Rethink the Railway Station at St Athan

With the refusal to facilitate a Railway station at St Athan puts increasing volumes of traffic on an already busy A4226

No objection to this development and delighted to see land safeguarded for a potential new train station/halt with parking. Having studied the plans, the intended land reserved for a station/halt is a perfect location and would be a godsend to St Athan. I'm old enough to remember the old Gilestone station being very busy with military personnel when RAF St Athan was in its heyday with some 2000 plus serving and civilian personnel. The St Athan population alone has now exceeded that so it's time to build a new rail facility.

Of course derelict buildings being cleared but I know of at least two military type FW3/22 pillboxes with a third on the road side near the airfield entrance gates. These were constructed in WW2 for the defence of the RAF airfield south side and I believe may be listed buildings. In any case, these should be preserved as historical features of interest with educational sign board attached or erected alongside. The southernmost one in the field appears to be of poured concrete construction and in visibly sound condition.

I did submit my concerns on the on-line portal but it was word limited and I wanted to expand on the matter.

I thank you and all the decision makers for your kind consideration.

The interchange is a good start to improve public transport use but the frequency and expansion of bus and train services throughout the whole of the vale also needs to be addressed in order to encourage use and make it a practical alternative to private vehicle use. Simply building new interchanges and bus stops on its own is not enough.

Needs to be completed before the other developments in the area

TfW have already stated they will not be adding a train station in St Athan so what exactly is this in relation to? And how does it open the already poor public transport in the rural Vale to more links?

Lack of Commitment to a Railway Station at St Athan
Despite decades of discussion, there is still no commitment from either Welsh Government or Transport for Wales—financial, strategic, or operational—to delivering a railway station at St Athan. No feasibility study, timetable, or land safeguarding exists. Yet the RLDP assumes that large‑scale housing growth can be justified in the area. This assumption is not supported by evidence and locks the community into long‑term car dependency. Even if a railway station at St Athan is developed in future years, it is highly likely the then ingrained dependence on car use will be extremely difficult to reverse.

1. Section of Plan to which this Representation Relates
- Sustainable Growth Strategy
- Key Housing Sites:
KS4 - Land at Church Farm, St. Athan (532 dwellings) KS5 - Land to the West of St. Athan (600 dwellings)
- Housing Allocations: HG1(7)
Former Stadium Site, adjacent to Burley Place (80 dwellings)
HG1(8) - Clive Road, St. Athan (51 dwellings)
- Transport Policy (TR)
- Community Infrastructure Policy (CI)
- Policy SP13 - Infrastructure Provision
- Green Infrastructure Policies

2. Summary of Representation
This representation raises concerns regarding:
1. The scale of housing growth in St. Athan.
2. The absence of guaranteed sustainable transport infrastructure.
3. Insufficient retail and community infrastructure provision, particularly within the ward of Flemingston.
4. The allocation of the Clive Road site (HG1(8)), which currently functions as a de facto village green.
5. The cumulative infrastructure impact of candidate and legacy site allocations.
The representation seeks modifications to ensure the Plan is infrastructure-led, deliverable, and compliant with national planning policy and the Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act 2015.

3. Scale of Housing Growth in St. Athan
The RLDP allocates:
- KS4 - 532 dwellings
- KS5 - 600 dwellings
- HG1(7) - 80 dwellings
- HG1(8) - 51 dwellings
This equates to 1,263 dwellings in St. Athan.
This represents a very significant expansion of the settlement and must be assessed against:
- Existing infrastructure capacity
- Transport provision
- Education and healthcare availability
- Retail and service provision
At present, St. Athan does not have a rail station and relies heavily on private car travel.
The Plan must demonstrate clearly that this level of growth is proportionate and deliverable.

4. Transport Infrastructure and Deliverability
The RLDP safeguards land for a "transport interchange" at St. Athan. However:
- There is no confirmed rail station.
- There is no confirmed funding package.
- There is no defined delivery programme.
- There are no binding occupation triggers linking housing delivery to transport delivery.

Previous references in planning documents referred to a railway station. The revised terminology of "transport interchange" reflects uncertainty.

Under Future Wales - The National Plan 2040, growth within the South East National Growth Area should align with sustainable transport infrastructure. Without guaranteed rail provision, development risks being car-dependent and inconsistent with decarbonisation objectives.

This raises concerns under the soundness test: Will the plan deliver?

5. Retail and Local Service Provision - Flemingston Ward

The Deposit RLDP does not allocate new retail units or local service provision within the ward of Flemingston.
Given the scale of proposed housing growth across St. Athan and its surrounding areas, there is:

- No corresponding neighbourhood retail allocation.
- No clear commitment to small-scale convenience retail within walking distance of new development.
- No spatial recognition of Flemingston's service deficit.

This is inconsistent with Planning Policy Wales placemaking principles, which require:

- Mixed-use neighbourhoods.
- Walkable access to daily services.
- Reduced reliance on private vehicles.

Without provision of much-needed retail units within Flemingston ward, residents will remain dependent on car travel for everyday needs.
Modification is therefore sought to require neighbourhood retail and service provision proportionate to housing growth.

6. Clive Road Site (HG1(8)) - Community Function

The Clive Road site (HG1(8), 51 dwellings) currently functions as a de facto village green.
Although not formally designated, it is:
- Used informally for recreation.
- A visual open space within the settlement.
- A valued community amenity.
Its allocation for housing would result in:
- Loss of accessible informal open space.
- Erosion of community character.
- Reduction in green infrastructure connectivity.
The Plan should:
- Reassess the allocation in light of its community use; or
- Require equivalent or superior replacement open space within immediate proximity prior to development.
This matter engages Policy on Open Space and Green Infrastructure and must be considered in accordance with the prevention and long-term principles of the Well- being Act.

7. Candidate and Legacy Sites - Cumulative Impact Several allocations in St. Athan arise from:
- The Candidate Site process.
- Rolled-forward legacy allocations.
Individually, smaller sites may appear acceptable. However, cumulatively they produce substantial growth in a settlement with constrained infrastructure.
The Plan must demonstrate:
- Why these sites were preferred over alternatives.
- That lower growth options were robustly assessed.
- That greenfield loss is justified and mitigated.

8. Infrastructure and Phasing Concerns
Policy SP13 refers to securing infrastructure through planning obligations. However, reliance on financial contributions alone does not ensure timely delivery.

There is insufficient clarity regarding:
- Education capacity expansion.
- Primary healthcare provision.
- Highway mitigation triggers.
- Public transport enhancement sequencing.

Infrastructure must be delivered ahead of, or in tandem with, housing occupation - not retrospectively.

9. Compliance with the Five Ways of Working

Long-Term: Irreversible greenfield expansion without secured sustainable transport risks embedding long-term car dependency.
Prevention: Without infrastructure-first sequencing, congestion and service strain are foreseeable.
Integration: Housing growth appears to run ahead of confirmed transport and retail provision.
Collaboration: The Plan should demonstrate binding commitments from transport and infrastructure partners.
Involvement: Community concerns regarding scale and open space loss must be properly addressed.

10. Modifications Sought

To ensure soundness and compliance with national policy, the following modifications are requested:

1. Phasing Policy for KS4 and KS5
Introduce clear occupation thresholds tied to delivery of:
- Transport interchange infrastructure.
- Highway mitigation.Education capacity.
- Healthcare provision.

2. Retail Provision Requirement
Require neighbourhood retail and service provision within the ward of Flemingston proportionate to allocated and previous housing growth.

3. Clive Road Site Review (HG1(8))
Either:
- Remove the allocation; or
- Require replacement open space of equal or greater quality delivered prior to development.

4. Strengthened Infrastructure-First Wording
Amend Policy SP13 to make infrastructure delivery a pre-condition, not solely a contribution mechanism.

5. Monitoring Framework Enhancement Include specific indicators for:
- Sustainable transport modal share.
- Retail provision delivery.
- Open space replacement.
- Infrastructure phasing compliance.

11. Conclusion

St. Athan has a role within the wider Cardiff Capital Region and the South East National Growth Area. However, the current scale of housing allocation is not sufficiently matched by guaranteed infrastructure, retail provision, or community space protection.

Without modification, the Plan risks:
- Car-dependent growth,
- Loss of valued open space,
- Insufficient local retail provision,
- Pressure on community infrastructure.
This representation therefore seeks amendments to ensure that growth in St. Athan and Flemingston is proportionate, infrastructure-led, environmentally responsible, and compliant with Welsh planning policy.

1.1. Savills is instructed by Hallam Land (‘Hallam’) to respond to the consultation on the Deposit version of the Replacement Local Development Plan (‘RLDP’) by the Vale of Glamorgan Council (‘VoG’).
1.2. Hallam is the strategic land arm of Henry Boot PLC and is one of the UK’s most well established and successful land promoters. Hallam operates throughout England, Scotland and Wales from 7 regional offices working with landowners, developers, local authorities, communities and other parties to bring forward development opportunities. Hallam has been in operation since 1990, specialising in obtaining planning permission and delivering development larger schemes including new communities and urban extensions.
Background to Representations
1.3. The Preferred Strategy was published in November 2023. The Preferred Strategy identified “Land West of St Athan” and “Land South of the B4265, St Athan” (Site IDs 456 and 457) as one of five Key Sites in the Preferred Strategy. Both of these sites are under the control of Hallam and were submitted as part of the Call for Sites. A site-specific illustrative masterplan and policy wording were provided under Policy SP4 KS5 (Land to the West of St Athan).
1.4. Hallam submitted representations on the consultation on the Preferred Strategy. These representations were very much supportive of the identification of “Land to the West of St Athan” as a Key Site and the approach that was taken more generally taken in the Preferred Strategy.
Approach to Responding to Consultation
1.5. The VoG has published the Deposit version of the RLDP. The Deposit is the first version of the RLDP to include emerging allocations, and detailed development management policies, as well as a Proposals Map. It is accompanied by a substantial evidence base which includes various supporting technical documentation submitted as part of the promotion of the allocated sites.
1.6. Building upon the Preferred Strategy, the Deposit RLDP proposes to allocate Land to the West of St Athan as a Key Site. The site is identified under Policy HG1 KS5 (Land to the West of St Athan) as key mixed-use site with capacity for 600 new homes alongside new community and commercial facilities.
1.7. Hallam’s representation to this consultation broadly splits into three separate sections:
• It offers general support for the housing requirement, growth strategy and settlement hierarchy. This is covered in Chapter 2 of this Statement;
• It wholly supports the approach of allocating Land to the West of St Athan as part of the Deposit RLDP whilst also providing detailed commentary on the specific wording of Policy HG1 KS5 (Land to the West of St Athan). This is covered in Chapter 3 of this Statement; and
• It provides commentary on a range of development management policies. This is covered in Chapters 4, 5, 6, and 7 of this Statement.
1.8. As well as this Statement, Savills has provided commentary on these specific policies under the VoG’s consultation website.

Policy SP1 (Sustainable Growth Strategy), Policy SP2 (Settlement Hierarchy), and Policy SP6 (Housing Requirement)
2.1. Together, these policies have the effect of:
• Setting the housing requirement to be delivered over the RLDP plan period of 7,890 homes with a flexibility allowance applied on top so that provision is made for a total of 8,660 homes. This is the same housing requirement to that included in the Preferred Strategy which was found by Welsh Government to be in conformity with Future Wales (Policies SP1 and SP6);
• Identifying the extent of the Strategic Growth Area as the primary focus of new housing growth. Concentrations of new housing are focussed in those locations served by existing transport routes and where there are opportunities to enhance sustainable transport connectivity. St Athan is a specifically named settlement within the Strategic Growth Area (Policy SP1); and
• Identifying St Athan as a Primary Settlement in the third tier of the settlement hierarchy. This is the same tier of the settlement hierarchy as St Athan is in the adopted LDP (Policy SP2).
2.2. Hallam are generally supportive of the aims of these three policies.
2.3. They recognise that the housing requirement has been subject to extensive scrutiny and been found to be appropriate by Welsh Government in response to the Preferred Strategy. In that sense, there is nothing further for Hallam Land to comment upon here other than to note that it should reasonably be seen as the minimum number of homes that the RLDP should be aiming to deliver, particularly following the publication of the 2022-based household projections between Welsh Government’s comments on the Preferred strategy and the publication of the Preferred Strategy.
2.4. The strategy – of focussing new housing in those locations served by existing transport routes and where there are opportunities to enhance sustainable transport connectivity – is wholly supported. St Athan is clearly already a sustainable location for growth and its sustainability and connectivity have clear potential to enhance alongside further development. The delivery of growth in St Athan is therefore considered to firmly align with the RLDP’s strategy.
2.5. The continued positioning of St Athan as a Primary Settlement in the third tier of the settlement hierarchy is considered appropriate though clearly the delivery of two Key Sites within St Athan as part of the RLDP has the potential to further elevate its position in the future. This is reflected in Table 10 of Background Paper 5 Settlement Appraisal Review where St Athan is given one of the higher scores of the Primary settlements.

Policy HG1 KS5 (Land to the West of St Athan)
3.1. Policy HG1 (Housing Allocations) identifies those sites that are to be allocated to meet the housing requirement of 7,890 homes that is set out in Policy SP1 (Sustainable Growth Strategy) and Policy SP6 (Housing Requirement) of the RLDP. As well as the existing landbank and an allowance for windfalls, Policy HG1 notes that this requirement will be met through a mix of Key Sites, conventional housing allocations, housing-led regeneration opportunities, and rural affordable housing led sites.
3.2. There is a standalone separate policy for each of the five Key Sites that are identified in Policy HG1 (Housing Allocations). Each separate Key Site policy identifies what the site is proposed to be allocated for before providing setting out expectations of how each Key Site should come forward – both in terms of land uses that should be delivered and constraints and opportunities needing to be responded to – that are framed under a series of sub-headings. A masterplan sits alongside each Key Site policy whilst a package of supporting documentation for each Key Site submitted by the site promoter is also made available as part of the consultation on the Deposit RLDP.
3.3. The relevant policy for Land to the West of St Athan is Policy HG1 KS5.
3.4. As a starting point, Hallam wholeheartedly support the allocation of Land to the West of St Athan as a Key Site within the RLDP. Hallam made a comprehensive submission as part of the Call for Sites stage and since then have worked proactively with the VoG and other stakeholders to demonstrate that the site is suitable, deliverable, and viable. It’s identification as a Key Site in the Deposit RLDP represents extensive and thorough assessment – its proposed allocated is therefore considered to be sound and firmly evidence based.
3.5. So that the policy functions as effectively as possible, Hallam has a small number of comments and included at Appendix A is a re-worded version of Policy HG1 KS5 which incorporates those changes with text suggested to be removed crossed through and text to be added shown underlined.
3.6. These proposed adjustments are considered in turn below and are structured around the sub-headings that are contained within the policy wording itself.
Site Capacity and Housing Trajectory
3.7. Extensive environmental and technical work has been undertaken by Hallam to support the promotion of the site and the development of a masterplan (and site capacity) that responds to the site’s constraints and opportunities.
3.8. That said, Hallam is not a housebuilder and once an outline planning application has progressed, Hallam will identify a development partner (which could be a single or multiple housebuilders / housing associations). Clearly different housebuilders have different house types and differing approaches to density.
3.9. In addition, whilst a lot of technical and environmental work has been undertaken to date, clearly further technical work would be submitted at planning application stage which would further validate the site’s capacity.
3.10. Legislative and guidance changes also have the potential to impact a site capacity. Whilst the masterplanning process has been prepared to be SAB compliant, the impact of the introduction of the requirement to secure SAB approval has had an impact on site capacity and it follows that a further, and as yet unknown, legislative or guidance change could have a similar impact.
3.11. This is not to suggest that there isn’t a high degree of confidence that the site can deliver roughly 600 homes, rather that Hallam suggest that the word ‘approximately’ is added to the policy wording to reflect the potential for a degree of deviation (which could be upwards or downwards).
3.12. Background Paper 9A Housing Land Supply and Housing Trajectory sets out the anticipated annual delivery rates for housing over the RLDP. With regards to the ability of the site to deliver the number of homes it is allocated for in the RLDP plan period, the housing trajectory for the site reflects that the first completion date was pushed back from 2027/2028 to 2028/2029 since the consultation on the Preferred Strategy. This means that the whole site continues to be shown as being delivered within the RLDP plan period.
3.13. Hallam support and agree with the approach set out in the Draft Housing Trajectory and see it to be realistic and achievable based on their experience and subject to usual caveats around the condition of the market, RLDP progression, and swift determination of a planning application.
Affordable Housing
3.14. At present, Policy HG1 KS5 (like all of the standalone policies for the other four Key Sites), states that the site should provide a minimum of 210 affordable housing units. This figure is derived from 35% of the number of homes that the site is allocated for (600 homes).
3.15. Worded at present, a strict interpretation of this policy could be that 210 affordable units must be provided onsite regardless of the total number of homes that are proposed. For example, it could be interpreted as requiring a fixed number of affordable homes of 210 homes, even if the total number of homes that are proposed on the site is fewer than the 600 homes that the site is allocated for or, conversely, that only 210 homes should be delivered as affordable if more than 600 homes were to be delivered and the RLDP allocation exceeded.
3.16. Hallam recognise that this is not what the policy wording is seeking to achieve (and their viability work for the site is based on the site delivering 600 homes of which 35% are affordable) but suggest that its wording could be clarified by removing reference to a specific number of affordable homes for the site to deliver in favour of just the affordable housing percentage being noted in the policy.
3.17. Hallam also suggest that the requirement for affordable housing units to not be in clusters of more than 10 homes is removed and that the approach is for this to be considered on a site by site and case by case basis and with recognition that Policy HG5 (Affordable Housing Exception Sites) which can provide a framework for 100% affordable sites of more than 10 homes to be delivered. As an example, and in the case of Land to the West of St Athan, the “Land South of the B4265, St Athan” (Site ID 457) portion of the site is likely better suited to a mixed-use development alongside the future St Athan Railway Sation. This portion of the site is probably better suited to a flatted form of development (either above non-residential uses or as a block) which tend to be delivered as 100% affordable housing developments rather than comprising a mix of private and affordable housing.
Sustainable Transport and Highways
3.18. This part of the policy sets out expectations relating to sustainable transport and highways and there are a number of matters which Hallam wish to comment on.
3.19. As a starting point, Hallam support the delivery of St Athan Railway Station and therefore commits to its safeguarding. Likewise, Hallam recognise the potential suitability for the “Land Between the Railway Line and B4265, St Athan” (Site ID 458) site to accommodate a Welsh-Medium Secondary School and can also therefore commit to safeguarding land for the delivery of a pedestrian and cycle bridge over the railway line. Specific comments on Policy TR1 (Transport Proposals) and Policy CI3 (New Community Facilities) are made elsewhere in this Statement.
3.20. With regards to the Sustainable Transport and Highways section of Policy HG1 KS5, Hallam’s overall position is that a careful balance needs to be reached between the policy wording being explicit as to what highway works must be delivered and reserving consideration of this until planning application stage where the exact site capacity is better understood and a full Transport Assessment submitted.
3.21. At present, Hallam’s view is that the policy wording is overly explicit and suggest that it could be qualified through the addition of the following text before listing the offsite highways improvements:
‘Subject to the Strategic Transport Assessment and site-specific Transport Assessment submitted at planning application stage’.
3.22. Turning to the specific offsite highways measures that are listed within the policy wording, Hallam have four comments.
3.23. Firstly, it is suggested that the delivery of an active travel link along the B4265 between the site entrance and the Gileston Road junction should be secured via a financial contribution that is pooled with KS4 Church Farm. This reflects that the delivery of this link not only links Hallam’s site to other services in St Athan but also linking KS4 Church Farm to the services that are proposed and uses for which land is safeguarded within Hallam’s site. Clearly this is also to the benefit of existing residents of St Athan. This would reflect the approach that is proposed to be taking for the pooling of Section 106 monies for the delivery of an active travel route between St Athan and Llantwit Major.
3.24. Secondly, Hallam flag the need for the RLDP to be sufficiently flexible with regards to the delivery of an active travel link between St Athan and Llantwit Major. Ultimately, the purpose of delivering this active travel route would be to provide a connection from St Athan to Llantwit Major Railway Station and the delivery of a Railway Station in St Athan would remove the necessity of delivering this active travel connection. Hallam’s suggested amendments to the policy wording seeks to reflect this.
3.25. Thirdly, Hallam have been consistent in highlighting that, whilst there is an aspiration to deliver an improved pedestrian link along Llantwit Road, a combination of the road width and the extent of third party ownerships make delivering a continuous link very challenging with a pragmatic approach instead needing to take place that recognises the ability to deliver betterments but acknowledges that delivering a continuous link is unlikely to be possible. Hallam has suggested additional wording to clarify this.
3.26. Fourthly, Hallam highlight that the designing of a loop road within the site to facilitate access by a bus may be superfluous and represent an over-engineered solution given the potential for the St Athan Transport Interchange that land is safeguarded for under Policy TR1 (Transport Proposals) is envisaged to accommodate infrastructure to accommodate a bus connection. On that basis, it is suggested that the following clause is added to the policy wording to reflect that bus connectivity to the site may be delivered not via an internal bus loop:
‘Subject to progress on the St Athan Transport Interchange as land is safeguarded for under Policy TR1 (Transport Proposals)’
Community Infrastructure
3.27. There are three points which Hallam wish to make in connection to this element of Policy HG1 KS5.
3.28. Firstly, Hallam suggest that the wording of the part of the policy relating to financial contributions to fund the delivery of additional school places needs to be adjusted. At present this part of the policy is worded as if there is an automatic requirement to provide Section 106 monies for school places where Circular 13/97 is clear that a contribution should only be sought where the schools do not have current projected capacity to accommodate the new children from the development. Hallam’s proposed adjustments seek to ensure that this part of the policy reflects this though note that Background Paper 43 Education forecasts a need for a financial contribution to be made for additional school places at all English and Welsh primary and secondary schools that the site is within the catchment of.
3.29. Secondly, Hallam note that Table 10 of Background Paper 34 Community Facilities identifies an existing over-provision of community space within the St Athan Ward of 778sqm and a surplus of 531sqm of community floorspace at 2036 when the level of housing to be allocated in the Deposit RLDP is delivered. It is understood that this is on the basis of no community floorspace being delivered as part of Hallam’s proposals or as part of the KS4 Church Farm site. Hallam suggest that the wording of this element of the policy needs to reflect that community floorspace should only be required to be provided in the case of a local shortage in provision. Aligned to this, Hallam also suggest that the reference to specifically providing a ‘community building’ is adjusted to instead make reference to ‘community space’. This reflects that the community space element of scheme, if indeed it is actually required, could be a part of a larger mixed-use building (probably in the Mixed-Use / Community area) rather than as a standalone building.
3.30. Thirdly, Hallam note the error in the wording of the sixth bullet point under the ‘Sustainable Transport and Highways’ heading where reference is made to the safeguarding of land on the southern side of the railway line as being identified in Policy CI3(2) where-as it should be Policy CI3(6). This is a minor amendment that should be made to ensure consistency.
Green Infrastructure, Recreation Spaces, and Biodiversity
3.31. The masterplan prepared by PAD Design and submitted by Hallam shows the site delivering a mix of public open space and green infrastructure including the provision of allotments, a Neighbourhood Equipped Area of Play, a Local Equipped Area of Play, and a sports pitch. This is welcomed in Background Paper 32A Green Infrastructure Assessment of Key Sites which, at Paragraph 5.55 recognises that a ‘ground up’ approach has been taken in the masterplanning approach.
3.32. This is shown indicatively to illustrate the composition of public open space and green infrastructure that the site could provide alongside the other elements of built development that the site is allocated and the masterplan makes provision for.
3.33. Whilst, Hallam recognise the need to provide public open space, the starting point for this should be the Fields In Trust Standards and Hallam therefore suggest an approach where the policy wording is not specific about what forms this should take.

Policy TR1 (Transport Proposals)
4.1. This policy identifies three active travel routes and two public transport schemes that the Deposit RLDP safeguards land for, as well as three highway improvement schemes that are identified as being required to mitigate the impact of development. Two of these are in St Athan – one being the St Athan Transport Interchange for which land is safeguarded for and the second being the Gileston Road Junction which is identified as a required highway improvement. Both are considered in turn below.
St Athan Transport Interchange
4.2. Hallam support the safeguarding of land for the St Athan Transport Interchange and see that its delivery would be to the benefit of the Key Site itself but also more broadly to St Athan and western parts of the VoG.
4.3. It is clear from discussions with Transport for Wales that there is a strong business case for the delivery of a railway station and that the creation of “critical mass” through residential development around it has a key role in driving its delivery, as does the nationally significant economic role that the Bro Tathan Enterprise Zone has and the Aberthaw Green Energy Park will have. The proximity of St Athan to both of these hubs clearly contributes to its fundamental sustainability and suitability for growth whilst the further development of a critical mass of housing and employment generating uses will further support linkages between them and strengthen the business case for a new railway station at St Athan. This is reflected in TFW’s ‘Today, Tomorrow, Together: A Vision for Rail Across Wales and the Borders’ which confirms that the delivery of St Athan Railway Station remains in TFW’s pipeline which has been endorsed by the Westminster Government.
4.4. The location that is identified on the Proposals Map is Transport for Wales’ preferred location within the site and has been incorporated into the masterplanning approach which seeks to create a node around it by incorporating a bus interchange and a mix of uses.
4.5. At present, the Proposals Map identifies the location of the Railway Station using a red star which is positioned on the railway line itself but without the required land take not spatially being defined.
4.6. Whilst Hallam recognise that the exact land take required will need to be refined further through discussion with TFW, it may be the case that the mixed-use element on this portion of the site comes forward before the Railway Station.
4.7. The early delivery of these elements should be welcomed as clearly the mixed-use element both enhances the range of services and facilities in St Athan but also would mean that the Railway Station is integrated upon delivery.
4.8. On that basis, it is imperative that the safeguarding of land for the Transport Interchange is limited only to that land required to deliver the Transport Interchange and is done in such a way such the safeguarding does not sterilise non-transport related development from this portion of the site until the Railway Station has been delivered.
Gileston Road Junction, St Athan
4.9. Paragraphs 6.199 and 6.200 relate to the expectation that vehicle trips as a result of RLDP allocations in St Athan are anticipated to trigger the need to upgrade the Gileston Road Junction to a signal-controlled arrangement. This is informed by the conclusions of Table 3 of the Strategic Transport Assessment which forecasts that the junction will be operating above capacity during both the weekday AM and PM peak by the RLDP’s end point.
4.10. Hallam note that Technical Note 08 of the Strategic Transport Assessment identifies that the improvements to the Gileston Road Junction are to be delivered by VoG and funded through financial contributions from seven sites that the RLDP proposes to allocate.
4.11. Improvements to this junction are to be funded by a number of sites; however it is unclear whether (and if so, when) forward funding will be secured by the Council and clearly there cannot be a situation where none of the sites can deliver homes until strategic highways works are funded / completed. We therefore seek further clarification over the phasing of these works and note that early delivery of homes ahead of strategic highway improvements is likely to be important for deliverability of each strategic site.
4.12. To respond to Hallam’s above comments, one approach could be for references to highway improvement works to be entirely removed from this policy or, if they are to remain, that qualifying text is added to note that the need for and format of any improvements will be subject to detailed consideration at planning application stage and that such contributions must be justified in planning terms, particularly where (in the case of Pen Y Turnpike Road and Waycock Cross for Land to the West of St Athan), the distance from a site and the junction to be improved is significant and therefore thee number of vehicle trips that would be generated modest.
4.13. This aligns with Hallam’s suggested approach to the specific wording of Policy HG1 KS5.

Policy CI1 (Open Space Provision)
5.1. This policy consists of four parts which, combined, dictate how open space should be provided. These parts of the policy set expectations for the level of public open space that should be provided for, confirm that provisions for open space should also be made for commercial uses, notes that it is expected that open space will be provided onsite, and requires that an open space strategy is submitted as part of applications where open space is required to be provided.
5.2. Hallam note that Policy CI1 (Open Space Provision) of the Deposit RLDP, when compared with Policy MD3 (Provision of Open Space) of the adopted LDP, proposes an increase in public open space provision from a total of 2.4ha / 1000 people to 2.75ha / 1000 people.
5.3. Hallam is not clear as to what has driven the increased level of public open space that Policy CI1 (Open Space Provision) identifies as being required and would welcome clarification on this matter.

Policy CI3 (New Community Facilities)
6.1. As well as allocating land for five new or improved education developments, this policy safeguards ‘Land South of the Railway Line, St Athan’ for the delivery of a Welsh-medium secondary school.
6.2. This policy is clearly of interest to Hallam because Paragraph 6.250 places a requirement for the safeguarding of land on the northern side of the railway line on their Land to the West of St Athan Key Site for a footbridge to land on.
6.3. With the policy wording being intentionally light-touch, Paragraph 6.250 of the Deposit RLDP provides greater detail about the safeguarding of this land (and other paragraphs in the Deposit RLDP relate to other community facilities that Policy CI3 covers). It effectively does two things.
6.4. Firstly, it notes that the delivery of this school will require active travel improvements including the safeguarding of land for a pedestrian and cyclist footbridge over the railway line.
6.5. Secondly, it is clear that the safeguarding of this land is in response to a forecast increase in demand for Welsh-medium secondary school places across the whole of the VoG as a result of expanded capacity at Welsh-medium primary schools across the VoG. On this basis, it follows that this location has been selected as a preferred location because of its ability to serve the wider sub-region.
6.6. Hallam recognise that this site could be a suitable location for a Welsh Medium Secondary School and, as a principle, is agreeable to the safeguarding of land for the footbridge landing on the northern side of the railway line.
6.7. Paragraph 6.250 of the Deposit RLDP is clear that the delivery of a Welsh-Medium secondary school is in response to a regional / sub-regional demand rather than a local need as a result generated either by the development of Land West of St Athan or other emerging allocations within St Athan and it cannot be the case that Hallam are expected to make disproportionate contributions to either the delivery of the school or required active travel improvements just because they have control of the site or that it is next to the Key Site.

Policy CC1 (Residential Operational Net Zero Carbon Development)
7.1. The effect of this policy is to require new build development to achieve net-zero operational emissions. This is to be achieved through the following of the Energy Hierarchy for Planning with Policy CC1 (Residential Operational Net Zero Carbon Development) before the policy wording sets out space heating and energy use intensity standards to be met from RLDP adoption through to 2030 and then from 2030 onwards, and setting a requirement for on-site renewable electricity generation to have an output equivalent to annual energy consumption. The policy notes that this may not be technically feasible and, in these cases, requires that development maximises onsite renewable generation and / or connects or proposes to connect to a heat network and / or contributes to offsetting.
7.2. As a starting point, Hallam share the concerns expressed by the wider development industry that setting requirements above and beyond building regulations (the 2025 Future homes Standard) can present challenges. Building regulations are there as a mechanism to set fixed requirements that any development must achieve and the effect of introducing requirements to go beyond this will result in an uneven framework for housebuilders, significantly adding cost and reducing certainty.
7.3. The justification for using planning policy to set requirements exceeding building regulations is set out in Section 7 of Background Paper 33A Net Zero Buildings and throughout Background Paper 33 Net Zero Buildings Feasibility Study and Cost Assessment and centres on the fact that there is a precedent for such policies in both adopted and emerging policies.
7.4. There are two points to be made by Hallam here:
7.5. Firstly, a Written Ministerial Statement by then Housing and Planning Minister Lee Rowley made clear that it was not for Local Plans to set local energy efficiency standards that go beyond the requirements of building regulations with Inspectors to take this position at Local Plan examination stage that such an approach would not be sound. This Written Ministerial Statement was subject to an unsuccessful judicial review.
7.6. Clearly this is the position of the Westminster Government rather than the Welsh Government but the point is that it is wrong to suggest that there is a clear approach emerging in England for Local Plans to incorporate such policies when the Written Ministerial Statement warns Local Plans against setting energy efficiency targets that are stricter than building regulations. Where there are existing Local Plans in England that take this approach, they do not align with the Westminster Government’s position and there will be no Local Plans emerging including such policies.
7.7. Turning to a Wales context, whilst it may be the case that other local planning authorities are considering or looking into the use of such policies, it is worth noting that the two South East Wales local planning authorities which have adopted RLDPs (Bridgend and Merthyr Tydfil) do not include such policies and therefore that can be no confidence that the incorporation of such a policy approach will be found to be sound at Examination stage.
7.8. Secondly, Hallam have concerns with the approach that has been taken with regards to viability.
7.9. From Hallam’s review, a figure for achieving the requirements of Policy CC1 (Residential Operational Net Zero Carbon Development) is based on an analysis of three separate house type typologies as presented in Figure 4 of Background Paper 33A Net Zero Buildings. Background Paper 33A Net Zero Buildings is dated November 2025 but Background Paper 33 Net Zero Buildings Feasibility Study and Cost Assessment is from January 2024.
7.10. As a starting point, the figures for achieving this upgrade have been used by Hallam in the undertaking of the Development Viability Model with the development of the site found to continue to be viable with these incorporated. This is important as it demonstrates that, whilst Hallam do not believe such a policy approach should be taken, the development of the site at the time of the completion of the Development Viability Model for the site is viable whilst meeting the requirements of Policy CC1 (Residential Operational Net Zero Carbon Development).
7.11. Hallam’s concern is around the robustness of an approach that considers only three building typologies and does not carry out the exercise for a far broader range of house types that are deployed by all of the active housebuilders (both market and affordable) across Wales. This concern is particularly exacerbated by the fact that, as recognised at Paragraph 6.47 of Background Paper 42 Viability Assessment, takes the lowest estimate for the works required to achieve these policy expectations, Savills’ experience – both that of their development land team based in Wales and their environmental sustainability team based across England - is that in reality the cost associated with delivering these standards is in reality far higher and closer to the £15,000 or £20,000 per unit mark.
7.12. Taking the above together, not only is the approach proposed to be taken in Policy CC1 (Residential Operational Net Zero Carbon Development) out of line with the approach that is to be taken in England and the approach that has been taken in Wales, it is considered that there is insufficient certainty around the ability for these works to be delivered when they are required to be without harming viability.

Policy DNP3 (Glamorgan Heritage Coast)
8.1. This policy relates to the Glamorgan Heritage Coast, identifying a series of land uses that are permissible within the policy area before setting three tests that must be satisfied for development within the Glamorgan Heritage Coast to be permissible where there is an adverse environmental impact.
8.2. Hallam note that the ‘Land South of the B4265, St Athan’ portion of the land that they control is both proposed to be retained as part of the Glamorgan Heritage Coast (a continuation of the position taken in the adopted LDP) whilst also forming part of the Land to the West of St Athan Key Site where the masterplan at Figure 17 shows it as accommodating the potential new railway station and a mixed-use area (including car parking).
8.3. The relevant extract of the Proposals Map is replicated below:
8.4. The exact composition of the buildings proposed on this portion will require further refinement and will need to be driven by occupier requirements, but the masterplanning work undertaken by pad Design envisages that they could provide a mix of retail and food and drink uses most likely across some or all of the ground floor, alongside workshop, co-working or office incubator space at upper floor levels and perhaps at ground floor level. There could also be the potential for additional homes, likely in the form of apartments at upper floors, as part of a mix of uses. It is realistic therefore to anticipate that this portion of the site will accommodate buildings of up to three or four storeys with a high plot ratio to reflect the uses and supporting infrastructure that it is to accommodate.
8.5. Hallam’s position is that the continued inclusion of this parcel of land as part of the wider Glamorgan Heritage Coast is inappropriate for two reasons.
8.6. Firstly, and its most basic level, the approach of allocating the site for development whilst retaining a designation that inherently seeks to restrict the type, form, and quantum of development, is wholly contradictory.
8.7. Designation of this portion of the site as part of the Glamorgan Heritage Coast will mean, given that the uses that Figure 17 envisages as being delivered on the site are not those that the first part of Policy DNP3 (Glamorgan Heritage Coast) allows for, any application for development will need to demonstrate that there is a compelling need for the development, that the benefits outweigh the harm, and that appropriate mitigation measures are in place. This the potential to prejudice its development or, at very least, greatly impact how it is developed whilst requiring.
8.8. Secondly, it is difficult to see how this land warrants ongoing inclusion within the designated Glamorgan Heritage Coast. This is something that is considered in more detail in the Review of Landscape Character and Visual Amenity (December 2022) prepared by FPCR and submitted as part of the Call for Sites (and also available as part of the consultation on the Deposit RLDP as a piece of Key Site Supporting Information). Paragraph 5.13 of the FPCR document concludes on this piece of land that:
‘Through the fieldwork it is considered that the Site does not display any “special environmental qualities” identified by the Policy and plays no intrinsic role in the Policy designation, as it is effectively forms a rather ordinary grazing field. It is influenced by the urbanising elements of the adjacent B4265, the Railway Line, the Tarmac Cement works, and to some degree the built edge of St Athan. Furthermore, it is bound and contained by trees and woodland beside the railway line, which prevents wider intervisibility with the coastline.’
8.9. Taking the above together, Hallam suggest that the preparation of the RLDP provides the opportunity to define the extent of the Glamorgan Heritage Coast to respond to both the landscape value of certain sites but also the wider aspirations of the RLDP. If it is not within the gift of VoG to redefine the boundaries of the Glamorgan Heritage Coast through the RLDP then Hallam suggest that an additional element could be added to this policy to confirm that it does not apply to land which is allocated for development.

Appendix A - rewording of Policy HG1 KS5

1.1. Savills is instructed by Hallam Land (‘Hallam’) to respond to the consultation on the Deposit version of the Replacement Local Development Plan (‘RLDP’) by the Vale of Glamorgan Council (‘VoG’).
1.2. Hallam is the strategic land arm of Henry Boot PLC and is one of the UK’s most well established and successful land promoters. Hallam operates throughout England, Scotland and Wales from 7 regional offices working with landowners, developers, local authorities, communities and other parties to bring forward development opportunities. Hallam has been in operation since 1990, specialising in obtaining planning permission and delivering development larger schemes including new communities and urban extensions.
Background to Representations
1.3. The Preferred Strategy was published in November 2023. The Preferred Strategy identified “Land West of St Athan” and “Land South of the B4265, St Athan” (Site IDs 456 and 457) as one of five Key Sites in the Preferred Strategy. Both of these sites are under the control of Hallam and were submitted as part of the Call for Sites. A site-specific illustrative masterplan and policy wording were provided under Policy SP4 KS5 (Land to the West of St Athan).
1.4. Hallam submitted representations on the consultation on the Preferred Strategy. These representations were very much supportive of the identification of “Land to the West of St Athan” as a Key Site and the approach that was taken more generally taken in the Preferred Strategy.
Approach to Responding to Consultation
1.5. The VoG has published the Deposit version of the RLDP. The Deposit is the first version of the RLDP to include emerging allocations, and detailed development management policies, as well as a Proposals Map. It is accompanied by a substantial evidence base which includes various supporting technical documentation submitted as part of the promotion of the allocated sites.
1.6. Building upon the Preferred Strategy, the Deposit RLDP proposes to allocate Land to the West of St Athan as a Key Site. The site is identified under Policy HG1 KS5 (Land to the West of St Athan) as key mixed-use site with capacity for 600 new homes alongside new community and commercial facilities.
1.7. Hallam’s representation to this consultation broadly splits into three separate sections:
• It offers general support for the housing requirement, growth strategy and settlement hierarchy. This is covered in Chapter 2 of this Statement;
• It wholly supports the approach of allocating Land to the West of St Athan as part of the Deposit RLDP whilst also providing detailed commentary on the specific wording of Policy HG1 KS5 (Land to the West of St Athan). This is covered in Chapter 3 of this Statement; and
• It provides commentary on a range of development management policies. This is covered in Chapters 4, 5, 6, and 7 of this Statement.
1.8. As well as this Statement, Savills has provided commentary on these specific policies under the VoG’s consultation website.

Policy SP1 (Sustainable Growth Strategy), Policy SP2 (Settlement Hierarchy), and Policy SP6 (Housing Requirement)
2.1. Together, these policies have the effect of:
• Setting the housing requirement to be delivered over the RLDP plan period of 7,890 homes with a flexibility allowance applied on top so that provision is made for a total of 8,660 homes. This is the same housing requirement to that included in the Preferred Strategy which was found by Welsh Government to be in conformity with Future Wales (Policies SP1 and SP6);
• Identifying the extent of the Strategic Growth Area as the primary focus of new housing growth. Concentrations of new housing are focussed in those locations served by existing transport routes and where there are opportunities to enhance sustainable transport connectivity. St Athan is a specifically named settlement within the Strategic Growth Area (Policy SP1); and
• Identifying St Athan as a Primary Settlement in the third tier of the settlement hierarchy. This is the same tier of the settlement hierarchy as St Athan is in the adopted LDP (Policy SP2).
2.2. Hallam are generally supportive of the aims of these three policies.
2.3. They recognise that the housing requirement has been subject to extensive scrutiny and been found to be appropriate by Welsh Government in response to the Preferred Strategy. In that sense, there is nothing further for Hallam Land to comment upon here other than to note that it should reasonably be seen as the minimum number of homes that the RLDP should be aiming to deliver, particularly following the publication of the 2022-based household projections between Welsh Government’s comments on the Preferred strategy and the publication of the Preferred Strategy.
2.4. The strategy – of focussing new housing in those locations served by existing transport routes and where there are opportunities to enhance sustainable transport connectivity – is wholly supported. St Athan is clearly already a sustainable location for growth and its sustainability and connectivity have clear potential to enhance alongside further development. The delivery of growth in St Athan is therefore considered to firmly align with the RLDP’s strategy.
2.5. The continued positioning of St Athan as a Primary Settlement in the third tier of the settlement hierarchy is considered appropriate though clearly the delivery of two Key Sites within St Athan as part of the RLDP has the potential to further elevate its position in the future. This is reflected in Table 10 of Background Paper 5 Settlement Appraisal Review where St Athan is given one of the higher scores of the Primary settlements.

Policy HG1 KS5 (Land to the West of St Athan)
3.1. Policy HG1 (Housing Allocations) identifies those sites that are to be allocated to meet the housing requirement of 7,890 homes that is set out in Policy SP1 (Sustainable Growth Strategy) and Policy SP6 (Housing Requirement) of the RLDP. As well as the existing landbank and an allowance for windfalls, Policy HG1 notes that this requirement will be met through a mix of Key Sites, conventional housing allocations, housing-led regeneration opportunities, and rural affordable housing led sites.
3.2. There is a standalone separate policy for each of the five Key Sites that are identified in Policy HG1 (Housing Allocations). Each separate Key Site policy identifies what the site is proposed to be allocated for before providing setting out expectations of how each Key Site should come forward – both in terms of land uses that should be delivered and constraints and opportunities needing to be responded to – that are framed under a series of sub-headings. A masterplan sits alongside each Key Site policy whilst a package of supporting documentation for each Key Site submitted by the site promoter is also made available as part of the consultation on the Deposit RLDP.
3.3. The relevant policy for Land to the West of St Athan is Policy HG1 KS5.
3.4. As a starting point, Hallam wholeheartedly support the allocation of Land to the West of St Athan as a Key Site within the RLDP. Hallam made a comprehensive submission as part of the Call for Sites stage and since then have worked proactively with the VoG and other stakeholders to demonstrate that the site is suitable, deliverable, and viable. It’s identification as a Key Site in the Deposit RLDP represents extensive and thorough assessment – its proposed allocated is therefore considered to be sound and firmly evidence based.
3.5. So that the policy functions as effectively as possible, Hallam has a small number of comments and included at Appendix A is a re-worded version of Policy HG1 KS5 which incorporates those changes with text suggested to be removed crossed through and text to be added shown underlined.
3.6. These proposed adjustments are considered in turn below and are structured around the sub-headings that are contained within the policy wording itself.
Site Capacity and Housing Trajectory
3.7. Extensive environmental and technical work has been undertaken by Hallam to support the promotion of the site and the development of a masterplan (and site capacity) that responds to the site’s constraints and opportunities.
3.8. That said, Hallam is not a housebuilder and once an outline planning application has progressed, Hallam will identify a development partner (which could be a single or multiple housebuilders / housing associations). Clearly different housebuilders have different house types and differing approaches to density.
3.9. In addition, whilst a lot of technical and environmental work has been undertaken to date, clearly further technical work would be submitted at planning application stage which would further validate the site’s capacity.
3.10. Legislative and guidance changes also have the potential to impact a site capacity. Whilst the masterplanning process has been prepared to be SAB compliant, the impact of the introduction of the requirement to secure SAB approval has had an impact on site capacity and it follows that a further, and as yet unknown, legislative or guidance change could have a similar impact.
3.11. This is not to suggest that there isn’t a high degree of confidence that the site can deliver roughly 600 homes, rather that Hallam suggest that the word ‘approximately’ is added to the policy wording to reflect the potential for a degree of deviation (which could be upwards or downwards).
3.12. Background Paper 9A Housing Land Supply and Housing Trajectory sets out the anticipated annual delivery rates for housing over the RLDP. With regards to the ability of the site to deliver the number of homes it is allocated for in the RLDP plan period, the housing trajectory for the site reflects that the first completion date was pushed back from 2027/2028 to 2028/2029 since the consultation on the Preferred Strategy. This means that the whole site continues to be shown as being delivered within the RLDP plan period.
3.13. Hallam support and agree with the approach set out in the Draft Housing Trajectory and see it to be realistic and achievable based on their experience and subject to usual caveats around the condition of the market, RLDP progression, and swift determination of a planning application.
Affordable Housing
3.14. At present, Policy HG1 KS5 (like all of the standalone policies for the other four Key Sites), states that the site should provide a minimum of 210 affordable housing units. This figure is derived from 35% of the number of homes that the site is allocated for (600 homes).
3.15. Worded at present, a strict interpretation of this policy could be that 210 affordable units must be provided onsite regardless of the total number of homes that are proposed. For example, it could be interpreted as requiring a fixed number of affordable homes of 210 homes, even if the total number of homes that are proposed on the site is fewer than the 600 homes that the site is allocated for or, conversely, that only 210 homes should be delivered as affordable if more than 600 homes were to be delivered and the RLDP allocation exceeded.
3.16. Hallam recognise that this is not what the policy wording is seeking to achieve (and their viability work for the site is based on the site delivering 600 homes of which 35% are affordable) but suggest that its wording could be clarified by removing reference to a specific number of affordable homes for the site to deliver in favour of just the affordable housing percentage being noted in the policy.
3.17. Hallam also suggest that the requirement for affordable housing units to not be in clusters of more than 10 homes is removed and that the approach is for this to be considered on a site by site and case by case basis and with recognition that Policy HG5 (Affordable Housing Exception Sites) which can provide a framework for 100% affordable sites of more than 10 homes to be delivered. As an example, and in the case of Land to the West of St Athan, the “Land South of the B4265, St Athan” (Site ID 457) portion of the site is likely better suited to a mixed-use development alongside the future St Athan Railway Sation. This portion of the site is probably better suited to a flatted form of development (either above non-residential uses or as a block) which tend to be delivered as 100% affordable housing developments rather than comprising a mix of private and affordable housing.
Sustainable Transport and Highways
3.18. This part of the policy sets out expectations relating to sustainable transport and highways and there are a number of matters which Hallam wish to comment on.
3.19. As a starting point, Hallam support the delivery of St Athan Railway Station and therefore commits to its safeguarding. Likewise, Hallam recognise the potential suitability for the “Land Between the Railway Line and B4265, St Athan” (Site ID 458) site to accommodate a Welsh-Medium Secondary School and can also therefore commit to safeguarding land for the delivery of a pedestrian and cycle bridge over the railway line. Specific comments on Policy TR1 (Transport Proposals) and Policy CI3 (New Community Facilities) are made elsewhere in this Statement.
3.20. With regards to the Sustainable Transport and Highways section of Policy HG1 KS5, Hallam’s overall position is that a careful balance needs to be reached between the policy wording being explicit as to what highway works must be delivered and reserving consideration of this until planning application stage where the exact site capacity is better understood and a full Transport Assessment submitted.
3.21. At present, Hallam’s view is that the policy wording is overly explicit and suggest that it could be qualified through the addition of the following text before listing the offsite highways improvements:
‘Subject to the Strategic Transport Assessment and site-specific Transport Assessment submitted at planning application stage’.
3.22. Turning to the specific offsite highways measures that are listed within the policy wording, Hallam have four comments.
3.23. Firstly, it is suggested that the delivery of an active travel link along the B4265 between the site entrance and the Gileston Road junction should be secured via a financial contribution that is pooled with KS4 Church Farm. This reflects that the delivery of this link not only links Hallam’s site to other services in St Athan but also linking KS4 Church Farm to the services that are proposed and uses for which land is safeguarded within Hallam’s site. Clearly this is also to the benefit of existing residents of St Athan. This would reflect the approach that is proposed to be taking for the pooling of Section 106 monies for the delivery of an active travel route between St Athan and Llantwit Major.
3.24. Secondly, Hallam flag the need for the RLDP to be sufficiently flexible with regards to the delivery of an active travel link between St Athan and Llantwit Major. Ultimately, the purpose of delivering this active travel route would be to provide a connection from St Athan to Llantwit Major Railway Station and the delivery of a Railway Station in St Athan would remove the necessity of delivering this active travel connection. Hallam’s suggested amendments to the policy wording seeks to reflect this.
3.25. Thirdly, Hallam have been consistent in highlighting that, whilst there is an aspiration to deliver an improved pedestrian link along Llantwit Road, a combination of the road width and the extent of third party ownerships make delivering a continuous link very challenging with a pragmatic approach instead needing to take place that recognises the ability to deliver betterments but acknowledges that delivering a continuous link is unlikely to be possible. Hallam has suggested additional wording to clarify this.
3.26. Fourthly, Hallam highlight that the designing of a loop road within the site to facilitate access by a bus may be superfluous and represent an over-engineered solution given the potential for the St Athan Transport Interchange that land is safeguarded for under Policy TR1 (Transport Proposals) is envisaged to accommodate infrastructure to accommodate a bus connection. On that basis, it is suggested that the following clause is added to the policy wording to reflect that bus connectivity to the site may be delivered not via an internal bus loop:
‘Subject to progress on the St Athan Transport Interchange as land is safeguarded for under Policy TR1 (Transport Proposals)’
Community Infrastructure
3.27. There are three points which Hallam wish to make in connection to this element of Policy HG1 KS5.
3.28. Firstly, Hallam suggest that the wording of the part of the policy relating to financial contributions to fund the delivery of additional school places needs to be adjusted. At present this part of the policy is worded as if there is an automatic requirement to provide Section 106 monies for school places where Circular 13/97 is clear that a contribution should only be sought where the schools do not have current projected capacity to accommodate the new children from the development. Hallam’s proposed adjustments seek to ensure that this part of the policy reflects this though note that Background Paper 43 Education forecasts a need for a financial contribution to be made for additional school places at all English and Welsh primary and secondary schools that the site is within the catchment of.
3.29. Secondly, Hallam note that Table 10 of Background Paper 34 Community Facilities identifies an existing over-provision of community space within the St Athan Ward of 778sqm and a surplus of 531sqm of community floorspace at 2036 when the level of housing to be allocated in the Deposit RLDP is delivered. It is understood that this is on the basis of no community floorspace being delivered as part of Hallam’s proposals or as part of the KS4 Church Farm site. Hallam suggest that the wording of this element of the policy needs to reflect that community floorspace should only be required to be provided in the case of a local shortage in provision. Aligned to this, Hallam also suggest that the reference to specifically providing a ‘community building’ is adjusted to instead make reference to ‘community space’. This reflects that the community space element of scheme, if indeed it is actually required, could be a part of a larger mixed-use building (probably in the Mixed-Use / Community area) rather than as a standalone building.
3.30. Thirdly, Hallam note the error in the wording of the sixth bullet point under the ‘Sustainable Transport and Highways’ heading where reference is made to the safeguarding of land on the southern side of the railway line as being identified in Policy CI3(2) where-as it should be Policy CI3(6). This is a minor amendment that should be made to ensure consistency.
Green Infrastructure, Recreation Spaces, and Biodiversity
3.31. The masterplan prepared by PAD Design and submitted by Hallam shows the site delivering a mix of public open space and green infrastructure including the provision of allotments, a Neighbourhood Equipped Area of Play, a Local Equipped Area of Play, and a sports pitch. This is welcomed in Background Paper 32A Green Infrastructure Assessment of Key Sites which, at Paragraph 5.55 recognises that a ‘ground up’ approach has been taken in the masterplanning approach.
3.32. This is shown indicatively to illustrate the composition of public open space and green infrastructure that the site could provide alongside the other elements of built development that the site is allocated and the masterplan makes provision for.
3.33. Whilst, Hallam recognise the need to provide public open space, the starting point for this should be the Fields In Trust Standards and Hallam therefore suggest an approach where the policy wording is not specific about what forms this should take.

Policy TR1 (Transport Proposals)
4.1. This policy identifies three active travel routes and two public transport schemes that the Deposit RLDP safeguards land for, as well as three highway improvement schemes that are identified as being required to mitigate the impact of development. Two of these are in St Athan – one being the St Athan Transport Interchange for which land is safeguarded for and the second being the Gileston Road Junction which is identified as a required highway improvement. Both are considered in turn below.
St Athan Transport Interchange
4.2. Hallam support the safeguarding of land for the St Athan Transport Interchange and see that its delivery would be to the benefit of the Key Site itself but also more broadly to St Athan and western parts of the VoG.
4.3. It is clear from discussions with Transport for Wales that there is a strong business case for the delivery of a railway station and that the creation of “critical mass” through residential development around it has a key role in driving its delivery, as does the nationally significant economic role that the Bro Tathan Enterprise Zone has and the Aberthaw Green Energy Park will have. The proximity of St Athan to both of these hubs clearly contributes to its fundamental sustainability and suitability for growth whilst the further development of a critical mass of housing and employment generating uses will further support linkages between them and strengthen the business case for a new railway station at St Athan. This is reflected in TFW’s ‘Today, Tomorrow, Together: A Vision for Rail Across Wales and the Borders’ which confirms that the delivery of St Athan Railway Station remains in TFW’s pipeline which has been endorsed by the Westminster Government.
4.4. The location that is identified on the Proposals Map is Transport for Wales’ preferred location within the site and has been incorporated into the masterplanning approach which seeks to create a node around it by incorporating a bus interchange and a mix of uses.
4.5. At present, the Proposals Map identifies the location of the Railway Station using a red star which is positioned on the railway line itself but without the required land take not spatially being defined.
4.6. Whilst Hallam recognise that the exact land take required will need to be refined further through discussion with TFW, it may be the case that the mixed-use element on this portion of the site comes forward before the Railway Station.
4.7. The early delivery of these elements should be welcomed as clearly the mixed-use element both enhances the range of services and facilities in St Athan but also would mean that the Railway Station is integrated upon delivery.
4.8. On that basis, it is imperative that the safeguarding of land for the Transport Interchange is limited only to that land required to deliver the Transport Interchange and is done in such a way such the safeguarding does not sterilise non-transport related development from this portion of the site until the Railway Station has been delivered.
Gileston Road Junction, St Athan
4.9. Paragraphs 6.199 and 6.200 relate to the expectation that vehicle trips as a result of RLDP allocations in St Athan are anticipated to trigger the need to upgrade the Gileston Road Junction to a signal-controlled arrangement. This is informed by the conclusions of Table 3 of the Strategic Transport Assessment which forecasts that the junction will be operating above capacity during both the weekday AM and PM peak by the RLDP’s end point.
4.10. Hallam note that Technical Note 08 of the Strategic Transport Assessment identifies that the improvements to the Gileston Road Junction are to be delivered by VoG and funded through financial contributions from seven sites that the RLDP proposes to allocate.
4.11. Improvements to this junction are to be funded by a number of sites; however it is unclear whether (and if so, when) forward funding will be secured by the Council and clearly there cannot be a situation where none of the sites can deliver homes until strategic highways works are funded / completed. We therefore seek further clarification over the phasing of these works and note that early delivery of homes ahead of strategic highway improvements is likely to be important for deliverability of each strategic site.
4.12. To respond to Hallam’s above comments, one approach could be for references to highway improvement works to be entirely removed from this policy or, if they are to remain, that qualifying text is added to note that the need for and format of any improvements will be subject to detailed consideration at planning application stage and that such contributions must be justified in planning terms, particularly where (in the case of Pen Y Turnpike Road and Waycock Cross for Land to the West of St Athan), the distance from a site and the junction to be improved is significant and therefore thee number of vehicle trips that would be generated modest.
4.13. This aligns with Hallam’s suggested approach to the specific wording of Policy HG1 KS5.

Policy CI1 (Open Space Provision)
5.1. This policy consists of four parts which, combined, dictate how open space should be provided. These parts of the policy set expectations for the level of public open space that should be provided for, confirm that provisions for open space should also be made for commercial uses, notes that it is expected that open space will be provided onsite, and requires that an open space strategy is submitted as part of applications where open space is required to be provided.
5.2. Hallam note that Policy CI1 (Open Space Provision) of the Deposit RLDP, when compared with Policy MD3 (Provision of Open Space) of the adopted LDP, proposes an increase in public open space provision from a total of 2.4ha / 1000 people to 2.75ha / 1000 people.
5.3. Hallam is not clear as to what has driven the increased level of public open space that Policy CI1 (Open Space Provision) identifies as being required and would welcome clarification on this matter.

Policy CI3 (New Community Facilities)
6.1. As well as allocating land for five new or improved education developments, this policy safeguards ‘Land South of the Railway Line, St Athan’ for the delivery of a Welsh-medium secondary school.
6.2. This policy is clearly of interest to Hallam because Paragraph 6.250 places a requirement for the safeguarding of land on the northern side of the railway line on their Land to the West of St Athan Key Site for a footbridge to land on.
6.3. With the policy wording being intentionally light-touch, Paragraph 6.250 of the Deposit RLDP provides greater detail about the safeguarding of this land (and other paragraphs in the Deposit RLDP relate to other community facilities that Policy CI3 covers). It effectively does two things.
6.4. Firstly, it notes that the delivery of this school will require active travel improvements including the safeguarding of land for a pedestrian and cyclist footbridge over the railway line.
6.5. Secondly, it is clear that the safeguarding of this land is in response to a forecast increase in demand for Welsh-medium secondary school places across the whole of the VoG as a result of expanded capacity at Welsh-medium primary schools across the VoG. On this basis, it follows that this location has been selected as a preferred location because of its ability to serve the wider sub-region.
6.6. Hallam recognise that this site could be a suitable location for a Welsh Medium Secondary School and, as a principle, is agreeable to the safeguarding of land for the footbridge landing on the northern side of the railway line.
6.7. Paragraph 6.250 of the Deposit RLDP is clear that the delivery of a Welsh-Medium secondary school is in response to a regional / sub-regional demand rather than a local need as a result generated either by the development of Land West of St Athan or other emerging allocations within St Athan and it cannot be the case that Hallam are expected to make disproportionate contributions to either the delivery of the school or required active travel improvements just because they have control of the site or that it is next to the Key Site.

Policy CC1 (Residential Operational Net Zero Carbon Development)
7.1. The effect of this policy is to require new build development to achieve net-zero operational emissions. This is to be achieved through the following of the Energy Hierarchy for Planning with Policy CC1 (Residential Operational Net Zero Carbon Development) before the policy wording sets out space heating and energy use intensity standards to be met from RLDP adoption through to 2030 and then from 2030 onwards, and setting a requirement for on-site renewable electricity generation to have an output equivalent to annual energy consumption. The policy notes that this may not be technically feasible and, in these cases, requires that development maximises onsite renewable generation and / or connects or proposes to connect to a heat network and / or contributes to offsetting.
7.2. As a starting point, Hallam share the concerns expressed by the wider development industry that setting requirements above and beyond building regulations (the 2025 Future homes Standard) can present challenges. Building regulations are there as a mechanism to set fixed requirements that any development must achieve and the effect of introducing requirements to go beyond this will result in an uneven framework for housebuilders, significantly adding cost and reducing certainty.
7.3. The justification for using planning policy to set requirements exceeding building regulations is set out in Section 7 of Background Paper 33A Net Zero Buildings and throughout Background Paper 33 Net Zero Buildings Feasibility Study and Cost Assessment and centres on the fact that there is a precedent for such policies in both adopted and emerging policies.
7.4. There are two points to be made by Hallam here:
7.5. Firstly, a Written Ministerial Statement by then Housing and Planning Minister Lee Rowley made clear that it was not for Local Plans to set local energy efficiency standards that go beyond the requirements of building regulations with Inspectors to take this position at Local Plan examination stage that such an approach would not be sound. This Written Ministerial Statement was subject to an unsuccessful judicial review.
7.6. Clearly this is the position of the Westminster Government rather than the Welsh Government but the point is that it is wrong to suggest that there is a clear approach emerging in England for Local Plans to incorporate such policies when the Written Ministerial Statement warns Local Plans against setting energy efficiency targets that are stricter than building regulations. Where there are existing Local Plans in England that take this approach, they do not align with the Westminster Government’s position and there will be no Local Plans emerging including such policies.
7.7. Turning to a Wales context, whilst it may be the case that other local planning authorities are considering or looking into the use of such policies, it is worth noting that the two South East Wales local planning authorities which have adopted RLDPs (Bridgend and Merthyr Tydfil) do not include such policies and therefore that can be no confidence that the incorporation of such a policy approach will be found to be sound at Examination stage.
7.8. Secondly, Hallam have concerns with the approach that has been taken with regards to viability.
7.9. From Hallam’s review, a figure for achieving the requirements of Policy CC1 (Residential Operational Net Zero Carbon Development) is based on an analysis of three separate house type typologies as presented in Figure 4 of Background Paper 33A Net Zero Buildings. Background Paper 33A Net Zero Buildings is dated November 2025 but Background Paper 33 Net Zero Buildings Feasibility Study and Cost Assessment is from January 2024.
7.10. As a starting point, the figures for achieving this upgrade have been used by Hallam in the undertaking of the Development Viability Model with the development of the site found to continue to be viable with these incorporated. This is important as it demonstrates that, whilst Hallam do not believe such a policy approach should be taken, the development of the site at the time of the completion of the Development Viability Model for the site is viable whilst meeting the requirements of Policy CC1 (Residential Operational Net Zero Carbon Development).
7.11. Hallam’s concern is around the robustness of an approach that considers only three building typologies and does not carry out the exercise for a far broader range of house types that are deployed by all of the active housebuilders (both market and affordable) across Wales. This concern is particularly exacerbated by the fact that, as recognised at Paragraph 6.47 of Background Paper 42 Viability Assessment, takes the lowest estimate for the works required to achieve these policy expectations, Savills’ experience – both that of their development land team based in Wales and their environmental sustainability team based across England - is that in reality the cost associated with delivering these standards is in reality far higher and closer to the £15,000 or £20,000 per unit mark.
7.12. Taking the above together, not only is the approach proposed to be taken in Policy CC1 (Residential Operational Net Zero Carbon Development) out of line with the approach that is to be taken in England and the approach that has been taken in Wales, it is considered that there is insufficient certainty around the ability for these works to be delivered when they are required to be without harming viability.

Policy DNP3 (Glamorgan Heritage Coast)
8.1. This policy relates to the Glamorgan Heritage Coast, identifying a series of land uses that are permissible within the policy area before setting three tests that must be satisfied for development within the Glamorgan Heritage Coast to be permissible where there is an adverse environmental impact.
8.2. Hallam note that the ‘Land South of the B4265, St Athan’ portion of the land that they control is both proposed to be retained as part of the Glamorgan Heritage Coast (a continuation of the position taken in the adopted LDP) whilst also forming part of the Land to the West of St Athan Key Site where the masterplan at Figure 17 shows it as accommodating the potential new railway station and a mixed-use area (including car parking).
8.3. The relevant extract of the Proposals Map is replicated below:
8.4. The exact composition of the buildings proposed on this portion will require further refinement and will need to be driven by occupier requirements, but the masterplanning work undertaken by pad Design envisages that they could provide a mix of retail and food and drink uses most likely across some or all of the ground floor, alongside workshop, co-working or office incubator space at upper floor levels and perhaps at ground floor level. There could also be the potential for additional homes, likely in the form of apartments at upper floors, as part of a mix of uses. It is realistic therefore to anticipate that this portion of the site will accommodate buildings of up to three or four storeys with a high plot ratio to reflect the uses and supporting infrastructure that it is to accommodate.
8.5. Hallam’s position is that the continued inclusion of this parcel of land as part of the wider Glamorgan Heritage Coast is inappropriate for two reasons.
8.6. Firstly, and its most basic level, the approach of allocating the site for development whilst retaining a designation that inherently seeks to restrict the type, form, and quantum of development, is wholly contradictory.
8.7. Designation of this portion of the site as part of the Glamorgan Heritage Coast will mean, given that the uses that Figure 17 envisages as being delivered on the site are not those that the first part of Policy DNP3 (Glamorgan Heritage Coast) allows for, any application for development will need to demonstrate that there is a compelling need for the development, that the benefits outweigh the harm, and that appropriate mitigation measures are in place. This the potential to prejudice its development or, at very least, greatly impact how it is developed whilst requiring.
8.8. Secondly, it is difficult to see how this land warrants ongoing inclusion within the designated Glamorgan Heritage Coast. This is something that is considered in more detail in the Review of Landscape Character and Visual Amenity (December 2022) prepared by FPCR and submitted as part of the Call for Sites (and also available as part of the consultation on the Deposit RLDP as a piece of Key Site Supporting Information). Paragraph 5.13 of the FPCR document concludes on this piece of land that:
‘Through the fieldwork it is considered that the Site does not display any “special environmental qualities” identified by the Policy and plays no intrinsic role in the Policy designation, as it is effectively forms a rather ordinary grazing field. It is influenced by the urbanising elements of the adjacent B4265, the Railway Line, the Tarmac Cement works, and to some degree the built edge of St Athan. Furthermore, it is bound and contained by trees and woodland beside the railway line, which prevents wider intervisibility with the coastline.’
8.9. Taking the above together, Hallam suggest that the preparation of the RLDP provides the opportunity to define the extent of the Glamorgan Heritage Coast to respond to both the landscape value of certain sites but also the wider aspirations of the RLDP. If it is not within the gift of VoG to redefine the boundaries of the Glamorgan Heritage Coast through the RLDP then Hallam suggest that an additional element could be added to this policy to confirm that it does not apply to land which is allocated for development.

Appendix A - rewording of Policy HG1 KS5

ANNEX 1
Preface

This Annex sets out the detailed case in support of these representations, and by association the case for allocation of the site.

The representations are structured into the following sections:

1. Response to the Deposit Plan;
2. Comments on specific policies; and
3. A summary of the suitability of the site for development.

SECTION 1. Response to the Deposit Plan

Distribution of Growth

We object to the distribution of growth within the Deposit Plan. Specifically, we object to the strategy that underpins the Deposit Plan, which seeks to introduce the proposed ‘Strategic Growth Area’ which is expected to contain the majority of housing growth in the Vale over the Plan period, or rather the over-reliance on this defined area, and the associated absence of growth in other parts of the Plan area.

As outlined in our previous representations, the allocation of housing and the location of strategic growth neglects the Rural Vale, and in our view, overprovides in the Strategic Growth Area. For example, with limited housing stock and average house sales at over £500,000 over the last 12 months, there is a clear and established need for new homes in the Ystradowen area, particularly at an affordable level. This is reinforced by the Local Housing Market Assessment that identified a need for over 1,114 new affordable homes per annum over the next five years throughout the county, and 196 units per annum thereafter (average of 502 units per annum over 15 years). Further to this, it is widely known that the rural Vale comprises the majority of the county’s ageing population, which, as a demographic, has and will continue to grow rapidly over the Plan period. This is evident in the ‘Population Change’ chart below – which is taken from the Deposit Plan:
VofG Deposit Plan: Figure 4 Population Change 2011 to 2021

It is clearly the case that younger populations are migrating to other Authorities, where access to housing is typically cheaper and more affordable, whilst more older populations are significantly migrating into the Authority. This trend will result in an extremely unbalanced demographic, given that the working-age population have sought housing elsewhere.

Without a suitable supply of affordable housing delivered over the Plan period, this trend will only worsen. Accordingly, it is not considered that the RLDP takes into account the lack of supply of affordable homes within the rural Vale, as well as increased housing to support the growing ageing population within these areas.

Para 3.19 of the Deposit Plan clearly outlines that affordable housing is required in the short term, in order to meet pressing needs. Specifically, it outlines the following: “There is significant pressure on temporary accommodation in the Vale, for a variety of reasons including increased homelessness presentations… The need for sufficient permanent affordable housing to assist in moving people out of temporary accommodation is critical and the planning system has a vital role in assisting in new affordable housing delivery.”
Accordingly, the distribution of growth within the Authority must be proportionate, to ensure that populations / areas are not left behind where they must seek access to housing elsewhere.

The RLDP Sustainable Growth Strategy sets out 6 objectives. Objective 4 states: “Allowing for small scale affordable housing led development in settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area at a scale proportionate to the size of settlement.” (Page 66)
Para 5.25 states “Therefore, a key part of the strategy is to allow for affordable housing led developments within sustainable primary and minor rural settlements outside of the Strategic Growth Area, at a scale that is appropriate to the size of the community it is serving. An ‘affordable housing led’ scheme is one where a minimum of 50% of the dwellings would need to be affordable, although this could increase to a maximum of 100% if the site is brought forward by a social landlord”.

In terms of the definition / explanation of what the affordable housing-led development sites are seeking to achieve, paragraph 6.132 of the Deposit Plan outlines the following:

“Accordingly, to ensure that new developments respond to the high demand for smaller properties, as identified in the LHMA, priority will be given to affordable homes that are small to medium-sized, typically comprising one to three bedrooms. Representations received from the local community through the RLDP process also highlighted a desire for new housing developments to offer opportunities for accessing smaller market homes. This is particularly relevant in the rural Vale, where housing choices are more limited. Providing smaller, more affordable market homes may assist first-time buyers and enable older residents to downsize to more manageable properties within their local area. Affordable housing-led sites will therefore need to demonstrate that an appropriate range of both affordable and market dwellings has been provided.”

Despite the acknowledgement within this strategic objective, we do not consider that the RLDP goes far enough to meet this objective, nor are its provisions and allocations adequate.

It is considered that this objective is undermined by the allocations set out by the RLDP (not least the absence of allocations in the rural Vale). Notwithstanding the Vision’s clear acknowledgement of the benefit of the growth of the rural Vale, these areas have not been supported through the plan due to the lack of growth which has been attributed to these areas in terms of further housing, employment and sustainable transport. All growth options have been selected on the basis of being in either a Key Settlement, Service Centre Settlement or Primary Settlement, all of which are already sustainable areas served by rail. As a result, it is not clear how this objective can be achieved, without the allocation of further sites within the Minor Rural Settlements, such as Ystradowen. The Vale is characteristically ‘rural’, and as such, there needs to be a stronger emphasis on supporting and delivering new development in order to bolster the rural economy. This includes enabling opportunities to provide employment and business premises within / near to rural settlements, as well as focusing housing growth in these areas to reduce travel time, and promote the use of sustainable transport.

It is considered that the current Strategy does not provide adequately for all residents across the Vale, only those within the Strategic Growth Area. The underlying Vision and Objectives set out in the emerging Plan are accordingly wholly un-provided for by the detail of the Plan. This brings into question the “soundness” of the Plan.

The Strategic Growth Area does not take into account the important role and proximity of Bridgend to the West and/or the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant to the north (as defined in the RCTCBC LDP). The Minor Rural Settlements to the west are more likely to be supported by job opportunities and employment in Bridgend than further east in Barry or Cardiff. Similarly, those in the north align with, and function in association with, the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant to the north. These settlements are served by existing bus services that provide sustainable modes of travel to key employment locations in and around Bridgend. This is acknowledged in Paragraph 3.3 of the Strategy which states “The greatest number of residents who travel outside of the Vale for work purposes travel to Cardiff followed by Bridgend and Rhondda Cynon Taf, whilst a smaller proportion commute into the Vale from these neighbouring authorities”. The Demographic Evidence (Feb 2023) estimates the Vale as being a net importer of workers from RCT and Caerphilly (Para 3.6) - as shown in Figure 10 in the Preferred Strategy.

The current Strategy does not support any improvement of sustainable travel or further investment in settlements linked more closely to these areas - given that Growth has been apportioned in only the Key Service Centre and Primary Settlements. It is considered that this will fail to support and facilitate the current (and any future) employment coming into the Vale, nor will it support any employment which is located outside of the Vale to the West and North. The Growth Option is too heavily reliant on access to railway stations as the key and sole sustainable transport method, whereas access to bus services should also be appropriately assessed and focused on in terms of promoting sustainable development. It is unreasonable to devise a strategy that hinges on directing growth to areas that are accessible to railway facilities, where it is recognised in the Plan that the Vale is inherently rural. The delivery and soundness of the Plan is therefore questioned and we continue to object to the spatial growth strategy as set out in the Deposit Plan.

Housing Supply

RLDP Allocations - Key Sites

As set out in representations made throughout the Plan preparation process, we consider that the Plan is too reliant on the delivery of ‘key sites’ to meet the housing need over the Plan period. Specifically, the Plan makes provision for 2,278 units in these Key Sites, which equates to circa 65% of RLDP allocations in the housing supply. The 5 key sites that are allocated in the Deposit Plan are as follows:

• Land at North West Barry – 376no. units;
• North of Dinas Powys – 250no. units;
• Land at Readers Way, Rhoose – 520no. units;
• Land at Church Farm, St Athan – 532no. units; and
• Land to the West of St Athan – 600no. units.

We object to the current housing supply to allocate 2,278no. (65%) of units across strategic sites, as this makes for a risky and unrobust strategy for delivering housing, and in turn, meeting the identified housing need over the Plan period.

As stated in previous representations, there is concern that the proposed timing and phasing of the proposed Key Sites is unrealistic and unrobust, and in turn, undermines the soundness of the Plan, given the heavy reliance on Key Sites delivering new homes across the Plan period. Whilst it is not disputed that the sites would have gone through rigorous assessment to inform their proposed allocation, the timescales for securing planning permission (with all associated conditions discharged) is considered to be unachievable. This is particularly the case for the following timescales that are set out in the Housing Trajectory that underpin the Plan:

• “Time period of pre-application discussions/PAC consultation” – 4 months
• “Time between submission of planning application and determination” – 6 months
• “Time taken from planning consent to the discharge of relevant conditions to enable site construction” – 4 months

It is considered that the above timescales are fundamentally unrobust, and result in a distorted position of housing sites over the RLDP Plan period. It is not considered that these reflect or are informed by the timescales that are currently being incurred for planning applications submitted for major housing sites across Wales. It is rather the case that such applications would typically be determined 1-2 years following submission, given that there are a wide range of stakeholders involved in the determination of major planning applications – which often adds to the delays associated with the determination of such applications.

It is equally the case that the assumptions in the trajectory are solely based on expected timescales for processing formal submissions made to the Council, and do not factor in the timescales associated with, and needed for, the preparation of the material for submission.

It is assumed that these timescales have not considered that such major developments can be subject to the need to undertaking and submitting an Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA), which adds another layer to the determination of any planning application – given the additional considerations that form part of this process. As such, any site subject to EIA would very likely result in further delays extending beyond the timescales set out in the trajectory. Equally, as set out above, the preparation of an application subject to an EIA requires even more detail and assessment, which only further adds to the preparation stage (which has not been factored into as part of the trajectory). Accordingly, it is not considered that the trajectory contains any contingency if any site is required to undertake EIA as part of their application.

For the reasons stated above, it is unlikely that the sites will yield in full, particularly those sites which are expected to deliver housing right up to the final year of the Plan period (‘Land at Readers Way’ and ‘Land to the West of St Athan’). These sites do not allow for any ‘slippage’ should any delays arise through the development management process (which for the reasons set out above, will very likely be the case), and as such, a gap in housing delivery will be brought about as a result of these sites not yielding in full.

Given the proposed ambitious timescales set out for the delivery of the Key Sites, it is considered the housing trajectory is unrobust, and in turn, undermines the soundness of the Plan as a result. A change in strategy should be pursued whereby a greater proportion of small to medium sites are allocated for housing in the Plan period, which are more likely to fully yield given that such sites are subject to less assessment and consideration compared to strategic sites. This would make for a more robust strategy, where a greater number of small to medium sites can deliver housing in the short and medium term of the Plan period, whereas the strategic sites represent a more longer-term strategy to deliver housing – which would then spill into the next Plan period.

Accordingly, we object to the Deposit Plan in its current form, where there is an overreliance on housing need to be met through the delivery of the Key Sites, which we consider to be unrobust, and undermine the integrity and soundness of the Plan. The current strategy of the Plan is at significant risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated, as least as swifty as identified in the housing trajectory. Should no change be made to the Plan to address the above issues, then it is extremely likely that the Plan would ‘fail’ in meeting the identified housing need.

Windfall Sites

It is noted that the RLDP is made up of the following:

• Existing land supply (3,838 units)
• Windfall sites (1,303 units)
• Allocated sites (3,521 units)

Para 6.69 states that “Analysis of historical delivery of housing indicates that on average small windfall sites (sites of less than 10 dwellings) have provided some 53 dwelling completions per year, and large windfall sites (10 dwellings or greater) contributed on average 80 dwellings per year. Overall, it is projected that windfall sites could contribute a further 1,303 dwellings over the remainder of the plan”.

As set out in our previous representations to the Housing Trajectory, we would object to the expected numbers of completions expected during the Plan period, given that there are a number of issues with delivering housing in Wales and given past completions rates for The Vale of Glamorgan – which is discussed in greater detail later in this submission. Again, this results in the Plan being at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated – including any windfall sites.

St Athan Train Station

The RLDP Sustainable Growth Strategy comprises six key elements, of which the following is set out in respect to the allocation of new housing growth in the Authority:

“3. Focusing development at locations that are well served by existing and proposed rail stations as part of the South Wales Metro and in areas with good bus links.”

The strategy outlines that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken in 2022, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. Accordingly, in line with the spatial strategy adopted for the RLDP (i.e. focus development around sustainable transport nodes), St Athan was identified as a ‘Strategic Opportunity Area’ to accommodate strategic growth – through the proposed allocation of two key sites : ‘Land at Church Farm’ and ‘Land West of St Athan’. These sites have been identified to deliver 532no. and 600no. units respectively in the Plan period. These are separate to, and are in addition to, the 51no. units that have now been attributed to the site ‘Land South of Clive Road’ and 80no. units attributed to ‘Former Stadium Site, adjacent to Burley Place’ in St Athan. Accordingly, in total, the Housing Trajectory makes a provision for a total of 1,263no. homes to be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period.

It is now the case, however, that the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales – as confirmed in the ‘Today, Tomorrow, Together: A vision for rail across Wales and Borders’ (February 2026) recently published by Transport For Wales. This paper acknowledges that a new railway station at St Athan would represent a longer term opportunity, and therefore, will not be delivered in the short term / within the Plan period of the emerging Plan. Equally the Council have not provided any evidence to contradict this, and therefore, it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period. This brings about significant questions regarding the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

The strategy to allocate new housing growth is predicated on focusing residential development around sustainable transport nodes, and given that St Athan will be without any railway station in the Plan period, it is not considered that the sites align with the strategy of the RLDP. Accordingly, the wider Housing Trajectory is considered to be unsound, given that a total of 1,263no. homes (36% of the Plan’s new housing allocations) are expected to be delivered in St Athan within the Plan period.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add further sites for housing in this location over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites - given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

In terms of the expected delivery of the Key Sites in St Athan, it is noted that the trajectory identifies that for the majority of the Plan period, both sites will be delivering 80no. dwellings per annum on each site (equating to 160no units in total). Whilst these are two separate sites, we seriously question the realistic prospects of the significant number of homes being built simultaneously on two sites in proximity to one another – given the considerable logistical issues that would be brought about.

Accordingly, it remains that there are serious questions regarding the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations at St Athan, which do not accord with the strategy adopted for the RLDP – to focus housing growth on settlements that are supported by railway stations. Moreover, the scale of development proposed at St Athan is also not considered to be proportionate, with a significant number of homes delivered in a location not served by a railway station.

Rolled forward LDP Sites

The proposed land supply within the housing trajectory includes provision for ‘rolled forward’ LDP sites, which contribute to the total of ‘Proposed Additional Housing Allocations’ forming part of the housing supply. Specifically, a total of 1,242no. units have been identified as additional housing allocations, of which 959no. are expected to be delivered on the rolled forward LDP sites. As such, these sites are to provide for a significant proportion of additional housing in the Plan period (specifically circa 77%).

The Development Plans Manual (DPM) sets out that allocations rolled forward from a previous plan will require careful justification for inclusion in a revised plan. The DPM outlines that “there will need to be a substantial change in circumstances to demonstrate sites can be delivered and justify being included again. Clear evidence will be required that such sites can be delivered.” The below table included in the consultation document provides a breakdown of the rolled forward LDP sites, and in particular, sets out the status of each site:
Table 6: Existing LDP allocations to be carried forward

The above table evidences that the current LDP has under delivered in regard to its targeted unit number of the Plan period, given that these sites did not yield any housing over the current Plan period. This is further exacerbated by the Land Bank sites that have also not delivered any housing across the existing LDP period, amounting to 1,860no units. Accordingly, when considering the non-delivery of both rolled forward LDP sites and Land Bank sites, this amounts to an approximate shortfall of 2,189 homes being delivered, or 33% of the total housing supply identified for the current LDP (8,525no. dwellings).

It is therefore considered that, as a minimum, the units carried over from the LDP (without planning permission) should be a surplus to the housing supply proposed for the RLDP, as opposed to being relied on to deliver the housing need over the Plan period. This is particularly the case for the two sites (Land to the west of Pencoedtre Lane, and Land between Northern Access Road and Eglwys Brewis Road) which do not currently have any active planning application submitted for their development. These sites total an amount of 370no. units to be delivered in the Plan period, which represents more than a third of the additional housing allocations to make up the housing supply.

As such, it is considered that the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP is still present – indeed it has grown, and will continue to do so, not least when considered in conjunction with the projected population growth over the coming years to 2036, and the aspirations for growth in the Plan’s strategy.

Accordingly, in order to secure the targeted level of housing, a greater level of provision for new allocations should be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. This would bring about better certainty that the housing requirement is met by the housing supply over the Plan period, not least given that the current Plan failed in this respect. Without a re-apportioning of the housing supply, it is considered that the Plan would heavily rely on the contingency (i.e. rolled forward LDP sites) coming forward in the Plan period, yet there is uncertainty that these will yield in full over the new Plan period. This raises issues of ’soundness’, and risks rendering the Plan unrobust.

Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions

As set out in our previous representations to the Housing Trajectory consultation, we have considerable concerns in relation to the proposed delivery of the sites identified in the trajectory – which we do not consider are robust or reasonable.

Appendix 1 of the Deposit Plan sets out the development trajectory bar chart – which illustrates the proposed delivery of housing, on a per annum basis, over the Plan period.
Extract of Housing Trajectory (annotated by GJP - red dotted line)

It is our view that the trajectory makes for an unrealistic and unrobust delivery rate of housing, which does not reflect the pattern of housing completions in the Vale of Glamorgan. We therefore have concerns regarding the soundness of the trajectory, not least that there remain significant uncertainties as to the delivery of the Key Sites (as discussed earlier in these representations).

Firstly, the graph / trajectory illustrates a large ‘spike’ in terms of housing delivery in the year 2027-28, which is considered to be a marked and pronounced step change in the rate of delivery. This envisages / relies on a significantly higher rate of delivery than previous years in the Vale of Glamorgan (2021 through 2021 – as depicted by the green columns). It is considered that this level of delivery is unlikely to materialise, not least given prevailing market circumstances, past rates of delivery on the ground, and also in light of levels achieved across Wales and the UK in general.

The published trajectory shows that the average level of completions from 2021 - 2025 has been approx. 400 - 500 units, however, the chart shows that from 2027 – 2028, completions are expected to rise to approx. 1,000 units per year. The expected delivery levels in the trajectory therefore show and assume a doubling in delivery rates and unit numbers (an increase of approx. 100% relative to past rates). There is no clear evidence as to how this level of completions can be achieved let alone guaranteed. This is the case in particular given that the forthcoming years (2025-2027) are expected to see performance (yield) drop significantly (delivery rates in 2025 – 2026 and 2026 – 2027). The chart shows only approx. 200 units being delivered over these years. It is therefore unclear how completion rates are expected to rise so quickly (from 200 in 2025-26 to 1000 in 2027-28), and by such a significant amount. The assumptions in the trajectory are wholly unrobust in our view.

It is also the case that the anticipated delivery of housing fails to be consistent within and across the Plan period. It is unclear as to why completions rates aren’t spread out more evenly throughout the Plan period - to ensure a robust and most realistic housing trajectory until 2036. By comparison to the marked increase in the rate of delivery between and over the period 2027 to 2031, there is then a marked fall-off or drop in delivery towards and by the end of the Plan period. Indeed, in the final year, the level of completions are expected to be lower than the period 2021-2025.

Accordingly, we consider that the housing trajectory, as proposed, is entirely manufactured and unreflective of the past completion rates, as well as the recent published completion rates provided by Welsh Government recently in August 2025. As set out in our previous representations, it has been evidenced that there has been a general decline in the number of new dwellings started and completed.
Description of Figure 1: ‘New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’
As identified in the graph above, in 2024-25, 4,631 new dwellings were completed, which represents 3% fewer than the previous year. This figure represented the second lowest number on record, with the lowest number recorded in 2021-22, a year heavily affected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic (in 2021-22, 4,616 new dwellings were completed) The New Housing Pipeline Report Quarter 3, 2025 Report (December 2025) published by the HBF evidenced that the number of residential units approved in the UK fell by 7% during the third quarter of 2025, extending the decline seen during the first half of the year. At 45,075, the number of units approved was 34% down on the third quarter of 2024 and the lowest quarterly total since 2012 Q2. At 146,798, the overall number of units approved during the first nine months of 2025 was 25% lower than a year ago.
HBF Graph Illustrating Residential Approvals (2006-2025)

The above graph clearly shows a pronounced downward trend in the number of residential planning approvals over the period, particuarly with a sharp decrease seen since 2020. Further, the HBF document ‘Increasing Housing Supply in Wales’ (4th September 2025) clearly shows that The Vale of Glamorgan has not met the housing delivery requirements in recent years in 2023 – 2024 – along with every other authority in Wales (except Newport). Accordingly, this further adds to the argument that historically The Vale (and most other authorities) have underprovided. This adds considerable uncertainty on the assumed transformation in yield and delivery as built into the trajectory.
Graph: Housing Delivery as a proportion of annual housing requirement in Wales per Authority

More recently, the Welsh Government has released its new estimates of housing need (Estimates of Additional Hosing Need: 2025-based – February 2026). The estimates show how many new homes need to be built over the next twenty years to address existing unmet need as well as newly arising need. The figures set out that around 8,700no. new homes a year are needed over the next Senedd term up to 2030 to meet new housing need. Additionally, there is an unmet need for 9,400 affordable homes.

Overall, this represents more than double 2024/25 levels of supply, where just 4,638 new homes were built.

HBF: Estimates of Housing Need

HBF: Actual Delivery vs Estimates of Need

The above graphs unequivocally evidence that historical rates of delivery of housing in Wales has remained low, and moreover, significant numbers of housing need to be allocated in order to meet the estimate of need. It is not considered that the housing trajectory, in its current form, is robust to meet the housing need over the Plan period, given the uncertainties of the Key Sites, and the level of housing delivery that has been identified for the Plan.

Affordable Housing-Led Sites

HG4 - Rural Affordable Housing Led Sites

Policy HG4 of the Deposit Plan identifies four sites to be allocated as affordable housing-led sites, totalling approximately 122 dwellings within the plan period. Given the target levels of achieving 3,070 affordable dwellings over the course of the Plan period (up to 2036), it is not considered that this policy goes far enough to address the target and level of affordable housing need.
It is noted that the number of units identified for each site relate to the ‘total’ number of units delivered, as opposed to the affordable housing provision. Accordingly, it can be assumed that circa 50% of each allocation will comprise affordable units (given each site is affordable-led), which would equate to a total provision of circa 61no. units. The contribution from the affordable housing-led sites would only equate to 2% of the total need (3,070no. units). Even when coupled with the affordable housing provision from open market sites and 100% exception sites, the total delivery of affordable housing will still be nowhere near enough to meet the overall affordable housing need over the Plan period. Accordingly, it is considered that inadequate provision has been made for such sites.

Insofar as to the sites chosen and allocated are concerned, it is clear from reviewing the Stage 1 and Stage 2 Candidate Site Assessment that the allocated sites HG4(1) – (4) were not considered acceptable due to being outside the strategic growth areas, and were considered to be unacceptable intrusions into the open countryside. After being resubmitted as affordable housing-led sites, the sites were allocated, some with a smaller area in order to accommodate less dwellings in total.

The sustainable credentials of the sites allocated is not disputed, and it is acknowledged that these minor rural settlements have the ability to accommodate further growth, in the form of affordable-led housing allocations. However, it is considered that Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 430 / 4060) should also form an allocation as part of this policy, given its high sustainability credentials and its appropriate location to accommodate a suitable level of development. Please refer to the previous representations made to the Housing Trajectory Consultation (dated 17th October) and Annex 2 for further, more detailed comments regarding the above sites.

The LHMA 2023 shows that there is a need for 230 affordable homes in the Cowbridge housing market area / ward - which Ystradowen is located within. As such, there is an identified need for affordable housing in this area, something which the site could address through an allocation – see Annex 2.

Securing further delivery of Affordable Units

As set out above, the affordable housing-led allocated sites only provide 122no. affordable dwellings, which comprise 4no. allocated sites that are expected to deliver approximately between 20 – 50 dwellings. However, the RLDP sets a target of 3,070 affordable homes to be delivered in the Plan period. This means that affordable housing-led allocations make up less than 4% of the target provision and will only make provision for 2% of the targeted number. We would therefore object to the sites included within Policy HG4 and would suggest that more sites should be allocated as part of the policy in order to secure delivery of a higher number of affordable housing units to mere the target.
Whilst it is acknowledged that the Key Sites will provide for a significant proportion of affordable housing, as set out above in these representations, there is serious concern regarding the deliverability of these sites, which would result in a significant gap of affordable housing delivered.

A greater number of affordable housing-led sites allocated would ensure there is sufficient contingency built into the Plan, to ensure that the overall affordable housing need is met over the Plan period. Failure to do so would result in affordable housing need being unmet, with demand continuing to outstrip supply.

Previous representations to the Preferred Strategy (dated 14th February 2024) provided comment on the sustainability scoring of Ystradowen and the proposed site. As outlined within these representations, it is considered that the site (ID 430) represents a sustainable, deliverable and acceptable site. The site is located within 2.7 miles Cowbridge and
2.8 miles of Pontyclun. Due to the availability of frequent bus services, and active travel links, key services are readily available to access for any residents within Ystradowen without the need to travel by car. The site is within a maximum 9- and 14-minute bus journey (respectively) of the following key services:

• Cowbridge and ‘Y Pant’ Comprehensive Schools;
• Cowbridge Health Centre and Old School Surgery; and
• Cowbridge Town Centre, and Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant (Strategic Growth Area), for various Retail Services.

Accordingly, the settlement of Ystradowen represents an acceptable location to allocate an affordable housing-led site, given the access to existing services and facilities that would serve future residents of the site.

To conclude, the settlement, location and site are inherently suitable and deliverable, and will make a significant contribution to achieving and realising the housing and economic development needs of Ystradowen, support the surrounding settlements, and the Plan area as a whole. As such, the site should be considered further.

Comments on Specific Policies

HG5 - Affordable Housing Exception Sites

Given the unmet need and extant backlog of affordable housing, as identified within the LHMA (2023), it is noted that an Affordable Housing Exception Sites policy has been adopted in order to assist in the delivery of affordable housing. Policy HG5 sets out the specific criteria where proposals for 100% small scale affordable housing developments will be permitted outside settlement boundaries. The current policy wording for the Affordable Housing Site Exception Policy and the criteria listed out in the policy is generally supported.

That said, it is noted that a ‘cap’ of 10 dwellings (as referenced within supporting text Para 6.140) is set. This should be amended due to such a ‘cap’ limiting the flexibility of the policy, in particularly for sites coming forward as part of this policy in Minor Rural Settlements.
As such, we would suggest that supporting Para 6.140 should be amended in order to allow for further flexibility for sites in Minor Rural Settlements to come forward and to deliver affordable housing, given that the criteria set out in the policy would already protect and restrict the extent of any development as it stands. Therefore, the proposed amendments to Para 6.140 are outlined below in red:

6.140 “For the purposes of this policy, ‘small-scale’ will generally mean no more than around 10 dwellings on sites adjoining Minor Rural Settlements. In Primary Settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area, proposals for more than 10 dwellings may be acceptable where required to meet a specific need and where the number of dwellings is proportionate to the size of the settlement. In assessing the scale and extent of any proposed local needs housing, consideration should also be given to affordable housing already planned in the ward or nearby area, including sites with existing planning permissions and those allocated in the RLDP. The size and type of affordable housing proposed should reflect the identified local need in the area.”
The above suggested wording would achieve a more flexible policy, which would allow for a variety of scaled applications to secure planning permission for solely 100% affordable housing across the Authority area. This greater flexibility would enable the policy to make a significant contribution towards meeting the affordable housing need – which, as set out earlier is in considerable need.
SECTION 3. Suitability of the site for development

The site promoter objects to the overall assessment of the site, in that it is not considered suitable for further development in the Plan. The promoted site has undergone extensive scrutiny and appraisal at a high level to ascertain the qualities of the site, in light of all identified material considerations which relate to the proposals.

The delivery of the site will yield much needed housing (including Affordable housing) and contribute to the overall supply in the new Plan period, whilst making effective use of a suitably located site for residential development.

Moreover, as set out in ‘Annex 2’ of our representations, the site has overcome the ‘constraints’ set out in the Candidate Site Assessment undertaken for the site, which demonstrates that the proposal is both acceptable and deliverable.

Deliverability of the Site

In summary, the site seeks to deliver the following key elements:

• Provision of circa 67 new-build residential dwellings (including 50% affordable housing provision);
• A mix of house-types and tenures across the site to cater for a variety of needs;
• Creation of a new primary access into the site;
• Connection to pedestrian links within the wider area;
• Public open space; and
• Green Infrastructure; and
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

In summary, the site promoters:

• Object to the distribution of growth proposed for the Plan area, with a more balanced and equitable distribution of housing sites required in order to meet the identified housing need;
• Object to the level of growth identified for the Plan period;
• Object to the housing trajectory that underpins the delivery of housing within the Plan period – which is considered to be unrealistic and unrobust, leading to serious uncertainty regarding the “soundness” of the Plan;
• Object to the over-reliance on Key Sites and Rolled Forward Sites in making up the Plan’s housing land supply;
• Object to the scale and timing of delivery of sites in / around St Athan – all of which are predicated on railway station provision which will not be realised in the Plan period;
• Object to the under-provision of sites under Policy HG4 – Rural Affordable Housing-Led sites, not least given their extremely limited contribution to the targeted need for affordable housing;
• Object to the current wording of the HG5 Policy ‘Affordable Housing Exception Sites’ which requires greater flexibility to play an important role in delivery much-needed affordable homes across the Authority; and
• Object the Council’s assessment that the site is not considered suitable for development.

The site and proposals are consistent with the RLDP strategy, other Vale of Glamorgan strategies, and the requirements of Planning Policy Wales and Future Wales. It will make a significant contribution to the Vale’s identified housing requirement in the RLDP period and will provide for a wide range of uses that will support the wider community whilst embodying principles relating to placemaking and the well-being of future generations.

The site has no fundamental constraints and has the ability to deliver significant economic, social and environmental benefits for the benefit of future residents and the existing local community. The site is demonstrated to be viable, being able to deliver policy-compliant levels of affordable housing and given its location within a strong market area, will benefit from high delivery rates.

ANNEX 2
SECTION 4. A summary of the suitability of the site for development including a Response to the Candidate Site Assessment

Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)

This section of the overall representations to the Deposit Plan is to respond to, and address, the Council’s assessment of the site. The ‘Candidate Sites Assessment Deposit Plan Stage v2’ for ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ sets out that the position of the site at the Deposit Stage is as follows:

“Amendment of proposed use from housing to affordable housing led. Previous site reference 430. The original assessment concluded that whilst the site was adjoining the existing LDP settlement boundary this is by virtue of an existing adopted plan LDP allocation this is currently under review. Notwithstanding this the site would represent unacceptable intrusion in to the open countryside.
The LDP site in question has subsequently been granted planning permission for housing. This site will serve the future needs of residents in the area and it is not considered that additional land should be allocated in this location.”

In terms of the first paragraph, the assessment/conclusion implies and suggests that ‘Land at Ystradowen’ (4060)’ does not adjoin the existing LDP settlement boundary as the allocated site (‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’) has not been built out – “by virtue of an existing adopted plan LDP allocation this is currently under review”. Detailed representations have been made and submitted previously at the Housing Trajectory (see Appendix B& C) that outlines that this is fundamentally incorrect. This is not repeated in full here, with just the main points re-iterated.

First and foremost, ‘Land at Ystradowen (4060)’ directly adjoins the existing LDP settlement boundary. Secondly, there has been a significant change in the position and circumstances. The allocated site (‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’) is currently being “built out”, with work commencing on site (see photographic evidence in Appendix C)
- post the implementation of the planning permission ref. 2023/00948/FUL (post approval on 9th December 2024). Accordingly, the site no longer adjoins “the existing LDP settlement boundary … by virtue of an existing adopted plan LDP allocation … currently under review”. Given this, the ‘Land at Ystradowen’ site boundary therefore directly adjoins/is adjoining the LDP settlement boundary and the site promoted herein.

With regards to the second paragraph, the assessment/conclusion outlines that “The LDP site … will serve the future needs of residents in the area and it is not considered that additional land should be allocated in this location”. The arguments and case presented in Appendix B & C. There is a clear overreliance on ‘rolled forward’ sites / existing allocated sites. A total of 1,242no. units have been identified as additional housing allocations, of which 959no. are expected to be delivered on the rolled forward LDP sites. As such, these sites are to provide for a significant proportion of additional housing in the Plan period (specifically circa 77%). We believe that a greater level of growth is achievable and should be considered. Not least as there is an approximate shortfall of 2,189 homes being delivered, or 33% of the total housing supply identified for the current LDP (8,525no. dwellings). As such, it is considered that the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP is still present – indeed it has grown, and will continue to do so, not least when considered in conjunction with the projected population growth over the coming years to 2036, and the aspirations for growth in the Plan’s strategy. Accordingly, in order to secure the targeted level of housing, a greater level of provision for new allocations should be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. The provision of housing should be adjusted to rebalance the provision to include new allocations in lieu of rolled forward LDP sites in the housing supply. The “future needs of residents in the area” will therefore not be met/served by just this site, and it is considered that additional land should be allocated in this location.

Furthermore, to reinforce, illustrate, and evidence the point in specific reference to the site the subject to this representation (located in Ystradowen), reference is made to application ref. 2013/00856/OUT – ‘Land off Badgers Brook Rise, Ystradowen’. The Final Report of the application states that “Ystradowen is considered a sustainable settlement for further housing development” – i.e. “additional land should be allocated in this location”.

While the issues the Council have raised in their assessment of the site have been addressed and discussed within the representations made at the Preferred Strategy stage of the Plan (see Appendix B), a similar ‘scoring’ exercise has been undertaken as part evidence base for the Deposit Plan. As such, it is still pertinent to consider and respond to the Council’s assessment of the site as part of these representations. A comparison between the site assessments undertaken at both the Preferred Strategy stage and Deposit Plan stage can be seen below for reference:
BP18 Candidate Ste Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage
As demonstrated above, there has been a positive change to the scoring attributed to the site (‘Land at Ystradowen’). The change is a positive change to the ‘Infrastructure Availability’ section changing from: ‘Grey’ (no score) to ‘Amber’. Infrastructure Availability is outlined as: “Existing or proposed services would be suitable subject to local improvements without impacting on development viability and/or delivery timescales” (see below):
The explanation for the scoring provided by the Vale sets out that “Sites will be assessed against the availability of water connections to the site, in addition to the method of foul sewage disposal from the site. Consultation shall be undertaken with DCWW to determine whether there is sufficient capacity to the wastewater treatments works, and how it links into DCWW’s Capital Investment Programme.
Where consultation indicates limited capacity, or the site is located away from a viable connection this may impact on the deliverability/viability of a site should this require significant connection costs or upgrades. Consequently, the Council shall require site proposers to undertake detailed site viability assessment to determine the impact that additional cost shall have on development cost and deliverability timescales.”

As set out above, this is a positive change. This is most likely derived from the allocated site (‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’) currently being “built out”, with work commencing on site that would facilitate and improve the ‘Infrastructure Availability’. This re-iterates the point made previously re the incorrect assessment reached, and the ever changing position of this site – which will only improve given the neighbouring allocated site (‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’) being “built out”.

Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)

There are material similarities between ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ and the site the subject of these representations. It is therefore considered pertinent to assess and compare the suitability of ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin’. Not least as ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ is for a “small-scale affordable housing led development in a minor rural settlement”, within “the ward of Cowbridge”.

The site ‘Land West of Maendy Road (Site ID: 2299)’ has been registered as an Affordable Housing Led Allocation candidate site for the RLDP, however from our review of the evidence base submitted as part of the Housing Trajectory consultation, there was no assessment and critique of this site at this stage. This raises questions regarding the “soundness” of this site, given it appears this sites acceptability and inclusion was pre-determined.

The site (‘Land West of Maendy Road’) has since had a detailed assessment and critique published, however concerns still remain regarding the “soundness” of the site which forms part of the intended housing land supply. The ‘Stage 2 Detailed Site Assessment’ summary undertaken for ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ has been extracted below:

“The site is proposed for a small-scale affordable housing led development in a minor rural settlement, which would accord in principle with the strategy. Aberthin itself has limited services and facilities, but is within reasonable walking distance of primary and secondary school provision with the wider range of services and facilities in Cowbridge just over 2000m away. The settlement is also served by public transport, although this is relatively infrequent.
The 2023 LHMA indicated that the ward of Cowbridge has a need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years and this site could make an important contribution in meeting that.”

As mentioned previously, there are material similarities between ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ and ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ (the subject of these representations). Firstly ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ is also for a “small-scale affordable housing led development”, that is “in a minor rural settlement” (Ystradowen). Accordingly, it should follow that as ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ “would accord in principle with the strategy”, ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ would also “accord in principle with the strategy”.

Furthermore, there is no material difference between the following assessment of Aberthin and Ystradowen:

“Aberthin itself has limited services and facilities, but is within reasonable walking distance of primary and secondary school provision with the wider range of services and facilities in Cowbridge just over 2000m away. The settlement is also served by public transport, although this is relatively infrequent.”

There is no material difference between ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ and ‘Land at Ystradowen’ in sustainability terms.

As set out in our representations to the Preferred Strategy, we reviewed the key services in proximity to the site. The following services were identified as part of that review:

• In terms of public transport, there are two bus stops located approximately 0.2 miles (4-minute walk) from the site (‘Land West of Maendy Road’), with the 321 providing services between Llantwit Major and Talbot Green;

• In terms of public transport, there are two bus stops located approximately 400m (7-minute walk) from the site (‘Ty Mawr Close’), with the ‘321 Nat Group Service’ providing services between Llantwit Major and Talbot Green. The 321 service is the same bus service that serves ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ / Aberthin;

• The site is also located 0.2 miles (4-minute walk) from The Farmers Arms Pub and 0.2 miles (4-minute walk) from The Hare and Hounds Inn; and

• The site is located 0.2 miles (5-minute walk) from Aberthin Village Hall.

Given the above, “The settlement (Ystradowen) is also served by public transport”.
Furthermore, Ystradowen is located only 2.7 miles from Cowbridge (9-minute bus journey). The “primary and secondary school provision with the wider range of services and facilities in Cowbridge” mentioned in relation to Aberthin are therefore also in close proximity to Ystradowen.

Given the above, any candidate site at ’Land at Ystradowen’ (the subject of these representations – Site ID: 430 / 4060) is no less sustainable than the site at Aberthin (Site ID: 2299).

Not least as the following additional key services are located within Ystradowen and therefore in close proximity to the promoted site:

• The site is also located 300m (3-minute walk) and 600m (10-minute walk) from Sports Pitches/Playing Fields such as ‘Ystradowen Children’s Park’, and the 3/4G Sports Pitch at ‘Ystradowen Petanque Club’; and
• Furthermore, the site is located 480m (7-minute walk) from the ‘Murco – Tudor Garage’ which can provide basic goods to meet day-today needs such as bread, butter, milk etc.

Furthermore it is important to note that the above scoring criteria is very limiting, and does not take into account the important role and proximity of settlements in a wider context. For example, it does not take into account the important role and proximity of the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area (as defined in the RCTCBC LDP) of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant which is 2.8 miles to the north (14-minute bus journey). Ystradowen would also naturally align, and function, in association with this Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area (of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant) – see Appendix B for full details.

In addition, as set out within the representations made in relation to the House Trajectory (Appendix C), the following extracts have been taken from the Officer’s Reports associated with the applications for the site that directly adjoins the western boundary of the promoted site 430 - ‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’ (Housing Allocation 48). An aerial view extract is outlined below to give spatial context:
As set out above, it is important to note that the Final Report of application ref. 2013/00856/OUT states that “Ystradowen is considered a sustainable settlement for further housing development”, due to “the sustainable nature of the settlement”. Furthermore, the Final Report of app ref. 2023/00948/FUL states:

• “Notwithstanding this, the site is located in close proximity to local services and there is a bus stop located nearby. Whilst the comments relating to the reliance and frequency of the bus services have been considered, there still remains a bus service in the area”; and
• “Firstly, as aforementioned, many neighbouring comments refer to the site as unsustainable and have commented on the suitability of public transport and cycle routes etc. This has been addressed above.”

The above clearly evidences that the location has previously been endorsed as, and is currently still found to be, sustainable.

Accordingly, it can be considered therefore that if the proposed allocated site ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ is considered sustainable and by association suitable to be an Affordable Housing Led Allocation, ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 430 / 4060)’ is equally suitable to be an Affordable Housing Led Allocation.

The second section/paragraph of the assessment states:

“The 2023 LHMA indicated that the ward of Cowbridge has a need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years and this site could make an important contribution in meeting that.”
‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ is also located within “the ward of Cowbridge”. As per the above and outlined by the Authority, there is “a need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years”. It is clear therefore that there is a need for additional affordable units in this ward, and this site would therefore also help to alleviate this need.

This position is a direct contradiction of course of the assessment/conclusion for ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ which stated “it is not considered that additional land should be allocated in this location”. It is clear from the above however that “additional land should be allocated in this location” to satisfy this “need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years” – which ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ can do. This is not least the case given the detailed arguments, case and representations presented and evidenced previously above and in Appendix B & C.
To briefly reiterate there is a clear overreliance on ‘rolled forward’ sites / existing allocated sites which has resulted in the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP being still present. A greater level of provision for new allocations should therefore be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. The provision of housing should be adjusted to rebalance the provision to include new allocations in lieu of rolled forward LDP sites in the housing supply, so these can “make an important contribution in meeting” the “need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years” in “the ward of Cowbridge” – which ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ can do.

As set out within the representations made in relation to the housing trajectory (see Appendix C), a further key consideration to note and one which does differentiate between the relative merits of the ‘Land at Maendy Road, Aberthin’ and ‘Land at Ystradowen’ is that the LDP Proposals Map demonstrates that ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ is within a Special Landscape Area - see below:
Vale of Glamorgan Proposals Map (Land West of Maendy Road outlined in red
Under Policy MG17 ‘Special Landscape Areas’ it is considered that development in SLA could pose an “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area”. Accordingly, this development and proposed allocation could therefore cause “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area”.

‘Land at Ystradowen’ by contrast does not sit within a SLA (see below). This site would therefore not pose any potential concern in this respect as it would ultimately not cause any “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area”.
Vale of Glamorgan Proposals Map (Land at Ystradowen in red)
It is noted that the detailed assessment scores the site ‘amber’ in respect to Special Landscape Area (refer to / see later section for full details), with the assessment methodology setting out that “the site is located within a Special Landscape Area/The Glamorgan Heritage Coast and the development may result in little or no change in character and little or no significant effect on landscape character and visual amenity.”
A detailed assessment of the impact upon the SLA in respect to the development of ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin’ should therefore be, and will need to be, undertaken as part of any planning application. If it is found that the site causes “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area”, this will lead to this proposed allocation being at risk of not being delivered. This will be as a result of its impacts and acceptability at the planning application stage that the landscape and visual impact of development of the site is unacceptable. As such, these proposed affordable units are at a potential considerable risk of being lost and not satisfying the “need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years” in “the ward of Cowbridge” – which ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ can do as it is not located in an SLA.

In addition the draft housing trajectory set out that “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”. There is a clear possibility therefore that this proposed allocation is not delivered (as it is located in a SLA), and so a “small scale affordable housing led development” which is needed to “respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities” is not provided for. This is clearly an issue. Given however ‘Land at Ystradowen’ does not sit within a SLA – and so not pose any potential concern or cause any “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area” – the allocation of this site would be more suitable and “safer” - as there would be no concerns over this proposed allocation being removed and/or not being delivered in this respect (as it is not located in a SLA). This would ensure that affordable units, where “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”, are provided for, and the need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years” in “the ward of Cowbridge” would be satisfied.

As mentioned previously, a detailed assessment and critique has now been undertaken of ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ as part evidence base for the Deposit Plan using the similar ‘scoring’ exercise. As such, it is again pertinent to consider and respond to the Council’s ‘scoring’ exercise assessment of the site ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ as part of these representations.

The ‘Summary of Assessment of New Candidate Sites’ table can be seen overleaf for reference:
BP18A Candidate Site Assessment at Deposit Plan Stage
A comparison between the site assessments undertaken for both ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ (on the left), and ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ (on the right) has been undertaken, and can be seen below for reference:

Having undertaken a review of the scoring for both ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ and ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’, it is clear that ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ scores higher/more positively (i.e. green) than ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’:

• ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’: 17/33 criteria are scored green = 52%

• ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’: 12/34 criteria are scored green = 36%

It is clear therefore given the above that ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ is a better site, and should be allocated accordingly.

One key example to note is how the criterion ‘Access to Services and Facilities’ has been scored. For ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ this has been scored green, yet for ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’, this has been scored red. Given this, this corroborates the position outlined previously above that, if the proposed allocated site ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ is considered sustainable and by association suitable to be an Affordable Housing Led Allocation, ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 430 / 4060)’ is equally as sustainable – in fact considered more suitable (given its higher scoring in this respect).

Furthermore, we question the “soundness” of the assessment of ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’, given that 7/34 (21%) of the criteria do not appears to have not been assessed – i.e. 7/34 (21%) of the criteria are scored grey. This raises questions regarding the “soundness” of this site, given it appears this sites acceptability and inclusion was pre-determined.

It is clear therefore that if ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’ has been deemed acceptable for allocation, yet ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ scores higher/more positively (i.e. green) than this site, ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ should also be deemed acceptable and be allocated. Not least as the site is “proposed for a small-scale affordable housing led development in a minor rural settlement … would accord in principle with the strategy”, and “could make an important contribution in meeting “a “need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years” in “the ward of Cowbridge”.

Summary and Conclusion

To re-iterate, and to summarise the case made and set out, these representations seek to object to the Deposit Plan published as part of the consultation.

In terms of SECTION 4, and a response to the Candidate Site Assessment at Deposit Plan Stage, the following key points have been made:

• The Council’s ‘Stage 2 Detailed Site Assessment’ justification for ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ is fundamentally incorrect;

• Given the material positive similarities between ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ and ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’, which has been deemed acceptable and allocated, ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ should also be deemed acceptable and allocated accordingly;

• ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ would help to alleviate and satisfy “a need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years” within “the ward of Cowbridge”; and
• ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ scores higher/more positively (i.e. green) than ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin (Site ID: 2299)’, and so should also be deemed acceptable and be allocated;

Ultimately, ‘Land at Ystradowen (Site ID: 4060)’ is “proposed for a small-scale affordable housing led development in a minor rural settlement”, and as such “would accord in principle with the strategy”. It would therefore “make an important contribution in meeting“ the “need for 230 additional affordable units over the next 15 years” in “the ward of Cowbridge”.

We would therefore object the Council’s assessment that the site is not considered suitable for development.

Summary of These Representations

In short, and to summarise the case made and set out, these representations seek to object to the Housing Trajectory published as part of the consultation on the Draft Housing Trajectory For Housing Stakeholder Group (October 2025) which underpins the Plan and the delivery / realisation of its underlying strategy.

Detailed submissions and objections are raised below in respect to the trajectory information published regarding the soundness and robustness of this information (and it’s consultation), which we do not consider are adequate, robust, or sound to deliver the Plans aims and objectives.

Preface

This Submission sets out the detailed case in support of these representations. The representations are structured as follows:

1. Procedural Consultation Matters;
2. Timing Assumptions underpinning the Trajectory;
3. Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions;;
4. Status & Standing of Sites included in the Trajectory;
5. Key Sites;
6. St Athan Train Station;
7. Geographic distribution of the ‘new’ sites / provision;
8. Detailed comments in respect to ‘new’ sites;
9. Credentials of this site subject to this submission; and
10. Conclusions Procedural Consultation Matters
Firstly, we do not consider that the consultation on the Housing Trajectory information has been procedurally undertaken appropriately or suitably.

Only 14 days have been afforded to parties to make representations on the information provided. This is despite new sites being introduced (at this late stage) i.e. Land South of Clive Road (identified in Table 4), as well as a number of affordable housing-led housing sites being introduced (i.e. those outlined in Table 5). This does not provide an adequate process or timescale for objectors to scrutinise the published content, and to make comments on sites which have been presented for the first time at a late stage in the process.

As part of these representations, we will be making brief comment on the sites which have not been previously consulted upon, namely:
Other Housing Allocations
• Land south of Clive Road, St Athan;

Affordable Housing Led Sites
• Land at Heol Fain, Wick;
• Land west of Maendy Road, Aberthin;
• Land Noth of West Winds Business Park, Fferm Goch; and
• Land to the east of Coliwinston, Colwinston.

It is considered necessary to comment on these sites, given that they form an important and critical part of the housing trajectory, and by association in the Council and Plan reaching their targets. Moreover, these sites have not been consulted on previously. Accordingly we consider it necessary to pass comment on these in order to ensure that the consultation is fair and robust.

As well as limited time given to comment on the information contained within the Housing Trajectory, the LPA have failed to set up a Housing Stakeholder group to agree and discuss the trajectory information and data – with the cover email to the consultation (dated 3rd October 2025) stating “it is considered that it would be the best use of stakeholder time to conduct this engagement via email, particularly as many of the forecasts have been developed in consultation with site promoters including developers and their agents”.

We submit that the stakeholder consultation has not been a transparent nor robust consultation process, given that the Development Plans Manual states at Para 5.66 “A housing trajectory must be prepared to support the Deposit Plan. In order to generate a housing trajectory and associated phasing tables it will be necessary for LPAs to engage with stakeholders through a Housing Stakeholder Group. This will ensure that the timing and phasing of sites is robust and based on up to date information”. Given that this has not taken place, we would raise fundamental concerns that the consultation of the trajectory has not adequately taken place as per the relevant guidance. Afterall, the guidance stresses that a Group should be formed as a necessity. Accordingly, there has not been an adequate process and opportunity to review and comment on the information published, including in respect to the other sites have been introduced at this late stage.

Timing Assumptions underpinning the Trajectory

The assumed and factored in timescales of the various stages of bringing forward sites i.e. the pre-application stage, the planning application process, and the discharge of condition process outlined in the trajectory are considered to be fundamentally inaccurate, and result in a distorted position of the delivery of housing sites over the RLDP Plan period. The assumptions are far too ambitious, and without evidence / are not comparable with the timescales being incurred in processing such stages at the Development Management stage(s).

Specifically, we raise objection to the following timescales which are considered to be extremely ambitious and unrealistic:

• “Time period of pre-application discussions/PAC consultation” = 4 months
• “Time between submission of planning application and determination” = 6 months
• “Time taken from planning consent to the discharge of relevant conditions to enable site construction” = 4 months

In our experience, having submitted a significant number of major and other applications for housing and other forms of development in the last 1-2 years to the Council (and elsewhere in Wales and England), it is extremely unlikely that major applications can be submitted, and planning permissions granted, within the timeframes assumed by the trajectory. A wide range of stakeholders are also involved in the determination of major planning applications, which often adds to the delays associated with the determination of such applications. We would therefore consider that a time period of “6 months” given to all major applications in the housing trajectory is not feasible, and distorts the trajectory timescales for the remaining Plan period.

The assumptions in the trajectory are also solely based on expected timescales for the processing of formal submissions made to the Council, and do not factor in the timescales associated with, and needed for, the preparation of the material for submission (i.e. pre-application enquiry submissions / planning application / discharge of condition details etc). When factored in these will elongate the timescales for bringing forward schemes considerably.

Moreover, it is common practice for larger housing sites and major applications to have a range of pre-commencement conditions attached to a permission once granted. Again, we would raise concerns with the timescales indicated in the trajectory related to this part of the planning process. It is highly unusual and questionable that any technical work required by these conditions (usually relating to drainage and highways matters) would be instructed, completed and submitted within 2 months, and for these to then be signed off / approved in a further 2 months. There are also other technical matters and necessary approvals falling outside of, and over and above, the planning system, such as SAB, s.106, s.38 and s.278 agreements, timescales for which have not been accounted for – and all of which are rarely completed within “4 months” as indicated.

It is therefore highly doubtful that the timescales legislated for in the trajectory for the various stages pre-construction are achievable – with no information about these proposed timescales outlined within the supporting text of the Housing Trajectory. We would therefore raise considerable concerns and objections to these as they stand without full evidence to fully show how these have been calculated, and without there being considerable (and necessary) adjustment to the timescales indicated and factored in.

We would therefore object to the timescales indicted in the ‘Timing and Phasing of Sites’ table, given that the delivery start dates will be pushed back further into the Plan period. Accordingly, and as a result, the Plan is at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated, at least as swiftly as is set out in the trajectory.

Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions

We would also raise considerable doubt over the proposed delivery of the sites identified in the Housing Trajectory - which we do not consider are robust or reasonable.

The development trajectory bar chart set out in the consultation material (extracted below) anticipates and legislates for a number of critical events and circumstances – all of which are considered to be unrobust and unsound.
Extract of Housing Trajectory Graph (annotated by GJP – red dotted line)

Firstly, a large ‘spike’ (material increase) in housing delivery is factored in to take place in 2027 – 2028. This is a marked and pronounced step change in the rate of delivery, and envisages / relies on a significantly higher rate of delivery than previous years in The Vale of Glamorgan (2021 through 2025 - as depicted by the green columns). This is considered extremely unlikely to materialise, not least given prevailing market circumstances, past rates of delivery on the ground, and also in light of levels achieved across Wales and the UK in general.

The published trajectory shows that the average level of completions in The Vale of Glamorgan from 2021 - 2025 has been approx. 400 - 500 units. However, the chart shows that from 2027 – 2028, completions are expected to rise to approx. 1,000 units per year. The expected delivery levels in the trajectory therefore show and assume a doubling in delivery rates and unit numbers (an increase of approx. 100%relative to past rates). There is no clear evidence as to how this level of completions can be achieved let alone guaranteed. This is the case in particular given that the forthcoming years (2025-2027) are expected to see performance (yield) drop significantly (delivery rates in 2025 – 2026 and 2026 – 2027). The chart shows only approx. 200 units being delivered over these years. It is therefore unclear how completion rates are expected to rise so quickly (from 200 in 2025-26 to 1000 in 2027-28), and by such a significant amount. The assumptions in the trajectory are wholly unrobust in our view.
The anticipated delivery of housing also fails to be consistent within and across the Plan period. It is unclear as to why completions rates aren’t spread out more evenly throughout the Plan period - to ensure a robust and most realistic housing trajectory until 2036. By comparison to the marked increase in the rate of delivery between and over the period 2027 to 2031, there is then a marked fall-off or drop in delivery towards and by the end of the Plan period. Indeed, in the final year, the level of completions are expected to be lower than the period 2021-2015.

To summarise, we consider the defined position to be wholly manufactured and unreflective of the past completion rates, as well as the recently published completion rates provided by Welsh Government recently in August 2025. In the Welsh Government Statistics Document ‘’New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’, information on the number of new dwellings started is provided, where building has commenced and those completed for April 2024 to March 2025. Figure 1 provides a graph showing starts in the last 10 years, and it is clear that there has been a general decline in the number of new dwellings started and completed.
Description of Figure 1:.‘New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’
In 2024-25, 4,631 new dwellings were completed, 3% fewer than in the previous year. This was the second lowest number on record, with the lowest number recorded in 2021-22, a year heavily affected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic (in 2021-22, 4,616 new dwellings were completed). The New Housing Pipeline Report Quarter 2, 2025 Report (September, 2025) published by the HBF evidenced that the number of residential units approved in the UK fell by 6% during the second quarter of 2025, continuing the decline of approval during the first three months of the year. Wales saw one of the largest declines in the UK in approvals with a decline of 29%.

Further, the HBF document ‘Increasing Housing Supply in Wales’ (4th September 2025) clearly shows that The Vale of Glamorgan has not met the housing delivery requirements in recent years in 2023 – 2024 – along with every other authority in Wales (except Newport). Accordingly, this further adds to the argument that historically The Vale (and most other authorities) have underprovided. This adds considerable uncertainty on the assumed transformation in yield and delivery as built into the trajectory.
Graph: Housing Delivery as a proportion of annual housing requirement in Wales per Authority

The Home Building Sector Skills Plan (Aug 2025) published by the HBF also identified the following issues with the workforce to bring forward built development in Wales:

• “A shortfall in numbers entering roles from the education system;
• An ageing workforce: 25% of the home building workforce is aged over 50, meaning the sector is facing an impending retirement cliff edge;
• Challenges attracting a wider talent pipeline into the sector;
• A lack of understanding of critical future skills needed, and direction from the Future Homes Standard; and
• Output within the sector fluctuating with demand and economic pressures, leading to additional pressures in recruitment and training”.

It is not considered that in the next 1-2 years that any of these issues can or will be substantially corrected – at least sufficiently so to allow for, and enable, the planned delivery rates of new housing completions to be as high as < > 1,000 homes in one year (and for four consecutive years at that).

We would therefore object to the proposed numbers of completion expected during the Plan period, given that there are a number of issues with delivering housing in Wales and given past completions rates for The Vale of Glamorgan. Again, this results in the Plan being at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated.

Status & Standing of Sites included in the Trajectory

The proposed land supply within the housing trajectory includes provision for ‘rolled forward’ LDP sites, which contribute to the total of ‘Proposed Additional Housing Allocations’ forming part of the housing supply. Specifically, a total of 1,242no. units have been identified as additional housing allocations, of which 959no. are expected to be delivered on the rolled forward LDP sites. As such, these sites are to provide for a significant proportion of additional housing in the Plan period (specifically circa 77%).

The Development Plans Manual (DPM) sets out that allocations rolled forward from a previous plan will require careful justification for inclusion in a revised plan. The DPM outlines that “there will need to be a substantial change in circumstances to demonstrate sites can be delivered and justify being included again. Clear evidence will be required that such sites can be delivered.” The below table included in the consultation document provides a breakdown of the rolled forward LDP sites, and in particular, sets out the status of each site:
Table 6: Existing LDP allocations to be carried forward
The above table evidences that the current LDP has under delivered in regard to its targeted unit number of the Plan period, given that these sites did not yield any housing over the current plan period. This is further exacerbated by the Land Bank sites that have also not delivered any housing across the existing LDP period, amounting to 1,860no units. Accordingly, when considering the non-delivery of both rolled forward LDP sites and Land Bank sites, this amounts to an approximate shortfall of 2,189 homes being delivered, or 33% of the total housing supply identified for the current LDP (8,525no. dwellings).

It is therefore considered that, as a minimum, the units carried over from the LDP (without planning permission) should be a surplus to the housing supply proposed for the RLDP, as opposed to being relied on to deliver the housing need over the Plan period. This is particularly the case for the two sites (Land to the west of Pencoedtre Lane, and Land between Northern Access Road and Eglwys Brewis Road) which do not currently have any active planning application submitted for their development. These sites total an amount of 370no. units to be delivered in the Plan period, which represents more than a third of the additional housing allocations to make up the housing supply.

As such, it is considered that the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP is still present – indeed it has grown, and will continue to do so, not least when considered in conjunction with the projected population growth over the coming years to 2036, and the aspirations for growth in the Plan’s strategy.

Accordingly, in order to secure the targeted level of housing, a greater level of provision for new allocations should be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. This would bring about better certainty that the housing requirement is met by the housing supply over the Plan period, not least given that the current Plan failed in this respect. Without a re-apportioning of the housing supply, it is considered that the Plan would heavily rely on the contingency (i.e. rolled forward LDP sites) coming forward in the Plan period, yet there is uncertainty that these will yield in full over the new Plan period. This raises issues of ‘’soundness’’, and risks rendering the Plan unrobust.

On this basis, we would object to the Plan if the provision of housing is not adjusted to rebalance the provision to include new allocations in lieu of rolled forward LDP sites in the housing supply.
Key Sites

As set out in previous representations at Preferred Strategy stage, it is considered that the housing supply relies heavily on the delivery of the ‘key sites’ to deliver housing (and meet need) over the Plan period. The total number of housing units attributed to key sites amounts to 2,278, which equates to over 25% of the total provision in the Plan period.

As detailed above, we consider there to be concerns regarding the proposed ‘Timing and Phasing of Sites’ table included in the Housing Trajectory which we consider are not reflective or accurate and will therefore have the effect of delivery start dates being much later into the Plan period than anticipated. The result of this will be that the Plan will be at risk of not delivery the level of housing expected and needed. Moreover, the Housing Trajectory Graph presents an overly ambitious level of housing completions over the Plan period - which the Council consider will be markedly higher than the average levels experienced in the last five years. Again, for the reasons set out above, we consider that these rates of expected completions to have no evidence supporting them, and to be unachievable and unsound.

Insofar as to the removal of the previously proposed site ‘Land at North East Barry’, this site was expected to deliver 900no. units in the Plan period. Following its omission from the housing supply, other sites have been identified, which comprises the inclusion of a new key site (Land at North West Barry), 3no. non-strategic sites, and also affordable housing-led allocations. In terms of the quantum of development attributed to these new sites, this amounts to 659no. dwellings. This is some 250 units less than the 900no. homes that was previously attributed to ‘Land at North East Barry’. Whilst it is appreciated that the number of homes forming part of the existing supply (completions, units with planning permission etc.) have increased since Preferred Strategy stage, there will be a net loss in market housing provision and delivery.

This position is made worse and compounded as a result of accounting for the affordable-led sites in making up the housing supply.

As set out within the Preferred Strategy, these sites are expected to deliver at least 51% affordable housing. These units are not open market units, and will not / cannot contribute to the supply of such housing. These units will contribute to the provision of affordable housing, and will go some way to meeting the acute need for such housing (albeit will not eradicate / address in full the well known and accepted considerable requirement). Accordingly it is considered that these sites should be in addition to the housing supply, as opposed to forming part of the provision. In turn, there would need to be an increase in allocations for non-strategic sites, to ensure that there is sufficient market housing delivery over the Plan period.

Were such changes to be made and introduced, this would achieve and assist realise a more robust and sound housing supply, which will ensure that the identified housing need is met / addressed over the Plan period. Without these changes it is considered that the housing supply is not sufficient, and inevitably, housing need will not be met within the Plan.

St Athan Train Station

As set out in the Preferred Strategy (para A3.29), the strategy seeks to focus development around key sustainable transport nodes. The strategy outlined that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. Accordingly, in line with the spatial strategy adopted for the RLDP (i.e. focus development around sustainable transport nodes), St Athan was identified as a ‘Strategic Opportunity Area’ to accommodate strategic growth – through the proposed allocation of two key sites : ‘Land at Church Farm’ and ‘Land West of St Athan’. These sites have been identified to deliver 532no. and 600no. units respectively in the Plan period. These are separate to, and are in addition to, the 51no. units that have now been attributed to the site ‘Land South of Clive Road’ in St Athan. Accordingly, in total, the Housing Trajectory makes a provision for a total of 1,183no. homes to be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period.

It is now the case that, subsequent to the publication of the Preferred Strategy, the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales. The focus in the first phase of such improvements across the region is towards improving connectivity in east Cardiff, Newport, and Magor. Accordingly, it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period, which significantly questions the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

The strategy to allocate new housing growth is predicated on focusing residential development around sustainable transport nodes, and given that St Athan will be without any railway station in the Plan period, it is not considered that these sites align with the strategy of the RLDP. Accordingly, the wider Housing Trajectory is considered to be unsound, given that a total of 1,183no. homes are expected to be delivered in St Athan within the Plan period.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add a further site for housing in this location over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites - given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

We therefore consider the Trajectory to be both unrobust and unsound, and therefore, we object to the Trajectory in its current form accordingly.

Geographic distribution of the ‘new’ sites / provision

As a general and overarching comment in respect to the additional sites now included within the Plan, and forming part of the trajectory, (and a matter expanded upon when critiquing each of these sites in the next section to this submission), it is clear and evident that these additional sites have been positioned to settlements that have already, and recently, been attributed significant growth in the preceding Plan and plan period.

Significant allocations (which have also contributed to significant levels of affordable housing) have been realised and built out in locations such as Wick and Colwinston). Notwithstanding this, two of the additional sites are now proposed for these recently expanded settlements. Given that the purpose of the affordable housing led allocations is to meet unmet affordable housing need, it is questioned why such new allocations are attributed to settlements that have already seen open market and affordable housing provision, as compared to other comparable settlements that have not received any growth whatsoever over a considerable period of time.

It is considered accordingly that the geographic positioning of these allocations is at odds with their underlying purpose - to meet unmet affordable housing need in communities that have seen no provision.
Detailed Comments in respect to ‘new’ sites

Other Housing Allocations

Land south of Clive Road, St Athan

A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below for ease:
As set out at the outset of these representations, and whilst we note the findings of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage (i.e. Suitable for further consideration), we do not consider that the consultation on this site has been undertaken procedurally appropriately or suitably. We therefore consider the consultation on this site is “unrobust” and “unsound”.
As set out previously, the strategy seeks to focus development around key sustainable transport nodes. The strategy outlined that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. It is now the case that, subsequent to the publication of the Preferred Strategy, the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales, where the focus is towards improving connectivity in east Cardiff, Newport, and Magor. Accordingly, it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period, which significantly questions the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision, and as such, to add a further site for housing over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites – given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

Affordable Housing Led Allocations

Land at Heol Fain, Wick
A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below for ease:
Candidate Site Stage 2 Assessment (Site Ref. 404)
The findings of the Candidate Site Assessment for this site are noted. We are assuming the reason this site is proposed to be allocated is a product of the site promoters/developers heading the findings stated below, and changing the form of development to be in accord with this:
“A market housing led scheme would not be acceptable, but the site could be reconsidered as a small scale affordable housing led development subject to need and viability at a maximum of 50 dwellings. In accordance with the Settlement Appraisal Review, it is considered that Wick could potentially accommodate limited affordable housing led growth.”

Whilst no clearly evident deficiency exists in respect to the site, it is known that Wick has been subject to significant growth and expansion in recent years – not least by virtue of significant housing allocations in the settlement as part of previous plans.

To evidence this, 35% of the 124 units approved on the ‘Rectory Field, St Brides Road’ site (i.e. circa 43 units as per site allocation ref. MG(47) and PP ref. 2014/01424/FUL) were approved as Affordable Housing units. This makes a substantial provision of such Affordable Housing units (and housing generally) in the settlement in recent years.

Other similarly sized and comparable settlements and locations have not by contrast been subject to any growth for some considerable time, and accordingly would warrant and benefit from provision as part of this new replacement plan.

Notwithstanding the location of such provision, and as set out in detail at the outset of these representations, National Planning Policy advocates the high and acute need for affordable housing, whilst recent analysis evidences that there is a housing emergency. These circumstances - coupled with the shortcomings identified and set out earlier in these submissions in respect to the adequacy of provision within the plan (rolled forward sites / inadequate provision etc) – means that notwithstanding any potential allocation at Wick, further provision ought to be made in comparable (previously unprovided for) locations, such as Ystradowen.
Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin

‘Land West of Maendy Road’ has been registered as an Affordable Housing Led Allocation candidate site for the RLDP, however as far as we know from our review, there is no assessment and critique of this site. This site has not been included in the ‘Candidate Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage’ (October 2023). As such, with an absence of publicly available information, it is not clear how the Council has judged this site against the criteria. This raises questions accordingly in respect to the “soundness” of a site which forms part of the intended housing land supply, and by association the trajectory. Without this, and without being consulted on (as others have been prior to this) we question whether this allocation is “sound” (i.e. its allocation is considered to be “unsound”).

Despite the absence of site-specific assessment criteria, as the RLDP preferred strategy states a key objective guiding site selection is that the Plan will “provide for vital and vibrant rural communities whilst protecting the countryside through the delivery of growth in sustainable locations related to the settlement hierarchy alongside the provision of supporting infrastructure” (Objective 7 ‘Fostering Diverse Vibrant and Connected Communities’), it is reasonable to assume that the Council considers ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ to be a ‘sustainable’ location.

Given this, we have reviewed the key services in proximity to the site. The following services were identified:

• In terms of public transport, there are two bus stops located approximately 0.2 miles (4-minute walk) from the site (‘Land West of Maendy Road’), with the 321 providing services between Llantwit Major and Talbot Green.

• The site is also located 0.2 miles (4-minute walk) from The Farmers Arms Pub and 0.2 miles (4-minute walk) from The Hare and Hounds Inn.

• The site is located 0.2 miles (5-minute walk) from Aberthin Village Hall.

Aberthin is in close proximity (1.2 miles/14-minute walk) to the key settlement of Cowbridge - which is identified as a sustainable location, and is ranked 4th place for services and facilities within the Vale of Glamorgan. The following key services are found in Cowbridge, and are therefore in close proximity to ‘Land West of Maendy Road’:

• Cowbridge Comprehensive Schools;
• Cowbridge Health Centre; and
• Cowbridge Town Centre for various Retail Services.

Considering this, there is no material difference between ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ and ‘Land at Ystradowen’ in sustainability terms. Given that Ystradowen is located only 2.7 miles from Cowbridge (9- minute bus journey), the candidate site at ’Land at Ystradowen’ is no less sustainable than the site at Aberthin. The following key services are within Ystradowen and therefore in close proximity to the promoted site:

• In terms of public transport, there are two bus stops located approximately 400m (7-minute walk) from the site (‘Ty Mawr Close’), with the ‘321 Nat Group Service’ providing services between Llantwit Major and Talbot Green. The 321 service is the same bus service that serves ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ / Aberthin.
• The site is also located 300m (3-minute walk) and 600m (10-minute walk) from Sports Pitches/Playing Fields such as ‘Ystradowen Children’s Park’, and the 3/4G Sports Pitch at ‘Ystradowen Petanque Club’.

• Furthermore, the site is located 480m (7-minute walk) from the ‘Murco – Tudor Garage’ which can provide basic goods to meet day-today needs such as bread, butter, milk etc.

Accordingly, it can be considered therefore that if the proposed allocated site ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin’ is considered sustainable and by association suitable to be an Affordable Housing Led Allocation, ‘Land at Ystradowen’ is equally suitable to be an Affordable Housing Led Allocation.
Furthermore, to reinforce the above position and to illustrate and evidence the site’s sustainability, the following has been taken from the Officer’s Reports associated with the applications for the site that directly adjoins the western boundary of the promoted site 430 - ‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’ (Housing Allocation 48). An aerial view extract is outlined below to give spatial context:
Reference is made in the Final Report of app ref. 2013/00856/OUT which states that “Ystradowen is considered a sustainable settlement for further housing development”, due to “the sustainable nature of the settlement”.

Furthermore, the Final Report of app ref. 2023/00948/FUL states:

• “Notwithstanding this, the site is located in close proximity to local services and there is a bus stop located nearby. Whilst the comments relating to the reliance and frequency of the bus services have been considered, there still remains a bus service in the area.”
• “Firstly, as aforementioned, many neighbouring comments refer to the site as unsustainable and have commented on the suitability of public transport and cycle routes etc. This has been addressed above.”

The above clearly evidences that the location has previously been endorsed as, and is currently still found to be, sustainable.

A further key consideration to note and one which does differentiate between the relative merits of the ‘Land at Maendy Road, Aberthin’ and ‘Land at Ystradowen’ is that the LDP Proposals Map demonstrates that ‘Land West of Maendy Road’ is within a Special Landscape Area - see overleaf:
Vale of Glamorgan Proposals Map (Land West of Maendy Road outlined in red)
Under Policy MG17 ‘Special Landscape Areas’ it is considered that development in SLA could pose an “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area”. Accordingly, this development and proposed allocation could therefore cause “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area”.

‘Land at Ystradowen’ by contrast does not sit within a SLA (see below). This site would therefore not pose any potential concern in this respect as it would ultimately not cause any “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area”.
Vale of Glamorgan Proposals Map (Land at Ystradowen in red)

This is a significant factor to consider. ‘Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin’ causing “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area” will lead to this proposed allocation being at risk of not being delivered by virtue of detailed assessments of its impacts and acceptability at planning application stage holding that the landscape and visual impact of development of the site is unacceptable. As such 25 affordable units will be lost from the proposed affordable 122 units, and ultimately being lost from the overall housing land supply. As stated in the draft housing trajectory “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”. There is a clear possibility therefore that this proposed allocation is not delivered (as it is located in a SLA), and so a “small scale affordable housing led development” which is needed to “respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities” is not provided for. This is clearly an issue. Given however ‘Land at Ystradowen’ does not sit within a SLA – and so not pose any potential concern or cause any “unacceptable harm to the important landscape of the area” – the allocation of this site would be more suitable and “safer” - as therefore would be no concerns over this proposed allocation being removed and/or not being delivered in this respect (as it is not located in a SLA). This would ensure that affordable units, where “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”, are provided for. As such the proposed housing trajectory would be maintained.
Land North of West Winds Business Park, Fferm Goch

The below sets out the candidate site stage two assessment of ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’:

Candidate Site Stage 2 Assessment (Site Ref. 398)
As can be seen above, the site was not considered suitable for further consideration, with the site scoring negatively (red) in respect to a number of key factors. These include the following:

• Access to Retail;
• Access to Health Services;
• Sustainable Transport- Public Transport;
• Access/ Proximity to services and facilities conclusion;
• Climate Change; and
• Health and Wellbeing.

Given the fact the site scores red in ‘Sustainable Transport – Public Transport’, this shows the site is not served by public transport connections within 800m, as outlined in the key below:
Additionally, Policy SP7 (Sustainable Transport) of the Vale of Glamorgan Preferred Strategy states “New development must support an enhanced transport network that increases the proportion of journeys being undertaken by sustainable travel modes”. Additionally Objective 8 (Promoting Active and Sustainable Travel Choices) states “new development is directed to locations that are or can be accessible by a choice of modes of transport, including walking, cycling, and public transport.”

It is well known that residents of affordable housing are statistically less likely to own private vehicles, making access to reliable and frequent public transport essential for ensuring equitable mobility. The provision of public transport infrastructure in close proximity to such developments is therefore a critical component in supporting access to employment, education, healthcare, and other key services, while also promoting sustainable travel patterns and social inclusion.

The site also scores red in respect to Access/Proximity to services, showing the site is greater than 1200m away from key services, as seen in the key below:
In respect of the above, Preferred Strategy 6.40 states the need “To ensure that new development takes place in locations that have the best access to a wide range of services, facilities, and employment opportunities, whilst minimising the need to travel, the distribution of growth is guided by the following settlement hierarchy”. To further highlight the importance of both sustainable transport and proximity to services, the preferred strategy also states the need to “Facilitate the development of adaptable, accessible, well-connected communities that have a strong sense of identity, offer a sustainable range of services and facilities and are equipped with adequate infrastructure”. In addition, Promoting Active and Sustainable Travel Choices outlines to “Promote and encourage the use of sustainable methods of travel, particularly active modes of transport, whilst simultaneously reducing the need to travel”.

In light of the above, this site does not align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy, as it fails to meet several key development goals set out. It should therefore not be considered suitable to be allocated for future developments. Its inclusion is therefore unsound.

Should this view be concurred with, 22 affordable units will be lost from the proposed affordable 122 units, and ultimately will be lost from the overall housing land supply. As stated in the draft housing trajectory “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”. There is a clear possibility therefore that this proposed allocation is removed and/or not delivered as its inclusion is unsound as it does not align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy - as it fails to meet several key development goals set out. A “small scale affordable housing led development” which is needed to “respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities” will therefore not be provided for. This is clearly an issue.

When comparing this with ‘Land at Ystradowen’, the following is set out:

Access to Services and Facilities

This criterion has been assessed firstly on the location of the site proposal in terms of whether it is located within, adjacent to, or outside a settlement, and secondly the ease of pedestrian and cycle access to key services listed below.
With reference to the above:

• In terms of public transport, there are two bus stops located approximately 400m (7-minute walk) from the site (‘Ty Mawr Close’), with the ‘321 Nat Group Service’ providing services between Llantwit Major and Talbot Green.

• The site is also located 300m (3-minute walk) and 600m (10-minute walk) from Sports Pitches/Playing Fields such as ‘Ystradowen Children’s Park’, and the 3/4G Sports Pitch at ‘Ystradowen Petanque Club’.

• Furthermore, the site is located 480m (7-minute walk) from the ‘Murco – Tudor Garage’ which can provide basic goods to meet day-today needs such as bread, butter, milk etc.

These services and facilities are therefore well within the best category (i.e. categorised/scored as ‘green’) - within 800m of site (10-minute walk). Accordingly, the site therefore has good access to services and facilities.

Furthermore, the settlement of Ystradowen has been ranked highly in the VoG Sustainable Settlements Appraisal, scoring a total of 14 points according to the distance to key services and facilities available. This places Ystradowen 26th out of a total of 87 settlements. As a result, this would be deemed a suitable area to accommodate growth.

As stated above the key settlement of Cowbridge is located in close proximity being only 2.7 miles to the south and a 9- minute bus journey. Cowbridge is identified as a sustainable location, and is ranked 4th place for services and facilities within the Vale of Glamorgan. The following key services are found in Cowbridge, and are therefore in close proximity to ‘Land West of Maendy Road’:

• Cowbridge Comprehensive Schools;
• Cowbridge Health Centre; and
• Cowbridge Town Centre for various Retail Services.

Furthermore, it is important to note that the above criteria does not take into account the important role and proximity of the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area (as defined in the RCTCBC LDP) of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant which is 2.8 miles to the north (14-minute bus journey). Ystradowen would also naturally align, and function, in association with this Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area (of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant). These areas comprise for example the following key services:

• Cowbridge and ‘Y Pant’ Comprehensive Schools;
• Cowbridge Health Centre and Old School Surgery; and
• Cowbridge Town Centre, and Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant (Strategic Growth Area), for various Retail Services.

Given the above, ‘Land at Ystradowen’ does/should align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy as it meets several of the key development goals set out. Its inclusion should therefore, in our view, be considered “sound” and therefore suitable to be allocated for future developments. The site should properly and appropriately be allocated in lieu of ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’ – the inclusion of which is “unsound”. ‘Land at Ystradowen’ would therefore ensure that affordable units, where “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”, are provided for. As such the proposed housing trajectory would be maintained.
Land to the East of Colwinston, Colwinston

A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below:

As outlined above, the site was rejected and considered not suitable for further consideration. In fact, and unlike ‘Land at Heol Fain, Wick’ and ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’ it was stated that this site “could not be considered as a suitable affordable housing led development site”. Despite this, this site is identified to be allocated as an Affordable Housing Led Allocation. As such, the inclusion of this site is “unsound”.

It is known that Colwinston has been subject to significant housing allocations in the settlement as part of previous plans. To evidence this, 25% of the 64 units (i.e. 16 units) were approved on the site allocation ref. MG2(41) and PP ref. 2014/00242/FUL. This makes a substantial provision of such Affordable Housing units (and housing generally) in the settlement in recent years.
Other similarly sized and comparable settlements and locations have not by contrast been subject to any growth for some considerable time, and accordingly would warrant and benefit from provision as part of this new replacement plan.

Notwithstanding the location of such provision, and as set out in detail at the outset of these representations, National Planning Policy advocates the high and acute need for affordable housing, whilst recent analysis evidences that there is a housing emergency. These circumstances - coupled with the shortcomings identified and set out earlier in these submissions in respect to the adequacy of provision within the plan (rolled forward sites / inadequate provision etc) – means that notwithstanding any potential allocation at Colwinston, further provision ought to be made in comparable (previously unprovided for) locations, such as Ystradowen.
Credentials of this site subject to this submission

There has been a significant change in the position and circumstances since the promoted site herein was assessed at Candidate Site Stage and the Assessment undertaken. The Stage 2 Assessment of the site concluded the following: ‘Whilst adjoining the existing LDP settlement boundary this is by virtue of an existing adopted plan LDP allocation this is currently under review. Notwithstanding this the site would represent unacceptable intrusion in to the open countryside.’
The assessment/conclusion implies that as this site (‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’) has not been built out and is “currently under review”, it suggests that ‘Land at Ystradowen’ (430) does not adjoin the existing LDP settlement boundary. Given recent developments however associated with the implementation of the planning permission ref. 2023/00948/FUL (post approval on 9th December 2024) and the site being currently being “built out” and work commencing on site, the site no longer adjoins “the existing LDP settlement boundary … by virtue of an existing adopted plan LDP allocation … currently under review”. Accordingly, and given this, the ‘Land at Ystradowen’ site boundary therefore directly adjoins/is adjoining the LDP settlement boundary and the site promoted herein.
The following specific photo evidences ‘Land off Sandy Lane, Ystradowen’ (Housing Allocation 48) is being built out the western boundary of the promoted Site ID 430. This therefore clearly highlights that the site’s boundary is representing the existing settlement limit in the existing development plan. Accordingly, the ‘Land at Ystradowen’ site boundary therefore directly adjoins/is adjoining the existing LDP settlement boundary.
Summary of These Representations

To re-iterate, and to summarise the case made and set out, these representations seek to object to the Housing Trajectory published as part of the consultation on the Draft Housing Trajectory For Housing Stakeholder Group (October 2025) which underpins the Plan and the delivery / realisation of its underlying strategy.

Detailed submissions and objections are raised above in respect to the trajectory information published regarding the soundness and robustness of this information (and it’s consultation), which we do not consider are adequate, robust, or sound to deliver the Plans aims and objectives.

ANNEX 1
Preface

This Annex sets out the detailed case in support of these representations, and by association the case for allocation of the site.

The representations are structured into the following sections:

1. Response to the Deposit Plan;
2. Comments on specific policies; and
3. A summary of the suitability of the site for development.

SECTION 1. Response to the Deposit Plan

Distribution of Growth

We object to the distribution of growth within the Deposit Plan. Specifically, we object to the strategy that underpins the Deposit Plan, which seeks to introduce the proposed ‘Strategic Growth Area’ which is expected to contain the majority of housing growth in the Vale over the Plan period, or rather the over-reliance on this defined area, and the associated absence of growth in other parts of the Plan area.

As outlined in our previous representations, the allocation of housing and the location of strategic growth neglects the Rural Vale, and in our view, overprovides in the Strategic Growth Area. For example, with limited housing stock and average house sales at over £800,000 over the last 12 months, there is a clear and established need for new homes in the Bonvilston area, particularly at an affordable level. This is reinforced by the Local Housing Market Assessment that identified a need for over 1,114 new affordable homes per annum over the next five years throughout the county, and 196 units per annum thereafter (average of 502 units per annum over 15 years). Further to this, it is widely known that the rural Vale comprises the majority of the county’s ageing population, which, as a demographic, has and will continue to grow rapidly over the Plan period. This is evident in the ‘Population Change’ chart below – which is taken from the Deposit Plan:

VofG Deposit Plan: Figure 4 Population Change 2011 to 2021

It is clearly the case that younger populations are migrating to other Authorities, where access to housing is typically cheaper and more affordable, whilst more older populations are significantly migrating into the Authority. This trend will result in an extremely unbalanced demographic, given that the working-age population have sought housing elsewhere.

Without a suitable supply of affordable housing delivered over the Plan period, this trend will only worsen. Accordingly, it is not considered that the RLDP takes into account the lack of supply of affordable homes within the rural Vale, as well as increased housing to support the growing ageing population within these areas.

Para 3.19 of the Deposit Plan clearly outlines that affordable housing is required in the short term, in order to meet pressing needs. Specifically, it outlines the following: “There is significant pressure on temporary accommodation in the Vale, for a variety of reasons including increased homelessness presentations… The need for sufficient permanent affordable housing to assist in moving people out of temporary accommodation is critical and the planning system has a vital role in assisting in new affordable housing delivery.”
Accordingly, the distribution of growth within the Authority must be proportionate, to ensure that populations / areas are not left behind where they must seek access to housing elsewhere.

The RLDP Sustainable Growth Strategy sets out 6 objectives. Objective 4 states: “Allowing for small scale affordable housing led development in settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area at a scale proportionate to the size of settlement.” (Page 66)
Para 5.25 states “Therefore, a key part of the strategy is to allow for affordable housing led developments within sustainable primary and minor rural settlements outside of the Strategic Growth Area, at a scale that is appropriate to the size of the community it is serving. An ‘affordable housing led’ scheme is one where a minimum of 50% of the dwellings would need to be affordable, although this could increase to a maximum of 100% if the site is brought forward by a social landlord”.

In terms of the definition / explanation of what the affordable housing-led development sites are seeking to achieve, paragraph 6.132 of the Deposit Plan outlines the following:

“Accordingly, to ensure that new developments respond to the high demand for smaller properties, as identified in the LHMA, priority will be given to affordable homes that are small to medium-sized, typically comprising one to three bedrooms. Representations received from the local community through the RLDP process also highlighted a desire for new housing developments to offer opportunities for accessing smaller market homes. This is particularly relevant in the rural Vale, where housing choices are more limited. Providing smaller, more affordable market homes may assist first-time buyers and enable older residents to downsize to more manageable properties within their local area. Affordable housing-led sites will therefore need to demonstrate that an appropriate range of both affordable and market dwellings has been provided.”

Despite the acknowledgement within this strategic objective, we do not consider that the RLDP goes far enough to meet this objective, nor are its provisions and allocations adequate.

It is considered that this objective is undermined by the allocations set out by the RLDP (not least the absence of allocations in the rural Vale). Notwithstanding the Vision’s clear acknowledgement of the benefit of the growth of the rural Vale, these areas have not been supported through the plan due to the lack of growth which has been attributed to these areas in terms of further housing, employment and sustainable transport. All growth options have been selected on the basis of being in either a Key Settlement, Service Centre Settlement or Primary Settlement, all of which are already sustainable areas served by rail. As a result, it is not clear how this objective can be achieved, without the allocation of further sites within the Minor Rural Settlements, such as Bonvilston. The Vale is characteristically ‘rural’, and as such, there needs to be a stronger emphasis on supporting and delivering new development in order to bolster the rural economy. This includes enabling opportunities to provide employment and business premises within / near to rural settlements, as well as focusing housing growth in these areas to reduce travel time, and promote the use of sustainable transport.

It is considered that the current Strategy does not provide adequately for all residents across the Vale, only those within the Strategic Growth Area. The underlying Vision and Objectives set out in the emerging Plan are accordingly wholly un-provided for by the detail of the Plan. This brings into question the “soundness” of the Plan.

The Strategic Growth Area does not take into account the important role and proximity of Bridgend to the West and/or the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant to the north (as defined in the RCTCBC LDP). The Minor Rural Settlements to the west are more likely to be supported by job opportunities and employment in Bridgend than further east in Barry or Cardiff. Similarly, those in the north align with, and function in association with, the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant to the north. These settlements are served by existing bus services that provide sustainable modes of travel to key employment locations in and around Bridgend. This is acknowledged in Paragraph 3.3 of the Strategy which states “The greatest number of residents who travel outside of the Vale for work purposes travel to Cardiff followed by Bridgend and Rhondda Cynon Taf, whilst a smaller proportion commute into the Vale from these neighbouring authorities”. The Demographic Evidence (Feb 2023) estimates the Vale as being a net importer of workers from RCT and Caerphilly (Para 3.6) - as shown in Figure 10 in the Preferred Strategy.

The current Strategy does not support any improvement of sustainable travel or further investment in settlements linked more closely to these areas - given that Growth has been apportioned in only the Key Service Centre and Primary Settlements. It is considered that this will fail to support and facilitate the current (and any future) employment coming into the Vale, nor will it support any employment which is located outside of the Vale to the West and North. The Growth Option is too heavily reliant on access to railway stations as the key and sole sustainable transport method, whereas access to bus services should also be appropriately assessed and focused on in terms of promoting sustainable development. It is unreasonable to devise a strategy that hinges on directing growth to areas that are accessible to railway facilities, where it is recognised in the Plan that the Vale is inherently rural. The delivery and soundness of the Plan is therefore questioned and we continue to object to the spatial growth strategy as set out in the Deposit Plan.

Housing Supply

RLDP Allocations - Key Sites

As set out in representations made throughout the Plan preparation process, we consider that the Plan is too reliant on the delivery of ‘key sites’ to meet the housing need over the Plan period. Specifically, the Plan makes provision for 2,278 units in these Key Sites, which equates to circa 65% of RLDP allocations in the housing supply. The 5 key sites that are allocated in the Deposit Plan are as follows:

• Land at North West Barry – 376no. units;
• North of Dinas Powys – 250no. units;
• Land at Readers Way, Rhoose – 520no. units;
• Land at Church Farm, St Athan – 532no. units; and
• Land to the West of St Athan – 600no. units.

We object to the current housing supply to allocate 2,278no. (65%) of units across strategic sites, as this makes for a risky and unrobust strategy for delivering housing, and in turn, meeting the identified housing need over the Plan period.

As stated in previous representations, there is concern that the proposed timing and phasing of the proposed Key Sites is unrealistic and unrobust, and in turn, undermines the soundness of the Plan, given the heavy reliance on Key Sites delivering new homes across the Plan period. Whilst it is not disputed that the sites would have gone through rigorous assessment to inform their proposed allocation, the timescales for securing planning permission (with all associated conditions discharged) is considered to be unachievable. This is particularly the case for the following timescales that are set out in the Housing Trajectory that underpin the Plan:

• “Time period of pre-application discussions/PAC consultation” – 4 months

• “Time between submission of planning application and determination” – 6 months
• “Time taken from planning consent to the discharge of relevant conditions to enable site construction” – 4 months

It is considered that the above timescales are fundamentally unrobust, and result in a distorted position of housing sites over the RLDP Plan period. It is not considered that these reflect or are informed by the timescales that are currently being incurred for planning applications submitted for major housing sites across Wales. It is rather the case that such applications would typically be determined 1-2 years following submission, given that there are a wide range of stakeholders involved in the determination of major planning applications – which often adds to the delays associated with the determination of such applications.

It is equally the case that the assumptions in the trajectory are solely based on expected timescales for processing formal submissions made to the Council, and do not factor in the timescales associated with, and needed for, the preparation of the material for submission.

It is assumed that these timescales have not considered that such major developments can be subject to the need to undertaking and submitting an Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA), which adds another layer to the determination of any planning application – given the additional considerations that form part of this process. As such, any site subject to EIA would very likely result in further delays extending beyond the timescales set out in the trajectory. Equally, as set out above, the preparation of an application subject to an EIA requires even more detail and assessment, which only further adds to the preparation stage (which has not been factored into as part of the trajectory). Accordingly, it is not considered that the trajectory contains any contingency if any site is required to undertake EIA as part of their application.

For the reasons stated above, it is unlikely that the sites will yield in full, particularly those sites which are expected to deliver housing right up to the final year of the Plan period (‘Land at Readers Way’ and ‘Land to the West of St Athan’). These sites do not allow for any ‘slippage’ should any delays arise through the development management process (which for the reasons set out above, will very likely be the case), and as such, a gap in housing delivery will be brought about as a result of these sites not yielding in full.

Given the proposed ambitious timescales set out for the delivery of the Key Sites, it is considered the housing trajectory is unrobust, and in turn, undermines the soundness of the Plan as a result. A change in strategy should be pursued whereby a greater proportion of small to medium sites are allocated for housing in the Plan period, which are more likely to fully yield given that such sites are subject to less assessment and consideration compared to strategic sites. This would make for a more robust strategy, where a greater number of small to medium sites can deliver housing in the short and medium term of the Plan period, whereas the strategic sites represent a more longer-term strategy to deliver housing – which would then spill into the next Plan period.

Accordingly, we object to the Deposit Plan in its current form, where there is an overreliance on housing need to be met through the delivery of the Key Sites, which we consider to be unrobust, and undermine the integrity and soundness of the Plan. The current strategy of the Plan is at significant risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated, as least as swifty as identified in the housing trajectory. Should no change be made to the Plan to address the above issues, then it is extremely likely that the Plan would ‘fail’ in meeting the identified housing need.

Windfall Sites

It is noted that the RLDP is made up of the following:

• Existing land supply (3,838 units)
• Windfall sites (1,303 units)
• Allocated sites (3,521 units)

Para 6.69 states that “Analysis of historical delivery of housing indicates that on average small windfall sites (sites of less than 10 dwellings) have provided some 53 dwelling completions per year, and large windfall sites (10 dwellings or greater) contributed on average 80 dwellings per year. Overall, it is projected that windfall sites could contribute a further 1,303 dwellings over the remainder of the plan”.

As set out in our previous representations to the Housing Trajectory, we would object to the expected numbers of completions expected during the Plan period, given that there are a number of issues with delivering housing in Wales and given past completions rates for The Vale of Glamorgan – which is discussed in greater detail later in this submission. Again, this results in the Plan being at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated – including any windfall sites.

St Athan Train Station

The RLDP Sustainable Growth Strategy comprises six key elements, of which the following is set out in respect to the allocation of new housing growth in the Authority:

“3. Focusing development at locations that are well served by existing and proposed rail stations as part of the South Wales Metro and in areas with good bus links.”

The strategy outlines that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken in 2022, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. Accordingly, in line with the spatial strategy adopted for the RLDP (i.e. focus development around sustainable transport nodes), St Athan was identified as a ‘Strategic Opportunity Area’ to accommodate strategic growth – through the proposed allocation of two key sites : ‘Land at Church Farm’ and ‘Land West of St Athan’. These sites have been identified to deliver 532no. and 600no. units respectively in the Plan period. These are separate to, and are in addition to, the 51no. units that have now been attributed to the site ‘Land South of Clive Road’ and 80no. units attributed to ‘Former Stadium Site, adjacent to Burley Place’ in St Athan. Accordingly, in total, the Housing Trajectory makes a provision for a total of 1,263no. homes to be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period.

It is now the case, however, that the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales – as confirmed in the ‘Today, Tomorrow, Together: A vision for rail across Wales and Borders’ (February 2026) recently published by Transport For Wales. This paper acknowledges that a new railway station at St Athan would represent a longer term opportunity, and therefore, will not be delivered in the short term / within the Plan period of the emerging Plan. Equally the Council have not provided any evidence to contradict this, and therefore, it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period. This brings about significant questions regarding the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

The strategy to allocate new housing growth is predicated on focusing residential development around sustainable transport nodes, and given that St Athan will be without any railway station in the Plan period, it is not considered that the sites align with the strategy of the RLDP. Accordingly, the wider Housing Trajectory is considered to be unsound, given that a total of 1,263no. homes (36% of the Plan’s new housing allocations) are expected to be delivered in St Athan within the Plan period.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add further sites for housing in this location over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites - given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

In terms of the expected delivery of the Key Sites in St Athan, it is noted that the trajectory identifies that for the majority of the Plan period, both sites will be delivering 80no. dwellings per annum on each site (equating to 160no units in total). Whilst these are two separate sites, we seriously question the realistic prospects of the significant number of

homes being built simultaneously on two sites in proximity to one another – given the considerable logistical issues that would be brought about.

Accordingly, it remains that there are serious questions regarding the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations at St Athan, which do not accord with the strategy adopted for the RLDP – to focus housing growth on settlements that are supported by railway stations. Moreover, the scale of development proposed at St Athan is also not considered to be proportionate, with a significant number of homes delivered in a location not served by a railway station.

Rolled forward LDP Sites

The proposed land supply within the housing trajectory includes provision for ‘rolled forward’ LDP sites, which contribute to the total of ‘Proposed Additional Housing Allocations’ forming part of the housing supply. Specifically, a total of 1,242no. units have been identified as additional housing allocations, of which 959no. are expected to be delivered on the rolled forward LDP sites. As such, these sites are to provide for a significant proportion of additional housing in the Plan period (specifically circa 77%).

The Development Plans Manual (DPM) sets out that allocations rolled forward from a previous plan will require careful justification for inclusion in a revised plan. The DPM outlines that “there will need to be a substantial change in circumstances to demonstrate sites can be delivered and justify being included again. Clear evidence will be required that such sites can be delivered.” The below table included in the consultation document provides a breakdown of the rolled forward LDP sites, and in particular, sets out the status of each site:


The above table evidences that the current LDP has under delivered in regard to its targeted unit number of the Plan period, given that these sites did not yield any housing over the current Plan period. This is further exacerbated by the Land Bank sites that have also not delivered any housing across the existing LDP period, amounting to 1,860no units. Accordingly, when considering the non-delivery of both rolled forward LDP sites and Land Bank sites, this amounts to an approximate shortfall of 2,189 homes being delivered, or 33% of the total housing supply identified for the current LDP (8,525no. dwellings).

It is therefore considered that, as a minimum, the units carried over from the LDP (without planning permission) should be a surplus to the housing supply proposed for the RLDP, as opposed to being relied on to deliver the housing need over the Plan period. This is particularly the case for the two sites (Land to the west of Pencoedtre Lane, and Land between Northern Access Road and Eglwys Brewis Road) which do not currently have any active planning application

submitted for their development. These sites total an amount of 370no. units to be delivered in the Plan period, which represents more than a third of the additional housing allocations to make up the housing supply.

As such, it is considered that the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP is still present – indeed it has grown, and will continue to do so, not least when considered in conjunction with the projected population growth over the coming years to 2036, and the aspirations for growth in the Plan’s strategy.

Accordingly, in order to secure the targeted level of housing, a greater level of provision for new allocations should be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. This would bring about better certainty that the housing requirement is met by the housing supply over the Plan period, not least given that the current Plan failed in this respect. Without a re-apportioning of the housing supply, it is considered that the Plan would heavily rely on the contingency (i.e. rolled forward LDP sites) coming forward in the Plan period, yet there is uncertainty that these will yield in full over the new Plan period. This raises issues of ’soundness’, and risks rendering the Plan unrobust.

Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions

As set out in our previous representations to the Housing Trajectory consultation, we have considerable concerns in relation to the proposed delivery of the sites identified in the trajectory – which we do not consider are robust or reasonable.

Appendix 1 of the Deposit Plan sets out the development trajectory bar chart – which illustrates the proposed delivery of housing, on a per annum basis, over the Plan period.

Extract of Housing Trajectory Graph (annotated by GJP – red dotted line)
It is our view that the trajectory makes for an unrealistic and unrobust delivery rate of housing, which does not reflect the pattern of housing completions in the Vale of Glamorgan. We therefore have concerns regarding the soundness of the trajectory, not least that there remain significant uncertainties as to the delivery of the Key Sites (as discussed earlier in these representations).

Firstly, the graph / trajectory illustrates a large ‘spike’ in terms of housing delivery in the year 2027-28, which is considered to be a marked and pronounced step change in the rate of delivery. This envisages / relies on a significantly higher rate of delivery than previous years in the Vale of Glamorgan (2021 through 2021 – as depicted by the green columns). It is considered that this level of delivery is unlikely to materialise, not least given prevailing market

circumstances, past rates of delivery on the ground, and also in light of levels achieved across Wales and the UK in general.

The published trajectory shows that the average level of completions from 2021 - 2025 has been approx. 400 - 500 units, however, the chart shows that from 2027 – 2028, completions are expected to rise to approx. 1,000 units per year. The expected delivery levels in the trajectory therefore show and assume a doubling in delivery rates and unit numbers (an increase of approx. 100% relative to past rates). There is no clear evidence as to how this level of completions can be achieved let alone guaranteed. This is the case in particular given that the forthcoming years (2025-2027) are expected to see performance (yield) drop significantly (delivery rates in 2025 – 2026 and 2026 – 2027). The chart shows only approx. 200 units being delivered over these years. It is therefore unclear how completion rates are expected to rise so quickly (from 200 in 2025-26 to 1000 in 2027-28), and by such a significant amount. The assumptions in the trajectory are wholly unrobust in our view.

It is also the case that the anticipated delivery of housing fails to be consistent within and across the Plan period. It is unclear as to why completions rates aren’t spread out more evenly throughout the Plan period - to ensure a robust and most realistic housing trajectory until 2036. By comparison to the marked increase in the rate of delivery between and over the period 2027 to 2031, there is then a marked fall-off or drop in delivery towards and by the end of the Plan period. Indeed, in the final year, the level of completions are expected to be lower than the period 2021-2025.

Accordingly, we consider that the housing trajectory, as proposed, is entirely manufactured and unreflective of the past completion rates, as well as the recent published completion rates provided by Welsh Government recently in August 2025. As set out in our previous representations, it has been evidenced that there has been a general decline in the number of new dwellings started and completed.

Description of Figure 1: ‘New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’
As identified in the graph above, in 2024-25, 4,631 new dwellings were completed, which represents 3% fewer than the previous year. This figure represented the second lowest number on record, with the lowest number recorded in 2021-22, a year heavily affected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic (in 2021-22, 4,616 new dwellings were completed) The New Housing Pipeline Report Quarter 3, 2025 Report (December 2025) published by the HBF evidenced that the number of residential units approved in the UK fell by 7% during the third quarter of 2025, extending the decline seen during the first half of the year. At 45,075, the number of units approved was 34% down on the third quarter of 2024 and the lowest quarterly total since 2012 Q2. At 146,798, the overall number of units approved during the first nine months of 2025 was 25% lower than a year ago.



HBF Graph Illustrating Residential Approvals (2006-2025)

The above graph clearly shows a pronounced downward trend in the number of residential planning approvals over the period, particuarly with a sharp decrease seen since 2020. Further, the HBF document ‘Increasing Housing Supply in Wales’ (4th September 2025) clearly shows that The Vale of Glamorgan has not met the housing delivery requirements in recent years in 2023 – 2024 – along with every other authority in Wales (except Newport). Accordingly, this further adds to the argument that historically The Vale (and most other authorities) have underprovided. This adds considerable uncertainty on the assumed transformation in yield and delivery as built into the trajectory.

Graph: Housing Delivery as a proportion of annual housing requirement in Wales per Authority

More recently, the Welsh Government has released its new estimates of housing need (Estimates of Additional Hosing Need: 2025-based – February 2026). The estimates show how many new homes need to be built over the next twenty years to address existing unmet need as well as newly arising need. The figures set out that around 8,700no. new homes a year are needed over the next Senedd term up to 2030 to meet new housing need. Additionally, there is an unmet need for 9,400 affordable homes.

Overall, this represents more than double 2024/25 levels of supply, where just 4,638 new homes were built.

HBF: Estimates of Housing Need

HBF: Actual Delivery vs Estimates of Need

The above graphs unequivocally evidence that historical rates of delivery of housing in Wales has remained low, and moreover, significant numbers of housing need to be allocated in order to meet the estimate of need. It is not

considered that the housing trajectory, in its current form, is robust to meet the housing need over the Plan period, given the uncertainties of the Key Sites, and the level of housing delivery that has been identified for the Plan.

Affordable Housing-Led Sites

HG4 - Rural Affordable Housing Led Sites

Policy HG4 of the Deposit Plan identifies four sites to be allocated as affordable housing-led sites, totalling approximately 122 dwellings within the plan period. Given the target levels of achieving 3,070 affordable dwellings over the course of the Plan period (up to 2036), it is not considered that this policy goes far enough to address the target and level of affordable housing need.


It is noted that the number of units identified for each site relate to the ‘total’ number of units delivered, as opposed to the affordable housing provision. Accordingly, it can be assumed that circa 50% of each allocation will comprise affordable units (given each site is affordable-led), which would equate to a total provision of circa 61no. units. The contribution from the affordable housing-led sites would only equate to 2% of the total need (3,070no. units). Even when coupled with the affordable housing provision from open market sites and 100% exception sites, the total delivery of affordable housing will still be nowhere near enough to meet the overall affordable housing need over the Plan period. Accordingly, it is considered that inadequate provision has been made for such sites – not least given that 3 of the 4 allocated affordable housing-led sites are located west of Cowbridge.

Insofar as to the sites chosen and allocated are concerned, it is clear from reviewing the Stage 1 and Stage 2 Candidate Site Assessment that the allocated sites HG4(1) – (4) were not considered acceptable due to being outside the strategic growth areas, and were considered to be unacceptable intrusions into the open countryside. After being resubmitted as affordable housing-led sites, the sites were allocated, some with a smaller area in order to accommodate less dwellings in total.

The sustainable credentials of the sites allocated is not disputed, and it is acknowledged that these minor rural settlements have the ability to accommodate further growth, in the form of affordable-led housing allocations. However, it is considered that Land South of A48, Bonvilston (Site ID: 435 / 3857) should also form an allocation as part of this policy, given its high sustainability credentials and its appropriate location to accommodate a suitable level of development. Please refer to the previous representations made to the Housing Trajectory Consultation (dated 17th October) for further, more detailed comments regarding the above sites.

The LHMA 2023 shows that there is a need for 77 affordable homes in the St Nicholas & Llancarfan housing market area (which Bonvilston is located within), and a need for 242 affordable homes in the Wenvoe housing market area. As such, there is an identified need for affordable housing in this area, something which the site could address through an allocation.

Securing further delivery of Affordable Units

As set out above, it can be assumed that the affordable housing-led allocated sites only provide 61no. affordable dwellings, which comprise 4no. allocated sites that are expected to deliver approximately between 20 – 50 dwellings (including both affordable and market housing). However, the RLDP sets a target of 3,070 affordable homes to be delivered in the Plan period. This means that affordable housing-led allocations make up less than 4% of the target provision and will only make provision for 2% of the targeted number. We would therefore object to the sites included

within Policy HG4 and would suggest that more sites should be allocated as part of the policy in order to secure delivery of a higher number of affordable housing units to meet the target.
Whilst it is acknowledged that the Key Sites will provide for a significant proportion of affordable housing, as set out above in these representations, there is serious concern regarding the deliverability of these sites, which would result in a significant gap of affordable housing delivered.

A greater number of affordable housing-led sites allocated would ensure there is sufficient contingency built into the Plan, to ensure that the overall affordable housing need is met over the Plan period. Failure to do so would result in affordable housing need being unmet, with demand continuing to outstrip supply.

Previous representations to the Preferred Strategy (dated 14th February 2024) provided comment on the sustainability scoring of Bonvilston and the proposed site. As outlined within these representations, it is considered that the site (ID 435 / 3857) represents a sustainable, deliverable and acceptable site. This proposed allocation is situated in proximity to Cowbridge, Culverhouse Cross and Cardiff, which comprise all key services. Given that the site is located within 4 miles of both Cowbridge and St Nicholas, the site is within a maximum 20-minute bus journey of the following key services:

• Cowbridge Comprehensive School;
• St Nicholas Primary School;
• Cowbridge Health Centre; and
• Cowbridge town centre for various Retail Services.

Accordingly, the settlement of Bonvilston represents an acceptable location to allocate an affordable housing-led site, given the access to existing services and facilities that would serve future residents of the site.

To conclude, the settlement, location and site are inherently suitable and deliverable, and will make a significant contribution to achieving and realising the housing and economic development needs of Bonvilston, support the surrounding settlements, and the Plan area as a whole. As such, the site should be considered further.

Comments on Specific Policies

HG5 - Affordable Housing Exception Sites

Given the unmet need and extant backlog of affordable housing, as identified within the LHMA (2023), it is noted that an Affordable Housing Exception Sites policy has been adopted in order to assist in the delivery of affordable housing. Policy HG5 sets out the specific criteria where proposals for 100% small scale affordable housing developments will be permitted outside settlement boundaries. The current policy wording for the Affordable Housing Site Exception Policy and the criteria listed out in the policy is generally supported.

That said, it is noted that a ‘cap’ of 10 dwellings (as referenced within supporting text Para 6.140) is set. This should be amended due to such a ‘cap’ limiting the flexibility of the policy, in particularly for sites coming forward as part of this policy in Minor Rural Settlements.

As such, we would suggest that supporting Para 6.140 should be amended in order to allow for further flexibility for sites in Minor Rural Settlements to come forward and to deliver affordable housing, given that the criteria set out in the policy would already protect and restrict the extent of any development as it stands. Therefore, the proposed amendments to Para 6.140 are outlined below in red:

6.140 “For the purposes of this policy, ‘small-scale’ will generally mean no more than around 10 dwellings on sites adjoining Minor Rural Settlements. In Primary Settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area, proposals for more than 10 dwellings may be acceptable where required to meet a specific need and where the number of dwellings is proportionate to the size of the settlement. In assessing the scale and extent of any proposed local needs housing, consideration should also be given to affordable housing already planned in the ward or nearby area, including sites

with existing planning permissions and those allocated in the RLDP. The size and type of affordable housing proposed should reflect the identified local need in the area.”

The above suggested wording would achieve a more flexible policy, which would allow for a variety of scaled applications to secure planning permission for solely 100% affordable housing across the Authority area. This greater flexibility would enable the policy to make a significant contribution towards meeting the affordable housing need – which, as set out earlier is in considerable need.

SECTION 3. Suitability of the site for development

The site promoter objects to the overall assessment of the site, in that it is not considered suitable for further development in the Plan. The promoted site has undergone extensive scrutiny and appraisal at a high level to ascertain the qualities of the site, in light of all identified material considerations which relate to the proposals.

The delivery of the site will yield much needed housing (including Affordable housing) and contribute to the overall supply in the new Plan period, whilst making effective use of a suitably located site for residential development.

Moreover, as set out in ‘Annex 2’ of our representations, the site has overcome the ‘constraints’ set out in the Candidate Site Assessment undertaken for the site, which demonstrates that the proposal is both acceptable and deliverable.

Deliverability of the Site

In summary, the site seeks to deliver the following key elements:

• In summary, the opportunity of the site seeks to deliver:
• Residential development comprising up to 25 dwellings, with at least 50% affordable housing in accordance with Policy SP2,
• Highways infrastructure within the site;
• Upgraded access to the site;
• Strong legible pedestrian and cycle connections throughout the site and with the existing settlement;
• Green Infrastructure; and
• Sustainable Drainage Systems (SuDS).

SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

In summary, the site promoters:

• Object to the distribution of growth proposed for the Plan area, with a more balanced and equitable distribution of housing sites required in order to meet the identified housing need;
• Object to the level of growth identified for the Plan period;
• Object to the housing trajectory that underpins the delivery of housing within the Plan period – which is considered to be unrealistic and unrobust, leading to serious uncertainty regarding the “soundness” of the Plan;
• Object to the over-reliance on Key Sites and Rolled Forward Sites in making up the Plan’s housing land supply;
• Object to the scale and timing of delivery of sites in / around St Athan – all of which are predicated on railway station provision which will not be realised in the Plan period;
• Object to the under-provision of sites under Policy HG4 – Rural Affordable Housing-Led sites, not least given their extremely limited contribution to the targeted need for affordable housing;
• Object to the current wording of the HG5 Policy ‘Affordable Housing Exception Sites’ which requires greater flexibility to play an important role in delivery much-needed affordable homes across the Authority; and
• Object the Council’s assessment that the site is not considered suitable for development.

The site and proposals are consistent with the RLDP strategy, other Vale of Glamorgan strategies, and the requirements of Planning Policy Wales and Future Wales. It will make a significant contribution to the Vale’s identified housing requirement in the RLDP period and will provide for a wide range of uses that will support the wider community whilst embodying principles relating to placemaking and the well-being of future generations.

The site has no fundamental constraints and has the ability to deliver significant economic, social and environmental benefits for the benefit of future residents and the existing local community. The site is demonstrated to be viable, being able to deliver policy-compliant levels of affordable housing and given its location within a strong market area, will benefit from high delivery rates.

ANNEX 2
SECTION 4. A summary of the suitability of the site for development including a Response to the Candidate Site Assessment

This section of the overall representations to the Deposit Plan is to respond to, and address, the Council’s assessment of the site.

While the issues the Council have raised in their assessment of the site have been addressed and discussed within the representations made at the Preferred Strategy stage of the Plan, a similar ‘scoring’ exercise has been undertaken as part of the evidence base for the Deposit Plan. As such, it is still pertinent to consider and respond to the Council’s assessment of the site as part of these representations

The Detailed Site Assessment for Land South of the A48, Bonvilston (Site ID: 3857) sets out that the position of the site at the Deposit Stage is as follows:

“Notwithstanding the amendment from a market led to an affordable housing led scheme (original CS 435), the other reasons why the site was previously discounted still remain.
The development would have an adverse impact on the character and setting of the Bonvilston Conservation Area. Development of the site would require major highway mitigation works to enable safe vehicular access on to the A48.
The Predictive ALC Maps indicates that site is Grade 2 Best and Most Versatile Land. Development of the site would lead to the loss of BMV land. BMV land should only be developed if there is an overriding need for the development and either previously developed land or land is lower agricultural grades is unavailable. There is housing land available within the ward of St Nicholas and Llancarfan that can support the delivery of affordable housing.”
Conservation Area
In terms of the assertion that “The development would have an adverse impact on the character and setting of the Bonvilston Conservation Area, this is strongly disputed.

Whilst it is acknowledged that the site lies within the Bonvilston Conservation Area, the conclusion that it would be adversely affected is not considered to be accurate. Firstly, the site as it currently stands, consists of an open field. This does not match the conservation area which is characterised primarily by residential dwellings of varying densities, and as such, it is considered that development of the site with sensitively designed buildings would enhance as opposed to harming its surroundings.

Secondly, the large residential development to the north of the site, ‘Land at Sycamore Cross’ ref. 2015/00960/FUL encroaches on the Bonvilston Conservation area but was deemed acceptable by the LPA. Although not all of the site is within the Conservation Area, it’s encroachment and presence adjoining and surrounding a large proportion of the area is considerable and was deemed acceptable by Officers in 2017. Given this, a development at the Land South of the A48 should be deemed acceptable, as it follows the same principles albeit at a much smaller scale.

Highways
As for the statement that “Development of the site would require major highway mitigation works to enable safe vehicular access on to the A48”, this is also strongly disputed.

The site is located immediately adjacent to the adopted highway where it is proposed to upgrade and enhance the existing gated access point. Due to the existing access point, it is not considered that ‘major’ highway mitigation works would be needed, rather this would be enhanced and improved as part of the proposed development. Furthermore, given the nature of the road, with long views extending in both directions, it is anticipated that appropriate visibility

splays could be achieved to enable safe access and egress. As such, it is considered that the site would achieve appropriate highway access within the need for “major” highway mitigation works.

Agricultural Land Classification
The Detailed Site Assessment also sets out that “The Predictive ALC Maps indicates that site is Grade 2 Best and Most Versatile Land. Development of the site would lead to the loss of BMV land. BMV land should only be developed if there is an overriding need for the development and either previously developed land or land is lower agricultural grades is unavailable.” This is strongly disputed.

A review of the Agricultural Land Classification Predictive Map indicates that the site lies primarily within ‘Grade 2: Very good quality agricultural land’ but no Grade 1 land is present. Further assessment and tests to establish the quality would therefore be undertaken in due course to confirm the quality of the land. However, it is not considered that it would be suitable to farm in any event given the location immediately adjoining existing residential development and the fact that it is within private ownership. Overall, given that the site is relatively small with a gross area of 0.88 hectares, it is not considered that its development would result in a detrimental or significant loss of agricultural land – not least given that site is not capable of beneficial agricultural production due to its limited size.

Housing / Housing Land
Further to the above, it is also set out that “There is housing land available within the ward of St Nicholas and Llancarfan that can support the delivery of affordable housing”, however, this is not considered to be entirely accurate.

The LHMA 2023 shows that there is a need for 77 affordable homes in the St Nicholas & Llancarfan housing market area and a need for 242 affordable homes in the Wenvoe housing market area. This need has not been met through the allocations of sites within the RLDP, nor has it been met through outstanding commitments.

As outlined in Annex 1, it can be assumed that the affordable housing-led allocated sites will only provide for 61no. affordable dwellings within the Rural Vale, comprising 4no. sites that are expected to deliver approximately 20 – 50 dwellings (including both affordable and market housing). However, the RLDP sets a target of 3,070 affordable homes to be delivered in the Plan period. This means that affordable housing-led allocations make up less than 4% of the target provision and will only make provision for 2% of the targeted number. Therefore, more sites should be allocated in order to secure the delivery of a higher number of affordable housing units to meet the target.

As set out within Annex 1, it is acknowledged that the Key Sites will provide for a significant proportion of affordable housing, however, there is serious concern regarding the deliverability of these sites, which would result in a significant gap in the total affordable housing that is delivered. Therefore, allocating a greater number of affordable housing-led sites would ensure there is sufficient contingency built into the Plan, to ensure that the overall affordable housing need is met over the Plan period. Failure to do so would result in the both the overall affordable housing need, and the need for the St Nicholas & Llancarfan housing market area, being unmet, with demand continuing to outstrip supply.

The LHMA 2023 sets out the existing stock and planned supply of affordable housing over the next 5 years (up until 2028). This assessment found that the housing market area of St Nicholas & Llancarfan has a committed supply of 4no. one beds, 11no. two beds, and 3no. three beds, with 2 no. three beds as expected re-lets. The assessment also identifies a committed supply of 39no. units for intermediate housing.

The LHMA also sets out the existing stock and planned supply for Wenvoe, identifying the committed supply of social rent homes to be 12no. one beds, 11no. two beds, and 5no. three beds, with 7no. one beds and 8no. two beds as expected re-lets. There is no committed supply for intermediate housing in Wenvoe.

It should be noted that the development of ‘Land East of Nicholas’ (Campbell Court and Cae Newydd), has now been completed, and as such, can not form part of the housing land available. The latest Pre-Application Response for the site subject to these representations (Land South of the A48, Bonvilston) accounted for the development of the site in

St Nicholas, stating that “even after the developments at St Nicholas and Culverhouse Cross, there was the need in the Wenvoe ward for 1 Bed 71, 2 Bed 49, 3 Bed 29, 4 Bed 7, 5 Bed 5, Total 161".

It should also be noted that there are existing commitments within the Bonvilston area (‘Land to the east of Bonvilston’), however, the deliverability of the existing commitment is seriously questioned. Application Ref. 2015/00960/FUL was approved in July 2017, with the Housing Land Supply and Housing Trajectory Report (December 2025) confirming that of the total 120 units permitted, only 40 had completed by 1st April 2025, with the remaining 80 units not started by this same date. Of the 80 units not started, 25 units are affordable homes.

It is well known that phase 1 of the development at ‘Land to the east of Bonvilston’ has faced difficulties which has led to the development remaining incomplete. This does of course put into question the overall deliverability of the site, and raises concerns about the units that were, and still are, required within the Bonvilston area.

The allocation of the site promoted herein would not only help in the short term in meeting the overall affordable housing target for the Plan, but would also assist in meeting the unmet needs of affordable housing within Bonvilston – not least given the serious concern regarding the deliverability of the committed supply of housing within the St Nicholas & Llancarfan housing market area.

For the reasons set out above, and in light of the information provided within the LHMA 2023 and the Housing Land Supply and Housing Trajectory Report (December 2025), it is evident that there is considerable need for affordable housing within Bonvilston, and accordingly, the housing market areas of St Nicholas & Llancarfan, and Wenvoe. There have not been any sites allocated to assist within meeting the local need, and more sites should be allocated in order to secure delivery of a higher number of affordable housing units to meet the overall target of the Plan.

The contention that “There is housing land available within the ward of St Nicholas and Llancarfan that can support the delivery of affordable housing” is therefore strongly disputed – not least given that there is a clear and evident need to allocate more affordable housing-led sites in order to meet the target set out in the Plan.

Interim Summary

In summary, it is considered that the site subject to these representations would not have an adverse impact on the character and setting of the Bonvilston Conservation Area, nor would major highway mitigation works be required to enable safe vehicular access on to the A48. Moreover, it is considered that the site’s classification as BMV Agricultural Land does not pose a fundamental constraint to development – as the site represents a relatively small parcel with a gross area of 0.88 hectares, which is not capable of beneficial agricultural production due to its limited size.

There is also a considerable need for the affordable housing in Bonvilston and the housing market area of St Nicholas & Llancarfan. The site promoted herein would assist in meeting these local needs and should be allocated accordingly.

Candidate Site Assessment

The Detailed Site Assessment undertaken by the LPA includes a summary and assessment of the ‘scoring’ system used at the Preferred Strategy stage. A comparison between the site assessments undertaken at both the Preferred Strategy stage and Deposit Plan stage is provided overleaf for reference.



Site Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage Site Assessment at Deposit Plan Stage

As demonstrated above, there has only been one change to the scoring attributed to the site, this being a change from ‘red’ to ‘amber’ for ‘Developer Interest’. Detailed submissions were made on the previous assessment undertaken by the Council at Preferred Strategy stage, and as such, should be read in conjunction with these representations accordingly (see Appendix B).

Whilst detailed submissions were made on the previous assessment, it is considered pertinent for the scoring of the key criteria’s to be addressed as part of these representations. As such, these have also been discussed below.
Developer Interest

As set out above, the Detailed Site Assessment for ‘Developer Interest’ has changed from ‘red’ to ‘amber’. The assessment methodology for this section of the assessment has been extracted below for reference.


As set out above, ‘amber’ refers to there being no development interest identified at this stage, however, there is evidence to indicate that the site is being actively promoted by the owners.

The representations made to the Preferred Strategy (Appendix B) sets out that whilst the site does not yet have an agreement with a developer to take on the land, it is considered that this would be achieved should the site be allocated, and planning permission granted. Newydd Housing association have been engaged previously and had agreed to take the site forward as a 100% affordable scheme, albeit is also considered that they could take on the affordable units as part of a mixed tenure scheme.

In addition to Newydd, the site promoter has also received an offer from a private social housing provider who would be prepared to support the site as a mixed tenure scheme.

This position has not changed since the Preferred Strategy stage, and is considered that there is continued developer interest for the site. This is not considered to change at any point – not least given the discussions held between the owners of the site in questions and developers of interest.

Environmental and Physical Constraints

As set out at the Pre-Application Stage. the site underwent a Preliminary Ecological Appraisal in September 2022 which identified that whilst some precautionary measures were recommended in terms of protecting priority habitats and reptiles, the site is not fundamentally constrained from development on ecological terms. Given this, it is considered that further ecological surveys would be undertaken at the planning stage to inform any development proposals and ensure the safeguarding of the natural environment.

Access to Key Services (Retail, Primary Schools, and Health Services) and to Services and Facilities

As set out within the representations made to the Preferred Strategy, the site is located within a maximum of a 20-minute bus journey to a version of every key service listed, due to the proximity of the site to settlements such as Cowbridge, Culverhouse Cross and St Nicholas. Due to the availability of frequent bus services, and active travel links, these key services are readily available to access for any residents within Bonvilston without the need to travel by car.

To reiterate, the site ‘Land South of the A48, Bonvilston’ is situated in proximity to Cowbridge, Culverhouse Cross and Cardiff, which comprise all key services. Concluding this allocation as ‘unsustainable’ in regard to ‘availability of local facilities in and around settlements’ is not accurate. Given that the site is located within 4 miles of both Cowbridge and St Nicholas, the site is within a maximum 20-minute bus journey of the following key services:

• Cowbridge Comprehensive School;
• St Nicholas Primary School;
• Cowbridge Health Centre; and
• Cowbridge town centre for various Retail Services.

It should also be noted that Bonvilston contains a number of facilities within a short and level walking distance of the site, including the village shop and Café, as well as the Red Lion Public House.

Given the accessibility of the site to other settlements, and the fact that these are made accessible by bus and active travel routes, it is considered that the site should be concluded as sustainable in regard to access to key services.

Summary and Conclusion

As evidenced above, and within the representations made to the Preferred Strategy (Appendix B), there are no fundamental constraints at, or associated with the site, that would preclude the site coming forward for development in the RLDP period.

To conclude, the settlement, location, and site, are inherently suitable and deliverable, and will make a significant contribution to achieving and realising the housing and economic development needs of the Vale of Glamorgan.

Summary of These Representations

In short, and to summarise the case made and set out, these representations seek to object to the Housing Trajectory published as part of the consultation on the Draft Housing Trajectory For Housing Stakeholder Group (October 2025) which underpins the Plan and the delivery / realisation of its underlying strategy.

Detailed submissions and objections are raised below in respect to the trajectory information published regarding the soundness and robustness of this information (and it’s consultation), which we do not consider are adequate, robust, or sound to deliver the Plans aims and objectives.

Preface

This Submission sets out the detailed case in support of these representations. The representations are structured as follows:

1. Procedural Consultation Matters;
2. Timing Assumptions underpinning the Trajectory;
3. Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions;;
4. Status & Standing of Sites included in the Trajectory;
5. Key Sites;
6. St Athan Train Station;
7. Geographic distribution of the ‘new’ sites / provision;
8. Detailed comments in respect to ‘new’ sites;
9. Conclusions Procedural Consultation Matters
Firstly, we do not consider that the consultation on the Housing Trajectory information has been procedurally undertaken appropriately or suitably.

Only 14 days have been afforded to parties to make representations on the information provided. This is despite new sites being introduced (at this late stage) i.e. Land South of Clive Road (identified in Table 4), as well as a number of affordable housing led housing sites being introduced (i.e. those outlined in Table 5). This does not provide an adequate process or timescale for objectors to scrutinise the published content, and to make comments on sites which have been presented for the first time at a late stage in the process.

As part of these representations, we will be making brief comment on the sites which have not been previously consulted upon, namely:
Other Housing Allocations
• Land south of Clive Road, St Athan;

Affordable Housing Led Sites
• Land at Heol Fain, Wick;
• Land west of Maendy Road, Aberthin;
• Land Noth of West Winds Business Park, Fferm Goch; and
• Land to the East of Colwinston.

It is considered necessary to comment on these sites, given that they form an important and critical part of the housing trajectory, and by association in the Council and Plan reaching their targets. Moreover, these sites have not been consulted on previously. Accordingly we consider it necessary to pass comment on these in order to ensure that the consultation is fair and robust.

As well as limited time given to comment on the information contained within the Housing Trajectory, the LPA have failed to set up a Housing Stakeholder group to agree and discuss the trajectory information and data – with the cover email to the consultation (dated 3rd October 2025) stating “it is considered that it would be the best use of stakeholder time to conduct this engagement via email, particularly as many of the forecasts have been developed in consultation with site promoters including developers and their agents”.

We submit that the stakeholder consultation has not been a transparent nor robust consultation process, given that the Development Plans Manual states at Para 5.66 “A housing trajectory must be prepared to support the Deposit Plan. In order to generate a housing trajectory and associated phasing tables it will be necessary for LPAs to engage with stakeholders through a Housing Stakeholder Group. This will ensure that the timing and phasing of sites is robust and based on up to date information”. Given that this has not taken place, we would raise fundamental concerns that the consultation of the trajectory has not adequately taken place as per the relevant guidance. Afterall, the guidance stresses that a Group should be formed as a necessity. Accordingly, there has not been an adequate process and opportunity to review and comment on the information published, including in respect to the other sites have been introduced at this late stage.

Timing Assumptions underpinning the Trajectory

The assumed and factored in timescales of the various stages of bringing forward sites i.e. the pre-application stage, the planning application process, and the discharge of condition process outlined in the trajectory are considered to be fundamentally inaccurate, and result in a distorted position of the delivery of housing sites over the RLDP Plan period. The assumptions are far too ambitious, and without evidence / are not comparable with the timescales being incurred in processing such stages at the Development Management stage(s).

Specifically, we raise objection to the following timescales which are considered to be extremely ambitious and unrealistic:

• “Time period of pre-application discussions/PAC consultation” = 4 months
• “Time between submission of planning application and determination” = 6 months
• “Time taken from planning consent to the discharge of relevant conditions to enable site construction” = 4 months

In our experience, having submitted a significant number of major and other applications for housing and other forms of development in the last 1-2 years to the Council (and elsewhere in Wales and England), it is extremely unlikely that major applications can be submitted, and planning permissions granted, within the timeframes assumed by the trajectory. A wide range of stakeholders are also involved in the determination of major planning applications, which often adds to the delays associated with the determination of such applications. We would therefore consider that a time period of “6 months” given to all major applications in the housing trajectory is not feasible, and distorts the trajectory timescales for the remaining Plan period.

The assumptions in the trajectory are also solely based on expected timescales for the processing of formal submissions made to the Council, and do not factor in the timescales associated with, and needed for, the preparation of the material for submission (i.e. pre-application enquiry submissions / planning application / discharge of condition details etc). When factored in these will elongate the timescales for bringing forward schemes considerably.

Moreover, it is common practice for larger housing sites and major applications to have a range of pre-commencement conditions attached to a permission once granted. Again, we would raise concerns with the timescales indicated in the trajectory related to this part of the planning process. It is highly unusual and questionable that any technical work required by these conditions (usually relating to drainage and highways matters) would be instructed, completed and submitted within 2 months, and for these to then be signed off / approved in a further 2 months. There are also other technical matters and necessary approvals falling outside of, and over and above, the planning system, such as SAB, s.106, s.38 and s.278 agreements, timescales for which have not been accounted for – and all of which are rarely completed within “4 months” as indicated.

It is therefore highly doubtful that the timescales legislated for in the trajectory for the various stages pre-construction are achievable – with no information about these proposed timescales outlined within the supporting text of the Housing Trajectory. We would therefore raise considerable concerns and objections to these as they stand without full evidence to fully show how these have been calculated, and without there being considerable (and necessary) adjustment to the timescales indicated and factored in.

We would therefore object to the timescales indicated in the ‘Timing and Phasing of Sites’ table, given that the delivery start dates will be pushed back further into the Plan period. Accordingly, and as a result, the Plan is at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated, at least as swiftly as is set out in the trajectory.

Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions

We would also raise considerable doubt over the proposed delivery of the sites identified in the Housing Trajectory - which we do not consider are robust or reasonable.

The development trajectory bar chart set out in the consultation material (extracted below) anticipates and legislates for a number of critical events and circumstances – all of which are considered to be unrobust and unsound.

Extract of Housing Trajectory Graph (annotated by GJP – red dotted line)

Firstly, a large ‘spike’ (material increase) in housing delivery is factored in to take place in 2027 – 2028. This is a marked and pronounced step change in the rate of delivery, and envisages / relies on a significantly higher rate of delivery than previous years in The Vale of Glamorgan (2021 through 2025 - as depicted by the green columns). This is considered extremely unlikely to materialise, not least given prevailing market circumstances, past rates of delivery on the ground, and also in light of levels achieved across Wales and the UK in general.

The published trajectory shows that the average level of completions in The Vale of Glamorgan from 2021 - 2025 has been approx. 400 - 500 units. However, the chart shows that from 2027 – 2028, completions are expected to rise to approx. 1,000 units per year. The expected delivery levels in the trajectory therefore show and assume a doubling in delivery rates and unit numbers (an increase of approx. 100%relative to past rates). There is no clear evidence as to how this level of completions can be achieved let alone guaranteed. This is the case in particular given that the forthcoming years (2025-2027) are expected to see performance (yield) drop significantly (delivery rates in 2025 – 2026 and 2026 – 2027). The chart shows only approx. 200 units being delivered over these years. It is therefore unclear how completion rates are expected to rise so quickly (from 200 in 2025-26 to 1000 in 2027-28), and by such a significant amount. The assumptions in the trajectory are wholly unrobust in our view.

The anticipated delivery of housing also fails to be consistent within and across the Plan period. It is unclear as to why completions rates aren’t spread out more evenly throughout the Plan period - to ensure a robust and most realistic housing trajectory until 2036. By comparison to the marked increase in the rate of delivery between and over the

period 2027 to 2031, there is then a marked fall-off or drop in delivery towards and by the end of the Plan period. Indeed, in the final year, the level of completions are expected to be lower than the period 2021-2015.

To summarise, we consider the defined position to be wholly manufactured and unreflective of the past completion rates, as well as the recently published completion rates provided by Welsh Government recently in August 2025. In the Welsh Government Statistics Document ‘’New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’, information on the number of new dwellings started is provided, where building has commenced and those completed for April 2024 to March 2025. Figure 1 provides a graph showing starts in the last 10 years, and it is clear that there has been a general decline in the number of new dwellings started and completed.

Description of Figure 1:.‘New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’
In 2024-25, 4,631 new dwellings were completed, 3% fewer than in the previous year. This was the second lowest number on record, with the lowest number recorded in 2021-22, a year heavily affected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic (in 2021-22, 4,616 new dwellings were completed). The New Housing Pipeline Report Quarter 2, 2025 Report (September, 2025) published by the HBF evidenced that the number of residential units approved in the UK fell by 6% during the second quarter of 2025, continuing the decline of approval during the first three months of the year. Wales saw one of the largest declines in the UK in approvals with a decline of 29%.

Further, the HBF document ‘Increasing Housing Supply in Wales’ (4th September 2025) clearly shows that The Vale of Glamorgan has not met the housing delivery requirements in recent years in 2023 – 2024 – along with every other authority in Wales (except Newport). Accordingly, this further adds to the argument that historically The Vale (and most other authorities) have underprovided. This adds considerable uncertainty on the assumed transformation in yield and delivery as built into the trajectory.



Graph: Housing Delivery as a proportion of annual housing requirement in Wales per Authority

The Home Building Sector Skills Plan (Aug 2025) published by the HBF also identified the following issues with the workforce to bring forward built development in Wales:

• “A shortfall in numbers entering roles from the education system;
• An ageing workforce: 25% of the home building workforce is aged over 50, meaning the sector is facing an impending retirement cliff edge;
• Challenges attracting a wider talent pipeline into the sector;
• A lack of understanding of critical future skills needed, and direction from the Future Homes Standard; and
• Output within the sector fluctuating with demand and economic pressures, leading to additional pressures in recruitment and training”.

It is not considered that in the next 1-2 years that any of these issues can or will be substantially corrected – at least sufficiently so to allow for, and enable, the planned delivery rates of new housing completions to be as high as < > 1,000 homes in one year (and for four consecutive years at that).

We would therefore object to the proposed numbers of completion expected during the Plan period, given that there are a number of issues with delivering housing in Wales and given past completions rates for The Vale of Glamorgan. Again, this results in the Plan being at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated.

Status & Standing of Sites included in the Trajectory

The proposed land supply within the housing trajectory includes provision for ‘rolled forward’ LDP sites, which contribute to the total of ‘Proposed Additional Housing Allocations’ forming part of the housing supply. Specifically, a total of 1,242no. units have been identified as additional housing allocations, of which 959no. are expected to be delivered on the rolled forward LDP sites. As such, these sites are to provide for a significant proportion of additional housing in the Plan period (specifically circa 77%).

The Development Plans Manual (DPM) sets out that allocations rolled forward from a previous plan will require careful justification for inclusion in a revised plan. The DPM outlines that “there will need to be a substantial change in circumstances to demonstrate sites can be delivered and justify being included again. Clear evidence will be required that such sites can be delivered.” The below table included in the consultation document provides a breakdown of the rolled forward LDP sites, and in particular, sets out the status of each site:




The above table evidences that the current LDP has under delivered in regard to its targeted unit number of the Plan period, given that these sites did not yield any housing over the current plan period. This is further exacerbated by the Land Bank sites that have also not delivered any housing across the existing LDP period, amounting to 1,860no units. Accordingly, when considering the non-delivery of both rolled forward LDP sites and Land Bank sites, this amounts to an approximate shortfall of 2,189 homes being delivered, or 33% of the total housing supply identified for the current LDP (8,525no. dwellings).

It is therefore considered that, as a minimum, the units carried over from the LDP (without planning permission) should be a surplus to the housing supply proposed for the RLDP, as opposed to being relied on to deliver the housing need over the Plan period. This is particularly the case for the two sites (Land to the west of Pencoedtre Lane, and Land between Northern Access Road and Eglwys Brewis Road) which do not currently have any active planning application submitted for their development. These sites total an amount of 370no. units to be delivered in the Plan period, which represents more than a third of the additional housing allocations to make up the housing supply.

As such, it is considered that the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP is still present – indeed it has grown, and will continue to do so, not least when considered in conjunction with the projected population growth over the coming years to 2036, and the aspirations for growth in the Plan’s strategy.

Accordingly, in order to secure the targeted level of housing, a greater level of provision for new allocations should be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. This would bring about better certainty that the housing requirement is met by the housing supply over the Plan period, not least given that the current Plan failed in this respect. Without a re-apportioning of the housing supply, it is considered that the Plan would heavily rely on the contingency (i.e. rolled forward LDP sites) coming forward in the Plan period, yet there is uncertainty that these will yield in full over the new Plan period. This raises issues of ‘’soundness’’, and risks rendering the Plan unrobust.

On this basis, we would object to the Plan if the provision of housing is not adjusted to rebalance the provision to include new allocations in lieu of rolled forward LDP sites in the housing supply.

Key Sites

As set out in previous representations at Preferred Strategy stage, it is considered that the housing supply relies heavily on the delivery of the ‘key sites’ to deliver housing (and meet need) over the Plan period. The total number of housing units attributed to key sites amounts to 2,278, which equates to over 25% of the total provision in the Plan period.

As detailed above, we consider there to be concerns regarding the proposed ‘Timing and Phasing of Sites’ table included in the Housing Trajectory which we consider are not reflective or accurate and will therefore have the effect of delivery start dates being much later into the Plan period than anticipated. The result of this will be that the Plan will be at risk of not delivery the level of housing expected and needed. Moreover, the Housing Trajectory Graph presents an overly ambitious level of housing completions over the Plan period - which the Council consider will be markedly higher than the average levels experienced in the last five years. Again, for the reasons set out above, we consider that these rates of expected completions to have no evidence supporting them, and to be unachievable and unsound.

Insofar as to the removal of the previously proposed site ‘Land at North East Barry’, this site was expected to deliver 900no. units in the Plan period. Following its omission from the housing supply, other sites have been identified, which comprises the inclusion of a new key site (Land at North West Barry), 3no. non-strategic sites, and also affordable housing-led allocations. In terms of the quantum of development attributed to these new sites, this amounts to 659no. dwellings. This is some 250 units less than the 900no. homes that was previously attributed to ‘Land at North East Barry’. Whilst it is appreciated that the number of homes forming part of the existing supply (completions, units with planning permission etc.) have increased since Preferred Strategy stage, there will be a net loss in market housing provision and delivery.

This position is made worse and compounded as a result of accounting for the affordable-led sites in making up the housing supply.

As set out within the Preferred Strategy, these sites are expected to deliver at least 51% affordable housing. These units are not open market units, and will not / cannot contribute to the supply of such housing. These units will contribute to the provision of affordable housing, and will go some way to meeting the acute need for such housing (albeit will not eradicate / address in full the well known and accepted considerable requirement). Accordingly it is considered that these sites should be in addition to the housing supply, as opposed to forming part of the provision. In turn, there would need to be an increase in allocations for non-strategic sites, to ensure that there is sufficient market housing delivery over the Plan period.

Were such changes to be made and introduced, this would achieve and assist realise a more robust and sound housing supply, which will ensure that the identified housing need is met / addressed over the Plan period. Without these changes it is considered that the housing supply is not sufficient, and inevitably, housing need will not be met within the Plan.

St Athan Train Station

As set out in the Preferred Strategy (para A3.29), the strategy seeks to focus development around key sustainable transport nodes. The strategy outlined that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. Accordingly, in line with the spatial strategy adopted for the RLDP (i.e. focus development around sustainable transport nodes), St Athan was identified as a ‘Strategic Opportunity Area’ to accommodate strategic growth – through the proposed allocation of two key sites : ‘Land at Church Farm’ and ‘Land West of St Athan’. These sites have been identified to deliver 532no. and 600no. units respectively in the Plan period. These are separate to, and are in addition to, the 51no. units that have now been attributed to the site ‘Land South of Clive Road’ in St Athan. Accordingly, in total, the Housing Trajectory makes a provision for a total of 1,183no. homes to be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period.

It is now the case that, subsequent to the publication of the Preferred Strategy, the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales. The focus in the first phase of such improvements across the region is towards improving connectivity in east Cardiff, Newport, and Magor. Accordingly,

it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period, which significantly questions the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

The strategy to allocate new housing growth is predicated on focusing residential development around sustainable transport nodes, and given that St Athan will be without any railway station in the Plan period, it is not considered that these sites align with the strategy of the RLDP. Accordingly, the wider Housing Trajectory is considered to be unsound, given that a total of 1,183no. homes are expected to be delivered in St Athan within the Plan period.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add a further site for housing in this location over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites - given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

We therefore consider the Trajectory to be both unrobust and unsound, and therefore, we object to the Trajectory in its current form accordingly.

Geographic distribution of the ‘new’ sites / provision

As a general and overarching comment in respect to the additional sites now included within the Plan, and forming part of the trajectory, (and a matter expanded upon when critiquing each of these sites in the next section to this submission), it is clear and evident that these additional sites have been positioned to settlements that have already, and recently, been attributed significant growth in the preceding Plan and plan period.

Significant allocations (which have also contributed to significant levels of affordable housing) have been realised and built out in locations (such as Wick and Colwinston). Notwithstanding this, two of the additional sites are now proposed for these recently expanded settlements. Given that the purpose of the affordable housing led allocations is to meet unmet affordable housing need, it is questioned why such new allocations are attributed to settlements that have already seen open market and affordable housing provision, as compared to other comparable settlements that have not received any growth whatsoever over a considerable period of time.

It is considered accordingly that the geographic positioning of these allocations is at odds with their underlying purpose - to meet unmet affordable housing need in communities that have seen no provision

Detailed Comments in respect to ‘new’ sites

Other Housing Allocations

Land south of Clive Road, St Athan

A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below for ease:


As set out at the outset of these representations, and whilst we note the findings of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage (i.e. Suitable for further consideration), we do not consider that the consultation on this site has been undertaken procedurally appropriately or suitably. We therefore consider the consultation on this site is “unrobust” and “unsound”.

As set out previously, the strategy seeks to focus development around key sustainable transport nodes. The strategy outlined that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. It is now the case that, subsequent to the publication of the Preferred Strategy, the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales, where the focus is towards improving connectivity in east Cardiff, Newport, and Magor. Accordingly, it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period, which significantly questions the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add a further site for housing over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites – given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

Affordable Housing Led Allocations Land at Heol Fain, Wick
A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below for ease:

Candidate Site Stage 2 Assessment (Site Ref. 404)

The findings of the Candidate Site Assessment for this site are noted. We are assuming the reason this site is proposed to be allocated is a product of the site promoters/developers heading the findings stated below, and changing the form of development to be in accord with this:

“A market housing led scheme would not be acceptable, but the site could be reconsidered as a small scale affordable housing led development subject to need and viability at a maximum of 50 dwellings. In accordance with the Settlement Appraisal Review, it is considered that Wick could potentially accommodate limited affordable housing led growth.”

Whilst no clear deficiency exists in respect to the site, it is known that Wick has been subject to significant growth and expansion in recent years – not least by virtue of significant housing allocations in the settlement as part of previous plans.

To evidence this, 35% of the 124 units approved on the ‘Rectory Field, St Brides Road’ site (i.e. circa 43 units as per site allocation ref. MG(47) and PP ref. 2014/01424/FUL) were approved as Affordable Housing units. This makes a substantial provision of such Affordable Housing units (and housing generally) in the settlement in recent years.

Other similarly sized and comparable settlements and locations have not by contrast been subject to any growth for some considerable time, and accordingly would warrant and benefit from provision as part of this new replacement plan.

Notwithstanding the location of such provision, and as set out in detail at the outset of these representations, National Planning Policy advocates the high and acute need for affordable housing, whilst recent analysis evidences that there is a housing emergency. These circumstances - coupled with the shortcomings identified and set out earlier in these submissions in respect to the adequacy of provision within the plan (rolled forward sites / inadequate provision etc) – means that notwithstanding any potential allocation at Wick, further provision ought to be made in comparable (previously unprovided for) locations, such as Ogmore By Sea.

Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin

‘Land West of Maendy Road’ has been registered as an Affordable Housing Led Allocation candidate site for the RLDP, however as far as we know from our review, there is no assessment and critique of this site. This site has not been included in the ‘Candidate Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage’ (October 2023). As such, with an absence of publicly available information, it is not clear how the Council has judged this site against the criteria. This raises questions accordingly in respect to the “soundness” of a site which forms part of the intended housing land supply, and by association the trajectory. Without this, and without being consulted on (as others have been prior to this) we question whether this allocation is “sound” (i.e. its allocation is considered to be “unsound”).

Land North of West Winds Business Park, Fferm Goch

The below sets out the candidate site stage two assessment of ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’:

Candidate Site Stage 2 Assessment (Site Ref. 398)

As can be seen above the site was not considered suitable for further consideration with the site scoring negatively (red) in a number of key factors. These include the following:

• Access to Retail;
• Access to Health Services;
• Sustainable Transport- Public Transport;
• Access/ Proximity to services and facilities conclusion;
• Climate Change; and
• Health and Wellbeing.

Given the fact the site scores red in ‘Sustainable Transport – Public Transport’, this shows the site is not served by public transport connections within 800m, as outlined in the key below:


Additionally, Policy SP7 (Sustainable Transport) of the Vale of Glamorgan Preferred Strategy states “New development must support an enhanced transport network that increases the proportion of journeys being undertaken by sustainable travel modes”. Additionally Objective 8 (Promoting Active and Sustainable Travel Choices) states “new development is directed to locations that are or can be accessible by a choice of modes of transport, including walking, cycling, and public transport.”

It is well known residents of affordable housing are statistically less likely to own private vehicles, making access to reliable and frequent public transport essential for ensuring equitable mobility. The provision of public transport infrastructure in close proximity to such developments is therefore a critical component in supporting access to employment, education, healthcare, and other key services, while also promoting sustainable travel patterns and social inclusion.

The site also scores red in Access/Proximity to services, showing the site is greater than 1200m away from key services, as seen in the key below:


In respect of the above, Preferred Strategy 6.40 states the need “To ensure that new development takes place in locations that have the best access to a wide range of services, facilities, and employment opportunities, whilst minimising the need to travel, the distribution of growth is guided by the following settlement hierarchy”. To further highlight the importance of both sustainable transport and proximity to services, the preferred strategy also states the need to “Facilitate the development of adaptable, accessible, well-connected communities that have a strong sense of identity, offer a sustainable range of services and facilities and are equipped with adequate infrastructure”. In addition, Promoting Active and Sustainable Travel Choices outlines to “Promote and encourage the use of sustainable methods of travel, particularly active modes of transport, whilst simultaneously reducing the need to travel”.

In light of the above, this site does not align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy as it fails to meet several key development goals set out. It should therefore not be considered suitable to be allocated for future developments. Its inclusion is therefore unsound.

Should this view be concurred with, 22 affordable units will be lost from the proposed affordable 122 units, and ultimately will be lost from the overall housing land supply. As stated in the draft housing trajectory “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”. There is a clear possibility therefore that this proposed allocation is removed and/or not delivered as its inclusion is unsound as it does not align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy - as it fails to meet several key development goals set out. A “small scale

affordable housing led development” which is needed to “respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities” will therefore not be provided for. This is clearly an issue.

Land to the East of Colwinston, Colwinston

A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below:


As outlined above the site was rejected and considered not suitable for further consideration. In fact, and unlike ‘Land at Heol Fain, Wick’ and ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’ it was stated that this site “could not be considered as a suitable affordable housing led development site”. Despite this, this site has been outlined as an Affordable Housing Led Allocation. As such, the inclusion of this site is “unsound”.

It is known that Colwinston has been subject to significant housing allocations in the settlement as part of previous plans. To evidence this, 25% of the 64 units (i.e. 16 units) were approved on the site allocation ref. MG2(41) and PP ref.

2014/00242/FUL. This makes a substantial provision of such Affordable Housing units (and housing generally) in the settlement in recent years.

Other similarly sized and comparable settlements and locations have not by contrast been subject to any growth for some considerable time, and accordingly would warrant and benefit from provision as part of this new replacement plan.

Notwithstanding the location of such provision, and as set out in detail at the outset of these representations, National Planning Policy advocates the high and acute need for affordable housing, whilst recent analysis evidences that there is a housing emergency. These circumstances - coupled with the shortcomings identified and set out earlier in these submissions in respect to the adequacy of provision within the plan (rolled forward sites / inadequate provision etc) – means that notwithstanding any potential allocation at Colwinston, further provision ought to be made in comparable (previously unprovided for) locations, such as Land South of A48, Bonvilston.

Summary of These Representations

To re-iterate, and to summarise the case made and set out, these representations seek to object to the Housing Trajectory published as part of the consultation on the Draft Housing Trajectory For Housing Stakeholder Group (October 2025) which underpins the Plan and the delivery / realisation of its underlying strategy.

Detailed submissions and objections are raised above in respect to the trajectory information published regarding the soundness and robustness of this information (and it’s consultation), which we do not consider are adequate, robust, or sound to deliver the Plans aims and objectives.

ANNEX 1
Preface

This Annex sets out the detailed case in support of these representations, and by association the case for allocation of the site.

The representations are structured into the following sections:

1. Response to the Deposit Plan;
2. Comments on specific policies; and
3. A summary of the suitability of the site for development.

SECTION 1. Response to the Deposit Plan

Distribution of Growth

We object to the distribution of growth within the Deposit Plan. Specifically, we object to the strategy that underpins the Deposit Plan, which seeks to introduce the proposed ‘Strategic Growth Area’ which is expected to contain the majority of housing growth in the Vale over the Plan period, or rather the over-reliance on this defined area, and the associated absence of growth in other parts of the Plan area.

As outlined in our previous representations, the allocation of housing and the location of strategic growth neglects the Rural Vale, and in our view, overprovides in the Strategic Growth Area. For example, with limited housing stock and average house sales at over £500,000 over the last 12 months, there is a clear and established need for new homes in the Ogmore By Sea area, particularly at an affordable level. This is reinforced by the Local Housing Market Assessment that identified a need for over 1,114 new affordable homes per annum over the next five years throughout the county, and 196 units per annum thereafter (average of 502 units per annum over 15 years). Further to this, it is widely known that the rural Vale comprises the majority of the county’s ageing population, which, as a demographic, has and will continue to grow rapidly over the Plan period. This is evident in the ‘Population Change’ chart below – which is taken from the Deposit Plan:

VofG Deposit Plan: Figure 4 Population Change 2011 to 2021

It is clearly the case that younger populations are migrating to other Authorities, where access to housing is typically cheaper and more affordable, whilst more older populations are significantly migrating into the Authority. This trend will result in an extremely unbalanced demographic, given that the working-age population have sought housing elsewhere.

Without a suitable supply of affordable housing delivered over the Plan period, this trend will only worsen. Accordingly, it is not considered that the RLDP takes into account the lack of supply of affordable homes within the rural Vale, as well as increased housing to support the growing ageing population within these areas.

Para 3.19 of the Deposit Plan clearly outlines that affordable housing is required in the short term, in order to meet pressing needs. Specifically, it outlines the following: “There is significant pressure on temporary accommodation in the Vale, for a variety of reasons including increased homelessness presentations… The need for sufficient permanent affordable housing to assist in moving people out of temporary accommodation is critical and the planning system has a vital role in assisting in new affordable housing delivery.”
Accordingly, the distribution of growth within the Authority must be proportionate, to ensure that populations / areas are not left behind where they must seek access to housing elsewhere.

The RLDP Sustainable Growth Strategy sets out 6 objectives. Objective 4 states: “Allowing for small scale affordable housing led development in settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area at a scale proportionate to the size of settlement.” (Page 66)
Para 5.25 states “Therefore, a key part of the strategy is to allow for affordable housing led developments within sustainable primary and minor rural settlements outside of the Strategic Growth Area, at a scale that is appropriate to the size of the community it is serving. An ‘affordable housing led’ scheme is one where a minimum of 50% of the dwellings would need to be affordable, although this could increase to a maximum of 100% if the site is brought forward by a social landlord”.

In terms of the definition / explanation of what the affordable housing-led development sites are seeking to achieve, paragraph 6.132 of the Deposit Plan outlines the following:

“Accordingly, to ensure that new developments respond to the high demand for smaller properties, as identified in the LHMA, priority will be given to affordable homes that are small to medium-sized, typically comprising one to three bedrooms. Representations received from the local community through the RLDP process also highlighted a desire for new housing developments to offer opportunities for accessing smaller market homes. This is particularly relevant in the rural Vale, where housing choices are more limited. Providing smaller, more affordable market homes may assist first-time buyers and enable older residents to downsize to more manageable properties within their local area. Affordable housing-led sites will therefore need to demonstrate that an appropriate range of both affordable and market dwellings has been provided.”

Despite the acknowledgement within this strategic objective, we do not consider that the RLDP goes far enough to meet this objective, nor are its provisions and allocations adequate.

It is considered that this objective is undermined by the allocations set out by the RLDP (not least the absence of allocations in the rural Vale). Notwithstanding the Vision’s clear acknowledgement of the benefit of the growth of the rural Vale, these areas have not been supported through the plan due to the lack of growth which has been attributed to these areas in terms of further housing, employment and sustainable transport. All growth options have been selected on the basis of being in either Key Settlement, Service Centre settlement or Primary Settlements, all of which are already sustainable areas served by rail. As a result, it is not clear how this objective can be achieved, without the allocation of further sites within the Minor Rural Settlements, such as Ogmore By Sea. The Vale is characteristically ‘rural’, and as such, there needs to be a stronger emphasis on supporting and delivering new development in order to bolster the rural economy. This includes enabling opportunities to provide employment and business premises within
/ near to rural settlements, as well as focusing housing growth in these areas to reduce travel time, and use of sustainable transport.

It is considered that the current Strategy does not provide adequately for all residents across the Vale, only those within the Strategic Growth Area. The underlying Vision and Objectives set out in the emerging Plan are accordingly wholly un-provided for by the detail of the Plan. This brings into question the “soundness” of the Plan.

The Strategic Growth Area does not take into account the important role and proximity of Bridgend to the West and/or the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant to the north (as defined in the RCTCBC LDP). The Minor Rural Settlements to the west are more likely to be supported by job opportunities and employment in Bridgend than further east in Barry or Cardiff. Similarly, those in the north align with, and function in association with, the Principal Settlement and Strategic Growth Area of Talbot Green / Pontyclun / Llantrisant to the north. These settlements are served by existing bus services that provide sustainable modes of travel to key employment locations in and around Bridgend. This is acknowledged in Paragraph 3.3 of the Strategy which states “The greatest number of residents who travel outside of the Vale for work purposes travel to Cardiff followed by Bridgend and Rhondda Cynon Taf, whilst a smaller proportion commute into the Vale from these neighbouring authorities”. The Demographic Evidence (Feb 2023) estimates the Vale as being a net importer of workers from RCT and Caerphilly (Para 3.6) - as shown in Figure 10 in the Preferred Strategy.

The current Strategy does not support any improvement of sustainable travel or further investment in settlements linked more closely to these areas - given that Growth has been apportioned in only the Key Service Centre and Primary Settlements. It is considered that this will fail to support and facilitate the current (and any future) employment coming into the Vale, nor will it support any employment which is located outside of the Vale to the West and North. The Growth Option is too heavily reliant on access to railway stations as the key and sole sustainable transport method, whereas access to bus services should also be appropriately assessed and focused on in terms of promoting sustainable development. It is unreasonable to devise a strategy that hinges on directing growth to areas that are accessible to railway facilities, where it is recognised in the Plan that the Vale is inherently rural. The delivery and soundness of the Plan is therefore questioned and we continue to object to the spatial growth strategy as set out in the Deposit Plan.

Housing Supply

RLDP Allocations - Key Sites

As set out in representations made throughout the Plan preparation process, we consider that the Plan is too reliant on the delivery of ‘key sites’ to meet the housing need over the Plan period. Specifically, the Plan makes provision for 2,278 units in these Key Sites, which equates to circa 65% of RLDP allocations in the housing supply. The 5 key sites that are allocated in the Deposit Plan are as follows:

• Land at North West Barry – 376no. units;
• North of Dinas Powys – 250no. units;
• Land at Readers Way, Rhoose – 520no. units;
• Land at Church Farm, St Athan – 532no. units; and
• Land to the West of St Athan – 600no. units.

We object to the current housing supply to allocate 2,278no. (65%) of units across strategic sites, as this makes for a risky and unrobust strategy for delivering housing, and in turn, meeting the identified housing need over the Plan period.

As stated in previous representations, there is concern that the proposed timing and phasing of the proposed Key Sites is unrealistic and unrobust, and in turn, undermines the soundness of the Plan, given the heavy reliance on Key Sites delivering new homes across the Plan period. Whilst it is not disputed that the sites would have gone through rigorous assessment to inform their proposed allocation, the timescales for securing planning permission (with all associated conditions discharged) is considered to be unachievable. This is particularly the case for the following timescales that are set out in the Housing Trajectory that underpin the Plan:

• “Time period of pre-application discussions/PAC consultation” – 4 months

• “Time between submission of planning application and determination” – 6 months
• “Time taken from planning consent to the discharge of relevant conditions to enable site construction” – 4 months

It is considered that the above timescales are fundamentally unrobust, and result in a distorted position of housing sites over the RLDP Plan period. It is not considered that these reflect or are informed by the timescales that are currently being incurred for planning applications submitted for major housing sites across Wales. It is rather the case that such applications would typically be determined 1-2 years following submission, given that there are a wide range of stakeholders involved in the determination of major planning applications – which often adds to the delays associated with the determination of such applications.

It is equally the case that the assumptions in the trajectory are solely based on expected timescales for processing formal submissions made to the Council, and do not factor in the timescales associated with, and needed for, the preparation of the material for submission.

It is assumed that these timescales have not considered that such major developments can be subject to the need to undertaking and submitting an Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA), which adds another layer to the determination of any planning application – given the additional considerations that form part of this process. As such, any site subject to EIA would very likely result in further delays extending beyond the timescales set out in the trajectory. Equally, as set out above, the preparation of an application subject to an EIA requires even more detail and assessment, which only further adds to the preparation stage (which has not been factored into as part of the trajectory). Accordingly, it is not considered that the trajectory contains any contingency if any site is required to undertake EIA as part of their application.

For the reasons stated above, it is unlikely that the sites will yield in full, particularly those sites which are expected to deliver housing right up to the final year of the Plan period (‘Land at Readers Way’ and ‘Land to the West of St Athan’). These sites do not allow for any ‘slippage’ should any delays arise through the development management process (which for the reasons set out above, will very likely be the case), and as such, a gap in housing delivery will be brought about as a result of these sites not yielding in full.

Given the proposed ambitious timescales set out for the delivery of the Key Sites, it is considered the housing trajectory is unrobust, and in turn, undermines the soundness of the Plan as a result. A change in strategy should be pursued whereby a greater proportion of small to medium sites are allocated for housing in the Plan period, which are more likely to fully yield given that such sites are subject to less assessment and consideration compared to strategic sites. This would make for a more robust strategy, where a greater number of small to medium sites can deliver housing in the short and medium term of the Plan period, whereas the strategic sites represent a more longer-term strategy to deliver housing – which would then spill into the next Plan period.

Accordingly, we object to the Deposit Plan in its current form, where there is an overreliance on housing need to be met through the delivery of the Key Sites, which we consider to be unrobust, and undermine the integrity and soundness of the Plan. The current strategy of the Plan is at significant risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated, as least as swifty as identified in the housing trajectory. Should no change be made to the Plan to address the above issues, then it is extremely likely that the Plan would ‘fail’ in meeting the identified housing need.

Windfall Sites

It is noted that the RLDP is made up of the following:

• Existing land supply (3,838 units)
• Windfall sites (1,303 units)
• Allocated sites (3,521 units)

Para 6.69 states that “Analysis of historical delivery of housing indicates that on average small windfall sites (sites of less than 10 dwellings) have provided some 53 dwelling completions per year, and large windfall sites (10 dwellings or greater) contributed on average 80 dwellings per year. Overall, it is projected that windfall sites could contribute a further 1,303 dwellings over the remainder of the plan”.

As set out in our previous representations to the Housing Trajectory, we would object to the expected numbers of completions expected during the Plan period, given that there are a number of issues with delivering housing in Wales and given past completions rates for The Vale of Glamorgan – which is discussed in greater detail later in this submission. Again, this results in the Plan being at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated – including any windfall sites.

St Athan Train Station

The RLDP Sustainable Growth Strategy comprises six key elements, of which the following is set out in respect to the allocation of new housing growth in the Authority:

“3. Focusing development at locations that are well served by existing and proposed rail stations as part of the South Wales Metro and in areas with good bus links.”

The strategy outlines that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken in 2022, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. Accordingly, in line with the spatial strategy adopted for the RLDP (i.e. focus development around sustainable transport nodes), St Athan was identified as a ‘Strategic Opportunity Area’ to accommodate strategic growth – through the proposed allocation of two key sites : ‘Land at Church Farm’ and ‘Land West of St Athan’. These sites have been identified to deliver 532no. and 600no. units respectively in the Plan period. These are separate to, and are in addition to, the 51no. units that have now been attributed to the site ‘Land South of Clive Road’ and 80no. units attributed to ‘Former Stadium Site, adjacent to Burley Place’ in St Athan. Accordingly, in total, the Housing Trajectory makes a provision for a total of 1,263no. homes to be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period.

It is now the case, however, that the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales – as confirmed in the ‘Today, Tomorrow, Together: A vision for rail across Wales and Borders’ (February 2026) recently published by Transport For Wales. This paper acknowledges that a new railway station at St Athan would represent a longer term opportunity, and therefore, will not be delivered in the short term / within the Plan period of the emerging Plan. Equally the Council have not provided any evidence to contradict this, and therefore, it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period. This brings about significant questions regarding the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

The strategy to allocate new housing growth is predicated on focusing residential development around sustainable transport nodes, and given that St Athan will be without any railway station in the Plan period, it is not considered that the sites align with the strategy of the RLDP. Accordingly, the wider Housing Trajectory is considered to be unsound, given that a total of 1,263no. homes (36% of the Plan’s new housing allocations) are expected to be delivered in St Athan within the Plan period.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add further sites for housing in this location over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites - given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

In terms of the expected delivery of the Key Sites in St Athan, it is noted that the trajectory identifies that for the majority of the Plan period, both sites will be delivering 80no. dwellings per annum on each site (equating to 160no units in total). Whilst these are two separate sites, we seriously question the realistic prospects of the significant number of

homes being built simultaneously on two sites in proximity to one another – given the considerable logistical issues that would be brought about.

Accordingly, it remains that there are serious questions regarding the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations at St Athan, which do not accord with the strategy adopted for the RLDP – to focus housing growth on settlements that are supported by railway stations. Moreover, the scale of development proposed at St Athan is also not considered to be proportionate, with a significant number of homes delivered in a location not served by a railway station.

Rolled forward LDP Sites

The proposed land supply within the housing trajectory includes provision for ‘rolled forward’ LDP sites, which contribute to the total of ‘Proposed Additional Housing Allocations’ forming part of the housing supply. Specifically, a total of 1,242no. units have been identified as additional housing allocations, of which 959no. are expected to be delivered on the rolled forward LDP sites. As such, these sites are to provide for a significant proportion of additional housing in the Plan period (specifically circa 77%).

The Development Plans Manual (DPM) sets out that allocations rolled forward from a previous plan will require careful justification for inclusion in a revised plan. The DPM outlines that “there will need to be a substantial change in circumstances to demonstrate sites can be delivered and justify being included again. Clear evidence will be required that such sites can be delivered.” The below table included in the consultation document provides a breakdown of the rolled forward LDP sites, and in particular, sets out the status of each site:


The above table evidences that the current LDP has under delivered in regard to its targeted unit number of the Plan period, given that these sites did not yield any housing over the current Plan period. This is further exacerbated by the Land Bank sites that have also not delivered any housing across the existing LDP period, amounting to 1,860no units. Accordingly, when considering the non-delivery of both rolled forward LDP sites and Land Bank sites, this amounts to an approximate shortfall of 2,189 homes being delivered, or 33% of the total housing supply identified for the current LDP (8,525no. dwellings).

It is therefore considered that, as a minimum, the units carried over from the LDP (without planning permission) should be a surplus to the housing supply proposed for the RLDP, as opposed to being relied on to deliver the housing need over the Plan period. This is particularly the case for the two sites (Land to the west of Pencoedtre Lane, and Land between Northern Access Road and Eglwys Brewis Road) which do not currently have any active planning application

submitted for their development. These sites total an amount of 370no. units to be delivered in the Plan period, which represents more than a third of the additional housing allocations to make up the housing supply.

As such, it is considered that the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP is still present – indeed it has grown, and will continue to do so, not least when considered in conjunction with the projected population growth over the coming years to 2036, and the aspirations for growth in the Plan’s strategy.

Accordingly, in order to secure the targeted level of housing, a greater level of provision for new allocations should be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. This would bring about better certainty that the housing requirement is met by the housing supply over the Plan period, not least given that the current Plan failed in this respect. Without a re-apportioning of the housing supply, it is considered that the Plan would heavily rely on the contingency (i.e. rolled forward LDP sites) coming forward in the Plan period, yet there is uncertainty that these will yield in full over the new Plan period. This raises issues of ’soundness’, and risks rendering the Plan unrobust.

Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions

As set out in our previous representations to the Housing Trajectory consultation, we have considerable concerns in relation to the proposed delivery of the sites identified in the trajectory – which we do not consider are robust or reasonable.

Appendix 1 of the Deposit Plan sets out the development trajectory bar chart – which illustrates the proposed delivery of housing, on a per annum basis, over the Plan period.

Extract of Housing Trajectory Graph (annotated by GJP – red dotted line)
It is our view that the trajectory makes for an unrealistic and unrobust delivery rate of housing, which does not reflect the pattern of housing completions in the Vale of Glamorgan. We therefore have concerns regarding the soundness of the trajectory, not least that there remain significant uncertainties as to the delivery of the Key Sites (as discussed earlier in these representations).

Firstly, the graph / trajectory illustrates a large ‘spike’ in terms of housing delivery in the year 2027-28, which is considered to be a marked and pronounced step change in the rate of delivery. This envisages / relies on a significantly higher rate of delivery than previous years in the Vale of Glamorgan (2021 through 2021 – as depicted by the green columns). It is considered that this level of delivery is unlikely to materialise, not least given prevailing market

circumstances, past rates of delivery on the ground, and also in light of levels achieved across Wales and the UK in general.

The published trajectory shows that the average level of completions from 2021 - 2025 has been approx. 400 - 500 units, however, the chart shows that from 2027 – 2028, completions are expected to rise to approx. 1,000 units per year. The expected delivery levels in the trajectory therefore show and assume a doubling in delivery rates and unit numbers (an increase of approx. 100% relative to past rates). There is no clear evidence as to how this level of completions can be achieved let alone guaranteed. This is the case in particular given that the forthcoming years (2025-2027) are expected to see performance (yield) drop significantly (delivery rates in 2025 – 2026 and 2026 – 2027). The chart shows only approx. 200 units being delivered over these years. It is therefore unclear how completion rates are expected to rise so quickly (from 200 in 2025-26 to 1000 in 2027-28), and by such a significant amount. The assumptions in the trajectory are wholly unrobust in our view.

It is also the case that the anticipated delivery of housing fails to be consistent within and across the Plan period. It is unclear as to why completions rates aren’t spread out more evenly throughout the Plan period - to ensure a robust and most realistic housing trajectory until 2036. By comparison to the marked increase in the rate of delivery between and over the period 2027 to 2031, there is then a marked fall-off or drop in delivery towards and by the end of the Plan period. Indeed, in the final year, the level of completions are expected to be lower than the period 2021-2025.

Accordingly, we consider that the housing trajectory, as proposed, is entirely manufactured and unreflective of the past completion rates, as well as the recent published completion rates provided by Welsh Government recently in August 2025. As set out in our previous representations, it has been evidenced that there has been a general decline in the number of new dwellings started and completed.

Description of Figure 1: ‘New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’
As identified in the graph above, in 2024-25, 4,631 new dwellings were completed, which represents 3% fewer than the previous year. This figure represented the second lowest number on record, with the lowest number recorded in 2021-22, a year heavily affected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic (in 2021-22, 4,616 new dwellings were completed) The New Housing Pipeline Report Quarter 3, 2025 Report (December 2025) published by the HBF evidenced that the number of residential units approved in the UK fell by 7% during the third quarter of 2025, extending the decline seen during the first half of the year. At 45,075, the number of units approved was 34% down on the third quarter of 2024 and the lowest quarterly total since 2012 Q2. At 146,798, the overall number of units approved during the first nine months of 2025 was 25% lower than a year ago.



HBF Graph Illustrating Residential Approvals (2006-2025)

The above graph clearly shows a pronounced downward trend in the number of residential planning approvals over the period, particuarly with a sharp decrease seen since 2020. Further, the HBF document ‘Increasing Housing Supply in Wales’ (4th September 2025) clearly shows that The Vale of Glamorgan has not met the housing delivery requirements in recent years in 2023 – 2024 – along with every other authority in Wales (except Newport). Accordingly, this further adds to the argument that historically The Vale (and most other authorities) have underprovided. This adds considerable uncertainty on the assumed transformation in yield and delivery as built into the trajectory.

Graph: Housing Delivery as a proportion of annual housing requirement in Wales per Authority

More recently, the Welsh Government has released its new estimates of housing need (Estimates of Additional Hosing Need: 2025-based – February 2026). The estimates show how many new homes need to be built over the next twenty years to address existing unmet need as well as newly arising need. The figures set out that around 8,700no. new homes a year are needed over the next Senedd term up to 2030 to meet new housing need. Additionally, there is an unmet need for 9,400 affordable homes.

Overall, this represents more than double 2024/25 levels of supply, where just 4,638 new homes were built.

HBF: Estimates of Housing Need

HBF: Actual Delivery vs Estimates of Need

The above graphs unequivocally evidence that historical rates of delivery of housing in Wales has remained low, and moreover, significant numbers of housing need to be allocated in order to meet the estimate of need. It is not

considered that the housing trajectory, in its current form, is robust to meet the housing need over the Plan period, given the uncertainties of the Key Sites, and the level of housing delivery that has been identified for the Plan.

Affordable Housing-Led Sites

HG4 - Rural Affordable Housing Led Sites

Policy HG4 of the Deposit Plan identifies four sites to be allocated as affordable housing-led sites, totalling approximately 122 dwellings within the plan period. Given the target levels of achieving 3,070 affordable dwellings over the course of the Plan period (up to 2036), it is not considered that this policy goes far enough to address the target and level of affordable housing need.


It is noted that the number of units identified for each site relate to the ‘total’ number of units delivered, as opposed to the affordable housing provision. Accordingly, it can be assumed that circa 50% of each allocation will comprise affordable units (given each site is affordable-led), which would equate to a total provision of circa 61no. units. The contribution from the affordable housing-led sites would only equate to 2% of the total need (3,070no. units). Even when coupled with the affordable housing provision from open market sites and 100% exception sites, the total delivery of affordable housing will still be nowhere near enough to meet the overall affordable housing need over the Plan period. Accordingly, it is considered that inadequate provision has been made for such sites.

Insofar as to the sites chosen and allocated are concerned, it is clear from reviewing the Stage 1 and Stage 2 Candidate Site Assessment that the allocated sites HG4(1) – (4) were not considered acceptable due to being outside the strategic growth areas, and were considered to be unacceptable intrusions into the open countryside. After being resubmitted as affordable housing-led sites, the sites were allocated, some with a smaller area in order to accommodate less dwellings in total.

The sustainable credentials of the sites allocated is not disputed, and it is acknowledged that these minor rural settlements have the ability to accommodate further growth, in the form of affordable-led housing allocations. However, it is considered that the should also form an allocation as part of this policy, given its high sustainability credentials and its appropriate location to accommodate a suitable level of development. Please refer to the previous representations made to the Housing Trajectory Consultation (dated 17th October) for further, more detailed comments regarding the above sites.

The LHMA 2023 shows that there is a need for 124 affordable homes in the St Brides Major local housing market area (which Ogmore is located within). As such, there is an identified need for affordable housing in this area, something which the site could address through an allocation.

It is questionable whether Wick has the capacity to accommodate 50 new dwellings, given the sustainability and rural nature of the area. As a result, it is suggested that the number of homes allocated in Wick is reduced and that a further allocation in St Brides Major is secured, in order to facilitate supporting the delivery of affordable housing through the housing market area, rather than in one minor rural settlement. The sustainability of Ogmore has been assessed, both by the Council through the Sustainability Appraisal and again, through our assessment of the site.

Securing further delivery of Affordable Units

As set out above, the affordable housing-led allocated sites only provide 122no. affordable dwellings, which comprise 4no. allocated sites that are expected to deliver approximately between 20 – 50 dwellings. However, the RLDP sets a

target of 3,070 affordable homes to be delivered in the Plan period. This means that affordable housing-led allocations make up less than 4 % of the target provision and will only make provision for 2% of the targeted number. We would therefore object to the sites included within Policy HG4 and would suggest that more sites should be allocated as part of the policy in order to secure delivery of a higher number of affordable housing units to mere the target.

Whilst it is acknowledged that the Key Sites will provide for a significant proportion of affordable housing, as set out above in these representations, there is serious concern regarding the deliverability of these sites, which would result in a significant gap of affordable housing delivered.

A greater number of affordable housing-led sites allocated would ensure there is sufficient contingency built into the Plan, to ensure that the overall affordable housing need is met over the Plan period. Failure to do so would result in affordable housing need being unmet, with demand continuing to outstrip supply.

Previous representations to the Preferred Strategy (dated 14th February 2024) provided comment on the sustainability scoring of Ogmore and the proposed site. As outlined within these representations, it is considered that the site (ID xxx) represents a sustainable, deliverable and acceptable site. The site is within a maximum of a 22- minute bus journey to a every key service listed, due to the proximity of the site to settlements such as Bridgend. Due to the availability of frequent bus services, and active travel links, these key services are readily available to access for any residents within Ogmore By Sea without the need to travel by car. The site is located within 5 miles of Bridgend, and within a maximum 22-minute bus journey of the following services:

• St Brides Primary School;
• Brynteg Comprehensive School;
• Bridgend College;
• Riversdale Surgery; and
• Bridgend town centre for various Retail Services

Moreover, Ogmore has benefitted from the recent development of the Ogmore By Sea Village Hall, which provides space for community activities and events to take place. The hall also includes a coffee shop (Welsh Coffee Company), which only adds further to the daily services provision available within the settlement. Access to the hall and coffee shop is directly provided for pedestrians from the Main Road, which allows for direct access from the site.

Accordingly, the settlement of Ogmore represents an acceptable location to allocate an affordable housing-led site, given the access to existing services and facilities that would serve future residents of the site.

It is acknowledged that the site also lies within the Glamorgan Heritage Coast and this point is addressed further below.

To conclude, the settlement, location and site are inherently suitable and deliverable, and will make a significant contribution to achieving and realising the housing and economic development needs of Ogmore By Sea, support the surrounding settlements, and the Plan area as a whole. As such, the site should be considered further.

Comments on Specific Policies

HG5 - Affordable Housing Exception Sites

Given the unmet need and extant backlog of affordable housing, as identified within the LHMA (2023), it is noted that an Affordable Housing Exception Sites policy has been adopted in order to assist in the delivery of affordable housing. Policy HG5 sets out the specific criteria where proposals for 100% small scale affordable housing developments will be permitted outside settlement boundaries. The current policy wording for the Affordable Housing Site Exception Policy and the criteria listed out in the policy is generally supported.

That said, it is noted that a ‘cap’ of 10 dwellings (as referenced within supporting text Para 6.140) is set. This should be amended due to such a ‘cap’ limiting the flexibility of the policy, in particularly for sites coming forward as part of this policy in Minor Rural Settlements.

As such, we would suggest that supporting Para 6.140 should be amended in order to allow for further flexibility for sites in Minor Rural Settlements to come forward and to deliver affordable housing, given that the criteria set out in the policy would already protect and restrict the extent of any development as it stands. Therefore, the proposed amendments to Para 6.140 are outlined below in red:

6.140 “For the purposes of this policy, ‘small-scale’ will generally mean no more than around 10 dwellings on sites adjoining Minor Rural Settlements. In Primary Settlements outside the Strategic Growth Area, proposals for more than 10 dwellings may be acceptable where required to meet a specific need and where the number of dwellings is proportionate to the size of the settlement. In assessing the scale and extent of any proposed local needs housing, consideration should also be given to affordable housing already planned in the ward or nearby area, including sites with existing planning permissions and those allocated in the RLDP. The size and type of affordable housing proposed should reflect the identified local need in the area.”

The above suggested wording would achieve a more flexible policy, which would allow for a variety of scaled applications to secure planning permission for solely 100% affordable housing across the Authority area. This greater flexibility would enable the policy to make a significant contribution towards meeting the affordable housing need – which, as set out earlier is in considerable need.

Policy DNP3 – Glamorgan Heritage Coast

Given that the site is located in the Glamorgan Heritage Coast, it is noted that the following policy is of relevance to any future development on the site. Criteria 4 of Policy DNP3 states:

“The special environmental qualities of the Glamorgan Heritage Coast will be conserved and enhanced. New development will be restricted to:
4. Other appropriate and sustainable development that accords with National Policy.”
It is also noted that supporting Para 6.422 “In seeking to protect the Glamorgan Heritage Coast, the Council acknowledges that there are some built up areas within the boundary, including the Minor Rural Settlement of Ogmore. In addition, the Vale of Glamorgan rail line crosses part of the Heritage Coast designation in the location where a new station at St Athan is proposed. Whilst being mindful of the need to protect the special qualities of the Glamorgan Heritage Coast, the Council accepts that development within these areas is appropriate, subject to relevant policies of the Plan”(GJP emphasis).

We would offer general support for this policy, and consider this to provide flexibility which allows for certain forms of development. However, we would suggest that the policy wording should be amended to reflect that ‘housing’ should be supported in the Glamorgan Heritage Coast, providing that the policy exceptions are met. Therefore, the following amendment is proposed as part of the policy should be changed to include “small scale housing” or something similar. The proposed amendments to Policy DNP3 are outlined below in red:

“The special environmental qualities of the Glamorgan Heritage Coast will be conserved and enhanced. New development will be restricted to:
4. Other appropriate and sustainable development, including small-scale housing proposals that accords with National Policy.”

Again, this would ensure that suitable housing developments can be delivered in the Plan period, to meet the housing needs of the Vale of Glamorgan – particularly in respect of affordable housing.

SECTION 3. Suitability of the site for development

The site promoter objects to the overall assessment of the site, in that it is not considered suitable for further development in the Plan. The promoted site has undergone extensive scrutiny and appraisal at a high level to ascertain the qualities of the site, in light of all identified material considerations which relate to the proposals.

The delivery of the site will yield much needed housing (including Affordable housing) and contribute to the overall supply in the new Plan period, whilst making effective use of a suitably located site for residential development.

Moreover, as set out in ‘Annex 2’ of our representations, the site has overcome the ‘constraints’ set out in the Candidate Site Assessment undertaken for the site, which demonstrates that the proposal is both acceptable and deliverable.

SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

In summary, the site promoters:

• Object to the distribution of growth proposed for the Plan area, with a more balanced and equitable distribution of housing sites required in order to meet the identified housing need;
• Object to the level of growth identified for the Plan period;
• Object to the housing trajectory that underpins the delivery of housing within the Plan period – which is considered to be unrealistic and unrobust, leading to serious uncertainty regarding the “soundness” of the Plan;
• Object to the over-reliance on Key Sites and Rolled Forward Sites in making up the Plan’s housing land supply;
• Object to the scale and timing of delivery of sites in / around St Athan – all of which are predicated on railway station provision which will not be realised in the Plan period;
• Object to the under-provision of sites under Policy HG4 – Rural Affordable Housing-Led sites, not least given their extremely limited contribution to the targeted need for affordable housing;
• Object to Policy DNP3 – Glamorgan Heritage Coast, given the lack of recognition for the potential for small-scale housing proposals;
• Object to the current wording of the HG5 Policy ‘Affordable Housing Exception Sites’ which requires greater flexibility to play an important role in delivery much-needed affordable homes across the Authority; and
• Object the Council’s assessment that the site is not considered suitable for development.

The site and proposals are consistent with the RLDP strategy, other Vale of Glamorgan strategies, and the requirements of Planning Policy Wales and Future Wales. It will make a significant contribution to the Vale’s identified housing requirement in the RLDP period and will provide for a wide range of uses that will support the wider community whilst embodying principles relating to placemaking and the well-being of future generations.

The site has no fundamental constraints and has the ability to deliver significant economic, social and environmental benefits for the benefit of future residents and the existing local community. The site is demonstrated to be viable, being able to deliver policy-compliant levels of affordable housing and given its location within a strong market area, will benefit from high delivery rates.

ANNEX 2
SECTION 4. A summary of the suitability of the site for development including a Response to the Candidate Site Assessment

This section of the overall representations to the Deposit Plan is to respond to, and address, the Council’s assessment of the site.

While the issues the Council have raised in their assessment of the site have been addressed and discussed within the representations made at the Preferred Strategy stage of the Plan, a similar ‘scoring’ exercise has been undertaken as part of the evidence base for the Deposit Plan. As such, it is still pertinent to consider and respond to the Council’s assessment of the site as part of these representations

The Detailed Site Assessment for Land at Hazelwood, Ogmore By Sea (Site ID: 3855) sets out that the position of the site at the Deposit Stage is as follows:

“The original site as ruled out as the development would represent unacceptable intrusion in to the open countryside. Whilst the site has now been identified for an affordable housing led development, the original reason for ruling it out still remains.”
In terms of the assertion that “the development would represent an unacceptable intrusion into to the open countryside”, this is strongly disputed, in that the development of the site would represent a natural rounding off of the existing settlement boundary. An extract of the site relative to the settlement boundary is provided below, which clearly shows that the development of the site would not extend beyond the existing settlement pattern that exists in Ogmore.

Site Outlined in Red and Settlement Shaded in Blue
As clearly demonstrated in the above mapping, the site would extend no further eastwards than the existing housing area to the south of the site. Equally, the site would not be extending any further north than the existing settlement pattern in Ogmore. This position is further supported by the wider aerial view of the site provided overleaf:



Wider Aerial View of Site Outlined in Red and Settlement Shaded in Blue

In summary, it is considered that the proposed allocation of the site represents a logical rounding off of the existing settlement, as depicted in the mapping provided above – where the site follows the existing envelope of the settlement. The site does not extend any further eastwards than the established built form located immediately to the south; indeed, it sits comfortably within the same development line.

As such, it cannot be considered that the site represents an ‘intrusion’ into the countryside, as the site would be visually and functionally related to the settlement. It therefore follows that the site would be read as part of the settlement, and not the wider rural landscape.

Candidate Site Assessment

The Detailed Site Assessment undertaken by the LPA includes a summary and assessment of the ‘scoring’ system used at the Preferred Strategy stage. A comparison between the site assessments undertaken at both the Preferred Strategy stage and Deposit Plan stage is provided overleaf for reference.



Site Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage Site Assessment at Deposit Plan Stage
As demonstrated above, there are no changes to the scoring attributed to the site. Detailed submissions were made on the previous assessment undertaken by the Council at Preferred Strategy stage, and as such, should be read in conjunction with this submission (see Appendix A).

Sustainability

Notwithstanding the above, it is considered that the site represents a more sustainable location than what was previously assessed at Preferred Strategy stage, in light of the Ogmore by Sea Hall development. The Hall acts as a community facility, whereby the space is available for hire by local community groups such as birthday parties, weddings, group meetings, and other such similar uses. Moreover, a café (Welsh Coffee Co) is located within the premises which sells both food and drink.

The hall and café are within walking distance to and from the site, where new access facilities have been implemented from Main Road directly to the building, to allow access for pedestrians and cyclists. This is illustrated in the image below:

Walking and Cycling Facilities

The Tusker Rock pub and post office are also located along Main Road, all of which are within walking distance to the site.

Accordingly, the site is well served by new amenities (i.e. community hall) that comprehensively improves the sustainability of the site / settlement, and in turn, improves the sustainability credentials of the site promotion. It therefore follows that the site represents an acceptable location for residential development, and the site should be looked upon favourably accordingly.

It is also the case, as set out in previous representations, that the site is within a maximum 22-minuted bus journey of the following services and facilities:

• St Brides Primary School;
• Brynteg Comprehensive School;
• Bridgend College;
• Riversdale Surgery; and
• Bridgend town centre.

As such, key services and facilities can be access by sustainable travel over and above the existing level of provision available in Ogmore By Sea (as discussed above).

Accordingly, the relevant ‘red’ scorings in the Council’s assessment should be updated to reflect the site’s suitability and sustainability to accommodate the proposed residential development of the site.

Glamorgan Heritage Coast

Insofar as to the position regarding the site’s location within the Glamorgan Heritage Coast, detailed submissions are made not only in the Preferred Strategy representations, but also in Annex 1 of this submission. In short, given the pressing need for such development (particuarly affordable housing) to come forward in the Plan period to meet ever-increasing needs, development of this nature should be considered more favourably – not least that, as outlined in this Annex, the site would not extend any further that the existing settlement boundary.

Accordingly, the site would be perceived to form part of the settlement of Ogmore By Sea, and not the wider landscape, and therefore, would not have any detrimental impact on the Heritage Coast in any respect. The scoring should be amended accordingly to reflect this position.

Climate Change

As outlined in previous representations, the development will incorporate climate change measures, such as EV charging points, PV panels, as well as adopting sustainable materials for construction whilst maximising the potential for the dwellings to be energy efficient. Accordingly, the development will be built to high sustainable standards, and therefore, the scoring of the site should be amended as a result.

Summary and Conclusion

It has been evidenced above that there are no fundamental constraints at, or associated with the site, that would preclude the site coming forward for development in the RLDP period.

To conclude, the settlement, location and site are inherently suitable and deliverable, and will make a significant contribution to achieving and realising the housing and economic development needs of the Vale of Glamorgan.

Summary of These Representations

In short, and to summarise the case made and set out, these representations seek to object to the Housing Trajectory published as part of the consultation on the Draft Housing Trajectory For Housing Stakeholder Group (October 2025) which underpins the Plan and the delivery / realisation of its underlying strategy.

Detailed submissions and objections are raised below in respect to the trajectory information published regarding the soundness and robustness of this information (and it’s consultation), which we do not consider are adequate, robust, or sound to deliver the Plans aims and objectives.

Preface

This Submission sets out the detailed case in support of these representations. The representations are structured as follows:

1. Procedural Consultation Matters;
2. Timing Assumptions underpinning the Trajectory;
3. Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions;;
4. Status & Standing of Sites included in the Trajectory;
5. Key Sites;
6. St Athan Train Station;
7. Geographic distribution of the ‘new’ sites / provision;
8. Detailed comments in respect to ‘new’ sites;
9. Conclusions Procedural Consultation Matters
Firstly, we do not consider that the consultation on the Housing Trajectory information has been procedurally undertaken appropriately or suitably.

Only 14 days have been afforded to parties to make representations on the information provided. This is despite new sites being introduced (at this late stage) i.e. Land South of Clive Road (identified in Table 4), as well as a number of affordable housing led housing sites being introduced (i.e. those outlined in Table 5). This does not provide an adequate process or timescale for objectors to scrutinise the published content, and to make comments on sites which have been presented for the first time at a late stage in the process.

As part of these representations, we will be making brief comment on the sites which have not been previously consulted upon, namely:
Other Housing Allocations
• Land south of Clive Road, St Athan;

Affordable Housing Led Sites
• Land at Heol Fain, Wick;
• Land west of Maendy Road, Aberthin;
• Land Noth of West Winds Business Park, Fferm Goch; and
• Land to the East of Colwinston;

It is considered necessary to comment on these sites, given that they form an important and critical part of the housing trajectory, and by association in the Council and Plan reaching their targets. Moreover, these sites have not been consulted on previously. Accordingly we consider it necessary to pass comment on these in order to ensure that the consultation is fair and robust.

As well as limited time given to comment on the information contained within the Housing Trajectory, the LPA have failed to set up a Housing Stakeholder group to agree and discuss the trajectory information and data – with the cover email to the consultation (dated 3rd October 2025) stating “it is considered that it would be the best use of stakeholder time to conduct this engagement via email, particularly as many of the forecasts have been developed in consultation with site promoters including developers and their agents”.

We submit that the stakeholder consultation has not been a transparent nor robust consultation process, given that the Development Plans Manual states at Para 5.66 “A housing trajectory must be prepared to support the Deposit Plan. In order to generate a housing trajectory and associated phasing tables it will be necessary for LPAs to engage with stakeholders through a Housing Stakeholder Group. This will ensure that the timing and phasing of sites is robust and based on up to date information”. Given that this has not taken place, we would raise fundamental concerns that the consultation of the trajectory has not adequately taken place as per the relevant guidance. Afterall, the guidance stresses that a Group should be formed as a necessity. Accordingly, there has not been an adequate process and opportunity to review and comment on the information published, including in respect to the other sites have been introduced at this late stage.

Timing Assumptions underpinning the Trajectory

The assumed and factored in timescales of the various stages of bringing forward sites i.e. the pre-application stage, the planning application process, and the discharge of condition process outlined in the trajectory are considered to be fundamentally inaccurate, and result in a distorted position of the delivery of housing sites over the RLDP Plan period. The assumptions are far too ambitious, and without evidence / are not comparable with the timescales being incurred in processing such stages at the Development Management stage(s).

Specifically, we raise objection to the following timescales which are considered to be extremely ambitious and unrealistic:

• “Time period of pre-application discussions/PAC consultation” = 4 months
• “Time between submission of planning application and determination” = 6 months
• “Time taken from planning consent to the discharge of relevant conditions to enable site construction” = 4 months

In our experience, having submitted a significant number of major and other applications for housing and other forms of development in the last 1-2 years to the Council (and elsewhere in Wales and England), it is extremely unlikely that major applications can be submitted, and planning permissions granted, within the timeframes assumed by the trajectory. A wide range of stakeholders are also involved in the determination of major planning applications, which often adds to the delays associated with the determination of such applications. We would therefore consider that a time period of “6 months” given to all major applications in the housing trajectory is not feasible, and distorts the trajectory timescales for the remaining Plan period.

The assumptions in the trajectory are also solely based on expected timescales for the processing of formal submissions made to the Council, and do not factor in the timescales associated with, and needed for, the preparation of the material for submission (i.e. pre-application enquiry submissions / planning application / discharge of condition details etc). When factored in these will elongate the timescales for bringing forward schemes considerably.

Moreover, it is common practice for larger housing sites and major applications to have a range of pre-commencement conditions attached to a permission once granted. Again, we would raise concerns with the timescales indicated in the trajectory related to this part of the planning process. It is highly unusual and questionable that any technical work required by these conditions (usually relating to drainage and highways matters) would be instructed, completed and submitted within 2 months, and for these to then be signed off / approved in a further 2 months. There are also other technical matters and necessary approvals falling outside of, and over and above, the planning system, such as SAB, s.106, s.38 and s.278 agreements, timescales for which have not been accounted for – and all of which are rarely completed within “4 months” as indicated.

It is therefore highly doubtful that the timescales legislated for in the trajectory for the various stages pre-construction are achievable – with no information about these proposed timescales outlined within the supporting text of the Housing Trajectory. We would therefore raise considerable concerns and objections to these as they stand without full evidence to fully show how these have been calculated, and without there being considerable (and necessary) adjustment to the timescales indicated and factored in.

We would therefore object to the timescales indicated in the ‘Timing and Phasing of Sites’ table, given that the delivery start dates will be pushed back further into the Plan period. Accordingly, and as a result, the Plan is at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated, at least as swiftly as is set out in the trajectory.

Housing Delivery Rate Assumptions

We would also raise considerable doubt over the proposed delivery of the sites identified in the Housing Trajectory - which we do not consider are robust or reasonable.

The development trajectory bar chart set out in the consultation material (extracted below) anticipates and legislates for a number of critical events and circumstances – all of which are considered to be unrobust and unsound.

Extract of Housing Trajectory Graph (annotated by GJP – red dotted line)

Firstly, a large ‘spike’ (material increase) in housing delivery is factored in to take place in 2027 – 2028. This is a marked and pronounced step change in the rate of delivery, and envisages / relies on a significantly higher rate of delivery than previous years in The Vale of Glamorgan (2021 through 2025 - as depicted by the green columns). This is considered extremely unlikely to materialise, not least given prevailing market circumstances, past rates of delivery on the ground, and also in light of levels achieved across Wales and the UK in general.

The published trajectory shows that the average level of completions in The Vale of Glamorgan from 2021 - 2025 has been approx. 400 - 500 units. However, the chart shows that from 2027 – 2028, completions are expected to rise to approx. 1,000 units per year. The expected delivery levels in the trajectory therefore show and assume a doubling in delivery rates and unit numbers (an increase of approx. 100%relative to past rates). There is no clear evidence as to how this level of completions can be achieved let alone guaranteed. This is the case in particular given that the forthcoming years (2025-2027) are expected to see performance (yield) drop significantly (delivery rates in 2025 – 2026 and 2026 – 2027). The chart shows only approx. 200 units being delivered over these years. It is therefore unclear how completion rates are expected to rise so quickly (from 200 in 2025-26 to 1000 in 2027-28), and by such a significant amount. The assumptions in the trajectory are wholly unrobust in our view.

The anticipated delivery of housing also fails to be consistent within and across the Plan period. It is unclear as to why completions rates aren’t spread out more evenly throughout the Plan period - to ensure a robust and most realistic housing trajectory until 2036. By comparison to the marked increase in the rate of delivery between and over the

period 2027 to 2031, there is then a marked fall-off or drop in delivery towards and by the end of the Plan period. Indeed, in the final year, the level of completions are expected to be lower than the period 2021-2015.

To summarise, we consider the defined position to be wholly manufactured and unreflective of the past completion rates, as well as the recently published completion rates provided by Welsh Government recently in August 2025. In the Welsh Government Statistics Document ‘’New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’, information on the number of new dwellings started is provided, where building has commenced and those completed for April 2024 to March 2025. Figure 1 provides a graph showing starts in the last 10 years, and it is clear that there has been a general decline in the number of new dwellings started and completed.

Description of Figure 1:.‘New House Building: April 2024 to March 2025’
In 2024-25, 4,631 new dwellings were completed, 3% fewer than in the previous year. This was the second lowest number on record, with the lowest number recorded in 2021-22, a year heavily affected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic (in 2021-22, 4,616 new dwellings were completed). The New Housing Pipeline Report Quarter 2, 2025 Report (September, 2025) published by the HBF evidenced that the number of residential units approved in the UK fell by 6% during the second quarter of 2025, continuing the decline of approval during the first three months of the year. Wales saw one of the largest declines in the UK in approvals with a decline of 29%.

Further, the HBF document ‘Increasing Housing Supply in Wales’ (4th September 2025) clearly shows that The Vale of Glamorgan has not met the housing delivery requirements in recent years in 2023 – 2024 – along with every other authority in Wales (except Newport). Accordingly, this further adds to the argument that historically The Vale (and most other authorities) have underprovided. This adds considerable uncertainty on the assumed transformation in yield and delivery as built into the trajectory.


Graph: Housing Delivery as a proportion of annual housing requirement in Wales per Authority

The Home Building Sector Skills Plan (Aug 2025) published by the HBF also identified the following issues with the workforce to bring forward built development in Wales:

• “A shortfall in numbers entering roles from the education system;
• An ageing workforce: 25% of the home building workforce is aged over 50, meaning the sector is facing an impending retirement cliff edge;
• Challenges attracting a wider talent pipeline into the sector;
• A lack of understanding of critical future skills needed, and direction from the Future Homes Standard; and
• Output within the sector fluctuating with demand and economic pressures, leading to additional pressures in recruitment and training”.

It is not considered that in the next 1-2 years that any of these issues can or will be substantially corrected – at least sufficiently so to allow for, and enable, the planned delivery rates of new housing completions to be as high as < > 1,000 homes in one year (and for four consecutive years at that).

We would therefore object to the proposed numbers of completion expected during the Plan period, given that there are a number of issues with delivering housing in Wales and given past completions rates for The Vale of Glamorgan. Again, this results in the Plan being at risk of not delivering the level of housing expected based on the sites allocated.

Status & Standing of Sites included in the Trajectory

The proposed land supply within the housing trajectory includes provision for ‘rolled forward’ LDP sites, which contribute to the total of ‘Proposed Additional Housing Allocations’ forming part of the housing supply. Specifically, a total of 1,242no. units have been identified as additional housing allocations, of which 959no. are expected to be delivered on the rolled forward LDP sites. As such, these sites are to provide for a significant proportion of additional housing in the Plan period (specifically circa 77%).

The Development Plans Manual (DPM) sets out that allocations rolled forward from a previous plan will require careful justification for inclusion in a revised plan. The DPM outlines that “there will need to be a substantial change in circumstances to demonstrate sites can be delivered and justify being included again. Clear evidence will be required that such sites can be delivered.” The below table included in the consultation document provides a breakdown of the rolled forward LDP sites, and in particular, sets out the status of each site:




The above table evidences that the current LDP has under delivered in regard to its targeted unit number of the Plan period, given that these sites did not yield any housing over the current plan period. This is further exacerbated by the Land Bank sites that have also not delivered any housing across the existing LDP period, amounting to 1,860no units. Accordingly, when considering the non-delivery of both rolled forward LDP sites and Land Bank sites, this amounts to an approximate shortfall of 2,189 homes being delivered, or 33% of the total housing supply identified for the current LDP (8,525no. dwellings).

It is therefore considered that, as a minimum, the units carried over from the LDP (without planning permission) should be a surplus to the housing supply proposed for the RLDP, as opposed to being relied on to deliver the housing need over the Plan period. This is particularly the case for the two sites (Land to the west of Pencoedtre Lane, and Land between Northern Access Road and Eglwys Brewis Road) which do not currently have any active planning application submitted for their development. These sites total an amount of 370no. units to be delivered in the Plan period, which represents more than a third of the additional housing allocations to make up the housing supply.

As such, it is considered that the unmet need deriving from the existing LDP is still present – indeed it has grown, and will continue to do so, not least when considered in conjunction with the projected population growth over the coming years to 2036, and the aspirations for growth in the Plan’s strategy.

Accordingly, in order to secure the targeted level of housing, a greater level of provision for new allocations should be applied in order to meet the housing requirement. This would bring about better certainty that the housing requirement is met by the housing supply over the Plan period, not least given that the current Plan failed in this respect. Without a re-apportioning of the housing supply, it is considered that the Plan would heavily rely on the contingency (i.e. rolled forward LDP sites) coming forward in the Plan period, yet there is uncertainty that these will yield in full over the new Plan period. This raises issues of ‘’soundness’’, and risks rendering the Plan unrobust.

On this basis, we would object to the Plan if the provision of housing is not adjusted to rebalance the provision to include new allocations in lieu of rolled forward LDP sites in the housing supply.

Key Sites

As set out in previous representations at Preferred Strategy stage, it is considered that the housing supply relies heavily on the delivery of the ‘key sites’ to deliver housing (and meet need) over the Plan period. The total number of housing units attributed to key sites amounts to 2,278, which equates to over 25% of the total provision in the Plan period.

As detailed above, we consider there to be concerns regarding the proposed ‘Timing and Phasing of Sites’ table included in the Housing Trajectory which we consider are not reflective or accurate and will therefore have the effect of delivery start dates being much later into the Plan period than anticipated. The result of this will be that the Plan will be at risk of not delivery the level of housing expected and needed. Moreover, the Housing Trajectory Graph presents an overly ambitious level of housing completions over the Plan period - which the Council consider will be markedly higher than the average levels experienced in the last five years. Again, for the reasons set out above, we consider that these rates of expected completions to have no evidence supporting them, and to be unachievable and unsound.

Insofar as to the removal of the previously proposed site ‘Land at North East Barry’, this site was expected to deliver 900no. units in the Plan period. Following its omission from the housing supply, other sites have been identified, which comprises the inclusion of a new key site (Land at North West Barry), 3no. non-strategic sites, and also affordable housing-led allocations. In terms of the quantum of development attributed to these new sites, this amounts to 659no. dwellings. This is some 250 units less than the 900no. homes that was previously attributed to ‘Land at North East Barry’. Whilst it is appreciated that the number of homes forming part of the existing supply (completions, units with planning permission etc.) have increased since Preferred Strategy stage, there will be a net loss in market housing provision and delivery.

This position is made worse and compounded as a result of accounting for the affordable-led sites in making up the housing supply.

As set out within the Preferred Strategy, these sites are expected to deliver at least 51% affordable housing. These units are not open market units, and will not / cannot contribute to the supply of such housing. These units will contribute to the provision of affordable housing, and will go some way to meeting the acute need for such housing (albeit will not eradicate / address in full the well known and accepted considerable requirement). Accordingly it is considered that these sites should be in addition to the housing supply, as opposed to forming part of the provision. In turn, there would need to be an increase in allocations for non-strategic sites, to ensure that there is sufficient market housing delivery over the Plan period.

Were such changes to be made and introduced, this would achieve and assist realise a more robust and sound housing supply, which will ensure that the identified housing need is met / addressed over the Plan period. Without these changes it is considered that the housing supply is not sufficient, and inevitably, housing need will not be met within the Plan.

St Athan Train Station

As set out in the Preferred Strategy (para A3.29), the strategy seeks to focus development around key sustainable transport nodes. The strategy outlined that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. Accordingly, in line with the spatial strategy adopted for the RLDP (i.e. focus development around sustainable transport nodes), St Athan was identified as a ‘Strategic Opportunity Area’ to accommodate strategic growth – through the proposed allocation of two key sites : ‘Land at Church Farm’ and ‘Land West of St Athan’. These sites have been identified to deliver 532no. and 600no. units respectively in the Plan period. These are separate to, and are in addition to, the 51no. units that have now been attributed to the site ‘Land South of Clive Road’ in St Athan. Accordingly, in total, the Housing Trajectory makes a provision for a total of 1,183no. homes to be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period.

It is now the case that, subsequent to the publication of the Preferred Strategy, the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales. The focus in the first phase of such improvements across the region is towards improving connectivity in east Cardiff, Newport, and Magor. Accordingly,

it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period, which significantly questions the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

The strategy to allocate new housing growth is predicated on focusing residential development around sustainable transport nodes, and given that St Athan will be without any railway station in the Plan period, it is not considered that these sites align with the strategy of the RLDP. Accordingly, the wider Housing Trajectory is considered to be unsound, given that a total of 1,183no. homes are expected to be delivered in St Athan within the Plan period.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add a further site for housing in this location over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites - given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

We therefore consider the Trajectory to be both unrobust and unsound, and therefore, we object to the Trajectory in its current form accordingly.

Geographic distribution of the ‘new’ sites / provision

As a general and overarching comment in respect to the additional sites now included within the Plan, and forming part of the trajectory, (and a matter expanded upon when critiquing each of these sites in the next section to this submission), it is clear and evident that these additional sites have been positioned to settlements that have already, and recently, been attributed significant growth in the preceding Plan and plan period.

Significant allocations (which have also contributed to significant levels of affordable housing) have been realised and built out in locations (such as Wick and Colwinston). Notwithstanding this, two of the additional sites are now proposed for these recently expanded settlements. Given that the purpose of the affordable housing led allocations is to meet unmet affordable housing need, it is questioned why such new allocations are attributed to settlements that have already seen open market and affordable housing provision, as compared to other comparable settlements that have not received any growth whatsoever over a considerable period of time.

It is considered accordingly that the geographic positioning of these allocations is at odds with their underlying purpose - to meet unmet affordable housing need in communities that have seen no provision

Detailed Comments in respect to ‘new’ sites

Other Housing Allocations

Land south of Clive Road, St Athan

A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below for ease:


As set out at the outset of these representations, and whilst we note the findings of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage (i.e. Suitable for further consideration), we do not consider that the consultation on this site has been undertaken procedurally appropriately or suitably. We therefore consider the consultation on this site is “unrobust” and “unsound”.

As set out previously, the strategy seeks to focus development around key sustainable transport nodes. The strategy outlined that a feasibility study for a station in St Athan had been undertaken, which identifies that a new station could be located in St Athan, subject to further investigation work. It is now the case that, subsequent to the publication of the Preferred Strategy, the proposed railway station at St Athan is not in the first phase of delivery for new stations in South Wales, where the focus is towards improving connectivity in east Cardiff, Newport, and Magor. Accordingly, it is very unlikely that any new train station will be delivered in St Athan over the Plan period, which significantly questions the suitability and acceptability of the proposed allocations set out above.

It is considered that there has been an overprovision for housing growth in St Athan generally, and this issue is now further exacerbated by the lack of any forthcoming rail provision. Given this, to add a further site for housing over and above the original provision is considered to be unsound. As set out above, the justification to allocate sites at St Athan has relied heavily on the railway station being delivered in the Plan period, and as such, there are serious questions marks associated with the acceptability of the proposed allocated sites – given their incompatibility with the core strategy of the RLDP.

Affordable Housing Led Allocations Land at Heol Fain, Wick
A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below for ease:

Candidate Site Stage 2 Assessment (Site Ref. 404)

The findings of the Candidate Site Assessment for this site are noted. We are assuming the reason this site is proposed to be allocated is a product of the site promoters/developers heading the findings stated below, and changing the form of development to be in accord with this:

“A market housing led scheme would not be acceptable, but the site could be reconsidered as a small scale affordable housing led development subject to need and viability at a maximum of 50 dwellings. In accordance with the Settlement Appraisal Review, it is considered that Wick could potentially accommodate limited affordable housing led growth.”

Whilst no clear deficiency exists in respect to the site, it is known that Wick has been subject to significant growth and expansion in recent years – not least by virtue of significant housing allocations in the settlement as part of previous plans.

To evidence this, 35% of the 124 units approved on the ‘Rectory Field, St Brides Road’ site (i.e. circa 43 units as per site allocation ref. MG(47) and PP ref. 2014/01424/FUL) were approved as Affordable Housing units. This makes a substantial provision of such Affordable Housing units (and housing generally) in the settlement in recent years.

Other similarly sized and comparable settlements and locations have not by contrast been subject to any growth for some considerable time, and accordingly would warrant and benefit from provision as part of this new replacement plan.

Notwithstanding the location of such provision, and as set out in detail at the outset of these representations, National Planning Policy advocates the high and acute need for affordable housing, whilst recent analysis evidences that there is a housing emergency. These circumstances - coupled with the shortcomings identified and set out earlier in these submissions in respect to the adequacy of provision within the plan (rolled forward sites / inadequate provision etc) – means that notwithstanding any potential allocation at Wick, further provision ought to be made in comparable (previously unprovided for) locations, such as Ogmore By Sea.

Land West of Maendy Road, Aberthin

‘Land West of Maendy Road’ has been registered as an Affordable Housing Led Allocation candidate site for the RLDP, however as far as we know from our review, there is no assessment and critique of this site. This site has not been included in the ‘Candidate Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage’ (October 2023). As such, with an absence of publicly available information, it is not clear how the Council has judged this site against the criteria. This raises questions accordingly in respect to the “soundness” of a site which forms part of the intended housing land supply, and by association the trajectory. Without this, and without being consulted on (as others have been prior to this) we question whether this allocation is “sound” (i.e. its allocation is considered to be “unsound”).

Land North of West Winds Business Park, Fferm Goch

The below sets out the candidate site stage two assessment of ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’:

Candidate Site Stage 2 Assessment (Site Ref. 398)

As can be seen above, the site was not considered suitable for further consideration, with the site scoring negatively (red) in respect to a number of key factors. These include the following:

• Access to Retail;
• Access to Health Services;
• Sustainable Transport- Public Transport;
• Access/ Proximity to services and facilities conclusion;
• Climate Change; and

• Health and Wellbeing.

Given the fact the site scores red in ‘Sustainable Transport – Public Transport’, this shows the site is not served by public transport connections within 800m, as outlined in the key below:


Additionally, Policy SP7 (Sustainable Transport) of the Vale of Glamorgan Preferred Strategy states “New development must support an enhanced transport network that increases the proportion of journeys being undertaken by sustainable travel modes”. Additionally Objective 8 (Promoting Active and Sustainable Travel Choices) states “new development is directed to locations that are or can be accessible by a choice of modes of transport, including walking, cycling, and public transport.”

It is well known that residents of affordable housing are statistically less likely to own private vehicles, making access to reliable and frequent public transport essential for ensuring equitable mobility. The provision of public transport infrastructure in close proximity to such developments is therefore a critical component in supporting access to employment, education, healthcare, and other key services, while also promoting sustainable travel patterns and social inclusion.

The site also scores red in respect to Access/Proximity to services, showing the site is greater than 1200m away from key services, as seen in the key below:


In respect of the above, Preferred Strategy 6.40 states the need “To ensure that new development takes place in locations that have the best access to a wide range of services, facilities, and employment opportunities, whilst minimising the need to travel, the distribution of growth is guided by the following settlement hierarchy”. To further highlight the importance of both sustainable transport and proximity to services, the preferred strategy also states the need to “Facilitate the development of adaptable, accessible, well-connected communities that have a strong sense of identity, offer a sustainable range of services and facilities and are equipped with adequate infrastructure”. In addition, Promoting Active and Sustainable Travel Choices outlines to “Promote and encourage the use of sustainable methods of travel, particularly active modes of transport, whilst simultaneously reducing the need to travel”.

In light of the above, this site does not align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy, as it fails to meet several key development goals set out. It should therefore not be considered suitable to be allocated for future developments. Its inclusion is therefore unsound.

Should this view be concurred with, 22 affordable units will be lost from the proposed affordable 122 units, and ultimately will be lost from the overall housing land supply. As stated in the draft housing trajectory “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”. There is a clear possibility therefore that this proposed allocation is removed and/or not delivered as its inclusion is unsound as it does not align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy - as it fails to meet several key development goals set out. A “small scale

affordable housing led development” which is needed to “respond to local affordable needs and help sustain services and facilities within these rural communities” will therefore not be provided for. This is clearly an issue.

When comparing this with ‘Land at Hazelwood, Ogmore By Sea, the following is set out:

Access to Services and Facilities

This criterion has been assessed firstly on the location of the site proposal in terms of whether it is located within, adjacent to, or outside a settlement, and secondly the ease of pedestrian and cycle access to key services listed below.



With reference to the above:

• In terms of public transport, there are two bus stops located approximately 200m (3-minute walk) from the site (‘Ogmore By Sea Post Office’), with the ‘303’ providing services between Llantwit Major and Bridgend.

• The site is located 200m (3-minute walk) from the ‘Ogmore By Sea Post Office’ which can provide basic goods to meet day-today needs such as bread, butter, milk etc.

• The site is also located 50m (1-minute walk) from a children’s park.

These services and facilities are therefore well within the best category (i.e. categorised/scored as ‘green’) - within 800m of site (10-minute walk). Accordingly, the site therefore has good access to services and facilities. This

Furthermore, the settlement of Ogmore By Sea has been ranked higher than Llangan (which the site ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’ is located within) in the VoG Sustainable Settlements Appraisal, and therefore, is considered to constitute a more sustainable location to accommodate residential growth. Most notably, Ogmore By Sea scores ‘13’ in respect to ‘Daily Facilities’ whereas Llangan only scores ‘3’, evidencing that residents in Ogmore have much better access to services within the locality as compared to Llangan.

Given the above, ‘Land at Hazelwood, Ogmore’ does/should align with the aims and targets set out in the Preferred Strategy as it meets several of the key development goals set out. Its inclusion should therefore, in our view, be considered “sound” and therefore suitable to be allocated for future developments. The site should properly and appropriately be allocated in lieu of ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’ – the inclusion of which is “unsound”. ‘Land at Hazelwood, Ogmore’ would therefore ensure that affordable units, where “there is a need for small scale affordable housing led development (minimum 50% affordable) to respond to local affordable needs and help

sustain services and facilities within these rural communities”, are provided for. As such the proposed housing trajectory would be maintained.

Land to the East of Colwinston, Colwinston

A summary of the Candidate Sites Assessment at Preferred Strategy Stage has been extracted below:


As outlined above, the site was rejected and considered not suitable for further consideration. In fact, and unlike ‘Land at Heol Fain, Wick’ and ‘Land to north and west of Westwinds Business Park’ it was stated that this site “could not be considered as a suitable affordable housing led development site”. Despite this, this site is identified to be allocated as an Affordable Housing Led Allocation. As such, the inclusion of this site is “unsound”.

It is known that Colwinston has been subject to significant housing allocations in the settlement as part of previous plans. To evidence this, 25% of the 64 units (i.e. 16 units) were approved on the site allocation ref. MG2(41) and PP ref.

2014/00242/FUL. This makes a substantial provision of such Affordable Housing units (and housing generally) in the settlement in recent years.

Other similarly sized and comparable settlements and locations have not by contrast been subject to any growth for some considerable time, and accordingly would warrant and benefit from provision as part of this new replacement plan.

Notwithstanding the location of such provision, and as set out in detail at the outset of these representations, National Planning Policy advocates the high and acute need for affordable housing, whilst recent analysis evidences that there is a housing emergency. These circumstances - coupled with the shortcomings identified and set out earlier in these submissions in respect to the adequacy of provision within the plan (rolled forward sites / inadequate provision etc) – means that notwithstanding any potential allocation at Colwinston, further provision ought to be made in comparable (previously unprovided for) locations, such as Ogmore By Sea.

Summary of These Representations

To re-iterate, and to summarise the case made and set out, these representations seek to object to the Housing Trajectory published as part of the consultation on the Draft Housing Trajectory For Housing Stakeholder Group (October 2025) which underpins the Plan and the delivery / realisation of its underlying strategy.

Detailed submissions and objections are raised above in respect to the trajectory information published regarding the soundness and robustness of this information (and it’s consultation), which we do not consider are adequate, robust, or sound to deliver the Plans aims and objectives.