales and Borders’ (February 2026) recently published by Transport For Wales. This paper acknowledges that a new railway station at St Athan would represent a longer term opportunity, and therefore, will not be delivered in the short term / within the Plan period of the emerging Plan. Equally the Council have not provided any evidence to contradict this, and therefore, it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period. This brings about significant questions regarding the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

The strategy to allocate new housing growth is predicated on focusing residential development around sustainable transport nodes, and given that St Athan will be without any railway station in the Plan period, it is not considered that the sites align with the strategy of the RLDP. Accordingly, the wider Housing Trajectory is considered to be unsound, given that a total of 1,263no. homes (36% of the Plan’s new housing allocations) are expected to be delivered in St Athan within the Plan period.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add further sites for housing in this location over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites - given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

In terms of the expected delivery of the Key Sites in St Athan, it is noted that the trajectory identifies that for the majority of the Plan period, both sites will be delivering 80no. dwellings per annum on each site (equating to 160no units in total). Whilst these are two separate sites, we seriously question the realistic prospects of the significant number of homes being built simultaneously on two sites in proximity to one another – given the considerable logistical issues that would be brought about.

Accordingly, it remains that there are serious questions regarding the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations at St Athan, which do not accord with the strategy adopted for the RLDP – to focus housing growth on settlements that are supported by railway stations. Moreover, the scale of development proposed at St Athan is also not considered to be proportionate, with a significant number of homes delivered in a location not served by a railway station.

Rolled forward LDP Sites

The proposed land supply within the housing trajectory includes provision for ‘rolled forward’ LDP sites, which contribute to the total of ‘Proposed Additional Housing Allocations’ forming part of the housing supply. Specifically, a total of 1,242no. units have been identified as additional housing allocations, of which 959no. are expected to be delivered on the rolled forward LDP sites. As such, these sites are to provide for a significant proportion of additional housing in the Plan period (specifically circa 77%).

The Development Plans Manual (DPM) sets out that allocations rolled forward from a previous plan will require careful justification for inclusion in a revised plan. The DPM outlines that “there will need to be a substantial change in circumstances to demonstrate sites can be delivered and justify being included again. Clear evidence will be required that such sites can be delivered.” The below table included in the consultation document provides a breakdown of the rolled forward LDP sites, and in particular, sets out the status of each site:
Table 6: Existing LDP allocations to be carried forward

The above table evidences that the current LDP has under delivered in regard to its targeted unit number of the Plan period, given that these sites did not yield any housing over the current Plan period. This is further exacerbated by the Land Bank sites that have also not delivered any housing across the existing LDP period, amounting to 1,860no units. Accordingly, when considering the non-delivery of both rolled forward LDP sites and Land Bank sites, this amounts to an approximate shortfall of 2,189 homes being delivered, or 33% of the total housing supply identified for the current LDP (8,525no. dwellings).

It is therefore considered that, as a minimum, the units carried over from the LDP (without planning permission) should be a surplus to the housing supply proposed for the RLDP, as opposed to being relied on to deliver the housing need over the Plan period. This is particularly the case for the two sites (Land to the west of Pencoedtre Lane, and Land between Northern Access Road and Eglwys Brewis Road) which do not currently have any active planning application submitted for their development. These sites total an amount of 370no. units to be delivered in the Plan period, which represents more than a third of the additional housing allocations to make up the housing supply.

As such, it is considered that the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP is still present – indeed it has grown, and will continue to do so, not least when considered in conjunction with the projected population growth over the coming years to 2036, and the aspirations for growth in the Plan’s strategy.

Accordingly, in order to secure the targeted level of housing, a greater level of provision for new allocations should be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. This would bring about better certainty that the housing requirement is met by the housing supply over the Plan period, not least given that the current Plan failed in this respect. Without a re-apportioning of the housing supply, it is considered that the Plan would heavily rely on the contingency (i.e. rolled forward LDP sites) coming forward in the Plan period, yet there is uncertainty that these will yield in full over the new Plan period. This raises issues of ’soundness’, and risks rendering the Plan unrobust.

Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions

As set out in our previous representations to the Housing Trajectory consultation, we have considerable concerns in relation to the proposed delivery of the sites identified in the trajectory – which we do not consider are robust or reasonable.

Appendix 1 of the Deposit Plan sets out the development trajectory bar chart – which illustrates the proposed delivery of housing, on a per annum basis, over the Plan period.
Extract of Housing Trajectory (annotated by GJP - red dotted line)

It is our view that the trajectory makes for an unrealistic and unrobust delivery rate of housing, which does not reflect the pattern of housing completions in the Vale of Glamorgan. We therefore have concerns regarding the soundness of the trajectory, not least that there remain significant uncertainties as to the delivery of the Key Sites (as discussed earlier in these representations).

Firstly, the graph / trajectory illustrates a large ‘spike’ in terms of housing delivery in the year 2027-28, which is considered to be a marked and pronounced step change in the rate of delivery. This envisages / relies on a significantly higher rate of delivery than previous years in the Vale of Glamorgan (2021 through 2021 – as depicted by the green columns). It is considered that this level of delivery is unlikely to materialise, not least given prevailing market circumstances, past rates of delivery on the ground, and also in light of levels achieved across Wales and the UK in general.

The published trajectory shows that the average level of completions from 2021 - 2025 has been approx. 400 - 500 units, however, the chart shows that from 2027 – 2028, completions are expected to rise to approx. 1,000 units per year. The expected delivery levels in the trajectory therefore show and assume a doubling in delivery rates and unit numbers (an increase of approx. 100% relative to past rates). There is no clear evidence as to how this level of completions can be achieved let alone guaranteed. This is the case in particular given that the forthcoming years (2025-2027) are expected to see performance (yield) drop significantly (delivery rates in 2025 – 2026 and 2026 – 2027). The chart shows only approx. 200 units being delivered over these years. It is therefore unclear how completion rates are expected to rise so quickly (from 200 in 2025-26 to 1000 in 2027-28), and by such a significant amount. The assumptions in the trajectory are wholly unrobust in our view.

It is also the case that the anticipated delivery of housing fails to be consistent within and across the Plan period. It is unclear as to why completions rates aren’t spread out more evenly throughout the Plan period - to ensure a robust and most realistic housing trajectory until 2036. By comparison to the marked increase in the rate of delivery between and over the period 2027 to 2031, there is then a marked fall-off or drop in delivery towards and by the end of the Plan period. Indeed, in the final year, the level of completions are expected to be lower than the period 2021-2025.

Accordingly, we consider that the housing trajectory, as proposed, is entirely manufactured and unreflective of the past completion rates, as well as the recent published completion rates provided by Welsh Government recently in August 2025. As set out in our previous representations, it has been evidenced that there has been a general decline in the number of new dwellings started and completed.
Description of Figure 1: ‘New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’
As identified in the graph above, in 2024-25, 4,631 new dwellings were completed, which represents 3% fewer than the previous year. This figure represented the second lowest number on record, with the lowest number recorded in 2021-22, a year heavily affected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic (in 2021-22, 4,616 new dwellings were completed) The New Housing Pipeline Report Quarter 3, 2025 Report (December 2025) published by the HBF evidenced that the number of residential units approved in the UK fell by 7% during the third quarter of 2025, extending the decline seen during the first half of the year. At 45,075, the number of units approved was 34% down on the third quarter of 2024 and the lowest quarterly total since 2012 Q2. At 146,798, the overall number of units approved during the first nine months of 2025 was 25% lower than a year ago.
HBF Graph Illustrating Residential Approvals (2006-2025)

The above graph clearly shows a pronounced downward trend in the number of residential planning approvals over the period, particuarly with a sharp decrease seen since 2020. Further, the HBF document ‘Increasing Housing Supply in Wales’ (4th September 2025) clearly shows that The Vale of Glamorgan has not met the housing delivery requirements in recent years in 2023 – 2024 – along with every other authority in Wales (except Newport). Accordingly, this further adds to the argument that historically The Vale (and most other authorities) have underprovided. This adds considerable uncertainty on the assumed transformation in yield and delivery as built into the trajectory.
Graph: Housing Delivery as a proportion of annual housing requirement in Wales per Authority

More recently, the Welsh Government has released its new estimates of housing need (Estimates of Additional Hosing Need: 2025-based – February 2026). The estimates show how many new homes need to be built over the next twenty years to address existing unmet need as well as newly arising need. The figures set out that around 8,700no. new homes a year are needed over the next Senedd term up to 2030 to meet new housing need. Additionally, there is an unmet need for 9,400 affordable homes.

Overall, this represents more than double 2024/25 levels of supply, where just 4,638 new homes were built.

HBF: Estimates of Housing Need

HBF: Actual Delivery vs Estimates of Need

The above graphs unequivocally evidence that historical rates of delivery of housing in Wales has remained low, and moreover, significant numbers of housing need to be allocated in order to meet the estimate of need. It is not considered that the housing trajectory, in its current form, is robust to meet the housing need over the Plan period, given the uncertainties of the Key Sites, and the level of housing delivery that has been identified for the Plan.

Affordable Housing-Led Sites

HG4 - Rural Affordable Housing Led Sites

Policy HG4 of the Deposit Plan identifies four sites to be allocated as affordable housing-led sites, totalling approximately 122 dwellings within the plan period. Given the target levels of achieving 3,070 affordable dwellings over the course of the Plan period (up to 2036), it is not considered that this policy goes far enough to address the target and level of affordable housing need.
It is noted that the number of units identified for each site relate to the ‘total’ number of units delivered, as opposed to the affordable housing provision. Accordingly, it can be assumed that circa 50% of each allocation will comprise affordable units (given each site is affordable-led), which would equate to a total provision of circa 61no. units. The contribution from the affordable housing-led sites would only equate to 2% of the total need (3,070no. units). Even when coupled with the affordable housing provision from open market sites and 100% exception sites, the total delivery of affordable housing will still be nowhere near enough to meet the overall affordable housing need over the Plan period. Accordingly, it is considered that inadequate provision has been made for such sites.

Insofar as to the sites chosen and allocated are concerned, it is clear from reviewing the Stage 1 and Stage 2 Candidate Site Assessment that the allocated sites HG4(1) – (4) were not considered acceptable due to being outside the strategic growth areas, and were considered to be unacceptable intrusions into the open countryside. After being resubmitted as affordable housing-led sites, the sites were allocated, some with a smaller area in order to accommodate less dwellings in total.

The sustainable credentials of the sites allocated is not disputed, and it is acknowledged that these minor rural settlements have the ability to accommodate further growth, in the form of affordable-led housing allocations. However, it is considered that Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 430 / 4060) should also form an allocation as part of this policy, given its high sustainability credentials and its appropriate location to accommodate a suitable level of development. Please refer to the previous representations made to the Housing Trajectory Consultation (dated 17th October) and Annex 2 for further, more detailed comments regarding the above sites.

The LHMA 2023 shows that there is a need for 230 affordable homes in the Cowbridge housing market area / ward - which Ystradowen is located within. As such, there is an identified need for affordable housing in this area, something which the site could address through an allocation – see Annex 2.

Securing further delivery of Affordable Units

As set out above, the affordable housing-led allocated sites only provide 122no. affordable dwellings, which comprise 4no. allocated sites that are expected to deliver approximately between 20 – 50 dwellings. However, the RLDP sets a target of 3,070 affordable homes to be delivered in the Plan period. This means that affordable housing-led allocations make up less than 4% of the target provision and will only make provision for 2% of the targeted number. We would therefore object to the sites included within Policy HG4 and would suggest that more sites should be allocated as part of the policy in order to secure delivery of a higher number of affordable housing units to mere the target.
Whilst it is acknowledged that the Key Sites will provide for a significant proportion of affordable housing, as set out above in these representations, there is serious concern regarding the deliverability of these sites, which would result in a significant gap of affordable housing delivered.

A greater number of affordable housing-led sites allocated would ensure there is sufficient contingency built into the Plan, to ensure that the overall affordable housing need is met over the Plan period. Failure to do so would result in affordable housing need being unmet, with demand continuing to outstrip supply.

Previous representations to the Preferred Strategy (dated 14th February 2024) provided comment on the sustainability scoring of Ystradowen and the proposed site. As outlined within these representations, it is considered that the site (ID 430) represents a sustainable, deliverable and acceptable site. The site is located within 2.7 miles Cowbridge and
2.8 miles of Pontyclun. Due to the availability of frequent bus services, and active travel links, key services are readily available to access for any residents within Ystradowen without the need to travel by car. The site is within a maximum 9- and 14-minute bus journey (respectively) of the following key services:

• Cowbridge and ‘Y Pant’ Comprehensive Schools;
• Cowbridge Health Centre and Old School Surgery; and
• Cowbridge Town Centre, and Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant (Strategic Growth Area), for various Retail Services.

Accordingly, the settlement of Ystradowen represents an acceptable location to allocate an affordable housing-led site, given the access to existing services and facilities that would serve future residents of the site.

To conclude, the settlement, location and site are inherently suitable and deliverable, and will make a significant contribution to achieving and realising the housing and economic development needs of Ystradowen, support the surrounding settlements, and the Plan area as a whole. As such, the site should be considered further.

Comments on Specific Policies

HG5 - Affordable Housing Exception Sites

Given the unmet need and extant backlog of affordable housing, as identified within the LHMA (2023), it is noted that an Affordable Housing Exception Sites policy has been adopted in order to assist in the delivery of affordable housing. Policy HG5 sets out the specific criteria where proposals for 100% small scale affordable housing developments will be permitted outside settlement boundaries. The current policy wording for the Affordable Housing Site Exception Policy and the criteria listed out in the policy is generally supported.

That said, it is noted that a ‘cap’ of 10 dwellings (as referenced within supporting text Para 6.140) is set. This should be amended due to such a ‘cap’ limiting the flexibility of the policy, in particularly for sites coming forward as part of this policy in Minor Rural Settlements.
As such, we would suggest that supporting Para 6.140 should be amended in order to allow for further flexibility for sites in Minor Rural Settlements to come forward and to deliver affordable housing, given that the criteria set out in the policy would already protect and restrict the extent of any development as it stands. Therefore, the proposed amendments to Para 6.140 are outlined below in red:

6.140 “For the purposes of this policy, ‘small-scale’ will generally mean no more than around 10 dwellings on sites adjoining Minor Rural Settlements. In Primary Settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area, proposals for more than 10 dwellings may be acceptable where required to meet a specific need and where the number of dwellings is proportionate to the size of the settlement. In assessing the scale and extent of any proposed local needs housing, consideration should also be given to affordable housing already planned in the ward or nearby area, including sites with existing planning permissions and those allocated in the RLDP. The size and type of affordable housing proposed should reflect the identified local need in the area.”
The above suggested wording would achieve a more flexible policy, which would allow for a variety of scaled applications to secure planning permission for solely 100% affordable housing across the Authority area. This greater flexibility would enable the policy to make a significant contribution towards meeting the affordable housing need – which, as set out earlier is in considerable need.
SECTION 3. Suitability of the site for development

The site promoter objects to the overall assessment of the site, in that it is not considered suitable for further development in the Plan. The promoted site has undergone extensive scrutiny and appraisal at a high level to ascertain the qualities of the site, in light of all identified material considerations which relate to the proposals.

The delivery of the site will yield much needed housing (including Affordable housing) and contribute to the overall supply in the new Plan period, whilst making effective use of a suitably located site for residential development.

Moreover, as set out in ‘Annex 2’ of our representations, the site has overcome the ‘constraints’ set out in the Candidate Site Assessment undertaken for the site, which demonstrates that the proposal is both acceptable and deliverable.

Deliverability of the Site

In summary, the site seeks to deliver the following key elements:

• Provision of circa 67 new-build residential dwellings (including 50% affordable housing provision);
• A mix of house-types and tenures across the site to cater for a variety of needs;
• Creation of a new primary access into the site;
• Connection to pedestrian links within the wider area;
• Public open space; and
• Green Infrastructure; and
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

In summary, the site promoters:

• Object to the distribution of growth proposed for the Plan area, with a more balanced and equitable distribution of housing sites required in order to meet the identified housing need;
• Object to the level of growth identified for the Plan period;
• Object to the housing trajectory that underpins the delivery of housing within the Plan period – which is considered to be unrealistic and unrobust, leading to serious uncertainty regarding the “soundness” of the Plan;
• Object to the over-reliance on Key Sites and Rolled Forward Sites in making up the Plan’s housing land supply;
• Object to the scale and timing of delivery of sites in / around St Athan – all of which are predicated on railway station provision which will not be realised in the Plan period;
• Object to the under-provision of sites under Policy HG4 – Rural Affordable Housing-Led sites, not least given their extremely limited contribution to the targeted need for affordable housing;
• Object to the current wording of the HG5 Policy ‘Affordable Housing Exception Sites’ which requires greater flexibility to play an important role in delivery much-needed affordable homes across the Authority; and
• Object the Council’s assessment that the site is not considered suitable for development.

The site and proposals are consistent with the RLDP strategy, other Vale of Glamorgan strategies, and the requirements of Planning Policy Wales and Future Wales. It will make a significant contribution to the Vale’s identified housing requirement in the RLDP period and will provide for a wide range of uses that will support the wider community whilst embodying principles relating to placemaking and the well-being of future generations.

The site has no fundamental constraints and has the ability to deliver significant economic, social and environmental benefits for the benefit of future residents and the existing local community. The site is demonstrated to be viable, being able to deliver policy-compliant levels of affordable housing and given its location within a strong market area, will benefit from high delivery rates.

ANNEX 2
SECTION 4. A summary of the suitability of the site for development including a Response to the Candidate Site Assessment

Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)

This section of the overall representations to the Deposit Plan is to respond to, and address, the Council’s assessment of the site. The ‘Candidate Sites Assessment Deposit Plan Stage v2’ for ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ sets out that the position of the site at the Deposit Stage is as follows:

“Amendment of proposed use from housing to affordable housing led. Previous site reference 430. The original assessment concluded that whilst the site was adjoining the existing LDP settlement boundary this is by virtue of an existing adopted plan LDP allocation this is currently under review. Notwithstanding this the site would represent unacceptable intrusion in to the open countryside.
The LDP site in question has subsequently been granted planning permission for housing. This site will serve the future needs of residents in the area and it is not considered that additional land should be allocated in this location.”

In terms of the first paragraph, the assessment/conclusion implies and suggests that ‘Land at Ystradowen’ (4060)’ does not adjoin the existing LDP settlement boundary as the allocated site (‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’) has not been built out – “by virtue of an existing adopted plan LDP allocation this is currently under review”. Detailed representations have been made and submitted previously at the Housing Trajectory (see Appendix B& C) that outlines that this is fundamentally incorrect. This is not repeated in full here, with just the main points re-iterated.

First and foremost, ‘Land at Ystradowen (4060)’ directly adjoins the existing LDP settlement boundary. Secondly, there has been a significant change in the position and circumstances. The allocated site (‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’) is currently being “built out”, with work commencing on site (see photographic evidence in Appendix C)
- post the implementation of the planning permission ref. 2023/00948/FUL (post approval on 9th December 2024). Accordingly, the site no longer adjoins “the existing LDP settlement boundary … by virtue of an existing adopted plan LDP allocation … currently under review”. Given this, the ‘Land at Ystradowen’ site boundary therefore directly adjoins/is adjoining the LDP settlement boundary and the site promoted herein.

With regards to the second paragraph, the assessment/conclusion outlines that “The LDP site … will serve the future needs of residents in the area and it is not considered that additional land should be allocated in this location”. The arguments and case presented in Appendix B & C. There is a clear overreliance on ‘rolled forward’ sites / existing allocated sites. A total of 1,242no. units have been identified as additional housing allocations, of which 959no. are expected to be delivered on the rolled forward LDP sites. As such, these sites are to provide for a significant proportion of additional housing in the Plan period (specifically circa 77%). We believe that a greater level of growth is achievable and should be considered. Not least as there is an approximate shortfall of 2,189 homes being delivered, or 33% of the total housing supply identified for the current LDP (8,525no. dwellings). As such, it is considered that the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP is still present – indeed it has grown, and will continue to do so, not least when considered in conjunction with the projected population growth over the coming years to 2036, and the aspirations for growth in the Plan’s strategy. Accordingly, in order to secure the targeted level of housing, a greater level of provision for new allocations should be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. The provision of housing should be adjusted to rebalance the provision to include new allocations in lieu of rolled forward LDP sites in the housing supply. The “future needs of residents in the area” will therefore not be met/served by just this site, and it is considered that additional land should be allocated in this location.

Furthermore, to reinforce, illustrate, and evidence the point in specific reference to the site the subject to this representation (located in Ystradowen), reference is made to application ref. 2013/00856/OUT – ‘Land off Badgers Brook Rise, Ystradowen’. The Final Report of the application states that “Ystradowen is considered a sustainable settlement for further housing development” – i.e. “additional land should be allocated in this location”.

While the issues the Council have raised in their assessment of the site have been addressed and discussed within the representations made at the Preferred Strategy stage of the Plan (see Appendix B), a similar ‘scoring’ exercise has been undertaken as part evidence base for the Deposit Plan. As such, it is still pertinent to consider and respond to the Council’s assessment of the site as part of these representations. A comparison between the site assessments undertaken at both the Preferred Strategy stage and Deposit Plan stage can be seen below for reference:
BP18 Candidate Ste Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage
As demonstrated above, there has been a positive change to the scoring attributed to the site (‘Land at Ystradowen’). The change is a positive change to the ‘Infrastructure Availability’ section changing from: ‘Grey’ (no score) to ‘Amber’. Infrastructure Availability is outlined as: “Existing or proposed services would be suitable subject to local improvements without impacting on development viability and/or delivery timescales” (see below):
The explanation for the scoring provided by the Vale sets out that “Sites will be assessed against the availability of water connections to the site, in addition to the method of foul sewage disposal from the site. Consultation shall be undertaken with DCWW to determine whether there is sufficient capacity to the wastewater treatments works, and how it links into DCWW’s Capital Investment Programme.
Where consultation indicates limited capacity, or the site is located away from a viable connection this may impact on the deliverability/viability of a site should this require significant connection costs or upgrades. Consequently, the Council shall require site proposers to undertake detailed site viability assessment to determine the impact that additional cost shall have on development cost and deliverability timescales.”

As set out above, this is a positive change. This is most likely derived from the allocated site (‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’) currently being “built out”, with work commencing on site that would facilitate and improve the ‘Infrastructure Availability’. This re-iterates the point made previously re the incorrect assessment reached, and the ever changing position of this site – which will only improve given the neighbouring allocated site (‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’) being “built out”.

Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)

There are material similarities between ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ and the site the subject of these representations. It is therefore considered pertinent to assess and compare the suitability of ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin’. Not least as ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ is for a “small-scale affordable housing led development in a minor rural settlement”, within “the ward of Cowbridge”.

The site ‘Land West of Maendy Road (Site ID: 2299)’ has been registered as an Affordable Housing Led Allocation candidate site for the RLDP, however from our review of the evidence base submitted as part of the Housing Trajectory consultation, there was no assessment and critique of this site at this stage. This raises questions regarding the “soundness” of this site, given it appears this sites acceptability and inclusion was pre-determined.

The site (‘Land West of Maendy Road’) has since had a detailed assessment and critique published, however concerns still remain regarding the “soundness” of the site which forms part of the intended housing land supply. The ‘Stage 2 Detailed Site Assessment’ summary undertaken for ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ has been extracted below:

“The site is proposed for a small-scale affordable housing led development in a minor rural settlement, which would accord in principle with the strategy. Aberthin itself has limited services and facilities, but is within reasonable walking distance of primary and secondary school provision with the wider range of services and facilities in Cowbridge just over 2000m away. The settlement is also served by public transport, although this is relatively infrequent.
The 2023 LHMA indicated that the ward of Cowbridge has a need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years and this site could make an important contribution in meeting that.”

As mentioned previously, there are material similarities between ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ and ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ (the subject of these representations). Firstly ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ is also for a “small-scale affordable housing led development”, that is “in a minor rural settlement” (Ystradowen). Accordingly, it should follow that as ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ “would accord in principle with the strategy”, ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ would also “accord in principle with the strategy”.

Furthermore, there is no material difference between the following assessment of Aberthin and Ystradowen:

“Aberthin itself has limited services and facilities, but is within reasonable walking distance of primary and secondary school provision with the wider range of services and facilities in Cowbridge just over 2000m away. The settlement is also served by public transport, although this is relatively infrequent.”

There is no material difference between ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ and ‘Land at Ystradowen’ in sustainability terms.

As set out in our representations to the Preferred Strategy, we reviewed the key services in proximity to the site. The following services were identified as part of that review:

• In terms of public transport, there are two bus stops located approximately 0.2 miles (4-minute walk) from the site (‘Land West of Maendy Road’), with the 321 providing services between Llantwit Major and Talbot Green;

• In terms of public transport, there are two bus stops located approximately 400m (7-minute walk) from the site (‘Ty Mawr Close’), with the ‘321 Nat Group Service’ providing services between Llantwit Major and Talbot Green. The 321 service is the same bus service that serves ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ / Aberthin;

• The site is also located 0.2 miles (4-minute walk) from The Farmers Arms Pub and 0.2 miles (4-minute walk) from The Hare and Hounds Inn; and

• The site is located 0.2 miles (5-minute walk) from Aberthin Village Hall.

Given the above, “The settlement (Ystradowen) is also served by public transport”.
Furthermore, Ystradowen is located only 2.7 miles from Cowbridge (9-minute bus journey). The “primary and secondary school provision with the wider range of services and facilities in Cowbridge” mentioned in relation to Aberthin are therefore also in close proximity to Ystradowen.

Given the above, any candidate site at ’Land at Ystradowen’ (the subject of these representations – Site ID: 430 / 4060) is no less sustainable than the site at Aberthin (Site ID: 2299).

Not least as the following additional key services are located within Ystradowen and therefore in close proximity to the promoted site:

• The site is also located 300m (3-minute walk) and 600m (10-minute walk) from Sports Pitches/Playing Fields such as ‘Ystradowen Children’s Park’, and the 3/4G Sports Pitch at ‘Ystradowen Petanque Club’; and
• Furthermore, the site is located 480m (7-minute walk) from the ‘Murco – Tudor Garage’ which can provide basic goods to meet day-today needs such as bread, butter, milk etc.

Furthermore it is important to note that the above scoring criteria is very limiting, and does not take into account the important role and proximity of settlements in a wider context. For example, it does not take into account the important role and proximity of the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area (as defined in the RCTCBC LDP) of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant which is 2.8 miles to the north (14-minute bus journey). Ystradowen would also naturally align, and function, in association with this Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area (of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant) – see Appendix B for full details.

In addition, as set out within the representations made in relation to the House Trajectory (Appendix C), the following extracts have been taken from the Officer’s Reports associated with the applications for the site that directly adjoins the western boundary of the promoted site 430 - ‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’ (Housing Allocation 48). An aerial view extract is outlined below to give spatial context:
As set out above, it is important to note that the Final Report of application ref. 2013/00856/OUT states that “Ystradowen is considered a sustainable settlement for further housing development”, due to “the sustainable nature of the settlement”. Furthermore, the Final Report of app ref. 2023/00948/FUL states:

• “Notwithstanding this, the site is located in close proximity to local services and there is a bus stop located nearby. Whilst the comments relating to the reliance and frequency of the bus services have been considered, there still remains a bus service in the area”; and
• “Firstly, as aforementioned, many neighbouring comments refer to the site as unsustainable and have commented on the suitability of public transport and cycle routes etc. This has been addressed above.”

The above clearly evidences that the location has previously been endorsed as, and is currently still found to be, sustainable.

Accordingly, it can be considered therefore that if the proposed allocated site ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ is considered sustainable and by association suitable to be an Affordable Housing Led Allocation, ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 430 / 4060)’ is equally suitable to be an Affordable Housing Led Allocation.

The second section/paragraph of the assessment states:

“The 2023 LHMA indicated that the ward of Cowbridge has a need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years and this site could make an important contribution in meeting that.”
‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ is also located within “the ward of Cowbridge”. As per the above and outlined by the Authority, there is “a need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years”. It is clear therefore that there is a need for additional affordable units in this ward, and this site would therefore also help to alleviate this need.

This position is a direct contradiction of course of the assessment/conclusion for ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ which stated “it is not considered that additional land should be allocated in this location”. It is clear from the above however that “additional land should be allocated in this location” to satisfy this “need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years” – which ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ can do. This is not least the case given the detailed arguments, case and representations presented and evidenced previously above and in Appendix B & C.
To briefly reiterate there is a clear overreliance on ‘rolled forward’ sites / existing allocated sites which has resulted in the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP being still present. A greater level of provision for new allocations should therefore be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. The provision of housing should be adjusted to rebalance the provision to include new allocations in lieu of rolled forward LDP sites in the housing supply, so these can “make an important contribution in meeting” the “need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years” in “the ward of Cowbridge” – which ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ can do.

As set out within the representations made in relation to the housing trajectory (see Appendix C), a further key consideration to note and one which does differentiate between the relative merits of the ‘Land at Maendy Road, Aberthin’ and ‘Land at Ystradowen’ is that the LDP Proposals Map demonstrates that ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ is within a Special Landscape Area - see below:
Vale of Glamorgan Proposals Map (Land West of Maendy Road outlined in red
Under Policy MG17 ‘Special Landscape Areas’ it is considered that development in SLA could pose an “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area”. Accordingly, this development and proposed allocation could therefore cause “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area”.

‘Land at Ystradowen’ by contrast does not sit within a SLA (see below). This site would therefore not pose any potential concern in this respect as it would ultimately not cause any “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area”.
Vale of Glamorgan Proposals Map (Land at Ystradowen in red)
It is noted that the detailed assessment scores the site ‘amber’ in respect to Special Landscape Area (refer to / see later section for full details), with the assessment methodology setting out that “the site is located within a Special Landscape Area/The Glamorgan Heritage Coast and the development may result in little or no change in character and little or no significant effect on landscape character and visual amenity.”
A detailed assessment of the impact upon the SLA in respect to the development of ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin’ should therefore be, and will need to be, undertaken as part of any planning application. If it is found that the site causes “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area”, this will lead to this proposed allocation being at risk of not being delivered. This will be as a result of its impacts and acceptability at the planning application stage that the landscape and visual impact of development of the site is unacceptable. As such, these proposed affordable units are at a potential considerable risk of being lost and not satisfying the “need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years” in “the ward of Cowbridge” – which ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ can do as it is not located in an SLA.

In addition the draft housing trajectory set out that “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”. There is a clear possibility therefore that this proposed allocation is not delivered (as it is located in a SLA), and so a “small scale affordable housing led development” which is needed to “respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities” is not provided for. This is clearly an issue. Given however ‘Land at Ystradowen’ does not sit within a SLA – and so not pose any potential concern or cause any “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area” – the allocation of this site would be more suitable and “safer” - as there would be no concerns over this proposed allocation being removed and/or not being delivered in this respect (as it is not located in a SLA). This would ensure that affordable units, where “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”, are provided for, and the need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years” in “the ward of Cowbridge” would be satisfied.

As mentioned previously, a detailed assessment and critique has now been undertaken of ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ as part evidence base for the Deposit Plan using the similar ‘scoring’ exercise. As such, it is again pertinent to consider and respond to the Council’s ‘scoring’ exercise assessment of the site ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ as part of these representations.

The ‘Summary of Assessment of New Candidate Sites’ table can be seen overleaf for reference:
BP18A Candidate Site Assessment at Deposit Plan Stage
A comparison between the site assessments undertaken for both ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ (on the left), and ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ (on the right) has been undertaken, and can be seen below for reference:

Having undertaken a review of the scoring for both ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ and ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’, it is clear that ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ scores higher/more positively (i.e. green) than ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’:

• ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’: 17/33 criteria are scored green = 52%

• ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’: 12/34 criteria are scored green = 36%

It is clear therefore given the above that ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ is a better site, and should be allocated accordingly.

One key example to note is how the criterion ‘Access to Services and Facilities’ has been scored. For ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ this has been scored green, yet for ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’, this has been scored red. Given this, this corroborates the position outlined previously above that, if the proposed allocated site ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ is considered sustainable and by association suitable to be an Affordable Housing Led Allocation, ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 430 / 4060)’ is equally as sustainable – in fact considered more suitable (given its higher scoring in this respect).

Furthermore, we question the “soundness” of the assessment of ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’, given that 7/34 (21%) of the criteria do not appears to have not been assessed – i.e. 7/34 (21%) of the criteria are scored grey. This raises questions regarding the “soundness” of this site, given it appears this sites acceptability and inclusion was pre-determined.

It is clear therefore that if ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ has been deemed acceptable for allocation, yet ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ scores higher/more positively (i.e. green) than this site, ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ should also be deemed acceptable and be allocated. Not least as the site is “proposed for a small-scale affordable housing led development in a minor rural settlement … would accord in principle with the strategy”, and “could make an important contribution in meeting “a “need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years” in “the ward of Cowbridge”.

Summary and Conclusion

To re-iterate, and to summarise the case made and set out, these representations seek to object to the Deposit Plan published as part of the consultation.

In terms of SECTION 4, and a response to the Candidate Site Assessment at Deposit Plan Stage, the following key points have been made:

• The Council’s ‘Stage 2 Detailed Site Assessment’ justification for ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ is fundamentally incorrect;

• Given the material positive similarities between ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ and ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’, which has been deemed acceptable and allocated, ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ should also be deemed acceptable and allocated accordingly;

• ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ would help to alleviate and satisfy “a need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years” within “the ward of Cowbridge”; and
• ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ scores higher/more positively (i.e. green) than ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’, and so should also be deemed acceptable and be allocated;

Ultimately, ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ is “proposed for a small-scale affordable housing led development in a minor rural settlement”, and as such “would accord in principle with the strategy”. It would therefore “make an important contribution in meeting“ the “need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years” in “the ward of Cowbridge”.

We would therefore object the Council’s assessment that the site is not considered suitable for development.

Summary of These Representations

In short, and to summarise the case made and set out, these representations seek to object to the Housing Trajectory published as part of the consultation on the Draft Housing Trajectory For Housing Stakeholder Group (October 2025) which underpins the Plan and the delivery / realisation of its underlying strategy.

Detailed submissions and objections are raised below in respect to the trajectory information published regarding the soundness and robustness of this information (and it’s consultation), which we do not consider are adequate, robust, or sound to deliver the Plans aims and objectives.

Preface

This Submission sets out the detailed case in support of these representations. The representations are structured as follows:

1. Procedural Consultation Matters;
2. Timing Assumptions underpinning the Trajectory;
3. Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions;;
4. Status & Standing of Sites included in the Trajectory;
5. Key Sites;
6. St Athan Train Station;
7. Geographic distribution of the ‘new’ sites / provision;
8. Detailed comments in respect to ‘new’ sites;
9. Credentials of this site subject to this submission; and
10. Conclusions Procedural Consultation Matters
Firstly, we do not consider that the consultation on the Housing Trajectory information has been procedurally undertaken appropriately or suitably.

Only 14 days have been afforded to parties to make representations on the information provided. This is despite new sites being introduced (at this late stage) i.e. Land South of Clive Road (identified in Table 4), as well as a number of affordable housing-led housing sites being introduced (i.e. those outlined in Table 5). This does not provide an adequate process or timescale for objectors to scrutinise the published content, and to make comments on sites which have been presented for the first time at a late stage in the process.

As part of these representations, we will be making brief comment on the sites which have not been previously consulted upon, namely:
Other Housing Allocations
• Land south of Clive Road, St Athan;

Affordable Housing Led Sites
• Land at Heol Fain, Wick;
• Land west of Maendy Road, Aberthin;
• Land Noth of West Winds Business Park, Fferm Goch; and
• Land to the east of Coliwinston, Colwinston.

It is considered necessary to comment on these sites, given that they form an important and critical part of the housing trajectory, and by association in the Council and Plan reaching their targets. Moreover, these sites have not been consulted on previously. Accordingly we consider it necessary to pass comment on these in order to ensure that the consultation is fair and robust.

As well as limited time given to comment on the information contained within the Housing Trajectory, the LPA have failed to set up a Housing Stakeholder group to agree and discuss the trajectory information and data – with the cover email to the consultation (dated 3rd October 2025) stating “it is considered that it would be the best use of stakeholder time to conduct this engagement via email, particularly as many of the forecasts have been developed in consultation with site promoters including developers and their agents”.

We submit that the stakeholder consultation has not been a transparent nor robust consultation process, given that the Development Plans Manual states at Para 5.66 “A housing trajectory must be prepared to support the Deposit Plan. In order to generate a housing trajectory and associated phasing tables it will be necessary for LPAs to engage with stakeholders through a Housing Stakeholder Group. This will ensure that the timing and phasing of sites is robust and based on up to date information”. Given that this has not taken place, we would raise fundamental concerns that the consultation of the trajectory has not adequately taken place as per the relevant guidance. Afterall, the guidance stresses that a Group should be formed as a necessity. Accordingly, there has not been an adequate process and opportunity to review and comment on the information published, including in respect to the other sites have been introduced at this late stage.

Timing Assumptions underpinning the Trajectory

The assumed and factored in timescales of the various stages of bringing forward sites i.e. the pre-application stage, the planning application process, and the discharge of condition process outlined in the trajectory are considered to be fundamentally inaccurate, and result in a distorted position of the delivery of housing sites over the RLDP Plan period. The assumptions are far too ambitious, and without evidence / are not comparable with the timescales being incurred in processing such stages at the Development Management stage(s).

Specifically, we raise objection to the following timescales which are considered to be extremely ambitious and unrealistic:

• “Time period of pre-application discussions/PAC consultation” = 4 months
• “Time between submission of planning application and determination” = 6 months
• “Time taken from planning consent to the discharge of relevant conditions to enable site construction” = 4 months

In our experience, having submitted a significant number of major and other applications for housing and other forms of development in the last 1-2 years to the Council (and elsewhere in Wales and England), it is extremely unlikely that major applications can be submitted, and planning permissions granted, within the timeframes assumed by the trajectory. A wide range of stakeholders are also involved in the determination of major planning applications, which often adds to the delays associated with the determination of such applications. We would therefore consider that a time period of “6 months” given to all major applications in the housing trajectory is not feasible, and distorts the trajectory timescales for the remaining Plan period.

The assumptions in the trajectory are also solely based on expected timescales for the processing of formal submissions made to the Council, and do not factor in the timescales associated with, and needed for, the preparation of the material for submission (i.e. pre-application enquiry submissions / planning application / discharge of condition details etc). When factored in these will elongate the timescales for bringing forward schemes considerably.

Moreover, it is common practice for larger housing sites and major applications to have a range of pre-commencement conditions attached to a permission once granted. Again, we would raise concerns with the timescales indicated in the trajectory related to this part of the planning process. It is highly unusual and questionable that any technical work required by these conditions (usually relating to drainage and highways matters) would be instructed, completed and submitted within 2 months, and for these to then be signed off / approved in a further 2 months. There are also other technical matters and necessary approvals falling outside of, and over and above, the planning system, such as SAB, s.106, s.38 and s.278 agreements, timescales for which have not been accounted for – and all of which are rarely completed within “4 months” as indicated.

It is therefore highly doubtful that the timescales legislated for in the trajectory for the various stages pre-construction are achievable – with no information about these proposed timescales outlined within the supporting text of the Housing Trajectory. We would therefore raise considerable concerns and objections to these as they stand without full evidence to fully show how these have been calculated, and without there being considerable (and necessary) adjustment to the timescales indicated and factored in.

We would therefore object to the timescales indicted in the ‘Timing and Phasing of Sites’ table, given that the delivery start dates will be pushed back further into the Plan period. Accordingly, and as a result, the Plan is at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated, at least as swiftly as is set out in the trajectory.

Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions

We would also raise considerable doubt over the proposed delivery of the sites identified in the Housing Trajectory - which we do not consider are robust or reasonable.

The development trajectory bar chart set out in the consultation material (extracted below) anticipates and legislates for a number of critical events and circumstances – all of which are considered to be unrobust and unsound.
Extract of Housing Trajectory Graph (annotated by GJP – red dotted line)

Firstly, a large ‘spike’ (material increase) in housing delivery is factored in to take place in 2027 – 2028. This is a marked and pronounced step change in the rate of delivery, and envisages / relies on a significantly higher rate of delivery than previous years in The Vale of Glamorgan (2021 through 2025 - as depicted by the green columns). This is considered extremely unlikely to materialise, not least given prevailing market circumstances, past rates of delivery on the ground, and also in light of levels achieved across Wales and the UK in general.

The published trajectory shows that the average level of completions in The Vale of Glamorgan from 2021 - 2025 has been approx. 400 - 500 units. However, the chart shows that from 2027 – 2028, completions are expected to rise to approx. 1,000 units per year. The expected delivery levels in the trajectory therefore show and assume a doubling in delivery rates and unit numbers (an increase of approx. 100%relative to past rates). There is no clear evidence as to how this level of completions can be achieved let alone guaranteed. This is the case in particular given that the forthcoming years (2025-2027) are expected to see performance (yield) drop significantly (delivery rates in 2025 – 2026 and 2026 – 2027). The chart shows only approx. 200 units being delivered over these years. It is therefore unclear how completion rates are expected to rise so quickly (from 200 in 2025-26 to 1000 in 2027-28), and by such a significant amount. The assumptions in the trajectory are wholly unrobust in our view.
The anticipated delivery of housing also fails to be consistent within and across the Plan period. It is unclear as to why completions rates aren’t spread out more evenly throughout the Plan period - to ensure a robust and most realistic housing trajectory until 2036. By comparison to the marked increase in the rate of delivery between and over the period 2027 to 2031, there is then a marked fall-off or drop in delivery towards and by the end of the Plan period. Indeed, in the final year, the level of completions are expected to be lower than the period 2021-2015.

To summarise, we consider the defined position to be wholly manufactured and unreflective of the past completion rates, as well as the recently published completion rates provided by Welsh Government recently in August 2025. In the Welsh Government Statistics Document ‘’New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’, information on the number of new dwellings started is provided, where building has commenced and those completed for April 2024 to March 2025. Figure 1 provides a graph showing starts in the last 10 years, and it is clear that there has been a general decline in the number of new dwellings started and completed.
Description of Figure 1:.‘New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’
In 2024-25, 4,631 new dwellings were completed, 3% fewer than in the previous year. This was the second lowest number on record, with the lowest number recorded in 2021-22, a year heavily affected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic (in 2021-22, 4,616 new dwellings were completed). The New Housing Pipeline Report Quarter 2, 2025 Report (September, 2025) published by the HBF evidenced that the number of residential units approved in the UK fell by 6% during the second quarter of 2025, continuing the decline of approval during the first three months of the year. Wales saw one of the largest declines in the UK in approvals with a decline of 29%.

Further, the HBF document ‘Increasing Housing Supply in Wales’ (4th September 2025) clearly shows that The Vale of Glamorgan has not met the housing delivery requirements in recent years in 2023 – 2024 – along with every other authority in Wales (except Newport). Accordingly, this further adds to the argument that historically The Vale (and most other authorities) have underprovided. This adds considerable uncertainty on the assumed transformation in yield and delivery as built into the trajectory.
Graph: Housing Delivery as a proportion of annual housing requirement in Wales per Authority

The Home Building Sector Skills Plan (Aug 2025) published by the HBF also identified the following issues with the workforce to bring forward built development in Wales:

• “A shortfall in numbers entering roles from the education system;
• An ageing workforce: 25% of the home building workforce is aged over 50, meaning the sector is facing an impending retirement cliff edge;
• Challenges attracting a wider talent pipeline into the sector;
• A lack of understanding of critical future skills needed, and direction from the Future Homes Standard; and
• Output within the sector fluctuating with demand and economic pressures, leading to additional pressures in recruitment and training”.

It is not considered that in the next 1-2 years that any of these issues can or will be substantially corrected – at least sufficiently so to allow for, and enable, the planned delivery rates of new housing completions to be as high as < > 1,000 homes in one year (and for four consecutive years at that).

We would therefore object to the proposed numbers of completion expected during the Plan period, given that there are a number of issues with delivering housing in Wales and given past completions rates for The Vale of Glamorgan. Again, this results in the Plan being at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated.

Status & Standing of Sites included in the Trajectory

The proposed land supply within the housing trajectory includes provision for ‘rolled forward’ LDP sites, which contribute to the total of ‘Proposed Additional Housing Allocations’ forming part of the housing supply. Specifically, a total of 1,242no. units have been identified as additional housing allocations, of which 959no. are expected to be delivered on the rolled forward LDP sites. As such, these sites are to provide for a significant proportion of additional housing in the Plan period (specifically circa 77%).

The Development Plans Manual (DPM) sets out that allocations rolled forward from a previous plan will require careful justification for inclusion in a revised plan. The DPM outlines that “there will need to be a substantial change in circumstances to demonstrate sites can be delivered and justify being included again. Clear evidence will be required that such sites can be delivered.” The below table included in the consultation document provides a breakdown of the rolled forward LDP sites, and in particular, sets out the status of each site:
Table 6: Existing LDP allocations to be carried forward
The above table evidences that the current LDP has under delivered in regard to its targeted unit number of the Plan period, given that these sites did not yield any housing over the current plan period. This is further exacerbated by the Land Bank sites that have also not delivered any housing across the existing LDP period, amounting to 1,860no units. Accordingly, when considering the non-delivery of both rolled forward LDP sites and Land Bank sites, this amounts to an approximate shortfall of 2,189 homes being delivered, or 33% of the total housing supply identified for the current LDP (8,525no. dwellings).

It is therefore considered that, as a minimum, the units carried over from the LDP (without planning permission) should be a surplus to the housing supply proposed for the RLDP, as opposed to being relied on to deliver the housing need over the Plan period. This is particularly the case for the two sites (Land to the west of Pencoedtre Lane, and Land between Northern Access Road and Eglwys Brewis Road) which do not currently have any active planning application submitted for their development. These sites total an amount of 370no. units to be delivered in the Plan period, which represents more than a third of the additional housing allocations to make up the housing supply.

As such, it is considered that the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP is still present – indeed it has grown, and will continue to do so, not least when considered in conjunction with the projected population growth over the coming years to 2036, and the aspirations for growth in the Plan’s strategy.

Accordingly, in order to secure the targeted level of housing, a greater level of provision for new allocations should be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. This would bring about better certainty that the housing requirement is met by the housing supply over the Plan period, not least given that the current Plan failed in this respect. Without a re-apportioning of the housing supply, it is considered that the Plan would heavily rely on the contingency (i.e. rolled forward LDP sites) coming forward in the Plan period, yet there is uncertainty that these will yield in full over the new Plan period. This raises issues of ‘’soundness’’, and risks rendering the Plan unrobust.

On this basis, we would object to the Plan if the provision of housing is not adjusted to rebalance the provision to include new allocations in lieu of rolled forward LDP sites in the housing supply.
Key Sites

As set out in previous representations at Preferred Strategy stage, it is considered that the housing supply relies heavily on the delivery of the ‘key sites’ to deliver housing (and meet need) over the Plan period. The total number of housing units attributed to key sites amounts to 2,278, which equates to over 25% of the total provision in the Plan period.

As detailed above, we consider there to be concerns regarding the proposed ‘Timing and Phasing of Sites’ table included in the Housing Trajectory which we consider are not reflective or accurate and will therefore have the effect of delivery start dates being much later into the Plan period than anticipated. The result of this will be that the Plan will be at risk of not delivery the level of housing expected and needed. Moreover, the Housing Trajectory Graph presents an overly ambitious level of housing completions over the Plan period - which the Council consider will be markedly higher than the average levels experienced in the last five years. Again, for the reasons set out above, we consider that these rates of expected completions to have no evidence supporting them, and to be unachievable and unsound.

Insofar as to the removal of the previously proposed site ‘Land at North East Barry’, this site was expected to deliver 900no. units in the Plan period. Following its omission from the housing supply, other sites have been identified, which comprises the inclusion of a new key site (Land at North West Barry), 3no. non-strategic sites, and also affordable housing-led allocations. In terms of the quantum of development attributed to these new sites, this amounts to 659no. dwellings. This is some 250 units less than the 900no. homes that was previously attributed to ‘Land at North East Barry’. Whilst it is appreciated that the number of homes forming part of the existing supply (completions, units with planning permission etc.) have increased since Preferred Strategy stage, there will be a net loss in market housing provision and delivery.

This position is made worse and compounded as a result of accounting for the affordable-led sites in making up the housing supply.

As set out within the Preferred Strategy, these sites are expected to deliver at least 51% affordable housing. These units are not open market units, and will not / cannot contribute to the supply of such housing. These units will contribute to the provision of affordable housing, and will go some way to meeting the acute need for such housing (albeit will not eradicate / address in full the well known and accepted considerable requirement). Accordingly it is considered that these sites should be in addition to the housing supply, as opposed to forming part of the provision. In turn, there would need to be an increase in allocations for non-strategic sites, to ensure that there is sufficient market housing delivery over the Plan period.

Were such changes to be made and introduced, this would achieve and assist realise a more robust and sound housing supply, which will ensure that the identified housing need is met / addressed over the Plan period. Without these changes it is considered that the housing supply is not sufficient, and inevitably, housing need will not be met within the Plan.

St Athan Train Station

As set out in the Preferred Strategy (para A3.29), the strategy seeks to focus development around key sustainable transport nodes. The strategy outlined that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. Accordingly, in line with the spatial strategy adopted for the RLDP (i.e. focus development around sustainable transport nodes), St Athan was identified as a ‘Strategic Opportunity Area’ to accommodate strategic growth – through the proposed allocation of two key sites : ‘Land at Church Farm’ and ‘Land West of St Athan’. These sites have been identified to deliver 532no. and 600no. units respectively in the Plan period. These are separate to, and are in addition to, the 51no. units that have now been attributed to the site ‘Land South of Clive Road’ in St Athan. Accordingly, in total, the Housing Trajectory makes a provision for a total of 1,183no. homes to be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period.

It is now the case that, subsequent to the publication of the Preferred Strategy, the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales. The focus in the first phase of such improvements across the region is towards improving connectivity in east Cardiff, Newport, and Magor. Accordingly, it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period, which significantly questions the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

The strategy to allocate new housing growth is predicated on focusing residential development around sustainable transport nodes, and given that St Athan will be without any railway station in the Plan period, it is not considered that these sites align with the strategy of the RLDP. Accordingly, the wider Housing Trajectory is considered to be unsound, given that a total of 1,183no. homes are expected to be delivered in St Athan within the Plan period.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add a further site for housing in this location over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites - given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

We therefore consider the Trajectory to be both unrobust and unsound, and therefore, we object to the Trajectory in its current form accordingly.

Geographic distribution of the ‘new’ sites / provision

As a general and overarching comment in respect to the additional sites now included within the Plan, and forming part of the trajectory, (and a matter expanded upon when critiquing each of these sites in the next section to this submission), it is clear and evident that these additional sites have been positioned to settlements that have already, and recently, been attributed significant growth in the preceding Plan and plan period.

Significant allocations (which have also contributed to significant levels of affordable housing) have been realised and built out in locations such as Wick and Colwinston). Notwithstanding this, two of the additional sites are now proposed for these recently expanded settlements. Given that the purpose of the affordable housing led allocations is to meet unmet affordable housing need, it is questioned why such new allocations are attributed to settlements that have already seen open market and affordable housing provision, as compared to other comparable settlements that have not received any growth whatsoever over a considerable period of time.

It is considered accordingly that the geographic positioning of these allocations is at odds with their underlying purpose - to meet unmet affordable housing need in communities that have seen no provision.
Detailed Comments in respect to ‘new’ sites

Other Housing Allocations

Land south of Clive Road, St Athan

A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below for ease:
As set out at the outset of these representations, and whilst we note the findings of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage (i.e. Suitable for further consideration), we do not consider that the consultation on this site has been undertaken procedurally appropriately or suitably. We therefore consider the consultation on this site is “unrobust” and “unsound”.
As set out previously, the strategy seeks to focus development around key sustainable transport nodes. The strategy outlined that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. It is now the case that, subsequent to the publication of the Preferred Strategy, the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales, where the focus is towards improving connectivity in east Cardiff, Newport, and Magor. Accordingly, it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period, which significantly questions the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision, and as such, to add a further site for housing over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites – given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

Affordable Housing Led Allocations

Land at Heol Fain, Wick
A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below for ease:
Candidate Site Stage 2 Assessment (Site Ref. 404)
The findings of the Candidate Site Assessment for this site are noted. We are assuming the reason this site is proposed to be allocated is a product of the site promoters/developers heading the findings stated below, and changing the form of development to be in accord with this:
“A market housing led scheme would not be acceptable, but the site could be reconsidered as a small scale affordable housing led development subject to need and viability at a maximum of 50 dwellings. In accordance with the Settlement Appraisal Review, it is considered that Wick could potentially accommodate limited affordable housing led growth.”

Whilst no clearly evident deficiency exists in respect to the site, it is known that Wick has been subject to significant growth and expansion in recent years – not least by virtue of significant housing allocations in the settlement as part of previous plans.

To evidence this, 35% of the 124 units approved on the ‘Rectory Field, St Brides Road’ site (i.e. circa 43 units as per site allocation ref. MG(47) and PP ref. 2014/01424/FUL) were approved as Affordable Housing units. This makes a substantial provision of such Affordable Housing units (and housing generally) in the settlement in recent years.

Other similarly sized and comparable settlements and locations have not by contrast been subject to any growth for some considerable time, and accordingly would warrant and benefit from provision as part of this new replacement plan.

Notwithstanding the location of such provision, and as set out in detail at the outset of these representations, National Planning Policy advocates the high and acute need for affordable housing, whilst recent analysis evidences that there is a housing emergency. These circumstances - coupled with the shortcomings identified and set out earlier in these submissions in respect to the adequacy of provision within the plan (rolled forward sites / inadequate provision etc) – means that notwithstanding any potential allocation at Wick, further provision ought to be made in comparable (previously unprovided for) locations, such as Ystradowen.
Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin

‘Land West of Maendy Road’ has been registered as an Affordable Housing Led Allocation candidate site for the RLDP, however as far as we know from our review, there is no assessment and critique of this site. This site has not been included in the ‘Candidate Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage’ (October 2023). As such, with an absence of publicly available information, it is not clear how the Council has judged this site against the criteria. This raises questions accordingly in respect to the “soundness” of a site which forms part of the intended housing land supply, and by association the trajectory. Without this, and without being consulted on (as others have been prior to this) we question whether this allocation is “sound” (i.e. its allocation is considered to be “unsound”).

Despite the absence of site-specific assessment criteria, as the RLDP preferred strategy states a key objective guiding site selection is that the Plan will “provide for vital and vibrant rural communities whilst protecting the countryside through the delivery of growth in sustainable locations related to the settlement hierarchy alongside the provision of supporting infrastructure” (Objective 7 ‘Fostering Diverse Vibrant and Connected Communities’), it is reasonable to assume that the Council considers ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ to be a ‘sustainable’ location.

Given this, we have reviewed the key services in proximity to the site. The following services were identified:

• In terms of public transport, there are two bus stops located approximately 0.2 miles (4-minute walk) from the site (‘Land West of Maendy Road’), with the 321 providing services between Llantwit Major and Talbot Green.

• The site is also located 0.2 miles (4-minute walk) from The Farmers Arms Pub and 0.2 miles (4-minute walk) from The Hare and Hounds Inn.

• The site is located 0.2 miles (5-minute walk) from Aberthin Village Hall.

Aberthin is in close proximity (1.2 miles/14-minute walk) to the key settlement of Cowbridge - which is identified as a sustainable location, and is ranked 4th place for services and facilities within the Vale of Glamorgan. The following key services are found in Cowbridge, and are therefore in close proximity to ‘Land West of Maendy Road’:

• Cowbridge Comprehensive Schools;
• Cowbridge Health Centre; and
• Cowbridge Town Centre for various Retail Services.

Considering this, there is no material difference between ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ and ‘Land at Ystradowen’ in sustainability terms. Given that Ystradowen is located only 2.7 miles from Cowbridge (9- minute bus journey), the candidate site at ’Land at Ystradowen’ is no less sustainable than the site at Aberthin. The following key services are within Ystradowen and therefore in close proximity to the promoted site:

• In terms of public transport, there are two bus stops located approximately 400m (7-minute walk) from the site (‘Ty Mawr Close’), with the ‘321 Nat Group Service’ providing services between Llantwit Major and Talbot Green. The 321 service is the same bus service that serves ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ / Aberthin.
• The site is also located 300m (3-minute walk) and 600m (10-minute walk) from Sports Pitches/Playing Fields such as ‘Ystradowen Children’s Park’, and the 3/4G Sports Pitch at ‘Ystradowen Petanque Club’.

• Furthermore, the site is located 480m (7-minute walk) from the ‘Murco – Tudor Garage’ which can provide basic goods to meet day-today needs such as bread, butter, milk etc.

Accordingly, it can be considered therefore that if the proposed allocated site ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin’ is considered sustainable and by association suitable to be an Affordable Housing Led Allocation, ‘Land at Ystradowen’ is equally suitable to be an Affordable Housing Led Allocation.
Furthermore, to reinforce the above position and to illustrate and evidence the site’s sustainability, the following has been taken from the Officer’s Reports associated with the applications for the site that directly adjoins the western boundary of the promoted site 430 - ‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’ (Housing Allocation 48). An aerial view extract is outlined below to give spatial context:
Reference is made in the Final Report of app ref. 2013/00856/OUT which states that “Ystradowen is considered a sustainable settlement for further housing development”, due to “the sustainable nature of the settlement”.

Furthermore, the Final Report of app ref. 2023/00948/FUL states:

• “Notwithstanding this, the site is located in close proximity to local services and there is a bus stop located nearby. Whilst the comments relating to the reliance and frequency of the bus services have been considered, there still remains a bus service in the area.”
• “Firstly, as aforementioned, many neighbouring comments refer to the site as unsustainable and have commented on the suitability of public transport and cycle routes etc. This has been addressed above.”

The above clearly evidences that the location has previously been endorsed as, and is currently still found to be, sustainable.

A further key consideration to note and one which does differentiate between the relative merits of the ‘Land at Maendy Road, Aberthin’ and ‘Land at Ystradowen’ is that the LDP Proposals Map demonstrates that ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ is within a Special Landscape Area - see overleaf:
Vale of Glamorgan Proposals Map (Land West of Maendy Road outlined in red)
Under Policy MG17 ‘Special Landscape Areas’ it is considered that development in SLA could pose an “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area”. Accordingly, this development and proposed allocation could therefore cause “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area”.

‘Land at Ystradowen’ by contrast does not sit within a SLA (see below). This site would therefore not pose any potential concern in this respect as it would ultimately not cause any “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area”.
Vale of Glamorgan Proposals Map (Land at Ystradowen in red)

This is a significant factor to consider. ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin’ causing “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area” will lead to this proposed allocation being at risk of not being delivered by virtue of detailed assessments of its impacts and acceptability at planning application stage holding that the landscape and visual impact of development of the site is unacceptable. As such 25 affordable units will be lost from the proposed affordable 122 units, and ultimately being lost from the overall housing land supply. As stated in the draft housing trajectory “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”. There is a clear possibility therefore that this proposed allocation is not delivered (as it is located in a SLA), and so a “small scale affordable housing led development” which is needed to “respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities” is not provided for. This is clearly an issue. Given however ‘Land at Ystradowen’ does not sit within a SLA – and so not pose any potential concern or cause any “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area” – the allocation of this site would be more suitable and “safer” - as therefore would be no concerns over this proposed allocation being removed and/or not being delivered in this respect (as it is not located in a SLA). This would ensure that affordable units, where “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”, are provided for. As such the proposed housing trajectory would be maintained.
Land North of West Winds Business Park, Fferm Goch

The below sets out the candidate site stage two assessment of ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’:

Candidate Site Stage 2 Assessment (Site Ref. 398)
As can be seen above, the site was not considered suitable for further consideration, with the site scoring negatively (red) in respect to a number of key factors. These include the following:

• Access to Retail;
• Access to Health Services;
• Sustainable Transport- Public Transport;
• Access/ Proximity to services and facilities conclusion;
• Climate Change; and
• Health and Wellbeing.

Given the fact the site scores red in ‘Sustainable Transport – Public Transport’, this shows the site is not served by public transport connections within 800m, as outlined in the key below:
Additionally, Policy SP7 (Sustainable Transport) of the Vale of Glamorgan Preferred Strategy states “New development must support an enhanced transport network that increases the proportion of journeys being undertaken by sustainable travel modes”. Additionally Objective 8 (Promoting Active and Sustainable Travel Choices) states “new development is directed to locations that are or can be accessible by a choice of modes of transport, including walking, cycling, and public transport.”

It is well known that residents of affordable housing are statistically less likely to own private vehicles, making access to reliable and frequent public transport essential for ensuring equitable mobility. The provision of public transport infrastructure in close proximity to such developments is therefore a critical component in supporting access to employment, education, healthcare, and other key services, while also promoting sustainable travel patterns and social inclusion.

The site also scores red in respect to Access/Proximity to services, showing the site is greater than 1200m away from key services, as seen in the key below:
In respect of the above, Preferred Strategy 6.40 states the need “To ensure that new development takes place in locations that have the best access to a wide range of services, facilities, and employment opportunities, whilst minimising the need to travel, the distribution of growth is guided by the following settlement hierarchy”. To further highlight the importance of both sustainable transport and proximity to services, the preferred strategy also states the need to “Facilitate the development of adaptable, accessible, well-connected communities that have a strong sense of identity, offer a sustainable range of services and facilities and are equipped with adequate infrastructure”. In addition, Promoting Active and Sustainable Travel Choices outlines to “Promote and encourage the use of sustainable methods of travel, particularly active modes of transport, whilst simultaneously reducing the need to travel”.

In light of the above, this site does not align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy, as it fails to meet several key development goals set out. It should therefore not be considered suitable to be allocated for future developments. Its inclusion is therefore unsound.

Should this view be concurred with, 22 affordable units will be lost from the proposed affordable 122 units, and ultimately will be lost from the overall housing land supply. As stated in the draft housing trajectory “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”. There is a clear possibility therefore that this proposed allocation is removed and/or not delivered as its inclusion is unsound as it does not align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy - as it fails to meet several key development goals set out. A “small scale affordable housing led development” which is needed to “respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities” will therefore not be provided for. This is clearly an issue.

When comparing this with ‘Land at Ystradowen’, the following is set out:

Access to Services and Facilities

This criterion has been assessed firstly on the location of the site proposal in terms of whether it is located within, adjacent to, or outside a settlement, and secondly the ease of pedestrian and cycle access to key services listed below.
With reference to the above:

• In terms of public transport, there are two bus stops located approximately 400m (7-minute walk) from the site (‘Ty Mawr Close’), with the ‘321 Nat Group Service’ providing services between Llantwit Major and Talbot Green.

• The site is also located 300m (3-minute walk) and 600m (10-minute walk) from Sports Pitches/Playing Fields such as ‘Ystradowen Children’s Park’, and the 3/4G Sports Pitch at ‘Ystradowen Petanque Club’.

• Furthermore, the site is located 480m (7-minute walk) from the ‘Murco – Tudor Garage’ which can provide basic goods to meet day-today needs such as bread, butter, milk etc.

These services and facilities are therefore well within the best category (i.e. categorised/scored as ‘green’) - within 800m of site (10-minute walk). Accordingly, the site therefore has good access to services and facilities.

Furthermore, the settlement of Ystradowen has been ranked highly in the VoG Sustainable Settlements Appraisal, scoring a total of 14 points according to the distance to key services and facilities available. This places Ystradowen 26th out of a total of 87 settlements. As a result, this would be deemed a suitable area to accommodate growth.

As stated above the key settlement of Cowbridge is located in close proximity being only 2.7 miles to the south and a 9- minute bus journey. Cowbridge is identified as a sustainable location, and is ranked 4th place for services and facilities within the Vale of Glamorgan. The following key services are found in Cowbridge, and are therefore in close proximity to ‘Land West of Maendy Road’:

• Cowbridge Comprehensive Schools;
• Cowbridge Health Centre; and
• Cowbridge Town Centre for various Retail Services.

Furthermore, it is important to note that the above criteria does not take into account the important role and proximity of the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area (as defined in the RCTCBC LDP) of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant which is 2.8 miles to the north (14-minute bus journey). Ystradowen would also naturally align, and function, in association with this Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area (of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant). These areas comprise for example the following key services:

• Cowbridge and ‘Y Pant’ Comprehensive Schools;
• Cowbridge Health Centre and Old School Surgery; and
• Cowbridge Town Centre, and Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant (Strategic Growth Area), for various Retail Services.

Given the above, ‘Land at Ystradowen’ does/should align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy as it meets several of the key development goals set out. Its inclusion should therefore, in our view, be considered “sound” and therefore suitable to be allocated for future developments. The site should properly and appropriately be allocated in lieu of ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’ – the inclusion of which is “unsound”. ‘Land at Ystradowen’ would therefore ensure that affordable units, where “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”, are provided for. As such the proposed housing trajectory would be maintained.
Land to the East of Colwinston, Colwinston

A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below:

As outlined above, the site was rejected and considered not suitable for further consideration. In fact, and unlike ‘Land at Heol Fain, Wick’ and ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’ it was stated that this site “could not be considered as a suitable affordable housing led development site”. Despite this, this site is identified to be allocated as an Affordable Housing Led Allocation. As such, the inclusion of this site is “unsound”.

It is known that Colwinston has been subject to significant housing allocations in the settlement as part of previous plans. To evidence this, 25% of the 64 units (i.e. 16 units) were approved on the site allocation ref. MG2(41) and PP ref. 2014/00242/FUL. This makes a substantial provision of such Affordable Housing units (and housing generally) in the settlement in recent years.
Other similarly sized and comparable settlements and locations have not by contrast been subject to any growth for some considerable time, and accordingly would warrant and benefit from provision as part of this new replacement plan.

Notwithstanding the location of such provision, and as set out in detail at the outset of these representations, National Planning Policy advocates the high and acute need for affordable housing, whilst recent analysis evidences that there is a housing emergency. These circumstances - coupled with the shortcomings identified and set out earlier in these submissions in respect to the adequacy of provision within the plan (rolled forward sites / inadequate provision etc) – means that notwithstanding any potential allocation at Colwinston, further provision ought to be made in comparable (previously unprovided for) locations, such as Ystradowen.
Credentials of this site subject to this submission

There has been a significant change in the position and circumstances since the promoted site herein was assessed at Candidate Site Stage and the Assessment undertaken. The Stage 2 Assessment of the site concluded the following: ‘Whilst adjoining the existing LDP settlement boundary this is by virtue of an existing adopted plan LDP allocation this is currently under review. Notwithstanding this the site would represent unacceptable intrusion in to the open countryside.’
The assessment/conclusion implies that as this site (‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’) has not been built out and is “currently under review”, it suggests that ‘Land at Ystradowen’ (430) does not adjoin the existing LDP settlement boundary. Given recent developments however associated with the implementation of the planning permission ref. 2023/00948/FUL (post approval on 9th December 2024) and the site being currently being “built out” and work commencing on site, the site no longer adjoins “the existing LDP settlement boundary … by virtue of an existing adopted plan LDP allocation … currently under review”. Accordingly, and given this, the ‘Land at Ystradowen’ site boundary therefore directly adjoins/is adjoining the LDP settlement boundary and the site promoted herein.
The following specific photo evidences ‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’ (Housing Allocation 48) is being built out the western boundary of the promoted Site ID 430. This therefore clearly highlights that the site’s boundary is representing the existing settlement limit in the existing development plan. Accordingly, the ‘Land at Ystradowen’ site boundary therefore directly adjoins/is adjoining the existing LDP settlement boundary.
Summary of These Representations

To re-iterate, and to summarise the case made and set out, these representations seek to object to the Housing Trajectory published as part of the consultation on the Draft Housing Trajectory For Housing Stakeholder Group (October 2025) which underpins the Plan and the delivery / realisation of its underlying strategy.

Detailed submissions and objections are raised above in respect to the trajectory information published regarding the soundness and robustness of this information (and it’s consultation), which we do not consider are adequate, robust, or sound to deliver the Plans aims and objectives.

ANNEX 1
Preface

This Annex sets out the detailed case in support of these representations, and by association the case for allocation of the site.

The representations are structured into the following sections:

1. Response to the Deposit Plan;
2. Comments on specific policies; and
3. A summary of the suitability of the site for development.

SECTION 1. Response to the Deposit Plan

Distribution of Growth

We object to the distribution of growth within the Deposit Plan. Specifically, we object to the strategy that underpins the Deposit Plan, which seeks to introduce the proposed ‘Strategic Growth Area’ which is expected to contain the majority of housing growth in the Vale over the Plan period, or rather the over-reliance on this defined area, and the associated absence of growth in other parts of the Plan area.

As outlined in our previous representations, the allocation of housing and the location of strategic growth neglects the Rural Vale, and in our view, overprovides in the Strategic Growth Area. For example, with limited housing stock and average house sales at over £500,000 over the last 12 months, there is a clear and established need for new homes in the Ystradowen area, particularly at an affordable level. This is reinforced by the Local Housing Market Assessment that identified a need for over 1,114 new affordable homes per annum over the next five years throughout the county, and 196 units per annum thereafter (average of 502 units per annum over 15 years). Further to this, it is widely known that the rural Vale comprises the majority of the county’s ageing population, which, as a demographic, has and will continue to grow rapidly over the Plan period. This is evident in the ‘Population Change’ chart below – which is taken from the Deposit Plan:
VofG Deposit Plan: Figure 4 Population Change 2011 to 2021

It is clearly the case that younger populations are migrating to other Authorities, where access to housing is typically cheaper and more affordable, whilst more older populations are significantly migrating into the Authority. This trend will result in an extremely unbalanced demographic, given that the working-age population have sought housing elsewhere.

Without a suitable supply of affordable housing delivered over the Plan period, this trend will only worsen. Accordingly, it is not considered that the RLDP takes into account the lack of supply of affordable homes within the rural Vale, as well as increased housing to support the growing ageing population within these areas.

Para 3.19 of the Deposit Plan clearly outlines that affordable housing is required in the short term, in order to meet pressing needs. Specifically, it outlines the following: “There is significant pressure on temporary accommodation in the Vale, for a variety of reasons including increased homelessness presentations… The need for sufficient permanent affordable housing to assist in moving people out of temporary accommodation is critical and the planning system has a vital role in assisting in new affordable housing delivery.”
Accordingly, the distribution of growth within the Authority must be proportionate, to ensure that populations / areas are not left behind where they must seek access to housing elsewhere.

The RLDP Sustainable Growth Strategy sets out 6 objectives. Objective 4 states: “Allowing for small scale affordable housing led development in settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area at a scale proportionate to the size of settlement.” (Page 66)
Para 5.25 states “Therefore, a key part of the strategy is to allow for affordable housing led developments within sustainable primary and minor rural settlements outside of the Strategic Growth Area, at a scale that is appropriate to the size of the community it is serving. An ‘affordable housing led’ scheme is one where a minimum of 50% of the dwellings would need to be affordable, although this could increase to a maximum of 100% if the site is brought forward by a social landlord”.

In terms of the definition / explanation of what the affordable housing-led development sites are seeking to achieve, paragraph 6.132 of the Deposit Plan outlines the following:

“Accordingly, to ensure that new developments respond to the high demand for smaller properties, as identified in the LHMA, priority will be given to affordable homes that are small to medium-sized, typically comprising one to three bedrooms. Representations received from the local community through the RLDP process also highlighted a desire for new housing developments to offer opportunities for accessing smaller market homes. This is particularly relevant in the rural Vale, where housing choices are more limited. Providing smaller, more affordable market homes may assist first-time buyers and enable older residents to downsize to more manageable properties within their local area. Affordable housing-led sites will therefore need to demonstrate that an appropriate range of both affordable and market dwellings has been provided.”

Despite the acknowledgement within this strategic objective, we do not consider that the RLDP goes far enough to meet this objective, nor are its provisions and allocations adequate.

It is considered that this objective is undermined by the allocations set out by the RLDP (not least the absence of allocations in the rural Vale). Notwithstanding the Vision’s clear acknowledgement of the benefit of the growth of the rural Vale, these areas have not been supported through the plan due to the lack of growth which has been attributed to these areas in terms of further housing, employment and sustainable transport. All growth options have been selected on the basis of being in either a Key Settlement, Service Centre Settlement or Primary Settlement, all of which are already sustainable areas served by rail. As a result, it is not clear how this objective can be achieved, without the allocation of further sites within the Minor Rural Settlements, such as Ystradowen. The Vale is characteristically ‘rural’, and as such, there needs to be a stronger emphasis on supporting and delivering new development in order to bolster the rural economy. This includes enabling opportunities to provide employment and business premises within / near to rural settlements, as well as focusing housing growth in these areas to reduce travel time, and promote the use of sustainable transport.

It is considered that the current Strategy does not provide adequately for all residents across the Vale, only those within the Strategic Growth Area. The underlying Vision and Objectives set out in the emerging Plan are accordingly wholly un-provided for by the detail of the Plan. This brings into question the “soundness” of the Plan.

The Strategic Growth Area does not take into account the important role and proximity of Bridgend to the West and/or the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant to the north (as defined in the RCTCBC LDP). The Minor Rural Settlements to the west are more likely to be supported by job opportunities and employment in Bridgend than further east in Barry or Cardiff. Similarly, those in the north align with, and function in association with, the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant to the north. These settlements are served by existing bus services that provide sustainable modes of travel to key employment locations in and around Bridgend. This is acknowledged in Paragraph 3.3 of the Strategy which states “The greatest number of residents who travel outside of the Vale for work purposes travel to Cardiff followed by Bridgend and Rhondda Cynon Taf, whilst a smaller proportion commute into the Vale from these neighbouring authorities”. The Demographic Evidence (Feb 2023) estimates the Vale as being a net importer of workers from RCT and Caerphilly (Para 3.6) - as shown in Figure 10 in the Preferred Strategy.

The current Strategy does not support any improvement of sustainable travel or further investment in settlements linked more closely to these areas - given that Growth has been apportioned in only the Key Service Centre and Primary Settlements. It is considered that this will fail to support and facilitate the current (and any future) employment coming into the Vale, nor will it support any employment which is located outside of the Vale to the West and North. The Growth Option is too heavily reliant on access to railway stations as the key and sole sustainable transport method, whereas access to bus services should also be appropriately assessed and focused on in terms of promoting sustainable development. It is unreasonable to devise a strategy that hinges on directing growth to areas that are accessible to railway facilities, where it is recognised in the Plan that the Vale is inherently rural. The delivery and soundness of the Plan is therefore questioned and we continue to object to the spatial growth strategy as set out in the Deposit Plan.

Housing Supply

RLDP Allocations - Key Sites

As set out in representations made throughout the Plan preparation process, we consider that the Plan is too reliant on the delivery of ‘key sites’ to meet the housing need over the Plan period. Specifically, the Plan makes provision for 2,278 units in these Key Sites, which equates to circa 65% of RLDP allocations in the housing supply. The 5 key sites that are allocated in the Deposit Plan are as follows:

• Land at North West Barry – 376no. units;
• North of Dinas Powys – 250no. units;
• Land at Readers Way, Rhoose – 520no. units;
• Land at Church Farm, St Athan – 532no. units; and
• Land to the West of St Athan – 600no. units.

We object to the current housing supply to allocate 2,278no. (65%) of units across strategic sites, as this makes for a risky and unrobust strategy for delivering housing, and in turn, meeting the identified housing need over the Plan period.

As stated in previous representations, there is concern that the proposed timing and phasing of the proposed Key Sites is unrealistic and unrobust, and in turn, undermines the soundness of the Plan, given the heavy reliance on Key Sites delivering new homes across the Plan period. Whilst it is not disputed that the sites would have gone through rigorous assessment to inform their proposed allocation, the timescales for securing planning permission (with all associated conditions discharged) is considered to be unachievable. This is particularly the case for the following timescales that are set out in the Housing Trajectory that underpin the Plan:

• “Time period of pre-application discussions/PAC consultation” – 4 months
• “Time between submission of planning application and determination” – 6 months
• “Time taken from planning consent to the discharge of relevant conditions to enable site construction” – 4 months

It is considered that the above timescales are fundamentally unrobust, and result in a distorted position of housing sites over the RLDP Plan period. It is not considered that these reflect or are informed by the timescales that are currently being incurred for planning applications submitted for major housing sites across Wales. It is rather the case that such applications would typically be determined 1-2 years following submission, given that there are a wide range of stakeholders involved in the determination of major planning applications – which often adds to the delays associated with the determination of such applications.

It is equally the case that the assumptions in the trajectory are solely based on expected timescales for processing formal submissions made to the Council, and do not factor in the timescales associated with, and needed for, the preparation of the material for submission.

It is assumed that these timescales have not considered that such major developments can be subject to the need to undertaking and submitting an Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA), which adds another layer to the determination of any planning application – given the additional considerations that form part of this process. As such, any site subject to EIA would very likely result in further delays extending beyond the timescales set out in the trajectory. Equally, as set out above, the preparation of an application subject to an EIA requires even more detail and assessment, which only further adds to the preparation stage (which has not been factored into as part of the trajectory). Accordingly, it is not considered that the trajectory contains any contingency if any site is required to undertake EIA as part of their application.

For the reasons stated above, it is unlikely that the sites will yield in full, particularly those sites which are expected to deliver housing right up to the final year of the Plan period (‘Land at Readers Way’ and ‘Land to the West of St Athan’). These sites do not allow for any ‘slippage’ should any delays arise through the development management process (which for the reasons set out above, will very likely be the case), and as such, a gap in housing delivery will be brought about as a result of these sites not yielding in full.

Given the proposed ambitious timescales set out for the delivery of the Key Sites, it is considered the housing trajectory is unrobust, and in turn, undermines the soundness of the Plan as a result. A change in strategy should be pursued whereby a greater proportion of small to medium sites are allocated for housing in the Plan period, which are more likely to fully yield given that such sites are subject to less assessment and consideration compared to strategic sites. This would make for a more robust strategy, where a greater number of small to medium sites can deliver housing in the short and medium term of the Plan period, whereas the strategic sites represent a more longer-term strategy to deliver housing – which would then spill into the next Plan period.

Accordingly, we object to the Deposit Plan in its current form, where there is an overreliance on housing need to be met through the delivery of the Key Sites, which we consider to be unrobust, and undermine the integrity and soundness of the Plan. The current strategy of the Plan is at significant risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated, as least as swifty as identified in the housing trajectory. Should no change be made to the Plan to address the above issues, then it is extremely likely that the Plan would ‘fail’ in meeting the identified housing need.

Windfall Sites

It is noted that the RLDP is made up of the following:

• Existing land supply (3,838 units)
• Windfall sites (1,303 units)
• Allocated sites (3,521 units)

Para 6.69 states that “Analysis of historical delivery of housing indicates that on average small windfall sites (sites of less than 10 dwellings) have provided some 53 dwelling completions per year, and large windfall sites (10 dwellings or greater) contributed on average 80 dwellings per year. Overall, it is projected that windfall sites could contribute a further 1,303 dwellings over the remainder of the plan”.

As set out in our previous representations to the Housing Trajectory, we would object to the expected numbers of completions expected during the Plan period, given that there are a number of issues with delivering housing in Wales and given past completions rates for The Vale of Glamorgan – which is discussed in greater detail later in this submission. Again, this results in the Plan being at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated – including any windfall sites.

St Athan Train Station

The RLDP Sustainable Growth Strategy comprises six key elements, of which the following is set out in respect to the allocation of new housing growth in the Authority:

“3. Focusing development at locations that are well served by existing and proposed rail stations as part of the South Wales Metro and in areas with good bus links.”

The strategy outlines that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken in 2022, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. Accordingly, in line with the spatial strategy adopted for the RLDP (i.e. focus development around sustainable transport nodes), St Athan was identified as a ‘Strategic Opportunity Area’ to accommodate strategic growth – through the proposed allocation of two key sites : ‘Land at Church Farm’ and ‘Land West of St Athan’. These sites have been identified to deliver 532no. and 600no. units respectively in the Plan period. These are separate to, and are in addition to, the 51no. units that have now been attributed to the site ‘Land South of Clive Road’ and 80no. units attributed to ‘Former Stadium Site, adjacent to Burley Place’ in St Athan. Accordingly, in total, the Housing Trajectory makes a provision for a total of 1,263no. homes to be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period.

It is now the case, however, that the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales – as confirmed in the ‘Today, Tomorrow, Together: A vision for rail across Wales and Borders’ (February 2026) recently published by Transport For Wales. This paper acknowledges that a new railway station at St Athan would represent a longer term opportunity, and therefore, will not be delivered in the short term / within the Plan period of the emerging Plan. Equally the Council have not provided any evidence to contradict this, and therefore, it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period. This brings about significant questions regarding the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

The strategy to allocate new housing growth is predicated on focusing residential development around sustainable transport nodes, and given that St Athan will be without any railway station in the Plan period, it is not considered that the sites align with the strategy of the RLDP. Accordingly, the wider Housing Trajectory is considered to be unsound, given that a total of 1,263no. homes (36% of the Plan’s new housing allocations) are expected to be delivered in St Athan within the Plan period.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add further sites for housing in this location over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites - given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

In terms of the expected delivery of the Key Sites in St Athan, it is noted that the trajectory identifies that for the majority of the Plan period, both sites will be delivering 80no. dwellings per annum on each site (equating to 160no units in total). Whilst these are two separate sites, we seriously question the realistic prospects of the significant number of homes being built simultaneously on two sites in proximity to one another – given the considerable logistical issues that would be brought about.

Accordingly, it remains that there are serious questions regarding the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations at St Athan, which do not accord with the strategy adopted for the RLDP – to focus housing growth on settlements that are supported by railway stations. Moreover, the scale of development proposed at St Athan is also not considered to be proportionate, with a significant number of homes delivered in a location not served by a railway station.

Rolled forward LDP Sites

The proposed land supply within the housing trajectory includes provision for ‘rolled forward’ LDP sites, which contribute to the total of ‘Proposed Additional Housing Allocations’ forming part of the housing supply. Specifically, a total of 1,242no. units have been identified as additional housing allocations, of which 959no. are expected to be delivered on the rolled forward LDP sites. As such, these sites are to provide for a significant proportion of additional housing in the Plan period (specifically circa 77%).

The Development Plans Manual (DPM) sets out that allocations rolled forward from a previous plan will require careful justification for inclusion in a revised plan. The DPM outlines that “there will need to be a substantial change in circumstances to demonstrate sites can be delivered and justify being included again. Clear evidence will be required that such sites can be delivered.” The below table included in the consultation document provides a breakdown of the rolled forward LDP sites, and in particular, sets out the status of each site:
Table 6: Existing LDP allocations to be carried forward

The above table evidences that the current LDP has under delivered in regard to its targeted unit number of the Plan period, given that these sites did not yield any housing over the current Plan period. This is further exacerbated by the Land Bank sites that have also not delivered any housing across the existing LDP period, amounting to 1,860no units. Accordingly, when considering the non-delivery of both rolled forward LDP sites and Land Bank sites, this amounts to an approximate shortfall of 2,189 homes being delivered, or 33% of the total housing supply identified for the current LDP (8,525no. dwellings).

It is therefore considered that, as a minimum, the units carried over from the LDP (without planning permission) should be a surplus to the housing supply proposed for the RLDP, as opposed to being relied on to deliver the housing need over the Plan period. This is particularly the case for the two sites (Land to the west of Pencoedtre Lane, and Land between Northern Access Road and Eglwys Brewis Road) which do not currently have any active planning application submitted for their development. These sites total an amount of 370no. units to be delivered in the Plan period, which represents more than a third of the additional housing allocations to make up the housing supply.

As such, it is considered that the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP is still present – indeed it has grown, and will continue to do so, not least when considered in conjunction with the projected population growth over the coming years to 2036, and the aspirations for growth in the Plan’s strategy.

Accordingly, in order to secure the targeted level of housing, a greater level of provision for new allocations should be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. This would bring about better certainty that the housing requirement is met by the housing supply over the Plan period, not least given that the current Plan failed in this respect. Without a re-apportioning of the housing supply, it is considered that the Plan would heavily rely on the contingency (i.e. rolled forward LDP sites) coming forward in the Plan period, yet there is uncertainty that these will yield in full over the new Plan period. This raises issues of ’soundness’, and risks rendering the Plan unrobust.

Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions

As set out in our previous representations to the Housing Trajectory consultation, we have considerable concerns in relation to the proposed delivery of the sites identified in the trajectory – which we do not consider are robust or reasonable.

Appendix 1 of the Deposit Plan sets out the development trajectory bar chart – which illustrates the proposed delivery of housing, on a per annum basis, over the Plan period.
Extract of Housing Trajectory (annotated by GJP - red dotted line)

It is our view that the trajectory makes for an unrealistic and unrobust delivery rate of housing, which does not reflect the pattern of housing completions in the Vale of Glamorgan. We therefore have concerns regarding the soundness of the trajectory, not least that there remain significant uncertainties as to the delivery of the Key Sites (as discussed earlier in these representations).

Firstly, the graph / trajectory illustrates a large ‘spike’ in terms of housing delivery in the year 2027-28, which is considered to be a marked and pronounced step change in the rate of delivery. This envisages / relies on a significantly higher rate of delivery than previous years in the Vale of Glamorgan (2021 through 2021 – as depicted by the green columns). It is considered that this level of delivery is unlikely to materialise, not least given prevailing market circumstances, past rates of delivery on the ground, and also in light of levels achieved across Wales and the UK in general.

The published trajectory shows that the average level of completions from 2021 - 2025 has been approx. 400 - 500 units, however, the chart shows that from 2027 – 2028, completions are expected to rise to approx. 1,000 units per year. The expected delivery levels in the trajectory therefore show and assume a doubling in delivery rates and unit numbers (an increase of approx. 100% relative to past rates). There is no clear evidence as to how this level of completions can be achieved let alone guaranteed. This is the case in particular given that the forthcoming years (2025-2027) are expected to see performance (yield) drop significantly (delivery rates in 2025 – 2026 and 2026 – 2027). The chart shows only approx. 200 units being delivered over these years. It is therefore unclear how completion rates are expected to rise so quickly (from 200 in 2025-26 to 1000 in 2027-28), and by such a significant amount. The assumptions in the trajectory are wholly unrobust in our view.

It is also the case that the anticipated delivery of housing fails to be consistent within and across the Plan period. It is unclear as to why completions rates aren’t spread out more evenly throughout the Plan period - to ensure a robust and most realistic housing trajectory until 2036. By comparison to the marked increase in the rate of delivery between and over the period 2027 to 2031, there is then a marked fall-off or drop in delivery towards and by the end of the Plan period. Indeed, in the final year, the level of completions are expected to be lower than the period 2021-2025.

Accordingly, we consider that the housing trajectory, as proposed, is entirely manufactured and unreflective of the past completion rates, as well as the recent published completion rates provided by Welsh Government recently in August 2025. As set out in our previous representations, it has been evidenced that there has been a general decline in the number of new dwellings started and completed.
Description of Figure 1: ‘New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’
As identified in the graph above, in 2024-25, 4,631 new dwellings were completed, which represents 3% fewer than the previous year. This figure represented the second lowest number on record, with the lowest number recorded in 2021-22, a year heavily affected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic (in 2021-22, 4,616 new dwellings were completed) The New Housing Pipeline Report Quarter 3, 2025 Report (December 2025) published by the HBF evidenced that the number of residential units approved in the UK fell by 7% during the third quarter of 2025, extending the decline seen during the first half of the year. At 45,075, the number of units approved was 34% down on the third quarter of 2024 and the lowest quarterly total since 2012 Q2. At 146,798, the overall number of units approved during the first nine months of 2025 was 25% lower than a year ago.
HBF Graph Illustrating Residential Approvals (2006-2025)

The above graph clearly shows a pronounced downward trend in the number of residential planning approvals over the period, particuarly with a sharp decrease seen since 2020. Further, the HBF document ‘Increasing Housing Supply in Wales’ (4th September 2025) clearly shows that The Vale of Glamorgan has not met the housing delivery requirements in recent years in 2023 – 2024 – along with every other authority in Wales (except Newport). Accordingly, this further adds to the argument that historically The Vale (and most other authorities) have underprovided. This adds considerable uncertainty on the assumed transformation in yield and delivery as built into the trajectory.
Graph: Housing Delivery as a proportion of annual housing requirement in Wales per Authority

More recently, the Welsh Government has released its new estimates of housing need (Estimates of Additional Hosing Need: 2025-based – February 2026). The estimates show how many new homes need to be built over the next twenty years to address existing unmet need as well as newly arising need. The figures set out that around 8,700no. new homes a year are needed over the next Senedd term up to 2030 to meet new housing need. Additionally, there is an unmet need for 9,400 affordable homes.

Overall, this represents more than double 2024/25 levels of supply, where just 4,638 new homes were built.

HBF: Estimates of Housing Need

HBF: Actual Delivery vs Estimates of Need

The above graphs unequivocally evidence that historical rates of delivery of housing in Wales has remained low, and moreover, significant numbers of housing need to be allocated in order to meet the estimate of need. It is not considered that the housing trajectory, in its current form, is robust to meet the housing need over the Plan period, given the uncertainties of the Key Sites, and the level of housing delivery that has been identified for the Plan.

Affordable Housing-Led Sites

HG4 - Rural Affordable Housing Led Sites

Policy HG4 of the Deposit Plan identifies four sites to be allocated as affordable housing-led sites, totalling approximately 122 dwellings within the plan period. Given the target levels of achieving 3,070 affordable dwellings over the course of the Plan period (up to 2036), it is not considered that this policy goes far enough to address the target and level of affordable housing need.
It is noted that the number of units identified for each site relate to the ‘total’ number of units delivered, as opposed to the affordable housing provision. Accordingly, it can be assumed that circa 50% of each allocation will comprise affordable units (given each site is affordable-led), which would equate to a total provision of circa 61no. units. The contribution from the affordable housing-led sites would only equate to 2% of the total need (3,070no. units). Even when coupled with the affordable housing provision from open market sites and 100% exception sites, the total delivery of affordable housing will still be nowhere near enough to meet the overall affordable housing need over the Plan period. Accordingly, it is considered that inadequate provision has been made for such sites.

Insofar as to the sites chosen and allocated are concerned, it is clear from reviewing the Stage 1 and Stage 2 Candidate Site Assessment that the allocated sites HG4(1) – (4) were not considered acceptable due to being outside the strategic growth areas, and were considered to be unacceptable intrusions into the open countryside. After being resubmitted as affordable housing-led sites, the sites were allocated, some with a smaller area in order to accommodate less dwellings in total.

The sustainable credentials of the sites allocated is not disputed, and it is acknowledged that these minor rural settlements have the ability to accommodate further growth, in the form of affordable-led housing allocations. However, it is considered that Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 430 / 4060) should also form an allocation as part of this policy, given its high sustainability credentials and its appropriate location to accommodate a suitable level of development. Please refer to the previous representations made to the Housing Trajectory Consultation (dated 17th October) and Annex 2 for further, more detailed comments regarding the above sites.

The LHMA 2023 shows that there is a need for 230 affordable homes in the Cowbridge housing market area / ward - which Ystradowen is located within. As such, there is an identified need for affordable housing in this area, something which the site could address through an allocation – see Annex 2.

Securing further delivery of Affordable Units

As set out above, the affordable housing-led allocated sites only provide 122no. affordable dwellings, which comprise 4no. allocated sites that are expected to deliver approximately between 20 – 50 dwellings. However, the RLDP sets a target of 3,070 affordable homes to be delivered in the Plan period. This means that affordable housing-led allocations make up less than 4% of the target provision and will only make provision for 2% of the targeted number. We would therefore object to the sites included within Policy HG4 and would suggest that more sites should be allocated as part of the policy in order to secure delivery of a higher number of affordable housing units to mere the target.
Whilst it is acknowledged that the Key Sites will provide for a significant proportion of affordable housing, as set out above in these representations, there is serious concern regarding the deliverability of these sites, which would result in a significant gap of affordable housing delivered.

A greater number of affordable housing-led sites allocated would ensure there is sufficient contingency built into the Plan, to ensure that the overall affordable housing need is met over the Plan period. Failure to do so would result in affordable housing need being unmet, with demand continuing to outstrip supply.

Previous representations to the Preferred Strategy (dated 14th February 2024) provided comment on the sustainability scoring of Ystradowen and the proposed site. As outlined within these representations, it is considered that the site (ID 430) represents a sustainable, deliverable and acceptable site. The site is located within 2.7 miles Cowbridge and
2.8 miles of Pontyclun. Due to the availability of frequent bus services, and active travel links, key services are readily available to access for any residents within Ystradowen without the need to travel by car. The site is within a maximum 9- and 14-minute bus journey (respectively) of the following key services:

• Cowbridge and ‘Y Pant’ Comprehensive Schools;
• Cowbridge Health Centre and Old School Surgery; and
• Cowbridge Town Centre, and Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant (Strategic Growth Area), for various Retail Services.

Accordingly, the settlement of Ystradowen represents an acceptable location to allocate an affordable housing-led site, given the access to existing services and facilities that would serve future residents of the site.

To conclude, the settlement, location and site are inherently suitable and deliverable, and will make a significant contribution to achieving and realising the housing and economic development needs of Ystradowen, support the surrounding settlements, and the Plan area as a whole. As such, the site should be considered further.

Comments on Specific Policies

HG5 - Affordable Housing Exception Sites

Given the unmet need and extant backlog of affordable housing, as identified within the LHMA (2023), it is noted that an Affordable Housing Exception Sites policy has been adopted in order to assist in the delivery of affordable housing. Policy HG5 sets out the specific criteria where proposals for 100% small scale affordable housing developments will be permitted outside settlement boundaries. The current policy wording for the Affordable Housing Site Exception Policy and the criteria listed out in the policy is generally supported.

That said, it is noted that a ‘cap’ of 10 dwellings (as referenced within supporting text Para 6.140) is set. This should be amended due to such a ‘cap’ limiting the flexibility of the policy, in particularly for sites coming forward as part of this policy in Minor Rural Settlements.
As such, we would suggest that supporting Para 6.140 should be amended in order to allow for further flexibility for sites in Minor Rural Settlements to come forward and to deliver affordable housing, given that the criteria set out in the policy would already protect and restrict the extent of any development as it stands. Therefore, the proposed amendments to Para 6.140 are outlined below in red:

6.140 “For the purposes of this policy, ‘small-scale’ will generally mean no more than around 10 dwellings on sites adjoining Minor Rural Settlements. In Primary Settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area, proposals for more than 10 dwellings may be acceptable where required to meet a specific need and where the number of dwellings is proportionate to the size of the settlement. In assessing the scale and extent of any proposed local needs housing, consideration should also be given to affordable housing already planned in the ward or nearby area, including sites with existing planning permissions and those allocated in the RLDP. The size and type of affordable housing proposed should reflect the identified local need in the area.”
The above suggested wording would achieve a more flexible policy, which would allow for a variety of scaled applications to secure planning permission for solely 100% affordable housing across the Authority area. This greater flexibility would enable the policy to make a significant contribution towards meeting the affordable housing need – which, as set out earlier is in considerable need.
SECTION 3. Suitability of the site for development

The site promoter objects to the overall assessment of the site, in that it is not considered suitable for further development in the Plan. The promoted site has undergone extensive scrutiny and appraisal at a high level to ascertain the qualities of the site, in light of all identified material considerations which relate to the proposals.

The delivery of the site will yield much needed housing (including Affordable housing) and contribute to the overall supply in the new Plan period, whilst making effective use of a suitably located site for residential development.

Moreover, as set out in ‘Annex 2’ of our representations, the site has overcome the ‘constraints’ set out in the Candidate Site Assessment undertaken for the site, which demonstrates that the proposal is both acceptable and deliverable.

Deliverability of the Site

In summary, the site seeks to deliver the following key elements:

• Provision of circa 67 new-build residential dwellings (including 50% affordable housing provision);
• A mix of house-types and tenures across the site to cater for a variety of needs;
• Creation of a new primary access into the site;
• Connection to pedestrian links within the wider area;
• Public open space; and
• Green Infrastructure; and
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

In summary, the site promoters:

• Object to the distribution of growth proposed for the Plan area, with a more balanced and equitable distribution of housing sites required in order to meet the identified housing need;
• Object to the level of growth identified for the Plan period;
• Object to the housing trajectory that underpins the delivery of housing within the Plan period – which is considered to be unrealistic and unrobust, leading to serious uncertainty regarding the “soundness” of the Plan;
• Object to the over-reliance on Key Sites and Rolled Forward Sites in making up the Plan’s housing land supply;
• Object to the scale and timing of delivery of sites in / around St Athan – all of which are predicated on railway station provision which will not be realised in the Plan period;
• Object to the under-provision of sites under Policy HG4 – Rural Affordable Housing-Led sites, not least given their extremely limited contribution to the targeted need for affordable housing;
• Object to the current wording of the HG5 Policy ‘Affordable Housing Exception Sites’ which requires greater flexibility to play an important role in delivery much-needed affordable homes across the Authority; and
• Object the Council’s assessment that the site is not considered suitable for development.

The site and proposals are consistent with the RLDP strategy, other Vale of Glamorgan strategies, and the requirements of Planning Policy Wales and Future Wales. It will make a significant contribution to the Vale’s identified housing requirement in the RLDP period and will provide for a wide range of uses that will support the wider community whilst embodying principles relating to placemaking and the well-being of future generations.

The site has no fundamental constraints and has the ability to deliver significant economic, social and environmental benefits for the benefit of future residents and the existing local community. The site is demonstrated to be viable, being able to deliver policy-compliant levels of affordable housing and given its location within a strong market area, will benefit from high delivery rates.

ANNEX 2
SECTION 4. A summary of the suitability of the site for development including a Response to the Candidate Site Assessment

Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)

This section of the overall representations to the Deposit Plan is to respond to, and address, the Council’s assessment of the site. The ‘Candidate Sites Assessment Deposit Plan Stage v2’ for ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ sets out that the position of the site at the Deposit Stage is as follows:

“Amendment of proposed use from housing to affordable housing led. Previous site reference 430. The original assessment concluded that whilst the site was adjoining the existing LDP settlement boundary this is by virtue of an existing adopted plan LDP allocation this is currently under review. Notwithstanding this the site would represent unacceptable intrusion in to the open countryside.
The LDP site in question has subsequently been granted planning permission for housing. This site will serve the future needs of residents in the area and it is not considered that additional land should be allocated in this location.”

In terms of the first paragraph, the assessment/conclusion implies and suggests that ‘Land at Ystradowen’ (4060)’ does not adjoin the existing LDP settlement boundary as the allocated site (‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’) has not been built out – “by virtue of an existing adopted plan LDP allocation this is currently under review”. Detailed representations have been made and submitted previously at the Housing Trajectory (see Appendix B& C) that outlines that this is fundamentally incorrect. This is not repeated in full here, with just the main points re-iterated.

First and foremost, ‘Land at Ystradowen (4060)’ directly adjoins the existing LDP settlement boundary. Secondly, there has been a significant change in the position and circumstances. The allocated site (‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’) is currently being “built out”, with work commencing on site (see photographic evidence in Appendix C)
- post the implementation of the planning permission ref. 2023/00948/FUL (post approval on 9th December 2024). Accordingly, the site no longer adjoins “the existing LDP settlement boundary … by virtue of an existing adopted plan LDP allocation … currently under review”. Given this, the ‘Land at Ystradowen’ site boundary therefore directly adjoins/is adjoining the LDP settlement boundary and the site promoted herein.

With regards to the second paragraph, the assessment/conclusion outlines that “The LDP site … will serve the future needs of residents in the area and it is not considered that additional land should be allocated in this location”. The arguments and case presented in Appendix B & C. There is a clear overreliance on ‘rolled forward’ sites / existing allocated sites. A total of 1,242no. units have been identified as additional housing allocations, of which 959no. are expected to be delivered on the rolled forward LDP sites. As such, these sites are to provide for a significant proportion of additional housing in the Plan period (specifically circa 77%). We believe that a greater level of growth is achievable and should be considered. Not least as there is an approximate shortfall of 2,189 homes being delivered, or 33% of the total housing supply identified for the current LDP (8,525no. dwellings). As such, it is considered that the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP is still present – indeed it has grown, and will continue to do so, not least when considered in conjunction with the projected population growth over the coming years to 2036, and the aspirations for growth in the Plan’s strategy. Accordingly, in order to secure the targeted level of housing, a greater level of provision for new allocations should be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. The provision of housing should be adjusted to rebalance the provision to include new allocations in lieu of rolled forward LDP sites in the housing supply. The “future needs of residents in the area” will therefore not be met/served by just this site, and it is considered that additional land should be allocated in this location.

Furthermore, to reinforce, illustrate, and evidence the point in specific reference to the site the subject to this representation (located in Ystradowen), reference is made to application ref. 2013/00856/OUT – ‘Land off Badgers Brook Rise, Ystradowen’. The Final Report of the application states that “Ystradowen is considered a sustainable settlement for further housing development” – i.e. “additional land should be allocated in this location”.

While the issues the Council have raised in their assessment of the site have been addressed and discussed within the representations made at the Preferred Strategy stage of the Plan (see Appendix B), a similar ‘scoring’ exercise has been undertaken as part evidence base for the Deposit Plan. As such, it is still pertinent to consider and respond to the Council’s assessment of the site as part of these representations. A comparison between the site assessments undertaken at both the Preferred Strategy stage and Deposit Plan stage can be seen below for reference:
BP18 Candidate Ste Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage
As demonstrated above, there has been a positive change to the scoring attributed to the site (‘Land at Ystradowen’). The change is a positive change to the ‘Infrastructure Availability’ section changing from: ‘Grey’ (no score) to ‘Amber’. Infrastructure Availability is outlined as: “Existing or proposed services would be suitable subject to local improvements without impacting on development viability and/or delivery timescales” (see below):
The explanation for the scoring provided by the Vale sets out that “Sites will be assessed against the availability of water connections to the site, in addition to the method of foul sewage disposal from the site. Consultation shall be undertaken with DCWW to determine whether there is sufficient capacity to the wastewater treatments works, and how it links into DCWW’s Capital Investment Programme.
Where consultation indicates limited capacity, or the site is located away from a viable connection this may impact on the deliverability/viability of a site should this require significant connection costs or upgrades. Consequently, the Council shall require site proposers to undertake detailed site viability assessment to determine the impact that additional cost shall have on development cost and deliverability timescales.”

As set out above, this is a positive change. This is most likely derived from the allocated site (‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’) currently being “built out”, with work commencing on site that would facilitate and improve the ‘Infrastructure Availability’. This re-iterates the point made previously re the incorrect assessment reached, and the ever changing position of this site – which will only improve given the neighbouring allocated site (‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’) being “built out”.

Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)

There are material similarities between ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ and the site the subject of these representations. It is therefore considered pertinent to assess and compare the suitability of ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin’. Not least as ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ is for a “small-scale affordable housing led development in a minor rural settlement”, within “the ward of Cowbridge”.

The site ‘Land West of Maendy Road (Site ID: 2299)’ has been registered as an Affordable Housing Led Allocation candidate site for the RLDP, however from our review of the evidence base submitted as part of the Housing Trajectory consultation, there was no assessment and critique of this site at this stage. This raises questions regarding the “soundness” of this site, given it appears this sites acceptability and inclusion was pre-determined.

The site (‘Land West of Maendy Road’) has since had a detailed assessment and critique published, however concerns still remain regarding the “soundness” of the site which forms part of the intended housing land supply. The ‘Stage 2 Detailed Site Assessment’ summary undertaken for ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ has been extracted below:

“The site is proposed for a small-scale affordable housing led development in a minor rural settlement, which would accord in principle with the strategy. Aberthin itself has limited services and facilities, but is within reasonable walking distance of primary and secondary school provision with the wider range of services and facilities in Cowbridge just over 2000m away. The settlement is also served by public transport, although this is relatively infrequent.
The 2023 LHMA indicated that the ward of Cowbridge has a need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years and this site could make an important contribution in meeting that.”

As mentioned previously, there are material similarities between ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ and ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ (the subject of these representations). Firstly ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ is also for a “small-scale affordable housing led development”, that is “in a minor rural settlement” (Ystradowen). Accordingly, it should follow that as ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ “would accord in principle with the strategy”, ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ would also “accord in principle with the strategy”.

Furthermore, there is no material difference between the following assessment of Aberthin and Ystradowen:

“Aberthin itself has limited services and facilities, but is within reasonable walking distance of primary and secondary school provision with the wider range of services and facilities in Cowbridge just over 2000m away. The settlement is also served by public transport, although this is relatively infrequent.”

There is no material difference between ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ and ‘Land at Ystradowen’ in sustainability terms.

As set out in our representations to the Preferred Strategy, we reviewed the key services in proximity to the site. The following services were identified as part of that review:

• In terms of public transport, there are two bus stops located approximately 0.2 miles (4-minute walk) from the site (‘Land West of Maendy Road’), with the 321 providing services between Llantwit Major and Talbot Green;

• In terms of public transport, there are two bus stops located approximately 400m (7-minute walk) from the site (‘Ty Mawr Close’), with the ‘321 Nat Group Service’ providing services between Llantwit Major and Talbot Green. The 321 service is the same bus service that serves ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ / Aberthin;

• The site is also located 0.2 miles (4-minute walk) from The Farmers Arms Pub and 0.2 miles (4-minute walk) from The Hare and Hounds Inn; and

• The site is located 0.2 miles (5-minute walk) from Aberthin Village Hall.

Given the above, “The settlement (Ystradowen) is also served by public transport”.
Furthermore, Ystradowen is located only 2.7 miles from Cowbridge (9-minute bus journey). The “primary and secondary school provision with the wider range of services and facilities in Cowbridge” mentioned in relation to Aberthin are therefore also in close proximity to Ystradowen.

Given the above, any candidate site at ’Land at Ystradowen’ (the subject of these representations – Site ID: 430 / 4060) is no less sustainable than the site at Aberthin (Site ID: 2299).

Not least as the following additional key services are located within Ystradowen and therefore in close proximity to the promoted site:

• The site is also located 300m (3-minute walk) and 600m (10-minute walk) from Sports Pitches/Playing Fields such as ‘Ystradowen Children’s Park’, and the 3/4G Sports Pitch at ‘Ystradowen Petanque Club’; and
• Furthermore, the site is located 480m (7-minute walk) from the ‘Murco – Tudor Garage’ which can provide basic goods to meet day-today needs such as bread, butter, milk etc.

Furthermore it is important to note that the above scoring criteria is very limiting, and does not take into account the important role and proximity of settlements in a wider context. For example, it does not take into account the important role and proximity of the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area (as defined in the RCTCBC LDP) of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant which is 2.8 miles to the north (14-minute bus journey). Ystradowen would also naturally align, and function, in association with this Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area (of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant) – see Appendix B for full details.

In addition, as set out within the representations made in relation to the House Trajectory (Appendix C), the following extracts have been taken from the Officer’s Reports associated with the applications for the site that directly adjoins the western boundary of the promoted site 430 - ‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’ (Housing Allocation 48). An aerial view extract is outlined below to give spatial context:
As set out above, it is important to note that the Final Report of application ref. 2013/00856/OUT states that “Ystradowen is considered a sustainable settlement for further housing development”, due to “the sustainable nature of the settlement”. Furthermore, the Final Report of app ref. 2023/00948/FUL states:

• “Notwithstanding this, the site is located in close proximity to local services and there is a bus stop located nearby. Whilst the comments relating to the reliance and frequency of the bus services have been considered, there still remains a bus service in the area”; and
• “Firstly, as aforementioned, many neighbouring comments refer to the site as unsustainable and have commented on the suitability of public transport and cycle routes etc. This has been addressed above.”

The above clearly evidences that the location has previously been endorsed as, and is currently still found to be, sustainable.

Accordingly, it can be considered therefore that if the proposed allocated site ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ is considered sustainable and by association suitable to be an Affordable Housing Led Allocation, ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 430 / 4060)’ is equally suitable to be an Affordable Housing Led Allocation.

The second section/paragraph of the assessment states:

“The 2023 LHMA indicated that the ward of Cowbridge has a need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years and this site could make an important contribution in meeting that.”
‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ is also located within “the ward of Cowbridge”. As per the above and outlined by the Authority, there is “a need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years”. It is clear therefore that there is a need for additional affordable units in this ward, and this site would therefore also help to alleviate this need.

This position is a direct contradiction of course of the assessment/conclusion for ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ which stated “it is not considered that additional land should be allocated in this location”. It is clear from the above however that “additional land should be allocated in this location” to satisfy this “need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years” – which ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ can do. This is not least the case given the detailed arguments, case and representations presented and evidenced previously above and in Appendix B & C.
To briefly reiterate there is a clear overreliance on ‘rolled forward’ sites / existing allocated sites which has resulted in the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP being still present. A greater level of provision for new allocations should therefore be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. The provision of housing should be adjusted to rebalance the provision to include new allocations in lieu of rolled forward LDP sites in the housing supply, so these can “make an important contribution in meeting” the “need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years” in “the ward of Cowbridge” – which ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ can do.

As set out within the representations made in relation to the housing trajectory (see Appendix C), a further key consideration to note and one which does differentiate between the relative merits of the ‘Land at Maendy Road, Aberthin’ and ‘Land at Ystradowen’ is that the LDP Proposals Map demonstrates that ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ is within a Special Landscape Area - see below:
Vale of Glamorgan Proposals Map (Land West of Maendy Road outlined in red
Under Policy MG17 ‘Special Landscape Areas’ it is considered that development in SLA could pose an “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area”. Accordingly, this development and proposed allocation could therefore cause “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area”.

‘Land at Ystradowen’ by contrast does not sit within a SLA (see below). This site would therefore not pose any potential concern in this respect as it would ultimately not cause any “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area”.
Vale of Glamorgan Proposals Map (Land at Ystradowen in red)
It is noted that the detailed assessment scores the site ‘amber’ in respect to Special Landscape Area (refer to / see later section for full details), with the assessment methodology setting out that “the site is located within a Special Landscape Area/The Glamorgan Heritage Coast and the development may result in little or no change in character and little or no significant effect on landscape character and visual amenity.”
A detailed assessment of the impact upon the SLA in respect to the development of ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin’ should therefore be, and will need to be, undertaken as part of any planning application. If it is found that the site causes “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area”, this will lead to this proposed allocation being at risk of not being delivered. This will be as a result of its impacts and acceptability at the planning application stage that the landscape and visual impact of development of the site is unacceptable. As such, these proposed affordable units are at a potential considerable risk of being lost and not satisfying the “need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years” in “the ward of Cowbridge” – which ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ can do as it is not located in an SLA.

In addition the draft housing trajectory set out that “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”. There is a clear possibility therefore that this proposed allocation is not delivered (as it is located in a SLA), and so a “small scale affordable housing led development” which is needed to “respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities” is not provided for. This is clearly an issue. Given however ‘Land at Ystradowen’ does not sit within a SLA – and so not pose any potential concern or cause any “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area” – the allocation of this site would be more suitable and “safer” - as there would be no concerns over this proposed allocation being removed and/or not being delivered in this respect (as it is not located in a SLA). This would ensure that affordable units, where “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”, are provided for, and the need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years” in “the ward of Cowbridge” would be satisfied.

As mentioned previously, a detailed assessment and critique has now been undertaken of ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ as part evidence base for the Deposit Plan using the similar ‘scoring’ exercise. As such, it is again pertinent to consider and respond to the Council’s ‘scoring’ exercise assessment of the site ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ as part of these representations.

The ‘Summary of Assessment of New Candidate Sites’ table can be seen overleaf for reference:
BP18A Candidate Site Assessment at Deposit Plan Stage
A comparison between the site assessments undertaken for both ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ (on the left), and ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ (on the right) has been undertaken, and can be seen below for reference:

Having undertaken a review of the scoring for both ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ and ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’, it is clear that ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ scores higher/more positively (i.e. green) than ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’:

• ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’: 17/33 criteria are scored green = 52%

• ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’: 12/34 criteria are scored green = 36%

It is clear therefore given the above that ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ is a better site, and should be allocated accordingly.

One key example to note is how the criterion ‘Access to Services and Facilities’ has been scored. For ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ this has been scored green, yet for ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’, this has been scored red. Given this, this corroborates the position outlined previously above that, if the proposed allocated site ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ is considered sustainable and by association suitable to be an Affordable Housing Led Allocation, ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 430 / 4060)’ is equally as sustainable – in fact considered more suitable (given its higher scoring in this respect).

Furthermore, we question the “soundness” of the assessment of ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’, given that 7/34 (21%) of the criteria do not appears to have not been assessed – i.e. 7/34 (21%) of the criteria are scored grey. This raises questions regarding the “soundness” of this site, given it appears this sites acceptability and inclusion was pre-determined.

It is clear therefore that if ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ has been deemed acceptable for allocation, yet ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ scores higher/more positively (i.e. green) than this site, ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ should also be deemed acceptable and be allocated. Not least as the site is “proposed for a small-scale affordable housing led development in a minor rural settlement … would accord in principle with the strategy”, and “could make an important contribution in meeting “a “need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years” in “the ward of Cowbridge”.

Summary and Conclusion

To re-iterate, and to summarise the case made and set out, these representations seek to object to the Deposit Plan published as part of the consultation.

In terms of SECTION 4, and a response to the Candidate Site Assessment at Deposit Plan Stage, the following key points have been made:

• The Council’s ‘Stage 2 Detailed Site Assessment’ justification for ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ is fundamentally incorrect;

• Given the material positive similarities between ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ and ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’, which has been deemed acceptable and allocated, ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ should also be deemed acceptable and allocated accordingly;

• ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ would help to alleviate and satisfy “a need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years” within “the ward of Cowbridge”; and
• ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ scores higher/more positively (i.e. green) than ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’, and so should also be deemed acceptable and be allocated;

Ultimately, ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ is “proposed for a small-scale affordable housing led development in a minor rural settlement”, and as such “would accord in principle with the strategy”. It would therefore “make an important contribution in meeting“ the “need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years” in “the ward of Cowbridge”.

We would therefore object the Council’s assessment that the site is not considered suitable for development.

Summary of These Representations

In short, and to summarise the case made and set out, these representations seek to object to the Housing Trajectory published as part of the consultation on the Draft Housing Trajectory For Housing Stakeholder Group (October 2025) which underpins the Plan and the delivery / realisation of its underlying strategy.

Detailed submissions and objections are raised below in respect to the trajectory information published regarding the soundness and robustness of this information (and it’s consultation), which we do not consider are adequate, robust, or sound to deliver the Plans aims and objectives.

Preface

This Submission sets out the detailed case in support of these representations. The representations are structured as follows:

1. Procedural Consultation Matters;
2. Timing Assumptions underpinning the Trajectory;
3. Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions;;
4. Status & Standing of Sites included in the Trajectory;
5. Key Sites;
6. St Athan Train Station;
7. Geographic distribution of the ‘new’ sites / provision;
8. Detailed comments in respect to ‘new’ sites;
9. Credentials of this site subject to this submission; and
10. Conclusions Procedural Consultation Matters
Firstly, we do not consider that the consultation on the Housing Trajectory information has been procedurally undertaken appropriately or suitably.

Only 14 days have been afforded to parties to make representations on the information provided. This is despite new sites being introduced (at this late stage) i.e. Land South of Clive Road (identified in Table 4), as well as a number of affordable housing-led housing sites being introduced (i.e. those outlined in Table 5). This does not provide an adequate process or timescale for objectors to scrutinise the published content, and to make comments on sites which have been presented for the first time at a late stage in the process.

As part of these representations, we will be making brief comment on the sites which have not been previously consulted upon, namely:
Other Housing Allocations
• Land south of Clive Road, St Athan;

Affordable Housing Led Sites
• Land at Heol Fain, Wick;
• Land west of Maendy Road, Aberthin;
• Land Noth of West Winds Business Park, Fferm Goch; and
• Land to the east of Coliwinston, Colwinston.

It is considered necessary to comment on these sites, given that they form an important and critical part of the housing trajectory, and by association in the Council and Plan reaching their targets. Moreover, these sites have not been consulted on previously. Accordingly we consider it necessary to pass comment on these in order to ensure that the consultation is fair and robust.

As well as limited time given to comment on the information contained within the Housing Trajectory, the LPA have failed to set up a Housing Stakeholder group to agree and discuss the trajectory information and data – with the cover email to the consultation (dated 3rd October 2025) stating “it is considered that it would be the best use of stakeholder time to conduct this engagement via email, particularly as many of the forecasts have been developed in consultation with site promoters including developers and their agents”.

We submit that the stakeholder consultation has not been a transparent nor robust consultation process, given that the Development Plans Manual states at Para 5.66 “A housing trajectory must be prepared to support the Deposit Plan. In order to generate a housing trajectory and associated phasing tables it will be necessary for LPAs to engage with stakeholders through a Housing Stakeholder Group. This will ensure that the timing and phasing of sites is robust and based on up to date information”. Given that this has not taken place, we would raise fundamental concerns that the consultation of the trajectory has not adequately taken place as per the relevant guidance. Afterall, the guidance stresses that a Group should be formed as a necessity. Accordingly, there has not been an adequate process and opportunity to review and comment on the information published, including in respect to the other sites have been introduced at this late stage.

Timing Assumptions underpinning the Trajectory

The assumed and factored in timescales of the various stages of bringing forward sites i.e. the pre-application stage, the planning application process, and the discharge of condition process outlined in the trajectory are considered to be fundamentally inaccurate, and result in a distorted position of the delivery of housing sites over the RLDP Plan period. The assumptions are far too ambitious, and without evidence / are not comparable with the timescales being incurred in processing such stages at the Development Management stage(s).

Specifically, we raise objection to the following timescales which are considered to be extremely ambitious and unrealistic:

• “Time period of pre-application discussions/PAC consultation” = 4 months
• “Time between submission of planning application and determination” = 6 months
• “Time taken from planning consent to the discharge of relevant conditions to enable site construction” = 4 months

In our experience, having submitted a significant number of major and other applications for housing and other forms of development in the last 1-2 years to the Council (and elsewhere in Wales and England), it is extremely unlikely that major applications can be submitted, and planning permissions granted, within the timeframes assumed by the trajectory. A wide range of stakeholders are also involved in the determination of major planning applications, which often adds to the delays associated with the determination of such applications. We would therefore consider that a time period of “6 months” given to all major applications in the housing trajectory is not feasible, and distorts the trajectory timescales for the remaining Plan period.

The assumptions in the trajectory are also solely based on expected timescales for the processing of formal submissions made to the Council, and do not factor in the timescales associated with, and needed for, the preparation of the material for submission (i.e. pre-application enquiry submissions / planning application / discharge of condition details etc). When factored in these will elongate the timescales for bringing forward schemes considerably.

Moreover, it is common practice for larger housing sites and major applications to have a range of pre-commencement conditions attached to a permission once granted. Again, we would raise concerns with the timescales indicated in the trajectory related to this part of the planning process. It is highly unusual and questionable that any technical work required by these conditions (usually relating to drainage and highways matters) would be instructed, completed and submitted within 2 months, and for these to then be signed off / approved in a further 2 months. There are also other technical matters and necessary approvals falling outside of, and over and above, the planning system, such as SAB, s.106, s.38 and s.278 agreements, timescales for which have not been accounted for – and all of which are rarely completed within “4 months” as indicated.

It is therefore highly doubtful that the timescales legislated for in the trajectory for the various stages pre-construction are achievable – with no information about these proposed timescales outlined within the supporting text of the Housing Trajectory. We would therefore raise considerable concerns and objections to these as they stand without full evidence to fully show how these have been calculated, and without there being considerable (and necessary) adjustment to the timescales indicated and factored in.

We would therefore object to the timescales indicted in the ‘Timing and Phasing of Sites’ table, given that the delivery start dates will be pushed back further into the Plan period. Accordingly, and as a result, the Plan is at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated, at least as swiftly as is set out in the trajectory.

Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions

We would also raise considerable doubt over the proposed delivery of the sites identified in the Housing Trajectory - which we do not consider are robust or reasonable.

The development trajectory bar chart set out in the consultation material (extracted below) anticipates and legislates for a number of critical events and circumstances – all of which are considered to be unrobust and unsound.
Extract of Housing Trajectory Graph (annotated by GJP – red dotted line)

Firstly, a large ‘spike’ (material increase) in housing delivery is factored in to take place in 2027 – 2028. This is a marked and pronounced step change in the rate of delivery, and envisages / relies on a significantly higher rate of delivery than previous years in The Vale of Glamorgan (2021 through 2025 - as depicted by the green columns). This is considered extremely unlikely to materialise, not least given prevailing market circumstances, past rates of delivery on the ground, and also in light of levels achieved across Wales and the UK in general.

The published trajectory shows that the average level of completions in The Vale of Glamorgan from 2021 - 2025 has been approx. 400 - 500 units. However, the chart shows that from 2027 – 2028, completions are expected to rise to approx. 1,000 units per year. The expected delivery levels in the trajectory therefore show and assume a doubling in delivery rates and unit numbers (an increase of approx. 100%relative to past rates). There is no clear evidence as to how this level of completions can be achieved let alone guaranteed. This is the case in particular given that the forthcoming years (2025-2027) are expected to see performance (yield) drop significantly (delivery rates in 2025 – 2026 and 2026 – 2027). The chart shows only approx. 200 units being delivered over these years. It is therefore unclear how completion rates are expected to rise so quickly (from 200 in 2025-26 to 1000 in 2027-28), and by such a significant amount. The assumptions in the trajectory are wholly unrobust in our view.
The anticipated delivery of housing also fails to be consistent within and across the Plan period. It is unclear as to why completions rates aren’t spread out more evenly throughout the Plan period - to ensure a robust and most realistic housing trajectory until 2036. By comparison to the marked increase in the rate of delivery between and over the period 2027 to 2031, there is then a marked fall-off or drop in delivery towards and by the end of the Plan period. Indeed, in the final year, the level of completions are expected to be lower than the period 2021-2015.

To summarise, we consider the defined position to be wholly manufactured and unreflective of the past completion rates, as well as the recently published completion rates provided by Welsh Government recently in August 2025. In the Welsh Government Statistics Document ‘’New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’, information on the number of new dwellings started is provided, where building has commenced and those completed for April 2024 to March 2025. Figure 1 provides a graph showing starts in the last 10 years, and it is clear that there has been a general decline in the number of new dwellings started and completed.
Description of Figure 1:.‘New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’
In 2024-25, 4,631 new dwellings were completed, 3% fewer than in the previous year. This was the second lowest number on record, with the lowest number recorded in 2021-22, a year heavily affected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic (in 2021-22, 4,616 new dwellings were completed). The New Housing Pipeline Report Quarter 2, 2025 Report (September, 2025) published by the HBF evidenced that the number of residential units approved in the UK fell by 6% during the second quarter of 2025, continuing the decline of approval during the first three months of the year. Wales saw one of the largest declines in the UK in approvals with a decline of 29%.

Further, the HBF document ‘Increasing Housing Supply in Wales’ (4th September 2025) clearly shows that The Vale of Glamorgan has not met the housing delivery requirements in recent years in 2023 – 2024 – along with every other authority in Wales (except Newport). Accordingly, this further adds to the argument that historically The Vale (and most other authorities) have underprovided. This adds considerable uncertainty on the assumed transformation in yield and delivery as built into the trajectory.
Graph: Housing Delivery as a proportion of annual housing requirement in Wales per Authority

The Home Building Sector Skills Plan (Aug 2025) published by the HBF also identified the following issues with the workforce to bring forward built development in Wales:

• “A shortfall in numbers entering roles from the education system;
• An ageing workforce: 25% of the home building workforce is aged over 50, meaning the sector is facing an impending retirement cliff edge;
• Challenges attracting a wider talent pipeline into the sector;
• A lack of understanding of critical future skills needed, and direction from the Future Homes Standard; and
• Output within the sector fluctuating with demand and economic pressures, leading to additional pressures in recruitment and training”.

It is not considered that in the next 1-2 years that any of these issues can or will be substantially corrected – at least sufficiently so to allow for, and enable, the planned delivery rates of new housing completions to be as high as < > 1,000 homes in one year (and for four consecutive years at that).

We would therefore object to the proposed numbers of completion expected during the Plan period, given that there are a number of issues with delivering housing in Wales and given past completions rates for The Vale of Glamorgan. Again, this results in the Plan being at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated.

Status & Standing of Sites included in the Trajectory

The proposed land supply within the housing trajectory includes provision for ‘rolled forward’ LDP sites, which contribute to the total of ‘Proposed Additional Housing Allocations’ forming part of the housing supply. Specifically, a total of 1,242no. units have been identified as additional housing allocations, of which 959no. are expected to be delivered on the rolled forward LDP sites. As such, these sites are to provide for a significant proportion of additional housing in the Plan period (specifically circa 77%).

The Development Plans Manual (DPM) sets out that allocations rolled forward from a previous plan will require careful justification for inclusion in a revised plan. The DPM outlines that “there will need to be a substantial change in circumstances to demonstrate sites can be delivered and justify being included again. Clear evidence will be required that such sites can be delivered.” The below table included in the consultation document provides a breakdown of the rolled forward LDP sites, and in particular, sets out the status of each site:
Table 6: Existing LDP allocations to be carried forward
The above table evidences that the current LDP has under delivered in regard to its targeted unit number of the Plan period, given that these sites did not yield any housing over the current plan period. This is further exacerbated by the Land Bank sites that have also not delivered any housing across the existing LDP period, amounting to 1,860no units. Accordingly, when considering the non-delivery of both rolled forward LDP sites and Land Bank sites, this amounts to an approximate shortfall of 2,189 homes being delivered, or 33% of the total housing supply identified for the current LDP (8,525no. dwellings).

It is therefore considered that, as a minimum, the units carried over from the LDP (without planning permission) should be a surplus to the housing supply proposed for the RLDP, as opposed to being relied on to deliver the housing need over the Plan period. This is particularly the case for the two sites (Land to the west of Pencoedtre Lane, and Land between Northern Access Road and Eglwys Brewis Road) which do not currently have any active planning application submitted for their development. These sites total an amount of 370no. units to be delivered in the Plan period, which represents more than a third of the additional housing allocations to make up the housing supply.

As such, it is considered that the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP is still present – indeed it has grown, and will continue to do so, not least when considered in conjunction with the projected population growth over the coming years to 2036, and the aspirations for growth in the Plan’s strategy.

Accordingly, in order to secure the targeted level of housing, a greater level of provision for new allocations should be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. This would bring about better certainty that the housing requirement is met by the housing supply over the Plan period, not least given that the current Plan failed in this respect. Without a re-apportioning of the housing supply, it is considered that the Plan would heavily rely on the contingency (i.e. rolled forward LDP sites) coming forward in the Plan period, yet there is uncertainty that these will yield in full over the new Plan period. This raises issues of ‘’soundness’’, and risks rendering the Plan unrobust.

On this basis, we would object to the Plan if the provision of housing is not adjusted to rebalance the provision to include new allocations in lieu of rolled forward LDP sites in the housing supply.
Key Sites

As set out in previous representations at Preferred Strategy stage, it is considered that the housing supply relies heavily on the delivery of the ‘key sites’ to deliver housing (and meet need) over the Plan period. The total number of housing units attributed to key sites amounts to 2,278, which equates to over 25% of the total provision in the Plan period.

As detailed above, we consider there to be concerns regarding the proposed ‘Timing and Phasing of Sites’ table included in the Housing Trajectory which we consider are not reflective or accurate and will therefore have the effect of delivery start dates being much later into the Plan period than anticipated. The result of this will be that the Plan will be at risk of not delivery the level of housing expected and needed. Moreover, the Housing Trajectory Graph presents an overly ambitious level of housing completions over the Plan period - which the Council consider will be markedly higher than the average levels experienced in the last five years. Again, for the reasons set out above, we consider that these rates of expected completions to have no evidence supporting them, and to be unachievable and unsound.

Insofar as to the removal of the previously proposed site ‘Land at North East Barry’, this site was expected to deliver 900no. units in the Plan period. Following its omission from the housing supply, other sites have been identified, which comprises the inclusion of a new key site (Land at North West Barry), 3no. non-strategic sites, and also affordable housing-led allocations. In terms of the quantum of development attributed to these new sites, this amounts to 659no. dwellings. This is some 250 units less than the 900no. homes that was previously attributed to ‘Land at North East Barry’. Whilst it is appreciated that the number of homes forming part of the existing supply (completions, units with planning permission etc.) have increased since Preferred Strategy stage, there will be a net loss in market housing provision and delivery.

This position is made worse and compounded as a result of accounting for the affordable-led sites in making up the housing supply.

As set out within the Preferred Strategy, these sites are expected to deliver at least 51% affordable housing. These units are not open market units, and will not / cannot contribute to the supply of such housing. These units will contribute to the provision of affordable housing, and will go some way to meeting the acute need for such housing (albeit will not eradicate / address in full the well known and accepted considerable requirement). Accordingly it is considered that these sites should be in addition to the housing supply, as opposed to forming part of the provision. In turn, there would need to be an increase in allocations for non-strategic sites, to ensure that there is sufficient market housing delivery over the Plan period.

Were such changes to be made and introduced, this would achieve and assist realise a more robust and sound housing supply, which will ensure that the identified housing need is met / addressed over the Plan period. Without these changes it is considered that the housing supply is not sufficient, and inevitably, housing need will not be met within the Plan.

St Athan Train Station

As set out in the Preferred Strategy (para A3.29), the strategy seeks to focus development around key sustainable transport nodes. The strategy outlined that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. Accordingly, in line with the spatial strategy adopted for the RLDP (i.e. focus development around sustainable transport nodes), St Athan was identified as a ‘Strategic Opportunity Area’ to accommodate strategic growth – through the proposed allocation of two key sites : ‘Land at Church Farm’ and ‘Land West of St Athan’. These sites have been identified to deliver 532no. and 600no. units respectively in the Plan period. These are separate to, and are in addition to, the 51no. units that have now been attributed to the site ‘Land South of Clive Road’ in St Athan. Accordingly, in total, the Housing Trajectory makes a provision for a total of 1,183no. homes to be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period.

It is now the case that, subsequent to the publication of the Preferred Strategy, the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales. The focus in the first phase of such improvements across the region is towards improving connectivity in east Cardiff, Newport, and Magor. Accordingly, it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period, which significantly questions the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

The strategy to allocate new housing growth is predicated on focusing residential development around sustainable transport nodes, and given that St Athan will be without any railway station in the Plan period, it is not considered that these sites align with the strategy of the RLDP. Accordingly, the wider Housing Trajectory is considered to be unsound, given that a total of 1,183no. homes are expected to be delivered in St Athan within the Plan period.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add a further site for housing in this location over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites - given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

We therefore consider the Trajectory to be both unrobust and unsound, and therefore, we object to the Trajectory in its current form accordingly.

Geographic distribution of the ‘new’ sites / provision

As a general and overarching comment in respect to the additional sites now included within the Plan, and forming part of the trajectory, (and a matter expanded upon when critiquing each of these sites in the next section to this submission), it is clear and evident that these additional sites have been positioned to settlements that have already, and recently, been attributed significant growth in the preceding Plan and plan period.

Significant allocations (which have also contributed to significant levels of affordable housing) have been realised and built out in locations such as Wick and Colwinston). Notwithstanding this, two of the additional sites are now proposed for these recently expanded settlements. Given that the purpose of the affordable housing led allocations is to meet unmet affordable housing need, it is questioned why such new allocations are attributed to settlements that have already seen open market and affordable housing provision, as compared to other comparable settlements that have not received any growth whatsoever over a considerable period of time.

It is considered accordingly that the geographic positioning of these allocations is at odds with their underlying purpose - to meet unmet affordable housing need in communities that have seen no provision.
Detailed Comments in respect to ‘new’ sites

Other Housing Allocations

Land south of Clive Road, St Athan

A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below for ease:
As set out at the outset of these representations, and whilst we note the findings of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage (i.e. Suitable for further consideration), we do not consider that the consultation on this site has been undertaken procedurally appropriately or suitably. We therefore consider the consultation on this site is “unrobust” and “unsound”.
As set out previously, the strategy seeks to focus development around key sustainable transport nodes. The strategy outlined that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. It is now the case that, subsequent to the publication of the Preferred Strategy, the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales, where the focus is towards improving connectivity in east Cardiff, Newport, and Magor. Accordingly, it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period, which significantly questions the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision, and as such, to add a further site for housing over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites – given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

Affordable Housing Led Allocations

Land at Heol Fain, Wick
A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below for ease:
Candidate Site Stage 2 Assessment (Site Ref. 404)
The findings of the Candidate Site Assessment for this site are noted. We are assuming the reason this site is proposed to be allocated is a product of the site promoters/developers heading the findings stated below, and changing the form of development to be in accord with this:
“A market housing led scheme would not be acceptable, but the site could be reconsidered as a small scale affordable housing led development subject to need and viability at a maximum of 50 dwellings. In accordance with the Settlement Appraisal Review, it is considered that Wick could potentially accommodate limited affordable housing led growth.”

Whilst no clearly evident deficiency exists in respect to the site, it is known that Wick has been subject to significant growth and expansion in recent years – not least by virtue of significant housing allocations in the settlement as part of previous plans.

To evidence this, 35% of the 124 units approved on the ‘Rectory Field, St Brides Road’ site (i.e. circa 43 units as per site allocation ref. MG(47) and PP ref. 2014/01424/FUL) were approved as Affordable Housing units. This makes a substantial provision of such Affordable Housing units (and housing generally) in the settlement in recent years.

Other similarly sized and comparable settlements and locations have not by contrast been subject to any growth for some considerable time, and accordingly would warrant and benefit from provision as part of this new replacement plan.

Notwithstanding the location of such provision, and as set out in detail at the outset of these representations, National Planning Policy advocates the high and acute need for affordable housing, whilst recent analysis evidences that there is a housing emergency. These circumstances - coupled with the shortcomings identified and set out earlier in these submissions in respect to the adequacy of provision within the plan (rolled forward sites / inadequate provision etc) – means that notwithstanding any potential allocation at Wick, further provision ought to be made in comparable (previously unprovided for) locations, such as Ystradowen.
Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin

‘Land West of Maendy Road’ has been registered as an Affordable Housing Led Allocation candidate site for the RLDP, however as far as we know from our review, there is no assessment and critique of this site. This site has not been included in the ‘Candidate Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage’ (October 2023). As such, with an absence of publicly available information, it is not clear how the Council has judged this site against the criteria. This raises questions accordingly in respect to the “soundness” of a site which forms part of the intended housing land supply, and by association the trajectory. Without this, and without being consulted on (as others have been prior to this) we question whether this allocation is “sound” (i.e. its allocation is considered to be “unsound”).

Despite the absence of site-specific assessment criteria, as the RLDP preferred strategy states a key objective guiding site selection is that the Plan will “provide for vital and vibrant rural communities whilst protecting the countryside through the delivery of growth in sustainable locations related to the settlement hierarchy alongside the provision of supporting infrastructure” (Objective 7 ‘Fostering Diverse Vibrant and Connected Communities’), it is reasonable to assume that the Council considers ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ to be a ‘sustainable’ location.

Given this, we have reviewed the key services in proximity to the site. The following services were identified:

• In terms of public transport, there are two bus stops located approximately 0.2 miles (4-minute walk) from the site (‘Land West of Maendy Road’), with the 321 providing services between Llantwit Major and Talbot Green.

• The site is also located 0.2 miles (4-minute walk) from The Farmers Arms Pub and 0.2 miles (4-minute walk) from The Hare and Hounds Inn.

• The site is located 0.2 miles (5-minute walk) from Aberthin Village Hall.

Aberthin is in close proximity (1.2 miles/14-minute walk) to the key settlement of Cowbridge - which is identified as a sustainable location, and is ranked 4th place for services and facilities within the Vale of Glamorgan. The following key services are found in Cowbridge, and are therefore in close proximity to ‘Land West of Maendy Road’:

• Cowbridge Comprehensive Schools;
• Cowbridge Health Centre; and
• Cowbridge Town Centre for various Retail Services.

Considering this, there is no material difference between ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ and ‘Land at Ystradowen’ in sustainability terms. Given that Ystradowen is located only 2.7 miles from Cowbridge (9- minute bus journey), the candidate site at ’Land at Ystradowen’ is no less sustainable than the site at Aberthin. The following key services are within Ystradowen and therefore in close proximity to the promoted site:

• In terms of public transport, there are two bus stops located approximately 400m (7-minute walk) from the site (‘Ty Mawr Close’), with the ‘321 Nat Group Service’ providing services between Llantwit Major and Talbot Green. The 321 service is the same bus service that serves ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ / Aberthin.
• The site is also located 300m (3-minute walk) and 600m (10-minute walk) from Sports Pitches/Playing Fields such as ‘Ystradowen Children’s Park’, and the 3/4G Sports Pitch at ‘Ystradowen Petanque Club’.

• Furthermore, the site is located 480m (7-minute walk) from the ‘Murco – Tudor Garage’ which can provide basic goods to meet day-today needs such as bread, butter, milk etc.

Accordingly, it can be considered therefore that if the proposed allocated site ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin’ is considered sustainable and by association suitable to be an Affordable Housing Led Allocation, ‘Land at Ystradowen’ is equally suitable to be an Affordable Housing Led Allocation.
Furthermore, to reinforce the above position and to illustrate and evidence the site’s sustainability, the following has been taken from the Officer’s Reports associated with the applications for the site that directly adjoins the western boundary of the promoted site 430 - ‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’ (Housing Allocation 48). An aerial view extract is outlined below to give spatial context:
Reference is made in the Final Report of app ref. 2013/00856/OUT which states that “Ystradowen is considered a sustainable settlement for further housing development”, due to “the sustainable nature of the settlement”.

Furthermore, the Final Report of app ref. 2023/00948/FUL states:

• “Notwithstanding this, the site is located in close proximity to local services and there is a bus stop located nearby. Whilst the comments relating to the reliance and frequency of the bus services have been considered, there still remains a bus service in the area.”
• “Firstly, as aforementioned, many neighbouring comments refer to the site as unsustainable and have commented on the suitability of public transport and cycle routes etc. This has been addressed above.”

The above clearly evidences that the location has previously been endorsed as, and is currently still found to be, sustainable.

A further key consideration to note and one which does differentiate between the relative merits of the ‘Land at Maendy Road, Aberthin’ and ‘Land at Ystradowen’ is that the LDP Proposals Map demonstrates that ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ is within a Special Landscape Area - see overleaf:
Vale of Glamorgan Proposals Map (Land West of Maendy Road outlined in red)
Under Policy MG17 ‘Special Landscape Areas’ it is considered that development in SLA could pose an “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area”. Accordingly, this development and proposed allocation could therefore cause “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area”.

‘Land at Ystradowen’ by contrast does not sit within a SLA (see below). This site would therefore not pose any potential concern in this respect as it would ultimately not cause any “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area”.
Vale of Glamorgan Proposals Map (Land at Ystradowen in red)

This is a significant factor to consider. ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin’ causing “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area” will lead to this proposed allocation being at risk of not being delivered by virtue of detailed assessments of its impacts and acceptability at planning application stage holding that the landscape and visual impact of development of the site is unacceptable. As such 25 affordable units will be lost from the proposed affordable 122 units, and ultimately being lost from the overall housing land supply. As stated in the draft housing trajectory “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”. There is a clear possibility therefore that this proposed allocation is not delivered (as it is located in a SLA), and so a “small scale affordable housing led development” which is needed to “respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities” is not provided for. This is clearly an issue. Given however ‘Land at Ystradowen’ does not sit within a SLA – and so not pose any potential concern or cause any “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area” – the allocation of this site would be more suitable and “safer” - as therefore would be no concerns over this proposed allocation being removed and/or not being delivered in this respect (as it is not located in a SLA). This would ensure that affordable units, where “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”, are provided for. As such the proposed housing trajectory would be maintained.
Land North of West Winds Business Park, Fferm Goch

The below sets out the candidate site stage two assessment of ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’:

Candidate Site Stage 2 Assessment (Site Ref. 398)
As can be seen above, the site was not considered suitable for further consideration, with the site scoring negatively (red) in respect to a number of key factors. These include the following:

• Access to Retail;
• Access to Health Services;
• Sustainable Transport- Public Transport;
• Access/ Proximity to services and facilities conclusion;
• Climate Change; and
• Health and Wellbeing.

Given the fact the site scores red in ‘Sustainable Transport – Public Transport’, this shows the site is not served by public transport connections within 800m, as outlined in the key below:
Additionally, Policy SP7 (Sustainable Transport) of the Vale of Glamorgan Preferred Strategy states “New development must support an enhanced transport network that increases the proportion of journeys being undertaken by sustainable travel modes”. Additionally Objective 8 (Promoting Active and Sustainable Travel Choices) states “new development is directed to locations that are or can be accessible by a choice of modes of transport, including walking, cycling, and public transport.”

It is well known that residents of affordable housing are statistically less likely to own private vehicles, making access to reliable and frequent public transport essential for ensuring equitable mobility. The provision of public transport infrastructure in close proximity to such developments is therefore a critical component in supporting access to employment, education, healthcare, and other key services, while also promoting sustainable travel patterns and social inclusion.

The site also scores red in respect to Access/Proximity to services, showing the site is greater than 1200m away from key services, as seen in the key below:
In respect of the above, Preferred Strategy 6.40 states the need “To ensure that new development takes place in locations that have the best access to a wide range of services, facilities, and employment opportunities, whilst minimising the need to travel, the distribution of growth is guided by the following settlement hierarchy”. To further highlight the importance of both sustainable transport and proximity to services, the preferred strategy also states the need to “Facilitate the development of adaptable, accessible, well-connected communities that have a strong sense of identity, offer a sustainable range of services and facilities and are equipped with adequate infrastructure”. In addition, Promoting Active and Sustainable Travel Choices outlines to “Promote and encourage the use of sustainable methods of travel, particularly active modes of transport, whilst simultaneously reducing the need to travel”.

In light of the above, this site does not align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy, as it fails to meet several key development goals set out. It should therefore not be considered suitable to be allocated for future developments. Its inclusion is therefore unsound.

Should this view be concurred with, 22 affordable units will be lost from the proposed affordable 122 units, and ultimately will be lost from the overall housing land supply. As stated in the draft housing trajectory “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”. There is a clear possibility therefore that this proposed allocation is removed and/or not delivered as its inclusion is unsound as it does not align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy - as it fails to meet several key development goals set out. A “small scale affordable housing led development” which is needed to “respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities” will therefore not be provided for. This is clearly an issue.

When comparing this with ‘Land at Ystradowen’, the following is set out:

Access to Services and Facilities

This criterion has been assessed firstly on the location of the site proposal in terms of whether it is located within, adjacent to, or outside a settlement, and secondly the ease of pedestrian and cycle access to key services listed below.
With reference to the above:

• In terms of public transport, there are two bus stops located approximately 400m (7-minute walk) from the site (‘Ty Mawr Close’), with the ‘321 Nat Group Service’ providing services between Llantwit Major and Talbot Green.

• The site is also located 300m (3-minute walk) and 600m (10-minute walk) from Sports Pitches/Playing Fields such as ‘Ystradowen Children’s Park’, and the 3/4G Sports Pitch at ‘Ystradowen Petanque Club’.

• Furthermore, the site is located 480m (7-minute walk) from the ‘Murco – Tudor Garage’ which can provide basic goods to meet day-today needs such as bread, butter, milk etc.

These services and facilities are therefore well within the best category (i.e. categorised/scored as ‘green’) - within 800m of site (10-minute walk). Accordingly, the site therefore has good access to services and facilities.

Furthermore, the settlement of Ystradowen has been ranked highly in the VoG Sustainable Settlements Appraisal, scoring a total of 14 points according to the distance to key services and facilities available. This places Ystradowen 26th out of a total of 87 settlements. As a result, this would be deemed a suitable area to accommodate growth.

As stated above the key settlement of Cowbridge is located in close proximity being only 2.7 miles to the south and a 9- minute bus journey. Cowbridge is identified as a sustainable location, and is ranked 4th place for services and facilities within the Vale of Glamorgan. The following key services are found in Cowbridge, and are therefore in close proximity to ‘Land West of Maendy Road’:

• Cowbridge Comprehensive Schools;
• Cowbridge Health Centre; and
• Cowbridge Town Centre for various Retail Services.

Furthermore, it is important to note that the above criteria does not take into account the important role and proximity of the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area (as defined in the RCTCBC LDP) of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant which is 2.8 miles to the north (14-minute bus journey). Ystradowen would also naturally align, and function, in association with this Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area (of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant). These areas comprise for example the following key services:

• Cowbridge and ‘Y Pant’ Comprehensive Schools;
• Cowbridge Health Centre and Old School Surgery; and
• Cowbridge Town Centre, and Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant (Strategic Growth Area), for various Retail Services.

Given the above, ‘Land at Ystradowen’ does/should align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy as it meets several of the key development goals set out. Its inclusion should therefore, in our view, be considered “sound” and therefore suitable to be allocated for future developments. The site should properly and appropriately be allocated in lieu of ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’ – the inclusion of which is “unsound”. ‘Land at Ystradowen’ would therefore ensure that affordable units, where “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”, are provided for. As such the proposed housing trajectory would be maintained.
Land to the East of Colwinston, Colwinston

A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below:

As outlined above, the site was rejected and considered not suitable for further consideration. In fact, and unlike ‘Land at Heol Fain, Wick’ and ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’ it was stated that this site “could not be considered as a suitable affordable housing led development site”. Despite this, this site is identified to be allocated as an Affordable Housing Led Allocation. As such, the inclusion of this site is “unsound”.

It is known that Colwinston has been subject to significant housing allocations in the settlement as part of previous plans. To evidence this, 25% of the 64 units (i.e. 16 units) were approved on the site allocation ref. MG2(41) and PP ref. 2014/00242/FUL. This makes a substantial provision of such Affordable Housing units (and housing generally) in the settlement in recent years.
Other similarly sized and comparable settlements and locations have not by contrast been subject to any growth for some considerable time, and accordingly would warrant and benefit from provision as part of this new replacement plan.

Notwithstanding the location of such provision, and as set out in detail at the outset of these representations, National Planning Policy advocates the high and acute need for affordable housing, whilst recent analysis evidences that there is a housing emergency. These circumstances - coupled with the shortcomings identified and set out earlier in these submissions in respect to the adequacy of provision within the plan (rolled forward sites / inadequate provision etc) – means that notwithstanding any potential allocation at Colwinston, further provision ought to be made in comparable (previously unprovided for) locations, such as Ystradowen.
Credentials of this site subject to this submission

There has been a significant change in the position and circumstances since the promoted site herein was assessed at Candidate Site Stage and the Assessment undertaken. The Stage 2 Assessment of the site concluded the following: ‘Whilst adjoining the existing LDP settlement boundary this is by virtue of an existing adopted plan LDP allocation this is currently under review. Notwithstanding this the site would represent unacceptable intrusion in to the open countryside.’
The assessment/conclusion implies that as this site (‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’) has not been built out and is “currently under review”, it suggests that ‘Land at Ystradowen’ (430) does not adjoin the existing LDP settlement boundary. Given recent developments however associated with the implementation of the planning permission ref. 2023/00948/FUL (post approval on 9th December 2024) and the site being currently being “built out” and work commencing on site, the site no longer adjoins “the existing LDP settlement boundary … by virtue of an existing adopted plan LDP allocation … currently under review”. Accordingly, and given this, the ‘Land at Ystradowen’ site boundary therefore directly adjoins/is adjoining the LDP settlement boundary and the site promoted herein.
The following specific photo evidences ‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’ (Housing Allocation 48) is being built out the western boundary of the promoted Site ID 430. This therefore clearly highlights that the site’s boundary is representing the existing settlement limit in the existing development plan. Accordingly, the ‘Land at Ystradowen’ site boundary therefore directly adjoins/is adjoining the existing LDP settlement boundary.
Summary of These Representations

To re-iterate, and to summarise the case made and set out, these representations seek to object to the Housing Trajectory published as part of the consultation on the Draft Housing Trajectory For Housing Stakeholder Group (October 2025) which underpins the Plan and the delivery / realisation of its underlying strategy.

Detailed submissions and objections are raised above in respect to the trajectory information published regarding the soundness and robustness of this information (and it’s consultation), which we do not consider are adequate, robust, or sound to deliver the Plans aims and objectives.

Introduction
These representations are provided on behalf of Barratt Redrow in respect of the Vale of Glamorgan Council’s consultation on the Replacement Local Development Plan (RLDP) Deposit Plan and Candidate Site Register. They should be read in conjunction with the enclosed completed Comments Forms.
Barratt Redrow are promoting land at St Nicholas (Site ID 486) for a residential-led development of up to 140 modern, energy efficient homes, 40% of which are currently proposed to be affordable.
Barratt Redrow is generally supportive of the Council’s work in preparing the RLDP. The preparation of an up-to-date development plan for the Vale is plainly important and the Council is to be supported in progressing the RLDP through to Deposit stage. The principle of a plan-led strategy, rooted in settlement evidence, affordable housing need and sustainable transport objectives, is endorsed. That is particularly important in the current plan-led Welsh planning context.
That said, in its current form the Deposit RLDP is not sufficiently ambitious and, in our view, requires a number of important changes in order to ensure soundness. The key concerns relate to the overall housing requirement, the level of flexibility built into the strategy, the degree of reliance placed on key sites, windfalls and rolled forward supply, the unduly restrictive approach taken to sustainable settlements outside of the Strategic Growth Area and the introduction of onerous policies that when considered together could impact deliverability. Those issues are especially relevant to St Nicholas, which the Council’s own evidence identifies as one of the better performing Minor Rural Settlements and one which has an established role in supporting a sustainable rural community.
The Council’s own evidence base supports a stronger role for St Nicholas than the Deposit Plan currently allows. It demonstrates that proportionate growth in settlements such as St Nicholas is not a departure from the Council’s established strategy; it is consistent with it. The Deposit RLDP should be amended so that it better reflects both national policy and the Council’s own evidence, and in particular so that sustainable and deliverable opportunities such as St Nicholas are able to make an appropriate contribution to meeting the Vale’s housing needs.
The remainder of these representations address the specific policies of the Deposit Plan.
Deposit Plan Plan Period Position: Object
Based on the Development Plans Manual, when a plan is adopted, there should be at least 10 years of the plan period remaining.
On the Council’s current timetable, adoption is only anticipated for August/September 2027, and those post-Deposit stages are expressly identified in the Delivery Agreement as indicative, because they depend on external factors including the number of representations received and the examination process. The Deposit Plan runs only to 2036. That means that, even if the Council hits its best-case programme and adopts in September 2027, the Plan would have only about 8 years and 3 months left to run. That is already below the DPM expectation of at least 10 years remaining at adoption. Any slippage would make that position worse.
Based on the current timetable, an end date of 2038 (with associated increase in housing requirement) would therefore ensure a sound plan.
Policy SP1 – Sustainable Growth Strategy Position: Comment / Object in part
Barratt Redrow supports the broad objective of pursuing a sustainable growth strategy and agrees that growth should be directed towards the most sustainable locations. The emphasis on public transport connectivity, access to services and the need to align housing growth with wider regional aspirations is supported in principle. The Deposit Plan’s summary of Future Wales correctly notes that the Vale lies within the Cardiff, Newport and the Valleys National Growth Area and that Local Development Plans should recognise this area as the focus for strategic economic and housing growth, services and facilities, and transport infrastructure. The Plan also correctly highlights Future Wales’ wider outcomes, including vibrant rural places with access to homes, jobs and services.
Our concern is that the strategy as drafted is not sufficiently nuanced and, in practice, it places too much weight on the Strategic Growth Areas and not enough weight on sustainable settlements outside it. In doing so, it risks overlooking villages which perform well against the Council’s own settlement evidence and which can accommodate proportionate growth in a highly sustainable way. St Nicholas is a clear example of that. The earlier Barratt David Wilson Homes representations made this point and it remains equally relevant now: the strategy should not be read as favouring rail-served locations to the exclusion of settlements with strong bus accessibility and established local services.
This is important because the Council’s own evidence does not justify such a narrow interpretation of sustainable transport. The BP5 methodology was adapted specifically to better appreciate the role and function of settlements in the Vale, including their relationship to key services and facilities. In other words, the Council has already recognised in its evidence base that sustainability in the Vale cannot sensibly be reduced to rail access alone.
St Nicholas benefits from strong bus connectivity and a strategic relationship to Cardiff and other settlements. Supporting population growth in proximity to regular bus services can itself help reinforce the viability of those routes. Para 3.45 of PPW states the following in respect of relationships beyond the Council’s administrative area:
“The evidence to identify suitable areas and sites for development should not be confined by local authority boundaries. It should reflect realities like housing markets, travel to work areas, retail catchments and the nature of activity or development itself.” (emphasis added)
Cardiff is by far the greatest attractor in terms of commuting destination, as shown in the below Census data for the Vale of Glamorgan:
St Nicholas is 16 minutes from Cardiff via bus. Not all people will want to live in towns (as recognised by the Council in their response to the draft NDF). The Spatial Option is depicted on Page 28 of the Spatial Options Background Paper (June 2023). This fails to show St Nicholas as a settlement with frequent bus connectivity despite it being served by excellent bus service provision.
Future Wales supports development which aligns with the South East Wales Metro which includes bus infrastructure and services as well as the rail network. The Deposit Plan’s focus on settlements with railway stations ignores settlements with bus service provision such as St Nicholas where travel via bus is an attractive, sustainable and convenient option for residents. For example, the travel time on bus to Cardiff from St Nicholas is 15 minutes, whereas the travel time from Rhoose to Cardiff via train is over double the time at 36 minutes.
Settlements such as St Nicholas will require additional growth over the coming years in order to contribute to their vibrancy and support existing services and facilities such as the local school and bus service. That remains a legitimate and important planning point. Future Wales, as summarised in the Deposit Plan, requires local authorities to maximise opportunities arising from public transport investment and to plan for growth that supports sustainable connectivity more generally, not simply around rail stations.
There is therefore a soundness issue here. The Council’s own evidence and national policy context support a strategy that captures sustainable bus-connected settlements as well as rail-served settlements. St Nicholas should be expressly recognised as one of those locations. If the Council is seeking to direct development to places “best served by public transport connectivity and [which] offer a good range of services and facilities”, then it should ensure that this is applied consistently to settlements such as St Nicholas rather than in a way that, in practice, privileges only a narrow subset of locations.
For that reason, Policy SP1 should be amended to make clearer that sustainable settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area, where there is good bus connectivity, local facilities and a clear functional relationship with wider employment and service centres, are capable of accommodating proportionate growth. That change would make the strategy more aligned with the evidence base and would support a more robust and resilient pattern of housing delivery.
Policy SP2 – Settlement Hierarchy Position: Object
Barratt Redrow objects to Policy SP2 in its current form.
The Council’s own evidence shows that St Nicholas performs strongly as a Minor Rural Settlement. It scored 39 points and ranked 5th out of 21 Minor Rural Settlements within the Settlement Appraisal Background Paper. It is one of the few settlements in this tier with a school in the village and that its strategic position and public transport accessibility lend support to it being treated as a sustainable settlement capable of accommodating further growth.
That broader conclusion is reinforced by the Deposit Plan itself. Paragraph 6.16 expressly identifies St Nicholas as one of the smaller rural settlements which contains a primary school serving a wider catchment area. The Plan goes on to recognise that, due to the functional links between rural settlements, it is essential to ensure that existing services and facilities are safeguarded, supported or enhanced where appropriate. Those are helpful and important acknowledgements.
However, notwithstanding that evidence, the policy framework remains highly restrictive. The Deposit Plan states that, in Minor Rural Settlements, general market housing will be limited to infill and conversion opportunities within the settlement boundary, whilst any more meaningful growth outside the Strategic Growth Area is essentially restricted to small scale affordable housing-led schemes with a minimum 50% affordable housing requirement. In our view that is too blunt an approach and is not justified by the evidence.
The reason this matters is because the Council’s own historic and current evidence points in the opposite direction. BP5 explains that the adopted LDP provided for moderate growth in Minor Rural Settlements to help meet local housing need and support existing local services. The adopted LDP Written Statement similarly states that minor rural settlements such as St Nicholas play an important role in underpinning sustainable rural communities and that there is a need for some moderate growth in these settlements. The earlier strategy therefore recognised that such locations could accommodate growth without undermining their character or function. The successful development of by Redrow of Cae Newydd, St Nicholas provides an example of how new residential development can successfully integrate into a Minor Rural Settlement.
In our view the current Deposit strategy has moved too far away from that balanced position. The Plan now acknowledges the sustainability credentials of St Nicholas but does not allow those credentials to translate into an appropriate development role. That disconnect between the evidence and the policy response is one of the main reasons why the Plan, as drafted, is not sound.
Accordingly, Policy SP2 should be amended. At the very least, it should be recast so that settlements such as St Nicholas are not treated as locations where only very limited growth can occur. A more proportionate and evidence-led approach would be to allow moderate mixed-tenure growth in the more sustainable Minor Rural Settlements, where this is supported by site-specific evidence and good placemaking. That would better reflect both the Council’s own settlement appraisal and the adopted LDP approach that preceded it. As drafted, the Plan expects a great deal from a very limited rural supply offer. It seeks to secure a minimum 50% affordable housing provision on qualifying sites, requires the mix of homes to respond to latest evidence, including specialist and older persons’ needs, and recognises the need for both affordable and market housing to support mixed communities in rural areas. The Plan also acknowledges the functional role of Minor Rural Settlements such as St Nicholas and the importance of supporting local services within them. In our view, those objectives are unlikely to be achieved through the very limited number of affordable housing-led allocations currently proposed. Additional sites in the more sustainable Minor Rural Settlements are therefore required if the Plan is to deliver what it seeks in a realistic, deliverable and sustainable manner.
Policy SP6 – Housing Requirement Position: Object
Barratt Redrow objects to Policy SP6.
Whilst we support the Council’s intention to plan positively for housing growth through an up-to-date RLDP, the proposed housing requirement of 7,890 dwellings is not considered sufficiently ambitious and, in our view, is no longer justified by the most up-to-date evidence. The Deposit Plan identifies a requirement of 7,890 dwellings, equating to 526 dwellings per annum, with provision for 8,660 homes once the 10% flexibility allowance is applied. That requirement remains rooted in the RLDP’s dwelling-led scenario, which the LHMA explains was derived from average completions over a 10-year period. In our view, that is too conservative an approach in present circumstances.
PPW and the Development Plans Manual is clear on this point. PPW sets out the following requirements for local authorities when setting a housing requirement at paragraph 4.2.6:
“The latest Welsh Government local authority level Household Projections for Wales, alongside the latest Local Housing Market Assessment (LHMA) and the Well-being plan for a plan area, will form a fundamental part of the evidence base for development plans. These should be considered together with other key evidence in relation to issues such as what the plan is seeking to achieve, links between homes and jobs, the need for affordable housing, Welsh language considerations and the deliverability of the plan, in order to identify an appropriate strategy for the delivery of housing in the plan area. Appropriate consideration must also begiven to the wider social, economic, environmental and cultural factors in a plan area in order to ensure the creation of sustainable places and cohesive communities.”
The Deposit Plan housing requirement is based on past delivery rates and does not take account of the above policy requirements. Whilst past build rates can be used as a benchmark for comparison, it is not appropriate for this to be used to set the future growth of the Authority Area. The Development Plans Manual states the following in this respect:
“5.55 Extrapolating forward past take-up rates for both jobs and homes over various time periods gives a factual representation of what has been delivered in the past. This approach can provide a useful benchmark against which to compare future employment and household growth, assuming previous conditions remained constant. However, this may have been constrained by contextual influences applicable at a previous point in time, for example global economic markets, or have led to undesirable outcomes which should not be repeated, such as a mismatch between the number of homes and jobs.
5.56 It will be important to understand the relationship between the past and the future direction of the plan, including such contextual circumstances. If there are/were limitations that hindered the ability to deliver growth previously, then until mechanisms are in place to address such matters this could have a bearing on future growth levels. Understanding the context within which delivery was/can be achieved will be important, particularly when considering a housing trajectory as this could influence the speed and increase delivery rates, or conversely result in a delivery cap until such matters are resolved.
5.57 Just relying on past build rates as the sole evidence base to quantify future employment and housing land requirements is not sufficient on its own. Additional evidence will be required to identify the scale of new jobs and homes necessary and the related land requirement.”
Contextual factors that mean utilising past build rates in setting future housing growth is inappropriate include:
• Utilising past build rates incorporates recession-based trends. This includes supressed build rates following the 2008 recession and more recently, reduced housing completions as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic and the current cost of living crisis;
• Does not actively seek to address the area’s ageing demographic;
• Does not reflect or take account of the Vale of Glamorgan’s position within a Growth Area within Future Wales;
• Does not seek to leverage any of the investment into the region through the CCR City Deal;
• Conflicts with the Deposit Plan’s ambition in terms of Homes For All and the Economy – in that there has been no recent job growth in the Vale of Glamorgan delivered under the current LDP and there is a shortage of housing and affordable housing. Applying the same build rate over the RLDP plan period would compound these issues; and
• During the period considered, many people were prevented from forming new households due to a lack of mortgage finance, lower employment levels and reduced rates of housing completions. There is a considerable body of evidence to show that household formation will return to long term trends if housing is made available. Research by the former National Housing and Planning Advice Unit (NHPAU)4 found that cohorts who are less able to access home ownership earlier in their housing career due to “boom” or “recession” factors impacting on affordability are nevertheless able to “catch-up” later on – 80% of the gap at the age of 30 is “caught-up” by the age of 40. This finding supports the resumption of long-term household formation trends.
In short, just relying on past build rates as the sole evidence base to quantify future housing land requirements is not sufficient on its own, and that additional evidence is required to identify the scale of new homes necessary, with alternative scenarios considered rather than simply extrapolating previous delivery trends. That is directly relevant here. A housing requirement derived too closely from historic completion rates risks baking in past under-delivery rather than planning positively for future need.
That concern is reinforced by the updated Welsh Government evidence published after the RLDP’s preferred growth scenario was formulated. The latest 2025-based estimates of additional housing need identify newly arising need in Wales of between 7,800 and 9,300 additional homes per annum over the first five years, with a central estimate of around 8,700 homes per annum, alongside a separate estimate of existing unmet need of 9,400 homes. Whilst those are national figures and do not automatically translate into a single local housing target, they plainly point towards a materially higher level of need than has previously been assumed and strengthen the case for local planning authorities, particularly in growth areas, to revisit conservative housing requirements.
The updated 2022-based household projections point in the same direction. Welsh Government’s latest figures show that the number of households in Wales is projected to increase by 7.2% between mid-2022 and mid-2032, and that the Vale of Glamorgan is projected to experience one of the largest percentage increases in Wales, at 11.7%. The same release notes that the Vale is also amongst the authorities expected to experience some of the strongest private household population growth. In short, the latest demographic evidence does not support a low-growth or “business as usual” response for the Vale. It points the other way.
This sits uncomfortably with the Council’s own housing evidence. The Deposit Plan records that the Vale has the highest affordability ratio in Wales and a significant need for affordable homes. It further records that the LHMA identifies affordable housing need averaging 461 dwellings per annum over 15 years using the principal projections, rising to 502 dwellings per annum under the RLDP projection figures. The Deposit Plan also acknowledges that only a proportion of new households will require affordable housing because others will meet their needs through the market. That is important, because it underlines the need for both affordable and open market housing, and therefore for a higher overall housing requirement than the Plan currently proposes.
The Deposit Plan principally seeks to address issues of affordability through a blanket 50% affordable housing requirement on sites other than the Key Sites. Whilst we fully support the Council in looking to address issues of affordability, we consider that an increase in the housing requirement and subsequent increase in housing supply (both open market and affordable) should be pursued.
There is a broader strategic point as well. The Vale sits within the wider Cardiff housing market and the Deposit Plan itself recognises the strong migration relationship with Cardiff and the role that strategic collaboration should play in considering housing growth. Against that background, and having regard to the updated Welsh Government evidence, the present requirement of 7,890 dwellings does not appear sufficiently ambitious for a National Growth Area authority with strong migration inflows, severe affordability pressures and one of the highest projected household growth rates in Wales. In our view, the Plan should test a higher housing requirement through examination.
A higher growth rate, such as the PG-5Y scenario or higher should be adopted to better align housing and job growth and redress socio economic trends. The likelihood of this of level of growth occurring is even greater in the context of the ambition and funding available to support the City Deal. However, in seeking to deliver the economic vision for the area, it is important to ensure that economic growth is not constrained by a lack of land (for either housing or employment).
Whilst this is higher than past build rates, it should be noted that build rates are closely related to the availability of deliverable sites; therefore, the allocation of sufficient housing land in the RLDP would go a long way to increasing delivery. Current delivery rates have been supressed by wider socio economic trends and reliance within the existing LDP on large strategic sites (i.e. Barry Waterfront). Basing the RLDP Growth Option on past delivery would therefore result in an increase in the number of suppressed households. There is no rationale or justification to set future housing need by reference solely to past delivery rates.
The key point for soundness is therefore a simple one. The Development Plans Manual requires a housing requirement to be grounded in a broad evidence base and not simply in past completion trends. The latest demographic and housing need evidence now available points towards stronger growth pressure than that reflected in Policy SP6. In those circumstances, retaining the current requirement without revisiting it would not, in our view, be consistent with the Development Plans Manual or with a genuinely evidence-led plan-making exercise.
The Council’s own evidence supports the use of a 4% household-to-dwelling conversion factor. The LHMA states that the RLDP preferred growth scenario assumes growth of 7,586 households, which equates to 7,890 dwellings once vacancy rates are applied, effectively applying a 4% uplift in practice. That approach is also consistent with the adopted Vale of Glamorgan LDP, which expressly applied a
1.04 household-to-dwelling conversion ratio in deriving part of its housing requirement. In those circumstances, and absent any robust local evidence justifying a different factor, it is entirely appropriate to apply the Development Plans Manual baseline uplift of 4% to any updated household-led requirement. On that basis, a requirement of 9,623 households would convert to 10,008 dwellings, which is around 26.8% above the 7,890 dwellings currently sought under Policy SP6 and further underlines that the Deposit RLDP is not sufficiently ambitious in housing terms.Accordingly, Policy SP6 should be amended to provide for a higher housing requirement. The precise figure is ultimately a matter for examination, but the current requirement is too low, too closely tied to past build rates, and insufficiently responsive to updated Welsh Government projections and housing need evidence. A higher requirement would also require a broader and more resilient supply portfolio, which in turn strengthens the case for additional deliverable sites in sustainable settlements such as St Nicholas.
Policy SP6 – Flexibility, housing land supply and trajectory Position: Object
Barratt Redrow also objects to the level of flexibility embedded within Policy SP6 and raises concern regarding the resilience of the housing land supply and the robustness of the housing trajectory.
The Development Plans Manual is clear that housing supply is the housing requirement plus a flexibility allowance. It further states that it will be extremely rare for all sites identified in a plan to come forward within the timescales anticipated, and that a development plan will not be effective if it cannot accommodate changing circumstances. For that reason, a flexibility allowance must be embedded into the plan. Whilst the Manual says that 10% may be a starting point, it also makes clear that the level of flexibility is for each authority to determine based on local issues and that any chosen level must be robustly evidenced.
In our view, a 10% flexibility allowance is not sufficient in the context of this Plan. The Deposit Plan’s housing provision of 8,660 dwellings is made up of 3,837 dwellings from the existing land supply, 3,520 dwellings on allocated sites and 1,303 dwellings from windfalls. The Council’s housing land supply paper then shows that the allocation component itself includes 959 dwellings on rolled-forward LDP sites, 2,278 dwellings on key housing allocations, 122 dwellings on affordable housing-led sites and 161 dwellings on other allocations. That is a relatively exposed and finely balanced supply portfolio.
The resilience issue is due to a substantial element of the supply depends on a relatively small number of key sites, a significant rolled-forward component, and a large windfall assumption. The Development Plans Manual states that rolled-forward allocations require careful justification, that there must be a substantial change in circumstances to demonstrate such sites can be delivered and justify being included again, and that clear evidence will be required that those sites can be delivered. That is a demanding test, as it should be. In our view, the Plan’s reliance on rolled-forward sites and key sites means that a modest flexibility allowance of 10% does not provide a sufficient margin of safety.
The housing trajectory also warrants closer scrutiny. The Development Plans Manual describes the housing trajectory as the key mechanism for demonstrating how all sites will be delivered in the identified timescales throughout the whole plan period. It states that lead-in times for larger sites, inter-relationships between sites, constraints, infrastructure timing and assumptions for both large and small windfalls must all be taken into account. It also requires trajectories to provide a steady flow of sites through the plan period and not to be unduly loaded towards the end of the period.
Against that benchmark, there is a legitimate question over whether the RLDP trajectory is sufficiently robust. The Council’s own housing land supply paper records stakeholder concerns that the trajectory shows a significant step change in delivery above previous rates, that there is too great a reliance on key sites, and that the assumed timescales for pre-application work, application determination and discharge of conditions are too short. The consultation summary specifically records concern that delivery rises from around 400 to 500 dwellings per annum in the early monitored years to around 1,000 dwellings per annum by 2027/28, and that this represents a marked and pronounced step change. Those are not peripheral issues; they go directly to the credibility and resilience of the trajectory.
The same background paper also confirms that over 25% of the Plan’s total provision is attributed to key sites. Again, that does not make the Plan unsound in itself, but it does mean the trajectory and flexibility allowance need to be particularly robust. In our view, the current Plan does not yet demonstrate that level of resilience. The delivery assumptions may prove achievable, but the point for examination is that they require close scrutiny and should not simply be accepted at face value, particularly when the Development Plans Manual emphasises realism, flexibility and steady delivery through the full plan period.
There is also a concern about the windfall component. The Council’s evidence assumes delivery of 1,303 dwellings from large and small windfall developments over the lifetime of the plan. The Development Plans Manual accepts that windfalls can form part of supply, but it also requires the assumptions behind them to be evidenced and scrutinised. Here, the windfall figure is material, not marginal. That is another reason why the resilience of the identified allocation portfolio matters so much. Where a plan is relying on rolled-forward sites, key sites and substantial windfalls all at once, there is a stronger case for a higher flexibility allowance and for a broader pool of deliverable sites.
In our view, the sounder approach would be to increase the flexibility allowance from 10% to 15% and broaden the supply base through the inclusion of additional sustainable and deliverable sites. That would better reflect the Development Plans Manual’s requirement for plans to remain effective in the face of delay and changing circumstances, and it would reduce the risk of the RLDP becoming over-dependent on a narrow set of sites and optimistic delivery assumptions. It would also be entirely consistent with wider Welsh plan-making practice, where flexibility allowances above 10% have been accepted where local circumstances justify it. By way of example, Flintshire’s adopted LDP applies a flexibility allowance of over 13%, while Bridgend’s recently adopted RLDP provides for a 14% flexibility allowance following examination. Against that background, and having regard to the Vale RLDP’s reliance on key sites, rolled-forward allocations, a substantial windfall component and a stepped housing trajectory, a 15% allowance is justified here as a proportionate and robust response to the particular delivery risks of this Plan.This point also links directly back to St Nicholas. If the Plan is to be made sound, it should not rely so heavily on a small number of large, longer-lead sites and on a substantial windfall allowance. It should include a broader range of deliverable sites capable of contributing earlier and more reliably to the housing trajectory. A sustainable, mixed-tenure site at St Nicholas would assist in precisely that respect by diversifying the supply portfolio and improving resilience.
Policy SP7 – Affordable Housing Provision Position: Support in principle / Object in part
Barratt Redrow supports the objective of delivering affordable housing and agrees that this is one of the key issues the RLDP must address. Policy SP7 is therefore supported in principle. However, the policy should be read in conjunction with a more ambitious overall housing strategy, because affordable housing delivery cannot sensibly be divorced from the wider question of total supply.
The Deposit Plan is clear that the delivery of affordable housing is a key objective of the RLDP and that the strength of the Vale’s housing market has resulted in many local people experiencing difficulties in purchasing suitable housing on the open market. Barratt Redrow supports that objective in principle. The policy also correctly identifies that a mix of affordable housing will be required, with reference to the LHMA, and that this should include a range of tenures, types and sizes of homes. That said, the wording of Policy SP7 lacks sufficient clarity. In particular, the reference to the affordable housing mix being “informed” by the LHMA is ambiguous. It is unclear whether the LHMA is intended to provide a broad evidence base and starting point for negotiation, or whether the Council expects schemes to replicate that mix as a fixed requirement. In our view, the policy should be clarified so that the LHMA is expressly treated as a guiding framework rather than a prescriptive formula, with the final tenure mix, type and size of affordable provision being determined having regard to site-specific circumstances, up-to-date evidence, viability and deliverability.The LHMA is highly relevant here. It explains that affordable need is no longer confined to traditional social rented housing and that current economic conditions have squeezed many households out of both home ownership and the private rented sector, creating additional need for intermediate rent and low-cost home ownership products. It also notes that an ongoing supply of new build properties remains important to the operation of assisted home ownership products in the Vale.
That evidence is important because it confirms there is a need for both affordable and open market housing. The market sector is not separate from the affordable housing challenge; it is part of how that challenge is addressed. The LHMA also makes clear that only a proportion of new households will require affordable housing because others will meet their needs through the market. This is another reason why the overall housing requirement matters so much.
There is also a more local point relevant to St Nicholas. The LHMA identifies St Nicholas & Llancarfan as a distinct housing market area and shows need arising there across tenures. It is therefore not correct to approach St Nicholas on the basis that only one tenure or one product type is needed. The evidence points to a requirement for a broader mix.
The Deposit Plan itself supports that conclusion. It acknowledges that, in meeting Policy SP7, a range of affordable tenures, types and sizes of homes will be required. It also records that the Council will seek to secure an appropriate level and mix of affordable housing in all proposed residential developments.
In our view, the main issue with Policy SP7 is therefore not its objective, but the fact that the rest of the strategy is not sufficiently ambitious to support it. The Plan cannot identify very substantial affordable need and then pursue a relatively low overall housing requirement combined with a narrow rural growth model. A sound approach would be to increase the overall housing provision and broaden the pool of sustainable and deliverable mixed-tenure sites so that affordable housing delivery through the planning system can be maximised. St Nicholas should form part of that response.
Policy SP8 – Affordable Housing Requirements Position: Support in principle / Object in part
Barratt Redrow supports the principle that residential development should contribute towards affordable housing need. However, there are concerns about how Policy SP8 interacts with the rest of the strategy, especially outside the Strategic Growth Area.
The Deposit Plan confirms that, within Primary and Minor Rural Settlements, new development will generally be required to provide 40% affordable housing. It also confirms that outside delineated settlement boundaries proposals for additional housing will be strictly controlled and limited to affordable housing exception sites or housing in support of rural enterprises. The Plan then layers on the separate affordable housing-led model under Policy HG4, where a minimum of 50% affordable housing is required.
In principle, Barratt Redrow has no issue with seeking ambitious affordable housing delivery where supported by viability evidence. The concern is that the overall strategy becomes too rigid when SP8 is read alongside SP2, SP3, HG4 and other potentially onerous policy requirements, including Policy CC1. In practice, this risks leaving sustainable settlements such as St Nicholas with very little scope to contribute to general housing delivery unless schemes meet a highly demanding affordable-led model. That is not a balanced or flexible way to plan for rural communities. It also gives rise to a lack of clarity between Policies SP7 and SP8 which should be addressed. Policy SP7 states that the mix of affordable housing to be delivered over the plan period will be “informed” by the LHMA, waiting list data and the Older Persons Housing Strategy, but it is unclear whether that is intended simply as a starting point for negotiation or whether the Council expects the identified mix to be applied more prescriptively. By contrast, Policy SP8 expressly provides greater flexibility: it states that affordable housing will be negotiated on a site-by-site basis having regard to evidenced viability, that the exact mix of affordable housing will be considered on a case-by-case basis having regard to the Council’s latest needs evidence, and that where proven economic circumstances affect delivery the Council may negotiate the level, type, tenure and nature of provision. In our view, those two policies should be aligned. That would better reflect Planning Policy Wales, which requires planning authorities to develop evidence-based market and affordable housing policies, but also makes clear that affordable housing targets and policy expectations must take account of deliverability and viability considerations. In that context, Policy SP7 should be clarified so that the LHMA and related evidence are expressly treated as guiding the starting point for discussions on mix, rather than imposing a fixed outcome irrespective of site-specific circumstances, technical constraints, abnormal costs or viability. That is especially important given the Deposit Plan’s blanket affordable housing percentages across the Vale and the cumulative effect of other policy requirements, which may affect the deliverability of particular allocations and should therefore be capable of being addressed on a site-by-site basis.The Deposit Plan recognises that an appropriate mix of affordable housing will be required, and that in the rural Vale there is a desire for smaller market homes as well as affordable homes. It also accepts that affordable housing delivery may be lower than anticipated because of viability constraints and that, where proven economic circumstances affect delivery, the Council may negotiate the level, type, tenure and nature of provision. This should feed through into a more flexible strategy overall. In particular, the Plan should not be read or applied in a way that suppresses the delivery of mixed-tenure schemes in sustainable rural settlements where those schemes can contribute both market and affordable housing and support local services. That is especially so given the evidence in the LHMA that a range of tenures is required and that intermediate and low-cost home ownership products are an increasingly important part of the housing response.
8. Policy HG1 / Housing Allocations and overall supply portfolio Position: Comment / Object in part
Barratt Redrow does not object in principle to the Council allocating key sites and other strategic locations. However, there remains a significant concern that the Plan is overly reliant on a relatively narrow supply portfolio.
The Deposit Plan confirms that the allocation component of supply comprises 2,278 dwellings on key sites, 959 dwellings on rolled forward sites, 161 dwellings on new housing allocations and 122 dwellings on affordable housing-led sites. It also confirms that 1,303 dwellings are expected from windfalls. That means a large proportion of the Plan’s supply is tied up either in a small number of large sites, historic carry-over, or a substantial assumption about unallocated windfall delivery.
Our earlier Preferred Strategy reps raised exactly this issue and those points should all be carried forward. In particular:
• the Plan is overly reliant on a small number of key sites;
• medium-sized sites in sustainable locations can provide resilience to the housing trajectory;
• windfalls account for a significant proportion of the supply and provide less certainty over geographical distribution and delivery; and
• rolled forward allocations require careful justification if they are to be relied upon as part of the plan’s effective provision.
The Deposit Plan’s own figures support that concern. It states that only a small proportion of development is likely to take place outside of the Strategic Growth Area, with some of this reflecting permissions granted under the adopted strategy. It also shows that the total housing provision attributable to Minor Rural Settlements and Primary Settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area is only 390 dwellings. In our view that is too low, particularly given the evidence that some of those settlements perform relatively well and can help diversify the supply portfolio.
Based on the revised RLDP Delivery Agreement, should there be no further slippage the RLDP will be adopted in September 2027 with there being some 7 years before the end of the plan period (of 2034) post-adoption. There may of course be some slippage in the adoption of the RLDP. We therefore would query whether the quantum of homes proposed on the larger Key Sites can realistically be delivered within the plan period.
The following conclusions of Lichfield’s Start to Finish (2nd Edition, Feb 2020) research are relevant in this respect:
• From the date at which an outline application is validated, the average figures can be 5.0-8.4 years for the first home to be delivered.
• If a scheme of more than 500 dwellings has an outline permission, then on average it delivers its first home in circa 3 years.
• The average build out rate of sites between 500-999 dwellings is 68 homes per annum and 107 homes per annum for sites between 1,000 and 1,499 dwellings.
All of the Key Sites have no outline application having been submitted. Given the revocation of TAN 1 and Welsh Government’s emphasis on a plan led system, the very earliest that the Key Sites could have outline permission in place would be post-adoption of the plan limiting its housing land supply contribution within the early years of the plan period. Allowing for an appropriate amount of time to secure necessary permissions, consents and infrastructure delivery, the Key Sites’ contribution to housing supply within the plan period would fall significantly below the quantum currently assumed in the Preferred Strategy. In that context, it is all the more important that sustainable and deliverable medium-sized sites are included in the Plan where appropriate. Again, St Nicholas is an obvious example.
In short, the issue is not that key sites should not exist. It is that the current portfolio is not broad enough and not resilient enough. The Plan should be strengthened through the inclusion of additional medium-sized, sustainable allocations capable of delivery within the plan period.
Policy HG4 – Rural Affordable Housing Led Sites Position: Support in principle / Object in part
Barratt Redrow supports the principle of identifying rural affordable housing-led sites. It is entirely appropriate that the RLDP seeks to respond to local housing need in rural communities and to secure affordable provision in settlements where opportunities may otherwise be more limited.
However, Policy HG4 also illustrates the broader weakness in the Plan’s current rural strategy. The Deposit Plan allocates four affordable housing-led sites at Colwinston, Aberthin, Wick and Fferm Goch, totalling 122 dwellings. It also requires applicants to demonstrate how both the market and affordable housing on those sites will meet local housing needs in terms of tenure, type and size, so that a range of housing is delivered to meet different groups in the community. The supporting text then expressly notes that Planning Policy Wales requires a sufficient number of sites suitable for the full range of housing types, and that in the rural Vale there is demand for smaller market homes as well as affordable homes.
Those are important statements and, in our view, they assist the case being made here. They show that the Council itself accepts that rural settlements need a range and choice of homes, not just affordable housing in isolation. They also show that some open market housing in rural locations is not only acceptable, but in fact part of how mixed communities and affordable delivery are achieved.
The problem is that the strategy remains too narrow in how it applies that logic. The Plan effectively says that outside the Strategic Growth Area, growth should generally be confined to affordable-led schemes with a minimum 50% affordable requirement, and anything below that will not be supported. In our view that is too rigid and may well suppress otherwise sustainable and beneficial development, particularly where sites are capable of delivering a strong policy-compliant affordable contribution but not necessarily the precise affordable-led model the Council has chosen.
We continue to raise concerns that a blanket 50% affordable requirement could create deliverability issues, including reliance on complex developer/RSL arrangements and a level of uncertainty around funding and market conditions. Without repeating every operational point, the central planning concern remains valid: the strategy should not be so rigid that it prevents settlements from growing and adapting in a sustainable way. This is especially the case given the ever more challenging delivery context set by increasingly onerous policy requirements.
St Nicholas is relevant here because it demonstrates the missed opportunity in the current approach. The village is expressly identified by the Council as one of the smaller rural settlements with a primary school serving a wider catchment area. It performs well in the settlement appraisal and is the sort of place where a sensitive mixed-tenure allocation could help support local services, provide both market and affordable housing, and diversify the Plan’s supply. In our view, the omission of St Nicholas from the rural housing strategy is not justified by the evidence currently before the Council.
Policy CC1 – Residential Operational Net Zero Carbon Development Position: Object
Barratt Redrow supports the wider objective of improving the energy performance of new homes and reducing carbon emissions from development. However, Policy CC1 in its current form gives rise to a number of concerns regarding consistency with national standards, deliverability, viability and practical implementation. The Deposit Plan is explicit that Policy CC1 is intended to require new dwellings to exceed current Building Regulations standards. Welsh Government’s own sustainable buildings guidance confirms that Building Regulations set mandatory standards for the design and construction of buildings, including environmental performance. In our view, that raises a legitimate question as to whether an additional local policy layer of this kind is necessary or proportionate, particularly where it risks inconsistency across local planning authorities and may duplicate, or move ahead of, the national regulatory framework.
There is also a need for greater precision in the policy wording itself. As drafted, Policy CC1 requires development to provide on-site renewable electricity generation equivalent to at least the annual energy consumption of the development, assessed through an energy performance model. The supporting text explains that the relevant metric is Energy Use Intensity, which measures all energy consumed by the building. If the policy approach is to be progressed, the policy should make clear that compliance relates only to regulated energy use, consistent with Building Regulations methodology. Developers can influence the performance of the building fabric and regulated building services, but they cannot control future occupant behaviour, appliance use, plug loads or other forms of unregulated energy demand. Without that clarification, there is a risk that the policy extends beyond matters that can reasonably and consistently be secured through the planning process.
A further issue is that the policy should expressly allow its requirements to fall away, or be treated as satisfied, where national Building Regulations subsequently catch up with or exceed the standards sought under Policy CC1, or where the national regime adopts a different but equivalent methodology. Without such a safeguard, there is a real risk that the RLDP imposes outdated or duplicative requirements later in the plan period, which would not only create unnecessary complexity but could also compromise the delivery of much-needed housing. That concern is heightened by the cumulative policy burden elsewhere in the Plan, including affordable housing, open space, placemaking, green infrastructure and other low carbon requirements. In our view, the Council should therefore demonstrate, through its viability work, that the housing allocations in Policy HG1 are capable of absorbing the cumulative costs of Policy CC1 alongside the wider requirements of the RLDP.
Clarification is also required in relation to the fallback Project Zero Fund contribution. The Deposit Plan states that where it is not technically feasible to provide a policy-compliant level of renewable energy on site, the residual energy is to be offset through an appropriate contribution to the Council’s Project Zero Fund “as far as economic viability allows”, with further detail to be provided in SPG. In our view, that is presently too uncertain. The policy should make clear how any such contribution will be calculated, what assumptions will be used, what evidence will be required, and how viability will be taken into account. These are all matters which go directly to deliverability and should not be left entirely to post-adoption guidance.
In summary, Building Regulations are sufficient to achieve Welsh Government’s objectives for improving energy efficiency and delivering net-zero carbon development. Additional local policy requirements risk creating inconsistency across Local Planning Authorities and may exceed what is necessary to align with national policy. If a local approach is to be taken, as a minimum, Policy CC1 should be amended so that: (i) it applies only to regulated energy use; (ii) its requirements fall away, or are deemed satisfied, where Building Regulations subsequently meet or exceed them or adopt an alternative national methodology; and (iii) the policy and supporting text provide a clearer framework for viability, Project Zero contributions and practical implementation.
Policy CI1 – Open Space Provision
Position: Support in principle / Object in part
Barratt Redrow supports the objective of ensuring that new development makes appropriate provision for open space and recreation. That is entirely consistent with good placemaking and with national policy support for healthy, inclusive and green environments. However, Policy CI1 as drafted is overly prescriptive and, in our view, requires amendment to provide greater flexibility and to better reflect local context and design-led principles.
The main concern is the way in which the policy translates the Fields in Trust benchmarks into a rigid per-dwelling requirement of 62.2 sq m per dwelling. The Deposit Plan itself recognises, at paragraph 6.233, that on-site provision should be design led rather than standards led, and that the type of provision should respond to local context and identified local need having regard to the Open Space Background Paper. That is an important and sensible acknowledgement. In our view, however, the policy wording pulls in the opposite direction by setting out what reads in practice as a uniform quantitative requirement. Fields in Trust guidance is ordinarily framed around population and typologies, to be applied strategically and flexibly, rather than as a blanket per-dwelling metric irrespective of scheme context, form and composition. A rigid application of the standard risks disproportionate land take, unnecessary design constraints and, ultimately, pressure on viability and delivery.
There is also concern regarding the separate requirement for an Open Space Strategy for all housing and commercial developments meeting the thresholds. In many cases, the provision of open space within a development will already be addressed through the Design and Access Statement, Green Infrastructure Statement and the overall layout and placemaking rationale of the scheme. We would therefore question whether a standalone Open Space Strategy is necessary in every case. In our view, the policy should be amended so that open space can be addressed through the principal design and green infrastructure material submitted with the application, unless there is a particular site-specific reason why a separate strategy is required. That would avoid unnecessary duplication without weakening the quality of assessment.
Change sought: amend Policy CI1 and supporting text to make clear that the benchmark standards are to be applied flexibly and strategically, having regard to site context, typology and local need, and that open space provision may be addressed through the Design and Access Statement and/or Green Infrastructure material rather than requiring a standalone Open Space Strategy in every case.
Policy SP4 – Placemaking
Position: Support in principle / Comment
Barratt Redrow supports Policy SP4 in principle. The emphasis on placemaking is fully consistent with Planning Policy Wales and with the Deposit Plan’s wider design-led approach to development. The policy framework rightly seeks to ensure that major development is shaped by the placemaking principles from the outset.
That said, the wording of the policy should better reflect the position already set out in the supporting text. Paragraph 6.34 of the Deposit Plan makes clear that the required Placemaking Statement should form part of the Design and Access Statement for most major planning applications. That is helpful and sensible. In our view, the policy itself should say the same thing expressly, so that there is no suggestion that applicants are expected to prepare a separate freestanding document in addition to the DAS.
Suggested wording amendment:
“Major development proposals must be supported by a Placemaking Statement, to be incorporated within the Design and Access Statement where one is required, demonstrating clearly how the proposal accords with the placemaking principles of the Plan.”
That amendment would improve clarity, avoid duplication and align the policy wording with paragraph
6.34 of the supporting text.
Policy SP5 – Creating Healthy and Inclusive Places and Spaces Position: Support in principle / Comment in part
Barratt Redrow supports the objective of creating healthy and inclusive places and spaces and agrees that health and well-being are legitimate and important planning considerations. The wider thrust of Policy SP5 is consistent with PPW’s placemaking agenda and with the Deposit Plan’s recognition that the built environment can have a significant influence on health outcomes.
However, there is a need to ensure that the assessment requirements under Policy SP5 are proportionate and do not create unnecessary cost and duplication. The policy requires all qualifying major development to undertake screening at pre-application stage and, for significant developments, a rapid Health Impact Assessment. The supporting text explains that a rapid HIA may involve literature review, stakeholder engagement and wider evidence gathering. In our view, whilst that may be appropriate for larger or more complex schemes, the policy should recognise more clearly that the health implications of development will often already be addressed through the Design and Access Statement, Placemaking Statement, Green Infrastructure material, Transport Assessment and related application documents. There is a risk that the current wording adds a further procedural burden, with associated cost implications, without always adding materially new value.
We therefore consider that the policy should be applied proportionately, with the checklist and any rapid HIA focused on developments where there is a realistic prospect of significant or complex health implications, rather than as a routine additional requirement in every qualifying case. The policy would also benefit from clarification that the conclusions of the screening/HIA can be incorporated into the main design and supporting statements submitted with the application, rather than requiring standalone reporting unless specifically justified by the scale or sensitivity of the proposal.
Change sought: amend Policy SP5 and/or its supporting text to confirm that health assessment requirements will be applied proportionately, and that the outcomes of the checklist or rapid HIA may be integrated within other application documents, including the Design and Access Statement, Placemaking Statement and Green Infrastructure material, unless a standalone report is specifically justified.
Policy CC2 – Presumption Against Demolition Position: Support in principle / Object in part
Barratt Redrow supports the broad objective of encouraging the repair, refurbishment, re-use and re-purposing of existing buildings where that represents the most sustainable outcome. The policy’s underlying intent, to avoid unnecessary loss of embodied carbon and encourage circular economy principles, is understood.
Nevertheless, Policy CC2 as drafted is overly onerous and risks giving rise to unintended consequences for deliverability. The policy establishes a strong presumption against demolition and requires extensive justification through either a Demolition Statement or an Energy Report / Whole Life Carbon Assessment. Whilst that may be appropriate in certain cases, a blanket presumption of this kind risks frustrating otherwise sustainable redevelopment proposals, including proposals involving poor quality farm buildings, obsolete structures, and buildings that are not well suited to modern standards of layout, accessibility, thermal performance or efficient land use. In some cases, insisting on retention or retrofit may not represent the most sustainable outcome overall.
There is also a tension with the wider objective of making the most effective and efficient use of land. Some buildings may be technically capable of retention, but only at disproportionate cost, with compromised design outcomes or reduced site efficiency. On previously developed or rural redevelopment sites alike, that could affect development timescales, viability and ultimately the ability to bring forward policy-compliant schemes. The policy does contain some flexibility through criteria 3 and 4, which recognise that a lower net carbon solution may in some circumstances arise from demolition and redevelopment. However, in our view, the overall wording still leans too heavily towards a presumption against demolition rather than a balanced assessment of the most sustainable whole-life outcome in each case.
The policy would therefore benefit from a more balanced formulation which supports retention and reuse where appropriate, but does not create a disproportionate barrier to demolition where redevelopment would deliver a better placemaking, operational carbon, viability or land-use outcome. That is particularly important in relation to sites containing redundant agricultural or rural buildings, and sites where retrofit would be impractical, inefficient or environmentally sub-optimal.
Change sought: amend Policy CC2 so that it supports the retention and re-use of existing buildings where feasible and sustainable, but allows demolition where this would deliver a more effective overall development outcome having regard to whole-life carbon, operational performance, design quality, viability, land efficiency and deliverability.
Land at St Nicholas / omission from the Deposit Plan Position: Object to omission
Barratt Redrow objects to the omission of land at St Nicholas from the Deposit Plan.
The case for St Nicholas is, in our view, strong and is rooted in the Council’s own evidence base. As already noted, the settlement performs strongly in the BP5 appraisal, the adopted LDP and current review both identify the role of minor rural settlements in supporting sustainable communities, and both the adopted LDP and the current Deposit Plan recognise the specific significance of St Nicholas as a village with a primary school serving a wider catchment area.
Deposit Plan Conclusion
Overall, Barratt Redrow is supportive of the Council’s continued work in preparing the RLDP and supports the objective of putting in place a robust, plan-led framework for growth in the Vale of Glamorgan. However, the Plan in its current form is not sufficiently ambitious and requires modification in order to be sound.
In particular:
• The Plan Period is too short. An extended plan period (and associated increase in housing requirement) is required to provide for at least ten years post adoption;
• the housing requirement under Policy SP6 is too low and is too closely tied to past build rates;
• the 10% flexibility allowance is not sufficient given the structure and risk profile of the supply;
• the Plan relies too heavily on key sites, rolled forward sites and windfalls;
• the strategy for settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area is too restrictive and does not properly reflect the evidence on bus-connected, serviceable and functionally linked settlements; and
• the omission of St Nicholas is not justified by the Council’s own evidence base.
The evidence before the Council supports a stronger role for St Nicholas. The adopted LDP and current BP5 review both recognise the role of Minor Rural Settlements in supporting sustainable rural communities and providing for moderate growth. The Deposit Plan itself acknowledges St Nicholas’ role as a settlement with a primary school serving a wider catchment area. The LHMA demonstrates that there is a need for a range of housing products and tenures, and the Deposit Plan itself accepts that rural areas require both affordable and market housing to meet local needs.
For those reasons, Barratt Redrow seeks amendments to Policies SP1, SP2, SP6, SP7, SP8 and HG4, together with a more flexible and resilient housing strategy overall, and the inclusion of land at St Nicholas as an appropriate and deliverable source of mixed-tenure housing growth within the RLDP period.
Candidate Site Register - Site ID 486
Land to the south of the A48 at St Nicholas (Site ID 486) is being promoted by Barratt Redrow for a residential-led development.
Stage 2 Candidate Site Assessment
The Council’s Stage 2 Candidate Site Assessment states:
“The development would have an adverse impact on the character and setting of the St Nicholas Conservation Area and would also be considered to represent an unacceptable intrusion in to the open countryside. Predictive Agricultural Land Classification Map indicates that the site is Grade 3a agricultural land loss of this land would be contrary to national policy.”
The key issues raised are all capable of being overcome as part of the ongoing promotion of the site, as set out below:
Impact upon Character and Setting of the St Nicholas Conservation Area
Wessex Archaeology have prepared a Heritage Appraisal in support of the site’s development. This concludes that future development within the site would unlikely cause harm to the significance of the designated heritage assets if the development is in keeping with the surrounding built character.
The impact upon the character and setting of the St Nicholas Conservation Area is considered acceptable and the site is considered to be the best option to accommodate the growth of St Nicholas in a sensitive manner, particularly with regard to the following:
• The Site is located outside of the Conservation Area whereas other fields outside the settlement boundary (e.g. to the south of The Manor House) are within the Conservation Area;
• The Conservation Area covers the majority of St Nicholas and most options for the village’s growth would be within its setting;
• PPW Para. 6.5.22 advises that proposals should be tested against a Conservation Area Appraisal where they are available. The St Nicholas Conservation Area Appraisal does not identify any features or important characteristics on the candidate site; and
• The proposals for the site are being developed so that they are sensitively designed, in keeping with the surrounding built character and retain important landscape features and views beyond the site.
Countryside Impacts
The Urbanists have undertaken a Landscape and Visual Appraisal in support of the site’s development. It concludes that the site could be developed without causing unacceptable visual impacts on key receptors, the landscape character and types within the proposed site and its surrounds, with the inclusion of appropriate green infrastructure enhancement and mitigation.
The emerging proposals have been underpinned by existing landscape features, with green infrastructure areas and landscape edges proposed within and around the site. New parkland and amenity spaces, footpaths along with a network of sustainable drainage features are incorporated with tree planting proposed throughout. It is accordingly considered that the proposals will sit well within the receiving landscape with limited impacts beyond its immediate setting.
Agricultural Land Quality
Technical Advice Note (TAN) 6 notes that agricultural land within Grades 1, 2, and 3a are considered to be the “most flexible, productive and efficient land in terms of output”. Paragraph 3.59 of PPW sets out the search sequence when considering allocating land within LDPs stating that poorer quality agricultural land should be considered ahead of higher quality land. Accordingly, whilst the site comprises Grade 3a agricultural land quality based on the currently available survey data, it comprises the poorest quality of other options for growth around St Nicholas. There is an overriding need for housing growth as part of the preparation of the RLDP and the allocation of the site would accord with the search sequence set out in PPW.
As the proposals for the site develop further, there is scope to include allotments/community growing areas and open space areas allowing much of the very good quality soils to be retained. The soils that are retained on site in the open spaces and gardens will still be able to provide various ecosystem functions, particularly in the support of biodiversity, and water and carbon storage.
Appendix 2 – Summary of Assessment
We comment on the Council’s Summary of Assessment as follows:
• Developer Interest: should be amended from red to green. The site is under single positive control by Barratt Redrow who have a track record of successfully developing residential-led sites within the Vale of Glamorgan.
• Historic Environment: should be amended from red to green. The site and proposal’s potential impact upon the historic environment is outlined within the candidate site submission and earlier within these representations as being acceptable.
• Special Landscape Area and Glamorgan Heritage Coast Designations: should be amended from red to green. The Urbanists have undertaken a Landscape and Visual Appraisal in support of the site’s development. It concludes that the site could be developed without causing unacceptable visual impacts on these designations.
• Environmental & Physical Constraints Conclusions: should be amended from red to green. The site is not subject to any environmental or physical constraints which cannot be accommodated through the sensitive design approach adopted by Barrat Redrow.
• Access/proximity to services and facilities conclusions: should be amended from amber to green. The Transport Appraisal which formed part of the candidate site submission evidences the site’s accessibility and proximity to services and facilities.
• Connectivity and Capacity: should be amended from red to green. The candidate site submission demonstrates the site’s capacity for the quantum of development proposed and its connectivity to the settlement and other key locations in the Vale of Glamorgan via sustainable transport modes.
• Climate Change: should be amended from red to green. The site is in a sustainable location, with a number of local facilities including a bus stop, a school, health and wellbeing facilities all within a short walk from the site as well as the retail facilities situated within acceptable cycling distances site and highly accessible by public transport. Overall, the accessible location of the development will mean that there is a reduced need for private car journeys, in turn reducing overall pollution. The development will be supported by a Travel Plan in favour of sustainable modes of travel. Moreover, the dwellings will be built to Part L 2025 which means the new homes will produce reduced levels of CO2.
• Placemaking Character and Place: should be amended from red to green. The proposals comply with the National Sustainable Placemaking Outcomes, as set out within the Appraisal which formed part of the candidate site submission.
• Suitable for Further Consideration: should be amended from red to green for the reasons set out below and within the candidate site submission.
Suitability for Allocation and Key Benefits
For the sake of brevity, we do not intend to repeat the considerable and detailed content of the Candidate Site Submission here. The previously submitted information however contained substantial information to support the allocation of the site as well as a detailed sustainability and connectivity appraisal undertaken in accordance with PPW.
In summary, the submission demonstrated that the site is suitable for allocation within the Council’s RLDP and its inclusion would help contribute to the overall soundness of the emerging Plan. The proposed site fully accords with National Sustainable Placemaking Outcomes and Sustainable Transport Hierarchy set out in PPW and the site is considered to be deliverable and viable.
The proposed development of the site would deliver the following key benefits:
• Delivering a range and choice of housing (including a proportion of affordable housing) in a sustainable location on a deliverable site which can contribute towards the resilience of the RLDP’s housing trajectory and the effectiveness of the Plan;
• The proposals would support the vibrancy of St Nicholas with the site being closely related to the settlement and capable of integrating effectively with the settlement to the benefit of existing and proposed residents;
• The provision of multi-functional open space – including amenity space for residents, play spaces, potential for local growing spaces, nature walks, sustainable drainage and wildlife habitats to achieve biodiversity enhancements;
• Encouraging and supporting active travel with cleaner, greener travel choices and reduced out commuting being located close to public transport provision;
• Good quality open spaces with significant biodiversity benefits (delivering a biodiversity enhancement), surface water resilience and efficient energy, water and communications infrastructure;
• Economic benefits – including that the proposed development is expected to:
o Support the employment of 434 people;
o Create circa £1,687,420 in additional tax, including £158,124 in council tax revenue for the Vale of Glamorgan Council.
It is accordingly concluded that allocation of the site would contribute to the soundness of the RLDP and would accord with the well-being goals specified in the Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act 2015.
Barratt Redrow, Highlight Planning and the project team are keen to work collaboratively with the Council and other parties to demonstrate the suitability of the land for development and its identification as an allocation in the RLDP.
I trust the above representations assist in the Council’s preparation of the RLDP. We would welcome the opportunity to discuss the above matters with the Council if that would be helpful. If you have any queries please do not hesitate to contact us.

Introduction
These representations are provided on behalf of Barratt Redrow in respect of the Vale of Glamorgan Council’s consultation on the Replacement Local Development Plan (RLDP) Deposit Plan and Candidate Site Register. They should be read in conjunction with the enclosed completed Comments Forms.
Barratt Redrow are promoting land at St Nicholas (Site ID 486) for a residential-led development of up to 140 modern, energy efficient homes, 40% of which are currently proposed to be affordable.
Barratt Redrow is generally supportive of the Council’s work in preparing the RLDP. The preparation of an up-to-date development plan for the Vale is plainly important and the Council is to be supported in progressing the RLDP through to Deposit stage. The principle of a plan-led strategy, rooted in settlement evidence, affordable housing need and sustainable transport objectives, is endorsed. That is particularly important in the current plan-led Welsh planning context.
That said, in its current form the Deposit RLDP is not sufficiently ambitious and, in our view, requires a number of important changes in order to ensure soundness. The key concerns relate to the overall housing requirement, the level of flexibility built into the strategy, the degree of reliance placed on key sites, windfalls and rolled forward supply, the unduly restrictive approach taken to sustainable settlements outside of the Strategic Growth Area and the introduction of onerous policies that when considered together could impact deliverability. Those issues are especially relevant to St Nicholas, which the Council’s own evidence identifies as one of the better performing Minor Rural Settlements and one which has an established role in supporting a sustainable rural community.
The Council’s own evidence base supports a stronger role for St Nicholas than the Deposit Plan currently allows. It demonstrates that proportionate growth in settlements such as St Nicholas is not a departure from the Council’s established strategy; it is consistent with it. The Deposit RLDP should be amended so that it better reflects both national policy and the Council’s own evidence, and in particular so that sustainable and deliverable opportunities such as St Nicholas are able to make an appropriate contribution to meeting the Vale’s housing needs.
The remainder of these representations address the specific policies of the Deposit Plan.
Deposit Plan Plan Period Position: Object
Based on the Development Plans Manual, when a plan is adopted, there should be at least 10 years of the plan period remaining.
On the Council’s current timetable, adoption is only anticipated for August/September 2027, and those post-Deposit stages are expressly identified in the Delivery Agreement as indicative, because they depend on external factors including the number of representations received and the examination process. The Deposit Plan runs only to 2036. That means that, even if the Council hits its best-case programme and adopts in September 2027, the Plan would have only about 8 years and 3 months left to run. That is already below the DPM expectation of at least 10 years remaining at adoption. Any slippage would make that position worse.
Based on the current timetable, an end date of 2038 (with associated increase in housing requirement) would therefore ensure a sound plan.
Policy SP1 – Sustainable Growth Strategy Position: Comment / Object in part
Barratt Redrow supports the broad objective of pursuing a sustainable growth strategy and agrees that growth should be directed towards the most sustainable locations. The emphasis on public transport connectivity, access to services and the need to align housing growth with wider regional aspirations is supported in principle. The Deposit Plan’s summary of Future Wales correctly notes that the Vale lies within the Cardiff, Newport and the Valleys National Growth Area and that Local Development Plans should recognise this area as the focus for strategic economic and housing growth, services and facilities, and transport infrastructure. The Plan also correctly highlights Future Wales’ wider outcomes, including vibrant rural places with access to homes, jobs and services.
Our concern is that the strategy as drafted is not sufficiently nuanced and, in practice, it places too much weight on the Strategic Growth Areas and not enough weight on sustainable settlements outside it. In doing so, it risks overlooking villages which perform well against the Council’s own settlement evidence and which can accommodate proportionate growth in a highly sustainable way. St Nicholas is a clear example of that. The earlier Barratt David Wilson Homes representations made this point and it remains equally relevant now: the strategy should not be read as favouring rail-served locations to the exclusion of settlements with strong bus accessibility and established local services.
This is important because the Council’s own evidence does not justify such a narrow interpretation of sustainable transport. The BP5 methodology was adapted specifically to better appreciate the role and function of settlements in the Vale, including their relationship to key services and facilities. In other words, the Council has already recognised in its evidence base that sustainability in the Vale cannot sensibly be reduced to rail access alone.
St Nicholas benefits from strong bus connectivity and a strategic relationship to Cardiff and other settlements. Supporting population growth in proximity to regular bus services can itself help reinforce the viability of those routes. Para 3.45 of PPW states the following in respect of relationships beyond the Council’s administrative area:
“The evidence to identify suitable areas and sites for development should not be confined by local authority boundaries. It should reflect realities like housing markets, travel to work areas, retail catchments and the nature of activity or development itself.” (emphasis added)
Cardiff is by far the greatest attractor in terms of commuting destination, as shown in the below Census data for the Vale of Glamorgan:
St Nicholas is 16 minutes from Cardiff via bus. Not all people will want to live in towns (as recognised by the Council in their response to the draft NDF). The Spatial Option is depicted on Page 28 of the Spatial Options Background Paper (June 2023). This fails to show St Nicholas as a settlement with frequent bus connectivity despite it being served by excellent bus service provision.
Future Wales supports development which aligns with the South East Wales Metro which includes bus infrastructure and services as well as the rail network. The Deposit Plan’s focus on settlements with railway stations ignores settlements with bus service provision such as St Nicholas where travel via bus is an attractive, sustainable and convenient option for residents. For example, the travel time on bus to Cardiff from St Nicholas is 15 minutes, whereas the travel time from Rhoose to Cardiff via train is over double the time at 36 minutes.
Settlements such as St Nicholas will require additional growth over the coming years in order to contribute to their vibrancy and support existing services and facilities such as the local school and bus service. That remains a legitimate and important planning point. Future Wales, as summarised in the Deposit Plan, requires local authorities to maximise opportunities arising from public transport investment and to plan for growth that supports sustainable connectivity more generally, not simply around rail stations.
There is therefore a soundness issue here. The Council’s own evidence and national policy context support a strategy that captures sustainable bus-connected settlements as well as rail-served settlements. St Nicholas should be expressly recognised as one of those locations. If the Council is seeking to direct development to places “best served by public transport connectivity and [which] offer a good range of services and facilities”, then it should ensure that this is applied consistently to settlements such as St Nicholas rather than in a way that, in practice, privileges only a narrow subset of locations.
For that reason, Policy SP1 should be amended to make clearer that sustainable settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area, where there is good bus connectivity, local facilities and a clear functional relationship with wider employment and service centres, are capable of accommodating proportionate growth. That change would make the strategy more aligned with the evidence base and would support a more robust and resilient pattern of housing delivery.
Policy SP2 – Settlement Hierarchy Position: Object
Barratt Redrow objects to Policy SP2 in its current form.
The Council’s own evidence shows that St Nicholas performs strongly as a Minor Rural Settlement. It scored 39 points and ranked 5th out of 21 Minor Rural Settlements within the Settlement Appraisal Background Paper. It is one of the few settlements in this tier with a school in the village and that its strategic position and public transport accessibility lend support to it being treated as a sustainable settlement capable of accommodating further growth.
That broader conclusion is reinforced by the Deposit Plan itself. Paragraph 6.16 expressly identifies St Nicholas as one of the smaller rural settlements which contains a primary school serving a wider catchment area. The Plan goes on to recognise that, due to the functional links between rural settlements, it is essential to ensure that existing services and facilities are safeguarded, supported or enhanced where appropriate. Those are helpful and important acknowledgements.
However, notwithstanding that evidence, the policy framework remains highly restrictive. The Deposit Plan states that, in Minor Rural Settlements, general market housing will be limited to infill and conversion opportunities within the settlement boundary, whilst any more meaningful growth outside the Strategic Growth Area is essentially restricted to small scale affordable housing-led schemes with a minimum 50% affordable housing requirement. In our view that is too blunt an approach and is not justified by the evidence.
The reason this matters is because the Council’s own historic and current evidence points in the opposite direction. BP5 explains that the adopted LDP provided for moderate growth in Minor Rural Settlements to help meet local housing need and support existing local services. The adopted LDP Written Statement similarly states that minor rural settlements such as St Nicholas play an important role in underpinning sustainable rural communities and that there is a need for some moderate growth in these settlements. The earlier strategy therefore recognised that such locations could accommodate growth without undermining their character or function. The successful development of by Redrow of Cae Newydd, St Nicholas provides an example of how new residential development can successfully integrate into a Minor Rural Settlement.
In our view the current Deposit strategy has moved too far away from that balanced position. The Plan now acknowledges the sustainability credentials of St Nicholas but does not allow those credentials to translate into an appropriate development role. That disconnect between the evidence and the policy response is one of the main reasons why the Plan, as drafted, is not sound.
Accordingly, Policy SP2 should be amended. At the very least, it should be recast so that settlements such as St Nicholas are not treated as locations where only very limited growth can occur. A more proportionate and evidence-led approach would be to allow moderate mixed-tenure growth in the more sustainable Minor Rural Settlements, where this is supported by site-specific evidence and good placemaking. That would better reflect both the Council’s own settlement appraisal and the adopted LDP approach that preceded it. As drafted, the Plan expects a great deal from a very limited rural supply offer. It seeks to secure a minimum 50% affordable housing provision on qualifying sites, requires the mix of homes to respond to latest evidence, including specialist and older persons’ needs, and recognises the need for both affordable and market housing to support mixed communities in rural areas. The Plan also acknowledges the functional role of Minor Rural Settlements such as St Nicholas and the importance of supporting local services within them. In our view, those objectives are unlikely to be achieved through the very limited number of affordable housing-led allocations currently proposed. Additional sites in the more sustainable Minor Rural Settlements are therefore required if the Plan is to deliver what it seeks in a realistic, deliverable and sustainable manner.
Policy SP6 – Housing Requirement Position: Object
Barratt Redrow objects to Policy SP6.
Whilst we support the Council’s intention to plan positively for housing growth through an up-to-date RLDP, the proposed housing requirement of 7,890 dwellings is not considered sufficiently ambitious and, in our view, is no longer justified by the most up-to-date evidence. The Deposit Plan identifies a requirement of 7,890 dwellings, equating to 526 dwellings per annum, with provision for 8,660 homes once the 10% flexibility allowance is applied. That requirement remains rooted in the RLDP’s dwelling-led scenario, which the LHMA explains was derived from average completions over a 10-year period. In our view, that is too conservative an approach in present circumstances.
PPW and the Development Plans Manual is clear on this point. PPW sets out the following requirements for local authorities when setting a housing requirement at paragraph 4.2.6:
“The latest Welsh Government local authority level Household Projections for Wales, alongside the latest Local Housing Market Assessment (LHMA) and the Well-being plan for a plan area, will form a fundamental part of the evidence base for development plans. These should be considered together with other key evidence in relation to issues such as what the plan is seeking to achieve, links between homes and jobs, the need for affordable housing, Welsh language considerations and the deliverability of the plan, in order to identify an appropriate strategy for the delivery of housing in the plan area. Appropriate consideration must also begiven to the wider social, economic, environmental and cultural factors in a plan area in order to ensure the creation of sustainable places and cohesive communities.”
The Deposit Plan housing requirement is based on past delivery rates and does not take account of the above policy requirements. Whilst past build rates can be used as a benchmark for comparison, it is not appropriate for this to be used to set the future growth of the Authority Area. The Development Plans Manual states the following in this respect:
“5.55 Extrapolating forward past take-up rates for both jobs and homes over various time periods gives a factual representation of what has been delivered in the past. This approach can provide a useful benchmark against which to compare future employment and household growth, assuming previous conditions remained constant. However, this may have been constrained by contextual influences applicable at a previous point in time, for example global economic markets, or have led to undesirable outcomes which should not be repeated, such as a mismatch between the number of homes and jobs.
5.56 It will be important to understand the relationship between the past and the future direction of the plan, including such contextual circumstances. If there are/were limitations that hindered the ability to deliver growth previously, then until mechanisms are in place to address such matters this could have a bearing on future growth levels. Understanding the context within which delivery was/can be achieved will be important, particularly when considering a housing trajectory as this could influence the speed and increase delivery rates, or conversely result in a delivery cap until such matters are resolved.
5.57 Just relying on past build rates as the sole evidence base to quantify future employment and housing land requirements is not sufficient on its own. Additional evidence will be required to identify the scale of new jobs and homes necessary and the related land requirement.”
Contextual factors that mean utilising past build rates in setting future housing growth is inappropriate include:
• Utilising past build rates incorporates recession-based trends. This includes supressed build rates following the 2008 recession and more recently, reduced housing completions as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic and the current cost of living crisis;
• Does not actively seek to address the area’s ageing demographic;
• Does not reflect or take account of the Vale of Glamorgan’s position within a Growth Area within Future Wales;
• Does not seek to leverage any of the investment into the region through the CCR City Deal;
• Conflicts with the Deposit Plan’s ambition in terms of Homes For All and the Economy – in that there has been no recent job growth in the Vale of Glamorgan delivered under the current LDP and there is a shortage of housing and affordable housing. Applying the same build rate over the RLDP plan period would compound these issues; and
• During the period considered, many people were prevented from forming new households due to a lack of mortgage finance, lower employment levels and reduced rates of housing completions. There is a considerable body of evidence to show that household formation will return to long term trends if housing is made available. Research by the former National Housing and Planning Advice Unit (NHPAU)4 found that cohorts who are less able to access home ownership earlier in their housing career due to “boom” or “recession” factors impacting on affordability are nevertheless able to “catch-up” later on – 80% of the gap at the age of 30 is “caught-up” by the age of 40. This finding supports the resumption of long-term household formation trends.
In short, just relying on past build rates as the sole evidence base to quantify future housing land requirements is not sufficient on its own, and that additional evidence is required to identify the scale of new homes necessary, with alternative scenarios considered rather than simply extrapolating previous delivery trends. That is directly relevant here. A housing requirement derived too closely from historic completion rates risks baking in past under-delivery rather than planning positively for future need.
That concern is reinforced by the updated Welsh Government evidence published after the RLDP’s preferred growth scenario was formulated. The latest 2025-based estimates of additional housing need identify newly arising need in Wales of between 7,800 and 9,300 additional homes per annum over the first five years, with a central estimate of around 8,700 homes per annum, alongside a separate estimate of existing unmet need of 9,400 homes. Whilst those are national figures and do not automatically translate into a single local housing target, they plainly point towards a materially higher level of need than has previously been assumed and strengthen the case for local planning authorities, particularly in growth areas, to revisit conservative housing requirements.
The updated 2022-based household projections point in the same direction. Welsh Government’s latest figures show that the number of households in Wales is projected to increase by 7.2% between mid-2022 and mid-2032, and that the Vale of Glamorgan is projected to experience one of the largest percentage increases in Wales, at 11.7%. The same release notes that the Vale is also amongst the authorities expected to experience some of the strongest private household population growth. In short, the latest demographic evidence does not support a low-growth or “business as usual” response for the Vale. It points the other way.
This sits uncomfortably with the Council’s own housing evidence. The Deposit Plan records that the Vale has the highest affordability ratio in Wales and a significant need for affordable homes. It further records that the LHMA identifies affordable housing need averaging 461 dwellings per annum over 15 years using the principal projections, rising to 502 dwellings per annum under the RLDP projection figures. The Deposit Plan also acknowledges that only a proportion of new households will require affordable housing because others will meet their needs through the market. That is important, because it underlines the need for both affordable and open market housing, and therefore for a higher overall housing requirement than the Plan currently proposes.
The Deposit Plan principally seeks to address issues of affordability through a blanket 50% affordable housing requirement on sites other than the Key Sites. Whilst we fully support the Council in looking to address issues of affordability, we consider that an increase in the housing requirement and subsequent increase in housing supply (both open market and affordable) should be pursued.
There is a broader strategic point as well. The Vale sits within the wider Cardiff housing market and the Deposit Plan itself recognises the strong migration relationship with Cardiff and the role that strategic collaboration should play in considering housing growth. Against that background, and having regard to the updated Welsh Government evidence, the present requirement of 7,890 dwellings does not appear sufficiently ambitious for a National Growth Area authority with strong migration inflows, severe affordability pressures and one of the highest projected household growth rates in Wales. In our view, the Plan should test a higher housing requirement through examination.
A higher growth rate, such as the PG-5Y scenario or higher should be adopted to better align housing and job growth and redress socio economic trends. The likelihood of this of level of growth occurring is even greater in the context of the ambition and funding available to support the City Deal. However, in seeking to deliver the economic vision for the area, it is important to ensure that economic growth is not constrained by a lack of land (for either housing or employment).
Whilst this is higher than past build rates, it should be noted that build rates are closely related to the availability of deliverable sites; therefore, the allocation of sufficient housing land in the RLDP would go a long way to increasing delivery. Current delivery rates have been supressed by wider socio economic trends and reliance within the existing LDP on large strategic sites (i.e. Barry Waterfront). Basing the RLDP Growth Option on past delivery would therefore result in an increase in the number of suppressed households. There is no rationale or justification to set future housing need by reference solely to past delivery rates.
The key point for soundness is therefore a simple one. The Development Plans Manual requires a housing requirement to be grounded in a broad evidence base and not simply in past completion trends. The latest demographic and housing need evidence now available points towards stronger growth pressure than that reflected in Policy SP6. In those circumstances, retaining the current requirement without revisiting it would not, in our view, be consistent with the Development Plans Manual or with a genuinely evidence-led plan-making exercise.
The Council’s own evidence supports the use of a 4% household-to-dwelling conversion factor. The LHMA states that the RLDP preferred growth scenario assumes growth of 7,586 households, which equates to 7,890 dwellings once vacancy rates are applied, effectively applying a 4% uplift in practice. That approach is also consistent with the adopted Vale of Glamorgan LDP, which expressly applied a
1.04 household-to-dwelling conversion ratio in deriving part of its housing requirement. In those circumstances, and absent any robust local evidence justifying a different factor, it is entirely appropriate to apply the Development Plans Manual baseline uplift of 4% to any updated household-led requirement. On that basis, a requirement of 9,623 households would convert to 10,008 dwellings, which is around 26.8% above the 7,890 dwellings currently sought under Policy SP6 and further underlines that the Deposit RLDP is not sufficiently ambitious in housing terms.Accordingly, Policy SP6 should be amended to provide for a higher housing requirement. The precise figure is ultimately a matter for examination, but the current requirement is too low, too closely tied to past build rates, and insufficiently responsive to updated Welsh Government projections and housing need evidence. A higher requirement would also require a broader and more resilient supply portfolio, which in turn strengthens the case for additional deliverable sites in sustainable settlements such as St Nicholas.
Policy SP6 – Flexibility, housing land supply and trajectory Position: Object
Barratt Redrow also objects to the level of flexibility embedded within Policy SP6 and raises concern regarding the resilience of the housing land supply and the robustness of the housing trajectory.
The Development Plans Manual is clear that housing supply is the housing requirement plus a flexibility allowance. It further states that it will be extremely rare for all sites identified in a plan to come forward within the timescales anticipated, and that a development plan will not be effective if it cannot accommodate changing circumstances. For that reason, a flexibility allowance must be embedded into the plan. Whilst the Manual says that 10% may be a starting point, it also makes clear that the level of flexibility is for each authority to determine based on local issues and that any chosen level must be robustly evidenced.
In our view, a 10% flexibility allowance is not sufficient in the context of this Plan. The Deposit Plan’s housing provision of 8,660 dwellings is made up of 3,837 dwellings from the existing land supply, 3,520 dwellings on allocated sites and 1,303 dwellings from windfalls. The Council’s housing land supply paper then shows that the allocation component itself includes 959 dwellings on rolled-forward LDP sites, 2,278 dwellings on key housing allocations, 122 dwellings on affordable housing-led sites and 161 dwellings on other allocations. That is a relatively exposed and finely balanced supply portfolio.
The resilience issue is due to a substantial element of the supply depends on a relatively small number of key sites, a significant rolled-forward component, and a large windfall assumption. The Development Plans Manual states that rolled-forward allocations require careful justification, that there must be a substantial change in circumstances to demonstrate such sites can be delivered and justify being included again, and that clear evidence will be required that those sites can be delivered. That is a demanding test, as it should be. In our view, the Plan’s reliance on rolled-forward sites and key sites means that a modest flexibility allowance of 10% does not provide a sufficient margin of safety.
The housing trajectory also warrants closer scrutiny. The Development Plans Manual describes the housing trajectory as the key mechanism for demonstrating how all sites will be delivered in the identified timescales throughout the whole plan period. It states that lead-in times for larger sites, inter-relationships between sites, constraints, infrastructure timing and assumptions for both large and small windfalls must all be taken into account. It also requires trajectories to provide a steady flow of sites through the plan period and not to be unduly loaded towards the end of the period.
Against that benchmark, there is a legitimate question over whether the RLDP trajectory is sufficiently robust. The Council’s own housing land supply paper records stakeholder concerns that the trajectory shows a significant step change in delivery above previous rates, that there is too great a reliance on key sites, and that the assumed timescales for pre-application work, application determination and discharge of conditions are too short. The consultation summary specifically records concern that delivery rises from around 400 to 500 dwellings per annum in the early monitored years to around 1,000 dwellings per annum by 2027/28, and that this represents a marked and pronounced step change. Those are not peripheral issues; they go directly to the credibility and resilience of the trajectory.
The same background paper also confirms that over 25% of the Plan’s total provision is attributed to key sites. Again, that does not make the Plan unsound in itself, but it does mean the trajectory and flexibility allowance need to be particularly robust. In our view, the current Plan does not yet demonstrate that level of resilience. The delivery assumptions may prove achievable, but the point for examination is that they require close scrutiny and should not simply be accepted at face value, particularly when the Development Plans Manual emphasises realism, flexibility and steady delivery through the full plan period.
There is also a concern about the windfall component. The Council’s evidence assumes delivery of 1,303 dwellings from large and small windfall developments over the lifetime of the plan. The Development Plans Manual accepts that windfalls can form part of supply, but it also requires the assumptions behind them to be evidenced and scrutinised. Here, the windfall figure is material, not marginal. That is another reason why the resilience of the identified allocation portfolio matters so much. Where a plan is relying on rolled-forward sites, key sites and substantial windfalls all at once, there is a stronger case for a higher flexibility allowance and for a broader pool of deliverable sites.
In our view, the sounder approach would be to increase the flexibility allowance from 10% to 15% and broaden the supply base through the inclusion of additional sustainable and deliverable sites. That would better reflect the Development Plans Manual’s requirement for plans to remain effective in the face of delay and changing circumstances, and it would reduce the risk of the RLDP becoming over-dependent on a narrow set of sites and optimistic delivery assumptions. It would also be entirely consistent with wider Welsh plan-making practice, where flexibility allowances above 10% have been accepted where local circumstances justify it. By way of example, Flintshire’s adopted LDP applies a flexibility allowance of over 13%, while Bridgend’s recently adopted RLDP provides for a 14% flexibility allowance following examination. Against that background, and having regard to the Vale RLDP’s reliance on key sites, rolled-forward allocations, a substantial windfall component and a stepped housing trajectory, a 15% allowance is justified here as a proportionate and robust response to the particular delivery risks of this Plan.This point also links directly back to St Nicholas. If the Plan is to be made sound, it should not rely so heavily on a small number of large, longer-lead sites and on a substantial windfall allowance. It should include a broader range of deliverable sites capable of contributing earlier and more reliably to the housing trajectory. A sustainable, mixed-tenure site at St Nicholas would assist in precisely that respect by diversifying the supply portfolio and improving resilience.
Policy SP7 – Affordable Housing Provision Position: Support in principle / Object in part
Barratt Redrow supports the objective of delivering affordable housing and agrees that this is one of the key issues the RLDP must address. Policy SP7 is therefore supported in principle. However, the policy should be read in conjunction with a more ambitious overall housing strategy, because affordable housing delivery cannot sensibly be divorced from the wider question of total supply.
The Deposit Plan is clear that the delivery of affordable housing is a key objective of the RLDP and that the strength of the Vale’s housing market has resulted in many local people experiencing difficulties in purchasing suitable housing on the open market. Barratt Redrow supports that objective in principle. The policy also correctly identifies that a mix of affordable housing will be required, with reference to the LHMA, and that this should include a range of tenures, types and sizes of homes. That said, the wording of Policy SP7 lacks sufficient clarity. In particular, the reference to the affordable housing mix being “informed” by the LHMA is ambiguous. It is unclear whether the LHMA is intended to provide a broad evidence base and starting point for negotiation, or whether the Council expects schemes to replicate that mix as a fixed requirement. In our view, the policy should be clarified so that the LHMA is expressly treated as a guiding framework rather than a prescriptive formula, with the final tenure mix, type and size of affordable provision being determined having regard to site-specific circumstances, up-to-date evidence, viability and deliverability.The LHMA is highly relevant here. It explains that affordable need is no longer confined to traditional social rented housing and that current economic conditions have squeezed many households out of both home ownership and the private rented sector, creating additional need for intermediate rent and low-cost home ownership products. It also notes that an ongoing supply of new build properties remains important to the operation of assisted home ownership products in the Vale.
That evidence is important because it confirms there is a need for both affordable and open market housing. The market sector is not separate from the affordable housing challenge; it is part of how that challenge is addressed. The LHMA also makes clear that only a proportion of new households will require affordable housing because others will meet their needs through the market. This is another reason why the overall housing requirement matters so much.
There is also a more local point relevant to St Nicholas. The LHMA identifies St Nicholas & Llancarfan as a distinct housing market area and shows need arising there across tenures. It is therefore not correct to approach St Nicholas on the basis that only one tenure or one product type is needed. The evidence points to a requirement for a broader mix.
The Deposit Plan itself supports that conclusion. It acknowledges that, in meeting Policy SP7, a range of affordable tenures, types and sizes of homes will be required. It also records that the Council will seek to secure an appropriate level and mix of affordable housing in all proposed residential developments.
In our view, the main issue with Policy SP7 is therefore not its objective, but the fact that the rest of the strategy is not sufficiently ambitious to support it. The Plan cannot identify very substantial affordable need and then pursue a relatively low overall housing requirement combined with a narrow rural growth model. A sound approach would be to increase the overall housing provision and broaden the pool of sustainable and deliverable mixed-tenure sites so that affordable housing delivery through the planning system can be maximised. St Nicholas should form part of that response.
Policy SP8 – Affordable Housing Requirements Position: Support in principle / Object in part
Barratt Redrow supports the principle that residential development should contribute towards affordable housing need. However, there are concerns about how Policy SP8 interacts with the rest of the strategy, especially outside the Strategic Growth Area.
The Deposit Plan confirms that, within Primary and Minor Rural Settlements, new development will generally be required to provide 40% affordable housing. It also confirms that outside delineated settlement boundaries proposals for additional housing will be strictly controlled and limited to affordable housing exception sites or housing in support of rural enterprises. The Plan then layers on the separate affordable housing-led model under Policy HG4, where a minimum of 50% affordable housing is required.
In principle, Barratt Redrow has no issue with seeking ambitious affordable housing delivery where supported by viability evidence. The concern is that the overall strategy becomes too rigid when SP8 is read alongside SP2, SP3, HG4 and other potentially onerous policy requirements, including Policy CC1. In practice, this risks leaving sustainable settlements such as St Nicholas with very little scope to contribute to general housing delivery unless schemes meet a highly demanding affordable-led model. That is not a balanced or flexible way to plan for rural communities. It also gives rise to a lack of clarity between Policies SP7 and SP8 which should be addressed. Policy SP7 states that the mix of affordable housing to be delivered over the plan period will be “informed” by the LHMA, waiting list data and the Older Persons Housing Strategy, but it is unclear whether that is intended simply as a starting point for negotiation or whether the Council expects the identified mix to be applied more prescriptively. By contrast, Policy SP8 expressly provides greater flexibility: it states that affordable housing will be negotiated on a site-by-site basis having regard to evidenced viability, that the exact mix of affordable housing will be considered on a case-by-case basis having regard to the Council’s latest needs evidence, and that where proven economic circumstances affect delivery the Council may negotiate the level, type, tenure and nature of provision. In our view, those two policies should be aligned. That would better reflect Planning Policy Wales, which requires planning authorities to develop evidence-based market and affordable housing policies, but also makes clear that affordable housing targets and policy expectations must take account of deliverability and viability considerations. In that context, Policy SP7 should be clarified so that the LHMA and related evidence are expressly treated as guiding the starting point for discussions on mix, rather than imposing a fixed outcome irrespective of site-specific circumstances, technical constraints, abnormal costs or viability. That is especially important given the Deposit Plan’s blanket affordable housing percentages across the Vale and the cumulative effect of other policy requirements, which may affect the deliverability of particular allocations and should therefore be capable of being addressed on a site-by-site basis.The Deposit Plan recognises that an appropriate mix of affordable housing will be required, and that in the rural Vale there is a desire for smaller market homes as well as affordable homes. It also accepts that affordable housing delivery may be lower than anticipated because of viability constraints and that, where proven economic circumstances affect delivery, the Council may negotiate the level, type, tenure and nature of provision. This should feed through into a more flexible strategy overall. In particular, the Plan should not be read or applied in a way that suppresses the delivery of mixed-tenure schemes in sustainable rural settlements where those schemes can contribute both market and affordable housing and support local services. That is especially so given the evidence in the LHMA that a range of tenures is required and that intermediate and low-cost home ownership products are an increasingly important part of the housing response.
8. Policy HG1 / Housing Allocations and overall supply portfolio Position: Comment / Object in part
Barratt Redrow does not object in principle to the Council allocating key sites and other strategic locations. However, there remains a significant concern that the Plan is overly reliant on a relatively narrow supply portfolio.
The Deposit Plan confirms that the allocation component of supply comprises 2,278 dwellings on key sites, 959 dwellings on rolled forward sites, 161 dwellings on new housing allocations and 122 dwellings on affordable housing-led sites. It also confirms that 1,303 dwellings are expected from windfalls. That means a large proportion of the Plan’s supply is tied up either in a small number of large sites, historic carry-over, or a substantial assumption about unallocated windfall delivery.
Our earlier Preferred Strategy reps raised exactly this issue and those points should all be carried forward. In particular:
• the Plan is overly reliant on a small number of key sites;
• medium-sized sites in sustainable locations can provide resilience to the housing trajectory;
• windfalls account for a significant proportion of the supply and provide less certainty over geographical distribution and delivery; and
• rolled forward allocations require careful justification if they are to be relied upon as part of the plan’s effective provision.
The Deposit Plan’s own figures support that concern. It states that only a small proportion of development is likely to take place outside of the Strategic Growth Area, with some of this reflecting permissions granted under the adopted strategy. It also shows that the total housing provision attributable to Minor Rural Settlements and Primary Settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area is only 390 dwellings. In our view that is too low, particularly given the evidence that some of those settlements perform relatively well and can help diversify the supply portfolio.
Based on the revised RLDP Delivery Agreement, should there be no further slippage the RLDP will be adopted in September 2027 with there being some 7 years before the end of the plan period (of 2034) post-adoption. There may of course be some slippage in the adoption of the RLDP. We therefore would query whether the quantum of homes proposed on the larger Key Sites can realistically be delivered within the plan period.
The following conclusions of Lichfield’s Start to Finish (2nd Edition, Feb 2020) research are relevant in this respect:
• From the date at which an outline application is validated, the average figures can be 5.0-8.4 years for the first home to be delivered.
• If a scheme of more than 500 dwellings has an outline permission, then on average it delivers its first home in circa 3 years.
• The average build out rate of sites between 500-999 dwellings is 68 homes per annum and 107 homes per annum for sites between 1,000 and 1,499 dwellings.
All of the Key Sites have no outline application having been submitted. Given the revocation of TAN 1 and Welsh Government’s emphasis on a plan led system, the very earliest that the Key Sites could have outline permission in place would be post-adoption of the plan limiting its housing land supply contribution within the early years of the plan period. Allowing for an appropriate amount of time to secure necessary permissions, consents and infrastructure delivery, the Key Sites’ contribution to housing supply within the plan period would fall significantly below the quantum currently assumed in the Preferred Strategy. In that context, it is all the more important that sustainable and deliverable medium-sized sites are included in the Plan where appropriate. Again, St Nicholas is an obvious example.
In short, the issue is not that key sites should not exist. It is that the current portfolio is not broad enough and not resilient enough. The Plan should be strengthened through the inclusion of additional medium-sized, sustainable allocations capable of delivery within the plan period.
Policy HG4 – Rural Affordable Housing Led Sites Position: Support in principle / Object in part
Barratt Redrow supports the principle of identifying rural affordable housing-led sites. It is entirely appropriate that the RLDP seeks to respond to local housing need in rural communities and to secure affordable provision in settlements where opportunities may otherwise be more limited.
However, Policy HG4 also illustrates the broader weakness in the Plan’s current rural strategy. The Deposit Plan allocates four affordable housing-led sites at Colwinston, Aberthin, Wick and Fferm Goch, totalling 122 dwellings. It also requires applicants to demonstrate how both the market and affordable housing on those sites will meet local housing needs in terms of tenure, type and size, so that a range of housing is delivered to meet different groups in the community. The supporting text then expressly notes that Planning Policy Wales requires a sufficient number of sites suitable for the full range of housing types, and that in the rural Vale there is demand for smaller market homes as well as affordable homes.
Those are important statements and, in our view, they assist the case being made here. They show that the Council itself accepts that rural settlements need a range and choice of homes, not just affordable housing in isolation. They also show that some open market housing in rural locations is not only acceptable, but in fact part of how mixed communities and affordable delivery are achieved.
The problem is that the strategy remains too narrow in how it applies that logic. The Plan effectively says that outside the Strategic Growth Area, growth should generally be confined to affordable-led schemes with a minimum 50% affordable requirement, and anything below that will not be supported. In our view that is too rigid and may well suppress otherwise sustainable and beneficial development, particularly where sites are capable of delivering a strong policy-compliant affordable contribution but not necessarily the precise affordable-led model the Council has chosen.
We continue to raise concerns that a blanket 50% affordable requirement could create deliverability issues, including reliance on complex developer/RSL arrangements and a level of uncertainty around funding and market conditions. Without repeating every operational point, the central planning concern remains valid: the strategy should not be so rigid that it prevents settlements from growing and adapting in a sustainable way. This is especially the case given the ever more challenging delivery context set by increasingly onerous policy requirements.
St Nicholas is relevant here because it demonstrates the missed opportunity in the current approach. The village is expressly identified by the Council as one of the smaller rural settlements with a primary school serving a wider catchment area. It performs well in the settlement appraisal and is the sort of place where a sensitive mixed-tenure allocation could help support local services, provide both market and affordable housing, and diversify the Plan’s supply. In our view, the omission of St Nicholas from the rural housing strategy is not justified by the evidence currently before the Council.
Policy CC1 – Residential Operational Net Zero Carbon Development Position: Object
Barratt Redrow supports the wider objective of improving the energy performance of new homes and reducing carbon emissions from development. However, Policy CC1 in its current form gives rise to a number of concerns regarding consistency with national standards, deliverability, viability and practical implementation. The Deposit Plan is explicit that Policy CC1 is intended to require new dwellings to exceed current Building Regulations standards. Welsh Government’s own sustainable buildings guidance confirms that Building Regulations set mandatory standards for the design and construction of buildings, including environmental performance. In our view, that raises a legitimate question as to whether an additional local policy layer of this kind is necessary or proportionate, particularly where it risks inconsistency across local planning authorities and may duplicate, or move ahead of, the national regulatory framework.
There is also a need for greater precision in the policy wording itself. As drafted, Policy CC1 requires development to provide on-site renewable electricity generation equivalent to at least the annual energy consumption of the development, assessed through an energy performance model. The supporting text explains that the relevant metric is Energy Use Intensity, which measures all energy consumed by the building. If the policy approach is to be progressed, the policy should make clear that compliance relates only to regulated energy use, consistent with Building Regulations methodology. Developers can influence the performance of the building fabric and regulated building services, but they cannot control future occupant behaviour, appliance use, plug loads or other forms of unregulated energy demand. Without that clarification, there is a risk that the policy extends beyond matters that can reasonably and consistently be secured through the planning process.
A further issue is that the policy should expressly allow its requirements to fall away, or be treated as satisfied, where national Building Regulations subsequently catch up with or exceed the standards sought under Policy CC1, or where the national regime adopts a different but equivalent methodology. Without such a safeguard, there is a real risk that the RLDP imposes outdated or duplicative requirements later in the plan period, which would not only create unnecessary complexity but could also compromise the delivery of much-needed housing. That concern is heightened by the cumulative policy burden elsewhere in the Plan, including affordable housing, open space, placemaking, green infrastructure and other low carbon requirements. In our view, the Council should therefore demonstrate, through its viability work, that the housing allocations in Policy HG1 are capable of absorbing the cumulative costs of Policy CC1 alongside the wider requirements of the RLDP.
Clarification is also required in relation to the fallback Project Zero Fund contribution. The Deposit Plan states that where it is not technically feasible to provide a policy-compliant level of renewable energy on site, the residual energy is to be offset through an appropriate contribution to the Council’s Project Zero Fund “as far as economic viability allows”, with further detail to be provided in SPG. In our view, that is presently too uncertain. The policy should make clear how any such contribution will be calculated, what assumptions will be used, what evidence will be required, and how viability will be taken into account. These are all matters which go directly to deliverability and should not be left entirely to post-adoption guidance.
In summary, Building Regulations are sufficient to achieve Welsh Government’s objectives for improving energy efficiency and delivering net-zero carbon development. Additional local policy requirements risk creating inconsistency across Local Planning Authorities and may exceed what is necessary to align with national policy. If a local approach is to be taken, as a minimum, Policy CC1 should be amended so that: (i) it applies only to regulated energy use; (ii) its requirements fall away, or are deemed satisfied, where Building Regulations subsequently meet or exceed them or adopt an alternative national methodology; and (iii) the policy and supporting text provide a clearer framework for viability, Project Zero contributions and practical implementation.
Policy CI1 – Open Space Provision
Position: Support in principle / Object in part
Barratt Redrow supports the objective of ensuring that new development makes appropriate provision for open space and recreation. That is entirely consistent with good placemaking and with national policy support for healthy, inclusive and green environments. However, Policy CI1 as drafted is overly prescriptive and, in our view, requires amendment to provide greater flexibility and to better reflect local context and design-led principles.
The main concern is the way in which the policy translates the Fields in Trust benchmarks into a rigid per-dwelling requirement of 62.2 sq m per dwelling. The Deposit Plan itself recognises, at paragraph 6.233, that on-site provision should be design led rather than standards led, and that the type of provision should respond to local context and identified local need having regard to the Open Space Background Paper. That is an important and sensible acknowledgement. In our view, however, the policy wording pulls in the opposite direction by setting out what reads in practice as a uniform quantitative requirement. Fields in Trust guidance is ordinarily framed around population and typologies, to be applied strategically and flexibly, rather than as a blanket per-dwelling metric irrespective of scheme context, form and composition. A rigid application of the standard risks disproportionate land take, unnecessary design constraints and, ultimately, pressure on viability and delivery.
There is also concern regarding the separate requirement for an Open Space Strategy for all housing and commercial developments meeting the thresholds. In many cases, the provision of open space within a development will already be addressed through the Design and Access Statement, Green Infrastructure Statement and the overall layout and placemaking rationale of the scheme. We would therefore question whether a standalone Open Space Strategy is necessary in every case. In our view, the policy should be amended so that open space can be addressed through the principal design and green infrastructure material submitted with the application, unless there is a particular site-specific reason why a separate strategy is required. That would avoid unnecessary duplication without weakening the quality of assessment.
Change sought: amend Policy CI1 and supporting text to make clear that the benchmark standards are to be applied flexibly and strategically, having regard to site context, typology and local need, and that open space provision may be addressed through the Design and Access Statement and/or Green Infrastructure material rather than requiring a standalone Open Space Strategy in every case.
Policy SP4 – Placemaking
Position: Support in principle / Comment
Barratt Redrow supports Policy SP4 in principle. The emphasis on placemaking is fully consistent with Planning Policy Wales and with the Deposit Plan’s wider design-led approach to development. The policy framework rightly seeks to ensure that major development is shaped by the placemaking principles from the outset.
That said, the wording of the policy should better reflect the position already set out in the supporting text. Paragraph 6.34 of the Deposit Plan makes clear that the required Placemaking Statement should form part of the Design and Access Statement for most major planning applications. That is helpful and sensible. In our view, the policy itself should say the same thing expressly, so that there is no suggestion that applicants are expected to prepare a separate freestanding document in addition to the DAS.
Suggested wording amendment:
“Major development proposals must be supported by a Placemaking Statement, to be incorporated within the Design and Access Statement where one is required, demonstrating clearly how the proposal accords with the placemaking principles of the Plan.”
That amendment would improve clarity, avoid duplication and align the policy wording with paragraph
6.34 of the supporting text.
Policy SP5 – Creating Healthy and Inclusive Places and Spaces Position: Support in principle / Comment in part
Barratt Redrow supports the objective of creating healthy and inclusive places and spaces and agrees that health and well-being are legitimate and important planning considerations. The wider thrust of Policy SP5 is consistent with PPW’s placemaking agenda and with the Deposit Plan’s recognition that the built environment can have a significant influence on health outcomes.
However, there is a need to ensure that the assessment requirements under Policy SP5 are proportionate and do not create unnecessary cost and duplication. The policy requires all qualifying major development to undertake screening at pre-application stage and, for significant developments, a rapid Health Impact Assessment. The supporting text explains that a rapid HIA may involve literature review, stakeholder engagement and wider evidence gathering. In our view, whilst that may be appropriate for larger or more complex schemes, the policy should recognise more clearly that the health implications of development will often already be addressed through the Design and Access Statement, Placemaking Statement, Green Infrastructure material, Transport Assessment and related application documents. There is a risk that the current wording adds a further procedural burden, with associated cost implications, without always adding materially new value.
We therefore consider that the policy should be applied proportionately, with the checklist and any rapid HIA focused on developments where there is a realistic prospect of significant or complex health implications, rather than as a routine additional requirement in every qualifying case. The policy would also benefit from clarification that the conclusions of the screening/HIA can be incorporated into the main design and supporting statements submitted with the application, rather than requiring standalone reporting unless specifically justified by the scale or sensitivity of the proposal.
Change sought: amend Policy SP5 and/or its supporting text to confirm that health assessment requirements will be applied proportionately, and that the outcomes of the checklist or rapid HIA may be integrated within other application documents, including the Design and Access Statement, Placemaking Statement and Green Infrastructure material, unless a standalone report is specifically justified.
Policy CC2 – Presumption Against Demolition Position: Support in principle / Object in part
Barratt Redrow supports the broad objective of encouraging the repair, refurbishment, re-use and re-purposing of existing buildings where that represents the most sustainable outcome. The policy’s underlying intent, to avoid unnecessary loss of embodied carbon and encourage circular economy principles, is understood.
Nevertheless, Policy CC2 as drafted is overly onerous and risks giving rise to unintended consequences for deliverability. The policy establishes a strong presumption against demolition and requires extensive justification through either a Demolition Statement or an Energy Report / Whole Life Carbon Assessment. Whilst that may be appropriate in certain cases, a blanket presumption of this kind risks frustrating otherwise sustainable redevelopment proposals, including proposals involving poor quality farm buildings, obsolete structures, and buildings that are not well suited to modern standards of layout, accessibility, thermal performance or efficient land use. In some cases, insisting on retention or retrofit may not represent the most sustainable outcome overall.
There is also a tension with the wider objective of making the most effective and efficient use of land. Some buildings may be technically capable of retention, but only at disproportionate cost, with compromised design outcomes or reduced site efficiency. On previously developed or rural redevelopment sites alike, that could affect development timescales, viability and ultimately the ability to bring forward policy-compliant schemes. The policy does contain some flexibility through criteria 3 and 4, which recognise that a lower net carbon solution may in some circumstances arise from demolition and redevelopment. However, in our view, the overall wording still leans too heavily towards a presumption against demolition rather than a balanced assessment of the most sustainable whole-life outcome in each case.
The policy would therefore benefit from a more balanced formulation which supports retention and reuse where appropriate, but does not create a disproportionate barrier to demolition where redevelopment would deliver a better placemaking, operational carbon, viability or land-use outcome. That is particularly important in relation to sites containing redundant agricultural or rural buildings, and sites where retrofit would be impractical, inefficient or environmentally sub-optimal.
Change sought: amend Policy CC2 so that it supports the retention and re-use of existing buildings where feasible and sustainable, but allows demolition where this would deliver a more effective overall development outcome having regard to whole-life carbon, operational performance, design quality, viability, land efficiency and deliverability.
Land at St Nicholas / omission from the Deposit Plan Position: Object to omission
Barratt Redrow objects to the omission of land at St Nicholas from the Deposit Plan.
The case for St Nicholas is, in our view, strong and is rooted in the Council’s own evidence base. As already noted, the settlement performs strongly in the BP5 appraisal, the adopted LDP and current review both identify the role of minor rural settlements in supporting sustainable communities, and both the adopted LDP and the current Deposit Plan recognise the specific significance of St Nicholas as a village with a primary school serving a wider catchment area.
Deposit Plan Conclusion
Overall, Barratt Redrow is supportive of the Council’s continued work in preparing the RLDP and supports the objective of putting in place a robust, plan-led framework for growth in the Vale of Glamorgan. However, the Plan in its current form is not sufficiently ambitious and requires modification in order to be sound.
In particular:
• The Plan Period is too short. An extended plan period (and associated increase in housing requirement) is required to provide for at least ten years post adoption;
• the housing requirement under Policy SP6 is too low and is too closely tied to past build rates;
• the 10% flexibility allowance is not sufficient given the structure and risk profile of the supply;
• the Plan relies too heavily on key sites, rolled forward sites and windfalls;
• the strategy for settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area is too restrictive and does not properly reflect the evidence on bus-connected, serviceable and functionally linked settlements; and
• the omission of St Nicholas is not justified by the Council’s own evidence base.
The evidence before the Council supports a stronger role for St Nicholas. The adopted LDP and current BP5 review both recognise the role of Minor Rural Settlements in supporting sustainable rural communities and providing for moderate growth. The Deposit Plan itself acknowledges St Nicholas’ role as a settlement with a primary school serving a wider catchment area. The LHMA demonstrates that there is a need for a range of housing products and tenures, and the Deposit Plan itself accepts that rural areas require both affordable and market housing to meet local needs.
For those reasons, Barratt Redrow seeks amendments to Policies SP1, SP2, SP6, SP7, SP8 and HG4, together with a more flexible and resilient housing strategy overall, and the inclusion of land at St Nicholas as an appropriate and deliverable source of mixed-tenure housing growth within the RLDP period.
Candidate Site Register - Site ID 486
Land to the south of the A48 at St Nicholas (Site ID 486) is being promoted by Barratt Redrow for a residential-led development.
Stage 2 Candidate Site Assessment
The Council’s Stage 2 Candidate Site Assessment states:
“The development would have an adverse impact on the character and setting of the St Nicholas Conservation Area and would also be considered to represent an unacceptable intrusion in to the open countryside. Predictive Agricultural Land Classification Map indicates that the site is Grade 3a agricultural land loss of this land would be contrary to national policy.”
The key issues raised are all capable of being overcome as part of the ongoing promotion of the site, as set out below:
Impact upon Character and Setting of the St Nicholas Conservation Area
Wessex Archaeology have prepared a Heritage Appraisal in support of the site’s development. This concludes that future development within the site would unlikely cause harm to the significance of the designated heritage assets if the development is in keeping with the surrounding built character.
The impact upon the character and setting of the St Nicholas Conservation Area is considered acceptable and the site is considered to be the best option to accommodate the growth of St Nicholas in a sensitive manner, particularly with regard to the following:
• The Site is located outside of the Conservation Area whereas other fields outside the settlement boundary (e.g. to the south of The Manor House) are within the Conservation Area;
• The Conservation Area covers the majority of St Nicholas and most options for the village’s growth would be within its setting;
• PPW Para. 6.5.22 advises that proposals should be tested against a Conservation Area Appraisal where they are available. The St Nicholas Conservation Area Appraisal does not identify any features or important characteristics on the candidate site; and
• The proposals for the site are being developed so that they are sensitively designed, in keeping with the surrounding built character and retain important landscape features and views beyond the site.
Countryside Impacts
The Urbanists have undertaken a Landscape and Visual Appraisal in support of the site’s development. It concludes that the site could be developed without causing unacceptable visual impacts on key receptors, the landscape character and types within the proposed site and its surrounds, with the inclusion of appropriate green infrastructure enhancement and mitigation.
The emerging proposals have been underpinned by existing landscape features, with green infrastructure areas and landscape edges proposed within and around the site. New parkland and amenity spaces, footpaths along with a network of sustainable drainage features are incorporated with tree planting proposed throughout. It is accordingly considered that the proposals will sit well within the receiving landscape with limited impacts beyond its immediate setting.
Agricultural Land Quality
Technical Advice Note (TAN) 6 notes that agricultural land within Grades 1, 2, and 3a are considered to be the “most flexible, productive and efficient land in terms of output”. Paragraph 3.59 of PPW sets out the search sequence when considering allocating land within LDPs stating that poorer quality agricultural land should be considered ahead of higher quality land. Accordingly, whilst the site comprises Grade 3a agricultural land quality based on the currently available survey data, it comprises the poorest quality of other options for growth around St Nicholas. There is an overriding need for housing growth as part of the preparation of the RLDP and the allocation of the site would accord with the search sequence set out in PPW.
As the proposals for the site develop further, there is scope to include allotments/community growing areas and open space areas allowing much of the very good quality soils to be retained. The soils that are retained on site in the open spaces and gardens will still be able to provide various ecosystem functions, particularly in the support of biodiversity, and water and carbon storage.
Appendix 2 – Summary of Assessment
We comment on the Council’s Summary of Assessment as follows:
• Developer Interest: should be amended from red to green. The site is under single positive control by Barratt Redrow who have a track record of successfully developing residential-led sites within the Vale of Glamorgan.
• Historic Environment: should be amended from red to green. The site and proposal’s potential impact upon the historic environment is outlined within the candidate site submission and earlier within these representations as being acceptable.
• Special Landscape Area and Glamorgan Heritage Coast Designations: should be amended from red to green. The Urbanists have undertaken a Landscape and Visual Appraisal in support of the site’s development. It concludes that the site could be developed without causing unacceptable visual impacts on these designations.
• Environmental & Physical Constraints Conclusions: should be amended from red to green. The site is not subject to any environmental or physical constraints which cannot be accommodated through the sensitive design approach adopted by Barrat Redrow.
• Access/proximity to services and facilities conclusions: should be amended from amber to green. The Transport Appraisal which formed part of the candidate site submission evidences the site’s accessibility and proximity to services and facilities.
• Connectivity and Capacity: should be amended from red to green. The candidate site submission demonstrates the site’s capacity for the quantum of development proposed and its connectivity to the settlement and other key locations in the Vale of Glamorgan via sustainable transport modes.
• Climate Change: should be amended from red to green. The site is in a sustainable location, with a number of local facilities including a bus stop, a school, health and wellbeing facilities all within a short walk from the site as well as the retail facilities situated within acceptable cycling distances site and highly accessible by public transport. Overall, the accessible location of the development will mean that there is a reduced need for private car journeys, in turn reducing overall pollution. The development will be supported by a Travel Plan in favour of sustainable modes of travel. Moreover, the dwellings will be built to Part L 2025 which means the new homes will produce reduced levels of CO2.
• Placemaking Character and Place: should be amended from red to green. The proposals comply with the National Sustainable Placemaking Outcomes, as set out within the Appraisal which formed part of the candidate site submission.
• Suitable for Further Consideration: should be amended from red to green for the reasons set out below and within the candidate site submission.
Suitability for Allocation and Key Benefits
For the sake of brevity, we do not intend to repeat the considerable and detailed content of the Candidate Site Submission here. The previously submitted information however contained substantial information to support the allocation of the site as well as a detailed sustainability and connectivity appraisal undertaken in accordance with PPW.
In summary, the submission demonstrated that the site is suitable for allocation within the Council’s RLDP and its inclusion would help contribute to the overall soundness of the emerging Plan. The proposed site fully accords with National Sustainable Placemaking Outcomes and Sustainable Transport Hierarchy set out in PPW and the site is considered to be deliverable and viable.
The proposed development of the site would deliver the following key benefits:
• Delivering a range and choice of housing (including a proportion of affordable housing) in a sustainable location on a deliverable site which can contribute towards the resilience of the RLDP’s housing trajectory and the effectiveness of the Plan;
• The proposals would support the vibrancy of St Nicholas with the site being closely related to the settlement and capable of integrating effectively with the settlement to the benefit of existing and proposed residents;
• The provision of multi-functional open space – including amenity space for residents, play spaces, potential for local growing spaces, nature walks, sustainable drainage and wildlife habitats to achieve biodiversity enhancements;
• Encouraging and supporting active travel with cleaner, greener travel choices and reduced out commuting being located close to public transport provision;
• Good quality open spaces with significant biodiversity benefits (delivering a biodiversity enhancement), surface water resilience and efficient energy, water and communications infrastructure;
• Economic benefits – including that the proposed development is expected to:
o Support the employment of 434 people;
o Create circa £1,687,420 in additional tax, including £158,124 in council tax revenue for the Vale of Glamorgan Council.
It is accordingly concluded that allocation of the site would contribute to the soundness of the RLDP and would accord with the well-being goals specified in the Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act 2015.
Barratt Redrow, Highlight Planning and the project team are keen to work collaboratively with the Council and other parties to demonstrate the suitability of the land for development and its identification as an allocation in the RLDP.
I trust the above representations assist in the Council’s preparation of the RLDP. We would welcome the opportunity to discuss the above matters with the Council if that would be helpful. If you have any queries please do not hesitate to contact us.

ANNEX 1
Preface

This Annex sets out the detailed case in support of these representations, and by association the case for allocation of the site.

The representations are structured into the following sections:

1. Response to the Deposit Plan;
2. Comments on specific policies; and
3. A summary of the suitability of the site for development.

SECTION 1. Response to the Deposit Plan

Distribution of Growth

We object to the distribution of growth within the Deposit Plan. Specifically, we object to the strategy that underpins the Deposit Plan, which seeks to introduce the proposed ‘Strategic Growth Area’ which is expected to contain the majority of housing growth in the Vale over the Plan period, or rather the over-reliance on this defined area, and the associated absence of growth in other parts of the Plan area.

As outlined in our previous representations, the allocation of housing and the location of strategic growth neglects the Rural Vale, and in our view, overprovides in the Strategic Growth Area. For example, with limited housing stock and average house sales at over £800,000 over the last 12 months, there is a clear and established need for new homes in the Bonvilston area, particularly at an affordable level. This is reinforced by the Local Housing Market Assessment that identified a need for over 1,114 new affordable homes per annum over the next five years throughout the county, and 196 units per annum thereafter (average of 502 units per annum over 15 years). Further to this, it is widely known that the rural Vale comprises the majority of the county’s ageing population, which, as a demographic, has and will continue to grow rapidly over the Plan period. This is evident in the ‘Population Change’ chart below – which is taken from the Deposit Plan:

VofG Deposit Plan: Figure 4 Population Change 2011 to 2021

It is clearly the case that younger populations are migrating to other Authorities, where access to housing is typically cheaper and more affordable, whilst more older populations are significantly migrating into the Authority. This trend will result in an extremely unbalanced demographic, given that the working-age population have sought housing elsewhere.

Without a suitable supply of affordable housing delivered over the Plan period, this trend will only worsen. Accordingly, it is not considered that the RLDP takes into account the lack of supply of affordable homes within the rural Vale, as well as increased housing to support the growing ageing population within these areas.

Para 3.19 of the Deposit Plan clearly outlines that affordable housing is required in the short term, in order to meet pressing needs. Specifically, it outlines the following: “There is significant pressure on temporary accommodation in the Vale, for a variety of reasons including increased homelessness presentations… The need for sufficient permanent affordable housing to assist in moving people out of temporary accommodation is critical and the planning system has a vital role in assisting in new affordable housing delivery.”
Accordingly, the distribution of growth within the Authority must be proportionate, to ensure that populations / areas are not left behind where they must seek access to housing elsewhere.

The RLDP Sustainable Growth Strategy sets out 6 objectives. Objective 4 states: “Allowing for small scale affordable housing led development in settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area at a scale proportionate to the size of settlement.” (Page 66)
Para 5.25 states “Therefore, a key part of the strategy is to allow for affordable housing led developments within sustainable primary and minor rural settlements outside of the Strategic Growth Area, at a scale that is appropriate to the size of the community it is serving. An ‘affordable housing led’ scheme is one where a minimum of 50% of the dwellings would need to be affordable, although this could increase to a maximum of 100% if the site is brought forward by a social landlord”.

In terms of the definition / explanation of what the affordable housing-led development sites are seeking to achieve, paragraph 6.132 of the Deposit Plan outlines the following:

“Accordingly, to ensure that new developments respond to the high demand for smaller properties, as identified in the LHMA, priority will be given to affordable homes that are small to medium-sized, typically comprising one to three bedrooms. Representations received from the local community through the RLDP process also highlighted a desire for new housing developments to offer opportunities for accessing smaller market homes. This is particularly relevant in the rural Vale, where housing choices are more limited. Providing smaller, more affordable market homes may assist first-time buyers and enable older residents to downsize to more manageable properties within their local area. Affordable housing-led sites will therefore need to demonstrate that an appropriate range of both affordable and market dwellings has been provided.”

Despite the acknowledgement within this strategic objective, we do not consider that the RLDP goes far enough to meet this objective, nor are its provisions and allocations adequate.

It is considered that this objective is undermined by the allocations set out by the RLDP (not least the absence of allocations in the rural Vale). Notwithstanding the Vision’s clear acknowledgement of the benefit of the growth of the rural Vale, these areas have not been supported through the plan due to the lack of growth which has been attributed to these areas in terms of further housing, employment and sustainable transport. All growth options have been selected on the basis of being in either a Key Settlement, Service Centre Settlement or Primary Settlement, all of which are already sustainable areas served by rail. As a result, it is not clear how this objective can be achieved, without the allocation of further sites within the Minor Rural Settlements, such as Bonvilston. The Vale is characteristically ‘rural’, and as such, there needs to be a stronger emphasis on supporting and delivering new development in order to bolster the rural economy. This includes enabling opportunities to provide employment and business premises within / near to rural settlements, as well as focusing housing growth in these areas to reduce travel time, and promote the use of sustainable transport.

It is considered that the current Strategy does not provide adequately for all residents across the Vale, only those within the Strategic Growth Area. The underlying Vision and Objectives set out in the emerging Plan are accordingly wholly un-provided for by the detail of the Plan. This brings into question the “soundness” of the Plan.

The Strategic Growth Area does not take into account the important role and proximity of Bridgend to the West and/or the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant to the north (as defined in the RCTCBC LDP). The Minor Rural Settlements to the west are more likely to be supported by job opportunities and employment in Bridgend than further east in Barry or Cardiff. Similarly, those in the north align with, and function in association with, the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant to the north. These settlements are served by existing bus services that provide sustainable modes of travel to key employment locations in and around Bridgend. This is acknowledged in Paragraph 3.3 of the Strategy which states “The greatest number of residents who travel outside of the Vale for work purposes travel to Cardiff followed by Bridgend and Rhondda Cynon Taf, whilst a smaller proportion commute into the Vale from these neighbouring authorities”. The Demographic Evidence (Feb 2023) estimates the Vale as being a net importer of workers from RCT and Caerphilly (Para 3.6) - as shown in Figure 10 in the Preferred Strategy.

The current Strategy does not support any improvement of sustainable travel or further investment in settlements linked more closely to these areas - given that Growth has been apportioned in only the Key Service Centre and Primary Settlements. It is considered that this will fail to support and facilitate the current (and any future) employment coming into the Vale, nor will it support any employment which is located outside of the Vale to the West and North. The Growth Option is too heavily reliant on access to railway stations as the key and sole sustainable transport method, whereas access to bus services should also be appropriately assessed and focused on in terms of promoting sustainable development. It is unreasonable to devise a strategy that hinges on directing growth to areas that are accessible to railway facilities, where it is recognised in the Plan that the Vale is inherently rural. The delivery and soundness of the Plan is therefore questioned and we continue to object to the spatial growth strategy as set out in the Deposit Plan.

Housing Supply

RLDP Allocations - Key Sites

As set out in representations made throughout the Plan preparation process, we consider that the Plan is too reliant on the delivery of ‘key sites’ to meet the housing need over the Plan period. Specifically, the Plan makes provision for 2,278 units in these Key Sites, which equates to circa 65% of RLDP allocations in the housing supply. The 5 key sites that are allocated in the Deposit Plan are as follows:

• Land at North West Barry – 376no. units;
• North of Dinas Powys – 250no. units;
• Land at Readers Way, Rhoose – 520no. units;
• Land at Church Farm, St Athan – 532no. units; and
• Land to the West of St Athan – 600no. units.

We object to the current housing supply to allocate 2,278no. (65%) of units across strategic sites, as this makes for a risky and unrobust strategy for delivering housing, and in turn, meeting the identified housing need over the Plan period.

As stated in previous representations, there is concern that the proposed timing and phasing of the proposed Key Sites is unrealistic and unrobust, and in turn, undermines the soundness of the Plan, given the heavy reliance on Key Sites delivering new homes across the Plan period. Whilst it is not disputed that the sites would have gone through rigorous assessment to inform their proposed allocation, the timescales for securing planning permission (with all associated conditions discharged) is considered to be unachievable. This is particularly the case for the following timescales that are set out in the Housing Trajectory that underpin the Plan:

• “Time period of pre-application discussions/PAC consultation” – 4 months

• “Time between submission of planning application and determination” – 6 months
• “Time taken from planning consent to the discharge of relevant conditions to enable site construction” – 4 months

It is considered that the above timescales are fundamentally unrobust, and result in a distorted position of housing sites over the RLDP Plan period. It is not considered that these reflect or are informed by the timescales that are currently being incurred for planning applications submitted for major housing sites across Wales. It is rather the case that such applications would typically be determined 1-2 years following submission, given that there are a wide range of stakeholders involved in the determination of major planning applications – which often adds to the delays associated with the determination of such applications.

It is equally the case that the assumptions in the trajectory are solely based on expected timescales for processing formal submissions made to the Council, and do not factor in the timescales associated with, and needed for, the preparation of the material for submission.

It is assumed that these timescales have not considered that such major developments can be subject to the need to undertaking and submitting an Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA), which adds another layer to the determination of any planning application – given the additional considerations that form part of this process. As such, any site subject to EIA would very likely result in further delays extending beyond the timescales set out in the trajectory. Equally, as set out above, the preparation of an application subject to an EIA requires even more detail and assessment, which only further adds to the preparation stage (which has not been factored into as part of the trajectory). Accordingly, it is not considered that the trajectory contains any contingency if any site is required to undertake EIA as part of their application.

For the reasons stated above, it is unlikely that the sites will yield in full, particularly those sites which are expected to deliver housing right up to the final year of the Plan period (‘Land at Readers Way’ and ‘Land to the West of St Athan’). These sites do not allow for any ‘slippage’ should any delays arise through the development management process (which for the reasons set out above, will very likely be the case), and as such, a gap in housing delivery will be brought about as a result of these sites not yielding in full.

Given the proposed ambitious timescales set out for the delivery of the Key Sites, it is considered the housing trajectory is unrobust, and in turn, undermines the soundness of the Plan as a result. A change in strategy should be pursued whereby a greater proportion of small to medium sites are allocated for housing in the Plan period, which are more likely to fully yield given that such sites are subject to less assessment and consideration compared to strategic sites. This would make for a more robust strategy, where a greater number of small to medium sites can deliver housing in the short and medium term of the Plan period, whereas the strategic sites represent a more longer-term strategy to deliver housing – which would then spill into the next Plan period.

Accordingly, we object to the Deposit Plan in its current form, where there is an overreliance on housing need to be met through the delivery of the Key Sites, which we consider to be unrobust, and undermine the integrity and soundness of the Plan. The current strategy of the Plan is at significant risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated, as least as swifty as identified in the housing trajectory. Should no change be made to the Plan to address the above issues, then it is extremely likely that the Plan would ‘fail’ in meeting the identified housing need.

Windfall Sites

It is noted that the RLDP is made up of the following:

• Existing land supply (3,838 units)
• Windfall sites (1,303 units)
• Allocated sites (3,521 units)

Para 6.69 states that “Analysis of historical delivery of housing indicates that on average small windfall sites (sites of less than 10 dwellings) have provided some 53 dwelling completions per year, and large windfall sites (10 dwellings or greater) contributed on average 80 dwellings per year. Overall, it is projected that windfall sites could contribute a further 1,303 dwellings over the remainder of the plan”.

As set out in our previous representations to the Housing Trajectory, we would object to the expected numbers of completions expected during the Plan period, given that there are a number of issues with delivering housing in Wales and given past completions rates for The Vale of Glamorgan – which is discussed in greater detail later in this submission. Again, this results in the Plan being at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated – including any windfall sites.

St Athan Train Station

The RLDP Sustainable Growth Strategy comprises six key elements, of which the following is set out in respect to the allocation of new housing growth in the Authority:

“3. Focusing development at locations that are well served by existing and proposed rail stations as part of the South Wales Metro and in areas with good bus links.”

The strategy outlines that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken in 2022, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. Accordingly, in line with the spatial strategy adopted for the RLDP (i.e. focus development around sustainable transport nodes), St Athan was identified as a ‘Strategic Opportunity Area’ to accommodate strategic growth – through the proposed allocation of two key sites : ‘Land at Church Farm’ and ‘Land West of St Athan’. These sites have been identified to deliver 532no. and 600no. units respectively in the Plan period. These are separate to, and are in addition to, the 51no. units that have now been attributed to the site ‘Land South of Clive Road’ and 80no. units attributed to ‘Former Stadium Site, adjacent to Burley Place’ in St Athan. Accordingly, in total, the Housing Trajectory makes a provision for a total of 1,263no. homes to be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period.

It is now the case, however, that the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales – as confirmed in the ‘Today, Tomorrow, Together: A vision for rail across Wales and Borders’ (February 2026) recently published by Transport For Wales. This paper acknowledges that a new railway station at St Athan would represent a longer term opportunity, and therefore, will not be delivered in the short term / within the Plan period of the emerging Plan. Equally the Council have not provided any evidence to contradict this, and therefore, it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period. This brings about significant questions regarding the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

The strategy to allocate new housing growth is predicated on focusing residential development around sustainable transport nodes, and given that St Athan will be without any railway station in the Plan period, it is not considered that the sites align with the strategy of the RLDP. Accordingly, the wider Housing Trajectory is considered to be unsound, given that a total of 1,263no. homes (36% of the Plan’s new housing allocations) are expected to be delivered in St Athan within the Plan period.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add further sites for housing in this location over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites - given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

In terms of the expected delivery of the Key Sites in St Athan, it is noted that the trajectory identifies that for the majority of the Plan period, both sites will be delivering 80no. dwellings per annum on each site (equating to 160no units in total). Whilst these are two separate sites, we seriously question the realistic prospects of the significant number of

homes being built simultaneously on two sites in proximity to one another – given the considerable logistical issues that would be brought about.

Accordingly, it remains that there are serious questions regarding the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations at St Athan, which do not accord with the strategy adopted for the RLDP – to focus housing growth on settlements that are supported by railway stations. Moreover, the scale of development proposed at St Athan is also not considered to be proportionate, with a significant number of homes delivered in a location not served by a railway station.

Rolled forward LDP Sites

The proposed land supply within the housing trajectory includes provision for ‘rolled forward’ LDP sites, which contribute to the total of ‘Proposed Additional Housing Allocations’ forming part of the housing supply. Specifically, a total of 1,242no. units have been identified as additional housing allocations, of which 959no. are expected to be delivered on the rolled forward LDP sites. As such, these sites are to provide for a significant proportion of additional housing in the Plan period (specifically circa 77%).

The Development Plans Manual (DPM) sets out that allocations rolled forward from a previous plan will require careful justification for inclusion in a revised plan. The DPM outlines that “there will need to be a substantial change in circumstances to demonstrate sites can be delivered and justify being included again. Clear evidence will be required that such sites can be delivered.” The below table included in the consultation document provides a breakdown of the rolled forward LDP sites, and in particular, sets out the status of each site:


The above table evidences that the current LDP has under delivered in regard to its targeted unit number of the Plan period, given that these sites did not yield any housing over the current Plan period. This is further exacerbated by the Land Bank sites that have also not delivered any housing across the existing LDP period, amounting to 1,860no units. Accordingly, when considering the non-delivery of both rolled forward LDP sites and Land Bank sites, this amounts to an approximate shortfall of 2,189 homes being delivered, or 33% of the total housing supply identified for the current LDP (8,525no. dwellings).

It is therefore considered that, as a minimum, the units carried over from the LDP (without planning permission) should be a surplus to the housing supply proposed for the RLDP, as opposed to being relied on to deliver the housing need over the Plan period. This is particularly the case for the two sites (Land to the west of Pencoedtre Lane, and Land between Northern Access Road and Eglwys Brewis Road) which do not currently have any active planning application

submitted for their development. These sites total an amount of 370no. units to be delivered in the Plan period, which represents more than a third of the additional housing allocations to make up the housing supply.

As such, it is considered that the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP is still present – indeed it has grown, and will continue to do so, not least when considered in conjunction with the projected population growth over the coming years to 2036, and the aspirations for growth in the Plan’s strategy.

Accordingly, in order to secure the targeted level of housing, a greater level of provision for new allocations should be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. This would bring about better certainty that the housing requirement is met by the housing supply over the Plan period, not least given that the current Plan failed in this respect. Without a re-apportioning of the housing supply, it is considered that the Plan would heavily rely on the contingency (i.e. rolled forward LDP sites) coming forward in the Plan period, yet there is uncertainty that these will yield in full over the new Plan period. This raises issues of ’soundness’, and risks rendering the Plan unrobust.

Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions

As set out in our previous representations to the Housing Trajectory consultation, we have considerable concerns in relation to the proposed delivery of the sites identified in the trajectory – which we do not consider are robust or reasonable.

Appendix 1 of the Deposit Plan sets out the development trajectory bar chart – which illustrates the proposed delivery of housing, on a per annum basis, over the Plan period.

Extract of Housing Trajectory Graph (annotated by GJP – red dotted line)
It is our view that the trajectory makes for an unrealistic and unrobust delivery rate of housing, which does not reflect the pattern of housing completions in the Vale of Glamorgan. We therefore have concerns regarding the soundness of the trajectory, not least that there remain significant uncertainties as to the delivery of the Key Sites (as discussed earlier in these representations).

Firstly, the graph / trajectory illustrates a large ‘spike’ in terms of housing delivery in the year 2027-28, which is considered to be a marked and pronounced step change in the rate of delivery. This envisages / relies on a significantly higher rate of delivery than previous years in the Vale of Glamorgan (2021 through 2021 – as depicted by the green columns). It is considered that this level of delivery is unlikely to materialise, not least given prevailing market

circumstances, past rates of delivery on the ground, and also in light of levels achieved across Wales and the UK in general.

The published trajectory shows that the average level of completions from 2021 - 2025 has been approx. 400 - 500 units, however, the chart shows that from 2027 – 2028, completions are expected to rise to approx. 1,000 units per year. The expected delivery levels in the trajectory therefore show and assume a doubling in delivery rates and unit numbers (an increase of approx. 100% relative to past rates). There is no clear evidence as to how this level of completions can be achieved let alone guaranteed. This is the case in particular given that the forthcoming years (2025-2027) are expected to see performance (yield) drop significantly (delivery rates in 2025 – 2026 and 2026 – 2027). The chart shows only approx. 200 units being delivered over these years. It is therefore unclear how completion rates are expected to rise so quickly (from 200 in 2025-26 to 1000 in 2027-28), and by such a significant amount. The assumptions in the trajectory are wholly unrobust in our view.

It is also the case that the anticipated delivery of housing fails to be consistent within and across the Plan period. It is unclear as to why completions rates aren’t spread out more evenly throughout the Plan period - to ensure a robust and most realistic housing trajectory until 2036. By comparison to the marked increase in the rate of delivery between and over the period 2027 to 2031, there is then a marked fall-off or drop in delivery towards and by the end of the Plan period. Indeed, in the final year, the level of completions are expected to be lower than the period 2021-2025.

Accordingly, we consider that the housing trajectory, as proposed, is entirely manufactured and unreflective of the past completion rates, as well as the recent published completion rates provided by Welsh Government recently in August 2025. As set out in our previous representations, it has been evidenced that there has been a general decline in the number of new dwellings started and completed.

Description of Figure 1: ‘New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’
As identified in the graph above, in 2024-25, 4,631 new dwellings were completed, which represents 3% fewer than the previous year. This figure represented the second lowest number on record, with the lowest number recorded in 2021-22, a year heavily affected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic (in 2021-22, 4,616 new dwellings were completed) The New Housing Pipeline Report Quarter 3, 2025 Report (December 2025) published by the HBF evidenced that the number of residential units approved in the UK fell by 7% during the third quarter of 2025, extending the decline seen during the first half of the year. At 45,075, the number of units approved was 34% down on the third quarter of 2024 and the lowest quarterly total since 2012 Q2. At 146,798, the overall number of units approved during the first nine months of 2025 was 25% lower than a year ago.



HBF Graph Illustrating Residential Approvals (2006-2025)

The above graph clearly shows a pronounced downward trend in the number of residential planning approvals over the period, particuarly with a sharp decrease seen since 2020. Further, the HBF document ‘Increasing Housing Supply in Wales’ (4th September 2025) clearly shows that The Vale of Glamorgan has not met the housing delivery requirements in recent years in 2023 – 2024 – along with every other authority in Wales (except Newport). Accordingly, this further adds to the argument that historically The Vale (and most other authorities) have underprovided. This adds considerable uncertainty on the assumed transformation in yield and delivery as built into the trajectory.

Graph: Housing Delivery as a proportion of annual housing requirement in Wales per Authority

More recently, the Welsh Government has released its new estimates of housing need (Estimates of Additional Hosing Need: 2025-based – February 2026). The estimates show how many new homes need to be built over the next twenty years to address existing unmet need as well as newly arising need. The figures set out that around 8,700no. new homes a year are needed over the next Senedd term up to 2030 to meet new housing need. Additionally, there is an unmet need for 9,400 affordable homes.

Overall, this represents more than double 2024/25 levels of supply, where just 4,638 new homes were built.

HBF: Estimates of Housing Need

HBF: Actual Delivery vs Estimates of Need

The above graphs unequivocally evidence that historical rates of delivery of housing in Wales has remained low, and moreover, significant numbers of housing need to be allocated in order to meet the estimate of need. It is not

considered that the housing trajectory, in its current form, is robust to meet the housing need over the Plan period, given the uncertainties of the Key Sites, and the level of housing delivery that has been identified for the Plan.

Affordable Housing-Led Sites

HG4 - Rural Affordable Housing Led Sites

Policy HG4 of the Deposit Plan identifies four sites to be allocated as affordable housing-led sites, totalling approximately 122 dwellings within the plan period. Given the target levels of achieving 3,070 affordable dwellings over the course of the Plan period (up to 2036), it is not considered that this policy goes far enough to address the target and level of affordable housing need.


It is noted that the number of units identified for each site relate to the ‘total’ number of units delivered, as opposed to the affordable housing provision. Accordingly, it can be assumed that circa 50% of each allocation will comprise affordable units (given each site is affordable-led), which would equate to a total provision of circa 61no. units. The contribution from the affordable housing-led sites would only equate to 2% of the total need (3,070no. units). Even when coupled with the affordable housing provision from open market sites and 100% exception sites, the total delivery of affordable housing will still be nowhere near enough to meet the overall affordable housing need over the Plan period. Accordingly, it is considered that inadequate provision has been made for such sites – not least given that 3 of the 4 allocated affordable housing-led sites are located west of Cowbridge.

Insofar as to the sites chosen and allocated are concerned, it is clear from reviewing the Stage 1 and Stage 2 Candidate Site Assessment that the allocated sites HG4(1) – (4) were not considered acceptable due to being outside the strategic growth areas, and were considered to be unacceptable intrusions into the open countryside. After being resubmitted as affordable housing-led sites, the sites were allocated, some with a smaller area in order to accommodate less dwellings in total.

The sustainable credentials of the sites allocated is not disputed, and it is acknowledged that these minor rural settlements have the ability to accommodate further growth, in the form of affordable-led housing allocations. However, it is considered that Land South of A48, Bonvilston (Site ID: 435 / 3857) should also form an allocation as part of this policy, given its high sustainability credentials and its appropriate location to accommodate a suitable level of development. Please refer to the previous representations made to the Housing Trajectory Consultation (dated 17th October) for further, more detailed comments regarding the above sites.

The LHMA 2023 shows that there is a need for 77 affordable homes in the St Nicholas & Llancarfan housing market area (which Bonvilston is located within), and a need for 242 affordable homes in the Wenvoe housing market area. As such, there is an identified need for affordable housing in this area, something which the site could address through an allocation.

Securing further delivery of Affordable Units

As set out above, it can be assumed that the affordable housing-led allocated sites only provide 61no. affordable dwellings, which comprise 4no. allocated sites that are expected to deliver approximately between 20 – 50 dwellings (including both affordable and market housing). However, the RLDP sets a target of 3,070 affordable homes to be delivered in the Plan period. This means that affordable housing-led allocations make up less than 4% of the target provision and will only make provision for 2% of the targeted number. We would therefore object to the sites included

within Policy HG4 and would suggest that more sites should be allocated as part of the policy in order to secure delivery of a higher number of affordable housing units to meet the target.
Whilst it is acknowledged that the Key Sites will provide for a significant proportion of affordable housing, as set out above in these representations, there is serious concern regarding the deliverability of these sites, which would result in a significant gap of affordable housing delivered.

A greater number of affordable housing-led sites allocated would ensure there is sufficient contingency built into the Plan, to ensure that the overall affordable housing need is met over the Plan period. Failure to do so would result in affordable housing need being unmet, with demand continuing to outstrip supply.

Previous representations to the Preferred Strategy (dated 14th February 2024) provided comment on the sustainability scoring of Bonvilston and the proposed site. As outlined within these representations, it is considered that the site (ID 435 / 3857) represents a sustainable, deliverable and acceptable site. This proposed allocation is situated in proximity to Cowbridge, Culverhouse Cross and Cardiff, which comprise all key services. Given that the site is located within 4 miles of both Cowbridge and St Nicholas, the site is within a maximum 20-minute bus journey of the following key services:

• Cowbridge Comprehensive School;
• St Nicholas Primary School;
• Cowbridge Health Centre; and
• Cowbridge town centre for various Retail Services.

Accordingly, the settlement of Bonvilston represents an acceptable location to allocate an affordable housing-led site, given the access to existing services and facilities that would serve future residents of the site.

To conclude, the settlement, location and site are inherently suitable and deliverable, and will make a significant contribution to achieving and realising the housing and economic development needs of Bonvilston, support the surrounding settlements, and the Plan area as a whole. As such, the site should be considered further.

Comments on Specific Policies

HG5 - Affordable Housing Exception Sites

Given the unmet need and extant backlog of affordable housing, as identified within the LHMA (2023), it is noted that an Affordable Housing Exception Sites policy has been adopted in order to assist in the delivery of affordable housing. Policy HG5 sets out the specific criteria where proposals for 100% small scale affordable housing developments will be permitted outside settlement boundaries. The current policy wording for the Affordable Housing Site Exception Policy and the criteria listed out in the policy is generally supported.

That said, it is noted that a ‘cap’ of 10 dwellings (as referenced within supporting text Para 6.140) is set. This should be amended due to such a ‘cap’ limiting the flexibility of the policy, in particularly for sites coming forward as part of this policy in Minor Rural Settlements.

As such, we would suggest that supporting Para 6.140 should be amended in order to allow for further flexibility for sites in Minor Rural Settlements to come forward and to deliver affordable housing, given that the criteria set out in the policy would already protect and restrict the extent of any development as it stands. Therefore, the proposed amendments to Para 6.140 are outlined below in red:

6.140 “For the purposes of this policy, ‘small-scale’ will generally mean no more than around 10 dwellings on sites adjoining Minor Rural Settlements. In Primary Settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area, proposals for more than 10 dwellings may be acceptable where required to meet a specific need and where the number of dwellings is proportionate to the size of the settlement. In assessing the scale and extent of any proposed local needs housing, consideration should also be given to affordable housing already planned in the ward or nearby area, including sites

with existing planning permissions and those allocated in the RLDP. The size and type of affordable housing proposed should reflect the identified local need in the area.”

The above suggested wording would achieve a more flexible policy, which would allow for a variety of scaled applications to secure planning permission for solely 100% affordable housing across the Authority area. This greater flexibility would enable the policy to make a significant contribution towards meeting the affordable housing need – which, as set out earlier is in considerable need.

SECTION 3. Suitability of the site for development

The site promoter objects to the overall assessment of the site, in that it is not considered suitable for further development in the Plan. The promoted site has undergone extensive scrutiny and appraisal at a high level to ascertain the qualities of the site, in light of all identified material considerations which relate to the proposals.

The delivery of the site will yield much needed housing (including Affordable housing) and contribute to the overall supply in the new Plan period, whilst making effective use of a suitably located site for residential development.

Moreover, as set out in ‘Annex 2’ of our representations, the site has overcome the ‘constraints’ set out in the Candidate Site Assessment undertaken for the site, which demonstrates that the proposal is both acceptable and deliverable.

Deliverability of the Site

In summary, the site seeks to deliver the following key elements:

• In summary, the opportunity of the site seeks to deliver:
• Residential development comprising up to 25 dwellings, with at least 50% affordable housing in accordance with Policy SP2,
• Highways infrastructure within the site;
• Upgraded access to the site;
• Strong legible pedestrian and cycle connections throughout the site and with the existing settlement;
• Green Infrastructure; and
• Sustainable Drainage Systems (SuDS).

SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

In summary, the site promoters:

• Object to the distribution of growth proposed for the Plan area, with a more balanced and equitable distribution of housing sites required in order to meet the identified housing need;
• Object to the level of growth identified for the Plan period;
• Object to the housing trajectory that underpins the delivery of housing within the Plan period – which is considered to be unrealistic and unrobust, leading to serious uncertainty regarding the “soundness” of the Plan;
• Object to the over-reliance on Key Sites and Rolled Forward Sites in making up the Plan’s housing land supply;
• Object to the scale and timing of delivery of sites in / around St Athan – all of which are predicated on railway station provision which will not be realised in the Plan period;
• Object to the under-provision of sites under Policy HG4 – Rural Affordable Housing-Led sites, not least given their extremely limited contribution to the targeted need for affordable housing;
• Object to the current wording of the HG5 Policy ‘Affordable Housing Exception Sites’ which requires greater flexibility to play an important role in delivery much-needed affordable homes across the Authority; and
• Object the Council’s assessment that the site is not considered suitable for development.

The site and proposals are consistent with the RLDP strategy, other Vale of Glamorgan strategies, and the requirements of Planning Policy Wales and Future Wales. It will make a significant contribution to the Vale’s identified housing requirement in the RLDP period and will provide for a wide range of uses that will support the wider community whilst embodying principles relating to placemaking and the well-being of future generations.

The site has no fundamental constraints and has the ability to deliver significant economic, social and environmental benefits for the benefit of future residents and the existing local community. The site is demonstrated to be viable, being able to deliver policy-compliant levels of affordable housing and given its location within a strong market area, will benefit from high delivery rates.

ANNEX 2
SECTION 4. A summary of the suitability of the site for development including a Response to the Candidate Site Assessment

This section of the overall representations to the Deposit Plan is to respond to, and address, the Council’s assessment of the site.

While the issues the Council have raised in their assessment of the site have been addressed and discussed within the representations made at the Preferred Strategy stage of the Plan, a similar ‘scoring’ exercise has been undertaken as part of the evidence base for the Deposit Plan. As such, it is still pertinent to consider and respond to the Council’s assessment of the site as part of these representations

The Detailed Site Assessment for Land South of the A48, Bonvilston (Site ID: 3857) sets out that the position of the site at the Deposit Stage is as follows:

“Notwithstanding the amendment from a market led to an affordable housing led scheme (original CS 435), the other reasons why the site was previously discounted still remain.
The development would have an adverse impact on the character and setting of the Bonvilston Conservation Area. Development of the site would require major highway mitigation works to enable safe vehicular access on to the A48.
The Predictive ALC Maps indicates that site is Grade 2 Best and Most Versatile Land. Development of the site would lead to the loss of BMV land. BMV land should only be developed if there is an overriding need for the development and either previously developed land or land is lower agricultural grades is unavailable. There is housing land available within the ward of St Nicholas and Llancarfan that can support the delivery of affordable housing.”
Conservation Area
In terms of the assertion that “The development would have an adverse impact on the character and setting of the Bonvilston Conservation Area, this is strongly disputed.

Whilst it is acknowledged that the site lies within the Bonvilston Conservation Area, the conclusion that it would be adversely affected is not considered to be accurate. Firstly, the site as it currently stands, consists of an open field. This does not match the conservation area which is characterised primarily by residential dwellings of varying densities, and as such, it is considered that development of the site with sensitively designed buildings would enhance as opposed to harming its surroundings.

Secondly, the large residential development to the north of the site, ‘Land at Sycamore Cross’ ref. 2015/00960/FUL encroaches on the Bonvilston Conservation area but was deemed acceptable by the LPA. Although not all of the site is within the Conservation Area, it’s encroachment and presence adjoining and surrounding a large proportion of the area is considerable and was deemed acceptable by Officers in 2017. Given this, a development at the Land South of the A48 should be deemed acceptable, as it follows the same principles albeit at a much smaller scale.

Highways
As for the statement that “Development of the site would require major highway mitigation works to enable safe vehicular access on to the A48”, this is also strongly disputed.

The site is located immediately adjacent to the adopted highway where it is proposed to upgrade and enhance the existing gated access point. Due to the existing access point, it is not considered that ‘major’ highway mitigation works would be needed, rather this would be enhanced and improved as part of the proposed development. Furthermore, given the nature of the road, with long views extending in both directions, it is anticipated that appropriate visibility

splays could be achieved to enable safe access and egress. As such, it is considered that the site would achieve appropriate highway access within the need for “major” highway mitigation works.

Agricultural Land Classification
The Detailed Site Assessment also sets out that “The Predictive ALC Maps indicates that site is Grade 2 Best and Most Versatile Land. Development of the site would lead to the loss of BMV land. BMV land should only be developed if there is an overriding need for the development and either previously developed land or land is lower agricultural grades is unavailable.” This is strongly disputed.

A review of the Agricultural Land Classification Predictive Map indicates that the site lies primarily within ‘Grade 2: Very good quality agricultural land’ but no Grade 1 land is present. Further assessment and tests to establish the quality would therefore be undertaken in due course to confirm the quality of the land. However, it is not considered that it would be suitable to farm in any event given the location immediately adjoining existing residential development and the fact that it is within private ownership. Overall, given that the site is relatively small with a gross area of 0.88 hectares, it is not considered that its development would result in a detrimental or significant loss of agricultural land – not least given that site is not capable of beneficial agricultural production due to its limited size.

Housing / Housing Land
Further to the above, it is also set out that “There is housing land available within the ward of St Nicholas and Llancarfan that can support the delivery of affordable housing”, however, this is not considered to be entirely accurate.

The LHMA 2023 shows that there is a need for 77 affordable homes in the St Nicholas & Llancarfan housing market area and a need for 242 affordable homes in the Wenvoe housing market area. This need has not been met through the allocations of sites within the RLDP, nor has it been met through outstanding commitments.

As outlined in Annex 1, it can be assumed that the affordable housing-led allocated sites will only provide for 61no. affordable dwellings within the Rural Vale, comprising 4no. sites that are expected to deliver approximately 20 – 50 dwellings (including both affordable and market housing). However, the RLDP sets a target of 3,070 affordable homes to be delivered in the Plan period. This means that affordable housing-led allocations make up less than 4% of the target provision and will only make provision for 2% of the targeted number. Therefore, more sites should be allocated in order to secure the delivery of a higher number of affordable housing units to meet the target.

As set out within Annex 1, it is acknowledged that the Key Sites will provide for a significant proportion of affordable housing, however, there is serious concern regarding the deliverability of these sites, which would result in a significant gap in the total affordable housing that is delivered. Therefore, allocating a greater number of affordable housing-led sites would ensure there is sufficient contingency built into the Plan, to ensure that the overall affordable housing need is met over the Plan period. Failure to do so would result in the both the overall affordable housing need, and the need for the St Nicholas & Llancarfan housing market area, being unmet, with demand continuing to outstrip supply.

The LHMA 2023 sets out the existing stock and planned supply of affordable housing over the next 5 years (up until 2028). This assessment found that the housing market area of St Nicholas & Llancarfan has a committed supply of 4no. one beds, 11no. two beds, and 3no. three beds, with 2 no. three beds as expected re-lets. The assessment also identifies a committed supply of 39no. units for intermediate housing.

The LHMA also sets out the existing stock and planned supply for Wenvoe, identifying the committed supply of social rent homes to be 12no. one beds, 11no. two beds, and 5no. three beds, with 7no. one beds and 8no. two beds as expected re-lets. There is no committed supply for intermediate housing in Wenvoe.

It should be noted that the development of ‘Land East of Nicholas’ (Campbell Court and Cae Newydd), has now been completed, and as such, can not form part of the housing land available. The latest Pre-Application Response for the site subject to these representations (Land South of the A48, Bonvilston) accounted for the development of the site in

St Nicholas, stating that “even after the developments at St Nicholas and Culverhouse Cross, there was the need in the Wenvoe ward for 1 Bed 71, 2 Bed 49, 3 Bed 29, 4 Bed 7, 5 Bed 5, Total 161".

It should also be noted that there are existing commitments within the Bonvilston area (‘Land to the east of Bonvilston’), however, the deliverability of the existing commitment is seriously questioned. Application Ref. 2015/00960/FUL was approved in July 2017, with the Housing Land Supply and Housing Trajectory Report (December 2025) confirming that of the total 120 units permitted, only 40 had completed by 1st April 2025, with the remaining 80 units not started by this same date. Of the 80 units not started, 25 units are affordable homes.

It is well known that phase 1 of the development at ‘Land to the east of Bonvilston’ has faced difficulties which has led to the development remaining incomplete. This does of course put into question the overall deliverability of the site, and raises concerns about the units that were, and still are, required within the Bonvilston area.

The allocation of the site promoted herein would not only help in the short term in meeting the overall affordable housing target for the Plan, but would also assist in meeting the unmet needs of affordable housing within Bonvilston – not least given the serious concern regarding the deliverability of the committed supply of housing within the St Nicholas & Llancarfan housing market area.

For the reasons set out above, and in light of the information provided within the LHMA 2023 and the Housing Land Supply and Housing Trajectory Report (December 2025), it is evident that there is considerable need for affordable housing within Bonvilston, and accordingly, the housing market areas of St Nicholas & Llancarfan, and Wenvoe. There have not been any sites allocated to assist within meeting the local need, and more sites should be allocated in order to secure delivery of a higher number of affordable housing units to meet the overall target of the Plan.

The contention that “There is housing land available within the ward of St Nicholas and Llancarfan that can support the delivery of affordable housing” is therefore strongly disputed – not least given that there is a clear and evident need to allocate more affordable housing-led sites in order to meet the target set out in the Plan.

Interim Summary

In summary, it is considered that the site subject to these representations would not have an adverse impact on the character and setting of the Bonvilston Conservation Area, nor would major highway mitigation works be required to enable safe vehicular access on to the A48. Moreover, it is considered that the site’s classification as BMV Agricultural Land does not pose a fundamental constraint to development – as the site represents a relatively small parcel with a gross area of 0.88 hectares, which is not capable of beneficial agricultural production due to its limited size.

There is also a considerable need for the affordable housing in Bonvilston and the housing market area of St Nicholas & Llancarfan. The site promoted herein would assist in meeting these local needs and should be allocated accordingly.

Candidate Site Assessment

The Detailed Site Assessment undertaken by the LPA includes a summary and assessment of the ‘scoring’ system used at the Preferred Strategy stage. A comparison between the site assessments undertaken at both the Preferred Strategy stage and Deposit Plan stage is provided overleaf for reference.



Site Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage Site Assessment at Deposit Plan Stage

As demonstrated above, there has only been one change to the scoring attributed to the site, this being a change from ‘red’ to ‘amber’ for ‘Developer Interest’. Detailed submissions were made on the previous assessment undertaken by the Council at Preferred Strategy stage, and as such, should be read in conjunction with these representations accordingly (see Appendix B).

Whilst detailed submissions were made on the previous assessment, it is considered pertinent for the scoring of the key criteria’s to be addressed as part of these representations. As such, these have also been discussed below.
Developer Interest

As set out above, the Detailed Site Assessment for ‘Developer Interest’ has changed from ‘red’ to ‘amber’. The assessment methodology for this section of the assessment has been extracted below for reference.


As set out above, ‘amber’ refers to there being no development interest identified at this stage, however, there is evidence to indicate that the site is being actively promoted by the owners.

The representations made to the Preferred Strategy (Appendix B) sets out that whilst the site does not yet have an agreement with a developer to take on the land, it is considered that this would be achieved should the site be allocated, and planning permission granted. Newydd Housing association have been engaged previously and had agreed to take the site forward as a 100% affordable scheme, albeit is also considered that they could take on the affordable units as part of a mixed tenure scheme.

In addition to Newydd, the site promoter has also received an offer from a private social housing provider who would be prepared to support the site as a mixed tenure scheme.

This position has not changed since the Preferred Strategy stage, and is considered that there is continued developer interest for the site. This is not considered to change at any point – not least given the discussions held between the owners of the site in questions and developers of interest.

Environmental and Physical Constraints

As set out at the Pre-Application Stage. the site underwent a Preliminary Ecological Appraisal in September 2022 which identified that whilst some precautionary measures were recommended in terms of protecting priority habitats and reptiles, the site is not fundamentally constrained from development on ecological terms. Given this, it is considered that further ecological surveys would be undertaken at the planning stage to inform any development proposals and ensure the safeguarding of the natural environment.

Access to Key Services (Retail, Primary Schools, and Health Services) and to Services and Facilities

As set out within the representations made to the Preferred Strategy, the site is located within a maximum of a 20-minute bus journey to a version of every key service listed, due to the proximity of the site to settlements such as Cowbridge, Culverhouse Cross and St Nicholas. Due to the availability of frequent bus services, and active travel links, these key services are readily available to access for any residents within Bonvilston without the need to travel by car.

To reiterate, the site ‘Land South of the A48, Bonvilston’ is situated in proximity to Cowbridge, Culverhouse Cross and Cardiff, which comprise all key services. Concluding this allocation as ‘unsustainable’ in regard to ‘availability of local facilities in and around settlements’ is not accurate. Given that the site is located within 4 miles of both Cowbridge and St Nicholas, the site is within a maximum 20-minute bus journey of the following key services:

• Cowbridge Comprehensive School;
• St Nicholas Primary School;
• Cowbridge Health Centre; and
• Cowbridge town centre for various Retail Services.

It should also be noted that Bonvilston contains a number of facilities within a short and level walking distance of the site, including the village shop and Café, as well as the Red Lion Public House.

Given the accessibility of the site to other settlements, and the fact that these are made accessible by bus and active travel routes, it is considered that the site should be concluded as sustainable in regard to access to key services.

Summary and Conclusion

As evidenced above, and within the representations made to the Preferred Strategy (Appendix B), there are no fundamental constraints at, or associated with the site, that would preclude the site coming forward for development in the RLDP period.

To conclude, the settlement, location, and site, are inherently suitable and deliverable, and will make a significant contribution to achieving and realising the housing and economic development needs of the Vale of Glamorgan.

Summary of These Representations

In short, and to summarise the case made and set out, these representations seek to object to the Housing Trajectory published as part of the consultation on the Draft Housing Trajectory For Housing Stakeholder Group (October 2025) which underpins the Plan and the delivery / realisation of its underlying strategy.

Detailed submissions and objections are raised below in respect to the trajectory information published regarding the soundness and robustness of this information (and it’s consultation), which we do not consider are adequate, robust, or sound to deliver the Plans aims and objectives.

Preface

This Submission sets out the detailed case in support of these representations. The representations are structured as follows:

1. Procedural Consultation Matters;
2. Timing Assumptions underpinning the Trajectory;
3. Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions;;
4. Status & Standing of Sites included in the Trajectory;
5. Key Sites;
6. St Athan Train Station;
7. Geographic distribution of the ‘new’ sites / provision;
8. Detailed comments in respect to ‘new’ sites;
9. Conclusions Procedural Consultation Matters
Firstly, we do not consider that the consultation on the Housing Trajectory information has been procedurally undertaken appropriately or suitably.

Only 14 days have been afforded to parties to make representations on the information provided. This is despite new sites being introduced (at this late stage) i.e. Land South of Clive Road (identified in Table 4), as well as a number of affordable housing led housing sites being introduced (i.e. those outlined in Table 5). This does not provide an adequate process or timescale for objectors to scrutinise the published content, and to make comments on sites which have been presented for the first time at a late stage in the process.

As part of these representations, we will be making brief comment on the sites which have not been previously consulted upon, namely:
Other Housing Allocations
• Land south of Clive Road, St Athan;

Affordable Housing Led Sites
• Land at Heol Fain, Wick;
• Land west of Maendy Road, Aberthin;
• Land Noth of West Winds Business Park, Fferm Goch; and
• Land to the East of Colwinston.

It is considered necessary to comment on these sites, given that they form an important and critical part of the housing trajectory, and by association in the Council and Plan reaching their targets. Moreover, these sites have not been consulted on previously. Accordingly we consider it necessary to pass comment on these in order to ensure that the consultation is fair and robust.

As well as limited time given to comment on the information contained within the Housing Trajectory, the LPA have failed to set up a Housing Stakeholder group to agree and discuss the trajectory information and data – with the cover email to the consultation (dated 3rd October 2025) stating “it is considered that it would be the best use of stakeholder time to conduct this engagement via email, particularly as many of the forecasts have been developed in consultation with site promoters including developers and their agents”.

We submit that the stakeholder consultation has not been a transparent nor robust consultation process, given that the Development Plans Manual states at Para 5.66 “A housing trajectory must be prepared to support the Deposit Plan. In order to generate a housing trajectory and associated phasing tables it will be necessary for LPAs to engage with stakeholders through a Housing Stakeholder Group. This will ensure that the timing and phasing of sites is robust and based on up to date information”. Given that this has not taken place, we would raise fundamental concerns that the consultation of the trajectory has not adequately taken place as per the relevant guidance. Afterall, the guidance stresses that a Group should be formed as a necessity. Accordingly, there has not been an adequate process and opportunity to review and comment on the information published, including in respect to the other sites have been introduced at this late stage.

Timing Assumptions underpinning the Trajectory

The assumed and factored in timescales of the various stages of bringing forward sites i.e. the pre-application stage, the planning application process, and the discharge of condition process outlined in the trajectory are considered to be fundamentally inaccurate, and result in a distorted position of the delivery of housing sites over the RLDP Plan period. The assumptions are far too ambitious, and without evidence / are not comparable with the timescales being incurred in processing such stages at the Development Management stage(s).

Specifically, we raise objection to the following timescales which are considered to be extremely ambitious and unrealistic:

• “Time period of pre-application discussions/PAC consultation” = 4 months
• “Time between submission of planning application and determination” = 6 months
• “Time taken from planning consent to the discharge of relevant conditions to enable site construction” = 4 months

In our experience, having submitted a significant number of major and other applications for housing and other forms of development in the last 1-2 years to the Council (and elsewhere in Wales and England), it is extremely unlikely that major applications can be submitted, and planning permissions granted, within the timeframes assumed by the trajectory. A wide range of stakeholders are also involved in the determination of major planning applications, which often adds to the delays associated with the determination of such applications. We would therefore consider that a time period of “6 months” given to all major applications in the housing trajectory is not feasible, and distorts the trajectory timescales for the remaining Plan period.

The assumptions in the trajectory are also solely based on expected timescales for the processing of formal submissions made to the Council, and do not factor in the timescales associated with, and needed for, the preparation of the material for submission (i.e. pre-application enquiry submissions / planning application / discharge of condition details etc). When factored in these will elongate the timescales for bringing forward schemes considerably.

Moreover, it is common practice for larger housing sites and major applications to have a range of pre-commencement conditions attached to a permission once granted. Again, we would raise concerns with the timescales indicated in the trajectory related to this part of the planning process. It is highly unusual and questionable that any technical work required by these conditions (usually relating to drainage and highways matters) would be instructed, completed and submitted within 2 months, and for these to then be signed off / approved in a further 2 months. There are also other technical matters and necessary approvals falling outside of, and over and above, the planning system, such as SAB, s.106, s.38 and s.278 agreements, timescales for which have not been accounted for – and all of which are rarely completed within “4 months” as indicated.

It is therefore highly doubtful that the timescales legislated for in the trajectory for the various stages pre-construction are achievable – with no information about these proposed timescales outlined within the supporting text of the Housing Trajectory. We would therefore raise considerable concerns and objections to these as they stand without full evidence to fully show how these have been calculated, and without there being considerable (and necessary) adjustment to the timescales indicated and factored in.

We would therefore object to the timescales indicated in the ‘Timing and Phasing of Sites’ table, given that the delivery start dates will be pushed back further into the Plan period. Accordingly, and as a result, the Plan is at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated, at least as swiftly as is set out in the trajectory.

Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions

We would also raise considerable doubt over the proposed delivery of the sites identified in the Housing Trajectory - which we do not consider are robust or reasonable.

The development trajectory bar chart set out in the consultation material (extracted below) anticipates and legislates for a number of critical events and circumstances – all of which are considered to be unrobust and unsound.

Extract of Housing Trajectory Graph (annotated by GJP – red dotted line)

Firstly, a large ‘spike’ (material increase) in housing delivery is factored in to take place in 2027 – 2028. This is a marked and pronounced step change in the rate of delivery, and envisages / relies on a significantly higher rate of delivery than previous years in The Vale of Glamorgan (2021 through 2025 - as depicted by the green columns). This is considered extremely unlikely to materialise, not least given prevailing market circumstances, past rates of delivery on the ground, and also in light of levels achieved across Wales and the UK in general.

The published trajectory shows that the average level of completions in The Vale of Glamorgan from 2021 - 2025 has been approx. 400 - 500 units. However, the chart shows that from 2027 – 2028, completions are expected to rise to approx. 1,000 units per year. The expected delivery levels in the trajectory therefore show and assume a doubling in delivery rates and unit numbers (an increase of approx. 100%relative to past rates). There is no clear evidence as to how this level of completions can be achieved let alone guaranteed. This is the case in particular given that the forthcoming years (2025-2027) are expected to see performance (yield) drop significantly (delivery rates in 2025 – 2026 and 2026 – 2027). The chart shows only approx. 200 units being delivered over these years. It is therefore unclear how completion rates are expected to rise so quickly (from 200 in 2025-26 to 1000 in 2027-28), and by such a significant amount. The assumptions in the trajectory are wholly unrobust in our view.

The anticipated delivery of housing also fails to be consistent within and across the Plan period. It is unclear as to why completions rates aren’t spread out more evenly throughout the Plan period - to ensure a robust and most realistic housing trajectory until 2036. By comparison to the marked increase in the rate of delivery between and over the

period 2027 to 2031, there is then a marked fall-off or drop in delivery towards and by the end of the Plan period. Indeed, in the final year, the level of completions are expected to be lower than the period 2021-2015.

To summarise, we consider the defined position to be wholly manufactured and unreflective of the past completion rates, as well as the recently published completion rates provided by Welsh Government recently in August 2025. In the Welsh Government Statistics Document ‘’New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’, information on the number of new dwellings started is provided, where building has commenced and those completed for April 2024 to March 2025. Figure 1 provides a graph showing starts in the last 10 years, and it is clear that there has been a general decline in the number of new dwellings started and completed.

Description of Figure 1:.‘New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’
In 2024-25, 4,631 new dwellings were completed, 3% fewer than in the previous year. This was the second lowest number on record, with the lowest number recorded in 2021-22, a year heavily affected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic (in 2021-22, 4,616 new dwellings were completed). The New Housing Pipeline Report Quarter 2, 2025 Report (September, 2025) published by the HBF evidenced that the number of residential units approved in the UK fell by 6% during the second quarter of 2025, continuing the decline of approval during the first three months of the year. Wales saw one of the largest declines in the UK in approvals with a decline of 29%.

Further, the HBF document ‘Increasing Housing Supply in Wales’ (4th September 2025) clearly shows that The Vale of Glamorgan has not met the housing delivery requirements in recent years in 2023 – 2024 – along with every other authority in Wales (except Newport). Accordingly, this further adds to the argument that historically The Vale (and most other authorities) have underprovided. This adds considerable uncertainty on the assumed transformation in yield and delivery as built into the trajectory.



Graph: Housing Delivery as a proportion of annual housing requirement in Wales per Authority

The Home Building Sector Skills Plan (Aug 2025) published by the HBF also identified the following issues with the workforce to bring forward built development in Wales:

• “A shortfall in numbers entering roles from the education system;
• An ageing workforce: 25% of the home building workforce is aged over 50, meaning the sector is facing an impending retirement cliff edge;
• Challenges attracting a wider talent pipeline into the sector;
• A lack of understanding of critical future skills needed, and direction from the Future Homes Standard; and
• Output within the sector fluctuating with demand and economic pressures, leading to additional pressures in recruitment and training”.

It is not considered that in the next 1-2 years that any of these issues can or will be substantially corrected – at least sufficiently so to allow for, and enable, the planned delivery rates of new housing completions to be as high as < > 1,000 homes in one year (and for four consecutive years at that).

We would therefore object to the proposed numbers of completion expected during the Plan period, given that there are a number of issues with delivering housing in Wales and given past completions rates for The Vale of Glamorgan. Again, this results in the Plan being at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated.

Status & Standing of Sites included in the Trajectory

The proposed land supply within the housing trajectory includes provision for ‘rolled forward’ LDP sites, which contribute to the total of ‘Proposed Additional Housing Allocations’ forming part of the housing supply. Specifically, a total of 1,242no. units have been identified as additional housing allocations, of which 959no. are expected to be delivered on the rolled forward LDP sites. As such, these sites are to provide for a significant proportion of additional housing in the Plan period (specifically circa 77%).

The Development Plans Manual (DPM) sets out that allocations rolled forward from a previous plan will require careful justification for inclusion in a revised plan. The DPM outlines that “there will need to be a substantial change in circumstances to demonstrate sites can be delivered and justify being included again. Clear evidence will be required that such sites can be delivered.” The below table included in the consultation document provides a breakdown of the rolled forward LDP sites, and in particular, sets out the status of each site:




The above table evidences that the current LDP has under delivered in regard to its targeted unit number of the Plan period, given that these sites did not yield any housing over the current plan period. This is further exacerbated by the Land Bank sites that have also not delivered any housing across the existing LDP period, amounting to 1,860no units. Accordingly, when considering the non-delivery of both rolled forward LDP sites and Land Bank sites, this amounts to an approximate shortfall of 2,189 homes being delivered, or 33% of the total housing supply identified for the current LDP (8,525no. dwellings).

It is therefore considered that, as a minimum, the units carried over from the LDP (without planning permission) should be a surplus to the housing supply proposed for the RLDP, as opposed to being relied on to deliver the housing need over the Plan period. This is particularly the case for the two sites (Land to the west of Pencoedtre Lane, and Land between Northern Access Road and Eglwys Brewis Road) which do not currently have any active planning application submitted for their development. These sites total an amount of 370no. units to be delivered in the Plan period, which represents more than a third of the additional housing allocations to make up the housing supply.

As such, it is considered that the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP is still present – indeed it has grown, and will continue to do so, not least when considered in conjunction with the projected population growth over the coming years to 2036, and the aspirations for growth in the Plan’s strategy.

Accordingly, in order to secure the targeted level of housing, a greater level of provision for new allocations should be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. This would bring about better certainty that the housing requirement is met by the housing supply over the Plan period, not least given that the current Plan failed in this respect. Without a re-apportioning of the housing supply, it is considered that the Plan would heavily rely on the contingency (i.e. rolled forward LDP sites) coming forward in the Plan period, yet there is uncertainty that these will yield in full over the new Plan period. This raises issues of ‘’soundness’’, and risks rendering the Plan unrobust.

On this basis, we would object to the Plan if the provision of housing is not adjusted to rebalance the provision to include new allocations in lieu of rolled forward LDP sites in the housing supply.

Key Sites

As set out in previous representations at Preferred Strategy stage, it is considered that the housing supply relies heavily on the delivery of the ‘key sites’ to deliver housing (and meet need) over the Plan period. The total number of housing units attributed to key sites amounts to 2,278, which equates to over 25% of the total provision in the Plan period.

As detailed above, we consider there to be concerns regarding the proposed ‘Timing and Phasing of Sites’ table included in the Housing Trajectory which we consider are not reflective or accurate and will therefore have the effect of delivery start dates being much later into the Plan period than anticipated. The result of this will be that the Plan will be at risk of not delivery the level of housing expected and needed. Moreover, the Housing Trajectory Graph presents an overly ambitious level of housing completions over the Plan period - which the Council consider will be markedly higher than the average levels experienced in the last five years. Again, for the reasons set out above, we consider that these rates of expected completions to have no evidence supporting them, and to be unachievable and unsound.

Insofar as to the removal of the previously proposed site ‘Land at North East Barry’, this site was expected to deliver 900no. units in the Plan period. Following its omission from the housing supply, other sites have been identified, which comprises the inclusion of a new key site (Land at North West Barry), 3no. non-strategic sites, and also affordable housing-led allocations. In terms of the quantum of development attributed to these new sites, this amounts to 659no. dwellings. This is some 250 units less than the 900no. homes that was previously attributed to ‘Land at North East Barry’. Whilst it is appreciated that the number of homes forming part of the existing supply (completions, units with planning permission etc.) have increased since Preferred Strategy stage, there will be a net loss in market housing provision and delivery.

This position is made worse and compounded as a result of accounting for the affordable-led sites in making up the housing supply.

As set out within the Preferred Strategy, these sites are expected to deliver at least 51% affordable housing. These units are not open market units, and will not / cannot contribute to the supply of such housing. These units will contribute to the provision of affordable housing, and will go some way to meeting the acute need for such housing (albeit will not eradicate / address in full the well known and accepted considerable requirement). Accordingly it is considered that these sites should be in addition to the housing supply, as opposed to forming part of the provision. In turn, there would need to be an increase in allocations for non-strategic sites, to ensure that there is sufficient market housing delivery over the Plan period.

Were such changes to be made and introduced, this would achieve and assist realise a more robust and sound housing supply, which will ensure that the identified housing need is met / addressed over the Plan period. Without these changes it is considered that the housing supply is not sufficient, and inevitably, housing need will not be met within the Plan.

St Athan Train Station

As set out in the Preferred Strategy (para A3.29), the strategy seeks to focus development around key sustainable transport nodes. The strategy outlined that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. Accordingly, in line with the spatial strategy adopted for the RLDP (i.e. focus development around sustainable transport nodes), St Athan was identified as a ‘Strategic Opportunity Area’ to accommodate strategic growth – through the proposed allocation of two key sites : ‘Land at Church Farm’ and ‘Land West of St Athan’. These sites have been identified to deliver 532no. and 600no. units respectively in the Plan period. These are separate to, and are in addition to, the 51no. units that have now been attributed to the site ‘Land South of Clive Road’ in St Athan. Accordingly, in total, the Housing Trajectory makes a provision for a total of 1,183no. homes to be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period.

It is now the case that, subsequent to the publication of the Preferred Strategy, the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales. The focus in the first phase of such improvements across the region is towards improving connectivity in east Cardiff, Newport, and Magor. Accordingly,

it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period, which significantly questions the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

The strategy to allocate new housing growth is predicated on focusing residential development around sustainable transport nodes, and given that St Athan will be without any railway station in the Plan period, it is not considered that these sites align with the strategy of the RLDP. Accordingly, the wider Housing Trajectory is considered to be unsound, given that a total of 1,183no. homes are expected to be delivered in St Athan within the Plan period.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add a further site for housing in this location over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites - given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

We therefore consider the Trajectory to be both unrobust and unsound, and therefore, we object to the Trajectory in its current form accordingly.

Geographic distribution of the ‘new’ sites / provision

As a general and overarching comment in respect to the additional sites now included within the Plan, and forming part of the trajectory, (and a matter expanded upon when critiquing each of these sites in the next section to this submission), it is clear and evident that these additional sites have been positioned to settlements that have already, and recently, been attributed significant growth in the preceding Plan and plan period.

Significant allocations (which have also contributed to significant levels of affordable housing) have been realised and built out in locations (such as Wick and Colwinston). Notwithstanding this, two of the additional sites are now proposed for these recently expanded settlements. Given that the purpose of the affordable housing led allocations is to meet unmet affordable housing need, it is questioned why such new allocations are attributed to settlements that have already seen open market and affordable housing provision, as compared to other comparable settlements that have not received any growth whatsoever over a considerable period of time.

It is considered accordingly that the geographic positioning of these allocations is at odds with their underlying purpose - to meet unmet affordable housing need in communities that have seen no provision

Detailed Comments in respect to ‘new’ sites

Other Housing Allocations

Land south of Clive Road, St Athan

A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below for ease:


As set out at the outset of these representations, and whilst we note the findings of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage (i.e. Suitable for further consideration), we do not consider that the consultation on this site has been undertaken procedurally appropriately or suitably. We therefore consider the consultation on this site is “unrobust” and “unsound”.

As set out previously, the strategy seeks to focus development around key sustainable transport nodes. The strategy outlined that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. It is now the case that, subsequent to the publication of the Preferred Strategy, the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales, where the focus is towards improving connectivity in east Cardiff, Newport, and Magor. Accordingly, it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period, which significantly questions the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add a further site for housing over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites – given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

Affordable Housing Led Allocations Land at Heol Fain, Wick
A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below for ease:

Candidate Site Stage 2 Assessment (Site Ref. 404)

The findings of the Candidate Site Assessment for this site are noted. We are assuming the reason this site is proposed to be allocated is a product of the site promoters/developers heading the findings stated below, and changing the form of development to be in accord with this:

“A market housing led scheme would not be acceptable, but the site could be reconsidered as a small scale affordable housing led development subject to need and viability at a maximum of 50 dwellings. In accordance with the Settlement Appraisal Review, it is considered that Wick could potentially accommodate limited affordable housing led growth.”

Whilst no clear deficiency exists in respect to the site, it is known that Wick has been subject to significant growth and expansion in recent years – not least by virtue of significant housing allocations in the settlement as part of previous plans.

To evidence this, 35% of the 124 units approved on the ‘Rectory Field, St Brides Road’ site (i.e. circa 43 units as per site allocation ref. MG(47) and PP ref. 2014/01424/FUL) were approved as Affordable Housing units. This makes a substantial provision of such Affordable Housing units (and housing generally) in the settlement in recent years.

Other similarly sized and comparable settlements and locations have not by contrast been subject to any growth for some considerable time, and accordingly would warrant and benefit from provision as part of this new replacement plan.

Notwithstanding the location of such provision, and as set out in detail at the outset of these representations, National Planning Policy advocates the high and acute need for affordable housing, whilst recent analysis evidences that there is a housing emergency. These circumstances - coupled with the shortcomings identified and set out earlier in these submissions in respect to the adequacy of provision within the plan (rolled forward sites / inadequate provision etc) – means that notwithstanding any potential allocation at Wick, further provision ought to be made in comparable (previously unprovided for) locations, such as Ogmore By Sea.

Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin

‘Land West of Maendy Road’ has been registered as an Affordable Housing Led Allocation candidate site for the RLDP, however as far as we know from our review, there is no assessment and critique of this site. This site has not been included in the ‘Candidate Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage’ (October 2023). As such, with an absence of publicly available information, it is not clear how the Council has judged this site against the criteria. This raises questions accordingly in respect to the “soundness” of a site which forms part of the intended housing land supply, and by association the trajectory. Without this, and without being consulted on (as others have been prior to this) we question whether this allocation is “sound” (i.e. its allocation is considered to be “unsound”).

Land North of West Winds Business Park, Fferm Goch

The below sets out the candidate site stage two assessment of ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’:

Candidate Site Stage 2 Assessment (Site Ref. 398)

As can be seen above the site was not considered suitable for further consideration with the site scoring negatively (red) in a number of key factors. These include the following:

• Access to Retail;
• Access to Health Services;
• Sustainable Transport- Public Transport;
• Access/ Proximity to services and facilities conclusion;
• Climate Change; and
• Health and Wellbeing.

Given the fact the site scores red in ‘Sustainable Transport – Public Transport’, this shows the site is not served by public transport connections within 800m, as outlined in the key below:


Additionally, Policy SP7 (Sustainable Transport) of the Vale of Glamorgan Preferred Strategy states “New development must support an enhanced transport network that increases the proportion of journeys being undertaken by sustainable travel modes”. Additionally Objective 8 (Promoting Active and Sustainable Travel Choices) states “new development is directed to locations that are or can be accessible by a choice of modes of transport, including walking, cycling, and public transport.”

It is well known residents of affordable housing are statistically less likely to own private vehicles, making access to reliable and frequent public transport essential for ensuring equitable mobility. The provision of public transport infrastructure in close proximity to such developments is therefore a critical component in supporting access to employment, education, healthcare, and other key services, while also promoting sustainable travel patterns and social inclusion.

The site also scores red in Access/Proximity to services, showing the site is greater than 1200m away from key services, as seen in the key below:


In respect of the above, Preferred Strategy 6.40 states the need “To ensure that new development takes place in locations that have the best access to a wide range of services, facilities, and employment opportunities, whilst minimising the need to travel, the distribution of growth is guided by the following settlement hierarchy”. To further highlight the importance of both sustainable transport and proximity to services, the preferred strategy also states the need to “Facilitate the development of adaptable, accessible, well-connected communities that have a strong sense of identity, offer a sustainable range of services and facilities and are equipped with adequate infrastructure”. In addition, Promoting Active and Sustainable Travel Choices outlines to “Promote and encourage the use of sustainable methods of travel, particularly active modes of transport, whilst simultaneously reducing the need to travel”.

In light of the above, this site does not align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy as it fails to meet several key development goals set out. It should therefore not be considered suitable to be allocated for future developments. Its inclusion is therefore unsound.

Should this view be concurred with, 22 affordable units will be lost from the proposed affordable 122 units, and ultimately will be lost from the overall housing land supply. As stated in the draft housing trajectory “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”. There is a clear possibility therefore that this proposed allocation is removed and/or not delivered as its inclusion is unsound as it does not align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy - as it fails to meet several key development goals set out. A “small scale

affordable housing led development” which is needed to “respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities” will therefore not be provided for. This is clearly an issue.

Land to the East of Colwinston, Colwinston

A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below:


As outlined above the site was rejected and considered not suitable for further consideration. In fact, and unlike ‘Land at Heol Fain, Wick’ and ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’ it was stated that this site “could not be considered as a suitable affordable housing led development site”. Despite this, this site has been outlined as an Affordable Housing Led Allocation. As such, the inclusion of this site is “unsound”.

It is known that Colwinston has been subject to significant housing allocations in the settlement as part of previous plans. To evidence this, 25% of the 64 units (i.e. 16 units) were approved on the site allocation ref. MG2(41) and PP ref.

2014/00242/FUL. This makes a substantial provision of such Affordable Housing units (and housing generally) in the settlement in recent years.

Other similarly sized and comparable settlements and locations have not by contrast been subject to any growth for some considerable time, and accordingly would warrant and benefit from provision as part of this new replacement plan.

Notwithstanding the location of such provision, and as set out in detail at the outset of these representations, National Planning Policy advocates the high and acute need for affordable housing, whilst recent analysis evidences that there is a housing emergency. These circumstances - coupled with the shortcomings identified and set out earlier in these submissions in respect to the adequacy of provision within the plan (rolled forward sites / inadequate provision etc) – means that notwithstanding any potential allocation at Colwinston, further provision ought to be made in comparable (previously unprovided for) locations, such as Land South of A48, Bonvilston.

Summary of These Representations

To re-iterate, and to summarise the case made and set out, these representations seek to object to the Housing Trajectory published as part of the consultation on the Draft Housing Trajectory For Housing Stakeholder Group (October 2025) which underpins the Plan and the delivery / realisation of its underlying strategy.

Detailed submissions and objections are raised above in respect to the trajectory information published regarding the soundness and robustness of this information (and it’s consultation), which we do not consider are adequate, robust, or sound to deliver the Plans aims and objectives.

ANNEX 1
Preface

This Annex sets out the detailed case in support of these representations, and by association the case for allocation of the site.

The representations are structured into the following sections:

1. Response to the Deposit Plan;
2. Comments on specific policies; and
3. A summary of the suitability of the site for development.

SECTION 1. Response to the Deposit Plan

Distribution of Growth

We object to the distribution of growth within the Deposit Plan. Specifically, we object to the strategy that underpins the Deposit Plan, which seeks to introduce the proposed ‘Strategic Growth Area’ which is expected to contain the majority of housing growth in the Vale over the Plan period, or rather the over-reliance on this defined area, and the associated absence of growth in other parts of the Plan area.

As outlined in our previous representations, the allocation of housing and the location of strategic growth neglects the Rural Vale, and in our view, overprovides in the Strategic Growth Area. For example, with limited housing stock and average house sales at over £800,000 over the last 12 months, there is a clear and established need for new homes in the Bonvilston area, particularly at an affordable level. This is reinforced by the Local Housing Market Assessment that identified a need for over 1,114 new affordable homes per annum over the next five years throughout the county, and 196 units per annum thereafter (average of 502 units per annum over 15 years). Further to this, it is widely known that the rural Vale comprises the majority of the county’s ageing population, which, as a demographic, has and will continue to grow rapidly over the Plan period. This is evident in the ‘Population Change’ chart below – which is taken from the Deposit Plan:

VofG Deposit Plan: Figure 4 Population Change 2011 to 2021

It is clearly the case that younger populations are migrating to other Authorities, where access to housing is typically cheaper and more affordable, whilst more older populations are significantly migrating into the Authority. This trend will result in an extremely unbalanced demographic, given that the working-age population have sought housing elsewhere.

Without a suitable supply of affordable housing delivered over the Plan period, this trend will only worsen. Accordingly, it is not considered that the RLDP takes into account the lack of supply of affordable homes within the rural Vale, as well as increased housing to support the growing ageing population within these areas.

Para 3.19 of the Deposit Plan clearly outlines that affordable housing is required in the short term, in order to meet pressing needs. Specifically, it outlines the following: “There is significant pressure on temporary accommodation in the Vale, for a variety of reasons including increased homelessness presentations… The need for sufficient permanent affordable housing to assist in moving people out of temporary accommodation is critical and the planning system has a vital role in assisting in new affordable housing delivery.”
Accordingly, the distribution of growth within the Authority must be proportionate, to ensure that populations / areas are not left behind where they must seek access to housing elsewhere.

The RLDP Sustainable Growth Strategy sets out 6 objectives. Objective 4 states: “Allowing for small scale affordable housing led development in settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area at a scale proportionate to the size of settlement.” (Page 66)
Para 5.25 states “Therefore, a key part of the strategy is to allow for affordable housing led developments within sustainable primary and minor rural settlements outside of the Strategic Growth Area, at a scale that is appropriate to the size of the community it is serving. An ‘affordable housing led’ scheme is one where a minimum of 50% of the dwellings would need to be affordable, although this could increase to a maximum of 100% if the site is brought forward by a social landlord”.

In terms of the definition / explanation of what the affordable housing-led development sites are seeking to achieve, paragraph 6.132 of the Deposit Plan outlines the following:

“Accordingly, to ensure that new developments respond to the high demand for smaller properties, as identified in the LHMA, priority will be given to affordable homes that are small to medium-sized, typically comprising one to three bedrooms. Representations received from the local community through the RLDP process also highlighted a desire for new housing developments to offer opportunities for accessing smaller market homes. This is particularly relevant in the rural Vale, where housing choices are more limited. Providing smaller, more affordable market homes may assist first-time buyers and enable older residents to downsize to more manageable properties within their local area. Affordable housing-led sites will therefore need to demonstrate that an appropriate range of both affordable and market dwellings has been provided.”

Despite the acknowledgement within this strategic objective, we do not consider that the RLDP goes far enough to meet this objective, nor are its provisions and allocations adequate.

It is considered that this objective is undermined by the allocations set out by the RLDP (not least the absence of allocations in the rural Vale). Notwithstanding the Vision’s clear acknowledgement of the benefit of the growth of the rural Vale, these areas have not been supported through the plan due to the lack of growth which has been attributed to these areas in terms of further housing, employment and sustainable transport. All growth options have been selected on the basis of being in either a Key Settlement, Service Centre Settlement or Primary Settlement, all of which are already sustainable areas served by rail. As a result, it is not clear how this objective can be achieved, without the allocation of further sites within the Minor Rural Settlements, such as Bonvilston. The Vale is characteristically ‘rural’, and as such, there needs to be a stronger emphasis on supporting and delivering new development in order to bolster the rural economy. This includes enabling opportunities to provide employment and business premises within / near to rural settlements, as well as focusing housing growth in these areas to reduce travel time, and promote the use of sustainable transport.

It is considered that the current Strategy does not provide adequately for all residents across the Vale, only those within the Strategic Growth Area. The underlying Vision and Objectives set out in the emerging Plan are accordingly wholly un-provided for by the detail of the Plan. This brings into question the “soundness” of the Plan.

The Strategic Growth Area does not take into account the important role and proximity of Bridgend to the West and/or the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant to the north (as defined in the RCTCBC LDP). The Minor Rural Settlements to the west are more likely to be supported by job opportunities and employment in Bridgend than further east in Barry or Cardiff. Similarly, those in the north align with, and function in association with, the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant to the north. These settlements are served by existing bus services that provide sustainable modes of travel to key employment locations in and around Bridgend. This is acknowledged in Paragraph 3.3 of the Strategy which states “The greatest number of residents who travel outside of the Vale for work purposes travel to Cardiff followed by Bridgend and Rhondda Cynon Taf, whilst a smaller proportion commute into the Vale from these neighbouring authorities”. The Demographic Evidence (Feb 2023) estimates the Vale as being a net importer of workers from RCT and Caerphilly (Para 3.6) - as shown in Figure 10 in the Preferred Strategy.

The current Strategy does not support any improvement of sustainable travel or further investment in settlements linked more closely to these areas - given that Growth has been apportioned in only the Key Service Centre and Primary Settlements. It is considered that this will fail to support and facilitate the current (and any future) employment coming into the Vale, nor will it support any employment which is located outside of the Vale to the West and North. The Growth Option is too heavily reliant on access to railway stations as the key and sole sustainable transport method, whereas access to bus services should also be appropriately assessed and focused on in terms of promoting sustainable development. It is unreasonable to devise a strategy that hinges on directing growth to areas that are accessible to railway facilities, where it is recognised in the Plan that the Vale is inherently rural. The delivery and soundness of the Plan is therefore questioned and we continue to object to the spatial growth strategy as set out in the Deposit Plan.

Housing Supply

RLDP Allocations - Key Sites

As set out in representations made throughout the Plan preparation process, we consider that the Plan is too reliant on the delivery of ‘key sites’ to meet the housing need over the Plan period. Specifically, the Plan makes provision for 2,278 units in these Key Sites, which equates to circa 65% of RLDP allocations in the housing supply. The 5 key sites that are allocated in the Deposit Plan are as follows:

• Land at North West Barry – 376no. units;
• North of Dinas Powys – 250no. units;
• Land at Readers Way, Rhoose – 520no. units;
• Land at Church Farm, St Athan – 532no. units; and
• Land to the West of St Athan – 600no. units.

We object to the current housing supply to allocate 2,278no. (65%) of units across strategic sites, as this makes for a risky and unrobust strategy for delivering housing, and in turn, meeting the identified housing need over the Plan period.

As stated in previous representations, there is concern that the proposed timing and phasing of the proposed Key Sites is unrealistic and unrobust, and in turn, undermines the soundness of the Plan, given the heavy reliance on Key Sites delivering new homes across the Plan period. Whilst it is not disputed that the sites would have gone through rigorous assessment to inform their proposed allocation, the timescales for securing planning permission (with all associated conditions discharged) is considered to be unachievable. This is particularly the case for the following timescales that are set out in the Housing Trajectory that underpin the Plan:

• “Time period of pre-application discussions/PAC consultation” – 4 months

• “Time between submission of planning application and determination” – 6 months
• “Time taken from planning consent to the discharge of relevant conditions to enable site construction” – 4 months

It is considered that the above timescales are fundamentally unrobust, and result in a distorted position of housing sites over the RLDP Plan period. It is not considered that these reflect or are informed by the timescales that are currently being incurred for planning applications submitted for major housing sites across Wales. It is rather the case that such applications would typically be determined 1-2 years following submission, given that there are a wide range of stakeholders involved in the determination of major planning applications – which often adds to the delays associated with the determination of such applications.

It is equally the case that the assumptions in the trajectory are solely based on expected timescales for processing formal submissions made to the Council, and do not factor in the timescales associated with, and needed for, the preparation of the material for submission.

It is assumed that these timescales have not considered that such major developments can be subject to the need to undertaking and submitting an Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA), which adds another layer to the determination of any planning application – given the additional considerations that form part of this process. As such, any site subject to EIA would very likely result in further delays extending beyond the timescales set out in the trajectory. Equally, as set out above, the preparation of an application subject to an EIA requires even more detail and assessment, which only further adds to the preparation stage (which has not been factored into as part of the trajectory). Accordingly, it is not considered that the trajectory contains any contingency if any site is required to undertake EIA as part of their application.

For the reasons stated above, it is unlikely that the sites will yield in full, particularly those sites which are expected to deliver housing right up to the final year of the Plan period (‘Land at Readers Way’ and ‘Land to the West of St Athan’). These sites do not allow for any ‘slippage’ should any delays arise through the development management process (which for the reasons set out above, will very likely be the case), and as such, a gap in housing delivery will be brought about as a result of these sites not yielding in full.

Given the proposed ambitious timescales set out for the delivery of the Key Sites, it is considered the housing trajectory is unrobust, and in turn, undermines the soundness of the Plan as a result. A change in strategy should be pursued whereby a greater proportion of small to medium sites are allocated for housing in the Plan period, which are more likely to fully yield given that such sites are subject to less assessment and consideration compared to strategic sites. This would make for a more robust strategy, where a greater number of small to medium sites can deliver housing in the short and medium term of the Plan period, whereas the strategic sites represent a more longer-term strategy to deliver housing – which would then spill into the next Plan period.

Accordingly, we object to the Deposit Plan in its current form, where there is an overreliance on housing need to be met through the delivery of the Key Sites, which we consider to be unrobust, and undermine the integrity and soundness of the Plan. The current strategy of the Plan is at significant risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated, as least as swifty as identified in the housing trajectory. Should no change be made to the Plan to address the above issues, then it is extremely likely that the Plan would ‘fail’ in meeting the identified housing need.

Windfall Sites

It is noted that the RLDP is made up of the following:

• Existing land supply (3,838 units)
• Windfall sites (1,303 units)
• Allocated sites (3,521 units)

Para 6.69 states that “Analysis of historical delivery of housing indicates that on average small windfall sites (sites of less than 10 dwellings) have provided some 53 dwelling completions per year, and large windfall sites (10 dwellings or greater) contributed on average 80 dwellings per year. Overall, it is projected that windfall sites could contribute a further 1,303 dwellings over the remainder of the plan”.

As set out in our previous representations to the Housing Trajectory, we would object to the expected numbers of completions expected during the Plan period, given that there are a number of issues with delivering housing in Wales and given past completions rates for The Vale of Glamorgan – which is discussed in greater detail later in this submission. Again, this results in the Plan being at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated – including any windfall sites.

St Athan Train Station

The RLDP Sustainable Growth Strategy comprises six key elements, of which the following is set out in respect to the allocation of new housing growth in the Authority:

“3. Focusing development at locations that are well served by existing and proposed rail stations as part of the South Wales Metro and in areas with good bus links.”

The strategy outlines that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken in 2022, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. Accordingly, in line with the spatial strategy adopted for the RLDP (i.e. focus development around sustainable transport nodes), St Athan was identified as a ‘Strategic Opportunity Area’ to accommodate strategic growth – through the proposed allocation of two key sites : ‘Land at Church Farm’ and ‘Land West of St Athan’. These sites have been identified to deliver 532no. and 600no. units respectively in the Plan period. These are separate to, and are in addition to, the 51no. units that have now been attributed to the site ‘Land South of Clive Road’ and 80no. units attributed to ‘Former Stadium Site, adjacent to Burley Place’ in St Athan. Accordingly, in total, the Housing Trajectory makes a provision for a total of 1,263no. homes to be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period.

It is now the case, however, that the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales – as confirmed in the ‘Today, Tomorrow, Together: A vision for rail across Wales and Borders’ (February 2026) recently published by Transport For Wales. This paper acknowledges that a new railway station at St Athan would represent a longer term opportunity, and therefore, will not be delivered in the short term / within the Plan period of the emerging Plan. Equally the Council have not provided any evidence to contradict this, and therefore, it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period. This brings about significant questions regarding the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

The strategy to allocate new housing growth is predicated on focusing residential development around sustainable transport nodes, and given that St Athan will be without any railway station in the Plan period, it is not considered that the sites align with the strategy of the RLDP. Accordingly, the wider Housing Trajectory is considered to be unsound, given that a total of 1,263no. homes (36% of the Plan’s new housing allocations) are expected to be delivered in St Athan within the Plan period.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add further sites for housing in this location over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites - given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

In terms of the expected delivery of the Key Sites in St Athan, it is noted that the trajectory identifies that for the majority of the Plan period, both sites will be delivering 80no. dwellings per annum on each site (equating to 160no units in total). Whilst these are two separate sites, we seriously question the realistic prospects of the significant number of

homes being built simultaneously on two sites in proximity to one another – given the considerable logistical issues that would be brought about.

Accordingly, it remains that there are serious questions regarding the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations at St Athan, which do not accord with the strategy adopted for the RLDP – to focus housing growth on settlements that are supported by railway stations. Moreover, the scale of development proposed at St Athan is also not considered to be proportionate, with a significant number of homes delivered in a location not served by a railway station.

Rolled forward LDP Sites

The proposed land supply within the housing trajectory includes provision for ‘rolled forward’ LDP sites, which contribute to the total of ‘Proposed Additional Housing Allocations’ forming part of the housing supply. Specifically, a total of 1,242no. units have been identified as additional housing allocations, of which 959no. are expected to be delivered on the rolled forward LDP sites. As such, these sites are to provide for a significant proportion of additional housing in the Plan period (specifically circa 77%).

The Development Plans Manual (DPM) sets out that allocations rolled forward from a previous plan will require careful justification for inclusion in a revised plan. The DPM outlines that “there will need to be a substantial change in circumstances to demonstrate sites can be delivered and justify being included again. Clear evidence will be required that such sites can be delivered.” The below table included in the consultation document provides a breakdown of the rolled forward LDP sites, and in particular, sets out the status of each site:


The above table evidences that the current LDP has under delivered in regard to its targeted unit number of the Plan period, given that these sites did not yield any housing over the current Plan period. This is further exacerbated by the Land Bank sites that have also not delivered any housing across the existing LDP period, amounting to 1,860no units. Accordingly, when considering the non-delivery of both rolled forward LDP sites and Land Bank sites, this amounts to an approximate shortfall of 2,189 homes being delivered, or 33% of the total housing supply identified for the current LDP (8,525no. dwellings).

It is therefore considered that, as a minimum, the units carried over from the LDP (without planning permission) should be a surplus to the housing supply proposed for the RLDP, as opposed to being relied on to deliver the housing need over the Plan period. This is particularly the case for the two sites (Land to the west of Pencoedtre Lane, and Land between Northern Access Road and Eglwys Brewis Road) which do not currently have any active planning application

submitted for their development. These sites total an amount of 370no. units to be delivered in the Plan period, which represents more than a third of the additional housing allocations to make up the housing supply.

As such, it is considered that the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP is still present – indeed it has grown, and will continue to do so, not least when considered in conjunction with the projected population growth over the coming years to 2036, and the aspirations for growth in the Plan’s strategy.

Accordingly, in order to secure the targeted level of housing, a greater level of provision for new allocations should be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. This would bring about better certainty that the housing requirement is met by the housing supply over the Plan period, not least given that the current Plan failed in this respect. Without a re-apportioning of the housing supply, it is considered that the Plan would heavily rely on the contingency (i.e. rolled forward LDP sites) coming forward in the Plan period, yet there is uncertainty that these will yield in full over the new Plan period. This raises issues of ’soundness’, and risks rendering the Plan unrobust.

Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions

As set out in our previous representations to the Housing Trajectory consultation, we have considerable concerns in relation to the proposed delivery of the sites identified in the trajectory – which we do not consider are robust or reasonable.

Appendix 1 of the Deposit Plan sets out the development trajectory bar chart – which illustrates the proposed delivery of housing, on a per annum basis, over the Plan period.

Extract of Housing Trajectory Graph (annotated by GJP – red dotted line)
It is our view that the trajectory makes for an unrealistic and unrobust delivery rate of housing, which does not reflect the pattern of housing completions in the Vale of Glamorgan. We therefore have concerns regarding the soundness of the trajectory, not least that there remain significant uncertainties as to the delivery of the Key Sites (as discussed earlier in these representations).

Firstly, the graph / trajectory illustrates a large ‘spike’ in terms of housing delivery in the year 2027-28, which is considered to be a marked and pronounced step change in the rate of delivery. This envisages / relies on a significantly higher rate of delivery than previous years in the Vale of Glamorgan (2021 through 2021 – as depicted by the green columns). It is considered that this level of delivery is unlikely to materialise, not least given prevailing market

circumstances, past rates of delivery on the ground, and also in light of levels achieved across Wales and the UK in general.

The published trajectory shows that the average level of completions from 2021 - 2025 has been approx. 400 - 500 units, however, the chart shows that from 2027 – 2028, completions are expected to rise to approx. 1,000 units per year. The expected delivery levels in the trajectory therefore show and assume a doubling in delivery rates and unit numbers (an increase of approx. 100% relative to past rates). There is no clear evidence as to how this level of completions can be achieved let alone guaranteed. This is the case in particular given that the forthcoming years (2025-2027) are expected to see performance (yield) drop significantly (delivery rates in 2025 – 2026 and 2026 – 2027). The chart shows only approx. 200 units being delivered over these years. It is therefore unclear how completion rates are expected to rise so quickly (from 200 in 2025-26 to 1000 in 2027-28), and by such a significant amount. The assumptions in the trajectory are wholly unrobust in our view.

It is also the case that the anticipated delivery of housing fails to be consistent within and across the Plan period. It is unclear as to why completions rates aren’t spread out more evenly throughout the Plan period - to ensure a robust and most realistic housing trajectory until 2036. By comparison to the marked increase in the rate of delivery between and over the period 2027 to 2031, there is then a marked fall-off or drop in delivery towards and by the end of the Plan period. Indeed, in the final year, the level of completions are expected to be lower than the period 2021-2025.

Accordingly, we consider that the housing trajectory, as proposed, is entirely manufactured and unreflective of the past completion rates, as well as the recent published completion rates provided by Welsh Government recently in August 2025. As set out in our previous representations, it has been evidenced that there has been a general decline in the number of new dwellings started and completed.

Description of Figure 1: ‘New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’
As identified in the graph above, in 2024-25, 4,631 new dwellings were completed, which represents 3% fewer than the previous year. This figure represented the second lowest number on record, with the lowest number recorded in 2021-22, a year heavily affected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic (in 2021-22, 4,616 new dwellings were completed) The New Housing Pipeline Report Quarter 3, 2025 Report (December 2025) published by the HBF evidenced that the number of residential units approved in the UK fell by 7% during the third quarter of 2025, extending the decline seen during the first half of the year. At 45,075, the number of units approved was 34% down on the third quarter of 2024 and the lowest quarterly total since 2012 Q2. At 146,798, the overall number of units approved during the first nine months of 2025 was 25% lower than a year ago.



HBF Graph Illustrating Residential Approvals (2006-2025)

The above graph clearly shows a pronounced downward trend in the number of residential planning approvals over the period, particuarly with a sharp decrease seen since 2020. Further, the HBF document ‘Increasing Housing Supply in Wales’ (4th September 2025) clearly shows that The Vale of Glamorgan has not met the housing delivery requirements in recent years in 2023 – 2024 – along with every other authority in Wales (except Newport). Accordingly, this further adds to the argument that historically The Vale (and most other authorities) have underprovided. This adds considerable uncertainty on the assumed transformation in yield and delivery as built into the trajectory.

Graph: Housing Delivery as a proportion of annual housing requirement in Wales per Authority

More recently, the Welsh Government has released its new estimates of housing need (Estimates of Additional Hosing Need: 2025-based – February 2026). The estimates show how many new homes need to be built over the next twenty years to address existing unmet need as well as newly arising need. The figures set out that around 8,700no. new homes a year are needed over the next Senedd term up to 2030 to meet new housing need. Additionally, there is an unmet need for 9,400 affordable homes.

Overall, this represents more than double 2024/25 levels of supply, where just 4,638 new homes were built.

HBF: Estimates of Housing Need

HBF: Actual Delivery vs Estimates of Need

The above graphs unequivocally evidence that historical rates of delivery of housing in Wales has remained low, and moreover, significant numbers of housing need to be allocated in order to meet the estimate of need. It is not

considered that the housing trajectory, in its current form, is robust to meet the housing need over the Plan period, given the uncertainties of the Key Sites, and the level of housing delivery that has been identified for the Plan.

Affordable Housing-Led Sites

HG4 - Rural Affordable Housing Led Sites

Policy HG4 of the Deposit Plan identifies four sites to be allocated as affordable housing-led sites, totalling approximately 122 dwellings within the plan period. Given the target levels of achieving 3,070 affordable dwellings over the course of the Plan period (up to 2036), it is not considered that this policy goes far enough to address the target and level of affordable housing need.


It is noted that the number of units identified for each site relate to the ‘total’ number of units delivered, as opposed to the affordable housing provision. Accordingly, it can be assumed that circa 50% of each allocation will comprise affordable units (given each site is affordable-led), which would equate to a total provision of circa 61no. units. The contribution from the affordable housing-led sites would only equate to 2% of the total need (3,070no. units). Even when coupled with the affordable housing provision from open market sites and 100% exception sites, the total delivery of affordable housing will still be nowhere near enough to meet the overall affordable housing need over the Plan period. Accordingly, it is considered that inadequate provision has been made for such sites – not least given that 3 of the 4 allocated affordable housing-led sites are located west of Cowbridge.

Insofar as to the sites chosen and allocated are concerned, it is clear from reviewing the Stage 1 and Stage 2 Candidate Site Assessment that the allocated sites HG4(1) – (4) were not considered acceptable due to being outside the strategic growth areas, and were considered to be unacceptable intrusions into the open countryside. After being resubmitted as affordable housing-led sites, the sites were allocated, some with a smaller area in order to accommodate less dwellings in total.

The sustainable credentials of the sites allocated is not disputed, and it is acknowledged that these minor rural settlements have the ability to accommodate further growth, in the form of affordable-led housing allocations. However, it is considered that Land South of A48, Bonvilston (Site ID: 435 / 3857) should also form an allocation as part of this policy, given its high sustainability credentials and its appropriate location to accommodate a suitable level of development. Please refer to the previous representations made to the Housing Trajectory Consultation (dated 17th October) for further, more detailed comments regarding the above sites.

The LHMA 2023 shows that there is a need for 77 affordable homes in the St Nicholas & Llancarfan housing market area (which Bonvilston is located within), and a need for 242 affordable homes in the Wenvoe housing market area. As such, there is an identified need for affordable housing in this area, something which the site could address through an allocation.

Securing further delivery of Affordable Units

As set out above, it can be assumed that the affordable housing-led allocated sites only provide 61no. affordable dwellings, which comprise 4no. allocated sites that are expected to deliver approximately between 20 – 50 dwellings (including both affordable and market housing). However, the RLDP sets a target of 3,070 affordable homes to be delivered in the Plan period. This means that affordable housing-led allocations make up less than 4% of the target provision and will only make provision for 2% of the targeted number. We would therefore object to the sites included

within Policy HG4 and would suggest that more sites should be allocated as part of the policy in order to secure delivery of a higher number of affordable housing units to meet the target.
Whilst it is acknowledged that the Key Sites will provide for a significant proportion of affordable housing, as set out above in these representations, there is serious concern regarding the deliverability of these sites, which would result in a significant gap of affordable housing delivered.

A greater number of affordable housing-led sites allocated would ensure there is sufficient contingency built into the Plan, to ensure that the overall affordable housing need is met over the Plan period. Failure to do so would result in affordable housing need being unmet, with demand continuing to outstrip supply.

Previous representations to the Preferred Strategy (dated 14th February 2024) provided comment on the sustainability scoring of Bonvilston and the proposed site. As outlined within these representations, it is considered that the site (ID 435 / 3857) represents a sustainable, deliverable and acceptable site. This proposed allocation is situated in proximity to Cowbridge, Culverhouse Cross and Cardiff, which comprise all key services. Given that the site is located within 4 miles of both Cowbridge and St Nicholas, the site is within a maximum 20-minute bus journey of the following key services:

• Cowbridge Comprehensive School;
• St Nicholas Primary School;
• Cowbridge Health Centre; and
• Cowbridge town centre for various Retail Services.

Accordingly, the settlement of Bonvilston represents an acceptable location to allocate an affordable housing-led site, given the access to existing services and facilities that would serve future residents of the site.

To conclude, the settlement, location and site are inherently suitable and deliverable, and will make a significant contribution to achieving and realising the housing and economic development needs of Bonvilston, support the surrounding settlements, and the Plan area as a whole. As such, the site should be considered further.

Comments on Specific Policies

HG5 - Affordable Housing Exception Sites

Given the unmet need and extant backlog of affordable housing, as identified within the LHMA (2023), it is noted that an Affordable Housing Exception Sites policy has been adopted in order to assist in the delivery of affordable housing. Policy HG5 sets out the specific criteria where proposals for 100% small scale affordable housing developments will be permitted outside settlement boundaries. The current policy wording for the Affordable Housing Site Exception Policy and the criteria listed out in the policy is generally supported.

That said, it is noted that a ‘cap’ of 10 dwellings (as referenced within supporting text Para 6.140) is set. This should be amended due to such a ‘cap’ limiting the flexibility of the policy, in particularly for sites coming forward as part of this policy in Minor Rural Settlements.

As such, we would suggest that supporting Para 6.140 should be amended in order to allow for further flexibility for sites in Minor Rural Settlements to come forward and to deliver affordable housing, given that the criteria set out in the policy would already protect and restrict the extent of any development as it stands. Therefore, the proposed amendments to Para 6.140 are outlined below in red:

6.140 “For the purposes of this policy, ‘small-scale’ will generally mean no more than around 10 dwellings on sites adjoining Minor Rural Settlements. In Primary Settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area, proposals for more than 10 dwellings may be acceptable where required to meet a specific need and where the number of dwellings is proportionate to the size of the settlement. In assessing the scale and extent of any proposed local needs housing, consideration should also be given to affordable housing already planned in the ward or nearby area, including sites

with existing planning permissions and those allocated in the RLDP. The size and type of affordable housing proposed should reflect the identified local need in the area.”

The above suggested wording would achieve a more flexible policy, which would allow for a variety of scaled applications to secure planning permission for solely 100% affordable housing across the Authority area. This greater flexibility would enable the policy to make a significant contribution towards meeting the affordable housing need – which, as set out earlier is in considerable need.

SECTION 3. Suitability of the site for development

The site promoter objects to the overall assessment of the site, in that it is not considered suitable for further development in the Plan. The promoted site has undergone extensive scrutiny and appraisal at a high level to ascertain the qualities of the site, in light of all identified material considerations which relate to the proposals.

The delivery of the site will yield much needed housing (including Affordable housing) and contribute to the overall supply in the new Plan period, whilst making effective use of a suitably located site for residential development.

Moreover, as set out in ‘Annex 2’ of our representations, the site has overcome the ‘constraints’ set out in the Candidate Site Assessment undertaken for the site, which demonstrates that the proposal is both acceptable and deliverable.

Deliverability of the Site

In summary, the site seeks to deliver the following key elements:

• In summary, the opportunity of the site seeks to deliver:
• Residential development comprising up to 25 dwellings, with at least 50% affordable housing in accordance with Policy SP2,
• Highways infrastructure within the site;
• Upgraded access to the site;
• Strong legible pedestrian and cycle connections throughout the site and with the existing settlement;
• Green Infrastructure; and
• Sustainable Drainage Systems (SuDS).

SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

In summary, the site promoters:

• Object to the distribution of growth proposed for the Plan area, with a more balanced and equitable distribution of housing sites required in order to meet the identified housing need;
• Object to the level of growth identified for the Plan period;
• Object to the housing trajectory that underpins the delivery of housing within the Plan period – which is considered to be unrealistic and unrobust, leading to serious uncertainty regarding the “soundness” of the Plan;
• Object to the over-reliance on Key Sites and Rolled Forward Sites in making up the Plan’s housing land supply;
• Object to the scale and timing of delivery of sites in / around St Athan – all of which are predicated on railway station provision which will not be realised in the Plan period;
• Object to the under-provision of sites under Policy HG4 – Rural Affordable Housing-Led sites, not least given their extremely limited contribution to the targeted need for affordable housing;
• Object to the current wording of the HG5 Policy ‘Affordable Housing Exception Sites’ which requires greater flexibility to play an important role in delivery much-needed affordable homes across the Authority; and
• Object the Council’s assessment that the site is not considered suitable for development.

The site and proposals are consistent with the RLDP strategy, other Vale of Glamorgan strategies, and the requirements of Planning Policy Wales and Future Wales. It will make a significant contribution to the Vale’s identified housing requirement in the RLDP period and will provide for a wide range of uses that will support the wider community whilst embodying principles relating to placemaking and the well-being of future generations.

The site has no fundamental constraints and has the ability to deliver significant economic, social and environmental benefits for the benefit of future residents and the existing local community. The site is demonstrated to be viable, being able to deliver policy-compliant levels of affordable housing and given its location within a strong market area, will benefit from high delivery rates.

ANNEX 2
SECTION 4. A summary of the suitability of the site for development including a Response to the Candidate Site Assessment

This section of the overall representations to the Deposit Plan is to respond to, and address, the Council’s assessment of the site.

While the issues the Council have raised in their assessment of the site have been addressed and discussed within the representations made at the Preferred Strategy stage of the Plan, a similar ‘scoring’ exercise has been undertaken as part of the evidence base for the Deposit Plan. As such, it is still pertinent to consider and respond to the Council’s assessment of the site as part of these representations

The Detailed Site Assessment for Land South of the A48, Bonvilston (Site ID: 3857) sets out that the position of the site at the Deposit Stage is as follows:

“Notwithstanding the amendment from a market led to an affordable housing led scheme (original CS 435), the other reasons why the site was previously discounted still remain.
The development would have an adverse impact on the character and setting of the Bonvilston Conservation Area. Development of the site would require major highway mitigation works to enable safe vehicular access on to the A48.
The Predictive ALC Maps indicates that site is Grade 2 Best and Most Versatile Land. Development of the site would lead to the loss of BMV land. BMV land should only be developed if there is an overriding need for the development and either previously developed land or land is lower agricultural grades is unavailable. There is housing land available within the ward of St Nicholas and Llancarfan that can support the delivery of affordable housing.”
Conservation Area
In terms of the assertion that “The development would have an adverse impact on the character and setting of the Bonvilston Conservation Area, this is strongly disputed.

Whilst it is acknowledged that the site lies within the Bonvilston Conservation Area, the conclusion that it would be adversely affected is not considered to be accurate. Firstly, the site as it currently stands, consists of an open field. This does not match the conservation area which is characterised primarily by residential dwellings of varying densities, and as such, it is considered that development of the site with sensitively designed buildings would enhance as opposed to harming its surroundings.

Secondly, the large residential development to the north of the site, ‘Land at Sycamore Cross’ ref. 2015/00960/FUL encroaches on the Bonvilston Conservation area but was deemed acceptable by the LPA. Although not all of the site is within the Conservation Area, it’s encroachment and presence adjoining and surrounding a large proportion of the area is considerable and was deemed acceptable by Officers in 2017. Given this, a development at the Land South of the A48 should be deemed acceptable, as it follows the same principles albeit at a much smaller scale.

Highways
As for the statement that “Development of the site would require major highway mitigation works to enable safe vehicular access on to the A48”, this is also strongly disputed.

The site is located immediately adjacent to the adopted highway where it is proposed to upgrade and enhance the existing gated access point. Due to the existing access point, it is not considered that ‘major’ highway mitigation works would be needed, rather this would be enhanced and improved as part of the proposed development. Furthermore, given the nature of the road, with long views extending in both directions, it is anticipated that appropriate visibility

splays could be achieved to enable safe access and egress. As such, it is considered that the site would achieve appropriate highway access within the need for “major” highway mitigation works.

Agricultural Land Classification
The Detailed Site Assessment also sets out that “The Predictive ALC Maps indicates that site is Grade 2 Best and Most Versatile Land. Development of the site would lead to the loss of BMV land. BMV land should only be developed if there is an overriding need for the development and either previously developed land or land is lower agricultural grades is unavailable.” This is strongly disputed.

A review of the Agricultural Land Classification Predictive Map indicates that the site lies primarily within ‘Grade 2: Very good quality agricultural land’ but no Grade 1 land is present. Further assessment and tests to establish the quality would therefore be undertaken in due course to confirm the quality of the land. However, it is not considered that it would be suitable to farm in any event given the location immediately adjoining existing residential development and the fact that it is within private ownership. Overall, given that the site is relatively small with a gross area of 0.88 hectares, it is not considered that its development would result in a detrimental or significant loss of agricultural land – not least given that site is not capable of beneficial agricultural production due to its limited size.

Housing / Housing Land
Further to the above, it is also set out that “There is housing land available within the ward of St Nicholas and Llancarfan that can support the delivery of affordable housing”, however, this is not considered to be entirely accurate.

The LHMA 2023 shows that there is a need for 77 affordable homes in the St Nicholas & Llancarfan housing market area and a need for 242 affordable homes in the Wenvoe housing market area. This need has not been met through the allocations of sites within the RLDP, nor has it been met through outstanding commitments.

As outlined in Annex 1, it can be assumed that the affordable housing-led allocated sites will only provide for 61no. affordable dwellings within the Rural Vale, comprising 4no. sites that are expected to deliver approximately 20 – 50 dwellings (including both affordable and market housing). However, the RLDP sets a target of 3,070 affordable homes to be delivered in the Plan period. This means that affordable housing-led allocations make up less than 4% of the target provision and will only make provision for 2% of the targeted number. Therefore, more sites should be allocated in order to secure the delivery of a higher number of affordable housing units to meet the target.

As set out within Annex 1, it is acknowledged that the Key Sites will provide for a significant proportion of affordable housing, however, there is serious concern regarding the deliverability of these sites, which would result in a significant gap in the total affordable housing that is delivered. Therefore, allocating a greater number of affordable housing-led sites would ensure there is sufficient contingency built into the Plan, to ensure that the overall affordable housing need is met over the Plan period. Failure to do so would result in the both the overall affordable housing need, and the need for the St Nicholas & Llancarfan housing market area, being unmet, with demand continuing to outstrip supply.

The LHMA 2023 sets out the existing stock and planned supply of affordable housing over the next 5 years (up until 2028). This assessment found that the housing market area of St Nicholas & Llancarfan has a committed supply of 4no. one beds, 11no. two beds, and 3no. three beds, with 2 no. three beds as expected re-lets. The assessment also identifies a committed supply of 39no. units for intermediate housing.

The LHMA also sets out the existing stock and planned supply for Wenvoe, identifying the committed supply of social rent homes to be 12no. one beds, 11no. two beds, and 5no. three beds, with 7no. one beds and 8no. two beds as expected re-lets. There is no committed supply for intermediate housing in Wenvoe.

It should be noted that the development of ‘Land East of Nicholas’ (Campbell Court and Cae Newydd), has now been completed, and as such, can not form part of the housing land available. The latest Pre-Application Response for the site subject to these representations (Land South of the A48, Bonvilston) accounted for the development of the site in

St Nicholas, stating that “even after the developments at St Nicholas and Culverhouse Cross, there was the need in the Wenvoe ward for 1 Bed 71, 2 Bed 49, 3 Bed 29, 4 Bed 7, 5 Bed 5, Total 161".

It should also be noted that there are existing commitments within the Bonvilston area (‘Land to the east of Bonvilston’), however, the deliverability of the existing commitment is seriously questioned. Application Ref. 2015/00960/FUL was approved in July 2017, with the Housing Land Supply and Housing Trajectory Report (December 2025) confirming that of the total 120 units permitted, only 40 had completed by 1st April 2025, with the remaining 80 units not started by this same date. Of the 80 units not started, 25 units are affordable homes.

It is well known that phase 1 of the development at ‘Land to the east of Bonvilston’ has faced difficulties which has led to the development remaining incomplete. This does of course put into question the overall deliverability of the site, and raises concerns about the units that were, and still are, required within the Bonvilston area.

The allocation of the site promoted herein would not only help in the short term in meeting the overall affordable housing target for the Plan, but would also assist in meeting the unmet needs of affordable housing within Bonvilston – not least given the serious concern regarding the deliverability of the committed supply of housing within the St Nicholas & Llancarfan housing market area.

For the reasons set out above, and in light of the information provided within the LHMA 2023 and the Housing Land Supply and Housing Trajectory Report (December 2025), it is evident that there is considerable need for affordable housing within Bonvilston, and accordingly, the housing market areas of St Nicholas & Llancarfan, and Wenvoe. There have not been any sites allocated to assist within meeting the local need, and more sites should be allocated in order to secure delivery of a higher number of affordable housing units to meet the overall target of the Plan.

The contention that “There is housing land available within the ward of St Nicholas and Llancarfan that can support the delivery of affordable housing” is therefore strongly disputed – not least given that there is a clear and evident need to allocate more affordable housing-led sites in order to meet the target set out in the Plan.

Interim Summary

In summary, it is considered that the site subject to these representations would not have an adverse impact on the character and setting of the Bonvilston Conservation Area, nor would major highway mitigation works be required to enable safe vehicular access on to the A48. Moreover, it is considered that the site’s classification as BMV Agricultural Land does not pose a fundamental constraint to development – as the site represents a relatively small parcel with a gross area of 0.88 hectares, which is not capable of beneficial agricultural production due to its limited size.

There is also a considerable need for the affordable housing in Bonvilston and the housing market area of St Nicholas & Llancarfan. The site promoted herein would assist in meeting these local needs and should be allocated accordingly.

Candidate Site Assessment

The Detailed Site Assessment undertaken by the LPA includes a summary and assessment of the ‘scoring’ system used at the Preferred Strategy stage. A comparison between the site assessments undertaken at both the Preferred Strategy stage and Deposit Plan stage is provided overleaf for reference.



Site Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage Site Assessment at Deposit Plan Stage

As demonstrated above, there has only been one change to the scoring attributed to the site, this being a change from ‘red’ to ‘amber’ for ‘Developer Interest’. Detailed submissions were made on the previous assessment undertaken by the Council at Preferred Strategy stage, and as such, should be read in conjunction with these representations accordingly (see Appendix B).

Whilst detailed submissions were made on the previous assessment, it is considered pertinent for the scoring of the key criteria’s to be addressed as part of these representations. As such, these have also been discussed below.
Developer Interest

As set out above, the Detailed Site Assessment for ‘Developer Interest’ has changed from ‘red’ to ‘amber’. The assessment methodology for this section of the assessment has been extracted below for reference.


As set out above, ‘amber’ refers to there being no development interest identified at this stage, however, there is evidence to indicate that the site is being actively promoted by the owners.

The representations made to the Preferred Strategy (Appendix B) sets out that whilst the site does not yet have an agreement with a developer to take on the land, it is considered that this would be achieved should the site be allocated, and planning permission granted. Newydd Housing association have been engaged previously and had agreed to take the site forward as a 100% affordable scheme, albeit is also considered that they could take on the affordable units as part of a mixed tenure scheme.

In addition to Newydd, the site promoter has also received an offer from a private social housing provider who would be prepared to support the site as a mixed tenure scheme.

This position has not changed since the Preferred Strategy stage, and is considered that there is continued developer interest for the site. This is not considered to change at any point – not least given the discussions held between the owners of the site in questions and developers of interest.

Environmental and Physical Constraints

As set out at the Pre-Application Stage. the site underwent a Preliminary Ecological Appraisal in September 2022 which identified that whilst some precautionary measures were recommended in terms of protecting priority habitats and reptiles, the site is not fundamentally constrained from development on ecological terms. Given this, it is considered that further ecological surveys would be undertaken at the planning stage to inform any development proposals and ensure the safeguarding of the natural environment.

Access to Key Services (Retail, Primary Schools, and Health Services) and to Services and Facilities

As set out within the representations made to the Preferred Strategy, the site is located within a maximum of a 20-minute bus journey to a version of every key service listed, due to the proximity of the site to settlements such as Cowbridge, Culverhouse Cross and St Nicholas. Due to the availability of frequent bus services, and active travel links, these key services are readily available to access for any residents within Bonvilston without the need to travel by car.

To reiterate, the site ‘Land South of the A48, Bonvilston’ is situated in proximity to Cowbridge, Culverhouse Cross and Cardiff, which comprise all key services. Concluding this allocation as ‘unsustainable’ in regard to ‘availability of local facilities in and around settlements’ is not accurate. Given that the site is located within 4 miles of both Cowbridge and St Nicholas, the site is within a maximum 20-minute bus journey of the following key services:

• Cowbridge Comprehensive School;
• St Nicholas Primary School;
• Cowbridge Health Centre; and
• Cowbridge town centre for various Retail Services.

It should also be noted that Bonvilston contains a number of facilities within a short and level walking distance of the site, including the village shop and Café, as well as the Red Lion Public House.

Given the accessibility of the site to other settlements, and the fact that these are made accessible by bus and active travel routes, it is considered that the site should be concluded as sustainable in regard to access to key services.

Summary and Conclusion

As evidenced above, and within the representations made to the Preferred Strategy (Appendix B), there are no fundamental constraints at, or associated with the site, that would preclude the site coming forward for development in the RLDP period.

To conclude, the settlement, location, and site, are inherently suitable and deliverable, and will make a significant contribution to achieving and realising the housing and economic development needs of the Vale of Glamorgan.

Summary of These Representations

In short, and to summarise the case made and set out, these representations seek to object to the Housing Trajectory published as part of the consultation on the Draft Housing Trajectory For Housing Stakeholder Group (October 2025) which underpins the Plan and the delivery / realisation of its underlying strategy.

Detailed submissions and objections are raised below in respect to the trajectory information published regarding the soundness and robustness of this information (and it’s consultation), which we do not consider are adequate, robust, or sound to deliver the Plans aims and objectives.

Preface

This Submission sets out the detailed case in support of these representations. The representations are structured as follows:

1. Procedural Consultation Matters;
2. Timing Assumptions underpinning the Trajectory;
3. Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions;;
4. Status & Standing of Sites included in the Trajectory;
5. Key Sites;
6. St Athan Train Station;
7. Geographic distribution of the ‘new’ sites / provision;
8. Detailed comments in respect to ‘new’ sites;
9. Conclusions Procedural Consultation Matters
Firstly, we do not consider that the consultation on the Housing Trajectory information has been procedurally undertaken appropriately or suitably.

Only 14 days have been afforded to parties to make representations on the information provided. This is despite new sites being introduced (at this late stage) i.e. Land South of Clive Road (identified in Table 4), as well as a number of affordable housing led housing sites being introduced (i.e. those outlined in Table 5). This does not provide an adequate process or timescale for objectors to scrutinise the published content, and to make comments on sites which have been presented for the first time at a late stage in the process.

As part of these representations, we will be making brief comment on the sites which have not been previously consulted upon, namely:
Other Housing Allocations
• Land south of Clive Road, St Athan;

Affordable Housing Led Sites
• Land at Heol Fain, Wick;
• Land west of Maendy Road, Aberthin;
• Land Noth of West Winds Business Park, Fferm Goch; and
• Land to the East of Colwinston.

It is considered necessary to comment on these sites, given that they form an important and critical part of the housing trajectory, and by association in the Council and Plan reaching their targets. Moreover, these sites have not been consulted on previously. Accordingly we consider it necessary to pass comment on these in order to ensure that the consultation is fair and robust.

As well as limited time given to comment on the information contained within the Housing Trajectory, the LPA have failed to set up a Housing Stakeholder group to agree and discuss the trajectory information and data – with the cover email to the consultation (dated 3rd October 2025) stating “it is considered that it would be the best use of stakeholder time to conduct this engagement via email, particularly as many of the forecasts have been developed in consultation with site promoters including developers and their agents”.

We submit that the stakeholder consultation has not been a transparent nor robust consultation process, given that the Development Plans Manual states at Para 5.66 “A housing trajectory must be prepared to support the Deposit Plan. In order to generate a housing trajectory and associated phasing tables it will be necessary for LPAs to engage with stakeholders through a Housing Stakeholder Group. This will ensure that the timing and phasing of sites is robust and based on up to date information”. Given that this has not taken place, we would raise fundamental concerns that the consultation of the trajectory has not adequately taken place as per the relevant guidance. Afterall, the guidance stresses that a Group should be formed as a necessity. Accordingly, there has not been an adequate process and opportunity to review and comment on the information published, including in respect to the other sites have been introduced at this late stage.

Timing Assumptions underpinning the Trajectory

The assumed and factored in timescales of the various stages of bringing forward sites i.e. the pre-application stage, the planning application process, and the discharge of condition process outlined in the trajectory are considered to be fundamentally inaccurate, and result in a distorted position of the delivery of housing sites over the RLDP Plan period. The assumptions are far too ambitious, and without evidence / are not comparable with the timescales being incurred in processing such stages at the Development Management stage(s).

Specifically, we raise objection to the following timescales which are considered to be extremely ambitious and unrealistic:

• “Time period of pre-application discussions/PAC consultation” = 4 months
• “Time between submission of planning application and determination” = 6 months
• “Time taken from planning consent to the discharge of relevant conditions to enable site construction” = 4 months

In our experience, having submitted a significant number of major and other applications for housing and other forms of development in the last 1-2 years to the Council (and elsewhere in Wales and England), it is extremely unlikely that major applications can be submitted, and planning permissions granted, within the timeframes assumed by the trajectory. A wide range of stakeholders are also involved in the determination of major planning applications, which often adds to the delays associated with the determination of such applications. We would therefore consider that a time period of “6 months” given to all major applications in the housing trajectory is not feasible, and distorts the trajectory timescales for the remaining Plan period.

The assumptions in the trajectory are also solely based on expected timescales for the processing of formal submissions made to the Council, and do not factor in the timescales associated with, and needed for, the preparation of the material for submission (i.e. pre-application enquiry submissions / planning application / discharge of condition details etc). When factored in these will elongate the timescales for bringing forward schemes considerably.

Moreover, it is common practice for larger housing sites and major applications to have a range of pre-commencement conditions attached to a permission once granted. Again, we would raise concerns with the timescales indicated in the trajectory related to this part of the planning process. It is highly unusual and questionable that any technical work required by these conditions (usually relating to drainage and highways matters) would be instructed, completed and submitted within 2 months, and for these to then be signed off / approved in a further 2 months. There are also other technical matters and necessary approvals falling outside of, and over and above, the planning system, such as SAB, s.106, s.38 and s.278 agreements, timescales for which have not been accounted for – and all of which are rarely completed within “4 months” as indicated.

It is therefore highly doubtful that the timescales legislated for in the trajectory for the various stages pre-construction are achievable – with no information about these proposed timescales outlined within the supporting text of the Housing Trajectory. We would therefore raise considerable concerns and objections to these as they stand without full evidence to fully show how these have been calculated, and without there being considerable (and necessary) adjustment to the timescales indicated and factored in.

We would therefore object to the timescales indicated in the ‘Timing and Phasing of Sites’ table, given that the delivery start dates will be pushed back further into the Plan period. Accordingly, and as a result, the Plan is at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated, at least as swiftly as is set out in the trajectory.

Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions

We would also raise considerable doubt over the proposed delivery of the sites identified in the Housing Trajectory - which we do not consider are robust or reasonable.

The development trajectory bar chart set out in the consultation material (extracted below) anticipates and legislates for a number of critical events and circumstances – all of which are considered to be unrobust and unsound.

Extract of Housing Trajectory Graph (annotated by GJP – red dotted line)

Firstly, a large ‘spike’ (material increase) in housing delivery is factored in to take place in 2027 – 2028. This is a marked and pronounced step change in the rate of delivery, and envisages / relies on a significantly higher rate of delivery than previous years in The Vale of Glamorgan (2021 through 2025 - as depicted by the green columns). This is considered extremely unlikely to materialise, not least given prevailing market circumstances, past rates of delivery on the ground, and also in light of levels achieved across Wales and the UK in general.

The published trajectory shows that the average level of completions in The Vale of Glamorgan from 2021 - 2025 has been approx. 400 - 500 units. However, the chart shows that from 2027 – 2028, completions are expected to rise to approx. 1,000 units per year. The expected delivery levels in the trajectory therefore show and assume a doubling in delivery rates and unit numbers (an increase of approx. 100%relative to past rates). There is no clear evidence as to how this level of completions can be achieved let alone guaranteed. This is the case in particular given that the forthcoming years (2025-2027) are expected to see performance (yield) drop significantly (delivery rates in 2025 – 2026 and 2026 – 2027). The chart shows only approx. 200 units being delivered over these years. It is therefore unclear how completion rates are expected to rise so quickly (from 200 in 2025-26 to 1000 in 2027-28), and by such a significant amount. The assumptions in the trajectory are wholly unrobust in our view.

The anticipated delivery of housing also fails to be consistent within and across the Plan period. It is unclear as to why completions rates aren’t spread out more evenly throughout the Plan period - to ensure a robust and most realistic housing trajectory until 2036. By comparison to the marked increase in the rate of delivery between and over the

period 2027 to 2031, there is then a marked fall-off or drop in delivery towards and by the end of the Plan period. Indeed, in the final year, the level of completions are expected to be lower than the period 2021-2015.

To summarise, we consider the defined position to be wholly manufactured and unreflective of the past completion rates, as well as the recently published completion rates provided by Welsh Government recently in August 2025. In the Welsh Government Statistics Document ‘’New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’, information on the number of new dwellings started is provided, where building has commenced and those completed for April 2024 to March 2025. Figure 1 provides a graph showing starts in the last 10 years, and it is clear that there has been a general decline in the number of new dwellings started and completed.

Description of Figure 1:.‘New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’
In 2024-25, 4,631 new dwellings were completed, 3% fewer than in the previous year. This was the second lowest number on record, with the lowest number recorded in 2021-22, a year heavily affected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic (in 2021-22, 4,616 new dwellings were completed). The New Housing Pipeline Report Quarter 2, 2025 Report (September, 2025) published by the HBF evidenced that the number of residential units approved in the UK fell by 6% during the second quarter of 2025, continuing the decline of approval during the first three months of the year. Wales saw one of the largest declines in the UK in approvals with a decline of 29%.

Further, the HBF document ‘Increasing Housing Supply in Wales’ (4th September 2025) clearly shows that The Vale of Glamorgan has not met the housing delivery requirements in recent years in 2023 – 2024 – along with every other authority in Wales (except Newport). Accordingly, this further adds to the argument that historically The Vale (and most other authorities) have underprovided. This adds considerable uncertainty on the assumed transformation in yield and delivery as built into the trajectory.



Graph: Housing Delivery as a proportion of annual housing requirement in Wales per Authority

The Home Building Sector Skills Plan (Aug 2025) published by the HBF also identified the following issues with the workforce to bring forward built development in Wales:

• “A shortfall in numbers entering roles from the education system;
• An ageing workforce: 25% of the home building workforce is aged over 50, meaning the sector is facing an impending retirement cliff edge;
• Challenges attracting a wider talent pipeline into the sector;
• A lack of understanding of critical future skills needed, and direction from the Future Homes Standard; and
• Output within the sector fluctuating with demand and economic pressures, leading to additional pressures in recruitment and training”.

It is not considered that in the next 1-2 years that any of these issues can or will be substantially corrected – at least sufficiently so to allow for, and enable, the planned delivery rates of new housing completions to be as high as < > 1,000 homes in one year (and for four consecutive years at that).

We would therefore object to the proposed numbers of completion expected during the Plan period, given that there are a number of issues with delivering housing in Wales and given past completions rates for The Vale of Glamorgan. Again, this results in the Plan being at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated.

Status & Standing of Sites included in the Trajectory

The proposed land supply within the housing trajectory includes provision for ‘rolled forward’ LDP sites, which contribute to the total of ‘Proposed Additional Housing Allocations’ forming part of the housing supply. Specifically, a total of 1,242no. units have been identified as additional housing allocations, of which 959no. are expected to be delivered on the rolled forward LDP sites. As such, these sites are to provide for a significant proportion of additional housing in the Plan period (specifically circa 77%).

The Development Plans Manual (DPM) sets out that allocations rolled forward from a previous plan will require careful justification for inclusion in a revised plan. The DPM outlines that “there will need to be a substantial change in circumstances to demonstrate sites can be delivered and justify being included again. Clear evidence will be required that such sites can be delivered.” The below table included in the consultation document provides a breakdown of the rolled forward LDP sites, and in particular, sets out the status of each site:




The above table evidences that the current LDP has under delivered in regard to its targeted unit number of the Plan period, given that these sites did not yield any housing over the current plan period. This is further exacerbated by the Land Bank sites that have also not delivered any housing across the existing LDP period, amounting to 1,860no units. Accordingly, when considering the non-delivery of both rolled forward LDP sites and Land Bank sites, this amounts to an approximate shortfall of 2,189 homes being delivered, or 33% of the total housing supply identified for the current LDP (8,525no. dwellings).

It is therefore considered that, as a minimum, the units carried over from the LDP (without planning permission) should be a surplus to the housing supply proposed for the RLDP, as opposed to being relied on to deliver the housing need over the Plan period. This is particularly the case for the two sites (Land to the west of Pencoedtre Lane, and Land between Northern Access Road and Eglwys Brewis Road) which do not currently have any active planning application submitted for their development. These sites total an amount of 370no. units to be delivered in the Plan period, which represents more than a third of the additional housing allocations to make up the housing supply.

As such, it is considered that the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP is still present – indeed it has grown, and will continue to do so, not least when considered in conjunction with the projected population growth over the coming years to 2036, and the aspirations for growth in the Plan’s strategy.

Accordingly, in order to secure the targeted level of housing, a greater level of provision for new allocations should be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. This would bring about better certainty that the housing requirement is met by the housing supply over the Plan period, not least given that the current Plan failed in this respect. Without a re-apportioning of the housing supply, it is considered that the Plan would heavily rely on the contingency (i.e. rolled forward LDP sites) coming forward in the Plan period, yet there is uncertainty that these will yield in full over the new Plan period. This raises issues of ‘’soundness’’, and risks rendering the Plan unrobust.

On this basis, we would object to the Plan if the provision of housing is not adjusted to rebalance the provision to include new allocations in lieu of rolled forward LDP sites in the housing supply.

Key Sites

As set out in previous representations at Preferred Strategy stage, it is considered that the housing supply relies heavily on the delivery of the ‘key sites’ to deliver housing (and meet need) over the Plan period. The total number of housing units attributed to key sites amounts to 2,278, which equates to over 25% of the total provision in the Plan period.

As detailed above, we consider there to be concerns regarding the proposed ‘Timing and Phasing of Sites’ table included in the Housing Trajectory which we consider are not reflective or accurate and will therefore have the effect of delivery start dates being much later into the Plan period than anticipated. The result of this will be that the Plan will be at risk of not delivery the level of housing expected and needed. Moreover, the Housing Trajectory Graph presents an overly ambitious level of housing completions over the Plan period - which the Council consider will be markedly higher than the average levels experienced in the last five years. Again, for the reasons set out above, we consider that these rates of expected completions to have no evidence supporting them, and to be unachievable and unsound.

Insofar as to the removal of the previously proposed site ‘Land at North East Barry’, this site was expected to deliver 900no. units in the Plan period. Following its omission from the housing supply, other sites have been identified, which comprises the inclusion of a new key site (Land at North West Barry), 3no. non-strategic sites, and also affordable housing-led allocations. In terms of the quantum of development attributed to these new sites, this amounts to 659no. dwellings. This is some 250 units less than the 900no. homes that was previously attributed to ‘Land at North East Barry’. Whilst it is appreciated that the number of homes forming part of the existing supply (completions, units with planning permission etc.) have increased since Preferred Strategy stage, there will be a net loss in market housing provision and delivery.

This position is made worse and compounded as a result of accounting for the affordable-led sites in making up the housing supply.

As set out within the Preferred Strategy, these sites are expected to deliver at least 51% affordable housing. These units are not open market units, and will not / cannot contribute to the supply of such housing. These units will contribute to the provision of affordable housing, and will go some way to meeting the acute need for such housing (albeit will not eradicate / address in full the well known and accepted considerable requirement). Accordingly it is considered that these sites should be in addition to the housing supply, as opposed to forming part of the provision. In turn, there would need to be an increase in allocations for non-strategic sites, to ensure that there is sufficient market housing delivery over the Plan period.

Were such changes to be made and introduced, this would achieve and assist realise a more robust and sound housing supply, which will ensure that the identified housing need is met / addressed over the Plan period. Without these changes it is considered that the housing supply is not sufficient, and inevitably, housing need will not be met within the Plan.

St Athan Train Station

As set out in the Preferred Strategy (para A3.29), the strategy seeks to focus development around key sustainable transport nodes. The strategy outlined that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. Accordingly, in line with the spatial strategy adopted for the RLDP (i.e. focus development around sustainable transport nodes), St Athan was identified as a ‘Strategic Opportunity Area’ to accommodate strategic growth – through the proposed allocation of two key sites : ‘Land at Church Farm’ and ‘Land West of St Athan’. These sites have been identified to deliver 532no. and 600no. units respectively in the Plan period. These are separate to, and are in addition to, the 51no. units that have now been attributed to the site ‘Land South of Clive Road’ in St Athan. Accordingly, in total, the Housing Trajectory makes a provision for a total of 1,183no. homes to be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period.

It is now the case that, subsequent to the publication of the Preferred Strategy, the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales. The focus in the first phase of such improvements across the region is towards improving connectivity in east Cardiff, Newport, and Magor. Accordingly,

it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period, which significantly questions the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

The strategy to allocate new housing growth is predicated on focusing residential development around sustainable transport nodes, and given that St Athan will be without any railway station in the Plan period, it is not considered that these sites align with the strategy of the RLDP. Accordingly, the wider Housing Trajectory is considered to be unsound, given that a total of 1,183no. homes are expected to be delivered in St Athan within the Plan period.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add a further site for housing in this location over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites - given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

We therefore consider the Trajectory to be both unrobust and unsound, and therefore, we object to the Trajectory in its current form accordingly.

Geographic distribution of the ‘new’ sites / provision

As a general and overarching comment in respect to the additional sites now included within the Plan, and forming part of the trajectory, (and a matter expanded upon when critiquing each of these sites in the next section to this submission), it is clear and evident that these additional sites have been positioned to settlements that have already, and recently, been attributed significant growth in the preceding Plan and plan period.

Significant allocations (which have also contributed to significant levels of affordable housing) have been realised and built out in locations (such as Wick and Colwinston). Notwithstanding this, two of the additional sites are now proposed for these recently expanded settlements. Given that the purpose of the affordable housing led allocations is to meet unmet affordable housing need, it is questioned why such new allocations are attributed to settlements that have already seen open market and affordable housing provision, as compared to other comparable settlements that have not received any growth whatsoever over a considerable period of time.

It is considered accordingly that the geographic positioning of these allocations is at odds with their underlying purpose - to meet unmet affordable housing need in communities that have seen no provision

Detailed Comments in respect to ‘new’ sites

Other Housing Allocations

Land south of Clive Road, St Athan

A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below for ease:


As set out at the outset of these representations, and whilst we note the findings of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage (i.e. Suitable for further consideration), we do not consider that the consultation on this site has been undertaken procedurally appropriately or suitably. We therefore consider the consultation on this site is “unrobust” and “unsound”.

As set out previously, the strategy seeks to focus development around key sustainable transport nodes. The strategy outlined that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. It is now the case that, subsequent to the publication of the Preferred Strategy, the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales, where the focus is towards improving connectivity in east Cardiff, Newport, and Magor. Accordingly, it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period, which significantly questions the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add a further site for housing over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites – given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

Affordable Housing Led Allocations Land at Heol Fain, Wick
A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below for ease:

Candidate Site Stage 2 Assessment (Site Ref. 404)

The findings of the Candidate Site Assessment for this site are noted. We are assuming the reason this site is proposed to be allocated is a product of the site promoters/developers heading the findings stated below, and changing the form of development to be in accord with this:

“A market housing led scheme would not be acceptable, but the site could be reconsidered as a small scale affordable housing led development subject to need and viability at a maximum of 50 dwellings. In accordance with the Settlement Appraisal Review, it is considered that Wick could potentially accommodate limited affordable housing led growth.”

Whilst no clear deficiency exists in respect to the site, it is known that Wick has been subject to significant growth and expansion in recent years – not least by virtue of significant housing allocations in the settlement as part of previous plans.

To evidence this, 35% of the 124 units approved on the ‘Rectory Field, St Brides Road’ site (i.e. circa 43 units as per site allocation ref. MG(47) and PP ref. 2014/01424/FUL) were approved as Affordable Housing units. This makes a substantial provision of such Affordable Housing units (and housing generally) in the settlement in recent years.

Other similarly sized and comparable settlements and locations have not by contrast been subject to any growth for some considerable time, and accordingly would warrant and benefit from provision as part of this new replacement plan.

Notwithstanding the location of such provision, and as set out in detail at the outset of these representations, National Planning Policy advocates the high and acute need for affordable housing, whilst recent analysis evidences that there is a housing emergency. These circumstances - coupled with the shortcomings identified and set out earlier in these submissions in respect to the adequacy of provision within the plan (rolled forward sites / inadequate provision etc) – means that notwithstanding any potential allocation at Wick, further provision ought to be made in comparable (previously unprovided for) locations, such as Ogmore By Sea.

Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin

‘Land West of Maendy Road’ has been registered as an Affordable Housing Led Allocation candidate site for the RLDP, however as far as we know from our review, there is no assessment and critique of this site. This site has not been included in the ‘Candidate Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage’ (October 2023). As such, with an absence of publicly available information, it is not clear how the Council has judged this site against the criteria. This raises questions accordingly in respect to the “soundness” of a site which forms part of the intended housing land supply, and by association the trajectory. Without this, and without being consulted on (as others have been prior to this) we question whether this allocation is “sound” (i.e. its allocation is considered to be “unsound”).

Land North of West Winds Business Park, Fferm Goch

The below sets out the candidate site stage two assessment of ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’:

Candidate Site Stage 2 Assessment (Site Ref. 398)

As can be seen above the site was not considered suitable for further consideration with the site scoring negatively (red) in a number of key factors. These include the following:

• Access to Retail;
• Access to Health Services;
• Sustainable Transport- Public Transport;
• Access/ Proximity to services and facilities conclusion;
• Climate Change; and
• Health and Wellbeing.

Given the fact the site scores red in ‘Sustainable Transport – Public Transport’, this shows the site is not served by public transport connections within 800m, as outlined in the key below:


Additionally, Policy SP7 (Sustainable Transport) of the Vale of Glamorgan Preferred Strategy states “New development must support an enhanced transport network that increases the proportion of journeys being undertaken by sustainable travel modes”. Additionally Objective 8 (Promoting Active and Sustainable Travel Choices) states “new development is directed to locations that are or can be accessible by a choice of modes of transport, including walking, cycling, and public transport.”

It is well known residents of affordable housing are statistically less likely to own private vehicles, making access to reliable and frequent public transport essential for ensuring equitable mobility. The provision of public transport infrastructure in close proximity to such developments is therefore a critical component in supporting access to employment, education, healthcare, and other key services, while also promoting sustainable travel patterns and social inclusion.

The site also scores red in Access/Proximity to services, showing the site is greater than 1200m away from key services, as seen in the key below:


In respect of the above, Preferred Strategy 6.40 states the need “To ensure that new development takes place in locations that have the best access to a wide range of services, facilities, and employment opportunities, whilst minimising the need to travel, the distribution of growth is guided by the following settlement hierarchy”. To further highlight the importance of both sustainable transport and proximity to services, the preferred strategy also states the need to “Facilitate the development of adaptable, accessible, well-connected communities that have a strong sense of identity, offer a sustainable range of services and facilities and are equipped with adequate infrastructure”. In addition, Promoting Active and Sustainable Travel Choices outlines to “Promote and encourage the use of sustainable methods of travel, particularly active modes of transport, whilst simultaneously reducing the need to travel”.

In light of the above, this site does not align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy as it fails to meet several key development goals set out. It should therefore not be considered suitable to be allocated for future developments. Its inclusion is therefore unsound.

Should this view be concurred with, 22 affordable units will be lost from the proposed affordable 122 units, and ultimately will be lost from the overall housing land supply. As stated in the draft housing trajectory “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”. There is a clear possibility therefore that this proposed allocation is removed and/or not delivered as its inclusion is unsound as it does not align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy - as it fails to meet several key development goals set out. A “small scale

affordable housing led development” which is needed to “respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities” will therefore not be provided for. This is clearly an issue.

Land to the East of Colwinston, Colwinston

A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below:


As outlined above the site was rejected and considered not suitable for further consideration. In fact, and unlike ‘Land at Heol Fain, Wick’ and ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’ it was stated that this site “could not be considered as a suitable affordable housing led development site”. Despite this, this site has been outlined as an Affordable Housing Led Allocation. As such, the inclusion of this site is “unsound”.

It is known that Colwinston has been subject to significant housing allocations in the settlement as part of previous plans. To evidence this, 25% of the 64 units (i.e. 16 units) were approved on the site allocation ref. MG2(41) and PP ref.

2014/00242/FUL. This makes a substantial provision of such Affordable Housing units (and housing generally) in the settlement in recent years.

Other similarly sized and comparable settlements and locations have not by contrast been subject to any growth for some considerable time, and accordingly would warrant and benefit from provision as part of this new replacement plan.

Notwithstanding the location of such provision, and as set out in detail at the outset of these representations, National Planning Policy advocates the high and acute need for affordable housing, whilst recent analysis evidences that there is a housing emergency. These circumstances - coupled with the shortcomings identified and set out earlier in these submissions in respect to the adequacy of provision within the plan (rolled forward sites / inadequate provision etc) – means that notwithstanding any potential allocation at Colwinston, further provision ought to be made in comparable (previously unprovided for) locations, such as Land South of A48, Bonvilston.

Summary of These Representations

To re-iterate, and to summarise the case made and set out, these representations seek to object to the Housing Trajectory published as part of the consultation on the Draft Housing Trajectory For Housing Stakeholder Group (October 2025) which underpins the Plan and the delivery / realisation of its underlying strategy.

Detailed submissions and objections are raised above in respect to the trajectory information published regarding the soundness and robustness of this information (and it’s consultation), which we do not consider are adequate, robust, or sound to deliver the Plans aims and objectives.

ANNEX 1
Preface

This Annex sets out the detailed case in support of these representations, and by association the case for allocation of the site.

The representations are structured into the following sections:

1. Response to the Deposit Plan;
2. Comments on specific policies; and
3. A summary of the suitability of the site for development.

SECTION 1. Response to the Deposit Plan

Distribution of Growth

We object to the distribution of growth within the Deposit Plan. Specifically, we object to the strategy that underpins the Deposit Plan, which seeks to introduce the proposed ‘Strategic Growth Area’ which is expected to contain the majority of housing growth in the Vale over the Plan period, or rather the over-reliance on this defined area, and the associated absence of growth in other parts of the Plan area.

As outlined in our previous representations, the allocation of housing and the location of strategic growth neglects the Rural Vale, and in our view, overprovides in the Strategic Growth Area. For example, with limited housing stock and average house sales at over £500,000 over the last 12 months, there is a clear and established need for new homes in the Ogmore By Sea area, particularly at an affordable level. This is reinforced by the Local Housing Market Assessment that identified a need for over 1,114 new affordable homes per annum over the next five years throughout the county, and 196 units per annum thereafter (average of 502 units per annum over 15 years). Further to this, it is widely known that the rural Vale comprises the majority of the county’s ageing population, which, as a demographic, has and will continue to grow rapidly over the Plan period. This is evident in the ‘Population Change’ chart below – which is taken from the Deposit Plan:

VofG Deposit Plan: Figure 4 Population Change 2011 to 2021

It is clearly the case that younger populations are migrating to other Authorities, where access to housing is typically cheaper and more affordable, whilst more older populations are significantly migrating into the Authority. This trend will result in an extremely unbalanced demographic, given that the working-age population have sought housing elsewhere.

Without a suitable supply of affordable housing delivered over the Plan period, this trend will only worsen. Accordingly, it is not considered that the RLDP takes into account the lack of supply of affordable homes within the rural Vale, as well as increased housing to support the growing ageing population within these areas.

Para 3.19 of the Deposit Plan clearly outlines that affordable housing is required in the short term, in order to meet pressing needs. Specifically, it outlines the following: “There is significant pressure on temporary accommodation in the Vale, for a variety of reasons including increased homelessness presentations… The need for sufficient permanent affordable housing to assist in moving people out of temporary accommodation is critical and the planning system has a vital role in assisting in new affordable housing delivery.”
Accordingly, the distribution of growth within the Authority must be proportionate, to ensure that populations / areas are not left behind where they must seek access to housing elsewhere.

The RLDP Sustainable Growth Strategy sets out 6 objectives. Objective 4 states: “Allowing for small scale affordable housing led development in settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area at a scale proportionate to the size of settlement.” (Page 66)
Para 5.25 states “Therefore, a key part of the strategy is to allow for affordable housing led developments within sustainable primary and minor rural settlements outside of the Strategic Growth Area, at a scale that is appropriate to the size of the community it is serving. An ‘affordable housing led’ scheme is one where a minimum of 50% of the dwellings would need to be affordable, although this could increase to a maximum of 100% if the site is brought forward by a social landlord”.

In terms of the definition / explanation of what the affordable housing-led development sites are seeking to achieve, paragraph 6.132 of the Deposit Plan outlines the following:

“Accordingly, to ensure that new developments respond to the high demand for smaller properties, as identified in the LHMA, priority will be given to affordable homes that are small to medium-sized, typically comprising one to three bedrooms. Representations received from the local community through the RLDP process also highlighted a desire for new housing developments to offer opportunities for accessing smaller market homes. This is particularly relevant in the rural Vale, where housing choices are more limited. Providing smaller, more affordable market homes may assist first-time buyers and enable older residents to downsize to more manageable properties within their local area. Affordable housing-led sites will therefore need to demonstrate that an appropriate range of both affordable and market dwellings has been provided.”

Despite the acknowledgement within this strategic objective, we do not consider that the RLDP goes far enough to meet this objective, nor are its provisions and allocations adequate.

It is considered that this objective is undermined by the allocations set out by the RLDP (not least the absence of allocations in the rural Vale). Notwithstanding the Vision’s clear acknowledgement of the benefit of the growth of the rural Vale, these areas have not been supported through the plan due to the lack of growth which has been attributed to these areas in terms of further housing, employment and sustainable transport. All growth options have been selected on the basis of being in either Key Settlement, Service Centre settlement or Primary Settlements, all of which are already sustainable areas served by rail. As a result, it is not clear how this objective can be achieved, without the allocation of further sites within the Minor Rural Settlements, such as Ogmore By Sea. The Vale is characteristically ‘rural’, and as such, there needs to be a stronger emphasis on supporting and delivering new development in order to bolster the rural economy. This includes enabling opportunities to provide employment and business premises within
/ near to rural settlements, as well as focusing housing growth in these areas to reduce travel time, and use of sustainable transport.

It is considered that the current Strategy does not provide adequately for all residents across the Vale, only those within the Strategic Growth Area. The underlying Vision and Objectives set out in the emerging Plan are accordingly wholly un-provided for by the detail of the Plan. This brings into question the “soundness” of the Plan.

The Strategic Growth Area does not take into account the important role and proximity of Bridgend to the West and/or the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant to the north (as defined in the RCTCBC LDP). The Minor Rural Settlements to the west are more likely to be supported by job opportunities and employment in Bridgend than further east in Barry or Cardiff. Similarly, those in the north align with, and function in association with, the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant to the north. These settlements are served by existing bus services that provide sustainable modes of travel to key employment locations in and around Bridgend. This is acknowledged in Paragraph 3.3 of the Strategy which states “The greatest number of residents who travel outside of the Vale for work purposes travel to Cardiff followed by Bridgend and Rhondda Cynon Taf, whilst a smaller proportion commute into the Vale from these neighbouring authorities”. The Demographic Evidence (Feb 2023) estimates the Vale as being a net importer of workers from RCT and Caerphilly (Para 3.6) - as shown in Figure 10 in the Preferred Strategy.

The current Strategy does not support any improvement of sustainable travel or further investment in settlements linked more closely to these areas - given that Growth has been apportioned in only the Key Service Centre and Primary Settlements. It is considered that this will fail to support and facilitate the current (and any future) employment coming into the Vale, nor will it support any employment which is located outside of the Vale to the West and North. The Growth Option is too heavily reliant on access to railway stations as the key and sole sustainable transport method, whereas access to bus services should also be appropriately assessed and focused on in terms of promoting sustainable development. It is unreasonable to devise a strategy that hinges on directing growth to areas that are accessible to railway facilities, where it is recognised in the Plan that the Vale is inherently rural. The delivery and soundness of the Plan is therefore questioned and we continue to object to the spatial growth strategy as set out in the Deposit Plan.

Housing Supply

RLDP Allocations - Key Sites

As set out in representations made throughout the Plan preparation process, we consider that the Plan is too reliant on the delivery of ‘key sites’ to meet the housing need over the Plan period. Specifically, the Plan makes provision for 2,278 units in these Key Sites, which equates to circa 65% of RLDP allocations in the housing supply. The 5 key sites that are allocated in the Deposit Plan are as follows:

• Land at North West Barry – 376no. units;
• North of Dinas Powys – 250no. units;
• Land at Readers Way, Rhoose – 520no. units;
• Land at Church Farm, St Athan – 532no. units; and
• Land to the West of St Athan – 600no. units.

We object to the current housing supply to allocate 2,278no. (65%) of units across strategic sites, as this makes for a risky and unrobust strategy for delivering housing, and in turn, meeting the identified housing need over the Plan period.

As stated in previous representations, there is concern that the proposed timing and phasing of the proposed Key Sites is unrealistic and unrobust, and in turn, undermines the soundness of the Plan, given the heavy reliance on Key Sites delivering new homes across the Plan period. Whilst it is not disputed that the sites would have gone through rigorous assessment to inform their proposed allocation, the timescales for securing planning permission (with all associated conditions discharged) is considered to be unachievable. This is particularly the case for the following timescales that are set out in the Housing Trajectory that underpin the Plan:

• “Time period of pre-application discussions/PAC consultation” – 4 months

• “Time between submission of planning application and determination” – 6 months
• “Time taken from planning consent to the discharge of relevant conditions to enable site construction” – 4 months

It is considered that the above timescales are fundamentally unrobust, and result in a distorted position of housing sites over the RLDP Plan period. It is not considered that these reflect or are informed by the timescales that are currently being incurred for planning applications submitted for major housing sites across Wales. It is rather the case that such applications would typically be determined 1-2 years following submission, given that there are a wide range of stakeholders involved in the determination of major planning applications – which often adds to the delays associated with the determination of such applications.

It is equally the case that the assumptions in the trajectory are solely based on expected timescales for processing formal submissions made to the Council, and do not factor in the timescales associated with, and needed for, the preparation of the material for submission.

It is assumed that these timescales have not considered that such major developments can be subject to the need to undertaking and submitting an Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA), which adds another layer to the determination of any planning application – given the additional considerations that form part of this process. As such, any site subject to EIA would very likely result in further delays extending beyond the timescales set out in the trajectory. Equally, as set out above, the preparation of an application subject to an EIA requires even more detail and assessment, which only further adds to the preparation stage (which has not been factored into as part of the trajectory). Accordingly, it is not considered that the trajectory contains any contingency if any site is required to undertake EIA as part of their application.

For the reasons stated above, it is unlikely that the sites will yield in full, particularly those sites which are expected to deliver housing right up to the final year of the Plan period (‘Land at Readers Way’ and ‘Land to the West of St Athan’). These sites do not allow for any ‘slippage’ should any delays arise through the development management process (which for the reasons set out above, will very likely be the case), and as such, a gap in housing delivery will be brought about as a result of these sites not yielding in full.

Given the proposed ambitious timescales set out for the delivery of the Key Sites, it is considered the housing trajectory is unrobust, and in turn, undermines the soundness of the Plan as a result. A change in strategy should be pursued whereby a greater proportion of small to medium sites are allocated for housing in the Plan period, which are more likely to fully yield given that such sites are subject to less assessment and consideration compared to strategic sites. This would make for a more robust strategy, where a greater number of small to medium sites can deliver housing in the short and medium term of the Plan period, whereas the strategic sites represent a more longer-term strategy to deliver housing – which would then spill into the next Plan period.

Accordingly, we object to the Deposit Plan in its current form, where there is an overreliance on housing need to be met through the delivery of the Key Sites, which we consider to be unrobust, and undermine the integrity and soundness of the Plan. The current strategy of the Plan is at significant risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated, as least as swifty as identified in the housing trajectory. Should no change be made to the Plan to address the above issues, then it is extremely likely that the Plan would ‘fail’ in meeting the identified housing need.

Windfall Sites

It is noted that the RLDP is made up of the following:

• Existing land supply (3,838 units)
• Windfall sites (1,303 units)
• Allocated sites (3,521 units)

Para 6.69 states that “Analysis of historical delivery of housing indicates that on average small windfall sites (sites of less than 10 dwellings) have provided some 53 dwelling completions per year, and large windfall sites (10 dwellings or greater) contributed on average 80 dwellings per year. Overall, it is projected that windfall sites could contribute a further 1,303 dwellings over the remainder of the plan”.

As set out in our previous representations to the Housing Trajectory, we would object to the expected numbers of completions expected during the Plan period, given that there are a number of issues with delivering housing in Wales and given past completions rates for The Vale of Glamorgan – which is discussed in greater detail later in this submission. Again, this results in the Plan being at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated – including any windfall sites.

St Athan Train Station

The RLDP Sustainable Growth Strategy comprises six key elements, of which the following is set out in respect to the allocation of new housing growth in the Authority:

“3. Focusing development at locations that are well served by existing and proposed rail stations as part of the South Wales Metro and in areas with good bus links.”

The strategy outlines that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken in 2022, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. Accordingly, in line with the spatial strategy adopted for the RLDP (i.e. focus development around sustainable transport nodes), St Athan was identified as a ‘Strategic Opportunity Area’ to accommodate strategic growth – through the proposed allocation of two key sites : ‘Land at Church Farm’ and ‘Land West of St Athan’. These sites have been identified to deliver 532no. and 600no. units respectively in the Plan period. These are separate to, and are in addition to, the 51no. units that have now been attributed to the site ‘Land South of Clive Road’ and 80no. units attributed to ‘Former Stadium Site, adjacent to Burley Place’ in St Athan. Accordingly, in total, the Housing Trajectory makes a provision for a total of 1,263no. homes to be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period.

It is now the case, however, that the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales – as confirmed in the ‘Today, Tomorrow, Together: A vision for rail across Wales and Borders’ (February 2026) recently published by Transport For Wales. This paper acknowledges that a new railway station at St Athan would represent a longer term opportunity, and therefore, will not be delivered in the short term / within the Plan period of the emerging Plan. Equally the Council have not provided any evidence to contradict this, and therefore, it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period. This brings about significant questions regarding the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

The strategy to allocate new housing growth is predicated on focusing residential development around sustainable transport nodes, and given that St Athan will be without any railway station in the Plan period, it is not considered that the sites align with the strategy of the RLDP. Accordingly, the wider Housing Trajectory is considered to be unsound, given that a total of 1,263no. homes (36% of the Plan’s new housing allocations) are expected to be delivered in St Athan within the Plan period.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add further sites for housing in this location over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites - given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

In terms of the expected delivery of the Key Sites in St Athan, it is noted that the trajectory identifies that for the majority of the Plan period, both sites will be delivering 80no. dwellings per annum on each site (equating to 160no units in total). Whilst these are two separate sites, we seriously question the realistic prospects of the significant number of

homes being built simultaneously on two sites in proximity to one another – given the considerable logistical issues that would be brought about.

Accordingly, it remains that there are serious questions regarding the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations at St Athan, which do not accord with the strategy adopted for the RLDP – to focus housing growth on settlements that are supported by railway stations. Moreover, the scale of development proposed at St Athan is also not considered to be proportionate, with a significant number of homes delivered in a location not served by a railway station.

Rolled forward LDP Sites

The proposed land supply within the housing trajectory includes provision for ‘rolled forward’ LDP sites, which contribute to the total of ‘Proposed Additional Housing Allocations’ forming part of the housing supply. Specifically, a total of 1,242no. units have been identified as additional housing allocations, of which 959no. are expected to be delivered on the rolled forward LDP sites. As such, these sites are to provide for a significant proportion of additional housing in the Plan period (specifically circa 77%).

The Development Plans Manual (DPM) sets out that allocations rolled forward from a previous plan will require careful justification for inclusion in a revised plan. The DPM outlines that “there will need to be a substantial change in circumstances to demonstrate sites can be delivered and justify being included again. Clear evidence will be required that such sites can be delivered.” The below table included in the consultation document provides a breakdown of the rolled forward LDP sites, and in particular, sets out the status of each site:


The above table evidences that the current LDP has under delivered in regard to its targeted unit number of the Plan period, given that these sites did not yield any housing over the current Plan period. This is further exacerbated by the Land Bank sites that have also not delivered any housing across the existing LDP period, amounting to 1,860no units. Accordingly, when considering the non-delivery of both rolled forward LDP sites and Land Bank sites, this amounts to an approximate shortfall of 2,189 homes being delivered, or 33% of the total housing supply identified for the current LDP (8,525no. dwellings).

It is therefore considered that, as a minimum, the units carried over from the LDP (without planning permission) should be a surplus to the housing supply proposed for the RLDP, as opposed to being relied on to deliver the housing need over the Plan period. This is particularly the case for the two sites (Land to the west of Pencoedtre Lane, and Land between Northern Access Road and Eglwys Brewis Road) which do not currently have any active planning application

submitted for their development. These sites total an amount of 370no. units to be delivered in the Plan period, which represents more than a third of the additional housing allocations to make up the housing supply.

As such, it is considered that the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP is still present – indeed it has grown, and will continue to do so, not least when considered in conjunction with the projected population growth over the coming years to 2036, and the aspirations for growth in the Plan’s strategy.

Accordingly, in order to secure the targeted level of housing, a greater level of provision for new allocations should be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. This would bring about better certainty that the housing requirement is met by the housing supply over the Plan period, not least given that the current Plan failed in this respect. Without a re-apportioning of the housing supply, it is considered that the Plan would heavily rely on the contingency (i.e. rolled forward LDP sites) coming forward in the Plan period, yet there is uncertainty that these will yield in full over the new Plan period. This raises issues of ’soundness’, and risks rendering the Plan unrobust.

Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions

As set out in our previous representations to the Housing Trajectory consultation, we have considerable concerns in relation to the proposed delivery of the sites identified in the trajectory – which we do not consider are robust or reasonable.

Appendix 1 of the Deposit Plan sets out the development trajectory bar chart – which illustrates the proposed delivery of housing, on a per annum basis, over the Plan period.

Extract of Housing Trajectory Graph (annotated by GJP – red dotted line)
It is our view that the trajectory makes for an unrealistic and unrobust delivery rate of housing, which does not reflect the pattern of housing completions in the Vale of Glamorgan. We therefore have concerns regarding the soundness of the trajectory, not least that there remain significant uncertainties as to the delivery of the Key Sites (as discussed earlier in these representations).

Firstly, the graph / trajectory illustrates a large ‘spike’ in terms of housing delivery in the year 2027-28, which is considered to be a marked and pronounced step change in the rate of delivery. This envisages / relies on a significantly higher rate of delivery than previous years in the Vale of Glamorgan (2021 through 2021 – as depicted by the green columns). It is considered that this level of delivery is unlikely to materialise, not least given prevailing market

circumstances, past rates of delivery on the ground, and also in light of levels achieved across Wales and the UK in general.

The published trajectory shows that the average level of completions from 2021 - 2025 has been approx. 400 - 500 units, however, the chart shows that from 2027 – 2028, completions are expected to rise to approx. 1,000 units per year. The expected delivery levels in the trajectory therefore show and assume a doubling in delivery rates and unit numbers (an increase of approx. 100% relative to past rates). There is no clear evidence as to how this level of completions can be achieved let alone guaranteed. This is the case in particular given that the forthcoming years (2025-2027) are expected to see performance (yield) drop significantly (delivery rates in 2025 – 2026 and 2026 – 2027). The chart shows only approx. 200 units being delivered over these years. It is therefore unclear how completion rates are expected to rise so quickly (from 200 in 2025-26 to 1000 in 2027-28), and by such a significant amount. The assumptions in the trajectory are wholly unrobust in our view.

It is also the case that the anticipated delivery of housing fails to be consistent within and across the Plan period. It is unclear as to why completions rates aren’t spread out more evenly throughout the Plan period - to ensure a robust and most realistic housing trajectory until 2036. By comparison to the marked increase in the rate of delivery between and over the period 2027 to 2031, there is then a marked fall-off or drop in delivery towards and by the end of the Plan period. Indeed, in the final year, the level of completions are expected to be lower than the period 2021-2025.

Accordingly, we consider that the housing trajectory, as proposed, is entirely manufactured and unreflective of the past completion rates, as well as the recent published completion rates provided by Welsh Government recently in August 2025. As set out in our previous representations, it has been evidenced that there has been a general decline in the number of new dwellings started and completed.

Description of Figure 1: ‘New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’
As identified in the graph above, in 2024-25, 4,631 new dwellings were completed, which represents 3% fewer than the previous year. This figure represented the second lowest number on record, with the lowest number recorded in 2021-22, a year heavily affected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic (in 2021-22, 4,616 new dwellings were completed) The New Housing Pipeline Report Quarter 3, 2025 Report (December 2025) published by the HBF evidenced that the number of residential units approved in the UK fell by 7% during the third quarter of 2025, extending the decline seen during the first half of the year. At 45,075, the number of units approved was 34% down on the third quarter of 2024 and the lowest quarterly total since 2012 Q2. At 146,798, the overall number of units approved during the first nine months of 2025 was 25% lower than a year ago.



HBF Graph Illustrating Residential Approvals (2006-2025)

The above graph clearly shows a pronounced downward trend in the number of residential planning approvals over the period, particuarly with a sharp decrease seen since 2020. Further, the HBF document ‘Increasing Housing Supply in Wales’ (4th September 2025) clearly shows that The Vale of Glamorgan has not met the housing delivery requirements in recent years in 2023 – 2024 – along with every other authority in Wales (except Newport). Accordingly, this further adds to the argument that historically The Vale (and most other authorities) have underprovided. This adds considerable uncertainty on the assumed transformation in yield and delivery as built into the trajectory.

Graph: Housing Delivery as a proportion of annual housing requirement in Wales per Authority

More recently, the Welsh Government has released its new estimates of housing need (Estimates of Additional Hosing Need: 2025-based – February 2026). The estimates show how many new homes need to be built over the next twenty years to address existing unmet need as well as newly arising need. The figures set out that around 8,700no. new homes a year are needed over the next Senedd term up to 2030 to meet new housing need. Additionally, there is an unmet need for 9,400 affordable homes.

Overall, this represents more than double 2024/25 levels of supply, where just 4,638 new homes were built.

HBF: Estimates of Housing Need

HBF: Actual Delivery vs Estimates of Need

The above graphs unequivocally evidence that historical rates of delivery of housing in Wales has remained low, and moreover, significant numbers of housing need to be allocated in order to meet the estimate of need. It is not

considered that the housing trajectory, in its current form, is robust to meet the housing need over the Plan period, given the uncertainties of the Key Sites, and the level of housing delivery that has been identified for the Plan.

Affordable Housing-Led Sites

HG4 - Rural Affordable Housing Led Sites

Policy HG4 of the Deposit Plan identifies four sites to be allocated as affordable housing-led sites, totalling approximately 122 dwellings within the plan period. Given the target levels of achieving 3,070 affordable dwellings over the course of the Plan period (up to 2036), it is not considered that this policy goes far enough to address the target and level of affordable housing need.


It is noted that the number of units identified for each site relate to the ‘total’ number of units delivered, as opposed to the affordable housing provision. Accordingly, it can be assumed that circa 50% of each allocation will comprise affordable units (given each site is affordable-led), which would equate to a total provision of circa 61no. units. The contribution from the affordable housing-led sites would only equate to 2% of the total need (3,070no. units). Even when coupled with the affordable housing provision from open market sites and 100% exception sites, the total delivery of affordable housing will still be nowhere near enough to meet the overall affordable housing need over the Plan period. Accordingly, it is considered that inadequate provision has been made for such sites.

Insofar as to the sites chosen and allocated are concerned, it is clear from reviewing the Stage 1 and Stage 2 Candidate Site Assessment that the allocated sites HG4(1) – (4) were not considered acceptable due to being outside the strategic growth areas, and were considered to be unacceptable intrusions into the open countryside. After being resubmitted as affordable housing-led sites, the sites were allocated, some with a smaller area in order to accommodate less dwellings in total.

The sustainable credentials of the sites allocated is not disputed, and it is acknowledged that these minor rural settlements have the ability to accommodate further growth, in the form of affordable-led housing allocations. However, it is considered that the should also form an allocation as part of this policy, given its high sustainability credentials and its appropriate location to accommodate a suitable level of development. Please refer to the previous representations made to the Housing Trajectory Consultation (dated 17th October) for further, more detailed comments regarding the above sites.

The LHMA 2023 shows that there is a need for 124 affordable homes in the St Brides Major local housing market area (which Ogmore is located within). As such, there is an identified need for affordable housing in this area, something which the site could address through an allocation.

It is questionable whether Wick has the capacity to accommodate 50 new dwellings, given the sustainability and rural nature of the area. As a result, it is suggested that the number of homes allocated in Wick is reduced and that a further allocation in St Brides Major is secured, in order to facilitate supporting the delivery of affordable housing through the housing market area, rather than in one minor rural settlement. The sustainability of Ogmore has been assessed, both by the Council through the Sustainability Appraisal and again, through our assessment of the site.

Securing further delivery of Affordable Units

As set out above, the affordable housing-led allocated sites only provide 122no. affordable dwellings, which comprise 4no. allocated sites that are expected to deliver approximately between 20 – 50 dwellings. However, the RLDP sets a

target of 3,070 affordable homes to be delivered in the Plan period. This means that affordable housing-led allocations make up less than 4 % of the target provision and will only make provision for 2% of the targeted number. We would therefore object to the sites included within Policy HG4 and would suggest that more sites should be allocated as part of the policy in order to secure delivery of a higher number of affordable housing units to mere the target.

Whilst it is acknowledged that the Key Sites will provide for a significant proportion of affordable housing, as set out above in these representations, there is serious concern regarding the deliverability of these sites, which would result in a significant gap of affordable housing delivered.

A greater number of affordable housing-led sites allocated would ensure there is sufficient contingency built into the Plan, to ensure that the overall affordable housing need is met over the Plan period. Failure to do so would result in affordable housing need being unmet, with demand continuing to outstrip supply.

Previous representations to the Preferred Strategy (dated 14th February 2024) provided comment on the sustainability scoring of Ogmore and the proposed site. As outlined within these representations, it is considered that the site (ID xxx) represents a sustainable, deliverable and acceptable site. The site is within a maximum of a 22- minute bus journey to a every key service listed, due to the proximity of the site to settlements such as Bridgend. Due to the availability of frequent bus services, and active travel links, these key services are readily available to access for any residents within Ogmore By Sea without the need to travel by car. The site is located within 5 miles of Bridgend, and within a maximum 22-minute bus journey of the following services:

• St Brides Primary School;
• Brynteg Comprehensive School;
• Bridgend College;
• Riversdale Surgery; and
• Bridgend town centre for various Retail Services

Moreover, Ogmore has benefitted from the recent development of the Ogmore By Sea Village Hall, which provides space for community activities and events to take place. The hall also includes a coffee shop (Welsh Coffee Company), which only adds further to the daily services provision available within the settlement. Access to the hall and coffee shop is directly provided for pedestrians from the Main Road, which allows for direct access from the site.

Accordingly, the settlement of Ogmore represents an acceptable location to allocate an affordable housing-led site, given the access to existing services and facilities that would serve future residents of the site.

It is acknowledged that the site also lies within the Glamorgan Heritage Coast and this point is addressed further below.

To conclude, the settlement, location and site are inherently suitable and deliverable, and will make a significant contribution to achieving and realising the housing and economic development needs of Ogmore By Sea, support the surrounding settlements, and the Plan area as a whole. As such, the site should be considered further.

Comments on Specific Policies

HG5 - Affordable Housing Exception Sites

Given the unmet need and extant backlog of affordable housing, as identified within the LHMA (2023), it is noted that an Affordable Housing Exception Sites policy has been adopted in order to assist in the delivery of affordable housing. Policy HG5 sets out the specific criteria where proposals for 100% small scale affordable housing developments will be permitted outside settlement boundaries. The current policy wording for the Affordable Housing Site Exception Policy and the criteria listed out in the policy is generally supported.

That said, it is noted that a ‘cap’ of 10 dwellings (as referenced within supporting text Para 6.140) is set. This should be amended due to such a ‘cap’ limiting the flexibility of the policy, in particularly for sites coming forward as part of this policy in Minor Rural Settlements.

As such, we would suggest that supporting Para 6.140 should be amended in order to allow for further flexibility for sites in Minor Rural Settlements to come forward and to deliver affordable housing, given that the criteria set out in the policy would already protect and restrict the extent of any development as it stands. Therefore, the proposed amendments to Para 6.140 are outlined below in red:

6.140 “For the purposes of this policy, ‘small-scale’ will generally mean no more than around 10 dwellings on sites adjoining Minor Rural Settlements. In Primary Settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area, proposals for more than 10 dwellings may be acceptable where required to meet a specific need and where the number of dwellings is proportionate to the size of the settlement. In assessing the scale and extent of any proposed local needs housing, consideration should also be given to affordable housing already planned in the ward or nearby area, including sites with existing planning permissions and those allocated in the RLDP. The size and type of affordable housing proposed should reflect the identified local need in the area.”

The above suggested wording would achieve a more flexible policy, which would allow for a variety of scaled applications to secure planning permission for solely 100% affordable housing across the Authority area. This greater flexibility would enable the policy to make a significant contribution towards meeting the affordable housing need – which, as set out earlier is in considerable need.

Policy DNP3 – Glamorgan Heritage Coast

Given that the site is located in the Glamorgan Heritage Coast, it is noted that the following policy is of relevance to any future development on the site. Criteria 4 of Policy DNP3 states:

“The special environmental qualities of the Glamorgan Heritage Coast will be conserved and enhanced. New development will be restricted to:
4. Other appropriate and sustainable development that accords with National Policy.”
It is also noted that supporting Para 6.422 “In seeking to protect the Glamorgan Heritage Coast, the Council acknowledges that there are some built up areas within the boundary, including the Minor Rural Settlement of Ogmore. In addition, the Vale of Glamorgan rail line crosses part of the Heritage Coast designation in the location where a new station at St Athan is proposed. Whilst being mindful of the need to protect the special qualities of the Glamorgan Heritage Coast, the Council accepts that development within these areas is appropriate, subject to relevant policies of the Plan”(GJP emphasis).

We would offer general support for this policy, and consider this to provide flexibility which allows for certain forms of development. However, we would suggest that the policy wording should be amended to reflect that ‘housing’ should be supported in the Glamorgan Heritage Coast, providing that the policy exceptions are met. Therefore, the following amendment is proposed as part of the policy should be changed to include “small scale housing” or something similar. The proposed amendments to Policy DNP3 are outlined below in red:

“The special environmental qualities of the Glamorgan Heritage Coast will be conserved and enhanced. New development will be restricted to:
4. Other appropriate and sustainable development, including small-scale housing proposals that accords with National Policy.”

Again, this would ensure that suitable housing developments can be delivered in the Plan period, to meet the housing needs of the Vale of Glamorgan – particularly in respect of affordable housing.

SECTION 3. Suitability of the site for development

The site promoter objects to the overall assessment of the site, in that it is not considered suitable for further development in the Plan. The promoted site has undergone extensive scrutiny and appraisal at a high level to ascertain the qualities of the site, in light of all identified material considerations which relate to the proposals.

The delivery of the site will yield much needed housing (including Affordable housing) and contribute to the overall supply in the new Plan period, whilst making effective use of a suitably located site for residential development.

Moreover, as set out in ‘Annex 2’ of our representations, the site has overcome the ‘constraints’ set out in the Candidate Site Assessment undertaken for the site, which demonstrates that the proposal is both acceptable and deliverable.

SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

In summary, the site promoters:

• Object to the distribution of growth proposed for the Plan area, with a more balanced and equitable distribution of housing sites required in order to meet the identified housing need;
• Object to the level of growth identified for the Plan period;
• Object to the housing trajectory that underpins the delivery of housing within the Plan period – which is considered to be unrealistic and unrobust, leading to serious uncertainty regarding the “soundness” of the Plan;
• Object to the over-reliance on Key Sites and Rolled Forward Sites in making up the Plan’s housing land supply;
• Object to the scale and timing of delivery of sites in / around St Athan – all of which are predicated on railway station provision which will not be realised in the Plan period;
• Object to the under-provision of sites under Policy HG4 – Rural Affordable Housing-Led sites, not least given their extremely limited contribution to the targeted need for affordable housing;
• Object to Policy DNP3 – Glamorgan Heritage Coast, given the lack of recognition for the potential for small-scale housing proposals;
• Object to the current wording of the HG5 Policy ‘Affordable Housing Exception Sites’ which requires greater flexibility to play an important role in delivery much-needed affordable homes across the Authority; and
• Object the Council’s assessment that the site is not considered suitable for development.

The site and proposals are consistent with the RLDP strategy, other Vale of Glamorgan strategies, and the requirements of Planning Policy Wales and Future Wales. It will make a significant contribution to the Vale’s identified housing requirement in the RLDP period and will provide for a wide range of uses that will support the wider community whilst embodying principles relating to placemaking and the well-being of future generations.

The site has no fundamental constraints and has the ability to deliver significant economic, social and environmental benefits for the benefit of future residents and the existing local community. The site is demonstrated to be viable, being able to deliver policy-compliant levels of affordable housing and given its location within a strong market area, will benefit from high delivery rates.

ANNEX 2
SECTION 4. A summary of the suitability of the site for development including a Response to the Candidate Site Assessment

This section of the overall representations to the Deposit Plan is to respond to, and address, the Council’s assessment of the site.

While the issues the Council have raised in their assessment of the site have been addressed and discussed within the representations made at the Preferred Strategy stage of the Plan, a similar ‘scoring’ exercise has been undertaken as part of the evidence base for the Deposit Plan. As such, it is still pertinent to consider and respond to the Council’s assessment of the site as part of these representations

The Detailed Site Assessment for Land at Hazelwood, Ogmore By Sea (Site ID: 3855) sets out that the position of the site at the Deposit Stage is as follows:

“The original site as ruled out as the development would represent unacceptable intrusion in to the open countryside. Whilst the site has now been identified for an affordable housing led development, the original reason for ruling it out still remains.”
In terms of the assertion that “the development would represent an unacceptable intrusion into to the open countryside”, this is strongly disputed, in that the development of the site would represent a natural rounding off of the existing settlement boundary. An extract of the site relative to the settlement boundary is provided below, which clearly shows that the development of the site would not extend beyond the existing settlement pattern that exists in Ogmore.

Site Outlined in Red and Settlement Shaded in Blue
As clearly demonstrated in the above mapping, the site would extend no further eastwards than the existing housing area to the south of the site. Equally, the site would not be extending any further north than the existing settlement pattern in Ogmore. This position is further supported by the wider aerial view of the site provided overleaf:



Wider Aerial View of Site Outlined in Red and Settlement Shaded in Blue

In summary, it is considered that the proposed allocation of the site represents a logical rounding off of the existing settlement, as depicted in the mapping provided above – where the site follows the existing envelope of the settlement. The site does not extend any further eastwards than the established built form located immediately to the south; indeed, it sits comfortably within the same development line.

As such, it cannot be considered that the site represents an ‘intrusion’ into the countryside, as the site would be visually and functionally related to the settlement. It therefore follows that the site would be read as part of the settlement, and not the wider rural landscape.

Candidate Site Assessment

The Detailed Site Assessment undertaken by the LPA includes a summary and assessment of the ‘scoring’ system used at the Preferred Strategy stage. A comparison between the site assessments undertaken at both the Preferred Strategy stage and Deposit Plan stage is provided overleaf for reference.



Site Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage Site Assessment at Deposit Plan Stage
As demonstrated above, there are no changes to the scoring attributed to the site. Detailed submissions were made on the previous assessment undertaken by the Council at Preferred Strategy stage, and as such, should be read in conjunction with this submission (see Appendix A).

Sustainability

Notwithstanding the above, it is considered that the site represents a more sustainable location than what was previously assessed at Preferred Strategy stage, in light of the Ogmore by Sea Hall development. The Hall acts as a community facility, whereby the space is available for hire by local community groups such as birthday parties, weddings, group meetings, and other such similar uses. Moreover, a café (Welsh Coffee Co) is located within the premises which sells both food and drink.

The hall and café are within walking distance to and from the site, where new access facilities have been implemented from Main Road directly to the building, to allow access for pedestrians and cyclists. This is illustrated in the image below:

Walking and Cycling Facilities

The Tusker Rock pub and post office are also located along Main Road, all of which are within walking distance to the site.

Accordingly, the site is well served by new amenities (i.e. community hall) that comprehensively improves the sustainability of the site / settlement, and in turn, improves the sustainability credentials of the site promotion. It therefore follows that the site represents an acceptable location for residential development, and the site should be looked upon favourably accordingly.

It is also the case, as set out in previous representations, that the site is within a maximum 22-minuted bus journey of the following services and facilities:

• St Brides Primary School;
• Brynteg Comprehensive School;
• Bridgend College;
• Riversdale Surgery; and
• Bridgend town centre.

As such, key services and facilities can be access by sustainable travel over and above the existing level of provision available in Ogmore By Sea (as discussed above).

Accordingly, the relevant ‘red’ scorings in the Council’s assessment should be updated to reflect the site’s suitability and sustainability to accommodate the proposed residential development of the site.

Glamorgan Heritage Coast

Insofar as to the position regarding the site’s location within the Glamorgan Heritage Coast, detailed submissions are made not only in the Preferred Strategy representations, but also in Annex 1 of this submission. In short, given the pressing need for such development (particuarly affordable housing) to come forward in the Plan period to meet ever-increasing needs, development of this nature should be considered more favourably – not least that, as outlined in this Annex, the site would not extend any further that the existing settlement boundary.

Accordingly, the site would be perceived to form part of the settlement of Ogmore By Sea, and not the wider landscape, and therefore, would not have any detrimental impact on the Heritage Coast in any respect. The scoring should be amended accordingly to reflect this position.

Climate Change

As outlined in previous representations, the development will incorporate climate change measures, such as EV charging points, PV panels, as well as adopting sustainable materials for construction whilst maximising the potential for the dwellings to be energy efficient. Accordingly, the development will be built to high sustainable standards, and therefore, the scoring of the site should be amended as a result.

Summary and Conclusion

It has been evidenced above that there are no fundamental constraints at, or associated with the site, that would preclude the site coming forward for development in the RLDP period.

To conclude, the settlement, location and site are inherently suitable and deliverable, and will make a significant contribution to achieving and realising the housing and economic development needs of the Vale of Glamorgan.

Summary of These Representations

In short, and to summarise the case made and set out, these representations seek to object to the Housing Trajectory published as part of the consultation on the Draft Housing Trajectory For Housing Stakeholder Group (October 2025) which underpins the Plan and the delivery / realisation of its underlying strategy.

Detailed submissions and objections are raised below in respect to the trajectory information published regarding the soundness and robustness of this information (and it’s consultation), which we do not consider are adequate, robust, or sound to deliver the Plans aims and objectives.

Preface

This Submission sets out the detailed case in support of these representations. The representations are structured as follows:

1. Procedural Consultation Matters;
2. Timing Assumptions underpinning the Trajectory;
3. Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions;;
4. Status & Standing of Sites included in the Trajectory;
5. Key Sites;
6. St Athan Train Station;
7. Geographic distribution of the ‘new’ sites / provision;
8. Detailed comments in respect to ‘new’ sites;
9. Conclusions Procedural Consultation Matters
Firstly, we do not consider that the consultation on the Housing Trajectory information has been procedurally undertaken appropriately or suitably.

Only 14 days have been afforded to parties to make representations on the information provided. This is despite new sites being introduced (at this late stage) i.e. Land South of Clive Road (identified in Table 4), as well as a number of affordable housing led housing sites being introduced (i.e. those outlined in Table 5). This does not provide an adequate process or timescale for objectors to scrutinise the published content, and to make comments on sites which have been presented for the first time at a late stage in the process.

As part of these representations, we will be making brief comment on the sites which have not been previously consulted upon, namely:
Other Housing Allocations
• Land south of Clive Road, St Athan;

Affordable Housing Led Sites
• Land at Heol Fain, Wick;
• Land west of Maendy Road, Aberthin;
• Land Noth of West Winds Business Park, Fferm Goch; and
• Land to the East of Colwinston;

It is considered necessary to comment on these sites, given that they form an important and critical part of the housing trajectory, and by association in the Council and Plan reaching their targets. Moreover, these sites have not been consulted on previously. Accordingly we consider it necessary to pass comment on these in order to ensure that the consultation is fair and robust.

As well as limited time given to comment on the information contained within the Housing Trajectory, the LPA have failed to set up a Housing Stakeholder group to agree and discuss the trajectory information and data – with the cover email to the consultation (dated 3rd October 2025) stating “it is considered that it would be the best use of stakeholder time to conduct this engagement via email, particularly as many of the forecasts have been developed in consultation with site promoters including developers and their agents”.

We submit that the stakeholder consultation has not been a transparent nor robust consultation process, given that the Development Plans Manual states at Para 5.66 “A housing trajectory must be prepared to support the Deposit Plan. In order to generate a housing trajectory and associated phasing tables it will be necessary for LPAs to engage with stakeholders through a Housing Stakeholder Group. This will ensure that the timing and phasing of sites is robust and based on up to date information”. Given that this has not taken place, we would raise fundamental concerns that the consultation of the trajectory has not adequately taken place as per the relevant guidance. Afterall, the guidance stresses that a Group should be formed as a necessity. Accordingly, there has not been an adequate process and opportunity to review and comment on the information published, including in respect to the other sites have been introduced at this late stage.

Timing Assumptions underpinning the Trajectory

The assumed and factored in timescales of the various stages of bringing forward sites i.e. the pre-application stage, the planning application process, and the discharge of condition process outlined in the trajectory are considered to be fundamentally inaccurate, and result in a distorted position of the delivery of housing sites over the RLDP Plan period. The assumptions are far too ambitious, and without evidence / are not comparable with the timescales being incurred in processing such stages at the Development Management stage(s).

Specifically, we raise objection to the following timescales which are considered to be extremely ambitious and unrealistic:

• “Time period of pre-application discussions/PAC consultation” = 4 months
• “Time between submission of planning application and determination” = 6 months
• “Time taken from planning consent to the discharge of relevant conditions to enable site construction” = 4 months

In our experience, having submitted a significant number of major and other applications for housing and other forms of development in the last 1-2 years to the Council (and elsewhere in Wales and England), it is extremely unlikely that major applications can be submitted, and planning permissions granted, within the timeframes assumed by the trajectory. A wide range of stakeholders are also involved in the determination of major planning applications, which often adds to the delays associated with the determination of such applications. We would therefore consider that a time period of “6 months” given to all major applications in the housing trajectory is not feasible, and distorts the trajectory timescales for the remaining Plan period.

The assumptions in the trajectory are also solely based on expected timescales for the processing of formal submissions made to the Council, and do not factor in the timescales associated with, and needed for, the preparation of the material for submission (i.e. pre-application enquiry submissions / planning application / discharge of condition details etc). When factored in these will elongate the timescales for bringing forward schemes considerably.

Moreover, it is common practice for larger housing sites and major applications to have a range of pre-commencement conditions attached to a permission once granted. Again, we would raise concerns with the timescales indicated in the trajectory related to this part of the planning process. It is highly unusual and questionable that any technical work required by these conditions (usually relating to drainage and highways matters) would be instructed, completed and submitted within 2 months, and for these to then be signed off / approved in a further 2 months. There are also other technical matters and necessary approvals falling outside of, and over and above, the planning system, such as SAB, s.106, s.38 and s.278 agreements, timescales for which have not been accounted for – and all of which are rarely completed within “4 months” as indicated.

It is therefore highly doubtful that the timescales legislated for in the trajectory for the various stages pre-construction are achievable – with no information about these proposed timescales outlined within the supporting text of the Housing Trajectory. We would therefore raise considerable concerns and objections to these as they stand without full evidence to fully show how these have been calculated, and without there being considerable (and necessary) adjustment to the timescales indicated and factored in.

We would therefore object to the timescales indicated in the ‘Timing and Phasing of Sites’ table, given that the delivery start dates will be pushed back further into the Plan period. Accordingly, and as a result, the Plan is at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated, at least as swiftly as is set out in the trajectory.

Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions

We would also raise considerable doubt over the proposed delivery of the sites identified in the Housing Trajectory - which we do not consider are robust or reasonable.

The development trajectory bar chart set out in the consultation material (extracted below) anticipates and legislates for a number of critical events and circumstances – all of which are considered to be unrobust and unsound.

Extract of Housing Trajectory Graph (annotated by GJP – red dotted line)

Firstly, a large ‘spike’ (material increase) in housing delivery is factored in to take place in 2027 – 2028. This is a marked and pronounced step change in the rate of delivery, and envisages / relies on a significantly higher rate of delivery than previous years in The Vale of Glamorgan (2021 through 2025 - as depicted by the green columns). This is considered extremely unlikely to materialise, not least given prevailing market circumstances, past rates of delivery on the ground, and also in light of levels achieved across Wales and the UK in general.

The published trajectory shows that the average level of completions in The Vale of Glamorgan from 2021 - 2025 has been approx. 400 - 500 units. However, the chart shows that from 2027 – 2028, completions are expected to rise to approx. 1,000 units per year. The expected delivery levels in the trajectory therefore show and assume a doubling in delivery rates and unit numbers (an increase of approx. 100%relative to past rates). There is no clear evidence as to how this level of completions can be achieved let alone guaranteed. This is the case in particular given that the forthcoming years (2025-2027) are expected to see performance (yield) drop significantly (delivery rates in 2025 – 2026 and 2026 – 2027). The chart shows only approx. 200 units being delivered over these years. It is therefore unclear how completion rates are expected to rise so quickly (from 200 in 2025-26 to 1000 in 2027-28), and by such a significant amount. The assumptions in the trajectory are wholly unrobust in our view.

The anticipated delivery of housing also fails to be consistent within and across the Plan period. It is unclear as to why completions rates aren’t spread out more evenly throughout the Plan period - to ensure a robust and most realistic housing trajectory until 2036. By comparison to the marked increase in the rate of delivery between and over the

period 2027 to 2031, there is then a marked fall-off or drop in delivery towards and by the end of the Plan period. Indeed, in the final year, the level of completions are expected to be lower than the period 2021-2015.

To summarise, we consider the defined position to be wholly manufactured and unreflective of the past completion rates, as well as the recently published completion rates provided by Welsh Government recently in August 2025. In the Welsh Government Statistics Document ‘’New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’, information on the number of new dwellings started is provided, where building has commenced and those completed for April 2024 to March 2025. Figure 1 provides a graph showing starts in the last 10 years, and it is clear that there has been a general decline in the number of new dwellings started and completed.

Description of Figure 1:.‘New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’
In 2024-25, 4,631 new dwellings were completed, 3% fewer than in the previous year. This was the second lowest number on record, with the lowest number recorded in 2021-22, a year heavily affected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic (in 2021-22, 4,616 new dwellings were completed). The New Housing Pipeline Report Quarter 2, 2025 Report (September, 2025) published by the HBF evidenced that the number of residential units approved in the UK fell by 6% during the second quarter of 2025, continuing the decline of approval during the first three months of the year. Wales saw one of the largest declines in the UK in approvals with a decline of 29%.

Further, the HBF document ‘Increasing Housing Supply in Wales’ (4th September 2025) clearly shows that The Vale of Glamorgan has not met the housing delivery requirements in recent years in 2023 – 2024 – along with every other authority in Wales (except Newport). Accordingly, this further adds to the argument that historically The Vale (and most other authorities) have underprovided. This adds considerable uncertainty on the assumed transformation in yield and delivery as built into the trajectory.


Graph: Housing Delivery as a proportion of annual housing requirement in Wales per Authority

The Home Building Sector Skills Plan (Aug 2025) published by the HBF also identified the following issues with the workforce to bring forward built development in Wales:

• “A shortfall in numbers entering roles from the education system;
• An ageing workforce: 25% of the home building workforce is aged over 50, meaning the sector is facing an impending retirement cliff edge;
• Challenges attracting a wider talent pipeline into the sector;
• A lack of understanding of critical future skills needed, and direction from the Future Homes Standard; and
• Output within the sector fluctuating with demand and economic pressures, leading to additional pressures in recruitment and training”.

It is not considered that in the next 1-2 years that any of these issues can or will be substantially corrected – at least sufficiently so to allow for, and enable, the planned delivery rates of new housing completions to be as high as < > 1,000 homes in one year (and for four consecutive years at that).

We would therefore object to the proposed numbers of completion expected during the Plan period, given that there are a number of issues with delivering housing in Wales and given past completions rates for The Vale of Glamorgan. Again, this results in the Plan being at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated.

Status & Standing of Sites included in the Trajectory

The proposed land supply within the housing trajectory includes provision for ‘rolled forward’ LDP sites, which contribute to the total of ‘Proposed Additional Housing Allocations’ forming part of the housing supply. Specifically, a total of 1,242no. units have been identified as additional housing allocations, of which 959no. are expected to be delivered on the rolled forward LDP sites. As such, these sites are to provide for a significant proportion of additional housing in the Plan period (specifically circa 77%).

The Development Plans Manual (DPM) sets out that allocations rolled forward from a previous plan will require careful justification for inclusion in a revised plan. The DPM outlines that “there will need to be a substantial change in circumstances to demonstrate sites can be delivered and justify being included again. Clear evidence will be required that such sites can be delivered.” The below table included in the consultation document provides a breakdown of the rolled forward LDP sites, and in particular, sets out the status of each site:




The above table evidences that the current LDP has under delivered in regard to its targeted unit number of the Plan period, given that these sites did not yield any housing over the current plan period. This is further exacerbated by the Land Bank sites that have also not delivered any housing across the existing LDP period, amounting to 1,860no units. Accordingly, when considering the non-delivery of both rolled forward LDP sites and Land Bank sites, this amounts to an approximate shortfall of 2,189 homes being delivered, or 33% of the total housing supply identified for the current LDP (8,525no. dwellings).

It is therefore considered that, as a minimum, the units carried over from the LDP (without planning permission) should be a surplus to the housing supply proposed for the RLDP, as opposed to being relied on to deliver the housing need over the Plan period. This is particularly the case for the two sites (Land to the west of Pencoedtre Lane, and Land between Northern Access Road and Eglwys Brewis Road) which do not currently have any active planning application submitted for their development. These sites total an amount of 370no. units to be delivered in the Plan period, which represents more than a third of the additional housing allocations to make up the housing supply.

As such, it is considered that the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP is still present – indeed it has grown, and will continue to do so, not least when considered in conjunction with the projected population growth over the coming years to 2036, and the aspirations for growth in the Plan’s strategy.

Accordingly, in order to secure the targeted level of housing, a greater level of provision for new allocations should be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. This would bring about better certainty that the housing requirement is met by the housing supply over the Plan period, not least given that the current Plan failed in this respect. Without a re-apportioning of the housing supply, it is considered that the Plan would heavily rely on the contingency (i.e. rolled forward LDP sites) coming forward in the Plan period, yet there is uncertainty that these will yield in full over the new Plan period. This raises issues of ‘’soundness’’, and risks rendering the Plan unrobust.

On this basis, we would object to the Plan if the provision of housing is not adjusted to rebalance the provision to include new allocations in lieu of rolled forward LDP sites in the housing supply.

Key Sites

As set out in previous representations at Preferred Strategy stage, it is considered that the housing supply relies heavily on the delivery of the ‘key sites’ to deliver housing (and meet need) over the Plan period. The total number of housing units attributed to key sites amounts to 2,278, which equates to over 25% of the total provision in the Plan period.

As detailed above, we consider there to be concerns regarding the proposed ‘Timing and Phasing of Sites’ table included in the Housing Trajectory which we consider are not reflective or accurate and will therefore have the effect of delivery start dates being much later into the Plan period than anticipated. The result of this will be that the Plan will be at risk of not delivery the level of housing expected and needed. Moreover, the Housing Trajectory Graph presents an overly ambitious level of housing completions over the Plan period - which the Council consider will be markedly higher than the average levels experienced in the last five years. Again, for the reasons set out above, we consider that these rates of expected completions to have no evidence supporting them, and to be unachievable and unsound.

Insofar as to the removal of the previously proposed site ‘Land at North East Barry’, this site was expected to deliver 900no. units in the Plan period. Following its omission from the housing supply, other sites have been identified, which comprises the inclusion of a new key site (Land at North West Barry), 3no. non-strategic sites, and also affordable housing-led allocations. In terms of the quantum of development attributed to these new sites, this amounts to 659no. dwellings. This is some 250 units less than the 900no. homes that was previously attributed to ‘Land at North East Barry’. Whilst it is appreciated that the number of homes forming part of the existing supply (completions, units with planning permission etc.) have increased since Preferred Strategy stage, there will be a net loss in market housing provision and delivery.

This position is made worse and compounded as a result of accounting for the affordable-led sites in making up the housing supply.

As set out within the Preferred Strategy, these sites are expected to deliver at least 51% affordable housing. These units are not open market units, and will not / cannot contribute to the supply of such housing. These units will contribute to the provision of affordable housing, and will go some way to meeting the acute need for such housing (albeit will not eradicate / address in full the well known and accepted considerable requirement). Accordingly it is considered that these sites should be in addition to the housing supply, as opposed to forming part of the provision. In turn, there would need to be an increase in allocations for non-strategic sites, to ensure that there is sufficient market housing delivery over the Plan period.

Were such changes to be made and introduced, this would achieve and assist realise a more robust and sound housing supply, which will ensure that the identified housing need is met / addressed over the Plan period. Without these changes it is considered that the housing supply is not sufficient, and inevitably, housing need will not be met within the Plan.

St Athan Train Station

As set out in the Preferred Strategy (para A3.29), the strategy seeks to focus development around key sustainable transport nodes. The strategy outlined that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. Accordingly, in line with the spatial strategy adopted for the RLDP (i.e. focus development around sustainable transport nodes), St Athan was identified as a ‘Strategic Opportunity Area’ to accommodate strategic growth – through the proposed allocation of two key sites : ‘Land at Church Farm’ and ‘Land West of St Athan’. These sites have been identified to deliver 532no. and 600no. units respectively in the Plan period. These are separate to, and are in addition to, the 51no. units that have now been attributed to the site ‘Land South of Clive Road’ in St Athan. Accordingly, in total, the Housing Trajectory makes a provision for a total of 1,183no. homes to be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period.

It is now the case that, subsequent to the publication of the Preferred Strategy, the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales. The focus in the first phase of such improvements across the region is towards improving connectivity in east Cardiff, Newport, and Magor. Accordingly,

it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period, which significantly questions the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

The strategy to allocate new housing growth is predicated on focusing residential development around sustainable transport nodes, and given that St Athan will be without any railway station in the Plan period, it is not considered that these sites align with the strategy of the RLDP. Accordingly, the wider Housing Trajectory is considered to be unsound, given that a total of 1,183no. homes are expected to be delivered in St Athan within the Plan period.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add a further site for housing in this location over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites - given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

We therefore consider the Trajectory to be both unrobust and unsound, and therefore, we object to the Trajectory in its current form accordingly.

Geographic distribution of the ‘new’ sites / provision

As a general and overarching comment in respect to the additional sites now included within the Plan, and forming part of the trajectory, (and a matter expanded upon when critiquing each of these sites in the next section to this submission), it is clear and evident that these additional sites have been positioned to settlements that have already, and recently, been attributed significant growth in the preceding Plan and plan period.

Significant allocations (which have also contributed to significant levels of affordable housing) have been realised and built out in locations (such as Wick and Colwinston). Notwithstanding this, two of the additional sites are now proposed for these recently expanded settlements. Given that the purpose of the affordable housing led allocations is to meet unmet affordable housing need, it is questioned why such new allocations are attributed to settlements that have already seen open market and affordable housing provision, as compared to other comparable settlements that have not received any growth whatsoever over a considerable period of time.

It is considered accordingly that the geographic positioning of these allocations is at odds with their underlying purpose - to meet unmet affordable housing need in communities that have seen no provision

Detailed Comments in respect to ‘new’ sites

Other Housing Allocations

Land south of Clive Road, St Athan

A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below for ease:


As set out at the outset of these representations, and whilst we note the findings of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage (i.e. Suitable for further consideration), we do not consider that the consultation on this site has been undertaken procedurally appropriately or suitably. We therefore consider the consultation on this site is “unrobust” and “unsound”.

As set out previously, the strategy seeks to focus development around key sustainable transport nodes. The strategy outlined that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. It is now the case that, subsequent to the publication of the Preferred Strategy, the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales, where the focus is towards improving connectivity in east Cardiff, Newport, and Magor. Accordingly, it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period, which significantly questions the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add a further site for housing over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites – given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

Affordable Housing Led Allocations Land at Heol Fain, Wick
A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below for ease:

Candidate Site Stage 2 Assessment (Site Ref. 404)

The findings of the Candidate Site Assessment for this site are noted. We are assuming the reason this site is proposed to be allocated is a product of the site promoters/developers heading the findings stated below, and changing the form of development to be in accord with this:

“A market housing led scheme would not be acceptable, but the site could be reconsidered as a small scale affordable housing led development subject to need and viability at a maximum of 50 dwellings. In accordance with the Settlement Appraisal Review, it is considered that Wick could potentially accommodate limited affordable housing led growth.”

Whilst no clear deficiency exists in respect to the site, it is known that Wick has been subject to significant growth and expansion in recent years – not least by virtue of significant housing allocations in the settlement as part of previous plans.

To evidence this, 35% of the 124 units approved on the ‘Rectory Field, St Brides Road’ site (i.e. circa 43 units as per site allocation ref. MG(47) and PP ref. 2014/01424/FUL) were approved as Affordable Housing units. This makes a substantial provision of such Affordable Housing units (and housing generally) in the settlement in recent years.

Other similarly sized and comparable settlements and locations have not by contrast been subject to any growth for some considerable time, and accordingly would warrant and benefit from provision as part of this new replacement plan.

Notwithstanding the location of such provision, and as set out in detail at the outset of these representations, National Planning Policy advocates the high and acute need for affordable housing, whilst recent analysis evidences that there is a housing emergency. These circumstances - coupled with the shortcomings identified and set out earlier in these submissions in respect to the adequacy of provision within the plan (rolled forward sites / inadequate provision etc) – means that notwithstanding any potential allocation at Wick, further provision ought to be made in comparable (previously unprovided for) locations, such as Ogmore By Sea.

Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin

‘Land West of Maendy Road’ has been registered as an Affordable Housing Led Allocation candidate site for the RLDP, however as far as we know from our review, there is no assessment and critique of this site. This site has not been included in the ‘Candidate Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage’ (October 2023). As such, with an absence of publicly available information, it is not clear how the Council has judged this site against the criteria. This raises questions accordingly in respect to the “soundness” of a site which forms part of the intended housing land supply, and by association the trajectory. Without this, and without being consulted on (as others have been prior to this) we question whether this allocation is “sound” (i.e. its allocation is considered to be “unsound”).

Land North of West Winds Business Park, Fferm Goch

The below sets out the candidate site stage two assessment of ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’:

Candidate Site Stage 2 Assessment (Site Ref. 398)

As can be seen above, the site was not considered suitable for further consideration, with the site scoring negatively (red) in respect to a number of key factors. These include the following:

• Access to Retail;
• Access to Health Services;
• Sustainable Transport- Public Transport;
• Access/ Proximity to services and facilities conclusion;
• Climate Change; and

• Health and Wellbeing.

Given the fact the site scores red in ‘Sustainable Transport – Public Transport’, this shows the site is not served by public transport connections within 800m, as outlined in the key below:


Additionally, Policy SP7 (Sustainable Transport) of the Vale of Glamorgan Preferred Strategy states “New development must support an enhanced transport network that increases the proportion of journeys being undertaken by sustainable travel modes”. Additionally Objective 8 (Promoting Active and Sustainable Travel Choices) states “new development is directed to locations that are or can be accessible by a choice of modes of transport, including walking, cycling, and public transport.”

It is well known that residents of affordable housing are statistically less likely to own private vehicles, making access to reliable and frequent public transport essential for ensuring equitable mobility. The provision of public transport infrastructure in close proximity to such developments is therefore a critical component in supporting access to employment, education, healthcare, and other key services, while also promoting sustainable travel patterns and social inclusion.

The site also scores red in respect to Access/Proximity to services, showing the site is greater than 1200m away from key services, as seen in the key below:


In respect of the above, Preferred Strategy 6.40 states the need “To ensure that new development takes place in locations that have the best access to a wide range of services, facilities, and employment opportunities, whilst minimising the need to travel, the distribution of growth is guided by the following settlement hierarchy”. To further highlight the importance of both sustainable transport and proximity to services, the preferred strategy also states the need to “Facilitate the development of adaptable, accessible, well-connected communities that have a strong sense of identity, offer a sustainable range of services and facilities and are equipped with adequate infrastructure”. In addition, Promoting Active and Sustainable Travel Choices outlines to “Promote and encourage the use of sustainable methods of travel, particularly active modes of transport, whilst simultaneously reducing the need to travel”.

In light of the above, this site does not align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy, as it fails to meet several key development goals set out. It should therefore not be considered suitable to be allocated for future developments. Its inclusion is therefore unsound.

Should this view be concurred with, 22 affordable units will be lost from the proposed affordable 122 units, and ultimately will be lost from the overall housing land supply. As stated in the draft housing trajectory “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”. There is a clear possibility therefore that this proposed allocation is removed and/or not delivered as its inclusion is unsound as it does not align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy - as it fails to meet several key development goals set out. A “small scale

affordable housing led development” which is needed to “respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities” will therefore not be provided for. This is clearly an issue.

When comparing this with ‘Land at Hazelwood, Ogmore By Sea, the following is set out:

Access to Services and Facilities

This criterion has been assessed firstly on the location of the site proposal in terms of whether it is located within, adjacent to, or outside a settlement, and secondly the ease of pedestrian and cycle access to key services listed below.



With reference to the above:

• In terms of public transport, there are two bus stops located approximately 200m (3-minute walk) from the site (‘Ogmore By Sea Post Office’), with the ‘303’ providing services between Llantwit Major and Bridgend.

• The site is located 200m (3-minute walk) from the ‘Ogmore By Sea Post Office’ which can provide basic goods to meet day-today needs such as bread, butter, milk etc.

• The site is also located 50m (1-minute walk) from a children’s park.

These services and facilities are therefore well within the best category (i.e. categorised/scored as ‘green’) - within 800m of site (10-minute walk). Accordingly, the site therefore has good access to services and facilities. This

Furthermore, the settlement of Ogmore By Sea has been ranked higher than Llangan (which the site ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’ is located within) in the VoG Sustainable Settlements Appraisal, and therefore, is considered to constitute a more sustainable location to accommodate residential growth. Most notably, Ogmore By Sea scores ‘13’ in respect to ‘Daily Facilities’ whereas Llangan only scores ‘3’, evidencing that residents in Ogmore have much better access to services within the locality as compared to Llangan.

Given the above, ‘Land at Hazelwood, Ogmore’ does/should align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy as it meets several of the key development goals set out. Its inclusion should therefore, in our view, be considered “sound” and therefore suitable to be allocated for future developments. The site should properly and appropriately be allocated in lieu of ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’ – the inclusion of which is “unsound”. ‘Land at Hazelwood, Ogmore’ would therefore ensure that affordable units, where “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help

sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”, are provided for. As such the proposed housing trajectory would be maintained.

Land to the East of Colwinston, Colwinston

A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below:


As outlined above, the site was rejected and considered not suitable for further consideration. In fact, and unlike ‘Land at Heol Fain, Wick’ and ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’ it was stated that this site “could not be considered as a suitable affordable housing led development site”. Despite this, this site is identified to be allocated as an Affordable Housing Led Allocation. As such, the inclusion of this site is “unsound”.

It is known that Colwinston has been subject to significant housing allocations in the settlement as part of previous plans. To evidence this, 25% of the 64 units (i.e. 16 units) were approved on the site allocation ref. MG2(41) and PP ref.

2014/00242/FUL. This makes a substantial provision of such Affordable Housing units (and housing generally) in the settlement in recent years.

Other similarly sized and comparable settlements and locations have not by contrast been subject to any growth for some considerable time, and accordingly would warrant and benefit from provision as part of this new replacement plan.

Notwithstanding the location of such provision, and as set out in detail at the outset of these representations, National Planning Policy advocates the high and acute need for affordable housing, whilst recent analysis evidences that there is a housing emergency. These circumstances - coupled with the shortcomings identified and set out earlier in these submissions in respect to the adequacy of provision within the plan (rolled forward sites / inadequate provision etc) – means that notwithstanding any potential allocation at Colwinston, further provision ought to be made in comparable (previously unprovided for) locations, such as Ogmore By Sea.

Summary of These Representations

To re-iterate, and to summarise the case made and set out, these representations seek to object to the Housing Trajectory published as part of the consultation on the Draft Housing Trajectory For Housing Stakeholder Group (October 2025) which underpins the Plan and the delivery / realisation of its underlying strategy.

Detailed submissions and objections are raised above in respect to the trajectory information published regarding the soundness and robustness of this information (and it’s consultation), which we do not consider are adequate, robust, or sound to deliver the Plans aims and objectives.

ANNEX 1
Preface

This Annex sets out the detailed case in support of these representations, and by association the case for allocation of the site.

The representations are structured into the following sections:

1. Response to the Deposit Plan;
2. Comments on specific policies; and
3. A summary of the suitability of the site for development.

SECTION 1. Response to the Deposit Plan

Distribution of Growth

We object to the distribution of growth within the Deposit Plan. Specifically, we object to the strategy that underpins the Deposit Plan, which seeks to introduce the proposed ‘Strategic Growth Area’ which is expected to contain the majority of housing growth in the Vale over the Plan period, or rather the over-reliance on this defined area, and the associated absence of growth in other parts of the Plan area.

As outlined in our previous representations, the allocation of housing and the location of strategic growth neglects the Rural Vale, and in our view, overprovides in the Strategic Growth Area. For example, with limited housing stock and average house sales at over £500,000 over the last 12 months, there is a clear and established need for new homes in the Ogmore By Sea area, particularly at an affordable level. This is reinforced by the Local Housing Market Assessment that identified a need for over 1,114 new affordable homes per annum over the next five years throughout the county, and 196 units per annum thereafter (average of 502 units per annum over 15 years). Further to this, it is widely known that the rural Vale comprises the majority of the county’s ageing population, which, as a demographic, has and will continue to grow rapidly over the Plan period. This is evident in the ‘Population Change’ chart below – which is taken from the Deposit Plan:

VofG Deposit Plan: Figure 4 Population Change 2011 to 2021

It is clearly the case that younger populations are migrating to other Authorities, where access to housing is typically cheaper and more affordable, whilst more older populations are significantly migrating into the Authority. This trend will result in an extremely unbalanced demographic, given that the working-age population have sought housing elsewhere.

Without a suitable supply of affordable housing delivered over the Plan period, this trend will only worsen. Accordingly, it is not considered that the RLDP takes into account the lack of supply of affordable homes within the rural Vale, as well as increased housing to support the growing ageing population within these areas.

Para 3.19 of the Deposit Plan clearly outlines that affordable housing is required in the short term, in order to meet pressing needs. Specifically, it outlines the following: “There is significant pressure on temporary accommodation in the Vale, for a variety of reasons including increased homelessness presentations… The need for sufficient permanent affordable housing to assist in moving people out of temporary accommodation is critical and the planning system has a vital role in assisting in new affordable housing delivery.”
Accordingly, the distribution of growth within the Authority must be proportionate, to ensure that populations / areas are not left behind where they must seek access to housing elsewhere.

The RLDP Sustainable Growth Strategy sets out 6 objectives. Objective 4 states: “Allowing for small scale affordable housing led development in settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area at a scale proportionate to the size of settlement.” (Page 66)
Para 5.25 states “Therefore, a key part of the strategy is to allow for affordable housing led developments within sustainable primary and minor rural settlements outside of the Strategic Growth Area, at a scale that is appropriate to the size of the community it is serving. An ‘affordable housing led’ scheme is one where a minimum of 50% of the dwellings would need to be affordable, although this could increase to a maximum of 100% if the site is brought forward by a social landlord”.

In terms of the definition / explanation of what the affordable housing-led development sites are seeking to achieve, paragraph 6.132 of the Deposit Plan outlines the following:

“Accordingly, to ensure that new developments respond to the high demand for smaller properties, as identified in the LHMA, priority will be given to affordable homes that are small to medium-sized, typically comprising one to three bedrooms. Representations received from the local community through the RLDP process also highlighted a desire for new housing developments to offer opportunities for accessing smaller market homes. This is particularly relevant in the rural Vale, where housing choices are more limited. Providing smaller, more affordable market homes may assist first-time buyers and enable older residents to downsize to more manageable properties within their local area. Affordable housing-led sites will therefore need to demonstrate that an appropriate range of both affordable and market dwellings has been provided.”

Despite the acknowledgement within this strategic objective, we do not consider that the RLDP goes far enough to meet this objective, nor are its provisions and allocations adequate.

It is considered that this objective is undermined by the allocations set out by the RLDP (not least the absence of allocations in the rural Vale). Notwithstanding the Vision’s clear acknowledgement of the benefit of the growth of the rural Vale, these areas have not been supported through the plan due to the lack of growth which has been attributed to these areas in terms of further housing, employment and sustainable transport. All growth options have been selected on the basis of being in either Key Settlement, Service Centre settlement or Primary Settlements, all of which are already sustainable areas served by rail. As a result, it is not clear how this objective can be achieved, without the allocation of further sites within the Minor Rural Settlements, such as Ogmore By Sea. The Vale is characteristically ‘rural’, and as such, there needs to be a stronger emphasis on supporting and delivering new development in order to bolster the rural economy. This includes enabling opportunities to provide employment and business premises within
/ near to rural settlements, as well as focusing housing growth in these areas to reduce travel time, and use of sustainable transport.

It is considered that the current Strategy does not provide adequately for all residents across the Vale, only those within the Strategic Growth Area. The underlying Vision and Objectives set out in the emerging Plan are accordingly wholly un-provided for by the detail of the Plan. This brings into question the “soundness” of the Plan.

The Strategic Growth Area does not take into account the important role and proximity of Bridgend to the West and/or the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant to the north (as defined in the RCTCBC LDP). The Minor Rural Settlements to the west are more likely to be supported by job opportunities and employment in Bridgend than further east in Barry or Cardiff. Similarly, those in the north align with, and function in association with, the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant to the north. These settlements are served by existing bus services that provide sustainable modes of travel to key employment locations in and around Bridgend. This is acknowledged in Paragraph 3.3 of the Strategy which states “The greatest number of residents who travel outside of the Vale for work purposes travel to Cardiff followed by Bridgend and Rhondda Cynon Taf, whilst a smaller proportion commute into the Vale from these neighbouring authorities”. The Demographic Evidence (Feb 2023) estimates the Vale as being a net importer of workers from RCT and Caerphilly (Para 3.6) - as shown in Figure 10 in the Preferred Strategy.

The current Strategy does not support any improvement of sustainable travel or further investment in settlements linked more closely to these areas - given that Growth has been apportioned in only the Key Service Centre and Primary Settlements. It is considered that this will fail to support and facilitate the current (and any future) employment coming into the Vale, nor will it support any employment which is located outside of the Vale to the West and North. The Growth Option is too heavily reliant on access to railway stations as the key and sole sustainable transport method, whereas access to bus services should also be appropriately assessed and focused on in terms of promoting sustainable development. It is unreasonable to devise a strategy that hinges on directing growth to areas that are accessible to railway facilities, where it is recognised in the Plan that the Vale is inherently rural. The delivery and soundness of the Plan is therefore questioned and we continue to object to the spatial growth strategy as set out in the Deposit Plan.

Housing Supply

RLDP Allocations - Key Sites

As set out in representations made throughout the Plan preparation process, we consider that the Plan is too reliant on the delivery of ‘key sites’ to meet the housing need over the Plan period. Specifically, the Plan makes provision for 2,278 units in these Key Sites, which equates to circa 65% of RLDP allocations in the housing supply. The 5 key sites that are allocated in the Deposit Plan are as follows:

• Land at North West Barry – 376no. units;
• North of Dinas Powys – 250no. units;
• Land at Readers Way, Rhoose – 520no. units;
• Land at Church Farm, St Athan – 532no. units; and
• Land to the West of St Athan – 600no. units.

We object to the current housing supply to allocate 2,278no. (65%) of units across strategic sites, as this makes for a risky and unrobust strategy for delivering housing, and in turn, meeting the identified housing need over the Plan period.

As stated in previous representations, there is concern that the proposed timing and phasing of the proposed Key Sites is unrealistic and unrobust, and in turn, undermines the soundness of the Plan, given the heavy reliance on Key Sites delivering new homes across the Plan period. Whilst it is not disputed that the sites would have gone through rigorous assessment to inform their proposed allocation, the timescales for securing planning permission (with all associated conditions discharged) is considered to be unachievable. This is particularly the case for the following timescales that are set out in the Housing Trajectory that underpin the Plan:

• “Time period of pre-application discussions/PAC consultation” – 4 months

• “Time between submission of planning application and determination” – 6 months
• “Time taken from planning consent to the discharge of relevant conditions to enable site construction” – 4 months

It is considered that the above timescales are fundamentally unrobust, and result in a distorted position of housing sites over the RLDP Plan period. It is not considered that these reflect or are informed by the timescales that are currently being incurred for planning applications submitted for major housing sites across Wales. It is rather the case that such applications would typically be determined 1-2 years following submission, given that there are a wide range of stakeholders involved in the determination of major planning applications – which often adds to the delays associated with the determination of such applications.

It is equally the case that the assumptions in the trajectory are solely based on expected timescales for processing formal submissions made to the Council, and do not factor in the timescales associated with, and needed for, the preparation of the material for submission.

It is assumed that these timescales have not considered that such major developments can be subject to the need to undertaking and submitting an Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA), which adds another layer to the determination of any planning application – given the additional considerations that form part of this process. As such, any site subject to EIA would very likely result in further delays extending beyond the timescales set out in the trajectory. Equally, as set out above, the preparation of an application subject to an EIA requires even more detail and assessment, which only further adds to the preparation stage (which has not been factored into as part of the trajectory). Accordingly, it is not considered that the trajectory contains any contingency if any site is required to undertake EIA as part of their application.

For the reasons stated above, it is unlikely that the sites will yield in full, particularly those sites which are expected to deliver housing right up to the final year of the Plan period (‘Land at Readers Way’ and ‘Land to the West of St Athan’). These sites do not allow for any ‘slippage’ should any delays arise through the development management process (which for the reasons set out above, will very likely be the case), and as such, a gap in housing delivery will be brought about as a result of these sites not yielding in full.

Given the proposed ambitious timescales set out for the delivery of the Key Sites, it is considered the housing trajectory is unrobust, and in turn, undermines the soundness of the Plan as a result. A change in strategy should be pursued whereby a greater proportion of small to medium sites are allocated for housing in the Plan period, which are more likely to fully yield given that such sites are subject to less assessment and consideration compared to strategic sites. This would make for a more robust strategy, where a greater number of small to medium sites can deliver housing in the short and medium term of the Plan period, whereas the strategic sites represent a more longer-term strategy to deliver housing – which would then spill into the next Plan period.

Accordingly, we object to the Deposit Plan in its current form, where there is an overreliance on housing need to be met through the delivery of the Key Sites, which we consider to be unrobust, and undermine the integrity and soundness of the Plan. The current strategy of the Plan is at significant risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated, as least as swifty as identified in the housing trajectory. Should no change be made to the Plan to address the above issues, then it is extremely likely that the Plan would ‘fail’ in meeting the identified housing need.

Windfall Sites

It is noted that the RLDP is made up of the following:

• Existing land supply (3,838 units)
• Windfall sites (1,303 units)
• Allocated sites (3,521 units)

Para 6.69 states that “Analysis of historical delivery of housing indicates that on average small windfall sites (sites of less than 10 dwellings) have provided some 53 dwelling completions per year, and large windfall sites (10 dwellings or greater) contributed on average 80 dwellings per year. Overall, it is projected that windfall sites could contribute a further 1,303 dwellings over the remainder of the plan”.

As set out in our previous representations to the Housing Trajectory, we would object to the expected numbers of completions expected during the Plan period, given that there are a number of issues with delivering housing in Wales and given past completions rates for The Vale of Glamorgan – which is discussed in greater detail later in this submission. Again, this results in the Plan being at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated – including any windfall sites.

St Athan Train Station

The RLDP Sustainable Growth Strategy comprises six key elements, of which the following is set out in respect to the allocation of new housing growth in the Authority:

“3. Focusing development at locations that are well served by existing and proposed rail stations as part of the South Wales Metro and in areas with good bus links.”

The strategy outlines that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken in 2022, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. Accordingly, in line with the spatial strategy adopted for the RLDP (i.e. focus development around sustainable transport nodes), St Athan was identified as a ‘Strategic Opportunity Area’ to accommodate strategic growth – through the proposed allocation of two key sites : ‘Land at Church Farm’ and ‘Land West of St Athan’. These sites have been identified to deliver 532no. and 600no. units respectively in the Plan period. These are separate to, and are in addition to, the 51no. units that have now been attributed to the site ‘Land South of Clive Road’ and 80no. units attributed to ‘Former Stadium Site, adjacent to Burley Place’ in St Athan. Accordingly, in total, the Housing Trajectory makes a provision for a total of 1,263no. homes to be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period.

It is now the case, however, that the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales – as confirmed in the ‘Today, Tomorrow, Together: A vision for rail across Wales and Borders’ (February 2026) recently published by Transport For Wales. This paper acknowledges that a new railway station at St Athan would represent a longer term opportunity, and therefore, will not be delivered in the short term / within the Plan period of the emerging Plan. Equally the Council have not provided any evidence to contradict this, and therefore, it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period. This brings about significant questions regarding the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

The strategy to allocate new housing growth is predicated on focusing residential development around sustainable transport nodes, and given that St Athan will be without any railway station in the Plan period, it is not considered that the sites align with the strategy of the RLDP. Accordingly, the wider Housing Trajectory is considered to be unsound, given that a total of 1,263no. homes (36% of the Plan’s new housing allocations) are expected to be delivered in St Athan within the Plan period.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add further sites for housing in this location over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites - given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

In terms of the expected delivery of the Key Sites in St Athan, it is noted that the trajectory identifies that for the majority of the Plan period, both sites will be delivering 80no. dwellings per annum on each site (equating to 160no units in total). Whilst these are two separate sites, we seriously question the realistic prospects of the significant number of

homes being built simultaneously on two sites in proximity to one another – given the considerable logistical issues that would be brought about.

Accordingly, it remains that there are serious questions regarding the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations at St Athan, which do not accord with the strategy adopted for the RLDP – to focus housing growth on settlements that are supported by railway stations. Moreover, the scale of development proposed at St Athan is also not considered to be proportionate, with a significant number of homes delivered in a location not served by a railway station.

Rolled forward LDP Sites

The proposed land supply within the housing trajectory includes provision for ‘rolled forward’ LDP sites, which contribute to the total of ‘Proposed Additional Housing Allocations’ forming part of the housing supply. Specifically, a total of 1,242no. units have been identified as additional housing allocations, of which 959no. are expected to be delivered on the rolled forward LDP sites. As such, these sites are to provide for a significant proportion of additional housing in the Plan period (specifically circa 77%).

The Development Plans Manual (DPM) sets out that allocations rolled forward from a previous plan will require careful justification for inclusion in a revised plan. The DPM outlines that “there will need to be a substantial change in circumstances to demonstrate sites can be delivered and justify being included again. Clear evidence will be required that such sites can be delivered.” The below table included in the consultation document provides a breakdown of the rolled forward LDP sites, and in particular, sets out the status of each site:


The above table evidences that the current LDP has under delivered in regard to its targeted unit number of the Plan period, given that these sites did not yield any housing over the current Plan period. This is further exacerbated by the Land Bank sites that have also not delivered any housing across the existing LDP period, amounting to 1,860no units. Accordingly, when considering the non-delivery of both rolled forward LDP sites and Land Bank sites, this amounts to an approximate shortfall of 2,189 homes being delivered, or 33% of the total housing supply identified for the current LDP (8,525no. dwellings).

It is therefore considered that, as a minimum, the units carried over from the LDP (without planning permission) should be a surplus to the housing supply proposed for the RLDP, as opposed to being relied on to deliver the housing need over the Plan period. This is particularly the case for the two sites (Land to the west of Pencoedtre Lane, and Land between Northern Access Road and Eglwys Brewis Road) which do not currently have any active planning application

submitted for their development. These sites total an amount of 370no. units to be delivered in the Plan period, which represents more than a third of the additional housing allocations to make up the housing supply.

As such, it is considered that the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP is still present – indeed it has grown, and will continue to do so, not least when considered in conjunction with the projected population growth over the coming years to 2036, and the aspirations for growth in the Plan’s strategy.

Accordingly, in order to secure the targeted level of housing, a greater level of provision for new allocations should be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. This would bring about better certainty that the housing requirement is met by the housing supply over the Plan period, not least given that the current Plan failed in this respect. Without a re-apportioning of the housing supply, it is considered that the Plan would heavily rely on the contingency (i.e. rolled forward LDP sites) coming forward in the Plan period, yet there is uncertainty that these will yield in full over the new Plan period. This raises issues of ’soundness’, and risks rendering the Plan unrobust.

Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions

As set out in our previous representations to the Housing Trajectory consultation, we have considerable concerns in relation to the proposed delivery of the sites identified in the trajectory – which we do not consider are robust or reasonable.

Appendix 1 of the Deposit Plan sets out the development trajectory bar chart – which illustrates the proposed delivery of housing, on a per annum basis, over the Plan period.

Extract of Housing Trajectory Graph (annotated by GJP – red dotted line)
It is our view that the trajectory makes for an unrealistic and unrobust delivery rate of housing, which does not reflect the pattern of housing completions in the Vale of Glamorgan. We therefore have concerns regarding the soundness of the trajectory, not least that there remain significant uncertainties as to the delivery of the Key Sites (as discussed earlier in these representations).

Firstly, the graph / trajectory illustrates a large ‘spike’ in terms of housing delivery in the year 2027-28, which is considered to be a marked and pronounced step change in the rate of delivery. This envisages / relies on a significantly higher rate of delivery than previous years in the Vale of Glamorgan (2021 through 2021 – as depicted by the green columns). It is considered that this level of delivery is unlikely to materialise, not least given prevailing market

circumstances, past rates of delivery on the ground, and also in light of levels achieved across Wales and the UK in general.

The published trajectory shows that the average level of completions from 2021 - 2025 has been approx. 400 - 500 units, however, the chart shows that from 2027 – 2028, completions are expected to rise to approx. 1,000 units per year. The expected delivery levels in the trajectory therefore show and assume a doubling in delivery rates and unit numbers (an increase of approx. 100% relative to past rates). There is no clear evidence as to how this level of completions can be achieved let alone guaranteed. This is the case in particular given that the forthcoming years (2025-2027) are expected to see performance (yield) drop significantly (delivery rates in 2025 – 2026 and 2026 – 2027). The chart shows only approx. 200 units being delivered over these years. It is therefore unclear how completion rates are expected to rise so quickly (from 200 in 2025-26 to 1000 in 2027-28), and by such a significant amount. The assumptions in the trajectory are wholly unrobust in our view.

It is also the case that the anticipated delivery of housing fails to be consistent within and across the Plan period. It is unclear as to why completions rates aren’t spread out more evenly throughout the Plan period - to ensure a robust and most realistic housing trajectory until 2036. By comparison to the marked increase in the rate of delivery between and over the period 2027 to 2031, there is then a marked fall-off or drop in delivery towards and by the end of the Plan period. Indeed, in the final year, the level of completions are expected to be lower than the period 2021-2025.

Accordingly, we consider that the housing trajectory, as proposed, is entirely manufactured and unreflective of the past completion rates, as well as the recent published completion rates provided by Welsh Government recently in August 2025. As set out in our previous representations, it has been evidenced that there has been a general decline in the number of new dwellings started and completed.

Description of Figure 1: ‘New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’
As identified in the graph above, in 2024-25, 4,631 new dwellings were completed, which represents 3% fewer than the previous year. This figure represented the second lowest number on record, with the lowest number recorded in 2021-22, a year heavily affected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic (in 2021-22, 4,616 new dwellings were completed) The New Housing Pipeline Report Quarter 3, 2025 Report (December 2025) published by the HBF evidenced that the number of residential units approved in the UK fell by 7% during the third quarter of 2025, extending the decline seen during the first half of the year. At 45,075, the number of units approved was 34% down on the third quarter of 2024 and the lowest quarterly total since 2012 Q2. At 146,798, the overall number of units approved during the first nine months of 2025 was 25% lower than a year ago.



HBF Graph Illustrating Residential Approvals (2006-2025)

The above graph clearly shows a pronounced downward trend in the number of residential planning approvals over the period, particuarly with a sharp decrease seen since 2020. Further, the HBF document ‘Increasing Housing Supply in Wales’ (4th September 2025) clearly shows that The Vale of Glamorgan has not met the housing delivery requirements in recent years in 2023 – 2024 – along with every other authority in Wales (except Newport). Accordingly, this further adds to the argument that historically The Vale (and most other authorities) have underprovided. This adds considerable uncertainty on the assumed transformation in yield and delivery as built into the trajectory.

Graph: Housing Delivery as a proportion of annual housing requirement in Wales per Authority

More recently, the Welsh Government has released its new estimates of housing need (Estimates of Additional Hosing Need: 2025-based – February 2026). The estimates show how many new homes need to be built over the next twenty years to address existing unmet need as well as newly arising need. The figures set out that around 8,700no. new homes a year are needed over the next Senedd term up to 2030 to meet new housing need. Additionally, there is an unmet need for 9,400 affordable homes.

Overall, this represents more than double 2024/25 levels of supply, where just 4,638 new homes were built.

HBF: Estimates of Housing Need

HBF: Actual Delivery vs Estimates of Need

The above graphs unequivocally evidence that historical rates of delivery of housing in Wales has remained low, and moreover, significant numbers of housing need to be allocated in order to meet the estimate of need. It is not

considered that the housing trajectory, in its current form, is robust to meet the housing need over the Plan period, given the uncertainties of the Key Sites, and the level of housing delivery that has been identified for the Plan.

Affordable Housing-Led Sites

HG4 - Rural Affordable Housing Led Sites

Policy HG4 of the Deposit Plan identifies four sites to be allocated as affordable housing-led sites, totalling approximately 122 dwellings within the plan period. Given the target levels of achieving 3,070 affordable dwellings over the course of the Plan period (up to 2036), it is not considered that this policy goes far enough to address the target and level of affordable housing need.


It is noted that the number of units identified for each site relate to the ‘total’ number of units delivered, as opposed to the affordable housing provision. Accordingly, it can be assumed that circa 50% of each allocation will comprise affordable units (given each site is affordable-led), which would equate to a total provision of circa 61no. units. The contribution from the affordable housing-led sites would only equate to 2% of the total need (3,070no. units). Even when coupled with the affordable housing provision from open market sites and 100% exception sites, the total delivery of affordable housing will still be nowhere near enough to meet the overall affordable housing need over the Plan period. Accordingly, it is considered that inadequate provision has been made for such sites.

Insofar as to the sites chosen and allocated are concerned, it is clear from reviewing the Stage 1 and Stage 2 Candidate Site Assessment that the allocated sites HG4(1) – (4) were not considered acceptable due to being outside the strategic growth areas, and were considered to be unacceptable intrusions into the open countryside. After being resubmitted as affordable housing-led sites, the sites were allocated, some with a smaller area in order to accommodate less dwellings in total.

The sustainable credentials of the sites allocated is not disputed, and it is acknowledged that these minor rural settlements have the ability to accommodate further growth, in the form of affordable-led housing allocations. However, it is considered that the should also form an allocation as part of this policy, given its high sustainability credentials and its appropriate location to accommodate a suitable level of development. Please refer to the previous representations made to the Housing Trajectory Consultation (dated 17th October) for further, more detailed comments regarding the above sites.

The LHMA 2023 shows that there is a need for 124 affordable homes in the St Brides Major local housing market area (which Ogmore is located within). As such, there is an identified need for affordable housing in this area, something which the site could address through an allocation.

It is questionable whether Wick has the capacity to accommodate 50 new dwellings, given the sustainability and rural nature of the area. As a result, it is suggested that the number of homes allocated in Wick is reduced and that a further allocation in St Brides Major is secured, in order to facilitate supporting the delivery of affordable housing through the housing market area, rather than in one minor rural settlement. The sustainability of Ogmore has been assessed, both by the Council through the Sustainability Appraisal and again, through our assessment of the site.

Securing further delivery of Affordable Units

As set out above, the affordable housing-led allocated sites only provide 122no. affordable dwellings, which comprise 4no. allocated sites that are expected to deliver approximately between 20 – 50 dwellings. However, the RLDP sets a

target of 3,070 affordable homes to be delivered in the Plan period. This means that affordable housing-led allocations make up less than 4 % of the target provision and will only make provision for 2% of the targeted number. We would therefore object to the sites included within Policy HG4 and would suggest that more sites should be allocated as part of the policy in order to secure delivery of a higher number of affordable housing units to mere the target.

Whilst it is acknowledged that the Key Sites will provide for a significant proportion of affordable housing, as set out above in these representations, there is serious concern regarding the deliverability of these sites, which would result in a significant gap of affordable housing delivered.

A greater number of affordable housing-led sites allocated would ensure there is sufficient contingency built into the Plan, to ensure that the overall affordable housing need is met over the Plan period. Failure to do so would result in affordable housing need being unmet, with demand continuing to outstrip supply.

Previous representations to the Preferred Strategy (dated 14th February 2024) provided comment on the sustainability scoring of Ogmore and the proposed site. As outlined within these representations, it is considered that the site (ID xxx) represents a sustainable, deliverable and acceptable site. The site is within a maximum of a 22- minute bus journey to a every key service listed, due to the proximity of the site to settlements such as Bridgend. Due to the availability of frequent bus services, and active travel links, these key services are readily available to access for any residents within Ogmore By Sea without the need to travel by car. The site is located within 5 miles of Bridgend, and within a maximum 22-minute bus journey of the following services:

• St Brides Primary School;
• Brynteg Comprehensive School;
• Bridgend College;
• Riversdale Surgery; and
• Bridgend town centre for various Retail Services

Moreover, Ogmore has benefitted from the recent development of the Ogmore By Sea Village Hall, which provides space for community activities and events to take place. The hall also includes a coffee shop (Welsh Coffee Company), which only adds further to the daily services provision available within the settlement. Access to the hall and coffee shop is directly provided for pedestrians from the Main Road, which allows for direct access from the site.

Accordingly, the settlement of Ogmore represents an acceptable location to allocate an affordable housing-led site, given the access to existing services and facilities that would serve future residents of the site.

It is acknowledged that the site also lies within the Glamorgan Heritage Coast and this point is addressed further below.

To conclude, the settlement, location and site are inherently suitable and deliverable, and will make a significant contribution to achieving and realising the housing and economic development needs of Ogmore By Sea, support the surrounding settlements, and the Plan area as a whole. As such, the site should be considered further.

Comments on Specific Policies

HG5 - Affordable Housing Exception Sites

Given the unmet need and extant backlog of affordable housing, as identified within the LHMA (2023), it is noted that an Affordable Housing Exception Sites policy has been adopted in order to assist in the delivery of affordable housing. Policy HG5 sets out the specific criteria where proposals for 100% small scale affordable housing developments will be permitted outside settlement boundaries. The current policy wording for the Affordable Housing Site Exception Policy and the criteria listed out in the policy is generally supported.

That said, it is noted that a ‘cap’ of 10 dwellings (as referenced within supporting text Para 6.140) is set. This should be amended due to such a ‘cap’ limiting the flexibility of the policy, in particularly for sites coming forward as part of this policy in Minor Rural Settlements.

As such, we would suggest that supporting Para 6.140 should be amended in order to allow for further flexibility for sites in Minor Rural Settlements to come forward and to deliver affordable housing, given that the criteria set out in the policy would already protect and restrict the extent of any development as it stands. Therefore, the proposed amendments to Para 6.140 are outlined below in red:

6.140 “For the purposes of this policy, ‘small-scale’ will generally mean no more than around 10 dwellings on sites adjoining Minor Rural Settlements. In Primary Settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area, proposals for more than 10 dwellings may be acceptable where required to meet a specific need and where the number of dwellings is proportionate to the size of the settlement. In assessing the scale and extent of any proposed local needs housing, consideration should also be given to affordable housing already planned in the ward or nearby area, including sites with existing planning permissions and those allocated in the RLDP. The size and type of affordable housing proposed should reflect the identified local need in the area.”

The above suggested wording would achieve a more flexible policy, which would allow for a variety of scaled applications to secure planning permission for solely 100% affordable housing across the Authority area. This greater flexibility would enable the policy to make a significant contribution towards meeting the affordable housing need – which, as set out earlier is in considerable need.

Policy DNP3 – Glamorgan Heritage Coast

Given that the site is located in the Glamorgan Heritage Coast, it is noted that the following policy is of relevance to any future development on the site. Criteria 4 of Policy DNP3 states:

“The special environmental qualities of the Glamorgan Heritage Coast will be conserved and enhanced. New development will be restricted to:
4. Other appropriate and sustainable development that accords with National Policy.”
It is also noted that supporting Para 6.422 “In seeking to protect the Glamorgan Heritage Coast, the Council acknowledges that there are some built up areas within the boundary, including the Minor Rural Settlement of Ogmore. In addition, the Vale of Glamorgan rail line crosses part of the Heritage Coast designation in the location where a new station at St Athan is proposed. Whilst being mindful of the need to protect the special qualities of the Glamorgan Heritage Coast, the Council accepts that development within these areas is appropriate, subject to relevant policies of the Plan”(GJP emphasis).

We would offer general support for this policy, and consider this to provide flexibility which allows for certain forms of development. However, we would suggest that the policy wording should be amended to reflect that ‘housing’ should be supported in the Glamorgan Heritage Coast, providing that the policy exceptions are met. Therefore, the following amendment is proposed as part of the policy should be changed to include “small scale housing” or something similar. The proposed amendments to Policy DNP3 are outlined below in red:

“The special environmental qualities of the Glamorgan Heritage Coast will be conserved and enhanced. New development will be restricted to:
4. Other appropriate and sustainable development, including small-scale housing proposals that accords with National Policy.”

Again, this would ensure that suitable housing developments can be delivered in the Plan period, to meet the housing needs of the Vale of Glamorgan – particularly in respect of affordable housing.

SECTION 3. Suitability of the site for development

The site promoter objects to the overall assessment of the site, in that it is not considered suitable for further development in the Plan. The promoted site has undergone extensive scrutiny and appraisal at a high level to ascertain the qualities of the site, in light of all identified material considerations which relate to the proposals.

The delivery of the site will yield much needed housing (including Affordable housing) and contribute to the overall supply in the new Plan period, whilst making effective use of a suitably located site for residential development.

Moreover, as set out in ‘Annex 2’ of our representations, the site has overcome the ‘constraints’ set out in the Candidate Site Assessment undertaken for the site, which demonstrates that the proposal is both acceptable and deliverable.

SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

In summary, the site promoters:

• Object to the distribution of growth proposed for the Plan area, with a more balanced and equitable distribution of housing sites required in order to meet the identified housing need;
• Object to the level of growth identified for the Plan period;
• Object to the housing trajectory that underpins the delivery of housing within the Plan period – which is considered to be unrealistic and unrobust, leading to serious uncertainty regarding the “soundness” of the Plan;
• Object to the over-reliance on Key Sites and Rolled Forward Sites in making up the Plan’s housing land supply;
• Object to the scale and timing of delivery of sites in / around St Athan – all of which are predicated on railway station provision which will not be realised in the Plan period;
• Object to the under-provision of sites under Policy HG4 – Rural Affordable Housing-Led sites, not least given their extremely limited contribution to the targeted need for affordable housing;
• Object to Policy DNP3 – Glamorgan Heritage Coast, given the lack of recognition for the potential for small-scale housing proposals;
• Object to the current wording of the HG5 Policy ‘Affordable Housing Exception Sites’ which requires greater flexibility to play an important role in delivery much-needed affordable homes across the Authority; and
• Object the Council’s assessment that the site is not considered suitable for development.

The site and proposals are consistent with the RLDP strategy, other Vale of Glamorgan strategies, and the requirements of Planning Policy Wales and Future Wales. It will make a significant contribution to the Vale’s identified housing requirement in the RLDP period and will provide for a wide range of uses that will support the wider community whilst embodying principles relating to placemaking and the well-being of future generations.

The site has no fundamental constraints and has the ability to deliver significant economic, social and environmental benefits for the benefit of future residents and the existing local community. The site is demonstrated to be viable, being able to deliver policy-compliant levels of affordable housing and given its location within a strong market area, will benefit from high delivery rates.

ANNEX 2
SECTION 4. A summary of the suitability of the site for development including a Response to the Candidate Site Assessment

This section of the overall representations to the Deposit Plan is to respond to, and address, the Council’s assessment of the site.

While the issues the Council have raised in their assessment of the site have been addressed and discussed within the representations made at the Preferred Strategy stage of the Plan, a similar ‘scoring’ exercise has been undertaken as part of the evidence base for the Deposit Plan. As such, it is still pertinent to consider and respond to the Council’s assessment of the site as part of these representations

The Detailed Site Assessment for Land at Hazelwood, Ogmore By Sea (Site ID: 3855) sets out that the position of the site at the Deposit Stage is as follows:

“The original site as ruled out as the development would represent unacceptable intrusion in to the open countryside. Whilst the site has now been identified for an affordable housing led development, the original reason for ruling it out still remains.”
In terms of the assertion that “the development would represent an unacceptable intrusion into to the open countryside”, this is strongly disputed, in that the development of the site would represent a natural rounding off of the existing settlement boundary. An extract of the site relative to the settlement boundary is provided below, which clearly shows that the development of the site would not extend beyond the existing settlement pattern that exists in Ogmore.

Site Outlined in Red and Settlement Shaded in Blue
As clearly demonstrated in the above mapping, the site would extend no further eastwards than the existing housing area to the south of the site. Equally, the site would not be extending any further north than the existing settlement pattern in Ogmore. This position is further supported by the wider aerial view of the site provided overleaf:



Wider Aerial View of Site Outlined in Red and Settlement Shaded in Blue

In summary, it is considered that the proposed allocation of the site represents a logical rounding off of the existing settlement, as depicted in the mapping provided above – where the site follows the existing envelope of the settlement. The site does not extend any further eastwards than the established built form located immediately to the south; indeed, it sits comfortably within the same development line.

As such, it cannot be considered that the site represents an ‘intrusion’ into the countryside, as the site would be visually and functionally related to the settlement. It therefore follows that the site would be read as part of the settlement, and not the wider rural landscape.

Candidate Site Assessment

The Detailed Site Assessment undertaken by the LPA includes a summary and assessment of the ‘scoring’ system used at the Preferred Strategy stage. A comparison between the site assessments undertaken at both the Preferred Strategy stage and Deposit Plan stage is provided overleaf for reference.



Site Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage Site Assessment at Deposit Plan Stage
As demonstrated above, there are no changes to the scoring attributed to the site. Detailed submissions were made on the previous assessment undertaken by the Council at Preferred Strategy stage, and as such, should be read in conjunction with this submission (see Appendix A).

Sustainability

Notwithstanding the above, it is considered that the site represents a more sustainable location than what was previously assessed at Preferred Strategy stage, in light of the Ogmore by Sea Hall development. The Hall acts as a community facility, whereby the space is available for hire by local community groups such as birthday parties, weddings, group meetings, and other such similar uses. Moreover, a café (Welsh Coffee Co) is located within the premises which sells both food and drink.

The hall and café are within walking distance to and from the site, where new access facilities have been implemented from Main Road directly to the building, to allow access for pedestrians and cyclists. This is illustrated in the image below:

Walking and Cycling Facilities

The Tusker Rock pub and post office are also located along Main Road, all of which are within walking distance to the site.

Accordingly, the site is well served by new amenities (i.e. community hall) that comprehensively improves the sustainability of the site / settlement, and in turn, improves the sustainability credentials of the site promotion. It therefore follows that the site represents an acceptable location for residential development, and the site should be looked upon favourably accordingly.

It is also the case, as set out in previous representations, that the site is within a maximum 22-minuted bus journey of the following services and facilities:

• St Brides Primary School;
• Brynteg Comprehensive School;
• Bridgend College;
• Riversdale Surgery; and
• Bridgend town centre.

As such, key services and facilities can be access by sustainable travel over and above the existing level of provision available in Ogmore By Sea (as discussed above).

Accordingly, the relevant ‘red’ scorings in the Council’s assessment should be updated to reflect the site’s suitability and sustainability to accommodate the proposed residential development of the site.

Glamorgan Heritage Coast

Insofar as to the position regarding the site’s location within the Glamorgan Heritage Coast, detailed submissions are made not only in the Preferred Strategy representations, but also in Annex 1 of this submission. In short, given the pressing need for such development (particuarly affordable housing) to come forward in the Plan period to meet ever-increasing needs, development of this nature should be considered more favourably – not least that, as outlined in this Annex, the site would not extend any further that the existing settlement boundary.

Accordingly, the site would be perceived to form part of the settlement of Ogmore By Sea, and not the wider landscape, and therefore, would not have any detrimental impact on the Heritage Coast in any respect. The scoring should be amended accordingly to reflect this position.

Climate Change

As outlined in previous representations, the development will incorporate climate change measures, such as EV charging points, PV panels, as well as adopting sustainable materials for construction whilst maximising the potential for the dwellings to be energy efficient. Accordingly, the development will be built to high sustainable standards, and therefore, the scoring of the site should be amended as a result.

Summary and Conclusion

It has been evidenced above that there are no fundamental constraints at, or associated with the site, that would preclude the site coming forward for development in the RLDP period.

To conclude, the settlement, location and site are inherently suitable and deliverable, and will make a significant contribution to achieving and realising the housing and economic development needs of the Vale of Glamorgan.

Summary of These Representations

In short, and to summarise the case made and set out, these representations seek to object to the Housing Trajectory published as part of the consultation on the Draft Housing Trajectory For Housing Stakeholder Group (October 2025) which underpins the Plan and the delivery / realisation of its underlying strategy.

Detailed submissions and objections are raised below in respect to the trajectory information published regarding the soundness and robustness of this information (and it’s consultation), which we do not consider are adequate, robust, or sound to deliver the Plans aims and objectives.

Preface

This Submission sets out the detailed case in support of these representations. The representations are structured as follows:

1. Procedural Consultation Matters;
2. Timing Assumptions underpinning the Trajectory;
3. Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions;;
4. Status & Standing of Sites included in the Trajectory;
5. Key Sites;
6. St Athan Train Station;
7. Geographic distribution of the ‘new’ sites / provision;
8. Detailed comments in respect to ‘new’ sites;
9. Conclusions Procedural Consultation Matters
Firstly, we do not consider that the consultation on the Housing Trajectory information has been procedurally undertaken appropriately or suitably.

Only 14 days have been afforded to parties to make representations on the information provided. This is despite new sites being introduced (at this late stage) i.e. Land South of Clive Road (identified in Table 4), as well as a number of affordable housing led housing sites being introduced (i.e. those outlined in Table 5). This does not provide an adequate process or timescale for objectors to scrutinise the published content, and to make comments on sites which have been presented for the first time at a late stage in the process.

As part of these representations, we will be making brief comment on the sites which have not been previously consulted upon, namely:
Other Housing Allocations
• Land south of Clive Road, St Athan;

Affordable Housing Led Sites
• Land at Heol Fain, Wick;
• Land west of Maendy Road, Aberthin;
• Land Noth of West Winds Business Park, Fferm Goch; and
• Land to the East of Colwinston;

It is considered necessary to comment on these sites, given that they form an important and critical part of the housing trajectory, and by association in the Council and Plan reaching their targets. Moreover, these sites have not been consulted on previously. Accordingly we consider it necessary to pass comment on these in order to ensure that the consultation is fair and robust.

As well as limited time given to comment on the information contained within the Housing Trajectory, the LPA have failed to set up a Housing Stakeholder group to agree and discuss the trajectory information and data – with the cover email to the consultation (dated 3rd October 2025) stating “it is considered that it would be the best use of stakeholder time to conduct this engagement via email, particularly as many of the forecasts have been developed in consultation with site promoters including developers and their agents”.

We submit that the stakeholder consultation has not been a transparent nor robust consultation process, given that the Development Plans Manual states at Para 5.66 “A housing trajectory must be prepared to support the Deposit Plan. In order to generate a housing trajectory and associated phasing tables it will be necessary for LPAs to engage with stakeholders through a Housing Stakeholder Group. This will ensure that the timing and phasing of sites is robust and based on up to date information”. Given that this has not taken place, we would raise fundamental concerns that the consultation of the trajectory has not adequately taken place as per the relevant guidance. Afterall, the guidance stresses that a Group should be formed as a necessity. Accordingly, there has not been an adequate process and opportunity to review and comment on the information published, including in respect to the other sites have been introduced at this late stage.

Timing Assumptions underpinning the Trajectory

The assumed and factored in timescales of the various stages of bringing forward sites i.e. the pre-application stage, the planning application process, and the discharge of condition process outlined in the trajectory are considered to be fundamentally inaccurate, and result in a distorted position of the delivery of housing sites over the RLDP Plan period. The assumptions are far too ambitious, and without evidence / are not comparable with the timescales being incurred in processing such stages at the Development Management stage(s).

Specifically, we raise objection to the following timescales which are considered to be extremely ambitious and unrealistic:

• “Time period of pre-application discussions/PAC consultation” = 4 months
• “Time between submission of planning application and determination” = 6 months
• “Time taken from planning consent to the discharge of relevant conditions to enable site construction” = 4 months

In our experience, having submitted a significant number of major and other applications for housing and other forms of development in the last 1-2 years to the Council (and elsewhere in Wales and England), it is extremely unlikely that major applications can be submitted, and planning permissions granted, within the timeframes assumed by the trajectory. A wide range of stakeholders are also involved in the determination of major planning applications, which often adds to the delays associated with the determination of such applications. We would therefore consider that a time period of “6 months” given to all major applications in the housing trajectory is not feasible, and distorts the trajectory timescales for the remaining Plan period.

The assumptions in the trajectory are also solely based on expected timescales for the processing of formal submissions made to the Council, and do not factor in the timescales associated with, and needed for, the preparation of the material for submission (i.e. pre-application enquiry submissions / planning application / discharge of condition details etc). When factored in these will elongate the timescales for bringing forward schemes considerably.

Moreover, it is common practice for larger housing sites and major applications to have a range of pre-commencement conditions attached to a permission once granted. Again, we would raise concerns with the timescales indicated in the trajectory related to this part of the planning process. It is highly unusual and questionable that any technical work required by these conditions (usually relating to drainage and highways matters) would be instructed, completed and submitted within 2 months, and for these to then be signed off / approved in a further 2 months. There are also other technical matters and necessary approvals falling outside of, and over and above, the planning system, such as SAB, s.106, s.38 and s.278 agreements, timescales for which have not been accounted for – and all of which are rarely completed within “4 months” as indicated.

It is therefore highly doubtful that the timescales legislated for in the trajectory for the various stages pre-construction are achievable – with no information about these proposed timescales outlined within the supporting text of the Housing Trajectory. We would therefore raise considerable concerns and objections to these as they stand without full evidence to fully show how these have been calculated, and without there being considerable (and necessary) adjustment to the timescales indicated and factored in.

We would therefore object to the timescales indicated in the ‘Timing and Phasing of Sites’ table, given that the delivery start dates will be pushed back further into the Plan period. Accordingly, and as a result, the Plan is at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated, at least as swiftly as is set out in the trajectory.

Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions

We would also raise considerable doubt over the proposed delivery of the sites identified in the Housing Trajectory - which we do not consider are robust or reasonable.

The development trajectory bar chart set out in the consultation material (extracted below) anticipates and legislates for a number of critical events and circumstances – all of which are considered to be unrobust and unsound.

Extract of Housing Trajectory Graph (annotated by GJP – red dotted line)

Firstly, a large ‘spike’ (material increase) in housing delivery is factored in to take place in 2027 – 2028. This is a marked and pronounced step change in the rate of delivery, and envisages / relies on a significantly higher rate of delivery than previous years in The Vale of Glamorgan (2021 through 2025 - as depicted by the green columns). This is considered extremely unlikely to materialise, not least given prevailing market circumstances, past rates of delivery on the ground, and also in light of levels achieved across Wales and the UK in general.

The published trajectory shows that the average level of completions in The Vale of Glamorgan from 2021 - 2025 has been approx. 400 - 500 units. However, the chart shows that from 2027 – 2028, completions are expected to rise to approx. 1,000 units per year. The expected delivery levels in the trajectory therefore show and assume a doubling in delivery rates and unit numbers (an increase of approx. 100%relative to past rates). There is no clear evidence as to how this level of completions can be achieved let alone guaranteed. This is the case in particular given that the forthcoming years (2025-2027) are expected to see performance (yield) drop significantly (delivery rates in 2025 – 2026 and 2026 – 2027). The chart shows only approx. 200 units being delivered over these years. It is therefore unclear how completion rates are expected to rise so quickly (from 200 in 2025-26 to 1000 in 2027-28), and by such a significant amount. The assumptions in the trajectory are wholly unrobust in our view.

The anticipated delivery of housing also fails to be consistent within and across the Plan period. It is unclear as to why completions rates aren’t spread out more evenly throughout the Plan period - to ensure a robust and most realistic housing trajectory until 2036. By comparison to the marked increase in the rate of delivery between and over the

period 2027 to 2031, there is then a marked fall-off or drop in delivery towards and by the end of the Plan period. Indeed, in the final year, the level of completions are expected to be lower than the period 2021-2015.

To summarise, we consider the defined position to be wholly manufactured and unreflective of the past completion rates, as well as the recently published completion rates provided by Welsh Government recently in August 2025. In the Welsh Government Statistics Document ‘’New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’, information on the number of new dwellings started is provided, where building has commenced and those completed for April 2024 to March 2025. Figure 1 provides a graph showing starts in the last 10 years, and it is clear that there has been a general decline in the number of new dwellings started and completed.

Description of Figure 1:.‘New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’
In 2024-25, 4,631 new dwellings were completed, 3% fewer than in the previous year. This was the second lowest number on record, with the lowest number recorded in 2021-22, a year heavily affected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic (in 2021-22, 4,616 new dwellings were completed). The New Housing Pipeline Report Quarter 2, 2025 Report (September, 2025) published by the HBF evidenced that the number of residential units approved in the UK fell by 6% during the second quarter of 2025, continuing the decline of approval during the first three months of the year. Wales saw one of the largest declines in the UK in approvals with a decline of 29%.

Further, the HBF document ‘Increasing Housing Supply in Wales’ (4th September 2025) clearly shows that The Vale of Glamorgan has not met the housing delivery requirements in recent years in 2023 – 2024 – along with every other authority in Wales (except Newport). Accordingly, this further adds to the argument that historically The Vale (and most other authorities) have underprovided. This adds considerable uncertainty on the assumed transformation in yield and delivery as built into the trajectory.


Graph: Housing Delivery as a proportion of annual housing requirement in Wales per Authority

The Home Building Sector Skills Plan (Aug 2025) published by the HBF also identified the following issues with the workforce to bring forward built development in Wales:

• “A shortfall in numbers entering roles from the education system;
• An ageing workforce: 25% of the home building workforce is aged over 50, meaning the sector is facing an impending retirement cliff edge;
• Challenges attracting a wider talent pipeline into the sector;
• A lack of understanding of critical future skills needed, and direction from the Future Homes Standard; and
• Output within the sector fluctuating with demand and economic pressures, leading to additional pressures in recruitment and training”.

It is not considered that in the next 1-2 years that any of these issues can or will be substantially corrected – at least sufficiently so to allow for, and enable, the planned delivery rates of new housing completions to be as high as < > 1,000 homes in one year (and for four consecutive years at that).

We would therefore object to the proposed numbers of completion expected during the Plan period, given that there are a number of issues with delivering housing in Wales and given past completions rates for The Vale of Glamorgan. Again, this results in the Plan being at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated.

Status & Standing of Sites included in the Trajectory

The proposed land supply within the housing trajectory includes provision for ‘rolled forward’ LDP sites, which contribute to the total of ‘Proposed Additional Housing Allocations’ forming part of the housing supply. Specifically, a total of 1,242no. units have been identified as additional housing allocations, of which 959no. are expected to be delivered on the rolled forward LDP sites. As such, these sites are to provide for a significant proportion of additional housing in the Plan period (specifically circa 77%).

The Development Plans Manual (DPM) sets out that allocations rolled forward from a previous plan will require careful justification for inclusion in a revised plan. The DPM outlines that “there will need to be a substantial change in circumstances to demonstrate sites can be delivered and justify being included again. Clear evidence will be required that such sites can be delivered.” The below table included in the consultation document provides a breakdown of the rolled forward LDP sites, and in particular, sets out the status of each site:




The above table evidences that the current LDP has under delivered in regard to its targeted unit number of the Plan period, given that these sites did not yield any housing over the current plan period. This is further exacerbated by the Land Bank sites that have also not delivered any housing across the existing LDP period, amounting to 1,860no units. Accordingly, when considering the non-delivery of both rolled forward LDP sites and Land Bank sites, this amounts to an approximate shortfall of 2,189 homes being delivered, or 33% of the total housing supply identified for the current LDP (8,525no. dwellings).

It is therefore considered that, as a minimum, the units carried over from the LDP (without planning permission) should be a surplus to the housing supply proposed for the RLDP, as opposed to being relied on to deliver the housing need over the Plan period. This is particularly the case for the two sites (Land to the west of Pencoedtre Lane, and Land between Northern Access Road and Eglwys Brewis Road) which do not currently have any active planning application submitted for their development. These sites total an amount of 370no. units to be delivered in the Plan period, which represents more than a third of the additional housing allocations to make up the housing supply.

As such, it is considered that the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP is still present – indeed it has grown, and will continue to do so, not least when considered in conjunction with the projected population growth over the coming years to 2036, and the aspirations for growth in the Plan’s strategy.

Accordingly, in order to secure the targeted level of housing, a greater level of provision for new allocations should be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. This would bring about better certainty that the housing requirement is met by the housing supply over the Plan period, not least given that the current Plan failed in this respect. Without a re-apportioning of the housing supply, it is considered that the Plan would heavily rely on the contingency (i.e. rolled forward LDP sites) coming forward in the Plan period, yet there is uncertainty that these will yield in full over the new Plan period. This raises issues of ‘’soundness’’, and risks rendering the Plan unrobust.

On this basis, we would object to the Plan if the provision of housing is not adjusted to rebalance the provision to include new allocations in lieu of rolled forward LDP sites in the housing supply.

Key Sites

As set out in previous representations at Preferred Strategy stage, it is considered that the housing supply relies heavily on the delivery of the ‘key sites’ to deliver housing (and meet need) over the Plan period. The total number of housing units attributed to key sites amounts to 2,278, which equates to over 25% of the total provision in the Plan period.

As detailed above, we consider there to be concerns regarding the proposed ‘Timing and Phasing of Sites’ table included in the Housing Trajectory which we consider are not reflective or accurate and will therefore have the effect of delivery start dates being much later into the Plan period than anticipated. The result of this will be that the Plan will be at risk of not delivery the level of housing expected and needed. Moreover, the Housing Trajectory Graph presents an overly ambitious level of housing completions over the Plan period - which the Council consider will be markedly higher than the average levels experienced in the last five years. Again, for the reasons set out above, we consider that these rates of expected completions to have no evidence supporting them, and to be unachievable and unsound.

Insofar as to the removal of the previously proposed site ‘Land at North East Barry’, this site was expected to deliver 900no. units in the Plan period. Following its omission from the housing supply, other sites have been identified, which comprises the inclusion of a new key site (Land at North West Barry), 3no. non-strategic sites, and also affordable housing-led allocations. In terms of the quantum of development attributed to these new sites, this amounts to 659no. dwellings. This is some 250 units less than the 900no. homes that was previously attributed to ‘Land at North East Barry’. Whilst it is appreciated that the number of homes forming part of the existing supply (completions, units with planning permission etc.) have increased since Preferred Strategy stage, there will be a net loss in market housing provision and delivery.

This position is made worse and compounded as a result of accounting for the affordable-led sites in making up the housing supply.

As set out within the Preferred Strategy, these sites are expected to deliver at least 51% affordable housing. These units are not open market units, and will not / cannot contribute to the supply of such housing. These units will contribute to the provision of affordable housing, and will go some way to meeting the acute need for such housing (albeit will not eradicate / address in full the well known and accepted considerable requirement). Accordingly it is considered that these sites should be in addition to the housing supply, as opposed to forming part of the provision. In turn, there would need to be an increase in allocations for non-strategic sites, to ensure that there is sufficient market housing delivery over the Plan period.

Were such changes to be made and introduced, this would achieve and assist realise a more robust and sound housing supply, which will ensure that the identified housing need is met / addressed over the Plan period. Without these changes it is considered that the housing supply is not sufficient, and inevitably, housing need will not be met within the Plan.

St Athan Train Station

As set out in the Preferred Strategy (para A3.29), the strategy seeks to focus development around key sustainable transport nodes. The strategy outlined that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. Accordingly, in line with the spatial strategy adopted for the RLDP (i.e. focus development around sustainable transport nodes), St Athan was identified as a ‘Strategic Opportunity Area’ to accommodate strategic growth – through the proposed allocation of two key sites : ‘Land at Church Farm’ and ‘Land West of St Athan’. These sites have been identified to deliver 532no. and 600no. units respectively in the Plan period. These are separate to, and are in addition to, the 51no. units that have now been attributed to the site ‘Land South of Clive Road’ in St Athan. Accordingly, in total, the Housing Trajectory makes a provision for a total of 1,183no. homes to be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period.

It is now the case that, subsequent to the publication of the Preferred Strategy, the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales. The focus in the first phase of such improvements across the region is towards improving connectivity in east Cardiff, Newport, and Magor. Accordingly,

it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period, which significantly questions the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

The strategy to allocate new housing growth is predicated on focusing residential development around sustainable transport nodes, and given that St Athan will be without any railway station in the Plan period, it is not considered that these sites align with the strategy of the RLDP. Accordingly, the wider Housing Trajectory is considered to be unsound, given that a total of 1,183no. homes are expected to be delivered in St Athan within the Plan period.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add a further site for housing in this location over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites - given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

We therefore consider the Trajectory to be both unrobust and unsound, and therefore, we object to the Trajectory in its current form accordingly.

Geographic distribution of the ‘new’ sites / provision

As a general and overarching comment in respect to the additional sites now included within the Plan, and forming part of the trajectory, (and a matter expanded upon when critiquing each of these sites in the next section to this submission), it is clear and evident that these additional sites have been positioned to settlements that have already, and recently, been attributed significant growth in the preceding Plan and plan period.

Significant allocations (which have also contributed to significant levels of affordable housing) have been realised and built out in locations (such as Wick and Colwinston). Notwithstanding this, two of the additional sites are now proposed for these recently expanded settlements. Given that the purpose of the affordable housing led allocations is to meet unmet affordable housing need, it is questioned why such new allocations are attributed to settlements that have already seen open market and affordable housing provision, as compared to other comparable settlements that have not received any growth whatsoever over a considerable period of time.

It is considered accordingly that the geographic positioning of these allocations is at odds with their underlying purpose - to meet unmet affordable housing need in communities that have seen no provision

Detailed Comments in respect to ‘new’ sites

Other Housing Allocations

Land south of Clive Road, St Athan

A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below for ease:


As set out at the outset of these representations, and whilst we note the findings of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage (i.e. Suitable for further consideration), we do not consider that the consultation on this site has been undertaken procedurally appropriately or suitably. We therefore consider the consultation on this site is “unrobust” and “unsound”.

As set out previously, the strategy seeks to focus development around key sustainable transport nodes. The strategy outlined that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. It is now the case that, subsequent to the publication of the Preferred Strategy, the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales, where the focus is towards improving connectivity in east Cardiff, Newport, and Magor. Accordingly, it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period, which significantly questions the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add a further site for housing over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites – given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

Affordable Housing Led Allocations Land at Heol Fain, Wick
A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below for ease:

Candidate Site Stage 2 Assessment (Site Ref. 404)

The findings of the Candidate Site Assessment for this site are noted. We are assuming the reason this site is proposed to be allocated is a product of the site promoters/developers heading the findings stated below, and changing the form of development to be in accord with this:

“A market housing led scheme would not be acceptable, but the site could be reconsidered as a small scale affordable housing led development subject to need and viability at a maximum of 50 dwellings. In accordance with the Settlement Appraisal Review, it is considered that Wick could potentially accommodate limited affordable housing led growth.”

Whilst no clear deficiency exists in respect to the site, it is known that Wick has been subject to significant growth and expansion in recent years – not least by virtue of significant housing allocations in the settlement as part of previous plans.

To evidence this, 35% of the 124 units approved on the ‘Rectory Field, St Brides Road’ site (i.e. circa 43 units as per site allocation ref. MG(47) and PP ref. 2014/01424/FUL) were approved as Affordable Housing units. This makes a substantial provision of such Affordable Housing units (and housing generally) in the settlement in recent years.

Other similarly sized and comparable settlements and locations have not by contrast been subject to any growth for some considerable time, and accordingly would warrant and benefit from provision as part of this new replacement plan.

Notwithstanding the location of such provision, and as set out in detail at the outset of these representations, National Planning Policy advocates the high and acute need for affordable housing, whilst recent analysis evidences that there is a housing emergency. These circumstances - coupled with the shortcomings identified and set out earlier in these submissions in respect to the adequacy of provision within the plan (rolled forward sites / inadequate provision etc) – means that notwithstanding any potential allocation at Wick, further provision ought to be made in comparable (previously unprovided for) locations, such as Ogmore By Sea.

Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin

‘Land West of Maendy Road’ has been registered as an Affordable Housing Led Allocation candidate site for the RLDP, however as far as we know from our review, there is no assessment and critique of this site. This site has not been included in the ‘Candidate Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage’ (October 2023). As such, with an absence of publicly available information, it is not clear how the Council has judged this site against the criteria. This raises questions accordingly in respect to the “soundness” of a site which forms part of the intended housing land supply, and by association the trajectory. Without this, and without being consulted on (as others have been prior to this) we question whether this allocation is “sound” (i.e. its allocation is considered to be “unsound”).

Land North of West Winds Business Park, Fferm Goch

The below sets out the candidate site stage two assessment of ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’:

Candidate Site Stage 2 Assessment (Site Ref. 398)

As can be seen above, the site was not considered suitable for further consideration, with the site scoring negatively (red) in respect to a number of key factors. These include the following:

• Access to Retail;
• Access to Health Services;
• Sustainable Transport- Public Transport;
• Access/ Proximity to services and facilities conclusion;
• Climate Change; and

• Health and Wellbeing.

Given the fact the site scores red in ‘Sustainable Transport – Public Transport’, this shows the site is not served by public transport connections within 800m, as outlined in the key below:


Additionally, Policy SP7 (Sustainable Transport) of the Vale of Glamorgan Preferred Strategy states “New development must support an enhanced transport network that increases the proportion of journeys being undertaken by sustainable travel modes”. Additionally Objective 8 (Promoting Active and Sustainable Travel Choices) states “new development is directed to locations that are or can be accessible by a choice of modes of transport, including walking, cycling, and public transport.”

It is well known that residents of affordable housing are statistically less likely to own private vehicles, making access to reliable and frequent public transport essential for ensuring equitable mobility. The provision of public transport infrastructure in close proximity to such developments is therefore a critical component in supporting access to employment, education, healthcare, and other key services, while also promoting sustainable travel patterns and social inclusion.

The site also scores red in respect to Access/Proximity to services, showing the site is greater than 1200m away from key services, as seen in the key below:


In respect of the above, Preferred Strategy 6.40 states the need “To ensure that new development takes place in locations that have the best access to a wide range of services, facilities, and employment opportunities, whilst minimising the need to travel, the distribution of growth is guided by the following settlement hierarchy”. To further highlight the importance of both sustainable transport and proximity to services, the preferred strategy also states the need to “Facilitate the development of adaptable, accessible, well-connected communities that have a strong sense of identity, offer a sustainable range of services and facilities and are equipped with adequate infrastructure”. In addition, Promoting Active and Sustainable Travel Choices outlines to “Promote and encourage the use of sustainable methods of travel, particularly active modes of transport, whilst simultaneously reducing the need to travel”.

In light of the above, this site does not align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy, as it fails to meet several key development goals set out. It should therefore not be considered suitable to be allocated for future developments. Its inclusion is therefore unsound.

Should this view be concurred with, 22 affordable units will be lost from the proposed affordable 122 units, and ultimately will be lost from the overall housing land supply. As stated in the draft housing trajectory “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”. There is a clear possibility therefore that this proposed allocation is removed and/or not delivered as its inclusion is unsound as it does not align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy - as it fails to meet several key development goals set out. A “small scale

affordable housing led development” which is needed to “respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities” will therefore not be provided for. This is clearly an issue.

When comparing this with ‘Land at Hazelwood, Ogmore By Sea, the following is set out:

Access to Services and Facilities

This criterion has been assessed firstly on the location of the site proposal in terms of whether it is located within, adjacent to, or outside a settlement, and secondly the ease of pedestrian and cycle access to key services listed below.



With reference to the above:

• In terms of public transport, there are two bus stops located approximately 200m (3-minute walk) from the site (‘Ogmore By Sea Post Office’), with the ‘303’ providing services between Llantwit Major and Bridgend.

• The site is located 200m (3-minute walk) from the ‘Ogmore By Sea Post Office’ which can provide basic goods to meet day-today needs such as bread, butter, milk etc.

• The site is also located 50m (1-minute walk) from a children’s park.

These services and facilities are therefore well within the best category (i.e. categorised/scored as ‘green’) - within 800m of site (10-minute walk). Accordingly, the site therefore has good access to services and facilities. This

Furthermore, the settlement of Ogmore By Sea has been ranked higher than Llangan (which the site ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’ is located within) in the VoG Sustainable Settlements Appraisal, and therefore, is considered to constitute a more sustainable location to accommodate residential growth. Most notably, Ogmore By Sea scores ‘13’ in respect to ‘Daily Facilities’ whereas Llangan only scores ‘3’, evidencing that residents in Ogmore have much better access to services within the locality as compared to Llangan.

Given the above, ‘Land at Hazelwood, Ogmore’ does/should align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy as it meets several of the key development goals set out. Its inclusion should therefore, in our view, be considered “sound” and therefore suitable to be allocated for future developments. The site should properly and appropriately be allocated in lieu of ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’ – the inclusion of which is “unsound”. ‘Land at Hazelwood, Ogmore’ would therefore ensure that affordable units, where “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help

sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”, are provided for. As such the proposed housing trajectory would be maintained.

Land to the East of Colwinston, Colwinston

A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below:


As outlined above, the site was rejected and considered not suitable for further consideration. In fact, and unlike ‘Land at Heol Fain, Wick’ and ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’ it was stated that this site “could not be considered as a suitable affordable housing led development site”. Despite this, this site is identified to be allocated as an Affordable Housing Led Allocation. As such, the inclusion of this site is “unsound”.

It is known that Colwinston has been subject to significant housing allocations in the settlement as part of previous plans. To evidence this, 25% of the 64 units (i.e. 16 units) were approved on the site allocation ref. MG2(41) and PP ref.

2014/00242/FUL. This makes a substantial provision of such Affordable Housing units (and housing generally) in the settlement in recent years.

Other similarly sized and comparable settlements and locations have not by contrast been subject to any growth for some considerable time, and accordingly would warrant and benefit from provision as part of this new replacement plan.

Notwithstanding the location of such provision, and as set out in detail at the outset of these representations, National Planning Policy advocates the high and acute need for affordable housing, whilst recent analysis evidences that there is a housing emergency. These circumstances - coupled with the shortcomings identified and set out earlier in these submissions in respect to the adequacy of provision within the plan (rolled forward sites / inadequate provision etc) – means that notwithstanding any potential allocation at Colwinston, further provision ought to be made in comparable (previously unprovided for) locations, such as Ogmore By Sea.

Summary of These Representations

To re-iterate, and to summarise the case made and set out, these representations seek to object to the Housing Trajectory published as part of the consultation on the Draft Housing Trajectory For Housing Stakeholder Group (October 2025) which underpins the Plan and the delivery / realisation of its underlying strategy.

Detailed submissions and objections are raised above in respect to the trajectory information published regarding the soundness and robustness of this information (and it’s consultation), which we do not consider are adequate, robust, or sound to deliver the Plans aims and objectives.

Strong support is expressed for the proposed allocation at Land north of Westwinds, Fferm Goch of rural affordable-led housing within the Vale of Glamorgan Draft Local Development Plan (LDP) under policy HG4(4).
As part of our comments to the above policy consideration must be attributed to viability on a site specific basis. Furthermore, questions are raised over whether sufficient affordable dwellings are proposed to 2036 in the Vale given current trends and forecasts.

The inclusion of the site within the settlement boundary is logical especially when viewed in the context of the linear settlement of Fferm Goch. In addition the site is further suited to development allocation as the northern and southern boundaries are built up and the main road runs along the eastern boundary. A flexible approach is encouraged with regard to the delivery of the dwellings in relation to a variety of factors and policy provisions including the housing needs across the Vale, the limit on numbers of rural affordable led sites in minor rural settlements, viability implications relating to obligations/carbon Zero and sustainability obligations and the potential to extend the allocation if the need for homes requires.

The 3 land owners remain committed to this development and local developers are waiting to deliver the allocation.

In summary the extension to the settlement boundary of Fferm Goch, to include the allocation HG4(4) is supported. The attached representation is made under the following policies:
• Policy SP1 – Sustainable Growth Strategy
• Policy SP2 – Settlement Hierarchy
• Policy PGD2 – Residential Development Densities
• Policy SP6 – Housing Requirement
• Policy SP7 – Affordable housing provision
• Policy SP8 – Affordable housing requirements
• Policy HG4 – Rural Affordable Housing Sites
• Policy SP13 – Community Infrastructure and planning obligations
• Policy CI1 – Open space provision
• Policy SP16 – Climate change mitigation and adaptation
• Policy DNP1 – Special landscape Areas

The test of soundness for a Local Development Plan (LDP) is a critical component of the planning process to ensure that the plan is prepared in accordance with legal and procedural
requirements. It involves demonstrating that the plan is 'sound' based on three tests set out by the Welsh Government in the Development Plans Manual (Edition 3). These tests have therefore been considered in our representation, the tests include:

• Test 1: Does the plan fit? (i.e. is it clear that the LDP is consistent with other plans?)
• Test 2: Is the plan appropriate? (i.e. is the plan appropriate for the area in the light of the evidence?)
• Test 3: Will the plan deliver (i.e. is it likely to be effective?)

SP1 – Sustainable Growth Strategy

The promotion of small scale affordable housing led development outside of the SGA, as proposed by SP1 is important as this provides essential affordable and market homes in the rural locations of the Vale as well as the SGA. Their provision is critical in meeting the area’s housing needs, particularly affordable dwellings and supporting rural community stability, and ensuring that all parts of the Vale remain a place where people of all incomes are able to live and thrive during the plan period to 2036 and beyond.

The essence of Policy SP1 is supported, however it is well documented that there is a backlog in delivery of affordable homes and the need for affordable housing in the Vale is exacerbated by the high prevalence of single person households plus households comprising couples with no children, The Vale also has one of the highest affordability pressures in Wales. As stated in the 2023 Local Housing Market Assessment (LHMA) for the Vale of Glamorgan , the median house price in the Vale is around 8 times the median household income, well above the affordability threshold of 4.5 to 5 times household income for borrowing purposes. Private rents have also risen sharply in the area, commonly placing them out of reach for many low-to-middle income households. All of the above place further pressure on the need to deliver affordable homes in the locality.

The LHMA identifies a need for 1,075 affordable homes per year over the next 5 years based on principal projections (or 1,114 based on the RLDP projections). As mentioned previously past delivery rates fall significantly short and therefore a backlog is present, however despite the reported backlog the RLDP only proposes 3,070 (205/annum) affordable dwellings over the plan period to 2036. Despite the growth strategy of policy SP1 and allocations made through the RLDP, the figure of proposed affordable dwelling numbers is concerning as it falls significantly short of the demand evidenced within the most recent evidence of LHMA of 2023.

The housing figures quoted in SP1 indicate 7,890 dwellings ( including the 3,070 affordable dwellings) to 2036, however these figures overall are inadequate over the plan period when considered against the 2022 WG household projections. The 2022-based household projections provide an indication of the future number of households, and their composition, based on population projections and assumptions about households from recent censuses. The vale of Glamorgan demonstrates an increase of almost 12% in the number of households between mid-2022 and mid-2032; note this is the highest percentage increase by Local authority in Wales and way above the average for Wales as a whole (that stands at around 7% increase). The concern is whether Policy SP1 goes far enough in providing for the scale of housing ( both open market, but particularly Affordable) development across the Vale.

Without targeted allocations outside of the SGA, as outlined in Policy SP1, the gap described above will continue to widen, forcing more residents to leave the area and weakening community cohesion.

SP2 – Settlement Hierarchy

Policy SP2 states a range of rural settlements are categorised as ‘Minor Rural Settlements’. Within the
RLDP the supporting text of Policy SP2 states:
‘several of the smaller rural settlements such as Colwinston, St Nicholas and Fferm Goch include primary schools that serve a wider catchment area, whilst others also provide small scale local employment opportunities, either within or near the settlements. Due to these functional links between rural settlements, it is essential to ensure that existing services and facilities are safeguarded, supported, or enhanced where appropriate’.(Paragraph 6.16)
Fferm Goch is categorised as a Minor rural settlement within the Settlement hierarchy and given its size and range of facilities/services this is supported. It is noted however that both Fferm Goch and Colwinston are identified as serving a wider catchment due to the provision of their primary schools. The allocation of HG4 site at Fferm Goch will further support and sustain the following:
• The Llangan primary school that sits in the southern portion of the settlement boundary.
• The existing employment site of WestWinds Business Park.
• The community hall (Llangan and St Mary Hill Village Hall) to the north of the settlement.
These existing services and facilities should be supported and sustained through the new housing allocation (HG4(4) in the immediate locality. This allocation supports the Vale’s own strategic objectives for

sustainable growth. Locating affordable-led developments in areas with existing infrastructure such as primary schools will reduce car dependency, lower carbon emissions, and contribute to the Council’s climate change commitments.

Considering the above, the limit on small scale rural affordable housing led developments (RAHLD) to 25 for these settlements is questioned and further flexibility recommended on a case by case basis. It is understood the limit on numbers was imposed due to the existing scale of the settlement in which the RAHLD are located, however those allocations will only likely deliver at 50% affordable and therefore only provide 12.5 ( or 13) affordable units as a maximum (note Fferm Goch would provide 11 affordable dwellings on current figures of 22 total dwellings). Given the concerns raised in response to Policy SP1 there remains an issue of whether the numbers proposed in the RLDP can meet the demonstrable need for affordable homes and if there is scope on a RAHLD to sensitively increase unit numbers without any material harm then the policy should be flexible to accommodate this.

Wick and Culverhouse Cross have been elevated to Primary Settlements outside the SGA; this is supported given the range of facilities and services provided in these settlements. It is also supported that these settlements are able to provide affordable led residential development of up to 50 dwellings ( delivering 25 affordable units). However the provision of an increased number of units in the Primary Non SGA settlements must not be at the expense of a wider number of smaller rural sites with the ability to sustain smaller communities across the Vale, especially given the shortfall in numbers as outlined above.

PGD2 – Residential Development Densities

The best use of finite land is set out in PPW and consistent with the setting of the densities as prescribed in policy PGD2. The policy is considered to meet the 3 tests of soundness.

The approach of policy PGD2 is also supported through the proposed density of the site North of Westwinds business park, Fferm Goch in HG4 (4). This allocation that proposes to provide a density of just over 30/ha within Fferm Goch, a minor rural settlement.

SP6 – Housing Requirement

Affordable housing forms an important part of the housing requirement figures of Policy SP6. Whilst the total 122 dwellings proposed under policy HG4 is a relatively small contribution to the overall figures it provides important spatial distribution of homes across the Vale within the rural area.

Given the concerns raised with regard to Policy SP1 there is fear that the affordable housing numbers will not be sufficient to meet need. The site north of Westwinds business park, Fferm Goch has the ability to expand to the south (as per the CS Ref 398) in order to accommodate additional dwellings (both market and affordable dwellings in order to sustain the viability of the site).

SP7 – Affordable Housing Provision

In accordance with Policy SP7 the allocated site HG4(4) at Fferm Goch provides a range of tenures, types and sizes in response to the LHMA, waiting list data and Older persons housing strategy in order to provide for 11 dwelling units and contributing toward the 3,070 affordable requirement to 2036. Changes in the household composition mean more single person and small homes are required, plus older person accommodation for those wishing to downsize and stay in the area.

Please see comments for Policy SP1 / Policy SP2 above regards concern over the proposed housing numbers and supply of affordable homes against demand - this therefore brings the Deliverability of the plan in to question (Test of Soundness 3).

SP8 – Affordable Housing Requirements

Policy SP8 is supported in so far as contributing much needed affordable housing development commensurate with the size of the settlement in which it sits. We are encourage to see reference to the provision of affordable housing to be negotiated on a site by site basis considering evidenced viability fo the development.

The affordable dwellings proposed foster stability in rural areas by allowing a range of households (from single person to growing families) to stay in their local area.

Policy SP8 states 40% affordable for those developments in primary and minor settlements outside of the SGA yet 50% requirement on affordable housing led allocations in minor rural settlements ( also outside of the SGA). This appears inconsistent and penalising those smaller rural sites that will already be more delicately balanced in viability terms by virtue of their limited size of 25 units. Further viability issues covered in other policies ( such as SP20, relating to biodiversity, Net Zero and sustainability credentials must (with the required evidence submitted and assessed by the council as stated in Policy SP8) be flexibly reviewed to ensure sites are viable and deliverable as recognised by the Council, there is a danger the stringent requirements, especially for smaller sites, could render those sites unviable in the current climate with rising build costs.

HG4 – Rural affordable housing led sites

The allocation of land north of West Winds Business Park under policy HG4(4) for rural affordable housing led development of 22 units is strongly supported. Then allocation will assist in delivering homes in the rural Vale and contribute to the important stability to the settlement of Fferm Goch to 2036.

The extension of the settlement limit including the site north of West Winds Business Park is supported. The site provides an obvious infill to the small break in the built up area to both the north and south of the site, with the main road running to the eastern boundary of the site.

The inclusion of the site within the settlement of Fferm Goch is logical and in harmony with the existing linear settlement.

The proposal supports the aims of the Local Development Plan and the Welsh Government’s commitment to increasing affordable housing supply. By providing for affordable led allocations the policy aligns with the Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act 2015 in aiming to promote a healthier, more equal, and cohesive community.

There is concern however surrounding the number of dwellings proposed and if the Plan seeks sufficient dwellings and affordable provision given the predicted need to 2036 shown in the LMHA.

SP13 – Community infrastructure and planning obligations

Policy SP13 demonstrates the importance of community infrastructure in sustaining both the residents well being and economic growth of an area. See also the response to Policy SP2 that refers to the allocation of housing in the rural areas specifically supporting those settlements with local primary school provision.

The viability of developments however must not be compromised in order to ensure delivery of the plan. To see in Policy SP13 that ‘development viability’ is recognised as a key factor in delivering community infrastructure under planning obligations, is supported. It is recommended that this recognition is replicated in other policies of the LDP in order that the third Test of soundness can be fully met; Deliverability – ensuring the plan is likely to be effective). See comments in relation to Policies SP8/CC1/SP16/CI1.

CI1 – Open Space Provision

Provision of open space in residential developments is supported. HG4(4) promotes open space within the draft allocation.

The viability of developments however must not be compromised in order to ensure delivery of the plan. The ‘development viability’ should recognised as a key factor in delivering open space ( see comments on SP13 / SP8 where evidenced viability is specifically referenced within those policies – this approach is supported.

SP16 - Climate change Mitigation and Adaptation

The provisions of SP16 are generally supported as practical measures to ensure important sustainable development is achieved.

CC1 – Residential Operational Net Zero Carbon Development

The provisions of Policy CC1 echo the WG targets for Net Zero by 2050.
Whilst some of the supporting text to policy CC1 references viability, the ultimate viability of developments however must not be compromised in order to ensure delivery of the plan. The technical feasibility of renewable energy regeneration is referenced in the above policy however the ‘development viability’ should also be included. See comments on SP13 / SP8 where evidenced viability is specifically referenced within those policies – this approach is supported.

SP19 – Green Infrastructure

Provision of Green Infrastructure in residential, and all developments is supported.

HG4(4) retains and enhances existing and will promote green infrastructure on the draft allocation.

The viability of developments however must not be compromised through green infrastructure provision - in order to ensure delivery of the plan. The ‘development viability’ should therefore be recognised as a key factor in delivering Green Infrastructure. See comments on SP13 / SP8 where evidenced viability is specifically referenced within those policies – this approach is supported.

SP20 – Biodiversity and Ecosystem resilience

The above Policy is in accordance with Chapter 6 PPW. The approach is supported and dovetails with SP19 above.

DNP1 – Special Landscape Areas

DNP1 identified Special Landscape Areas across the Vale.

Fferm Goch is one of the settlements that remains fully within and covered by the Upper and Lower Thaw Valley Special Landscape Area (SLA). It is noted that in such settlements, while there have been amendments to the identified settlement boundary ( inclusion of HG4 (4) rural affordable led housing allocation) this has not affected the SLA designation in these areas. (Background Paper 45; Paragraph 1.16 refers).

The location of the small allocated site HG4(4) is nestled within the settlement of Fferm Goch. It is built up on both the northern and southern boundaries, with the main road running along the eastern boundary. There is no unacceptable harm to the SLA of the Upper and Lower Thaw valley.

The allocation of the site for residential development does not give rise to unacceptable harm to the special qualities and characteristics of the SLA, based on LANDMAP information, continues to be preserved.