Gwrthwynebu

1 Ymgynghoriad ar Cynllun Datblygu Lleol Newydd

ID sylw: 6701

Derbyniwyd: 11/03/2026

Respondent ID: 1068

Ymatebydd: Persimmon Homes (East Wales)

Asiant : Asbri Planning

Cadarn? Heb nodi

Crynodeb o'r Gynrychiolaeth:

Overall Growth Levels (Policy SP6)

It is acknowledged that the preferred growth option (dwelling-led 10 Year scenario), upon which the RLDP housing requirement figure is based, reflects what has been delivered in the Authority in recent years, and is considered by the Authority to be realistic and suitably ambitious given the Vale's position within the National Growth Area. However, as a general comment, it is considered that targeting a higher/more ambitious growth rate would be appropriate.

In reviewing the most recent LDP Annual Monitoring Report (Vale of Glamorgan LDP 2011-2026, 7th Annual Monitoring Report, 1st April 202431st March 2025) (published October 2025), it is clear that there is a shortfall in housing delivery in the Vale of Glamorgan. It is stated that: “Between 1st April 2011 and 1st April 2025, a total of 6,999 dwellings were completed within the Vale of Glamorgan of which 4,641 units were general market dwellings against the 2025 AMR target of 6,387 that should have been developed at this point in the plan period, in accordance with the target. The number of additional general market dwellings delivered is 27.3% below the monitoring target”. In light of the fact that there is a significant shortfall in housing delivery (i.e.
currently 27.3% lower than the LDP target), it is considered that a higher growth level for the Replacement Plan period would assist in rectifying under-delivery, allowing for housing completions to be better aligned with evidence of need (rather than repeating past shortfalls).


On February 12th 2026, the Welsh Government published updated estimates of additional housing need in Wales. The figures replace the 2019-based estimates and draw on the latest available data, including the 2022-based household projections published in late 2025. In summary, Welsh Government identify that there is a current estimated existing unmet need of 9,400 housing units. Estimates of existing unmet need have increased by 64% since the 2019-based estimates, due to a rise in homeless households in temporary accommodation.

In terms of future housing need, on average, between 7,800 and 9,300 additional housing units are estimated to be needed annually over the five-year period from July 2025 to June 2030, with a central estimate of 8,700 from newly arising need. The estimated newly arising need for July 2025 to June 2030 is higher than in the 2019-based estimates. This increase reflects higher projected household growth in the 2022-based household projections compared with the 2018-based projections used previously.

The Authority will need to give detailed consideration to the implications of the updated estimates of housing need. As the most up to date projections, the Replacement LDP must properly account for the new dataset to ensure soundness of the plan. In this regard, it is stated at Paragraph 5.34 of the Development Plans Manual that “In terms of considering the level of housing provision for a plan, the most up-to- date suite of Welsh Government population and Household Projections are a fundamental
part of the evidence base.” Accordingly, Paragraph 5.35 goes on to state that “All LPAs should use these projections and the resultant household numbers when considering the level of housing provision for a plan period”.

In light of the February 2026 publication of updated estimates of housing need in Wales (which indicate
a substantial increase in both existing unmet housing need and newly arising need), and in the context of the existing under-delivery of units evidenced within the most recent LDP AMR (i.e. which identifies a shortfall in housing delivery of 27.3% on the adopted LDP target), it is considered essential that the overall growth levels for the Replacement Plan are revisited (and increased accordingly).

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